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Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM – Hyatt Regency, Dallas, Texas Sponsored by USC/UCLA Center of Biodemography and Population Health Organized by Teresa Seeman, Steven Cole, Eileen Crimmins

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Page 1: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Genomics Workshop

Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA

April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM – Hyatt Regency, Dallas, Texas

Sponsored by USC/UCLA Center of Biodemography and Population Health

Organized by Teresa Seeman, Steven Cole, Eileen Crimmins

Page 2: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tactical aspects of study administration and sample capture/storage

Biological overview of genetics & functional genomics

Strategic aspects of study design and data analysis

Lunch

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Perspectives on the State of the Field

Application clinic

Page 3: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tactical aspects of study administration and sample capture/storage

DNA1. New sample capture

• Methods: e.g., Oragene, leukocytes• Consent & administrative issues

2. Retrospective analyses• Sources: blood spots, cheek swabs, etc• Consent & administrative issues

3. Epigenetics• DNA methylation • Histone acetylation & chromatin dynamics• Tissue specificity (vs DNA)

4. Tactical issues – Reports from the Field• I wish I’d known then…

RNA1. Identifying appropriate target tissues

• Whole blood, PBMC, saliva, hair, path specim.2. Sample capture/storage3. Consent & administrative issues

Page 6: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 7: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tactical aspects of study administration and sample capture/storage

DNA1. New sample capture

• Methods: e.g., Oragene, leukocytes• Consent & administrative issues

2. Retrospective analyses• Sources: blood spots, cheek swabs, etc• Consent & administrative issues

3. Epigenetics• DNA methylation • Histone acetylation & chromatin dynamics• Tissue specificity (vs DNA)

4. Tactical issues – Reports from the Field• I wish I’d known then…

RNA1. Identifying appropriate target tissues

• Whole blood, PBMC, saliva, hair, path specim.2. Sample capture/storage3. Consent & administrative issues

Page 8: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 9: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 10: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tactical aspects of study administration and sample capture/storage

DNA1. New sample capture

• Methods: e.g., Oragene, leukocytes• Consent & administrative issues

2. Retrospective analyses• Sources: blood spots, cheek swabs, etc• Consent & administrative issues

3. Epigenetics• DNA methylation • Histone acetylation & chromatin dynamics• Tissue specificity (vs DNA)

4. Tactical issues – Reports from the Field• I wish I’d known then…

RNA1. Identifying appropriate target tissues

• Whole blood, PBMC, saliva, hair, path specim.2. Sample capture/storage3. Consent & administrative issues

Page 11: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 12: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 13: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 14: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 15: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tactical aspects of study administration and sample capture/storage

DNA1. New sample capture

• Methods: e.g., Oragene, leukocytes• Consent & administrative issues

2. Retrospective analyses• Sources: blood spots, cheek swabs, etc• Consent & administrative issues

3. Epigenetics• DNA methylation • Histone acetylation & chromatin dynamics• Tissue specificity (vs DNA)

4. Tactical issues – Reports from the Field• I wish I’d known then…

RNA1. Identifying appropriate target tissues

• Whole blood, PBMC, saliva, hair, path specim.2. Sample capture/storage3. Consent & administrative issues

Page 16: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Biological overview of genetics & functional genomics

Theoretical framework: Genes, Environments, transcription, and health

1. “Genetic” influences (missing h, penetrance R-square, etc.)

2. Functional genomics• Transcription factors• Epigenetics

3. Gene-Environment interactions• Regulatory polymorphism• Coding polymorphism

System dynamics

1. Feedback, network pleiotropy

2. Recursive developmental trajectories

Page 17: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 18: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Biological overview of genetics & functional genomics

Theoretical framework: Genes, Environments, transcription, and health

1. “Genetic” influences (missing h, penetrance R-square, etc.)

2. Functional genomics• Transcription factors• Epigenetics

3. Gene-Environment interactions• Regulatory polymorphism• Coding polymorphism

System dynamics

1. Feedback, network pleiotropy

2. Recursive developmental trajectories

Page 19: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 20: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 21: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 22: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 23: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 24: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 25: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 26: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 27: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 28: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

IL6 gene transcription

Page 29: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

IL6 gene transcription

NE

Page 30: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

IL6 gene transcription

NE

PKA

Page 31: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

IL6 gene transcription

NE

GATA1P

PKA

Page 32: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

IL6 gene transcription

NE

GATA1P

PKA

Page 33: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

IL6 gene transcription

NE

GATA1P

PKA

IL6

prom

oter

act

ivity

(f

old-

chan

ge)

10

8

6

4

2

0

Norepinephrine (M): 0 10 - 0 10

Page 34: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

Non-depressedDepressed

p = .008

Socio-environmental regulation of IL6

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

Page 35: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Biological overview of genetics & functional genomics

Theoretical framework: Genes, Environments, transcription, and health

1. “Genetic” influences (missing h, penetrance R-square, etc.)

2. Functional genomics• Transcription factors• Epigenetics

3. Gene-Environment interactions• Regulatory polymorphism• Coding polymorphism

System dynamics

1. Feedback, network pleiotropy

2. Recursive developmental trajectories

Page 36: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 37: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 38: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 39: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 40: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 41: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Biological overview of genetics & functional genomics

Theoretical framework: Genes, Environments, transcription, and health

1. “Genetic” influences (missing h, penetrance R-square, etc.)

2. Functional genomics• Transcription factors• Epigenetics

3. Gene-Environment interactions• Regulatory polymorphism• Coding polymorphism

System dynamics

1. Feedback, network pleiotropy

2. Recursive developmental trajectories

Page 42: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 43: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6… [G/C] …

RNA

DNA

Page 44: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6… [G/C] …

RNA

DNA

Page 45: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

IL6… [G/C] … DNA

Page 46: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico

Page 47: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

V$GATA1_01 = .943

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico

Page 48: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico

Page 49: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

V$GATA1_01 = .619

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico

Page 50: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tra

nscr

iptio

nal a

ctiv

ity

(fol

d-ch

ange

)

10

8

6

4

2

0

IL6 promoter: WT -174C

Norepinephrine (M): 0 10 - 0 10

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

V$GATA1_01 = .619

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico In vitro

Page 51: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tra

nscr

iptio

nal a

ctiv

ity

(fol

d-ch

ange

)

10

8

6

4

2

0

IL6 promoter: WT -174C

Norepinephrine (M): 0 10 - 0 10

Difference: p < .0001

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

V$GATA1_01 = .619

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico In vitro

Page 52: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

Non-depressedDepressed

p = .008

Gene x Environment Interaction

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

IL6 -174 GG IL6 -174 CC/GC

Page 53: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

p = .439

Non-depressedDepressed

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

Non-depressedDepressed

p = .008

Gene x Environment Interaction

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

IL6 -174 GG IL6 -174 CC/GC

Page 54: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Biological overview of genetics & functional genomics

Theoretical framework: Genes, Environments, transcription, and health

1. “Genetic” influences (missing h, penetrance R-square, etc.)

2. Functional genomics• Transcription factors• Epigenetics

3. Gene-Environment interactions• Regulatory polymorphism• Coding polymorphism

System dynamics

1. Feedback, network pleiotropy

2. Recursive developmental trajectories

Page 55: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 56: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA… [G/C] …

Page 57: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health2

IL6

RNA2

DNA… [G/C] …

Page 58: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 59: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 60: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Biological overview of genetics & functional genomics

Theoretical framework: Genes, Environments, transcription, and health

1. “Genetic” influences (missing h, penetrance R-square, etc.)

2. Functional genomics• Transcription factors• Epigenetics

3. Gene-Environment interactions• Regulatory polymorphism• Coding polymorphism

System dynamics

1. Feedback, network pleiotropy

2. Recursive developmental trajectories

Page 61: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 62: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

IL6

RNA

DNA

Behavior

Page 63: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

IL6

RNA

DNA

Behavior

Gene-Environment Correlation

Page 64: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

IL6

RNA

DNA

Behavior

Gene-Environment Correlation

Page 65: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

IL6

RNA

DNA

Behavior

Gene-Environment Correlation

Page 66: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

IL6

RNA

DNA

Behavior

Gene-Environment Correlation

Page 67: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

IL6

RNA

DNA

Behavior

Gene-Environment Correlation

Recursive Molecular Remodeling

Page 68: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Body1

Recursive developmental remodeling

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 69: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Environment1 Body1

Recursive developmental remodeling

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 70: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Environment1 Body1

Behavior1

Recursive developmental remodeling

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 71: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Environment1 Body1

RNA1

Behavior1

Recursive developmental remodeling

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 72: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Time 1 Environment1 Body1

RNA1

Behavior1

Time 2 Body2

Recursive developmental remodeling

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 73: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Time 1 Environment1 Body1

RNA1

Behavior1

Time 2 Environment2 Body2

Recursive developmental remodeling

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 74: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Time 1 Environment1 Body1

RNA1

Behavior1

Time 2 Environment2 Body2

RNA2

Behavior2

Recursive developmental remodeling

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 75: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Time 1 Environment1 Body1

RNA1

Behavior1

Time 2 Environment2 Body2

RNA2

Behavior2

Time 3 Environment3 Body3

RNA3

Behavior3

Recursive developmental remodeling

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 76: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Time 1 Environment1 Body1

RNA1

Behavior1

Time 2 Environment2 Body2

RNA2

Behavior2

Time 3 Environment3 Body3

RNA3

Behavior3

Recursive developmental remodeling

RNA = intra-organismic adaptation

Cole (2009) Current Directions in Psychological Science

Page 77: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Biological overview of genetics & functional genomics

Theoretical framework: Genes, Environments, transcription, and health

1. “Genetic” influences (missing h, penetrance R-square, etc.)

2. Functional genomics• Transcription factors• Epigenetics

3. Gene-Environment interactions• Regulatory polymorphism• Coding polymorphism

System dynamics

1. Feedback, network pleiotropy

2. Recursive developmental trajectories

Page 78: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Strategic aspects of study design and data analysis

Basic substantive objectives & study designs

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)

3. Gene-Environment interaction

Page 79: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

IL6 DNA

Page 80: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6 DNA

Page 81: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Strategic aspects of study design and data analysis

Basic substantive objectives & study designs

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)

3. Gene-Environment interaction

Page 82: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6 DNA

Page 83: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 84: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Strategic aspects of study design and data analysis

Basic substantive objectives & study designs

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)

3. Gene-Environment interaction

Page 85: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 86: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene

Health

IL6

RNA

DNA… [G/C] …… [G/C] …

Page 87: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Strategic aspects of study design and data analysis

Basic substantive objectives & study designs

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)

3. Gene-Environment interaction

Antagonistic pleiotropy

Page 88: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6 -174: CC GC GG CC GC GG

p = .007

Older Adult Adolescent

CR

P m

g/L

/ A

dver

sity

SD

3.0

2.0

1.0

0.0

-1.0

-2.0

-3.0

p = .032

Antagonistic pleiotropy

Page 89: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6 -174: CC GC GG CC GC GG

p = .007

Older Adult Adolescent

CR

P m

g/L

/ A

dver

sity

SD

3.0

2.0

1.0

0.0

-1.0

-2.0

-3.0

p = .032

Antagonistic pleiotropy

Page 90: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6 -174: CC GC GG CC GC GG

p = .007

Older Adult Adolescent

CR

P m

g/L

/ A

dver

sity

SD

3.0

2.0

1.0

0.0

-1.0

-2.0

-3.0

p = .032

Antagonistic pleiotropy

Evolution deletes disadvantage, particularly to the young

Page 91: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

Page 92: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + e

Page 93: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + e

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

Page 94: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + c(Env) + d(#G x Env) + e

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

Page 95: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + e’ ← c(Env) + d(#G x Env) + e

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

Page 96: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + e’ ← c(Env) + d(#G x Env) + e ↓ power

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

Page 97: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + e’ ← c(Env) + d(#G x Env) + e ↓ power ↑ parameter estimate bias

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

Page 98: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + e’ ← c(Env) + d(#G x Env) + e ↓ power ↑ parameter estimate bias

Marginal: 0

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

Page 99: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Strategic aspects of study design and data analysis

Basic substantive objectives & study designs

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)

3. Gene-Environment interaction

Antagonistic pleiotropy

Valid statistical models are one major reason that substantive interests (environments) matter.

Page 100: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Strategic aspects of study design and data analysis

Basic substantive objectives & study designs

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)

3. Gene-Environment interaction

Antagonistic pleiotropy

Valid statistical models are one major reason that substantive interests (environments) matter.

OK, then, let’s have lunch.

Page 101: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic middle road

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies• Genome-wide approaches

3. Gene-Environment interaction• Statistical issues• Revisiting the bioinformatic middle road

Page 102: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 103: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 104: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

Gene x Environment Interaction

Page 105: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

Page 106: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico

Page 107: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

V$GATA1_01 = .619

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico

Page 108: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tra

nscr

iptio

nal a

ctiv

ity

(fol

d-ch

ange

)

10

8

6

4

2

0

IL6 promoter: WT -174C

Norepinephrine (M): 0 10 - 0 10

Difference: p < .0001

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

V$GATA1_01 = .619

Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico In vitro

Page 109: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

p = .439

Non-depressedDepressed

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

Non-depressedDepressed

p = .008

Gene x Environment Interaction

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

IL6 -174 GG IL6 -174 CC/GC

Page 110: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 111: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 112: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 113: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Well ID1 ID2 RFU1 RFU2 Ct1 Ct2 CallA01 053 053 1094.39 956.90 42.53 41.36 HeterozygoteA02 065 065 -43.33 1519.25 60.00 40.39 Allele2A03 075 075 1126.77 890.96 42.82 42.02 HeterozygoteA04 079 079 2095.09 25.36 42.84 60.00 Allele1A05 087 087 2187.80 18.09 41.27 60.00 Allele1

Page 114: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 115: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 116: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 117: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 118: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 119: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

Page 120: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

Page 121: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

Page 122: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

Page 123: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G)

Page 124: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G)

y = a + b(GG) + c(GC) + d(CC)

Page 125: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G)

y = a + b(GG) + c(GC) + d(CC)

Page 126: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 127: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 128: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 129: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 131: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G rs1800795)

Page 132: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G rs1800795)

y = a + b(#G rs1800795) + c(#T rs20937) + ….

Page 133: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G rs1800795)

y = a + b(Haplotype containing rs1800795)

Page 134: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G rs1800795)

y = a + b(Haplotype containing rs1800795)y = a + b(ATTCGTAC)

Page 135: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G rs1800795)

y = a + b(Haplotype containing rs1800795)y = a + b(ATTCGTAC)

HapMap Tag SNP

Page 136: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 137: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Linkage-driven indirect association gradients

Page 138: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Linkage-driven indirect association gradients

Page 139: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 140: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 141: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Culture/behavior/exposure“Environment”

Page 143: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 144: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Ancestry classification via mitochondrial haplogroups (also Y haplogroups for paternal lineage)

Page 145: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 146: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 147: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 148: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

CRP

CVD

Page 149: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

CRP

CVDCRP

Page 150: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

CRP

CVDCRP

Page 151: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

CRP

CVDCRP

IL-6

Page 152: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

- Candidate identification- Targeted genotyping

a. PCRb. High-throughput approaches

- Statistical modelsa. Fisher’s basic regression modelb. Multivariate mapping / association / recombination

i. Recombinationii. Haplotype blocks

c. Confoundingi. Linkage disequilibrium & haplotype analysesii. Ethnic stratification

Phenotypic ascertainmentGenetic ancestry

iii. Mendelian randomization

Page 153: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies

Page 154: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies

Page 155: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies

- Marker selection for blind search: tag SNPs- Massively parallel genotyping

a. Array-based strategiesb. Deep resequencing

- Statistical modelsa. Main effect modelsb. Interaction modelsc. Managing Type I error

- Bonferronni & FDR- Internal cross-validation- External replication

Page 156: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 157: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies

- Marker selection for blind search: tag SNPs- Massively parallel genotyping

a. Array-based strategiesb. Deep resequencing

- Statistical modelsa. Main effect modelsb. Interaction modelsc. Managing Type I error

- Bonferronni & FDR- Internal cross-validation- External replication

Page 158: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 159: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 161: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies

- Marker selection for blind search: tag SNPs- Massively parallel genotyping

a. Array-based strategiesb. Deep resequencing

- Statistical modelsa. Main effect modelsb. Interaction modelsc. Managing Type I error

- Bonferronni & FDR- Internal cross-validation- External replication

Page 162: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G)

y = a + b(GG) + c(GC) + d(CC)

Page 163: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

y = a + b(#G)

y = a + b(GG) + c(GC) + d(CC)

Page 164: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + c(Env) + d(#G x Env)

y = a + b(GG) + c(GC) + d(CC) + e(Env) + f(Env x GG) + g(Env x GC) + h(Env x CC)

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

Page 165: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies

- Marker selection for blind search: tag SNPs- Massively parallel genotyping

a. Array-based strategiesb. Deep resequencing

- Statistical modelsa. Main effect modelsb. Interaction modelsc. Managing Type I error

- Bonferronni & FDR- Internal cross-validation- External replication

Page 166: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Type 1 / false positive error:

Page 167: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Type 1 / false positive error:

Confirmatory hypothesis testing (candidate genes)

1 hypothesis = 1 t-test = 1 p-value = no problem: p < .05 = p < .05

Page 168: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Type 1 / false positive error:

Confirmatory hypothesis testing (candidate genes)

1 hypothesis = 1 t-test = 1 p-value = no problem: p < .05 = p < .05

Gene mapping (exploratory association testing)

Gene expression: 22,000 p-values = 1,100 false positives (p < .05)p(false discovery > 0) = .999999999999999999999999+

Page 169: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Type 1 / false positive error:

Confirmatory hypothesis testing (candidate genes)

1 hypothesis = 1 t-test = 1 p-value = no problem: p < .05 = p < .05

Gene mapping (exploratory association testing)

Gene expression: 22,000 p-values = 1,100 false positives (p < .05)p(false discovery > 0) = .999999999999999999999999+

Gene polymorphism: 10,000,000 p-values = 500,000 false positives (p < .05)p(false discovery > 0) = .999999999999999999999999+

Page 170: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

Page 171: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

1. Increase stringency (intra-study)

Bonferroni correct ( p = .05/22,000 = .00000227 )Choice: huge samples or massive Type 2 “false negative” error

Page 172: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

1. Increase stringency (intra-study)

Bonferroni correct ( p = .05/22,000 = .00000227 )Choice: huge samples or massive Type 2 “false negative” error

Model/simulate errorRandomization test or FDR modeling = less conservative bias

Unimpressive yield: p = .00000300 if you’re lucky. Still too conservative, and biased ( omitted true effects in error term )

Page 173: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 174: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

1. Increase stringency (intra-study)

Bonferroni correct ( p = .05/22,000 = .00000227 )Choice: huge samples or massive Type 2 “false negative” error

Model/simulate errorRandomization test or FDR modeling = less conservative bias

Unimpressive yield: p = .00000300 if you’re lucky. Still too conservative, and biased ( omitted true effects in error term )

Page 175: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

1. Increase stringency (intra-study)

Bonferroni correct ( p = .05/22,000 = .00000227 )Choice: huge samples or massive Type 2 “false negative” error

Model/simulate errorRandomization test or FDR modeling = less conservative bias

Unimpressive yield: p = .00000300 if you’re lucky. Still too conservative, and biased ( omitted true effects in error term )

Use a better sampling design

Page 176: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

0 5000 10000 15000 20000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

sample size

po

we

r

Population prevalence design

Page 177: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

0 5000 10000 15000 20000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

sample size

po

we

r

0 500 1000 1500 2000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

sample sizep

ow

er

Population prevalence design Outcome-stratified design

Page 178: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

1. Increase stringency (intra-study)

Bonferroni correct ( p = .05/22,000 = .00000227 )Choice: huge samples or massive Type 2 “false negative” error

Model/simulate errorRandomization test or FDR modeling = less conservative bias

Unimpressive yield: p = .00000300 if you’re lucky. Still too conservative, and biased ( omitted true effects in error term )

Use a better sampling design

Page 179: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

1. Increase stringency (intra-study)

Bonferroni correct ( p = .05/22,000 = .00000227 )Choice: huge samples or massive Type 2 “false negative” error

Model/simulate errorRandomization test or FDR modeling = less conservative bias

Unimpressive yield: p = .00000300 if you’re lucky. Still too conservative, and biased ( omitted true effects in error term )

Use a better sampling design

2. Replicate (inter-study or intra-study cross-validation)

.05 x .05 x .05 = .000125 x 22,000 = 2.75 false positives ( vs. 1,100 )

Page 180: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 181: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

1. Increase stringency (intra-study)

Bonferroni correct ( p = .05/22,000 = .00000227 )Choice: huge samples or massive Type 2 “false negative” error

Model/simulate errorRandomization test or FDR modeling = less conservative bias

Unimpressive yield: p = .00000300 if you’re lucky. Still too conservative, and biased ( omitted true effects in error term )

Use a better sampling design

2. Replicate (inter-study or intra-study crossvalidation)

.05 x .05 x .05 = .000125 x 22,000 = 2.75 false positives ( vs. 1,100 )

Page 182: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies

- Marker selection for blind search: tag SNPs- Massively parallel genotyping

a. Array-based strategiesb. Deep resequencing

- Statistical modelsa. Main effect modelsb. Interaction modelsc. Managing Type I error

- Bonferronni & FDR- Internal cross-validation- External replication

Page 183: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies

Page 184: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

Page 185: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

- Candidate set selectiona. Regulatory polymorphismb. Coding polymorphism

- Statistical considerationsa. Powerb. Differential enrichment

Page 186: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

In silico prediction of Gene x Environment Interaction

Page 187: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

V$GATA1_01 = .619

In silico prediction of Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico

Page 188: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tra

nscr

iptio

nal a

ctiv

ity

(fol

d-ch

ange

)

10

8

6

4

2

0

IL6 promoter: WT -174C

Norepinephrine (M): 0 10 - 0 10

Difference: p < .0001

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

V$GATA1_01 = .619

In silico prediction of Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico In vitro

Page 189: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

p = .439

Non-depressedDepressed

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

Non-depressedDepressed

p = .008

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

70 80 90

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Age

Su

rviv

al

IL6 -174 GG IL6 -174 CC/GC

In silico prediction of Gene x Environment Interaction

In vivo

Page 190: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

FLJ20719 -734LOC148490 -929AKR7A2 -678RHCE -292RHCE -292RHCE -292RHCE -292LOC440576 -934SOC -39SOC -49SOC -26UNQ6122 -877LAPTM5 -728PHC2 -168PHC2 -16ITGB3BP -311FLJ20331 -994ZNF265 -663ZNF265 -663FUBP1 -778LOC388650 -392LOC388654 -957PDE4DIP -175COAS2 -435LOC199882 -474LOC440689 -692LOC440689 -16LOC441906 -496FLG -17LEP3 -631RAB13 -310LOC91181 -956LOC91181 -956LOC126669 -407LOC440693 -399PKLR -118PKLR -597FCRH1 -580SPTA1 -163SLAMF9 -256KCNJ10 -383ITLN1 -760ITLN1 -760F11R -798F11R -798LMX1A -85SELP -144LOC400796 -263F13B -881F13B -881MYOG -951LOC440712 -956LGTN -331FLJ10874 -676GPATC2 -556LOC440721 -625AGT 1FLJ10359 -367LOC441927 -406LOC440741 -564MGC12466 -863KIAA1720 -894LOC388578 -522LOC391205 -430MIG-6 -618MIG-6 -638MIG-6 -678LOC441870 -731LOC440561 -255LOC401940 -500LOC401940 -564LOC401940 -606LOC339553 -400LOC440753 -695LOC388789 -593FLJ38374 -686LOC391241 -81LOC388794 -28C20orf70 -431STK4 -122PIGT -910DNTTIP1 -479C20orf67 -1MMP9 -875CEBPB -978RNPC1 -370RNPC1 -370TH1L -26TH1L -26LOC400849 -714LOC400849 -382CGI-09 -309FKHL18 -608C20orf172 -118TGM2 -220TGM2 -220LOC388798 -828Kua-UEV -465Kua-UEV -561Kua -465BTBD4 -590C21orf99 -772C21orf99 -13KRTAP15-1 -566B3GALT5 -889B3GALT5 -889B3GALT5 -889B3GALT5 -889B3GALT5 -889LOC441955 -824LOC441955 -824LOC400858 -624CLDN8 -17KRTAP19-7 -127DSCR1 -620C21orf84 -232KRTAP12-4 -899FTCD -410FTCD -410LOC440842 -24PEX26 -129PEX26 -89ZNF74 -726ZNF74 -726LOC440804 -940SMARCB1 -290CABIN1 -797KIAA1671 -26ARP10 -612ADSL -602ARHGAP8 -260NUP50 -629PPARA -184PPARA -184

BID -126DGCR14 -951TXNRD2 -882LOC391303 -881LOC150221 -939LOC91219 -352LOC150236 -666GSTT1 -141SEC14L4 -746SSTR3 -705FLJ22582 -372DIA1 -749ATP5L2 -328A4GALT -825SULT4A1 -729SULT4A1 -729C2orf15 -882LOC129521 -477LOC440892 -918IL1RL1 -332MRPS9 -970LOC442037 -839IL1F7 -978IL1F7 -978IL1F7 -978IL1F7 -978MGC52000 -273MGC52000 -466MGC52057 -404MAP1D -120COL3A1 -310SLC39A10 -921LOC200726 -220IL8RB -447TUBA4 -643FLJ25955 -24ALPPL2 -296UGT1A9 -651UGT1A7 -351UGT1A6 -224UGT1A6 -402TRPM8 -170ASB1 -723GCKR -204LOC388938 -212FLJ38348 -606MSH2 -376MSH2 -976MSH2 -376MSH2 -376SBLF -59LOC151443 -85LOC391387 -134SEMA4F -751RBM29 -1LOC339562 -621LOC339562 -641LOC200493 -245TXNDC9 -714FLJ40629 -946LOC401005 -12LOC389050 -170ORC4L -16ORC4L -16ORC4L -16ORC4L -16ARL5 -895ARL5 -895NR4A2 -527NR4A2 -527NR4A2 -527NR4A2 -527ATP5G3 -55ZNF533 -598ZSWIM2 -772PGAP1 -821PGAP1 -827SF3B1 -138ORC2L -786LOC391475 -413CRYGC -765PECR -942SLC23A3 -412LOC442070 -877LOC129607 -488LOC339789 -268LOC130502 -558ALK -710BCL11A -615BCL11A -615BCL11A -615BCL11A -615PAP -438PAP -438PAP -531CNTN4 -809PPARG -584PPARG -914LOC401054 -926GALNTL2 -427FBXL2 -107APRG1 -269APRG1 -347LOC440951 -20LOC389123 -140LOC285194 -808NR1I2 -769STXBP5L -480LOC442092 -880MRPS22 -897KCNAB1 -793LOC402146 -134LOC90133 -2NLGN1 -541FLJ20522 -803ATP2B2 -593LOC440946 -917ANKRD28 -437LOC152024 -365FLJ32685 -953SLC4A7 -509MST1 -895LOC377064 -623LOC200959 -572CPOX -150LOC401079 -259CBLB -250LOC344807 -514GPR156 -497IQCB1 -412MGC34728 -553LOC256374 -248KIAA0861 -435MGC15397 -397LOC254808 -484

LRRC15 -288KIAA0226 -776LOC255324 -380IBSP -319MGC48628 -101NDST3 -902LOC401149 -733LOC441038 -837FLJ35630 -291CYP4V2 -117LOC401164 -978LOC391727 -934LOC399917 -840ZAR1 -106LOC401132 -18PF4 -819EIF4E -716ADH7 -557TACR3 -957AGXT2L1 -631PLA2G12A -795PITX2 -411PITX2 -411LOC401155 -72CDHJ -652FGA -110FGA -110PPID -384LOC441049 -368GPM6A -203LOC389833 -878LOC389833 -288LOC389833 -288LOC389833 -878LOC442102 -418FGFBP1 -290LOC441013 -188FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -881FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -289LOC442127 -287SRD5A1 -631LOC345711 -877LOC389281 -225MGC42105 -669PELO -938BDP1 -918DKFZp564C0469 -378LOC134505 -63TSLP -331LOC340069 -755SNCAIP -671LOC441106 -646SLC27A6 -484CDC42SE2 -384PHF15 -52LOC389331 -27PCDHA4 -26PCDHA4 -26PCDHB3 -623PCDHB6 -212PCDHB16 -609ABLIM3 -474LARP -716LOC134541 -868FGFR4 -472FGFR4 -472FGFR4 -745FGFR4 -745LOC442145 -7LOC442146 -856LOC345462 -604LOC345462 -609LOC442148 -595OR2V2 -340OR2V2 -901TPPP -454MYO10 -583LOC441066 -463GDNF -36LOC345643 -568FOXD1 -990ARSB -493DHFR -473SPATA9 -748CHD1 -581STK22D -863LOC389316 -227CDO1 -360FLJ33977 -166LOC391824 -129ALDH7A1 -920CAMK2A -429CAMK2A -429C5orf4 -657LOC345430 -332DUSP1 -361LOC285770 -132NQO2 -705MRS2L -22HIST1H2BA -960HIST1H2BD -597HIST1H2BD -597HIST1H2BH -618HIST1H4I -283HLA-H -477MRPS18B -207LOC401250 -26LOC401250 -497NFKBIL1 -305LY6G5B -359C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413HSPA1B -942C2 -687HLA-DRA -774HLA-DQA1 -265ZBTB9 -229LOC389386 -725TLT4 -607C6orf139 -788KIAA1411 -549C6orf57 -986C6orf165 -728POU3F2 -997LOC340148 -581

C6orf55 -149LOC345829 -202LOC442278 -732LOC442279 -858LOC401289 -82LOC285766 -472SERPINB6 -657OFCC1 -367LOC441129 -714SMA3 -762LOC222699 -719LOC441138 -870OR12D3 -872LOC346171 -389HCG4P6 -80HCG4P6 -501PSORS1C2 -78PSORS1C2 -78HLA-C -512HLA-B -594HLA-DRB1 -469HLA-DRB1 -821HLA-DQB2 0HLA-DQB2 -333HLA-DQB2 0HLA-DOB -500MLN -740LRFN2 -452C6orf108 -907C6orf108 -907PLA2G7 -227CRISP1 -236CRISP1 -236IL17F -733HMGCLL1 -759LOC442226 -67C6orf66 -832DJ467N11.1 -34RTN4IP1 -207SLC22A16 -869LOC442254 -307DEADC1 -509FLJ44955 -391SYNE1 -484SYNE1 -126LOC389435 -451LOC389435 -565PIP3-E -457T -9T -3LOC442280 -112DKFZP434J154 -615LOC401303 -632LOC441198 -739GHRHR -646ADCYAP1R1 -60C7orf16 -842LOC441209 -41GPR154 -435GPR154 -435C7orf36 -707BLVRA -400BLVRA -400LOC51619 -311WBSCR19 -38LOC136288 -523LOC392030 -632FZD9 -485LOC85865 -255LOC442341 -390AKR1D1 -159LOC93432 -126OR2F1 -160OR2A5 -927LOC441184 -336LOC441186 -584LOC441187 -654LOC389831 -914LOC389831 -914LOC222967 -338LOC222967 -338LOC340267 -244ICA1 -699AGR2 -65LOC389472 -184LOC401316 -837CRHR2 -610PDE1C -20LOC441210 -361LOC222052 -77LOC441224 -287LOC441230 -143LOC441245 -127LOC441259 -954CCL26 -441SEMA3C -385C7orf23 -761PON1 -785GATS -36ACHE -715ACHE -224ACHE -715ACHE -224ORC5L -990ORC5L -990CHCHD3 -793MGC5242 -861LOC392997 -596LOC392997 -596FLJ44186 -168HIPK2 -70ZC3HDC1 -407LOC402301 -14BAGE4 -100BAGE4 -648MCPH1 -520MCPH1 -203AMAC -766NEIL2 -956NEF3 -789PNOC -756LOC441344 -308FKSG2 -72DKFZp586M1819 -469SNTG1 -463LOC389657 -899ADHFE1 -54SULF1 -522WWP1 -695LOC401471 -326FLJ45248 -290LOC441309 -343LOC392169 -927ANGPT2 -895SPAG11 -971

SPAG11 -971SPAG11 -971SPAG11 -971SPAG11 -622SPAG11 -622SPAG11 -971DEFB104 -132LOC389633 -370ASAH1 -702ASAH1 -882FLJ22494 -242FLJ22494 -781SNAI2 -728CPA6 -613FSBP -393MFTC -905MRPL13 -525LOC442399 -126TOP1MT -477LOC286126 -887LOC340393 -922DOCK8 -109LOC441386 -327C9orf93 -708SH3GL2 -702C9orf94 -376LOC340501 -32LOC441417 -394DKFZP434M131 -944SECISBP2 -404LOC441453 -821PHF2 -646PHF2 -648LOC441457 -742LOC441457 -802PRG-3 -971RAD23B -998SLC31A2 -380OR1N2 -646C9orf54 -2C9orf54 -2LAMC3 -895LOC441473 -825LOC441473 -825LOC441473 -825DBH -768OBP2A -732EGFL7 -330EGFL7 -335TRAF2 -32LOC441408 -394LOC389702 -288C9orf46 -353SLC24A2 -265IFNA10 -138IFNA14 -85C9orf11 -311C9orf24 -905C9orf24 -905UNQ470 -31STOML2 -420LOC392334 -904LOC286327 -215HNRPK -86LOC441452 -955DIRAS2 -896LOC286359 -774TXNDC4 -690TXN -239OR1L8 -459DYT1 -561ABO -790ABO -789ABO -790XPMC2H -374LOC441474 -921LOC389734 -489LOC389734 -223FCN1 -673FCN1 -709LOC441410 -990GAGE1 -21RRAGB -788RRAGB -788LOC340527 -194SH3BGRL -944DIAPH2 -921DIAPH2 -921HSU24186 -145NXF2 -89PLP1 -918PLP1 -918LOC286436 -713SLC6A14 -962LOC392529 -73FLJ25735 -992MAGEB4 -834MAGEB4 -834LOC389844 -822LOC389844 -814UBE1 -964LOC203604 -16LOC441481 -796DMD -923RPGR 3ZNF21 -828PRKY -308LOC441537 -223LOC441539 -222LOC441535 -225LOC441536 -223LOC338588 -51UCN3 -368NET1 -14MAPK8 -856MAPK8 -856MAPK8 -856MAPK8 -856LOC399768 -100CDC2 -415SLC29A3 -596LOC143244 -131LOC439994 -962LIPL3 -68LIPL3 -704LOC439996 -302LOC387701 -717LOC387701 -817FRAT1 -287FRAT1 -287ABCC2 -3ABCC2 -3HPS6 -237NFKB2 -790PNLIPRP2 -442

DMBT1 -462DMBT1 -462DMBT1 -462FANK1 3TAF3 -544LOC441547 9LOC220998 -941TPRT -277C10orf68 -817C10orf9 -269ZNF33A -477ZNF33A -477LOC399744 -202LOC399744 -202PPYR1 -81PPYR1 -81LOC439946 -71AKR1C2 -641AKR1C2 -641LOC441560 -504LOC439975 -618NEUROG3 6AMID -452PPP3CB -854LOC439983 -240LOC389988 -68MMS19L -221C10orf69 -121GPR10 -555C10orf93 -42ASB13 -506IL15RA -222IL15RA -827USP6NL -573C10orf45 -181NMT2 -912SIAT8F -676NEBL -727C10orf52 -163LOC439953 -879LOC399737 -608CTGLF1 -504LOC439963 -500KCNQ1 -40LOC387746 -61OR51F2 -640TRIM34 -105OR10A2 -851SAA1 -721SAA1 -722LOC441593 -126PDHX -845TRIM44 -24LOC90139 -660NDUFS3 -929LOC196346 -885OR5T3 -97CTNND1 -133CTNND1 -116CNTF -149ROM1 -515MARK2 -375MARK2 -375RAB1B -75GSTP1 -841GSTP1 -841LOC440056 -824USP35 -148LOC390231 -471OR4D5 -465OR8G5 -809MGC39545 -867LOC399969 -328LOC219797 -216NUP98 -651NUP98 -651NUP98 -651NUP98 -651KIAA0409 -533LOC283299 -427LOC440026 -69LOC440030 -675LOC387754 -159LOC144100 -631HPS5 -917HPS5 -917HPS5 -917LOC387764 -149LOC440041 -221FLJ31393 -362OR8H1 -161AGTRL1 -809PRG2 -899TCN1 -716RAB3IL1 -976KIAA0404 -771CHRDL2 -754KCTD14 -94MRE11A -879MRE11A -982MMP7 -853CRYAB -175ZNF202 -527LOC387820 -553LOC387823 -178CCND2 -350NDUFA9 -485KCNA5 -805FLJ10665 -245FLJ10665 -576LOC285407 -743LOC390299 -771FLJ10652 -491LOC144245 -455PFKM -838DKFZp686O1689 -733C12orf10 -110DGKA -806DGKA -800SUOX -384ZNFN1A4 -874LYZ -944GAS41 -166VEZATIN -34LOC387876 -110C12orf8 -840COX6A1 -124LOC390364 -971LOC390364 -971LOC144678 -418LOC338797 -31SLC6A13 -445NRIP2 -107NOL1 -122LOC387701 -817FRAT1 -287FRAT1 -287ABCC2 -3ABCC2 -3HPS6 -237NFKB2 -790PNLIPRP2 -442

CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885KLRK1 -349PRB1 -589PRB1 -589PRB1 -589ADAMTS20 -965ADAMTS20 -965SLC38A2 -638K-ALPHA-1 -27KIAA1602 -262RACGAP1 -620K6IRS3 -708KRT4 -83NPFF -777STAT2 -94FLJ32949 -500IFNG -795MGC26598 -498HAL -358DKFZp434M0331 -920LOC400070 -223TSC -785GPR109B -392EPIM -568EPIM -568GALNT9 -798LOC440122 -169LOC221140 -342LOC440128 -877LOC387912 -279LOC341784 -327NURIT -947RB1 -525DKFZP434K1172 -595DKFZP434K1172 -595LOC144983 -906LOC144983 -892LOC144983 -896LOC400144 -807PROZ -865PROZ -865CRYL1 -768POSTN -32LOC440134 -367EBPL -973GUCY1B2 -832LOC338862 -918LOC404785 -818OR11H6 -269C14orf92 -234PSMA6 -219KTN1 -222C14orf166B -786EVL -28CCNB1IP1 -868CCNB1IP1 -868NEDD8 -143BAZ1A -508BAZ1A -508NFKBIA -963LOC283551 -302CDKL1 -902LOC400214 -138RTN1 -974LOC390488 -457PLEK2 -465PIGH -153RDH11 -251FLJ39779 -161KIAA1509 -179SERPINA2 -559SERPINA2 -559SERPINA2 -559SERPINA9 -856LOC390529 -204LOC388073 -112LOC400307 -332LOC283694 -71LOC400320 -443FLJ35785 -414LOC440249 -92HH114 -991PLA2G4B -483CAPN3 -318CAPN3 -318CAPN3 -318LOC400368 -320SLC28A2 -275DUT -32SCG3 -739LIPC -853OSTbeta -781LOC440289 -446COMMD4 -790LOC400433 -496LOC390637 -55FLJ11175 -113LOC440224 -815LOC283804 -112CHSY1 -876LOC440315 -303LOC440315 -303LOC400470 -62LOC388076 -715LOC440250 -206LOC440255 -981FLJ20313 -236AVEN -767KIAA0377 -896FBN1 -191SPPL2A -4BCL2L10 -653LOC145780 -610BNIP2 -842BNIP2 -421RASL12 -878SNAPC5 -540BG1 -364LOC400411 -62LOC440293 -718FLJ40113 -951

IP -207TBL3 0KIAA1171 -70TNFRSF12A -968DNAJA3 -24ALG1 -464ALG1 -464FLJ12363 -773LOC92017 -711TMC7 -412MGC16824 -271RBBP6 -795RBBP6 -795RBBP6 -795ITGAX -504ERAF -510LOC388248 -649FLJ38101 -981CES4 -221MT1H -280GAN -839PLCG2 -534CDH13 -906HSBP1 -425MLYCD -917FLJ45121 -772DPEP1 -765FLJ32252 -288FLJ32252 -346MGC35212 -360FLJ25410 -280LOC400506 -715LOC94431 -77DOC2A -265LOC441761 -889LOC57019 -375ZNF319 -360DNCLI2 -857DNCLI2 -857DKFZP434A1319 -236LOC439920 -70CHST5 -601CHST5 -756LOC390748 -242DPH2L1 -42LOC388323 -892MAP2K4 -128MAP2K4 -128KRTAP4-12 -78JJAZ1 -789CCL2 -912PSMB3 -889LOC440440 -1FLJ25168 -244SP2 -57LOC388406 -800TBX4 -465DDX42 -212DDX42 -212LOC90799 -734DKFZP586L0724 -829SSTR2 -874MRPS7 -822MRPS7 -719LOC388429 -804NARF -669NARF -669GEMIN4 -911OR1D2 -376ALOX15 -267SLC16A11 -346CLECSF14 -596CLECSF14 -640FLJ40217 -393RCV1 -761CDRT1 -618NOS2A -287NOS2A -287KRT25D -828KRT12 -585HUMGT198A -797HUMGT198A -690FLJ31222 -769LOC284058 -524GIP -957LOC400619 -823UNC13D -695LOC339162 -685LOC388462 -43SEH1L -801LOC284232 -988LOC284232 -845CABLES1 -281CABYR -908CABYR -908CABYR -908CABYR -908CABYR -908DSG3 -367SLC14A1 -333DCC -386RAB27B -713ZCCHC2 -249LOC342808 -306LOC284276 -397MYOM1 -232MC2R -113LOC441817 -600KIAA1632 -405FBXO15 -123FBXO15 -192LOC390865 -489TXNL4 -33CDC34 -270GZMM -678C19orf21 -573ARID3A -913LOC126295 -456MGC39581 -37TRAPPC5 -352LOC51257 9OR7C2 -399OR10H3 -953OR10H4 -323LOC284434 -560HSPC142 -632PGLS -935LOC148206 -288ZNF431 -967CLECSF12 -885

PSMC4 -215PSMC4 -215EGLN2 -452LOC388549 -412SYNGR4 -825RPL13A -816LOC402665 -925FLJ46385 -176LOC91661 -13LAIR2 -705LAIR2 -705KIR2DL1 -763KIR3DL2 3ZNF583 -867ZNF71 -861MGC4728 -490ZNF211 -76ZNF211 -76LOC401895 -957APBA3 -13FUT5 -174TNFSF7 8SH2D3A -2738D6A -950EIF3S4 -547RAB3D -852MGC20983 -338MGC20983 -338MGC20983 -338NDUFB7 -741LOC339377 -660IL12RB1 -56IL12RB1 -56IL12RB1 -56IL12RB1 -56LOC148198 -361CEBPA -564UNQ467 -521FLJ22573 -941CLC -823DYRK1B -849DYRK1B -849DYRK1B -849PSG11 -297PSG11 -297PSG4 -299PSG4 -299PSG9 -435FLJ34222 -415ERCC2 -123DMPK -988PGLYRP1 -212LIG1 -806FLJ32926 -288CGB8 -202TEAD2 -546FLJ20643 -895LOC400712 -236SIGLEC6 -972SIGLEC6 -972SIGLEC6 -972ZNF577 -582ZNF611 -148ZNF600 -716ZNF600 -37NALP9 -489PRDM2 -762PRDM2 -762LOC400743 -400PADI1 -598FLJ44952 -494DJ462O23.2 -973PPP1R8 5PPP1R8 5PPP1R8 5ATPIF1 -766ATPIF1 -766ATPIF1 -766LOC440581 -793CGI-94 -384FLJ14351 -753UROD -715LOC441885 -810DKFZp761D221 -478DKFZp761D221 -221IL23R -322CTH -6CTH -6AK5 -966DNAJB4 -987CDC7 -604LOC388649 -426DCLRE1B -406LOC440610 -739LOC440610 -584LOC440610 -652LOC441903 -538LOC440673 -482BNIPL -420BNIPL -419SPRR1B -826SPRR1B -826IL6R -110IL6R -110CKS1B -983SYT11 -785PMF1 -223LOC164118 -75FY -397NCSTN -809HSPA6 -839HSPA6 -611CGI-01 7CGI-01 7DKFZP564J047 -208HFL1 -551HFL3 -563NEK7 -714MGC14801 -276OR2AK2 -528LOC441873 -501LOC441873 -565LOC441873 -607LOC343068 -256ARID3A -913LOC126295 -456MGC39581 -37TRAPPC5 -352LOC51257 9OR7C2 -399OR10H3 -953OR10H4 -323LOC284434 -560HSPC142 -632PGLS -935LOC148206 -288ZNF431 -967CLECSF12 -885

1205 GRE-modifying SNPs

Page 191: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Gene set enrichment analysis

Page 192: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

- Candidate set selectiona. Regulatory polymorphismb. Coding polymorphism

- Statistical considerationsa. Powerb. Differential enrichment

Page 193: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

0 5000 10000 15000 20000

0.0

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Population prevalence design Outcome-stratified design

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0 5000 10000 15000 20000

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Population prevalence design

GEscan GEscan

Outcome-stratified design

Page 195: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

- Candidate set selectiona. Regulatory polymorphismb. Coding polymorphism

- Statistical considerationsa. Powerb. Differential enrichment

Page 196: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 197: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

- Candidate set selectiona. Regulatory polymorphismb. Coding polymorphism

- Statistical considerationsa. Powerb. Differential enrichment

Page 198: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

Page 199: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical take-home points:

Strengths & weaknesses of alternative approaches

1. Candidate gene studies: focus on 1 candidateAdvantages

- Scientifically tractable: incremental & cross-validatable- Maximal statistical power (focused hypothesis)

Disadvantages- Can only “discover” what we already know (i.e., biased)

2. Genome-wide association studies: focus on all candidatesAdvantages

- Unbiased de novo discoveryDisadvantages

- Minimal statistical power, particularly for interactions3. The bioinformatic “middle road”: focus on a small set of causally

plausible candidates (unbiased search of regulatory and coding SNPs) Advantages

- Scientifically tractable: “short leap of inference” & cross-validatable- Relatively high statistical power (focus on 1-10% of plausible SNPs)

Disadvantages- Likely missing some true causal genetic influences- Bioinformatically intensive – thought (and programming) required

Page 200: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

Page 201: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

Page 202: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

Page 203: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

Page 204: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)

Page 205: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)- modeling biological mechanisms to focus power/impose constraints (e.g., candidate systems, functional themes, regulatory themes)

Page 206: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)- modeling biological mechanisms to focus power/impose constraints (e.g., candidate systems, functional themes, regulatory themes)- combinatorial data-mining (e.g., machine learning in discovery sample)

Page 207: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)- modeling biological mechanisms to focus power/impose constraints (e.g., candidate systems, functional themes, regulatory themes)- combinatorial data-mining (e.g., machine learning in discovery sample)- sequential testing designs (low stringency discovery, med stringency test, high stringency confirm)

Page 208: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)- modeling biological mechanisms to focus power/impose constraints (e.g., candidate systems, functional themes, regulatory themes)- combinatorial data-mining (e.g., machine learning in discovery sample)- sequential testing designs (low stringency discovery, med stringency test, high stringency confirm)

Your advantage is smart data analysis.

Page 209: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Follow-up references

Overview of genetics / biologyAttia, J., et al. (2009) How to use an article about genetic association: A: Background concepts. JAMA, 301, 74-81

Genetic association studiesHirschhorn, J., & Daly, M. (2005) Genome-wide association studies for common diseases and complex traits. Nature Reviews Genetics, 6, 95-108.Attia, J., et al. (2009) How to use an article about genetic association: B: Are the results of the study valid? JAMA, 301, 191-197.Cordell, H, & Clayton, D. (2005) Genetic epidemiology 3: Genetic association studies. Lancet, 366, 1121-1131

Basic statistical modeling for geneticsSiegmund, D., & Yakir, B. (2007) The statistics of gene mapping. New York, Springer

Sampling & statistical approaches for GxE discoveryThomas, D., (2010) Gene-environment-wide association studies: emerging approaches. Nature Reviews Genetics, 11, 259-272

Statistical strategies for combinatorial discoveryHastie, T., Tibshirani, R. & Friedman, J. (2001) The elements of statistical learning. New York, Springer.

.

Page 210: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Perspectives on the State of the Field

How can we best promote the integration of genetic and demographic approaches?

Page 211: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Application clinic

Open microphone

1. What do you want to accomplish?

2. At what stage are you now?i. Study design?ii. Data collection?iii. Analysis and reporting?

3. How can we be of help?

Page 212: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Genomics Workshop

Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA

April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM – Hyatt Regency, Dallas, Texas

Sponsored by USC/UCLA Center of Biodemography and Population Health

Organized by Teresa Seeman, Steven Cole, Eileen Crimmins

Page 213: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 214: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies

- RT-PCR- Statistical analyses incorporating temporal & spatial heterogeneity

• Genome-wide approaches- Microarrays- Theme discovery

a. Functional (Gene Ontology)b. Regulatory (TELiS)c. Spatial (SpAnGEL)

Page 215: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

RNA

DNA

RT

Page 216: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

IFN-

Antiviral cytokine mRNA

0

100

200

300

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900

1 2 3

0 6 12

IFN

- c

onse

nsus

mR

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(f

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ine)

Exposure (hrs.)

IFN-

0

100

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400

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600

700

800

900

1 2 3

0 6 12IF

N-

mR

NA

(f

old-

indu

ctio

n ov

er b

asel

ine)

Exposure (hrs.)

CpG + NECpG + NE

CpG

CpG

Collado-Hidalgo et al (2006) Brain, Behavior and Immunity

Page 217: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 218: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

SIV RNA (in situ hybridization)

SIV replication

Social Stress

- +

SIV

re

pli

ca

tio

n

(s

ites

/ sp

atia

l qu

ad

rat)

p < .0001

cond

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

SNS neurons

- +0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

SIV

re

pli

ca

tio

n

(

site

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spa

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ua

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p < .0001

Sloan et al. (2006) Journal of VirologySloan et al. (2007) Journal of Neuroscience

Page 219: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies

- RT-PCR- Statistical analyses incorporating temporal & spatial heterogeneity

• Genome-wide approaches- Microarrays- Theme discovery

a. Functional (Gene Ontology)b. Regulatory (TELiS)c. Spatial (SpAnGEL)

Page 220: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 221: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Lonely

Integrated

Social isolation

J. Cacioppo

Genome Biology, 2007

78131

Page 222: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Palmer et al. BMC Genomics (2006)

Page 223: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies

- RT-PCR- Statistical analyses incorporating temporal & spatial heterogeneity

• Genome-wide approaches- Microarrays- Theme discovery

a. Functional (Gene Ontology)b. Regulatory (TELiS)c. Spatial (SpAnGEL)

Page 224: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Biologicalfunction

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 225: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Biologicalfunction

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 226: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Biologicalfunction

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 227: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Biologicalfunction

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 228: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Biologicalfunction

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 229: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Lonely

Integrated

Social isolation

J. Cacioppo

Genome Biology, 2007

78131

Page 230: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Lonely

Integrated

Social isolation

J. Cacioppo

Genome Biology, 2007

78131

InflammationCell growth/differentiation

Transcription control

Page 231: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Lonely

Integrated

Social isolation

J. Cacioppo

Genome Biology, 2007

78131

InflammationCell growth/differentiation

Transcription control

Immunoglobulin productionType I interferon antiviral response

Page 232: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

http://www.gostat.wehi.edu.au

Page 233: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

TRIM54ACSBG2HIST4H4KLHL32FLJ35773GPC4TRPV4LBPC20ORF200ASB15OCLM

http://www.gostat.wehi.edu.au

Page 234: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

http://www.gostat.wehi.edu.au

Page 235: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Social Environment

Gene

Biologicalfunction

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 236: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
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Page 238: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-B

Page 239: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-B

Page 240: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-B

Page 241: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-BEnvironment S equence ExpressionPromoterSequence

Page 242: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-BEnvironment S equence ExpressionPromoterSequence

Page 243: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-BEnvironment S equence ExpressionPromoterSequence

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Sp1

CREB

NF-B

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Sp1

CREB

NF-B

Page 246: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-B

Environment S equence ExpressionPromoterSequence

?

Page 247: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-B

Page 248: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Sp1

CREB

NF-B

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Sp1

CREB

NF-B

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Sp1

CREB

NF-B

Page 251: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Cole et al (2005) Bioinformatics, 21, 803

http://www.telis.ucla.edu

Page 252: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Cole et al (2005) Bioinformatics, 21, 803

http://www.telis.ucla.edu

Page 253: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Cole et al (2005) Bioinformatics, 21, 803

http://www.telis.ucla.edu

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Lonely

Integrated

Social isolation

J. Cacioppo Genome Biology, 2007

78131

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Lonely

Integrated

Social isolation

J. Cacioppo Genome Biology, 2007

78131

NF-B

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Lonely

Integrated

Social isolation

J. Cacioppo Genome Biology, 2007

78131

NF-B

GRE

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Social Environment

Gene

Biologicalfunction

IL6

RNA

DNA

Page 258: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
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Page 262: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

NaB de-repression - fibroblast

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gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

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gene 18

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gene 20

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gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

Page 264: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

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gene 20

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gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

Page 265: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

gene 18

gene 19

gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

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gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

TF2

Page 266: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

gene 18

gene 19

gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

TF2

TF3

Page 267: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

gene 18

gene 19

gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

TF2

TF3

Page 268: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

gene 18

gene 19

gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

TF2

TF3

Page 269: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

gene 18

gene 19

gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

gene 18

gene 19

gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

TF2

TF3

Page 270: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

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gene 17

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gene 20

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gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

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gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

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gene 17

gene 18

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gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

TF2

TF3

miRNA1

miRNA2

miRNA3

Page 271: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

gene 18

gene 19

gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

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gene 31

gene 32

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gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

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gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

TF2

TF3

miRNA1

miRNA2

miRNA3

DNMT1

DNMT2

DNMT3

Page 272: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies

- RT-PCR- Statistical analyses incorporating temporal & spatial heterogeneity

• Genome-wide approaches- Microarrays- Theme discovery

a. Functional (Gene Ontology)b. Regulatory (TELiS)c. Spatial (SpAnGEL)

Page 273: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies• Genome-wide approaches

Page 274: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies• Genome-wide approaches

3. Gene-Environment interaction• Statistical considerations

- Main effects and antagonistic pleiotropy- Interaction models- Combinatorial discovery

• Revisiting the “bioinformatic” middle road- Candidate set selection

a. Regulatory polymorphismb. Coding polymorphism

Page 275: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G)

y = a + b(GG) + c(GC) + d(CC)

Page 276: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Fisher’s regression:

GG GC CC

Out

com

e

y = a + b(#G) + c(Env) + d(#G x Env)

y = a + b(GG) + c(GC) + d(CC) + e(Env) + f(Env x GG) + g(Env x GC) + h(Env x CC)

Environment A

GG GC CCO

utco

me

Environment B

Page 277: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial explosion

107 SNPs x 101-2 environments = 108-9 intx terms

Page 278: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial explosion

107 SNPs x 101-2 environments = 108-9 intx terms

N = 2,000-20,000 for current main effect studies

Given that power/effect size, need 2 Million subjects for interaction sweep.

Page 279: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

What to do?

1. Increase stringency (intra-study)

Bonferroni correct / FDR correctModel/simulate errorUse a better sampling design

2. Replicate (inter-study or intra-study crossvalidation)

3. Get a hypothesis- Biological- Empirical

Page 280: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

Page 281: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

0 5000 10000 15000 20000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

sample size

po

we

r

0 500 1000 1500 2000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

sample sizep

ow

er

Population prevalence design Outcome-stratified design

Page 282: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM
Page 283: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

Page 284: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

Page 285: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

• Data-mining / Machine learning

- CART/forests- MARS- PRIM

Page 286: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

• Data-mining / Machine learning

- CART/forests- MARS- PRIM

• Functional pathways• Regulatory pathways• Chromosomal units

Page 287: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Tra

nscr

iptio

nal a

ctiv

ity

(fol

d-ch

ange

)

10

8

6

4

2

0

IL6 promoter: WT -174C

Norepinephrine (M): 0 10 - 0 10

Difference: p < .0001

IL6TCT TGCGATGCTA AAG

C

V$GATA1_01 = .943

V$GATA1_01 = .619

In silico prediction of Gene x Environment Interaction

In silico In vitro

Page 288: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

FLJ20719 -734LOC148490 -929AKR7A2 -678RHCE -292RHCE -292RHCE -292RHCE -292LOC440576 -934SOC -39SOC -49SOC -26UNQ6122 -877LAPTM5 -728PHC2 -168PHC2 -16ITGB3BP -311FLJ20331 -994ZNF265 -663ZNF265 -663FUBP1 -778LOC388650 -392LOC388654 -957PDE4DIP -175COAS2 -435LOC199882 -474LOC440689 -692LOC440689 -16LOC441906 -496FLG -17LEP3 -631RAB13 -310LOC91181 -956LOC91181 -956LOC126669 -407LOC440693 -399PKLR -118PKLR -597FCRH1 -580SPTA1 -163SLAMF9 -256KCNJ10 -383ITLN1 -760ITLN1 -760F11R -798F11R -798LMX1A -85SELP -144LOC400796 -263F13B -881F13B -881MYOG -951LOC440712 -956LGTN -331FLJ10874 -676GPATC2 -556LOC440721 -625AGT 1FLJ10359 -367LOC441927 -406LOC440741 -564MGC12466 -863KIAA1720 -894LOC388578 -522LOC391205 -430MIG-6 -618MIG-6 -638MIG-6 -678LOC441870 -731LOC440561 -255LOC401940 -500LOC401940 -564LOC401940 -606LOC339553 -400LOC440753 -695LOC388789 -593FLJ38374 -686LOC391241 -81LOC388794 -28C20orf70 -431STK4 -122PIGT -910DNTTIP1 -479C20orf67 -1MMP9 -875CEBPB -978RNPC1 -370RNPC1 -370TH1L -26TH1L -26LOC400849 -714LOC400849 -382CGI-09 -309FKHL18 -608C20orf172 -118TGM2 -220TGM2 -220LOC388798 -828Kua-UEV -465Kua-UEV -561Kua -465BTBD4 -590C21orf99 -772C21orf99 -13KRTAP15-1 -566B3GALT5 -889B3GALT5 -889B3GALT5 -889B3GALT5 -889B3GALT5 -889LOC441955 -824LOC441955 -824LOC400858 -624CLDN8 -17KRTAP19-7 -127DSCR1 -620C21orf84 -232KRTAP12-4 -899FTCD -410FTCD -410LOC440842 -24PEX26 -129PEX26 -89ZNF74 -726ZNF74 -726LOC440804 -940SMARCB1 -290CABIN1 -797KIAA1671 -26ARP10 -612ADSL -602ARHGAP8 -260NUP50 -629PPARA -184PPARA -184

BID -126DGCR14 -951TXNRD2 -882LOC391303 -881LOC150221 -939LOC91219 -352LOC150236 -666GSTT1 -141SEC14L4 -746SSTR3 -705FLJ22582 -372DIA1 -749ATP5L2 -328A4GALT -825SULT4A1 -729SULT4A1 -729C2orf15 -882LOC129521 -477LOC440892 -918IL1RL1 -332MRPS9 -970LOC442037 -839IL1F7 -978IL1F7 -978IL1F7 -978IL1F7 -978MGC52000 -273MGC52000 -466MGC52057 -404MAP1D -120COL3A1 -310SLC39A10 -921LOC200726 -220IL8RB -447TUBA4 -643FLJ25955 -24ALPPL2 -296UGT1A9 -651UGT1A7 -351UGT1A6 -224UGT1A6 -402TRPM8 -170ASB1 -723GCKR -204LOC388938 -212FLJ38348 -606MSH2 -376MSH2 -976MSH2 -376MSH2 -376SBLF -59LOC151443 -85LOC391387 -134SEMA4F -751RBM29 -1LOC339562 -621LOC339562 -641LOC200493 -245TXNDC9 -714FLJ40629 -946LOC401005 -12LOC389050 -170ORC4L -16ORC4L -16ORC4L -16ORC4L -16ARL5 -895ARL5 -895NR4A2 -527NR4A2 -527NR4A2 -527NR4A2 -527ATP5G3 -55ZNF533 -598ZSWIM2 -772PGAP1 -821PGAP1 -827SF3B1 -138ORC2L -786LOC391475 -413CRYGC -765PECR -942SLC23A3 -412LOC442070 -877LOC129607 -488LOC339789 -268LOC130502 -558ALK -710BCL11A -615BCL11A -615BCL11A -615BCL11A -615PAP -438PAP -438PAP -531CNTN4 -809PPARG -584PPARG -914LOC401054 -926GALNTL2 -427FBXL2 -107APRG1 -269APRG1 -347LOC440951 -20LOC389123 -140LOC285194 -808NR1I2 -769STXBP5L -480LOC442092 -880MRPS22 -897KCNAB1 -793LOC402146 -134LOC90133 -2NLGN1 -541FLJ20522 -803ATP2B2 -593LOC440946 -917ANKRD28 -437LOC152024 -365FLJ32685 -953SLC4A7 -509MST1 -895LOC377064 -623LOC200959 -572CPOX -150LOC401079 -259CBLB -250LOC344807 -514GPR156 -497IQCB1 -412MGC34728 -553LOC256374 -248KIAA0861 -435MGC15397 -397LOC254808 -484

LRRC15 -288KIAA0226 -776LOC255324 -380IBSP -319MGC48628 -101NDST3 -902LOC401149 -733LOC441038 -837FLJ35630 -291CYP4V2 -117LOC401164 -978LOC391727 -934LOC399917 -840ZAR1 -106LOC401132 -18PF4 -819EIF4E -716ADH7 -557TACR3 -957AGXT2L1 -631PLA2G12A -795PITX2 -411PITX2 -411LOC401155 -72CDHJ -652FGA -110FGA -110PPID -384LOC441049 -368GPM6A -203LOC389833 -878LOC389833 -288LOC389833 -288LOC389833 -878LOC442102 -418FGFBP1 -290LOC441013 -188FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -881FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -289FLJ00310 -289LOC442127 -287SRD5A1 -631LOC345711 -877LOC389281 -225MGC42105 -669PELO -938BDP1 -918DKFZp564C0469 -378LOC134505 -63TSLP -331LOC340069 -755SNCAIP -671LOC441106 -646SLC27A6 -484CDC42SE2 -384PHF15 -52LOC389331 -27PCDHA4 -26PCDHA4 -26PCDHB3 -623PCDHB6 -212PCDHB16 -609ABLIM3 -474LARP -716LOC134541 -868FGFR4 -472FGFR4 -472FGFR4 -745FGFR4 -745LOC442145 -7LOC442146 -856LOC345462 -604LOC345462 -609LOC442148 -595OR2V2 -340OR2V2 -901TPPP -454MYO10 -583LOC441066 -463GDNF -36LOC345643 -568FOXD1 -990ARSB -493DHFR -473SPATA9 -748CHD1 -581STK22D -863LOC389316 -227CDO1 -360FLJ33977 -166LOC391824 -129ALDH7A1 -920CAMK2A -429CAMK2A -429C5orf4 -657LOC345430 -332DUSP1 -361LOC285770 -132NQO2 -705MRS2L -22HIST1H2BA -960HIST1H2BD -597HIST1H2BD -597HIST1H2BH -618HIST1H4I -283HLA-H -477MRPS18B -207LOC401250 -26LOC401250 -497NFKBIL1 -305LY6G5B -359C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413C6orf25 -413HSPA1B -942C2 -687HLA-DRA -774HLA-DQA1 -265ZBTB9 -229LOC389386 -725TLT4 -607C6orf139 -788KIAA1411 -549C6orf57 -986C6orf165 -728POU3F2 -997LOC340148 -581

C6orf55 -149LOC345829 -202LOC442278 -732LOC442279 -858LOC401289 -82LOC285766 -472SERPINB6 -657OFCC1 -367LOC441129 -714SMA3 -762LOC222699 -719LOC441138 -870OR12D3 -872LOC346171 -389HCG4P6 -80HCG4P6 -501PSORS1C2 -78PSORS1C2 -78HLA-C -512HLA-B -594HLA-DRB1 -469HLA-DRB1 -821HLA-DQB2 0HLA-DQB2 -333HLA-DQB2 0HLA-DOB -500MLN -740LRFN2 -452C6orf108 -907C6orf108 -907PLA2G7 -227CRISP1 -236CRISP1 -236IL17F -733HMGCLL1 -759LOC442226 -67C6orf66 -832DJ467N11.1 -34RTN4IP1 -207SLC22A16 -869LOC442254 -307DEADC1 -509FLJ44955 -391SYNE1 -484SYNE1 -126LOC389435 -451LOC389435 -565PIP3-E -457T -9T -3LOC442280 -112DKFZP434J154 -615LOC401303 -632LOC441198 -739GHRHR -646ADCYAP1R1 -60C7orf16 -842LOC441209 -41GPR154 -435GPR154 -435C7orf36 -707BLVRA -400BLVRA -400LOC51619 -311WBSCR19 -38LOC136288 -523LOC392030 -632FZD9 -485LOC85865 -255LOC442341 -390AKR1D1 -159LOC93432 -126OR2F1 -160OR2A5 -927LOC441184 -336LOC441186 -584LOC441187 -654LOC389831 -914LOC389831 -914LOC222967 -338LOC222967 -338LOC340267 -244ICA1 -699AGR2 -65LOC389472 -184LOC401316 -837CRHR2 -610PDE1C -20LOC441210 -361LOC222052 -77LOC441224 -287LOC441230 -143LOC441245 -127LOC441259 -954CCL26 -441SEMA3C -385C7orf23 -761PON1 -785GATS -36ACHE -715ACHE -224ACHE -715ACHE -224ORC5L -990ORC5L -990CHCHD3 -793MGC5242 -861LOC392997 -596LOC392997 -596FLJ44186 -168HIPK2 -70ZC3HDC1 -407LOC402301 -14BAGE4 -100BAGE4 -648MCPH1 -520MCPH1 -203AMAC -766NEIL2 -956NEF3 -789PNOC -756LOC441344 -308FKSG2 -72DKFZp586M1819 -469SNTG1 -463LOC389657 -899ADHFE1 -54SULF1 -522WWP1 -695LOC401471 -326FLJ45248 -290LOC441309 -343LOC392169 -927ANGPT2 -895SPAG11 -971

SPAG11 -971SPAG11 -971SPAG11 -971SPAG11 -622SPAG11 -622SPAG11 -971DEFB104 -132LOC389633 -370ASAH1 -702ASAH1 -882FLJ22494 -242FLJ22494 -781SNAI2 -728CPA6 -613FSBP -393MFTC -905MRPL13 -525LOC442399 -126TOP1MT -477LOC286126 -887LOC340393 -922DOCK8 -109LOC441386 -327C9orf93 -708SH3GL2 -702C9orf94 -376LOC340501 -32LOC441417 -394DKFZP434M131 -944SECISBP2 -404LOC441453 -821PHF2 -646PHF2 -648LOC441457 -742LOC441457 -802PRG-3 -971RAD23B -998SLC31A2 -380OR1N2 -646C9orf54 -2C9orf54 -2LAMC3 -895LOC441473 -825LOC441473 -825LOC441473 -825DBH -768OBP2A -732EGFL7 -330EGFL7 -335TRAF2 -32LOC441408 -394LOC389702 -288C9orf46 -353SLC24A2 -265IFNA10 -138IFNA14 -85C9orf11 -311C9orf24 -905C9orf24 -905UNQ470 -31STOML2 -420LOC392334 -904LOC286327 -215HNRPK -86LOC441452 -955DIRAS2 -896LOC286359 -774TXNDC4 -690TXN -239OR1L8 -459DYT1 -561ABO -790ABO -789ABO -790XPMC2H -374LOC441474 -921LOC389734 -489LOC389734 -223FCN1 -673FCN1 -709LOC441410 -990GAGE1 -21RRAGB -788RRAGB -788LOC340527 -194SH3BGRL -944DIAPH2 -921DIAPH2 -921HSU24186 -145NXF2 -89PLP1 -918PLP1 -918LOC286436 -713SLC6A14 -962LOC392529 -73FLJ25735 -992MAGEB4 -834MAGEB4 -834LOC389844 -822LOC389844 -814UBE1 -964LOC203604 -16LOC441481 -796DMD -923RPGR 3ZNF21 -828PRKY -308LOC441537 -223LOC441539 -222LOC441535 -225LOC441536 -223LOC338588 -51UCN3 -368NET1 -14MAPK8 -856MAPK8 -856MAPK8 -856MAPK8 -856LOC399768 -100CDC2 -415SLC29A3 -596LOC143244 -131LOC439994 -962LIPL3 -68LIPL3 -704LOC439996 -302LOC387701 -717LOC387701 -817FRAT1 -287FRAT1 -287ABCC2 -3ABCC2 -3HPS6 -237NFKB2 -790PNLIPRP2 -442

DMBT1 -462DMBT1 -462DMBT1 -462FANK1 3TAF3 -544LOC441547 9LOC220998 -941TPRT -277C10orf68 -817C10orf9 -269ZNF33A -477ZNF33A -477LOC399744 -202LOC399744 -202PPYR1 -81PPYR1 -81LOC439946 -71AKR1C2 -641AKR1C2 -641LOC441560 -504LOC439975 -618NEUROG3 6AMID -452PPP3CB -854LOC439983 -240LOC389988 -68MMS19L -221C10orf69 -121GPR10 -555C10orf93 -42ASB13 -506IL15RA -222IL15RA -827USP6NL -573C10orf45 -181NMT2 -912SIAT8F -676NEBL -727C10orf52 -163LOC439953 -879LOC399737 -608CTGLF1 -504LOC439963 -500KCNQ1 -40LOC387746 -61OR51F2 -640TRIM34 -105OR10A2 -851SAA1 -721SAA1 -722LOC441593 -126PDHX -845TRIM44 -24LOC90139 -660NDUFS3 -929LOC196346 -885OR5T3 -97CTNND1 -133CTNND1 -116CNTF -149ROM1 -515MARK2 -375MARK2 -375RAB1B -75GSTP1 -841GSTP1 -841LOC440056 -824USP35 -148LOC390231 -471OR4D5 -465OR8G5 -809MGC39545 -867LOC399969 -328LOC219797 -216NUP98 -651NUP98 -651NUP98 -651NUP98 -651KIAA0409 -533LOC283299 -427LOC440026 -69LOC440030 -675LOC387754 -159LOC144100 -631HPS5 -917HPS5 -917HPS5 -917LOC387764 -149LOC440041 -221FLJ31393 -362OR8H1 -161AGTRL1 -809PRG2 -899TCN1 -716RAB3IL1 -976KIAA0404 -771CHRDL2 -754KCTD14 -94MRE11A -879MRE11A -982MMP7 -853CRYAB -175ZNF202 -527LOC387820 -553LOC387823 -178CCND2 -350NDUFA9 -485KCNA5 -805FLJ10665 -245FLJ10665 -576LOC285407 -743LOC390299 -771FLJ10652 -491LOC144245 -455PFKM -838DKFZp686O1689 -733C12orf10 -110DGKA -806DGKA -800SUOX -384ZNFN1A4 -874LYZ -944GAS41 -166VEZATIN -34LOC387876 -110C12orf8 -840COX6A1 -124LOC390364 -971LOC390364 -971LOC144678 -418LOC338797 -31SLC6A13 -445NRIP2 -107NOL1 -122LOC387701 -817FRAT1 -287FRAT1 -287ABCC2 -3ABCC2 -3HPS6 -237NFKB2 -790PNLIPRP2 -442

CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885CLECSF12 -885KLRK1 -349PRB1 -589PRB1 -589PRB1 -589ADAMTS20 -965ADAMTS20 -965SLC38A2 -638K-ALPHA-1 -27KIAA1602 -262RACGAP1 -620K6IRS3 -708KRT4 -83NPFF -777STAT2 -94FLJ32949 -500IFNG -795MGC26598 -498HAL -358DKFZp434M0331 -920LOC400070 -223TSC -785GPR109B -392EPIM -568EPIM -568GALNT9 -798LOC440122 -169LOC221140 -342LOC440128 -877LOC387912 -279LOC341784 -327NURIT -947RB1 -525DKFZP434K1172 -595DKFZP434K1172 -595LOC144983 -906LOC144983 -892LOC144983 -896LOC400144 -807PROZ -865PROZ -865CRYL1 -768POSTN -32LOC440134 -367EBPL -973GUCY1B2 -832LOC338862 -918LOC404785 -818OR11H6 -269C14orf92 -234PSMA6 -219KTN1 -222C14orf166B -786EVL -28CCNB1IP1 -868CCNB1IP1 -868NEDD8 -143BAZ1A -508BAZ1A -508NFKBIA -963LOC283551 -302CDKL1 -902LOC400214 -138RTN1 -974LOC390488 -457PLEK2 -465PIGH -153RDH11 -251FLJ39779 -161KIAA1509 -179SERPINA2 -559SERPINA2 -559SERPINA2 -559SERPINA9 -856LOC390529 -204LOC388073 -112LOC400307 -332LOC283694 -71LOC400320 -443FLJ35785 -414LOC440249 -92HH114 -991PLA2G4B -483CAPN3 -318CAPN3 -318CAPN3 -318LOC400368 -320SLC28A2 -275DUT -32SCG3 -739LIPC -853OSTbeta -781LOC440289 -446COMMD4 -790LOC400433 -496LOC390637 -55FLJ11175 -113LOC440224 -815LOC283804 -112CHSY1 -876LOC440315 -303LOC440315 -303LOC400470 -62LOC388076 -715LOC440250 -206LOC440255 -981FLJ20313 -236AVEN -767KIAA0377 -896FBN1 -191SPPL2A -4BCL2L10 -653LOC145780 -610BNIP2 -842BNIP2 -421RASL12 -878SNAPC5 -540BG1 -364LOC400411 -62LOC440293 -718FLJ40113 -951

IP -207TBL3 0KIAA1171 -70TNFRSF12A -968DNAJA3 -24ALG1 -464ALG1 -464FLJ12363 -773LOC92017 -711TMC7 -412MGC16824 -271RBBP6 -795RBBP6 -795RBBP6 -795ITGAX -504ERAF -510LOC388248 -649FLJ38101 -981CES4 -221MT1H -280GAN -839PLCG2 -534CDH13 -906HSBP1 -425MLYCD -917FLJ45121 -772DPEP1 -765FLJ32252 -288FLJ32252 -346MGC35212 -360FLJ25410 -280LOC400506 -715LOC94431 -77DOC2A -265LOC441761 -889LOC57019 -375ZNF319 -360DNCLI2 -857DNCLI2 -857DKFZP434A1319 -236LOC439920 -70CHST5 -601CHST5 -756LOC390748 -242DPH2L1 -42LOC388323 -892MAP2K4 -128MAP2K4 -128KRTAP4-12 -78JJAZ1 -789CCL2 -912PSMB3 -889LOC440440 -1FLJ25168 -244SP2 -57LOC388406 -800TBX4 -465DDX42 -212DDX42 -212LOC90799 -734DKFZP586L0724 -829SSTR2 -874MRPS7 -822MRPS7 -719LOC388429 -804NARF -669NARF -669GEMIN4 -911OR1D2 -376ALOX15 -267SLC16A11 -346CLECSF14 -596CLECSF14 -640FLJ40217 -393RCV1 -761CDRT1 -618NOS2A -287NOS2A -287KRT25D -828KRT12 -585HUMGT198A -797HUMGT198A -690FLJ31222 -769LOC284058 -524GIP -957LOC400619 -823UNC13D -695LOC339162 -685LOC388462 -43SEH1L -801LOC284232 -988LOC284232 -845CABLES1 -281CABYR -908CABYR -908CABYR -908CABYR -908CABYR -908DSG3 -367SLC14A1 -333DCC -386RAB27B -713ZCCHC2 -249LOC342808 -306LOC284276 -397MYOM1 -232MC2R -113LOC441817 -600KIAA1632 -405FBXO15 -123FBXO15 -192LOC390865 -489TXNL4 -33CDC34 -270GZMM -678C19orf21 -573ARID3A -913LOC126295 -456MGC39581 -37TRAPPC5 -352LOC51257 9OR7C2 -399OR10H3 -953OR10H4 -323LOC284434 -560HSPC142 -632PGLS -935LOC148206 -288ZNF431 -967CLECSF12 -885

PSMC4 -215PSMC4 -215EGLN2 -452LOC388549 -412SYNGR4 -825RPL13A -816LOC402665 -925FLJ46385 -176LOC91661 -13LAIR2 -705LAIR2 -705KIR2DL1 -763KIR3DL2 3ZNF583 -867ZNF71 -861MGC4728 -490ZNF211 -76ZNF211 -76LOC401895 -957APBA3 -13FUT5 -174TNFSF7 8SH2D3A -2738D6A -950EIF3S4 -547RAB3D -852MGC20983 -338MGC20983 -338MGC20983 -338NDUFB7 -741LOC339377 -660IL12RB1 -56IL12RB1 -56IL12RB1 -56IL12RB1 -56LOC148198 -361CEBPA -564UNQ467 -521FLJ22573 -941CLC -823DYRK1B -849DYRK1B -849DYRK1B -849PSG11 -297PSG11 -297PSG4 -299PSG4 -299PSG9 -435FLJ34222 -415ERCC2 -123DMPK -988PGLYRP1 -212LIG1 -806FLJ32926 -288CGB8 -202TEAD2 -546FLJ20643 -895LOC400712 -236SIGLEC6 -972SIGLEC6 -972SIGLEC6 -972ZNF577 -582ZNF611 -148ZNF600 -716ZNF600 -37NALP9 -489PRDM2 -762PRDM2 -762LOC400743 -400PADI1 -598FLJ44952 -494DJ462O23.2 -973PPP1R8 5PPP1R8 5PPP1R8 5ATPIF1 -766ATPIF1 -766ATPIF1 -766LOC440581 -793CGI-94 -384FLJ14351 -753UROD -715LOC441885 -810DKFZp761D221 -478DKFZp761D221 -221IL23R -322CTH -6CTH -6AK5 -966DNAJB4 -987CDC7 -604LOC388649 -426DCLRE1B -406LOC440610 -739LOC440610 -584LOC440610 -652LOC441903 -538LOC440673 -482BNIPL -420BNIPL -419SPRR1B -826SPRR1B -826IL6R -110IL6R -110CKS1B -983SYT11 -785PMF1 -223LOC164118 -75FY -397NCSTN -809HSPA6 -839HSPA6 -611CGI-01 7CGI-01 7DKFZP564J047 -208HFL1 -551HFL3 -563NEK7 -714MGC14801 -276OR2AK2 -528LOC441873 -501LOC441873 -565LOC441873 -607LOC343068 -256ARID3A -913LOC126295 -456MGC39581 -37TRAPPC5 -352LOC51257 9OR7C2 -399OR10H3 -953OR10H4 -323LOC284434 -560HSPC142 -632PGLS -935LOC148206 -288ZNF431 -967CLECSF12 -885

1205 GRE-modifying SNPs

Page 289: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

0 5000 10000 15000 20000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

sample size

po

we

r

0 500 1000 1500 2000

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

sample sizep

ow

er

Population prevalence design

GEscan GEscan

Outcome-stratified design

Page 290: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Coding sequence polymorphisms

Page 291: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

gene 1

gene 2

gene 3

gene 4

gene 5

gene 6

gene 7

gene 8

gene 9

gene 10

gene 11

gene 12

gene 13

gene 14

gene 15

gene 16

gene 17

gene 18

gene 19

gene 20

gene 21

gene 22

gene 23

gene 24

gene 25

gene 26

gene 27

gene 28

gene 29

gene 30

gene 31

gene 32

gene 33

gene 34

gene 35

gene 36

gene 37

gene 38

gene 39

gene 40

gene 41

TF1

TF2

TF3

Page 292: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

• Data-mining / Machine learning

- CART/forests- MARS- PRIM

• Functional pathways• Regulatory pathways• Chromosomal units

Page 293: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

• Data-mining / Machine learning

- CART/forests- MARS- PRIM

• Functional pathways• Regulatory pathways• Chromosomal units

Why is this critical?

Page 294: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

• Data-mining / Machine learning

- CART/forests- MARS- PRIM

• Functional pathways• Regulatory pathways• Chromosomal units

Why is this critical?

Antagonistic pleiotropy is the norm → GxE

Page 295: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

• Data-mining / Machine learning

- CART/forests- MARS- PRIM

• Functional pathways• Regulatory pathways• Chromosomal units

Why is this critical?

Antagonistic pleiotropy is the norm → GxEEpistatic interaction is the norm → GxG

Page 296: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

• Data-mining / Machine learning

- CART/forests- MARS- PRIM

• Functional pathways• Regulatory pathways• Chromosomal units

Why is this critical?

Antagonistic pleiotropy is the norm → GxEEpistatic interaction is the norm → GxGHigh-order interactions are likely normal → GxGxExE

Page 297: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Combinatorial discovery strategies

Smart study design + smart statistics + biological constraint

• Stratified sampling• Multi-stage testing• Cross-validation

• Data-mining / Machine learning

- CART/forests- MARS- PRIM

• Functional pathways• Regulatory pathways• Chromosomal units

Why is this critical?

Antagonistic pleiotropy is the norm → GxEEpistatic interaction is the norm → GxGHigh-order interactions are likely normal → GxGxExELow power, “replication failure”, and epistemological slop

- the missing “h”, and the missing “E”

Page 298: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies• Genome-wide approaches

3. Gene-Environment interaction• Statistical considerations

- Main effects and antagonistic pleiotropy- Interaction models- Combinatorial discovery

• Revisiting the “bioinformatic” middle road- Candidate set selection

a. Regulatory polymorphismb. Coding polymorphism

Page 299: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Technical aspects of study design and data analysis

Study designs, assay technologies, and statistical methods

1. “Gene discovery” (e.g., genetic epidemiology)• Candidate gene studies• Genome-wide association studies• The bioinformatic “middle road” – biological hypotheses buy power

2. Environmental regulation of health (via transcription)• Candidate transcript studies• Genome-wide approaches

3. Gene-Environment interaction• Statistical considerations• Revisiting the “bioinformatic” middle road

Page 300: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

Page 301: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

Page 302: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

Page 303: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

Page 304: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)

Page 305: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)- modeling biological mechanisms to focus power/impose constraints (e.g., candidate systems, functional themes, regulatory themes)

Page 306: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)- modeling biological mechanisms to focus power/impose constraints (e.g., candidate systems, functional themes, regulatory themes)- combinatorial data-mining (e.g., machine learning in discovery sample)

Page 307: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)- modeling biological mechanisms to focus power/impose constraints (e.g., candidate systems, functional themes, regulatory themes)- combinatorial data-mining (e.g., machine learning in discovery sample)- sequential testing designs (low stringency discovery, med stringency test, high stringency confirm)

Page 308: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Take-home points for this group:

1. Gene-Environment interactions are likely far more…- ubiquitous- large in effect size- clinically/socially meaningful

…than current genetic analyses presume.

There is plenty left for you to find.

2. If you have the study you have (i.e., can’t alter sampling design), your major opportunities for increasing power/discovery involve:

- focusing on substantive effects that are true/big (e.g., GxE, not G, given antagonistic pleiotropy; E, ExE, GxG,

etc.)- modeling biological mechanisms to focus power/impose constraints (e.g., candidate systems, functional themes, regulatory themes)- combinatorial data-mining (e.g., machine learning in discovery sample)- sequential testing designs (low stringency discovery, med stringency test, high stringency confirm)

Your advantage is smart data analysis.

Page 309: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Follow-up references

Overview of genetics / biologyAttia, J., et al. (2009) How to use an article about genetic association: A: Background concepts. JAMA, 301, 74-81

Genetic association studiesHirschhorn, J., & Daly, M. (2005) Genome-wide association studies for common diseases and complex traits. Nature Reviews Genetics, 6, 95-108.Attia, J., et al. (2009) How to use an article about genetic association: B: Are the results of the study valid? JAMA, 301, 191-197.Cordell, H, & Clayton, D. (2005) Genetic epidemiology 3: Genetic association studies. Lancet, 366, 1121-1131

Basic statistical modeling for geneticsSiegmund, D., & Yakir, B. (2007) The statistics of gene mapping. New York, Springer

Sampling & statistical approaches for GxE discoveryThomas, D., (2010) Gene-environment-wide association studies: emerging approaches. Nature Reviews Genetics, 11, 259-272

Statistical strategies for combinatorial discoveryHastie, T., Tibshirani, R. & Friedman, J. (2001) The elements of statistical learning. New York, Springer.

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Page 310: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Perspectives on the State of the Field

How can we best promote the integration of genetic and demographic approaches?

Page 311: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Application clinic

Open microphone

1. What do you want to accomplish?

2. At what stage are you now?i. Study design?ii. Data collection?iii. Analysis and reporting?

3. How can we be of help?

Page 312: Genomics Workshop Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM

Genomics Workshop

Demography of Aging Centers Biomarker Network Meeting in Conjunction with the Annual Meeting of the PAA

April 14, 9:00 AM to 3:30 PM – Hyatt Regency, Dallas, Texas

Sponsored by USC/UCLA Center of Biodemography and Population Health

Organized by Teresa Seeman, Steven Cole, Eileen Crimmins

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Richlin et al. Brain, Behavior & Immunity (2004)