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TRANSCRIPT
General PresentationGeneral Presentation
A il 2011April 2011
Contents
Page
1. Corporate Strategy
2. Q1 2011 Results & Product Performance
3
102. Q1 2011 Results & Product Performance
3. R&D Update
4 Strategy update & Planning assumptions 2011+
10
45
844. Strategy update & Planning assumptions 2011+
5. Key industry growth drivers
6 Ne s flo 2011
84
103
1216. News flow 2011
7. Investor Relations contacts8 Appendices
121
1238. Appendices 126
22
Corporate StrategyCo po ate St ategy
Strategy
Industry outlook
• Increasing and ageing populations• Expanding populations in new markets• Significant unmet medical need• Continued scientific and technological advance
Growth SectorGrowth Sector
• Decline in R&D productivityPressures onPressures on p y• Established market price pressure• Patent expiries and genericisation
Pressures on returns
Pressures on returns
• Increased R&D productivity opportunities• Adapting sales and marketing model
Leading players will continue toLeading players will continue to Adapting sales and marketing model
• Further cost reduction potential• Improved investment discipline
will continue to earn attractive
returns
will continue to earn attractive
returns
44Strategy
Our vision
AstraZeneca is
Focused
Innovation-driven
Integrated
Global
OUR VALUES
Biopharma
5
OUR VALUES
5Strategy
Strategic priorities
66Strategy
Business Growth
Strategic Initiatives
• Grow market share of key brands that retain exclusivity:- Crestor- Seroquel XR
Planning assumptions2010-2014
• Revenue in the rangeq- Symbicort
• Successfully commercialise recent launchesand the next wave*
Revenue in the range of $28bn to $34bn per annum over the period
• Risk adjustedand the next wave- ONGLYZATM
- Brilinta- Vimovo
- Zibotentan- NKTR-118- TC-5214
• Risk adjusted contribution of $3bnto $5bn from recent launches, pipeline &
- Vandetanib- Dapagliflozin
- Zinforo (Ceftaroline)- CAZ104- Fostamatinib
in-licensing
• Revenue around the middle of range by
• Sustain double digit growth in emerging markets- Drive growth and new launch portfolio- Broaden portfolio to include branded generics
g y2014
7
Broaden portfolio to include branded generics
* Updated to reflect recent pipeline changesOnglyza and dapagliflozin are jointly developed and marketed by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb. 7Strategy
Business Shape
Strategic Initiatives
• Maintain gross margin >80%- Complete asset strategy & API outsourcing- Drive LEAN Sigma
Planning assumptions2010-2014
Drive LEAN Sigma
• Improve Sales & Marketing effectiveness and efficiency- New channels and approaches
Core pre-R&D operating margin in the range of
48-54%
pp- Technology investment- Quality initiatives
• Increase G&A cost efficiency and flexibility- Process improvement and automation- Consolidation & selective outsourcing
• Procurement savings across all functions
• Focus on working capital management
8
Focus on working capital management
8Strategy
Cash generation & Investment
Business focus on cash flow generation
Reinvest 40 to 50% of after-tax pre-R&D cash
flow to drive future growth and value
Residual cash flow available for
• Achieving revenue and Core pre-R&D margins
growth and value
• Internal and external R&D
• Specific business needsp g
in planning range
• Delivering restructuring programmes
• Tangible assets and information technology
• Debt repayment
• Progressive dividendprogrammes
• Tight management of working capital, tax & interest
• Progressive dividend policy
• Share repurchasesinterest
99Strategy
Q1 2011 Results & Q 0 esu ts &Product Performance
Performance
Q1 2011 Summary
• Financial performance- Revenue $8.292m (-4% CER)
• Research & Development- Progress on R&D change programme
- Reflects anticipated generic competition as well as impact from government price interventionsCore EPS $2 23 (+10% CER)
- First launches for Brilique/Brilinta in Europe. - KombiglyzeTM XR launched in the- Vandetinib US FDA approved for the treatment of
- Core EPS $2.23 (+10% CER)- Strong growth of Crestor, Symbicort,
Seroquel XR- Emerging Markets revenue increased
advanced medullary thyroid cancer- Disappointments on Zibotentan –Study 15
discontinuedEmerging Markets revenue increased by 13% at CER
• Shareholder returns• Legal developments- Agreements reached between the UK and US
- Net cash distributions to shareholders in Q1 increased by 57% to $3,857 million through dividend payments of $2,646 million and net share repurchases of
Agreements reached between the UK and US Governments over certain tax matters which resulted in Core EPS in the first quarter 2011 benefited by $0.39. Company expects the full year effective tax rate on a reported basis to be lowered to around 21million and net share repurchases of
$1,211 million.on a reported basis to be lowered to around 21 percent.
1111Performance
Headline results Q1 2011
CERQ1 2011 ActualQ1 2010 CERgrowth
Q1 2011$m
Actualgrowth
Q1 2010$m
Revenue 8,292 8,576 -3% -4%, ,
Core Operating Profit 3,678 3,857 -5% -5%
Core EPS $2.23 $2.03 +10% +10%
Restructuring ($0 07) ($0 05)RestructuringMedImmune/Merck amortisation
($0.07)($0.08)
($0.05)($0.07)
Reported EPS $2.08 $1.91 +9% +10%
1212Performance
Regional revenue performance Q1 2011
CER
Gl b l R 8 292 4%
CER%
Q1 2011$m
US 3,304 -11%
Global Revenue 8,292 -4%
Western Europe 2,235 -7%
E t bli h d ROW 1 321 4%Established ROW 1,321 +4%
Emerging Markets 1,432 +13%
1313Performance
Key brand revenue summary Q1 2011
Q1 2011$m
CER%
Crestor 1,478 +12
Seroquel 1 345 +3Seroquel 1,345 +3Seroquel IR 1,006 -5Seroquel XR 339 +33
Nexium 1,161 -6
Symbicort 752 +8
1414Performance
Core margin: Q1 2011
$mCER
growth % salesDelta vsPY CER
Core Gross Margin 6,965 -1% 84.0 +300bps
Revenue 8,292 -4%
Distribution (80) - 1.0 -
Core SG&A (2,350) +1% 28.3 -140bps
Core Other Income 215 -21% 2.6 -60bps
Core Pre-R&D Profit 4,750 -2% 57.3 +100bps
Core R&D (1,072) +7% 12.9 -130bpsre
15
Operating Profit 3,678 -5% 44.4 -30 bps 15
Performance
Cash generation: Q1 2011Q1 2011
$mQ1 2010
$m
Opening net cash/(debt) 3,653 535
EBITDA* 3 927 4 044EBITDA 3,927 4,044
Movement in working capital* (864) (1,221)
Tax & interest paid* (1,043) (1,096)
Other non-cash movements (130) 12
1,890 1,739
Legal/Tax settlements* - -g
Net cash from operating activities 1,890 1,739
16* Adjusted for Legal/Tax settlements 16Performance
Debt and Capital Structure Q1 2011
Q1 2011 $m
Q4 2010 $m
Closing net cash/(debt) 1,486 3,653
Gross debt (9,594) (9,222)
Cash/Cash equivalents and STIs 11 080 12 875Cash/Cash equivalents and STIs 11,080 12,875
17Performance 17
2010 Strong Cash Generation - Use of Cash
37% reinvestment$bn
37% reinvestment
18* R&D includes internal R&D expenditures, net of tax and depreciation/amortisation,and externalisation. Source: AZ annual reportsPerformance 18
Shareholder Distributions
• Progressive dividend policyMaintain or grow dividend each year- Maintain or grow dividend each year
- Annual dividend to reflect earnings prospects over entire cycle, not just one year in isolation & Cover may vary, with target of an average of 2-times cover (ie 50% payout ratio) over the cycle based on reported earnings (before restructuring)payout ratio) over the cycle, based on reported earnings (before restructuring)
• Dividend for 2010: $2.55 vs $2.30 2009 (+11%)
• Distribution policy and financial strategy to balance needs of business investment, financial creditors and shareholders
• The Board to keep under review the opportunity to return surpluscapital via periodic share repurchasescapital via periodic share repurchases
- 2010: $2.1 billion net share repurchases
- Target in 2011: net $4 billion
19
g
19Performance
Key Product PerformanceKey Product Performance
2020Performance
AZ has successful products or key late stage assets in 9 of the top 10 therapeutic categories globallythe top 10 therapeutic categories globally
Rank Therapeutic Category 2009 Category value ($50bn)
Current AZ Presencevalue ($50bn)
1 ONCOLOGY 50Arimidex, Casodex, Zoladex,
Faslodex, IressaCHOLESTEROL & TRIGLYCERIDE Crestor
2 REGULATION 31Crestor
3 ANTIULCERANTS 29Nexium & Prilosec
4 ANGIOTENSIN II INHIBITORS 24Atacand4 ANGIOTENSIN II INHIBITORS 24
5 ANTIPSYCHOTICS 23Seroquel & Seroquel XR
6ANTIDEPRESSANTS & MOOD Seroquel & Seroquel XR
TC 5214 in development6 STABILISERS 19 TC-5214 in development
7 ANTI-TNF PRODUCTS 17Fostamatinib being investigated in RA
ONGLYZA/KOMBIGLYZE XRD lifl i i d l t8 NON-INSULIN ANTI-DIABETIC AGENTS 16 Dapagliflozin in development
9 PLATELET AGGREGATION INHIBITORS 14Brilinta / Brilique - US awaiting
approval decision /launched in EU
21
10 HIV ANTIVIRALS 14-
ONGLYZA and dapagliflozin are being co-developed with Bristol Myers SquibbTC-5214 has been in-licensed from Targacept Fostamatinib has been in-licensed from RigelPerformance 21
CrestorQ1 2011 Sales: $1,478m +12%
1,200
1,400
EST ROW$346m +10%
EM ROW$161m +8%
• Crestor US TRx +9%• Statin market growth +3%
• Indications based on JUPITER support
800
1,000
W. EUR$289m +6%
growth• Strong brand position for patients at
elevated CV risk
400
600
US$682m +17%
0
200
1Q10 1Q111Q10 1Q11
US W EUR
EST ROW EM ROW
22
EST ROW EM ROW
Performance 22
CRESTOR US TRx Volume Growing The Fastest
20%
30%
ow
th
CRESTOR
0%
10%
We
ek
TR
x G
r
Generics
Lipitor
-20%
-10%
4-W Market Lipitor
-40%
-30% Vytorin
-50%
/8/1
0
2/8
/10
3/8
/10
4/8
/10
5/8
/10
6/8
/10
7/8
/10
8/8
/10
9/8
/10
0/8
/10
/8/1
0
2/8
/10
23
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10
11
12
Source: IMS NPA – Data week ending 03/25/11
* Estimated based on weekly dataPerformance
Strong positioning is driving Crestor preference
Statin Would Recommend To Family1st T t t Ch i F At Ri k P ti t Statin Would Recommend To Family Member With Dyslipidemia
Among Total Physicians
1st Treatment Choice For At-Risk PatientAmong Total Physicians
Q2’10Q308Q3 ‘08 Q1 ‘10 Q2 ‘10
54%
Q2’10 (n=914)
31%
Q308(n=973)
Q3 ‘08(n=914)
Q1 ‘10(n=923)
Q2 ‘10(n=914)
CRESTOR 30% 51% 54%
28%38%Lipitor 39% 24% 24%
2%
15%
9%
19%
Vytorin 8% 3% 2%
Simvastatin 21% 19% 18%
24Note: Significance testing at the 95% confidence level.Q8c: Which product would you recommend to a member of your family diagnosed with dyslipidemia?
Source: Crestor Monthly ATU – June 2010
24Performance
GALAXY programme hypothesis
Effects on lipid profile STELLAR
P f d b fi h l iMETEOR
Profound benefits on atherosclerosis ASTEROIDSATURN*
Reductions in CV morbidity and mortality JUPITER
2525
* Reports in H2 2011Performance
Crestor: STELLAR study
LDL-C: LS mean change from baseline at week 6
LDL-C lowering across the dose range
20mg
40mg
0 -10 20 -30 -40 -50 -60-5 -15 -25 -35 -45 -55
10mg CRESTORmg mg
80mg
40mg
mg
10mg
20mg
CRESTOR
Atorvastatin^^^*** ^^^
10mg
20mg
40mg
80mg
*** *** ^^^***Simvastatin
CRESTOR 10
*** *** ^^^***
10mg
20mg
40mg
*** *** ***
Pravastatin
CRESTOR 20mg (-52%)
CRESTOR 10mg (-46%)
DATA ON FILE
26
*p<0.002 vs atorvastatin 10 mg; simvastatin 10, 20, 40 mg; pravastatin 10, 20, 40 mg†p<0.002 vs atorvastatin 20, 40 mg; simvastatin 20, 40, 80 mg; pravastatin 20, 40 mg‡p<0.002 vs atorvastatin 40 mg; simvastatin 40, 80 mg; pravastatin 40 mg
Adapted from Jones PH et al. Am J Cardiol 2003;92:152–160 26Performance
Crestor – Proven to slow the progressionf th l iof atherosclerosis
•Label indication•Label indication- Approved in US Nov 2007- ‘Proven to slow the progression
f th l i ’of atherosclerosis’
2727Performance
JUPITER outcomes studyCurrent guidelines endorse statin therapy for patients with established vascular disease, diabetes,
and among those with hyperlidemia
However half of all heart attack and stroke events occur among apparently healthy men andHowever, half of all heart attack and stroke events occur among apparently healthy men and women with average or even low levels of cholesterol
Placebo
No history of CAD men ≥50 yrs
women ≥60 yrs
Rosuvastatin 20mg (n~7500)
run-inwomen ≥60 yrs
LDL-C <130 mg/dLCRP ≥2.0 mg/L
Placebo (n~7500)
1–6
2–4
30
413
Final3–4 y6-monthly
Visit:Week:
LipidsCRP
Randomisation LipidsCRP
Lead-in/eligibility
28Ridker PM. Circulation 2003; 108: 2292–2297
Tolerability Tolerability
CAD=coronary artery disease; LDL-C=low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; CRP=C-reactive protein; HbA1c=glycated haemoglobin
28Performance
JUPITER Primary Endpoint: MI St k UA/R CV D th
Placebo 251 / 8901HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.46-0.6908
MI, Stroke, UA/Revasc., CV Death
HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.46 0.69P < 0.00001
Number Needed to Treat (NNT5) = 2544 %06
0.
e - 44 %
40.
0
ve In
cide
nce
Rosuvastatin 142 / 8901
20.
04
Cum
ulat
iv0.
02
Number at Risk
0 1 2 3 4
0.00
Follow-up (years)
R t ti 8 901 8 631 8 412 6 540 3 893 1 958 1 353 983 544 157
29
RosuvastatinPlacebo
8,901 8,631 8,412 6,540 3,893 1,958 1,353 983 544 1578,901 8,621 8,353 6,508 3,872 1,963 1,333 955 534 174
29Performance
SATURN: IVUS study vs LipitorHypothesis: the greater impact of Crestor on LDL-C & HDL-C will translate
into a greater impact on atherosclerosisCoronary Artery Disease Patients
N~2900 screened
Hypercholesterolaemic
1300 Re-randomised
patients
Data expected H2 2011
Hypercholesterolaemic
Left main coronary artery: ≤50% reduction in lumen
diameter
Target coronary artery: <50%
RSV 20 mg Crestor 40 mg (n=650)
Target coronary artery: <50% reduction in lumen diameter
of ≥40 mm segment
18 75 years
ATV 40 mg atorvastatin 80 mg (n=650)18-75 years
Visit: 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 112
Pre-treatment
IVUSLipidsLipidsIVUS LipidsLipids Tolerability Tolerability
Week: –4 0 13 26 39 52 65 78 91 104–2
30CAD=coronary artery disease; IVUS=intravascular ultrasound
IVUSLipids
Tolerability
LipidsLipidsIVUSLipids
LipidsLipidsTolerability
Tolerability
Tolerability Tolerability
Tolerability
30Performance
Seroquel
1,400
Q1 2011 Sales: $1,345m +3%
EM ROW
1 000
1,200
,
W. EUR$246m +7%
EST ROW$74m -4%
EM ROW$94m +7% Seroquel IR: $1,006m -5%
Seroquel XR: $339m +33%
800
1,000 $246m +7%• Seroquel XR now 25% of global franchise
revenue• US: 19% of franchise
400
600US$930m +2%
• ROW: 39% of franchise
• Further launches in 2011
0
200
1Q10 1Q11
• Further launches in 2011• MDD in Europe (Launched March in UK,
Germany, Spain etc)• MDD and bipolar disorder in Emerging1Q10 1Q11 • MDD and bipolar disorder in Emerging
MarketsUS W EUR
EST ROW EM ROW
31
EST ROW EM ROW
Performance 31
Seroquel XR: new indications to drive growth…
SCHIZOPHRENIAHigh dose
Smaller market
BIPOLARMedium dose
Medium market
MDD (DEPRESSION)Low dose
Large marketAveragedose
Smaller market Medium market Large market
Si e ofSize of Patient
population
600m
g3
400m
g3
150m
g2
Average treatment duration
9 months1 7-8 months1 4-8 months1
32
1. IMS Longitudinal patient data
2. AZ SEROQUEL Clinical Development program
3. US 2005 Patient Record Dosing Study (Gallagher Research)
4. Datamonitor 32Performance
NexiumUS
1,200
Q1 2011 Sales: $1,161m, -6%US• Retail volume -3%
• US PPI market +4%*C t ff ti ti
1,000EST ROW$122m +5%
EM ROW$176m +20%
• Cost effective promotion• No direct detailing support• Effective use of new channels
600
800W. EUR$263m -18%
• Digital• Customer service representatives• Telemarketing
200
400 US$600m -8%
ROW• Western Europe -18%
• Data exclusivity in 10yr markets expired
0
200 y y pin 2010
• Generics are available in 13 European markets incl France, Spain, Italy and G1Q10 1Q11 Germany
• Emerging Markets +20%• China +57%
1Q10 1Q11
US W EUR
EST ROW EM ROW
33
EST ROW EM ROW
Performance 33* Source IMS Extended Units TRx Q1 11 vs Q1 10
Nexium geographical dynamics
US Western Europe
• Predominantly generic PPI market• Brand equity and innovative sales and
marketing channels help drive profitability of Nexium
• Data exclusivity expired 2010• Generics are available in 13 European markets incl France, Spain, Italy and Germanyprofitability of Nexium Germany
• IP defence ongoing
Established ROW Emerging Markets
• Japan: Nexium filed for 1st time in 1Q 2010• Canada: Ongoing patent litigation
• Growth product • China: Nexium i.v. included in 2009
NRDL listing. Strong growth in Q1 g g g2011 +57% CER
3434Performance
SymbicortQ1 2011 Sales: $752m +8%
US800
• Symbicort TRx +14%• Fixed combination market -0.5%
• Symbicort NRx share increased to 20% in 600
700
800
EST ROW$95m +40%
EM ROW$114m +26%
March 2011• Up 0.5 percentage points since Dec 2010
400
500
W. EUR$346m -5%
$95m +40%
ROW• Established ROW +40%
• Continued strong performance in Japan200
300
$
g p p• Western Europe -5%
• Data exclusivity in 10yr markets expired in Aug 2010
0
100
1Q10 1Q11
US$197m +14%
g• Complex regulatory path for generics
• Emerging Markets +26%
1Q10 1Q11
US W EUR
EST ROW EM ROW
35
EST ROW EM ROW
Performance 35
Symbicort: Steady share growth in USi l hsince launch
3636Performance
Global growth of AZ’s key brands is strong relative to the market…
40%
AZ PRODUCT GROWTH
CLASS GROWTH
25%
30%
35%
25%23%
20%
25%
14%
10%9%10%
15%
2%1%
-5%
0%
5%
CRESTOR NEXIUM SEROQUEL SYMBICORT
-7%-10%
-5%
Data: End Dec 2009 End Dec 2010
37Source: IMS Health, Dollar Growth at Constant Exchange Rate. Growth = 12 Months Ending September 2010 vs. 12 Months Ending September 2009: IMS expressly reserves all rights, including rights of copying, distribution and replication. ATC codes used L2B3, C10A1+C10C, A2B2, N5A1+Symbyax (intrpd for Seroquel), R3F1 Source: IMS Health, Dollar Growth at Constant Exchange Rate. Growth = 12 Months Ending December 2010 vs. 12 Months Ending December 2009: IMS
expressly reserves all rights, including rights of copying, distribution and replication. ATC codes used L2B3, C10A1+C10C, A2B2, N5A1+Symbyax (intrpd for Seroquel), R3F1
Performance 37
Data: End Dec 2009- End Dec 2010
ONGLYZA – A new medication for diabetesi i lin a growing class
• Approved in 61 countries (US, Canada, Mexico, India, Brazil, Australia, Russia and all EU countries) and launched in 34.
• US: Launched in the in July 2009 - 2nd DPP-IV inhibitor on the US market- CV event study started in Q2 2010y- FDC of KOMBIGLYZE XR (ONGLYZA & metformin) on the
market Jan 2011. The first and only once-a-day DPP-4 plus metformin XR FDC
• EU: Launched in October 2009- 3rd DPP-IV inhibitor on the EU market- Fixed Dose Combination submitted in EU in 3Q 2010 and is
under review by EMA
38
•Onglyza and dapagliflozin are jointly developed and marketed by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb. 38Performance
ONGLYZA shows significant reductions in HbA1 FPG PPG f b li t W k 24HbA1c, FPG, PPG from baseline at Week 24
A1c(%)
Fasting Plasma Glucose( /dL)
Postprandial Glucose( i /dL)0 6 20 0 2000(%) (mg/dL) (mg min/dL)
0.190 2
0.4
0.6
10.0
15.0
20.0
-646.6
0
2000
0 2
0.0
0.2 6.06
0.0
5.0
-4000
-2000
-0.43 -0.460 540 6
-0.4
-0.2
-8.67-10.0
-5.0
-6868 -6896-8000
-6000
-0.54
1 0
-0.8
-0.6-14.53
-16.75
25 0
-20.0
-15.0 -8084
12000
-10000
Saxagliptin + Met
PBO + Met2.5 mg 5 mg 10 mg
-1.0 -25.0 -12000
39
PBO + Met2.5 mg 5 mg 10 mg
Phase 3 Study -011, ADA June 2008Onglyza and dapagliflozin are jointly developed and marketed by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb. 39Performance
ONGLYZA Franchise launch summaryUS• US
- Leading launch indicators solidO l ’ t k h b i t d b k t d i i ll th• Onglyza’s uptake has been impacted by market dynamics especially the slowing of the DPP4 market in the US and the penetration of the FDCs in the EU
• ONGLYZATM share of new prescriptions for DPP4 products in the US was p p p11.8 percent in March 2011. KOMBIGLYZE XR, the newly launched combination product, added a further 3.4 percent new prescription share to the franchise in the US in March.O l i ibl t 90% f ll d li f th li h h• Onglyza is accessible to 90% of all covered lives; of the lives who have access to Onglyza, 78% have access without prior authorizations providing relatively open access
• More than 1 in 4 of all new DPP4 starts are on ONGLYZA
• EU• Results in more recent launch markets – e.g. in Greece, Norway, and g , y,
Hungary, Patient Days of Therapy (PDOT) volume shares are above average• ROW
• LatAM: performance is good, with PDOT volume share in Mexico at 20.8%
40
and Brazil 13.7%.
Onglyza and dapagliflozin are jointly developed and marketed by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb. 40Performance
ONGLYZA Franchise - US market share performance
Onglyza / Kombiglyze
Note: New DPP4 patient share is based on patients who have
41Source: IMS NPA
Note: New DPP4 patient share is based on patients who have not received any DPP4 in the last 12 months.
Onglyza and dapagliflozin are jointly developed and marketed by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb. 41Performance
VimovoA d i US d EUApproved in US and EU
• Delayed release NSAID naproxen with immediate release esomeprazole• Delayed release NSAID naproxen with immediate release esomeprazole
• US – Sales promotion from Sept 2010- Q1 focused on continue building brand awareness and managed market access
- Growth has been steady. Share growth within targeted HCPs (those targeted with personal selling) is performing wellwith personal selling) is performing well
• Approval in 23 EU countries – October 2010- EU launch programme ongoing -approx half of EU launches to occur in late
1H11; remainder in 2H11- Launch will follow pricing and reimbursement procedure for each country
4242Performance
VimovoN d i US d EUNow approved in US and EU
Over 151 Million People Suffer From Osteoarthritis Pain1Over 151 Million People Suffer From Osteoarthritis Pain1
Low Satisfaction GI RiskGI RiskM th 50% f OA ti tUp to 30% of OA patients
switch or augment therapy in a year, mainly due to efficacy
d id ff 2
More than 50% of OA patients on chronic NSAIDs are at GI Risk4
~1 in 4 OA patients on NSAIDs are co prescribed a PPI3
Non-AdherenceNon-Adherence
and side effects2 are co-prescribed a PPI3
Up to 60% of patients are non-compliant with co-Rx
GPA5
1W ld H lth O i ti Gl b l B d f A th iti 2004
GPA
43
1World Health Organisation, Global Burden of Arthritis, 20042Adelphi Arthritis US VI DSP, 20093Adelphi Arthritis US VI DSP, 20064Sources: Us, EU4, Canada & Mexico Rxs, MAT 06/09. US Data: IMS LRx model, EU4 data: Cegedim EMR longitudinal data, Mexico & Canada – IMS Detailed Medical Database, Midas5Sturkenboom 2003
43Performance
VimovoP OA i li f ith b ilt i t t tiProven OA pain relief with built-in gastroprotection
• Approval based on studies 301 and 302 which demonstrated :
Demonstrated Significant Risk Reduction in Endoscopic GUs at 6 Months
and 302, which demonstrated :
- Significant endoscopic gastric ulcer risk reduction vs EC
23.10% 24.30%
20%
25%
30%
ce
82% RR 71% RR
ulcer risk reduction vs. EC naproxen
- Gastric ulcers reduced even in 7.10%10%
15%
20%
GU
Inci
den
p<0.001 p<0.001
Gastric ulcers reduced even in presence of low dose aspirin
- Significantly lower rate of
4.10%7.10%
0%
5%
PN400218
EC-Nap216
PN400210
EC-Nap210
g ydiscontinuation due to UGI AEs (including DU) vs EC naproxen
n=218 n=216 n=210 n=210
PN400-301 PN400-302
4444Performance
R&D&
R&D
A changing landscape....requires continuous R&D l tiR&D evolution
• Challenges- Pricing and market accessPricing and market access- Tougher regulatory environment- Generic threat and patent expiry
• Opportunities- Breakthroughs in science- Ageing patient populations- Unmet medical needs
4646R&D
How are we addressing the R&D productivity h ll ?challenge?Leadership and operating 1 p p g
model1.
Attrition analysis and portfolioreview
2.e e
Organisational footprint3 Organisational footprint3.Ongoing
Capability build and external science
4.
47R&D 47
1. One R&D organisation
Di d l d l t L t t D l tDiscovery and early development Late-stage Development
Internal and
Global Medicines
Development
Innovative MedicinesInnovative MedicinesUnitsUnits
Marketand
external opportunities
InnovativeInnovative
p
Innovative Innovative MedicinesMedicines
UnitsUnits
R&D Enabling functions
48R&D 48
2. Current therapy area focusBuild / Maintain Deprioritise
4949 49R&D
2. Criteria used for portfolio review
• Link between target / diseaseRight target engagementRight target engagement
Right tissue exposure
• Predictive biomarkers
• Bioavailability and tissue Right tissue exposure exposure• Human PK/PD prediction
Right safetyRight safety • Differentiating safety• Reactive metabolites
Right patientsRight patients
• Scientific evidence in lead indication
• Stratification of patient
Right commercialRight commercial
ppopulation
• Differentiated value
50
Right commercialRight commercial proposition• Embedded payer perspective
R&D 50
2. Significant changes to the pipeline
110
120
103
112423
14
1790
100103
9895 92
3410
10
11
9
25
24 17
60
70
8071
61
of p
roje
cts
20 31
34
325
25
25
40
50
60
Num
ber o
23
4134
4434
13186
10
20
30
17 23
0
10
FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010
51Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3/Reg LCMR&D 51
3. Our R&D footprintSmall moleculesBiologics
Sodertalje, SwedenMolndal, SwedenAlderley, UK
San Francisco, CAMontreal, Canada
Boston, MAWilmington, DE
Gaithersburg, MD
Cambridge, UK
Reims, France
Osaka, Japan
Bangalore, India
Shanghai, China
52l
52
4. Investing in capabilities to drive productivity
Clinical trial designand interpretation
Integrated payer strategy p
Personalised healthcare Predictive sciences
53R&D 53
Portfolio highlights 2010/2011
Launched/Approved Submitted New Indications Phase 3 Starts
EuropeEurope
TC-5214
JapanEurope
DapagliflozinE & USA E & USA
FostamatinibEurope
Europe, USA & China(500)
(PUB) China
Europe & USA Europe & USA
USANKTR-118
Vandetanib
Europe
Europe & USA
( )
Vandetanib
USAJapan
1st Line NSCLC Japan
p
Chi & E ( tf i IR FDC)Europe
Fluenz
54
China & Europe (metformin IR FDC)
R&D 54
Late stage Projects
5555R&D
Prevalence of Acute Coronary Syndromes (ACS)
~3 5 million >1 4 million About every 3.5 million >1.4 million episodes of ACS reported in the
Hospitalisationsfor ACS in the US
y26 seconds, an
American will suffera coronary eventp
major 7 markets (EU*, US, Japan) in
2005
CS USin 2005
About every minute, an American will diean American will die
from a coronary event
561. Decision Resources Pharmacor Reports (STEMI, July 2006; NSTEMI/UA, July 2005).2. Rosamond W, et al. Circulation. 2008;117:e25-146.
*France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and United Kingdom.
CVGI 56
Brilinta (ticagrelor) for ACSNext generation anti-platelet therapy• First reversibly binding oral ADP-receptor antagonist• Direct-acting; does not require metabolic activation• R id t ( ithi 30 i ) k l l l ithi 2 3 h
Next generation anti platelet therapy
• Rapid onset (within 30min); peak plasma levels within 2–3 hours• Greater & more consistent inhibition of ADP-induced platelet aggregation vs clopidogrel
Continued roll-out of strong clinical data• Compelling data seen in overall PLATO population (NEJM, Sept 2009) • Exciting data in patients undergoing invasive treatment for ACS (Lancet, Jan 2010) &
those undergoing CABG (ACC 2010)• ONSET & OFFSET studies - more rapid onset and offset along with greater platelet
inhibition than clopidogrel (Circulation 2009)• RESPOND study - consistent inhibition of platelet aggregation (Circulation 2009)
• The product has been approved in 32 countries, including in the EU, Iceland, and Norway, under the trade name Brilique and in Brazil and Malaysia under the trade name Brilinta. A il bl i G UK N D k d A t i It i tl d l t
Regulatory Status
Available in Germany, UK, Norway, Denmark and Austria. It is currently under regulatory review in 31 countries, including the US, China and India.
• Positive vote at FDA advisory committee meeting 28 July 2010. th
57
• PDUFA date 20th July 2011
57CVGI
Design of the pivotal PLATO study
(N 18 624)UA/NSTEMI (moderate–high risk); STEMI (if primary PCI)
(N=18,624)All receiving ASA; clopidogrel-treated or naïve;randomised within 24 h of index event
ClopidogrelIf pretreated, no additional ld;if naïve standard 300-mg ld
AZD6140 (Brilinta)180-mg ld, thenif naïve, standard 300-mg ld,
then 75-mg od maintenance;(additional 300 mg allowed pre-PCI)
90-mg bd maintenance(additional 90 mg allowed pre-PCI)
Primary end point: CVD/MI/stroke – patients intended for invasive management
6-12-month exposure
Primary end point: CVD/MI/stroke patients intended for invasive managementSecondary end point: CVD/MI/stroke/recurrent ischaemia/TIA/other arterial
thrombotic events
58
PLATO = A Study of PLATlet Inhibition and Patient Outcomes.
ASA = acetylsalicylic acid; bd = twice daily; CVD = cardiovascular disease; ld = loading dose; MI = myocardial infarction; NSTEMI = non-ST-segment elevation MI; od = once daily; STEMI = ST-segment elevation MI; UA = unstable angina 58CVGI
Reduction in CV death, MI or stroke with ti lticagrelor
1211
13%
) 11.7Clopidogrel
10987ci
denc
e (% 9.8
Ticagrelor7654la
tive
inc
3210
Cum
u
HR 0.84 (95% CI 0.77–0.92), p=0.0003
Days after randomisation0 60 120 180 240 300 360
0
59K-M = Kaplan-Meier; HR = hazard ratio; CI = confidence interval 59CVGI
Brilinta Pegasus StudyF th i ti ti th t ti l f B ili tFurther investigating the potential of Brilinta• Current treatment guidelines for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients recommend
dual anti-platelet therapy for up to twelve months post-eventdual anti-platelet therapy for up to twelve months post-event.
• The PEGASUS-TIMI 54 study will examine the long-term efficacy and safety of ticagrelor in patients who have sustained a heart attack from one to three years prior to enrolment.
• Trial Design:• Randomised, double-blind, parallel-group study• 21 000 patients worldwide21,000 patients worldwide.
In addition to ticagrelor or placebo, patients will take once-daily, concomitant
i i th (75 t 150 )aspirin therapy (75 to 150 mg).
Minimum treatment duration of 12 months
• The primary efficacy endpoint will be time to first occurrence of any cardiovascular event including CV death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or non-fatal stroke.
months
60
g y
60CVGI
Diabetes: A growing global problemType 2 Diabetes prevalence expected to grow from 285m to 438m by 2030
50-70% of patients are not controlled
Europe prevalence is 6.9% with highest rates (>11%) in
Germany, Austria, S i l d d P l
Diabetes growing rapidly in U.S. – current prevalence
rate 10.3%Switzerland, and Portugal
Brazil’s prevalence will increase by two-thirds
by 2030
India and China will comprise nearly 33% of the world’s total patients with diabetes in 2030p
61Source: WHO 61CVGI
The progressive nature of Type 2 Diabetes lti t l h l di tiultimately overwhelms medications
Glycemic Control in an Illustrative Patient
Potential treatment
Goal*
changeFirst
Agent
Goal*A1c=<7
Goal**
HbA
1c
Normal***
A1c=<6.5
A1c=5%~30 Years
62Sources: ADOPT, UKPDS (*) According to the ADA; (**) according to the AACE/ACE; (***) according to the NIH(*) According to the ADA; (**) according to the AACE/ACE; (***) according to the NIH 62CVGI
Dapagliflozin: an exciting new approach to di b tdiabetes
Submitted in US and EU i D 10
SGLT2 inhibition
Novel insulin independent mechanism
in Dec 10
pand site of action
Potential benefit in uncontrolled patients with type 2 diabetes who require HbA1c reduction qand the additional benefit of weight loss
Glucose excretionenabled throughSGLT2 inhibition
Effective at all stages of the disease and with widely used
63
widely usedanti-diabetic medications
Dapagliflozin is being jointly developed and marketed by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb.CVGI 63
Dapagliflozin: A comprehensive phase 3
Diet and exerciseent
m
programme
Monotherapy Oral anti-diabetic medication(s)
Oral anti-diabetic medication plus insulin
Insulin alone
T2D
trea
tme
para
digm
• Monotherapy• Initial combination
with Metformin
• H2H vs. SU • Add-on Metformin• Add-on SU
• Add-on insulin +/- OAD
lozi
nud
ies*
with Metformin Add on SU• Add-on TZD• Add-on DPP4 (IIIb)
• Special Patient Populations (Renal/CV) & Special Investigations (body composition)
Dap
aglif
lcl
inic
al s
tu
• 6-month data from the monotherapy (study 13) and add-on to metformin (study 14) studies presented 2009
• Study 6 (add-on to insulin) presented at ADA 2010• Data from 2 further studies (H2H vs. SU, add-on to SU) presented at EASD 2010• Further phase 3 data to be presented during 2011
64* Studies in BOLD have been presentedOnglyza and dapagliflozin are jointly developed and marketed by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb.
64CVGI
Zibotentan ENTHUSE Phase III programme th f ll t f CRPCcovers the full spectrum of CRPC
Non Metastatic (M0)Asymptomatic or
Metastatic (M1)Asymptomatic or
Metastatic (M1c) Symptomaticy p
mildly symptomaticfor pain
Asymptomatic ormildly symptomatic
for pain
Sy pto at c
152,000 Patients per year 85,500 Patients per year79,500 Patients per year
Study 15Zibotentan vs
l b
Study 33Zibotentan + d t l
Study 14Zibotentan vs
l bplaceboCo-primary endpoints:PFS & OS( 1500)
docetaxel vsdocetaxel alone
Primary endpoint: OS
( 1044)
placeboPrimary endpoint:
OS(n=580)
(n=1500) (n=1044)
Stopped following the results of an early efficacy review by
Failed to meet primary endpoint
RecruitedData expected 2H 2011
ENTHUSE Phase III Programme
efficacy review by IDMC – unlikely to
meet primary endpoint
primary endpoint Data expected 2H 2011
65
g
65Oncology
Iressa – A new personalised healthcare h f l
alIn EGFR mutation-positive patients, Iressa reduces the risk of 1.01.0
approach for lung cancern
free
surv
iva progression by 52% vs. doublet chemotherapy
0.80.8
f Pro
gres
sion
Gefitinib EGFR M+ (n=132)Gefitinib EGFR M- (n=91)Carboplatin / paclitaxel EGFR M+ (n=129)Carboplatin / paclitaxel EGFR M- (n=85)0.4
0.6
0.4
0.6
Pro
babi
lity
o
Treatment by subgroup interaction test, p<0.0001
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
EU l f EGFR t ti iti NSCLC ll li f th
0 4 8 12 16 20 24Time from randomisation (months)
0.00 4 8 12 16 20 24
Time from randomisation (months)
0.0
EU approval for EGFR mutation positive NSCLC across all lines of therapy based on INTEREST, IPASS & full data review – July 09
NDA withdrawn in the US January 2011
66M+, mutation positive; M-, mutation negativePre-planned analysis of patients in which EGFR mutation status was available
Ongoing submissions across ROW
Oncology 66
The science behind PARP inhibitors leads to t t ti l th ti h itwo potential therapeutic mechanisms
Normal cellsCells with HR deficiency (e.g.
C )Cells with HR deficiency and Normal cells with drug-
Without PARP inhibition With PARP inhibition
Base-excision repair
Normal cells
Homologous recombination
PARP BRCA
cancer cells with BRCA mutation)
Homologous recombination
PARP BRCA
Base-excision repair
x
Base-excision repair
drug-induced PARP inhibition
Homologous recombination
BRCAx
Base-excision repair
induced PARP inhibition
Homologous recombination
BRCAPARP PARPxxPARP BRCA PARP BRCAx BRCAxBRCAPARP
Drug
PARP
Drug
xx
Repair RepairNo Repair
CELL DEATHRepair
Tumour-specific cell killing (monotherapy approach)
In cancer cells with HR deficiency, further prevention of DNA repair with a PARP inhibitor leads to cell death. Commercial opportunities from this mechanism include:
Chemotherapy (and radiation) regimens result in DNA damage in both tumours and normal tissues. PARP inhibition blocks
f th k h i f DNA i d h
Potentiation of chemotherapy (combination approach)1 2
from this mechanism include:• Tumours in patients with BRCA mutation (i.e. certain breast,
ovarian, prostate, pancreatic and endometrial tumours)• Tumours frequently associated with HR repair deficiency (e.g.
triple-negative breast cancer and serous ovarian)
one of the key mechanisms of DNA repair, and hence can potentiate the damage caused by these treatments. Cancer cells are particularly sensitive to PARP inhibition as PARP is frequentlyup-regulated. PARP inhibition should therefore enhance the
67
p g )• Tumours with other DNA repair defects
effect of the chemotherapy selectivelyon the tumour.
67Oncology
Olaparib: a potential new therapy for Serous iovarian cancer Positive Proof of Concept
in Ovarian cancer
160140120100
80asel
ine
(%)
The start of the Phase III
Start of Phase III trial in
80604020
0–20–40–60es
t cha
nge
from
b
Increasing tumour shrinkagegBRCA Ovarian CancerOlaparib
BRCA1
The start of the Phase III is planned for 2011
Start of Phase III trial in Serous Ovarian cancer contingent of reformulation
Serous & Non-Serous
–60–80
–100
Be BRCA1
BRCA2
100
80
60base
line
120
Ovarian Cancer
Serous BRCANon-serous BRCA
1st regulatory filingst d i 2015
–20
60
0
20
60
40
est
% c
hang
e fr
om b
–40
Serous non-BRCANon serous BRCA
Non-serous non-BRCA
expected in 2015–100
–60
Be
–80
6868Oncology
Vandetanib – FDA Approved for treatment of d d d ll th idadvanced medullary thyroid cancer
FDA l th 6th f A il 2011 l di i t i- FDA approval on the 6th of April 2011 - only medicine to receive FDA approval specifically for use in patients with advanced medullary thyroid cancer and brought to market under Orphan Drug Designation in the USDesignation in the US
- Vandetanib significantly improved progression free survival in patients with medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) in the ZETA phase 3patients with medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) in the ZETA phase 3 trial
• Data presented at ASCO 2010p
- Regulatory submissions for MTC in EU filed in 3Q 2010
NSCLC:
- Based on phase 3 results, development in NSCLC terminated.
6969Oncology
MDD is a highly prevalent & debilitating disease ith i ifi t l l f t dwith significant levels of unmet need
illi l ld id ff t d b j43 million people worldwide affected by major depressive disorder143
2nd leading cause of disability in ages 15 to 44 2
18 million patients are treated with drugs from a18 p gdiagnosed population 23million globally 1
don’t achieve remission after two sequential medications over a six months period344%
701 – Decision Resource Cognos Report August 2009 , 2 - WHO website key facts on Depression, 3 – Ref 2. Rush et al, Am J Psychiatry 2006; 163:1905–1917 Derived from steps 1 and 2, 56.1 patients (36.8+19.3)
are remitters; 43.9 are non-remitters (44%)Neuroscience 70
TC-5214: an exciting opportunity in MDD
TC-5214 Phase 2b adjunct study demonstrated clinical efficacy in MDD -Ongoing Phase 3
0
-2rom
t
PBO + CITTC-5214 + CIT
demonstrated clinical efficacy in MDD improving over duration of trial
g g
E iti Ph 2 lt
**
-4
-6
M-D
Sco
re fr
ed tr
eatm
ent
Impr
** p < 0.01P < 0.0001***
Exciting Phase 2 results
Phase 3 RENAISSANCE programme r nning to **
**
-8
-10
hang
e in
HA
Mof
rand
omis
e rovement
programme running to plan
Filings planned in the US**
***
-12
-
Mea
n ch
star
t oFilings planned in the US in 2012 and in the EU in 2015
*HAM-D = Hamilton depression Score
Week since randomisation1 2 4 6 814
-16
71Neuroscience 71
TC-5214 Key Milestones
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
USMDD Adjunct
PLANNED
H2
Renaissance 2 (Flex)
Renaissance 3 (Flex)
Renaissance 4 (Fixed)PLANNED
SUBMISSION Renaissance 5 (Fixed)
Renaissance 7 (LTS)
EU/RoWMDD Adjunct
Additional studies to meet EU regulatory requirements:Long term efficacy, Elderly PLANNED
SUBMISSIONSUBMISSION
Monotherapy Phase II trial H2PHASE III DECISION
72
POINT
Neuroscience 72
NKTR-118 Addresses a significant medical need
• Constipation is a common and potentially debilitating adverse effecti t d ith i id l iassociated with opioid analgesic use.
- 230 million prescriptions for opioid analgesics in US alone in 20071
- Opioid-induced constipation (OIC) can occur in up to 90% of patients taking opioids2
- OIC significantly impacts patients’ quality of life and increases healthcare utilization• Patients with OIC visit a physician significantly more often than patients without OIC3,4
• NKTR-118 is designed to relieve constipation without affecting pain relief- It is a modified (PEGylated) mu-opioid antagonist that inhibits the effect of opioids
locally without preventing the CNS analgesic action
• Collaboration with Nektar Therapeutics announced 21st Sept 2009- AZ responsible for further development of NKTR-118 and NKTR-119
• Enrolment of the first patient in the Phase III clinical programme for NKTR-118 in March 2011
73
• Initial regulatory filings anticipated in 2013
1. IMS Health 2. Panchal et al. Int J Clin Pract. 2007;61(7):1181-1187. 3. Bell T, et al. J Pain. 2007;8(4):S71. Abstract 882.4. Bell T et al. J Pain. 2007;8(4):S75. Abstract 897.
73Neuroscience
NKTR-118 significantly increases the frequency f t b l t d dof spontaneous bowel movements and reduces
time to first SBM in Phase 2 studiesChange from Baseline in Spontaneous
Bowel Movements (SBMs/week)Median Time (hrs)
to First SBM
548.6
44.950
60
SBM
P < 0.002P = 0.001NS
(SE)
P = NS P = 0.002 P = 0.0001
2 6
3.64.4
2
3
4
5
28.2
20
30
40
(hrs
) to
Firs
t S
hang
e in
SB
M
1.8 1.9 1.92.6
0
1
2
6.2 6.62.9
0
10
20
5 25 50Ti
me
(Ch
5mg 25mg 50mg 5 mg 25 mg 50 mg
Placebo NKTR-118 Placebo NKTR-118
5mg 25mg 50mg
74
P-values based on a log rank testWeek 1 of DB TreatmentP-values based on a Wilcoxon Test
Webster L et al. ACG 200974Neuroscience
Fostamatinib – Rheumatoid Arthritis• Fostamatinib is:
• the first oral spleen tyrosine kinase inhibitor in development as a potential treatment for RA• thought to reversibly block signalling in multiple cell types involved in inflammation and
tissue degradation in RAtissue degradation in RA
• Phase IIb data (TASKi 2) published in the New England Journal of Medicine, demonstrated1Medicine, demonstrated- ‘anti-TNF like’ levels of efficacy- Main adverse events of interest are GI tolerability, AST/ALT changes and raised blood
pressure all of which appeared to be manageable at doses being investigated in phase 3
- TASKi3 study in patients who failed biologic therapies failed to meet primary endpoint in phase 2
• Believed to be due to technical issues with the study design
• Fostamatinib is in Phase III development for the treatment of RA in patients with an inadequate response to disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs), including methotrexate (MTX)( ), g ( )
751- The New England Journal of Medicine, An Oral Spleen Tyrosine Kinase (Syk) Inhibitor for Rheumatoid Arthritis, Weinblatt ME, Kavanaugh A, Genovese MC, et al. September 30, 2010; 363:1303-1312 75Inflammation
Rheumatoid Arthritis is a prevalent & debilitating di ith i ifi t l l f t ddisease with significant levels of unmet need
illi l ld id ff d b RA120 million people worldwide affected by RA1209 Million RA patients treated with disease-modifying therapy
(traditional and biologic)2,3
7 Million RA patients (approx. 80%) do not achieve remission with a traditional disease modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD)
Million RA patients are treated with biologic therapy following
7 alone4
3Million RA patients are treated with biologic therapy following inadequate response to a DMARD (accounting for $12 bn in sales, approx. 90% of the RA market2,3)
76
1 WHO report: The global burden of rheumatoid arthritis in the year 2000 http://www.who.int/healthinfo/statistics/bod_rheumatoidarthritis.pdf2 Decision Resource Pharmacor 2010 , 3 IMS Health MIDAS sales database4 Blumberg SN, Fox DA. Rheumatoid arthritis: guidelines for emerging therapies. Am J Manag Care 2001 ; 7 (6): 617 -26Inflammation 76
Fostamatinib opportunity in RA
Target Population
Patients who have an inadequate response to traditional disease-modifying anti-rheumatic
drug (DMARD) therapy
Target Population
drug (DMARD) therapy
Profile in phase II Improved patient QoLProfile in phase II
• Improved outcomes in RA patients with methotrexate background
Improved patient QoL
• Oral formulationt et ot e ate bac g ou d
treatment, as measured by ACR and DAS
• 36% of patients achieved a b 1 k
• No administration pain as associated with injected therapy
response by 1 week• Manageable safety and tolerability profile
• No need to visit hospital / physician office for infusions
77Inflammation 77
Fostamatinib demonstrates efficacy in RA patients with inadequate response to methotrexatewith inadequate response to methotrexate
Robust TASKi2 phase 2b trial reproduces ‘anti-TNF like’ efficacy seen in phase 2a
65
70
75
ACR20 ACR50 ACR70
45
50
55
60
65
% o
f pat
ient
s)
25
30
35
40
45
R re
spon
se ra
te (%
5
10
15
20
25
ACR
Placebo Fostamatinib 150 mg po qd Fostamatinib 100 mg po bid
0
5
1 4 8 12 16 20 24 1 4 8 12 16 20 24 1 4 8 12 16 20 24
Week
78Inflammation 78
Fostamatinib phase 3 development planThe phase III programme, OSKIRA, is designed to investigate fostamatinib as a treatment for RA in patients with an inadequate response to DMARDs, including
th t tmethotrexate
NDA & MAA 2013FPI Sept 2010
MTX IR 12 monthMTX-IR, 12 month MTX combination, n~ 900
DMARD-IR, 12month DMARD combination, n ~ 900
aTNF-IR, 6 month MTX combination, n~ 450
LONG-TERM EXTENSION n~ 2100 (incl. 500 ex PhII)
Monotherapy (Phase IIb), 6 monthDMARD naiive and IR n ~ 250
Japanese Phase I study
(US)
Japanese Phase I study
(US)
DMARD naiive and IR, n ~ 250(will begin Q1 2011)
79Inflammation
(US)(US)
79
Anti-Infective portfolio that coversb d t f t itia broad spectrum of opportunities
R i t t G + G + R i t t GG
Spectrum of Activity
Resistant Gram+ Gram+ Resistant Gram–Gram–
MRSA S i H. influenzae ESBL PMRSAMDRSP
S. pneumoniaeS. aureus
H. influenzaeE. coli
K. pneumoniaeProducing
Gram–
P. aeruginosa
Ceftaroline
Ceftaroline + NXL104
Ceftazidime + NXL104
80Infection 80
Zinforo (ceftaroline): A late-stage, next ti h l i tibi tigeneration cephalosporin antibiotic
• Phase III programme targeting:- Complicated skin and soft tissue infections (cSSTI)- Community-acquired bacterial pneumonia (CAPB)- Community-acquired bacterial pneumonia (CAPB)- Demonstrates bactericidal activity against a broad range of pathogens
commonly implicated in cSSSI and CAPB, including methicillin-resistant Staph aureus (MRSA) and penicillin-resistant Strep pneumoniae (PRSP)Staph. aureus (MRSA) and penicillin resistant Strep. pneumoniae (PRSP)
• Collaboration with Forest Laboratories started August 2009- AstraZeneca to co-develop and commercialize in all markets outside
US/Canada/Japan- Financial terms not disclosed
8181Infection
Complicated skin and soft tissue infections ( SSTI) d it i d b t i l(cSSTI) and community acquired bacterial pneumonia (CABP)
cSSTI
8282Infection
Zinforo: next generation cephalosporin tibi tiantibiotic
Submitted in EU Dec 10 1o
Endpoint
D t t d d
Non-inferiority
-10 0 10 20
Response (% Difference)
Endpoint10% NI margin
Population
Demonstrated good efficacy inPhase 3 cSSTI and
CANVAS 1
cSSTI
Modified intent-to-treat
Clinically evaluable
Modified intent-to-treat 1.2
CAP
Differentiating attributes
CANVAS 2
FOCUS 1
Clinically evaluable
Clinically evaluable
Modified intent-to-treat
- extended spectrum coverage, incl. MRSA acttivity in skin, coupled
FOCUS 2
CAPClinically evaluable
Modified intent-to-treat
Clinically evaluable
with a favourable tolerability profile
Favours Zinforo
Favours Comparator
8383Infection
Strategy Update& Planning AssumptionsAssumptions2011+
Planning Assumptions84
AZN: Strong financial performance1999 20091999-2009
450
500CAGR
Core EPS +16%
C O P fit 15%
300
350
400 Core Op Profit +15%
150
200
250Sales +8%
50
100
150
01999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
85Source: AZ annual reports, implied core margins 85Planning Assumptions
Strong Operating Performance: 2006-2010
33 3 6 2
$6.71
5,630,4
33.3 6.2
9.8
$6.71
9,1
20 4
25,4
n 17 8
26.5
3,1$3 86
15,4
20,4
$b
17.8
4.2
13.6
11,8
8,7
$3.86
10,4
8,7
5,4Revenue COGs SG&A Pre R&D
Operating ProfitR&D Operating Profit EPS
8686Planning Assumptions * Graph illustrated as core measures. 2006 2010
Strong cash generation: 1999-2010
90
100($bn)
Reinvestment of 45% of Operating cash flow (excluding major acquisitions)
70
80
9028.0
50
60
100.0
14.0
14.5
30
403.3
22Div
0.50
10
20
2.217.7SBB
Div
3.65
Capex Acquisitions&
Disposals
MerckPayments
Distributedto
Shareholders
Other 2010 NetFunds
1999Net
Funds
Pre-R&DPost Tax
Cash Flow
After TaxR&D* -10
0
87* R&D includes internal R&D expenditures, net of tax and depreciation/amortisation,and externalisation. Source: AZ annual reports 87Planning Assumptions
Strategic priorities
Making the mostmeaningful difference to patient health through great
medicines
Business Growth
BusinessShape
Culture &BehaviourPipeline
medicines
• Increase output
• Drive productivity& efficiency
Disease area focus
• Innovation
• Accountability
• Lean & agile
• Growth of current products
• Successfully launch the new products
• Implement asset strategy & LEAN
• Drive efficiencies in Sales & Marketing- Disease area focus
- Reduce site footprint
• Collaboration- Externalisation
Build stronger
Lean & agile
• Value orientation
the new products
• Drive growth in emerging markets
Sales & Marketingand G&A
• Focus Capexon productivity i t- Build stronger
relationship with payers
improvements
Our values
Manage for long-term shareholder value
8888Planning Assumptions
Key planning assumptions remain robust
• Pharma sector can grow at least in line with real GDP,hi h ill th l i h iwhich will grow over the planning horizon
• Downward pressures from government interventions in the marketplace continue,including US healthcare reformincluding US healthcare reform- No further “step-change” in evolution of these pressures
• AstraZeneca assumptions- No material M&A or disposals
- No premature loss of market exclusivity for key products- No material change in Fx rates for principal currencies vs average January
2010 rates2010 rates
8989Planning Assumptions
Guidance for 2011 (Core basis)
Revenue Flat to low single-digit decline at CER
Core Gross Margin Above 80% and broadly inline with 2010
Core Pre-R&D Margin 48-54%, Near top of mid-term planning range, but below 2010
$Net Finance Expense ~$500m
Other Operating Income <$800m
Tax Rate ~21% on reported basis
Core EPS Range $6.95 to $7.25 *
9090Planning Assumptions
* Increased the Core earnings per share target by $0.45 in conjunction with the announcement of
the tax settlement at the end of March. On 28th of April added a further $0.05 per share to the
target to recognise the one-off benefit from the patent settlement with PDL.
Currency basis for 2011 guidance
• Currency: January 2011 average rates:- $1 = £ 0.636
$1 = EUR 0 752- $1 = EUR 0.752- $1 = SEK 6.720- $1 = JPY 82.6
• Actual 2011 rates may differ materially from January 2011 rates upon which guidance is based
• 2011 currency sensitivity estimator is available atwww.astrazeneca.com
9191Planning Assumptions
Estimated impact of currency movementsl d ion sales and earnings
Estimated impact of a 10% appreciation of the respective currency against the USD
EUR 2 1% 3 5%
Sales Core earnings
EUR 2.1% 3.5%
GBP 0.3% -1.9%
SEK 0 1% -2 2%SEK 0.1% 2.2%
JPY 0.8% 0.7%
Other Currencies 2.4% 4.3%% %
TOTAL 5.7% 4.4%
9292Planning Assumptions
Planning Assumptions 2010-14: Update• Grow the Business
- Revenue in the range of $28bn to $34bn per annum over the periodRisk adjusted contribution from the pipeline lowered to the range of- Risk adjusted contribution from the pipeline lowered to the range of $3bn to $5bn
- Sustain double digit growth in emerging marketsR d th iddl f th b 2014- Revenue around the middle of the range by 2014
• Reshape the business- Maintain gross margin >80%- Core Pre-R&D operating margin in the range of 48-54 percent- Restructuring programmes on trackRestructuring programmes on track
• Cash generation and investmentAchieving revenues and margins within planning range will drive- Achieving revenues and margins within planning range will drive strong cash flow
- Reinvest 40 to 50% of after tax pre-R&D cash flow to drive future growth and value
93Planning Assumptions
growth and value- Cash returns to shareholders via progressive dividend and periodic
share repurchases 93
Business Growth
Strategic Initiatives
• Grow market share of key brands that retain exclusivity:- Crestor- Seroquel XR
Planning assumptions2010-2014
• Revenue in the rangeq- Symbicort
• Successfully commercialise recent launchesand the next wave*
Revenue in the range of $28bn to $34bn per annum over the period
• Risk adjustedand the next wave- ONGLYZATM
- Brilinta- Vimovo
- Zibotentan - NKTR-118- TC-5214
• Risk adjusted contribution of $3bnto $5bn from recent launches, pipeline &
- Vandetanib- Dapagliflozin
- Zinforo (Ceftaroline)- CAZ104- Fostamatinib
in-licensing
• Revenue around the middle of range by
• Sustain double digit growth in emerging markets- Drive growth and new launch portfolio- Broaden portfolio to include branded generics
g y2014
94
Broaden portfolio to include branded generics
* Updated to reflect recent pipeline changesOnglyza and dapagliflozin are jointly developed and marketed by AstraZeneca and Bristol-Myers Squibb. 94StrategyStrategy
Business Shape
Strategic Initiatives
• Maintain gross margin >80%- Complete asset strategy & API outsourcing- Drive LEAN Sigma
Planning assumptions2010-2014
Drive LEAN Sigma
• Improve Sales & Marketing effectiveness and efficiency- New channels and approaches
Core pre-R&D operating margin in the range of
48-54%
pp- Technology investment- Quality initiatives
• Increase G&A cost efficiency and flexibility- Process improvement and automation- Consolidation & selective outsourcing
• Procurement savings across all functions
• Focus on working capital management
95
Focus on working capital management
95Strategy
Cash generation & Investment
Business focus on cash flow generation
Reinvest 40 to 50% of after-tax pre-R&D cash
flow to drive future growth and value
Residual cash flow available for
• Achieving revenue and Core pre-R&D margins
growth and value
• Internal and external R&D
• Specific business needsp g
in planning range
• Delivering restructuring programmes
• Tangible assets and information technology
• Debt repayment
• Progressive dividendprogrammes
• Tight management of working capital, tax & interest
• Progressive dividend policy
• Share repurchasesinterest
9696Strategy
In summary….
Reinvest
Pre-R&D Marketed Products
Reinvest 40-50%
post tax cash flow
Revenue Pre R&D Margin Pre-R&D Other
Pre-R&DMargin48-54%
$28-34bn Margin48-54%
Pre R&D post tax
cash flowbusiness needs &
debt serviceWorking capital, Tax & interest management
Shareholder distribution
9797Strategy
Example: 2010 Strong Cash Generation - Use of C hCash
37% reinvestment$bn
37% reinvestment
98* R&D includes internal R&D expenditures, net of tax and depreciation/amortisation,and externalisation. Source: AZ annual reports 98Strategy
Restructuring Programme: Phase 1 complete 2007 20092007-2009
P C tHeadcount Impact Programme Cost2007-2009 $m
Headcount Impact2007-2009
Global Supply Chain 4,250 (1,003)
SG&A 6,750 (1,216)( )
R&D 1,600 (288)Annual benefits
2010 $m
Total 12,600 (2,506) 2,400
99Strategy 99
Restructuring Programme 2010-2014
Programme Cost2010-2014 $m
Headcount Impact2010-2014
Global Supply Chain 2,240 (340)
SG&A 4,540 (600)( )
R&D 3,620 (1,060)*Annual benefits
2014 $m
Total 10,400 (2,000) 1,900
100* Of which 3500 related to new programme: balance from previously announced programmeStrategy 100
Net headcount developments: 2006-2010
GlobalSupply Chain SG&A R&D AstraTech Biologics
Emerging Markets
(2,000)
0
(6,000)
(4,000) Wave 112,600
-6,400
(10 000)
(8,000)
(12,000)
(10,000)
(16,000)
(14,000) Wave 22,600
1012006-2010 headcount movements are shown on a Full Time Equivalent basisand include AZ employees and contractors
101Strategy
Key Industry Growth Drivers
102
Growth Drivers
Pharmaceutical industry growth drivers
Emergence of expanded populations inpopulations innew markets Continued unmet
medical need
Increasing andageing populations
Continued scientific andtechnological advance
ageing populations
technological advance
103Growth Drivers 103
The global population is ageing, with older patients consuming more healthcare than younger patientsconsuming more healthcare than younger patients
Global population aged 65 and older millions
Ratio of healthcare costs of older patients relative to 50-64 age group
US
and older, millions patients relative to 50 64 age group65-69
70-74
977 75-79
80-100
65-69
Canada477
65 69
70-74
75-79
80-100
65-69
70 74 UK2005 2030
70-74
75-79
80-100
104Source: Kotlikoff & Hagist, Dec 2005
Source: World Population Prospects: The 2005 Revision http://esa.un/unpp0x 2x 4x 6x 8x 10x 12x
104Growth Drivers
Worldwide, the top 10 pharmaceutical therapy t d t b $80b 2007 14areas are expected to grow by $80bn 2007-14
80 000$m
80,000
70,000
60 00060,000
50,0002007
2014
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
105Source: Evaluate Pharma 105Growth Drivers
Emerging market GDP set for further expansion…
G7 countries E7 countries
25,000
20,000
billio
ns)
15,000
al G
DP
(US
$
10,000Rea
-
5,000
106Source: Global Insight Quarterly
2007 2013-2038 ave.
106Growth Drivers
GDP growth drives growth in h ti l dpharmaceuticals spend
Ph d
United States (off scale)GDP/cap 47,369 Pharma spend/cap 954
700
Pharma spendper capitaUS$, 2008
Pharma spend/cap 954
France
500
600
Germany
Japan
Spain
300
400Emerging markets
United KingdomItaly
100
200
MexicoTurkey
Brazil
00 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000
GDP per capita US$ 2008
Russian Federation
IndiaChina
107Note: R2=0.8, N=63, United States outlier excluded from the regression analysis. Source: World Market Monitor; IMS.
GDP per capita US$, 2008
107Growth Drivers
Example - China is investing to improve h lth dhealthcare coverage and access
P l i d i i h h 3 h
China
Population covered increasing … … through 3 schemes
~1,400m 1. UBMI – Urban employees- On average 8% of payroll contributed
(~6% by employer)- Up to 400% of annual salary reimbursed
according to schedule- $42bn of funds collected for insurance in 2008
560m
$
2. UCMS – Urban residents not covered by UBMI- Subsidised by government
560m - Covers elderly, children, etc.- $2bn of funds collected for insurance in 2008
3. RCMS – Rural residence
20152006
- Subsidised by government- Covers rural families- $12bn of funds collected for insurance in 2008
108Source: MOH; China infobank; Literature research; AZ analysis
20152006
108Growth Drivers
Emerging markets are forecast to contribute 70% f h th i th t 5~70% of pharma growth in the next 5 years
Worldwide pharmaceutical sales
$955bn$130bnEmerging Markets 70%
$55bnEstablished Markets 30%
$765bn
2009E 2014E
Emerging markets projected to grow at a 12% CAGR from 2009-2014
1091 Emerging markets are all markets outside EU-15, Norway, Switzerland, Iceland; US, Canada, Japan,Australia, New Zealand. Source: IMS extrapolation. 109Growth Drivers
Exploding emerging market ‘middle-class’
BRIC population with household income above $5,000
+21% p.a.
2014E1,864 million
2009900 million
2004270 million
110
1,864 million900 million270 million
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, 2010, China NSBA, Indian NFHS, RAND, Brazil PNAD 110Growth Drivers
The emerging market opportunity is distributed l b f k tacross a large number of markets
Emerging market pharma sales, 2009g g p ,
Brazil, Russia, India,Mexico & Turkey ~$60bn
(~33%)Small & mid-sized EMs
~$90bn(~50%)
$30b
( 33%)
China
~$30bn(~17%)
There is a lot more than BRIC-MT
111Source: IMS 111Growth Drivers
While individual markets have ups and downs, th ‘ tf li f k t ’ id t dthe ‘portfolio of markets’ provides steady, strong growthStandard deviation of year on year market growth rates 2003 2009 (%pts)Standard deviation of year-on-year market growth rates, 2003-2009 (%pts)
Portfolio of ~20 emerging
markets2.0
markets
Thai
land
Cze
chR
epub
lic
Sout
h A
fric
a
Phili
ppin
es
Indo
nesi
a
Alg
eria
audi
Ara
bia
Rom
ania
Hun
gary
Arg
entin
a
Taiw
an
Vene
zuel
a
Rus
sian
Fe
dera
tion
Pola
nd
Indi
a
Sout
h K
orea
Turk
ey
Mex
ico
Bra
zil
Chi
na
112Source: IMS
SPSaS
The variation of the portfolio is lower than almost all markets individually112Growth Drivers
AstraZeneca built a truly global emerging k t i ti d b imarkets prescription drug business
2010 Sales12010 Sales1
Asia-Pacific
$1.9bnLatin America
CEEMEA2$1.4bn$1 9bn
113
$1.9bn1 Actual exchange rate. 2 Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa (including Turkey); Source: AZ
113Growth Drivers
Both BRIC-MT and small and mid-sized emerging markets have contributed significantly to our growthmarkets have contributed significantly to our growth
AbsoluteCAGR
Absolute growth
$5.2bn 18%$3.3bn
2004-10 AZ emerging markets sales by brand1
$2 6b$3.6bn 15%$1 5bn$2.6bn
$1.9bn
$ 15%$1.5bn
Small and mid-sized EMs $2 6bn
$1.1bn
$1.9bn
22%$1 8bn
BRIC-MT$1.7bn
$2.6bn
$0.8bn
22%$1.8bn
1141 Actual exchange rate. Source: AZ internal
201020072004
114Growth Drivers
Brands dominate the market as brands are the b t f litbest proxy for quality
Emerging market sales1 2009 Ex-manufacturerEmerging market sales , 2009, Ex manufacturer
~$50bn
~$30bn(~17%) ~$180bn
(~28%)
~$90bn(~50%)( 50%)
Branded i i l
Branded i
Commodity i
~$10bn (~5%)
TotalPatented i i loriginalsgenericsgenerics originals
1151 Across 17 selected markets (China, Turkey, India, South Korea, Brazil, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Taiwan, Hungary, Romania, Egypt, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Ukraine, UAE). Source: IMS; AZ analysis. 115Growth Drivers
Across emerging markets we have a highly f l tf li f b dsuccessful portfolio of brandsAZ product sales in emerging markets, 2010
$608m
$619m
$391m
$608m
$372m
$352m
$342m
$307m
$305m
$249m
1161 Actual exchange rates. 2 Includes sales of AZ branded metoprolol succinate (e.g. Seloken ZOK) and metoprolol tartrate (e.g. Seloken). Source: AZ internal 116Growth Drivers
Brand lifecycles are fundamentally different th i t bli h d k tthan in established markets
Despite expiry of key patents in most markets, product growth can be sustainedp p y y p , p gExample: Sales by country, % value growth p.a.
China – LosecBrazil – Diprivan Turkey – Pulmicort
+27% $29m $22m$15
+12%$186m+18%
$16m$7m
$15m$11m$91m$69m
201020072004201020072004 201020072004
>130 competitorsLOE1: 2001
~9 competitorsLOE1: 1999
~8 competitorsLOE1: 2001
1171 Loss of Exclusivity. Source: AZ; IMS; EvaluatePharma. 117Growth Drivers
We have delivered improving profitability across i k temerging markets
AZ pre-R&D emerging markets operating margin (excluding central costs), i d d t 2009 i i t bli h d k tindexed to 2009 margins in established markets
72%
65%
Our current emerging markets margins are similar to our Europe business5
55%5 years ago
200920072004
118Source: AZ internal 118Growth Drivers
Our strategy in emerging marketsh th l thas three elements
Emerging markets strategy
Continue to grow Extending our Broaden portfolio
A B CContinue to grow our presence in
the large BRIC-MT markets
Extending our geographicfoot-print by
increasing our
Broaden portfolioto selectively
include branded generics
involvement in high-growth small
and mid-size marketsmarkets
119119Growth Drivers
Our goal is to continue double-digit growth, with i k t b i 25% f AZ lemerging markets becoming ~25% of AZ sales
by 2014AZ emerging markets revenue goal
$12bn
$8bn
$4bn
20142009$0bn
120120Growth Drivers
Newsflow 2011e s o 0
Newsflow
2011 Newsflow
Brilinta/BriliqueMay Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct
DapagliflozinFurther Phase III data – ADA w/c 24th of June
US approval decision - PDUFA dateEU launches & ROW
20th Jul
24th JunFurther Phase III data ADA w/c 24 of JuneUS approval decision - PDUFA dateONGLYZAONGLYZA-metformin IR FDC EU approval decision
28th Oct
ZibotentanPhase 3 data (Study M1c)
decision
122122Newsflow
Investor Relations esto e at o sContacts
IR Contacts
Investor Relations Contacts
Investor Enquiries London:
Jonathan Hunt [email protected] +44 207 604 8122 mob: +44 7775 704032
Karl Hård [email protected] +44 207 604 8123 mob: +44 7789 654364
Nicklas Westerholm [email protected] +44 207 604 8124 mob: +44 7585 404950Nicklas Westerholm [email protected] 44 207 604 8124 mob: 44 7585 404950
In estor Enq iries USInvestor Enquiries US:
Ed Seage [email protected] +1 302 886 4065 mob: +1 302 373 1361
Jorgen Winroth [email protected] +1 212 579 0506 mob: +1 917 612 4043
124124IR Contacts
Cautionary Statement RegardingForward Looking StatementsForward-Looking Statements
In order to utilise the ‘Safe Harbor’ provisions of the United States Private SecuritiesLitigation Reform Act of 1995, AstraZeneca is providing the following cautionarystatement. This presentation contains forward-looking statements with respect tothe financial condition, results of operations and businesses of AstraZeneca. Bytheir nature forward-looking statements and forecasts involve risk and uncertaintytheir nature, forward looking statements and forecasts involve risk and uncertaintybecause they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in thefuture.
There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments todiffer materially from that expressed or implied by these forward-lookingstatements. These factors include, among other things, the loss or expiration ofpatents marketing exclusivity or trade marks; exchange rate fluctuations; the riskpatents, marketing exclusivity or trade marks; exchange rate fluctuations; the riskthat R&D will not yield new products that achieve commercial success; the impactof competition, price controls and price reductions; taxation risks; the risk ofsubstantial product liability claims; the impact of any failure by third parties to supplymaterials or services; the risk of delay to new product launches; the difficulties ofobtaining and maintaining governmental approvals for products; the risk of failure toobserve ongoing regulatory oversight; the risk that new products do not perform aswe expect; and the risk of environmental liabilities
125
we expect; and the risk of environmental liabilities.
125
Appendicesppe d ces
Appendices
I d t R&D S d th30%
Industry R&D Spend growth
20%
25%
15%
10%
0%
5%
-5%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Market Growth yoy
Appendices
G y y
Source: EvaluatePharma Feb 2011 127
Healthcare MNC Headcount Trend1,000,000
Healthcare MNC - Headcount Trend
950,000
900,000
850,000
Healthcare MNC - Headcount Trend
800,000
750,0002006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Appendices Source: EvaluatePharma Feb 2011 & Annual reports 128