government intervention and stock returns

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Government Intervention and Stock Government Intervention and Stock Returns Returns Richard Reyes, CFP The Financial Quarterback/Investor Coach 100 East Sybelia Ave, Suite 110 Maitland, FL 32751 PH: 407-622-6669 FAX 407-599-9243 Web: www.TheFinancialQB.com Email: [email protected] Wealth & Business Planning Group, LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor which offers Fee Planning and Asset Management.

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Should equity investors be alarmed by the prospect of greater government intervention in the US economy? Lets look at some examples of US intervention in the past and examine the record of stock returns around the world over the last thirty-nine years. The evidence suggests that government intervention is just one factor among many affecting stock returns, and that an above-average degree of intervention is not necessarily associated with below-average returns.

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Page 1: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

Government Intervention and Stock ReturnsGovernment Intervention and Stock ReturnsRichard Reyes, CFP

The Financial Quarterback/Investor Coach

100 East Sybelia Ave, Suite 110

Maitland, FL 32751

PH: 407-622-6669 FAX 407-599-9243

Web: www.TheFinancialQB.com

Email: [email protected]

Wealth & Business Planning Group, LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor which offers Fee Planning and Asset Management.

Page 2: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

Newsweek February 16, 2009

“Whether we want to admit it or not …the America of 2009 is

moving toward a modern European state.”

“More government intrusion in the economy will lamost surely

limit growth.”

Page 3: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

Time July 14, 1975

“As capitalism approaches its bicentennial, it is beset

by crises.”

“Inflationary recession is more likely than anything

else to make voters turn to an authoritarian fascist or

socialist system.”

Page 4: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

December 28, 1917

President Woodrow Wilson issues presidential order assuming control of railroad industry.

US Railroad Administration divided into seven regions.

March 1920

Industry returned to private ownership

Page 5: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

May 18, 1933

Roosevelt signs Tennessee Valley Authority Act.

January 1938

Supreme Court rules TVA has right to build power plants in competition with private industry.

1941

TVA becomes nations largest power producer.

Page 6: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

April 1944

Roosevelt orders seizure of Chicago mail-order firm Montgomery Ward & Co. amidst labor dispute.

CEO Sewell Avery refuses to cede control and is forcibly removed from his office by US Military police.

Page 7: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

June 21, 1970

Penn Central bankruptcy is largest in US history.

Passenger rail service continues under Amtrak; freight service under Conrail

Page 8: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

1998

Conrail returns to private ownership

Page 9: Government Intervention And Stock Returns

May 1984

Continental Illinois Bank fails.

Largest bank failure in US history at that time.

80% owned by US government until acquired by BankAmerica in 1994.

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