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GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 NEW RANKINGS, TRENDS AND CRITERIA Greater Paris Investment Agency

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Page 1: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 NEW RANKINGS, TRENDS AND CRITERIA

Greater Paris Investment Agency

Page 2: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

2

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyTHE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY

WHY THIS MONITOR?

The Greater Paris Investment Agency was established as a non-profit organization 25 years ago by the Paris Chamber of Commerce and Industry. With over a hundred major French and international firms, our membership guarantees our independence. Our missions include promoting Greater Paris abroad and lobbying political and economic decision- makers.

The Greater Paris Investment Agency also specializes in benchmark studies and surveys designed to compare present and future at-tractiveness, and assess the real and perceived image of Greater Paris. It is a major player in the Greater Paris project.

The Monitor was designed to provide interna-tional decision-makers with information on which to base their future investments. The Greater Paris Investment Agency presents the study’s results at road shows in countries such as Brazil, the United States, Japan, Korea, the Gulf Countries, Russia, India, China and Turkey.

The Monitor is a reliable tool for local, natio-nal, and international policymakers. It has also helped the Greater Paris Investment Agency to attract new investors, foster the development of innovative clusters and struc-ture the Greater Paris project.

Page 3: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG3

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyKEY POINTS

International greenfield investments are down -8.7% year-on-year and -31% since 2008. Each year, moreglobal cities compete on all continents to attract fewer international greenfield investments, especiallystrategic ones: headquarters, R&D centers... Differentiation matters ever more.

In 2015 the world’s global pivot to Asia and Pacific accelerated. Among the most impressive success storiesare Sydney, Bangalore or Dubai. However, New York is also performing extremely well.

Europe, is still the first source of international greenfield investments.

IMAGE Paris is among most positive outlooks, in spite of terror attacks- The panel of 500 top international investors ranks Paris 4th by investment criteria.

Overall, Paris remains in the top 3 for global image: Paris appears as a strong brand.- Terror attacks did not dampen their optimism; Paris is considered to be only slightly

more affected than the rest of Europe- Olympic Games or World Expo are recognized as attractiveness boosters for Paris

REALITY Paris reaches up to top 3 for R&D centers, thanks to magic tax credit and top high tech brand. These projects are the most important to establish a long-term position.

- Paris is also ranked in the top 3 for quality and availability of human resources- Investors (above all Americans) recognize Paris as a propitious location for high tech

projects- A major development project like the Grand Paris Project, targeting infrastructure

and innovation, is a critical vector of differentiation

Page 4: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

4

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG5

Greater Paris Investment Agency

COMPANIES BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN

REVENUE (in euros)

BUSINESS ACTIVITY

Services IT Heavy industry Consumer goods

COMPANIES BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN

REVENUE (in euros)

BUSINESS ACTIVITY

Services IT Heavy industry Consumer goods

METHODOLOGYA SCIENTIFIC APPROACH BASED ON A REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE

PERCEPTIONS

A poll conducted by “opinionway

• Representative sample of 510 companies with international business settlements

• 22 countries

• 3 criteria: - Location of headquarters - Industry - Turnover

• Phone interviews with global business leaders (CEO, managing director, administrative and financial manager, sales manager, head of international investment)

• From 17 December 2015 to 8 March 2016

BUSINESS ACTIVITY

Services IT Heavy industry Consumer goods

21%

31%41%

7%

Less than 500 million Between 500 millions and 5 billion More than 5 billion

REVENUE (in euros)

20%56%

24%

POSITION OF THE INTERVIEWEE

CEO9%

Development Manager

14%

Marketing/Communication Manager

31%

39%Financial Manager

COMPANIES BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN

America Greater Europe BRIC

Asia Gulf countries

COMPANIES BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN

REVENUE (in euros)

BUSINESS ACTIVITY

Services IT Heavy industry Consumer goods

42%41%

2%6%9%

North America

Canada .............................20United States ...................90Total ...............................110

Middle East

Kuwait .............................10Qatar ................................10Saudi Arabia ....................10UAE ..................................20Total .................................50

Europe

France ..............................35Germany ..........................35Italy ..................................20Netherlands .....................10Spain ................................10Sweden ............................10Switzerland .....................20UK ....................................50Ireland .............................10Total ... ........................... 200

Asia

Japan ...............................40South Korea .....................10Total ................................ 50

BRIC

Brazil ...............................15China................................25Hong Kong .......................20India .................................20Russia ..............................20Total .. ............................ 100

Others3%

Human Resources Manager

3%

CEO3%

Page 5: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG5

Greater Paris Investment AgencyMETHODOLOGY

AN OBJECTIVE FOCUS ON THE LATEST INVESTMENTS

The annual period begins with the fourth quarter:

2015

4th quarter 2014

1st quarter 2015

2nd quarter 2015

3rd quarter 2015

25 Global Cities- Top destinations in terms of international

greenfield investments- Excluding City States- The most open economies, not necessarily the

Top GDPs.

International Greenfield Investments The Monitor measures the number of published international “greenfield” investments collected in the fDi Markets database.

International greenfield investments occur when a company launches new activities in a global city. They build up its economic potential and create jobs. Purely financial investments, like real estate transactions, privatisations or alliances are not included. Joint ventures are included only when they result in job creation.

REALITY

To enable verification of our sources, the Monitor allows four months to elapse from the recording of investments in the fDi Markets. Thus, the period reviewed starts with the 4th quarter of the previous year.

Tokyo

SydneySão Paolo

Moscow

San Francisco

Hong Kong

Shanghai

Mumbai

Warsaw

Düsseldorf

Frankfurt

Amsterdam

London

Toronto

Istanbul

BangaloreAbu Dhabi

New Delhi

Dublin

Seoul Beijing

Paris Madrid

New York

Barcelona

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6

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment Agency METHODOLOGY

25 global cities

The Top global cities for international greenfield investments list has been updated to take account of the significant rebalances in the global economy.

AN UPDATED, RIGOROUS OVERVIEW

San Francisco

New York

São Paolo

Hong Kong

Seoul

Shanghai

Tokyo

New Delhi

Sydney

Mexico

=

Mumbai=

=

=

Beijing=

=

=

=

+

Bangalore+

+

=

-

Montréal

Toronto+ -

Abu Dhabi +

= In the Top 25 since 2009- In the Top 25 since 2009-2013 + In the Top 25 since 2013

Database:“fDi markets” Financial Times, since January 2003• 155,000 international investment projects• 71,000 businesses all over the world• 12,600 information sources: newspapers,

magazines, associations, websites…

Frankfurt

London

Istanbul

MoscowAmsterdam

DüsseldorfWarsaw

Stockholm

Brussels

BerlinDublin

Paris =

Barcelona=Madrid=

=

=

+

+

+=

-

-

-

=

=

Page 7: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment Agency

PERCEPTION BENCHMARKSGLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016

Chrysler Building(318m)

New York

Gherkin Tower(180m)

London

Burj al Arab(321m)Dubai

La Défense(111m)Paris

Bank of china(226m)

Hong Kong

World Financial Center(492m)

Shanghai

Greater Paris Investment Agency

Page 8: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment Agency

8

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable.

Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe.

Paris, New York and London top the list for the seventh year running.

Tokyo is in the Top 4 for the third year.

Chinese cities improve their image and rankings: Shanghai and Hong Kong move to fifth and seventh place, respectively.

Los Angeles now places second-best for global image in North America, while San Francisco and Chicago declined in the ranking.

TOP 10

Shan

ghai

Los

Ange

les

Toky

o

Sing

apor

e

Berl

in

Hon

g Ko

ng

Dub

ai

Chic

ago

Sydn

ey

Rom

e

Atla

nta

Toro

nto

Fran

kfur

t

San

Fran

cisc

oVa

ncou

ver

Amst

erda

m

Stoc

khol

m

New

Yor

k

Lond

on

Pari

s

New YorkBerlin

Tokyo

Shanghai

49

Paris

8

London

2

Singapore

Hong Kong

Los Angeles

11 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 14 15 16 17 18 19 2013

1

1

2

3

4

56

7

8

9

Dubai

10

58%

53%

28%

12%10%

9%8% 8%

6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2%

Greater Paris Investment Agency

CITIES’ GLOBAL IMAGE“In your view, which 3 cities or major world capitals have the best overall image?”

GLOBAL IMAGE PARIS, THIRD WORLDWIDE

Page 9: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment Agency

9

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

New York

Shanghai

Hong Kong

London

Tokyo

BRIC Only Paris, London and New York rank among the Top 5 on all continents, benefiting from a strong brand image regardless of the geographical background of investors.

Regional affinities play a role, especially in determining the top image on each continent: New York is ranked first in Northern America, Tokyo in Asia, Dubai in the Gulf Countries and London in Europe.

LondonNew York

Paris

Los Angeles

Tokyo

AMERICA

Brazil excluded

New YorkLondon

Paris

EUROPE

Russia excluded

Berlin

Shanghai

New YorkTokyo

ASIA

India & China excluded

London

Singapore Paris

GULF COUNTRIES

New York

Singapore

London

Dubai

Paris

➞➞

➞➞➞

➞ New entries in the Top 5

Greater Paris Investment AgencyREGIONAL IMAGEPARIS AMONG LEADERS ON ALL CONTINENTS

CITIES’ REGIONAL IMAGE“In your view, which 3 cities or major world capitals have the best overall image?”

Page 10: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

10

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyPERCEIVED ATTRACTIVENESS

CURRENTLY FAVORABLE TO NORTH AMERICA

CITIES’ GLOBAL ATTRACTIVENESS“In your view, which 3 major world capitals are currently the most attractive locations for setting up a business in general (whether another business or yours)?”

Paris moves up one spot to 4th place in the global ranking and leads in Conti-nental Europe. Berlin ranks second in Europe, but only 10th globally.

In the first few editions of the Global Cities Investment Monitor, global cities expe-riencing faster growth enjoyed a higher perceived attractiveness. The global decline in growth rate has levelled the field, and Asian global cities no longer enjoy a marked advantage over Western cities.

“Perceived attractiveness” proves itself the most consistent indicator of the next year’s ranking in real international greenfield Investments. Paris seems well positioned, as confirmed by other indicators.

Sing

apor

eLo

s An

gele

s

Pari

s

Chic

ago

San

Fran

cisc

o

Hon

g Ko

ng

Berl

in

Dub

aiFr

ankf

urt

Toky

o

Dal

las

Sydn

ey

New

Del

hi

Beiji

ngSt

ockh

olm

Hou

ston

Atla

nta

Lond

onN

ew Y

ork

Shan

ghai

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

London

San Francisco

8

Berlin

10

Paris

1

New York

Shanghai

Hong Kong

1

2

Singapore

TOP 10

34

5

7Chicago

8

9

6

Los Angeles

10

38%

35%

18%

11%9%

8% 8%7%

6% 6% 6% 6%5% 5%

4% 4% 4%3% 3% 3%

10

Page 11: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

11

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyTHE CONTINENTS’ ATTRACTIVENESS

INTENTIONS TRENDS FAVORABLE TO ASIA

Just above half of all companies interviewed declared that they intended to develop inter-national greenfield projects over the next three years. Regional trends seem to confirm a neat improvement for Asian cities, a drop in projects earmarked for North America and a stable outlook for Europe.

INVESTMENT PROJECTS BY CONTINENT“In which major cities will your company invest over the next 3 years?”

IN THE AMERICAS

Brazil included

2015

IN ASIAIndia and China included

IN AFRICA AND

THE MIDDLE EAST

Gulf countries included2015

2016

IN EUROPERussia included

20162015

2015 2016

4%5%

22%18%

2016

14%17%

12%12%

Page 12: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

12

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyINVESTMENT CRITERIA

BACK TO BASICS

“In your view, which of the following investment criteriaare the most important when choosing your location?”

Qual

ity o

f life

54%

46%

Qual

ity o

f inn

ovat

ion

and

rese

arch

QUALITY OF LIFE AND RESEARCH

Of course, investors want to select the best opportunities, combining the highest returns with the lowest risks. As a result, fundamentals matter when selecting a place to invest. From the point of view of policy-makers, it means building long-term assets, which requires considerable capital, both financial and political. Building the sort of economic and political environment that makes a truly global city is a rare achievement and the global city a rare commodity.

Political stability and juridical security are probably the most difficult to achieve, yet they are the first criterion for investors. Economic growth, market accessibility and size, and infrastructure come next. Quality in education, innovation and R&D or quality of life are a little less often quoted, yet this does not mean that they are not often decisive means of differentiation in the competition between global cities.

Acce

ssib

ility

of

skill

ed H

R

Qual

ity o

f edu

catio

nAv

aila

bilit

y an

d

cost

of r

eal e

stat

e

WORKFORCE ANDCOST CRITERIA

Livi

ng c

osts

sala

ries

and

tax

leve

ls

POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC CONTEXT

90%

88%85%

Polit

ical

sta

bilit

y

and

juri

dica

l sec

urity

Infr

astr

uctu

reEc

onom

ic g

row

th

84%

Mar

ket a

cces

sibi

lity

and

size

83%

68%

78%

68%

Page 13: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

13

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyRANKINGS’ STABILITY

PARIS IN THE TOP 4

PERCEPTION OF CITIES’ ATTRACTIVENESS, BY INVESTMENT CRITERION

1 2 3 4 5Political stability and juridical security New York London Washington Berlin Toronto

Infrastructure New York London Paris Tokyo Shanghai

Economic growth Shanghai London New York Mumbai Beijing

Market accessibility and size New York London Shanghai Beijing San Francisco

Availability of skilled HR New York London Paris Shanghai Tokyo

Living costs, salaries and tax levels New York London Dublin Shanghai Warsaw

Quality of education London New York San Francisco Boston Tokyo

Availability and cost of real estate New York London Berlin Warsaw Toronto

Quality of research and innovation San Francisco New York London Tokyo Frankfurt

Quality of life New York Paris London San Francisco Berlin

Total New York London San Francisco Paris Shanghai

Criterion by criterion, the dominance of Wes-tern global cities remains overwhelming. As growth differentials diminish worldwide, and emerging countries become major players in technology, and high added-value ser-vices, the convergence of major economies has triggered increasing competition among global cities.

This still gives an advantage to the global cities with more mature, extensive and diversified assets. Asian cities, relatively new entrants, dominate with regard to economic growth, and are now recognized for infrastructure as well.

Paris moves from fifth to fourth position, and gets improved investor appraisals regarding human resources and quality of life, while enjoying a positive perception of its infrastructure.

Page 14: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

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GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyFUTURE LEADERS

PARIS: A POSITIVE OUTLOOK

Investments are necessarily a bet on the future. International investors are some of the most well-informed people. Their opinion on global cities’ outlooks will have a decisive effect on real decisions.

In 2016, the international investors surveyed seem to have identified a few dynamic global cities on all continents except South America and Oceania. Toronto, Dubai, Paris and Abu Dhabi are the four global cities that improved their ranking year-on-year.

Shanghai

1London

3New York

5New Delhi

8Beijing

9DubaiToronto

2 Abu Dhabi

94 9

Shanghai

New York

15

Toronto

2

Mumbai

6

ParisLondon

60

3

6

New Delhi

8

Dubai

4

Beijing

9

Abu Dhabi

9

“In your view, which city’s attractiveness will increase the most in the next 3 years?”

1 3 7 6Mumbai

6

522 9 4 25

2016

2015

Paris

6

8

Page 15: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment Agency

PERCEPTIONS: FOCUS ON PARISGLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016

Chrysler Building(318m)

New York

Gherkin Tower(180m)

London

Burj al Arab(321m)Dubai

La Défense(111m)Paris

Bank of china(226m)

Hong Kong

World Financial Center(492m)

Shanghai

Greater Paris Investment Agency

Page 16: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

16

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyIN THE WAKE OF TERROR

PARIS & EUROPE ALIGNED

Although the survey was conducted in the wake of major terror attacks targeting Paris, the international investors interviewed did not consider that the global city was more at risk than the rest of Europe. Regional sensitivities play a role, with American investors more opti-mistic than Asian ones.

In Europe

Yes, definitely

Yes, most likely

In Paris

Yes, definitely

Yes, most likely

“In light of the recent terrorist attacks, do you think that the issue of security will curb investment…”

In Europe In Paris

52%

23%

51%

24%

47%

20%

40%

15%

In Europe In Paris

In Europe In Paris

50%

33%

52%

34%In Europe In Paris

69%

40%

71%

37%

In Europe In Paris

70%

35%

70%

29%

AMERICAN INVESTORSBrazil excluded

EUROPEAN INVESTORSRussia excluded

GULF COUNTRY INVESTORS

ASIAN INVESTORS India and China excluded

BRIC INVESTORS

Page 17: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

17

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyINTERNATIONAL EVENTS

ATTRACTIVENESS BOOSTERS

The previous editions of the Monitor have revealed that major international events lead to a lasting surge in interna-tional greenfield investments.

The investors interviewed acknowledged this fact.

Paris is candidate to organizing the 2024 Olympic Games and the 2025 World Expo.

Yes, definitely

Yes, most likely

The Summer Olympic Games in 2024

Universal Exhibition in 2025

Yes, most likely

Yes, definitely

“Paris is a candidate city for hosting the Summer Olympic Games in 2024 and the Universal Exhibition in 2025. If Paris’ bid is accepted for the following events, would this encourage you to consider investment in Paris?”

JO UE

JO UE

JO UE JO UE

JO UE

AMERICAN INVESTORSBrazil excluded

EUROPEAN INVESTORSRussia excluded

GULF COUNTRY INVESTORS

ASIAN INVESTORS India and China excluded

46%

12%

39%

8%

42%

19%

42%

19%

55%

13%

52%

14%

72%

33%

72%

27%

55%

15%

57%

7%

BRIC INVESTORS

Page 18: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

18

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyINNOVATION IN PARIS

A SPECIAL LINK WITH AMERICANS

Paris is already a regular leading destination for R&D and is recognized for the quality of its Human Resources services.

Moreover, the investors interviewed clearly see Paris as a smart city, a leading destination for new technologies.

American investors are particularly enthusiastic.

AMERICAN INVESTORS

Brazil excluded

ASIAN INVESTORS

India and China excluded

BRIC INVESTORS

GULF COUNTRY INVESTORS

EUROPEAN INVESTORS

Russia excluded

61%

Yes, definitely Yes, most likely

21%

66%

81%

16%

17%

61%

26%

55%

14%

39%OVERALL RESULTS (ALL INVESTORS)

68%

17%

“Do you think that Paris is conducive to the establishment and development of companies in the sector of new technologies?”

Page 19: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment Agency

REALITY BENCHMARKSGLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016

Transamerica Pyramid

(260m) San Francisco

Federation Tower (506m)

Moscow

Shanghai Tower(632m)

Shanghai

Phare Tower(297m) Paris

Sapphire Tower(261m)

Istanbul

Shard Tower(305m)

London

Greater Paris Investment Agency

Page 20: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG20 21

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyEUROPE, THE LEADING DESTINATION

OF INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENTS

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

ORIGINS OF INTERNATIONAL GREENFIELD INVESTMENTS, IN SELECTED CITIES

Top cities need stable and strong links with regional investors. Europe is the biggest investor in all regions, followed by North America and Asia.

Over the last two years intra-Asian invest-ments more than tripled, signaling a whole new intra-zone dynamic.

The intra-European dynamic is also the most intense of any region, followed by the intra-Asian dynamic, while the Americas and Africa largely depend on investments from other regions.

North America

Africa

Middle East

50%

16%29%

South America

Africa

Europe

North America

Asia

Middle East

South America

Europe

Asia

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GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG20 21

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment Agency

Investments are mainly from Europe, except in London and Mumbai, where American investments dominate.

The biggest variation concerns Asian invest-ments in Shanghai (+9 pts).

In Paris, Chinese investors still represent the largest share of Asian investments, but Indian, Singaporian and Australian projects have significantly increased, representing a major diversification.

EUROPE, THE MAIN INVESTORIN GLOBAL CITIES

ORIGINS OF INTERNATIONAL GREENFIELD INVESTMENTS, IN SELECTED CITIES

Others

Europe

North America

Asia

Middle East

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

New York

Paris

Shangai

Mumbai

Sao paulo

London

New York

London

50%

16% 3%

29%

New York

Paris

Shangai

Mumbai

Sao paulo

London

New York

São Paolo

32% 46%

6%16%

1%

New YorkNew York

Paris

Shangai

Mumbai

Sao paulo

London

New York

6%

75%

6%12%

1%

2%Shanghai

New York

Paris

Shangai

Mumbai

Sao paulo

London

New York

29%

27%

1%2%

42%

Mumbai

New York

Paris

Shangai

Mumbai

Sao paulo

London

New York

27%12%

2%

47%

12%

New York

Paris

Shangai

Mumbai

Sao paulo

London

New York

50%China

Japan

10% 10%Singapore

20%India

Australia 10%

PARIS - FOCUS ON ASIA

New York

Paris

Shangai

Mumbai

Sao paulo

London

New York

9%

56%33%

2%Paris 1%

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GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG22 23

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyPIVOT TO ASIA

EUROPE STILL ON TOP

DESTINATION OF INTERNATIONAL GREENFIELD INVESTMENTS BY WORLD REGION

16% 33%

31%

4%

5%8%

3%

Global Decline : -8.7%

Oceania

North America

South America

& the Caribbean

Asia

Europe

Middle East

Africa

-21% -20%

-10%

-20%

-13%

-2%

Since 2009 (the first edition of the Monitor), internatio-nal greenfield investments have globally declined by 24%. Global cities are engaged in a long-term struggle to attract them.

International Greenfield Investments: Year-on-year changes (%)

In 2015, the global percentage average resulted from divergent regional trends, although regional values declined: North America (-3%) and Asia (-2%) moderately, Europe like the world average (-10%), while Oceania (-13%), the Middle East (-20%), Africa (-20%) and South America (-21%) dropped more sharply.

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

-3%

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

Page 23: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG22 23

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyMAJOR GLOBAL CITIES

THE LARGEST INVESTMENT RECIPIENTS

GLOBAL CITIES’ SHARE OF NATIONAL INCOMING INVESTMENTS

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

Global cities continue to receive the lion’s share of international greenfield investments.

The map opposite illustrates the concentration of investments in global cities. It is remarkable that the weight of global cities in their respective national economies is very different. While a single city attracts 50% or more of international greenfield investments in France, Ireland or Japan, and more than 40% in the Netherlands, Turkey or Korea, no single city attracts more than 10% in the USA, than 16% in Germany or in India.

Interestingly, this distribution does not correspond exactly to a centralized v. federal state dichotomy. Indeed, Brazil, for example, is characterized by a much more powerful center (São Paolo) than China. It is also remarkable that while some countries in Europe receive high investment levels, the European Union as a whole has a profile quite similar to other federal states, where no single polarity dominates.

San Francisco

New York

São Paolo

>40%

30% to 40% <20%

20% to 30%

4% 10%

Toronto 29%

35%

Mumbai7%Hong Kong

Seoul

41%

Shanghai19%

Tokyo51%

Frankfurt

BarcelonaMadrid

London

Istanbul

MoscowAmsterdam

40%36%22%

Paris 52%15%

Düsseldorf10%

41%36%

28%

Warsaw19%

Bangalore16%

New Delhi

4%

Sydney39%

Beijing

8%

Dublin 50%

16%

Page 24: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG24 25

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyNEW TRENDS

SHANGHAI AND PARIS IN THE TOP 6

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

In 2015, like in 2014 and 2013, all continents were represented in the Top 10 global cities, which reflects a truly global competition, one that is more open than ever before.

Although the general ranking appears quite like that of the previous year, some remar-kable individual changes took place.

New York moved up three spots to number 3, like Bangalore, while Hong Kong and Sydney each moved up one spot.

On the contrary, Sao Paulo (-4) suffered the largest setback. These contrasting dynamics partly reflect different regional orientations (cf. page 21).

Paris, in the Top 5, outperforms its 5-year mean ranking (6th).

Sydney

New York

São Paolo

Hong Kong

Shanghai

150

ParisLondon

Dublin

Bangalore

161

90

330

151

126

118

108

88

Tokyo

88

Lond

on

Hon

g Ko

ng

Pari

s

Sydn

eyBa

ngal

ore

São

Paol

o

Dub

lin

Toky

oBa

rcel

ona

Fran

kfur

t

Beiji

ng

Mad

rid

Amst

erda

m

Mum

bai

San

Fran

cisc

o

Ista

nbul

Toro

nto

Düss

eldo

rf

Shan

ghai

New

Yor

k

2014 ranking 1 2 6 5 3 7 10 4 8 11 11 9 15 13 21 16 20 17 19 14

330

2015 ranking 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 15 2014 1913 1812 1711 1699

NUMBER OF INVESTMENTS

183

161151

126118

10890

6740

6748

7149

7552

8562

8888

183

Page 25: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG24 25

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyFOCUS ON STRATEGIC INVESTMENTS

Lond

on

San

Fran

cisc

o

Hon

g Ko

ng

Amst

erda

m

Pari

s

Toro

nto

Sydn

ey

Ista

nbul

Barc

elon

a

Fran

kfur

t

Dub

lin

Düs

seld

orf

Toky

o

Mad

rid

São

Paol

o

Mum

bai

New

Yor

k

Beiji

ng

Shan

ghai

Bang

alor

e

1 4 2 8 3 6 13 5 15 7

201

New York

São Paolo

150

ParisLondon

Dublin

201

60

1 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 1312119 10 15 1817 17168 14

Strategic investments, the rarest and most coveted type of investments*, tend to be even more concentrated in the Top global cities.New York and Sydney do better on strategic functions than on total investments, while Shanghai and São Paolo are underperforming. London and Paris have maintained the same positions as in the general ranking.

* Strategic business activities comprise customer contact centers, design, development & testing, education and training, headquarters, research and development, sales, marketing & support, and shared service centers

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

53

Shanghai

Hong Kong

82

Sydney

69

Tokyo

57

NUMBER OF INVESTMENTS

102 102

2014 ranking 1 4 2 8 3 6 13 5 15 7

2015 ranking

82

44

80

40

69 68

60 53

57

38 36

26 2630

272825

102

102

82

80

Barcelona

68

Page 26: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG26

Greater Paris Investment Agency

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

TOP STRATEGIC INVESTMENTSCORE OF LEADING CITIES

Headquarters

Lond

on

Dub

lin

Pari

s

Shan

ghai

New

Yor

kH

ong

Kong

22

42

131315

16

Design, development, education & training centers

Bang

alor

e

Shan

ghai

Pari

s

Lond

on

Dub

lin

Beiji

ng

15

1210

35

21

12

NUMBER OF INVESTMENTS

Regional research centers

Shan

ghai

Bang

alor

e

São

Paol

o

Mum

bai

Pari

s

Ista

nbul

4

6

3

222

Lond

on

New

Yor

k

Sydn

ey

Pari

s

Shan

ghai

Hon

g Ko

ngSales, marketing & support centers

148

5258

6162

82

Page 27: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

REPORT 2011/2015REAL TOP GLOBAL CITIES

Mirante do Vale(170m)

São Paolo

Westend Strasse 1(208m)

Frankfurt

CCTV Tower(234m)Beijing

Cocoon Tower(204m) Tokyo

Al Hamra Tower(412m)

Koweit City

Hermitage Tower(320m) Paris

Greater Paris Investment Agency

Page 28: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG28 29

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyTHE GLOBAL RANKING

FOR THE LAST FIVE YEARS, 2011 TO 2015

NUMBER OF INVESTMENTS

More than any other map, this one illustrates the long-term multipolar competition for inter-national greenfield investments.

In this “great game” of the 21st century, all continents have their global city in the Top 10, but two stand out: Europe, with three global cities, and Asia, with two Chinese global cities.

Paris is by far the preferred destination for international greenfield investments in conti-nental Europe.

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

TOP 10

1209

943819

750 699 647 501 489490

1663

Shan

ghai

Hon

g Ko

ng

Lond

on

New

Yor

k

Pari

s

São

Paol

o

Barc

elon

a

Beiji

ng

Sydn

ey

Dub

lin

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 109

New York

Hong Kong

Shanghai

LondonDublin161

330

São Paolo

Paris

Sydney

BeijingBarcelona

1663

699

1209

943

819

647

490501

750

489

Page 29: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG28 29

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyTRENDS IN LEADING CITIES

2011 TO 2015

Source: fDi Markets, Financial Times Ltd

Two European global cities, two Chinese global cities and two American global cities have made the Top 6 over the last 5 years. The recent trend indicates a reversal of fortunes for international greenfield investments in all 6 cities except New York. All the others saw their international greenfield investments decreased markedly, reflecting the global trend.

80

120

160

200

240

280

320

360

400

330

359

305

351

389

309

233 223

267

183

239

195

239

189

155151

223

151

169

90

142 154 143 150

161150

108119

126

170

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Shanghai

Hong Kong

Paris

São Paolo

New York

London

NUMBER OF INVESTMENTS

80

120

160

200

240

280

320

360

400

330

359

305

351

389

309

233 223

267

183

239

195

239

189

155151

223

151

169

90

142 154 143 150

161150

108119

126

170

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Shanghai

Hong Kong

Paris

São Paolo

New York

London

Page 30: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG30 31

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment AgencyGLOBAL CITIES

A COMPETITION MORE OPEN THAN EVER

The Global Cities Investment Monitor is a unique worldwide survey conducted exclusively by the Greater Paris Investment Agency in partnership with KPMG. It ranks the attractiveness of global cities which compete at an international level.

Whereas there is no strict definition for a global city, they all benefit from a dynamic and stimulating environment where financial and business innovation meets top deci-sion-makers. Global cities are focal points whose influence reaches all continents, both densely linked and intensely competing with one another to define the best economic, urban and political standards.

Competition among global cities is more open than ever before. For most of the twentieth century, Paris, London and New York formed the leading triad. Berlin was sidelined in the course of the two world wars. Moscow stood in the Soviet Bloc apart from economic competition. Tokyo was probably the first strong challenger.

Even with a much more open competition, very few cities can hope to figure among the top global ones. As the Monitor shows, investors’ perceptions as well as actual investments tend to focus on a handful of cities and concentrate there.

For more than twenty years, the Greater Paris Investment Agency has conducted studies to compare and rank European cities. The Global Cities Investment Monitor is the first yearly global benchmark study. It fully acknowledges the changing global hierarchy.

What can Paris, a long-standing global city, expect from the Monitor? It demonstrates that Paris is perceived as an attractive city with a remarkable image. It shows that Paris is very well positioned in terms of actual investments too, even better than its image suggests.

The Monitor is a unique instrument for the Greater Paris Investment Agency to advocate and support world-class investments in infrastructure, architecture, and clusters in Greater Paris, to make it one of the world’s leading business capitals of the twenty-first century.

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GLOBAL CITIES INVESTMENT MONITOR 2016 © THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY AND KPMG30 31

Greater Paris Investment Agency Greater Paris Investment Agency

ABB, ACCENTURE, ACCORHOTELS, PARIS AEROPORT, AIR FRANCE, ALTAREA-COGEDIM, ALTRAN TECHNOLOGIES, BNP PARIBAS, BOUYGUES IMMOBILIER, CAILLIAU DEDOUIT & ASSOCIES, CAISSE DES DEPOTS, CAISSE D’ÉPARGNE ÎLE-DE-FRANCE, CEA, CHAMBRE DE COMMERCE ET D’INDUSTRIE DE PARIS ILE-DE-FRANCE, CHAMBRE DES NOTAIRES DE PARIS, CISCO, COLONY CAPITAL, COMEXPOSIUM, COMITE REGIONAL DU TOURISME, CREDIT AGRICOLE CIB (CALYON), DEFACTO, EDF, ENEDIS, ENGIE, EPA PLAINE DE FRANCE, EPADESA, EPAPS, EPT GRAND ORLY VAL DE BIÈVRE SEINE-AMONT, ERDF, EUROPACITY, EY, FEDERATION REGIONALE DES TRAVAUX PUBLICS ÎLE-DE-FRANCE, FONCIERE DES REGIONS, FRANCE AMERIQUES, FRESHFIELDS BRUCKHAUS DERINGER LLP, GALERIES LAFAYETTE, GECINA, GENERALE CONTINENTALE INVESTISSEMENTS, GIDE LOYRETTE NOUEL, GROUPE G7, HERMITAGE, HINDUJA GROUP, ICADE, KPMG, LA FRANCAISE, LA POSTE, LOXAM, MARNE-LA-VALLEE, EPAMARNE/EPAFRANCE, MEDEF ÎLE-DE-FRANCE, ORANGE, PORT AUTONOME DE PARIS, PWC, RATP, RIVOLI PATRIMOINE, SEMMARIS, SNCF, SOCIETE DU GRAND PARIS, TATA COMMUNICATIONS, TRANSDEV, UNIBAIL-RODAMCO, VEOLIA, VINCI SA, VIPARIS, WILMOTTE & ASSOCIES, WIPRO, XEROX…

THE GREATER PARIS INVESTMENT AGENCY

OUR MEMBERSHIP: GLOBAL&MAJOR COMPANIES

Page 32: Global Cities Investment Monitor · The spontaneous global image of top cities is extremely stable. Like in previous editions of this study, Paris leads in continental Europe. Paris,

KPMG France is a leading audit and advisory firm, member of KPMG International, a global network of professional firms providing Audit, Tax and Advisory services with a presence in 155 countries across the world. KPMG employs 174,000 professionals and generates $24.44 billion in sales. The network is structured around three regions: the Americas, Asia-Pacific, and EMEA (Europe – Middle East – Africa).

Our 8,300 professionals in France serve major international companies, SMEs and family groups, in all industry areas.

Greater Paris Investment Agency is a non-profit organization founded 25 years ago by the Paris Chamber of Commerce and Industry to attract new international investors in Greater Paris and to bolster its attractiveness.

It is comprised of more than one hundred major French and multinational companies; they guarantee total independence and provide support in fulfilling the Association’s main missions.

As Greater Paris business ambassador, our Agency is a key partner and advisor linking government decision-makers and our prestigious business partners’ network.It is a major player in the Greater Paris project.

Greater Paris Investment Agency

Jay NirsimlooChairman KPMG

www.kpmg.fr

Chiara CorazzaManaging Director

Greater Paris Investment Agency

www.greater-paris-investment-agency.com

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