georgian national study - iri€¢ the margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 1.5 percent....

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1 Georgian National Study International Republican Institute, Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization, The Institute of Polling And Marketing with funding from the United States Agency for International Development May 17 June 2, 2013

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1

Georgian National Study

International Republican Institute,

Baltic Surveys Ltd. / The Gallup Organization,

The Institute of Polling And Marketing

with funding from the

United States Agency for International

Development

May 17 – June 2, 2013

2

INFORMATION ABOUT THE SURVEY

• The survey was conducted by the Institute of Polling and Marketing for Baltic Surveys/Gallup on behalf of

the International Republican Institute.

• This national representative survey was carried out from May 17-June 2, 2013.

• The sample consists of 3,998 Georgian residents aged 18 years and older, and eligible to vote, and is

representative of the general population by age, gender, education, and religion.

• The sample design was a multi-stage random sample.

– Stage One: Break country into official administrative regions.

– Stage Two: Select clusters of sampling points based on settlement population (large, medium, small

towns and villages). One sample point is approximately one percent of survey population (39-41

surveys). Sampling points in each region were selected based on the percentage of population living

in the various levels of settlement in that region.

• Respondents were selected by the random route method, using the next birthday rule to select a respondent

from within a household.

• Data was collected through face-to-face interviews with the respondents.

• The poll was conducted nationwide, including the capitol and all major regional centers.

• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 1.5 percent.

• The response rate was 70 percent.

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

3

ISSUES

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

4

What are the main problems Georgia is facing at the moment?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

5

What are the main problems your town/village is facing at

the moment?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

6

What are the most important issues for you and your

household members?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

7

Regarding the current situation and the future of Georgia,

what are the three things you are afraid of the most?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

8

I am going to read you a list of issues. In your opinion, is each

getting better, worse or unchanged?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

9

Since the October 2012 parliamentary elections, would you say

the prices of the following products have increased, stayed the

same or decreased?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

10

Do you think it is acceptable to use the following forms of social

protest?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

11

POLITICS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

12

How much interest do you have in politics?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

13

What are your three main expectations of the new

government? (open ended)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

14

What are the three main accomplishments of the new

government?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

15

What are the three biggest failures of the new government?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

16

In what field should the Georgian government carry out

reforms first? Second? Third?

33

22

16

8

8

5

2

2

2

22

28

17

6

11

4

3

3

18

19

21

8

12

4

3

4

1

1 2

2

3

6

2

2

Economy

Healthcare

Agriculture

Judiciary

Education

Defense

Environmental Protection

Local governance

Penitentiary and Corrections

Energy

DK/NA

First Second Third

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

17

When you consider which presidential candidate to vote for,

what is more important – the party/bloc the person represents

or the candidate?

45 24 22 9Georgia

Candidate is more important Party/bloc is more important Both are equally important DK/NA

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

18

Would you like to see a single candidate from the non-

parliamentary opposition running for president?

51 28 21Georgia

Yes No DK/NA

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

19

INSTITUTIONS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

20

What is your opinion about the work of the following

institutions?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

21

Do you feel the governor of your region is doing a good job and

is working effectively to address the problems of your region?

(by region)

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

22

Do you think that government and opposition should continue

dialog?

88

86

81

81

85

87

88

87

72

86

77

87

73

6

4

8

7

6

3

4

3

5

4

10

6

13

6

10

11

12

9

10

8

10

23

9

12

7

14

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

May 11

Nov 11

Mar 12

Nov 12

Feb 13

May 13

Yes, should continue No, should not DK/NA

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

23

Have you been in a situation over the last 12 months when you

had to pay a bribe in order to get a service or a decision?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

24

INTERNATIONAL

RELATIONS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

25

How would you evaluate the current state of relations

between Georgia and…?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

26

Which countries are the most important partners for Georgia?

And which comprise the most political and economic threat?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

27

Would you support further dialogue with Russia?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

28

Do you support Georgia joining NATO?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

29

When do you think Georgia will become a member of NATO?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

30

Do you think that Russian aggression towards Georgia is

over or is it still going on?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

31

Do you support Georgia joining the European Union?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

32

SOURCES OF

INFORMATION

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

33

Which sources do you use to obtain political information?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

34

Is Georgian mass media free to express various political views

or is there government control over media content?

20

17

22

13

10

13

14

10

15

11

13

16

14

14

17

27

22

45

51

53

47

41

44

35

35

37

43

39

42

38

40

56

55

59

16

20

14

28

28

24

26

25

23

22

22

19

25

21

14

8

7

4

2

5

13

8

14

14

11

9

11

7

9

11

3

1

1

8

9

7

7

11

11

15

14

15

15

16

14

14

10

9

10

3 16Oct 05

Apr 06

Feb 07

Sep 07

Feb 08

Sep 08

Feb 09

Jun 09

Oct 09

Mar 10

Oct 10

May 11

Nov 11

Mar 12

Nov 12

Feb 13

May 13

Totally free Mostly free Mostly unfree Totally unfree DK/NA

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

35

Why do you think that Georgian mass media is not free to

express various political views? (N=348)

46

14

9

5

26

47

12

14

3

23

47

17

9

4

23

69

4

9

1

15

65

5

11

18

63

6

10

1

20

Government puts pressure on media

Media is corrupt

Media does not report bad news

Other

DK/NA

May 13

Feb 13

Nov 12

Mar 12

Nov 11

May 11

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

36

How many times per week do you access the Internet?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

37

Where do you access the Internet?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

38

Do you feel that television stations offer a fair and

balanced view of the political situation?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

39

How often do you do the following using Internet?

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

40

SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHICS

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

41 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

42 IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

43

Attendance of Religious Service

A few times a week

6%

Once a week

15%

Once a month

24%

A few times per year

39%

Never

16%

Religion

Orthodox

87%

Other

4%

Muslim

8%

None

1%

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

44

Occupation

Housewife

16%

Unemployed

36%Self-employed

2%

Student

2%

Blue collar

5%

Farmer

3%

White collar

3%

Executive

13%

Retired

20%

Sector of Employment

Don't work

73%

Nongovernment

0%

Private sector

18%

State sector

9%

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013

45

Regions

Ajara

8%Guria

3%Samegrelo

10%Imereti

17%

Mtskheta-Mtianeti

2%

Tbilisi

29%

Kakheti

9% Shida Kartli

7%Kvemo Kartli

11%

Samtskhe-Javakheti

4%

IRI, USAID, Baltic Surveys / The Gallup Organization, IPM GEORGIAN NATIONAL STUDY, May 2013