gas market & development projects in tunisia · 2015. 12. 7. · important evolution of the gas...

UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC COMMISSION

FOR EUROPE

UNECE GAS CENTRE

UNECE Gas Centre

Task Force Meeting on Supply, Infrastructure, and Markets

Aktau, Kazakhstan

26 & 27 November 2015

Gas Market & Development Projects in Tunisia

UNECE

Ezzedine Khalfallah

President of the Tunisian Oil & Gas Association (ATPG)

Introduction Gas market in Tunisia: Current trends & future prospects - Current trends: Gas market challenges - Future prospects: Gas market options

Gas exploration & development projects - ETAP activities in gas exploration & production - Gas projects development - Exploration of Non-conventional hydrocarbons

Diversification of gas & energy supply - LNG option - Electricity interconnexion option

Contents

Strategic location in Central Mediterranean Sea

Algeria Libya

Tunisia

Tunisia Main Indicators

Data 2014

Area (sq km) 164,000

Population (millions) 11.1

GDP Per Capita (US$) 4500

Hydrocarbon Reserves (Mtoe)

- Crude Oil - Natural Gas

200 100 100

Hydrocarbon Production (Mtoe)

- Crude Oil - Natural Gas

4.9 2.6 2.3

Energy Demand (Mtoe)

- Petroleum Products - Natural Gas

9.2 4.3 4.9

Installed Power Capacity (MW) 4300

Refining Capacity (MT) 1.7

Tunisia Main Gas Indicators

Gas Resources (Mtoe)

- Local Production - Royalties (Transmed)

2.6 2.3 0.3

Gas Demand (Mtoe)

- Power production - End use

5.4 3.9 1.5

Network lenth (km)

- Transport - Distribution

15 950 2 550

13 400

Number of customers - HP - MP - LP

687.215 23

191 687.001

MINISTERY OF INDUSTRY,

ENERGY AND MINING

General Direction

of Industry

Electricity & Gas Transport & distribution

E&P

Oil & Gas

General Direction of Energy

General Direction

of Mining

August 2014

Organization of the Energy Sector: Main institutions involved in Natural Gas

Exploration & Production of Hydrocarbons

Demand Energy Management

INTRODUCTION

Following the Tunisian revolution and transition to democracy, the role of the energy sector is ever more critical as a pillar for economic growth. In 2013, the Government of Tunisia initiated a sector-wide debate around the theme "What Future for the Tunisian Energy sector" with the objective of exploring options to adapting Tunisia’s energy strategy to the new socio-economic conditions of the country, the region and emerging global energy challenges.

The debate’s findings point to the limits that Tunisia is facing in terms of its gas supplies (by 2020), a major concern because 98% of Tunisia’s electricity generation is based on natural gas.

INTRODUCTION

Urgent and crucial questions emerged concerning if no additional indigenous gas supplies could not be discovered and developed within this time horizon, how can Tunisia best meet its demand with alternative means. As a result, a study on Natural Gas was launched with the support of the World Bank in May 2015, which would deepen the question of Tunisia's gas supply and focus, among others, on assessing the availability of natural gas for electricity generation by looking at both supply and demand-side options.



Diversification of gas & energy supply - LNG option - Electrical interconnexion option

Contents

Current trends: Gas market challenges

12

The Tunisian energy sector is characterized by several challenges:

Structural deficit on the primary energy balance which appeared since 2001 (reaching 3.4 Mtoe in 2014);

Important evolution of the gas share in the primary energy demand (reaching 53% in 2014);

The great part of gas demand is used for power generation (73% in 2014);

A strong depency on natural gas in power generation (98% in 2014)

Limited diversification of gas supply (53% insured from only one source: Algeria)

Current Trends: Gas market challenges

The primary energy balance which was surplus over the past decades has known a deficit from the year 2000. This deficit become structural has increase over the years to reach 3.4 Mtoe in 2014.

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Evolution of Energy Resources & Demand

Ressources

Demande

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1974 1984 1994 2004 2014

Mill

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s d

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Evolution of the National Energy Balance

Energy balance

0.5 0.775 0.799 0.832 0.908 0.967 1.104 1.215 1.280 1.283 1.405 1.523 1.727 1.859 2.193

2.601 2.658 2.585 2.878 2.779 2.642 2.837 2.432

2.840 2.732 3.072 3.394 3.387 3.542 3.336 3.177 3.306 3.496 3.578 3.723 3.821 3.877 3.851 3.859 4.010 4.017 4.111 4.248 4.075 3.925 3.7

0.978 0.688 1.150

0.951 1.276

1.210 0.857

1.250 1.219 1.713 1.951

2.006 2.081

2.291 2.428

2.580 2.862 2.864 3.030

3.160 3.255 3.269 3.467 3.804 4.012 4.3

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Consommation de Gaz naturel

Consommation de Pétrole

M Toe

Gas demand

Oil demand

Evolution of the hydrocarbons domestic demand

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55% 8,5 Mtep

4,4 Mtep

71%28%

1%

1990

59%

40%

1%

200046%

53%

2014

Evolution of the Natural Gas contribution to the primary energy demand

Petroleum Products Natural Gas Renewables

Important evolution of the gas share in the primary energy demand

Great part of natural gas demand is used for power generation Strong dependence on natural gas in electricity generation

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Use for Power Generation

98%

2%73%

27%

Natural Gas Demand Outline

End Users

Natural Gas

RE (Wind & Hydro)

17

Gas supply: Evolution of gas domestic production

Production journalière moyenne en 2014:

7.15 Million m3

(En 2013 : 7.8Million 3)

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Cherouq

Baraka

Maamoura

Hasdrubal

Chergui

Djbel grouz

Adam

el bibane

Sabria

Baguel/Tarfa

Franig

Miskar

Oued Zar

ezzaoui

El Borma (39%)

Miskar (46%)

El Franig Baguel

Hasdrubal

Chergui

Gas supply: Fiscal gas from the Transmediterranean gaslines

Decrease of the local gas resources following the decline of the domestic production and the fiscal gas from the Transmed gasline;

Increase purchases of the Algerian gas;

Limited diversification of gas supply since 53% of the needs are assured by the Algerian gas (2014)

53% 47%

Gaz algérien

Production nationale

47%

6% Forfait fiscal en nature

Achats de gaz algérien

Gas Supply: Distribution of supply sources

Algerian Gas

Local production

Algerian Gas purchases

Tax Gas

Future prospects: Gas market options

21

With the decline of gas supply and the continuous evolution of the demand, the deficit on gas will increase to reach 4.4 Mtoe in 2030. Several actions are already launched and different options are considered to limit this deficit: Intensification of the exploration activities and development of new conventional gas projects (Nawara, Zarat, Chaal, …)

More contribution on renewable energy, with a target of 30% in power production in 2030;

Reduction of gas demand by the introduction of the Coal option power plant in 2022;


22

Exploration of shale gas to renew the local reserves and increase the local supply;

Diversification and improvement of the security of gas supply by introducing the LNG option; Diversification of energy supply and reduction of gas demand for power generation by electrical interconnexion between Tunisia and Italy.


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Gaz Fiscal

Chaal+ Elyssa + Nisr

Gaz du sud(STGP)

Gaz importé

Gaz champsen exploitation

MToe

Evolution of gas supply by 2030 (Fields in exploitation & development + Proven reserves + import + tax gas )

Tax gas

Nawara Gas

Imported gas

Gas fields in exploitation

4.2

7.9

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Gaz Fiscal


Gaz du sud(STGP)

Gaz importé


Marché total Gazoption Gaz max

Natural Gas Supply & Demand Balance

MToe

4,4 M Toe

Maximum Gas Demand « BAU » Vs Gas Supply

4.2

6.7

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Gaz Fiscal


Gaz du sud(STGP)

Gaz importé


Marché total Gazoption Gaz si EnR 30%


MToe

3,2 M Toe

Maximum Gas Demand « BAU » with 30% of RE contribution Vs Gas Supply

4,2

3.9

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Gaz du sud(STGP)

Gaz importé


Marché total Gazoption Charbonsi EnR 30%


MToe

Minimum Gas Demand « BAU » with 30% of RE contribution & Coal Options Vs Gas Supply




Contents

ETAP Activities in Gas Exploration & Development

25 Concessions 44 Permits

36 Companies

Working in Tunisia

August 2014

http://images.google.fr/imgres?imgurl=http://fnpe-algerie.org/images/part_sonatrach.jpg&imgrefurl=http://fnpe-algerie.org/index.htm&h=321&w=268&sz=9&hl=fr&start=1&tbnid=SncA-VT2XRJCaM:&tbnh=118&tbnw=99&prev=/images?q=sonatrach&gbv=2&hl=fr

Renewal of National reserves

Gas Activities Development

Set up of ETAP International

Human Resources Development

August 2014

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://images.inmagine.com/img/creatas/cr15377/cr15377031.jpg&imgrefurl=http://pt.inmagine.com/cr15377/cr15377031-photo&h=400&w=267&sz=12&hl=ar&start=122&tbnid=fGhP9s_qemeHEM:&tbnh=124&tbnw=83&prev=

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.odonel.k12.nf.ca/science/refining/Tower.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.odonel.k12.nf.ca/science/refining/distill.htm&h=331&w=235&sz=21&hl=ar&start=47&tbnid=KcRwngX4TlQT9M:&tbnh=119&tbnw=84&prev=

Renewal of National reserves

Gas Activities Development

Set up of ETAP International

Human Resources Development

NEW STRATEGIC

LINES

Gas Projects Development

Ordofician Exploration

Exploration of new horizons

Study / Ranking of Gas potential

Chergui Project (100 millions US$

Investment)

Jurassic potential study

Salt reservoir potential study

STGP Project (1000 millions US$

Investment)

Maamoura-Baraka Project (1500 millions US$

Investment)

Hasdrubal Project (1500 millions US$

Investment)

August 2014

Hasdrubal Project (1500 millions US$ Investment)


Chergui Project (100 millions US$ Investment)


Maamoura-Baraka Project (1500 millions US$ Investment)


EPC 2015

Tunis– 27 October 2015

Bir Ben Tartar

Tataouine

Médenine

Nawara

Nawara Project (1000 millions US$

Investment)

Gas Project Development

The Nawara concession is located on the South Jenein bloc in the

Tunisian south desert;

The Concession is owned 50% by ETAP & 50% by OMV which is the

operator;

The concession will be produced initially from 9 wells which constitute

a condensate gas discoveries (Nawara-1, Ahlem-1; Ahlem-2, Sourour-1,

Ritma-1, Fella-1, Khouloud-1 and Benefsej-1 & 2.)

ETAP will build a ramp of 12’’, 90 Km to Tataouine and a treatment

center with a capacity of 600 K m3/d with an LPG bottling center.

Nawara Gas Project Development

August 2014


C3 C4

12’’-70 km Gas

Export pipeline to

Tataouine

GTP Tataouine

LPG bottling

Center

Condensate

to Gabes

Gas to

STEG

C5+

C1/C2

Concept development plan of Nawara


GTP GABES GTP TATAOUINE

Designation Unites

GTP Inlet m3/ day 2 100 000 600 000

Fuel Gas Consumption m3/ day 120 000 30 000

Sales gas m3/ day 1 900 000 540 000

HHV Kcal/Nm3 9,892 9,892

WI Kcal/Nm3 12,606 12,606

Commercial Propane T / d 129 37

Commercial Butane T / d 77 22

Stabilized condensate T / d 17 5

Total LPG products T / d 206 59


Progress of the project

Awarding of the contracts for the construction of Nawara and Gabes units;

Awarding of the contracts for the construction of 24’’ pipeline

Finalisation of documents of the tender for the treatment unit of Tataouine, the pipeline

and the shutoff valves;

Acquisition of the land for the Tataouine unit plant;

Programming of the EPC contracts launch of Tataouine on January2016

Estimated into production October 2017


Exploration of Non Conventionnal Hydrocarbons

Assessed Shale Gas & Oil Basins of the World

According to EIA world shale gas & oil assessment report, the global world technical recoverable shale gas resources are estimated to 7795 Tcf.

The share of African countries for these resources is about 17.5% (1361 Tcf) against 7.5% for conventional gas reserves. The breakdown by country is :

Algeria : 707 Tcf South Africa : 390 Tcf Libya : 122 Tcf Egypt : 100 Tcf Tunisia : 23 Tcf Morocco : 20 Tcf

Algeria 52%

South Africa 29%

Libya 9%

Egypt 7%

Tunisia 2%

Morocco 1%

Breakdown of the technical recoverable shale gas resources in Africa

Estimation of the recoverable Shale Gas resources in Africa

Ghedamess Basin in North Africa

Shale Gas & Oil Basins in Tunisia

The recoverable reserves of shale gas are estimated to 23 Tcf (Trillions de pied cubes) or 650 billion cm.

At the current rate of consumption (6.2 Bcm in 2014), these reserves can meet the needs of consumption of Tunisia for more than 100 years.

Estimated Shale Gas reserves in Tunisia




Contents

LNG Option

In an effort to improve diversification and

security of gas supply, Tunisia has started early assessment work on LNG import projects based on floating storage and regasification units (FSRU) and on the status and applicability of this kind of project for the country.

Further assessment of the LNG import

option as well as advice and technical assistance are currently in progress to help the Tunisian government improve planning and implementation of a feasible LNG project that maximizes value and minimizes commercial risk.

Electrical interconnexion option Option

This project allows: The reduction of the investment

and gas demand in the power generation;

The development of the electrical

exchange with Europe;

Benefit of instantaneous secour in case of incident on the national network ;

Insurance of commercial transit of energy between the Maghreb countries network and the European network ;

Increasing the integration Renewable Energy capacity in the national electrical system.

ELECTRICAL INTERCONNEXION PROJECT BETWEEN TUNISIA & ITALY

شكــــــرا

Thank You

gas market & development projects in tunisia · 2015. 12. 7. · important evolution of the gas...

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