government contracting m&a annual ncma workshop | march 14, 2012
DESCRIPTION
Government Contracting M&A Annual NCMA Workshop | March 14, 2012. Speakers. David Meyers CEO and Founder of ERG, Inc., consulting firm offering multidisciplinary skills in 20-plus service areas, including environment, energy, worker safety, and homeland security. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Commitment – Integrity – Performance
Government Contracting M&AAnnual NCMA Workshop | March 14, 2012
SpeakersDavid Meyers• CEO and Founder of ERG, Inc., consulting firm offering multidisciplinary skills in 20-
plus service areas, including environment, energy, worker safety, and homeland security.
• Sold to U.K.-based AEA Technology in 2010 Paul Serotkin• Senior Advisor, Venture Management, Investment Bank• Senior Executive and Shareholder in several Defense/Federal Contractors including
Glevum Associates, UFA, Titan, AverStar, Pacer Systems and Pacer Infotec
Seller’s Perspective
From ‘Entrepreneur’ to ‘Shareholder’As company matures, the goals & priorities of the founder(s) commonly shift from Entrepreneurial to Wealth Maximization & Realization • Maximize Current or Long-Term Value for Shareholders• Liquidity for Shareholder(s)
Strategic Choices: • Harvesting Legacy Contracts or Positioning for Accelerated Growth• Maintain Shareholder Control
Aggressiveness and ability to implement strategic plan tempered by:• Tolerance for on-going and/or additional investment• Tolerance for growth-driven debt
The Goal is to Grow, But How?Owner seeks to accelerate the growth of the company by....
Factors contributing to selection of strategic initiative include: • Company’s competitive position • Market Opportunities for Service Offerings• Associated Capital Requirements• Access to Required Capital • Shareholder(s) and Management’s Desire, Willingness and Ability to:
• perform various operations roles• incur near-term investment expenses • commit to a long term strategy
Access to Capital• Cash Flow from Operations• Owner Financing• Debt Financing• Partial Sale
• Private Equity• Public Equity
• Total Sale• Strategic Buyer• Private Equity
Determining Why and When to SellChanging Market Risks• Budget Realities• Small Business Policy• BRAC/RealignmentReality Checks• Shareholder Burnout/Boredom/Other Interests
Timing to Sell• Succession planning prompted by retirement goals or health concerns• When shareholder value is greater than the NPV of anticipated future values.• Adverse changes in tax codes• Procurement cycle of current and anticipated contractsWhich begs the question: What is the Business Worth?
Buyer’s Perspective
Revenue
Sustainable Profitability
Historical Growth
Legal Structure
Subcontracted Revenue
Days Receivable
Bill Rates
Financial Strategic Contracts OperationsCustomers
Mission Related Domain Knowledge
Security Clearances
Contract/Agency Concentration
Pipeline & BD Opportunities
Proprietary Tools
Geographic Footprint
Contract Vehicles
Visibility Into Future Cash Flows
Contract Expansion Opportunity
Contract Performance
Prime Contracts
Set-Aside Contracts
Succession Planning
Business Development Team
Back Office & Systems
Employee Turnover
Virtual Bench
Process Certifications
Legal & Tax Issues
Corporate Culture
Buyer’s Hypothetical Perspective
Financial Indicators
$100m+ 1.8x
$50m-$100m 1.4x
$20m-$50m 1.2x
$5m-$20m 1.0x
Under $5m 0.8x
10-20% Steady
6-10% Steady
0-5%
Fluctuating
Break-even
Long History of 10%+ CAGR
6-10% CAGR
3-5% CAGR
Short history
Recent flat or negative
growth
Revenue SizeThe larger a company, the more impact it will have to an acquirer. Size also is a litmus test for maturity, state of business systems, quality of management, etc.
Sustained ProfitabilityThe ability of a company to produce sustainable profits allows for reliable forecasts of cash flow. A company with regular cash flow can borrow more as this reduces default risk. Higher margins decrease chance of business failure, allow faster growth, permit payment of dividends, etc.
Historical Growth A company with a sustained history of revenue and profit growth is worth more than either a new company or one with periods of flat or negative growth.
Strategic Factors
DoD/Intel with “Black”1.75x
DoD/Intel 1.5x
Mix of Civilian/DoD/Intel 1.25x
100% Civilian 1.0x
Mix of Comm, State & Local, Civilian 0.75x
Customers Civilian Agencies are attractive, Intelligence Community and DoD Clients are more desirable as more discretionary funding is spent on Defense and Intel capabilities. Commercial and State & Local add complexities to business and typically dilute value.
Project Lead 1. 5x
SMEs 1.25x
Blend 1.10x
Operations 1.0x
Help Desk 0.75x
Mission Related Domain KnowledgeThe more intimate the knowledge, the more valuable the service offering. Support or Staffing Services are lower value, Daily Operations are middle, Mission Critical Subject Matter Experts add value, and Project or Task Leads are highest value.
100% TS/SCI 1. 5x
60% Cleared 1.25x
20%-60% Cleared 1.10x
>0 Cleared 1.0x
No Clearance
0.75x
Security ClearancesSecured Personnel and Facilities are barriers to entry, and are indicative of access to customers, trusted relationships. Personnel with Top Secret, TS/SCI and above are most valued. Facilities holding security clearances and SCIFs have a competitive advantage.
Contracts
Sole Source with Growth1.5x
Growth for Company 1.25x
Growth for Acquirer 1.1x
Steady Contract w/in Desired Agency 1.0x
No Growth Contracts
0.75x
Contract Expansion Expandable contracts for the company suggests revenue growth opportunities post-acquisition. The target continues to expand the original service offering, and the acquirer can leverage the acquired firm’s contracts and clients. Growth opportunities for Company is built into the Forecasted Cash Flow.
Contractor of Year Award
100% Recompete
High CPARs
50-70% Recompete
0-50% Recompete
Rate
Contract Performance History of successful recompetes, strong reputation, high CPARs are indicators of a contractor’s viability to maintain or grow within an agency. Strong history reduces risk perception of future awards.
100% Full & Open 1.00x
60% F&O 0.9x
20%+ Small Business 0.75x
20%+ SDVOB 0.5
20%+ 8(a) 0.25x
Set-Aside Contracts Due to recent changes in recertification requirements, contracts won under preferential treatment are severely discounted. A company with more than 20% 8(a) contracts will find few interested buyers. Strategic acquirers tend to stay away from buying any preferential contracts.
Revenue
Sustainable Profitability
Historical Growth
Legal Structure
Subcontracted Revenue
Days Receivable
Bill Rates
Financial Strategic Contracts OperationsCustomers
Mission Related Domain Knowledge
Security Clearances
Contract/Agency Concentration
Pipeline & BD Opportunities
Proprietary Tools
Geographic Footprint
Contract Vehicles
Visibility Into Future Cash Flows
Contract Expansion Opportunity
Contract Performance
Prime Contracts
Set-Aside Contracts
Succession Planning
Business Development Team
Back Office & Systems
Employee Turnover
Virtual Bench
Process Certifications
Legal & Tax Issues
Corporate Culture
Buyer’s Hypothetical Perspective
Federal M&A Value Drivers
EBIT
DA
Mul
tiple
16.0x
12.0x
8.0x
4.0x
Financial: Revenue Size, Backlog, Margins, Bill RatesCustomer: Civilian => Homeland Security =>DoD/ICContracts: Prime/Sub, Set-Aside vs. Full & OpenEmployee Pool: SMEs, Education, Clearances, Access to talent
Service Offering: Focused IT, Engineering, C4ISR, IA
Influences:• Public Markets• Foreign Buyers• PEGs vs. Strategics
ContactVenture Management, Inc.Paul [email protected]
Jason [email protected]
Mark [email protected]
16
Overview of ERG
Environmental, energy, and health consulting for government agencies
92% Federal 5% State 3% Commercial
53 significant contracts 917 projects so far this FY
17
Overview of ERG Locations
Lexington, MACorporate Headquarters
Boston, MAWashington D.C.Arlington and Chantilly
Research Triangle Park, NCOffice and Laboratory
Austin, TX
Atlanta, GA
Prairie Village, KS
Chicago, IlSacramento, CA
Nashua, NHSurvey & Data Center
Gainesville, FL
Cincinnati, OH
3
43 remote employees
6
92
92
9
4636
46 20
1
11 11
18
Client Retention
Customer Expansion
1984 Today
EPA
OSHA
CDC
EPA
OSHA
EPA
OSHA
CDC
FDA
EPA
OSHA
CDC
FDA
20+ States
EPA
OSHA
CDC
FDA
20+ States
DoD
HHS
DOI
EPA
OSHA
CDC
FDA
20+ States
DoD
HHS
DOI
DOL
NOAA
GSA
Prime Contract Growth19
BOEM
DOE
DOL
National Leadership Areas
Water quality regulations Air quality regulations Worker health and safety regulations,
standards, and guidance Toxic air pollution monitoring Climate programs Life cycle assessment
20
National Leadership Areas
Water conservation
Environmental health assessments
Environmental compliance and enforcement of regulations
Cost benefit analysis
Transportation/environmental
21
Growth and Acquisitions Founded in 1984
11 people
1989 EPA Small Business Contractor of the Year
1994 ERG acquires Meridian Research, Inc.
1996 ERG acquires government consulting division of Radian Corporation
2000 ERG acquires transport division of former Radian Corporation
2003 ERG acquires Franklin Associates22
Trends in Competition and Procurement
Major budget cuts in domestic programs Key competitors surviving with difficulty Major layoff of partners at competitors Clients delay spending due to budget
uncertainty Wins of new awards at ERG has compensated
for budget cuts
23