grain global -production,consumption
TRANSCRIPT
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0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2005 2006 2007
0
2
4
6
8
10
2005 2006 2007
Thai Exports SurgeMMT
250
300
350
400
450
1/4/05 5/24/05 10/11/05 2/28/06 7/18/06 12/5/06
US$
Price Spread Widens
$110
U.S.
Thailand
Grain:
World Markets and Trade
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA
World rice supplies are expected to betight in 2007, but despite this amplesupplies in Thailand will allow it towiden its lead as the worlds largestexporter. Intervention stocks are
currently at high levels and thegovernment has signaled that it intendsto reduce them by selling more forexport. This will allow Thai exportersto profit from strong Philippine andIndonesian demand. Exports to the EUcould also increase given the need toreplace U.S. rice sales which have beeneffectively banned. Vietnams exports
are expected to improve, despite pressreportsto the contrary,as a consequenceof Indonesias increased demand. U.S.exports are forecast to slightly declinedue to tighter supplies and higher prices,despite strong world demand.
Global import demand will be driven byIndonesia, where imports are forecast totriple. A weak El Nino has led to dryconditions during sowing periods,impacting area rather than yield. Otherfactors also contributing to the fallingarea include seed and fertilizer problemsand to pressures from land conversion tonon-agricultural uses.
Global Rice Trade in 2007: Thailand to Expand Lead Worlds Largest Exporter
$/Ton Fob
Indonesian Imports J ump
United States
Department of
Agriculture
ForeignAgriculturalService
Circular SeriesFG 01-07J anuary 07
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current DataWheat.................................................................................................................4Rice..................................................................................................................11Coarse Grains...................................................................................................17
Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries............................40
Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade...............................................65
Circular Modifications:
The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) will update its production, supply and distributiondatabase for cotton, oilseeds, grains and pulses along with its downloadable data sets at 9 a.m. onthe day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. Itis available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular will bereleased at 9:30 a.m. on the same day. This is an effort to speed up FAS informationdissemination to more closely coincide with the release of the WASDE. FAS will evaluate thisearlier release process to determine if it should be made permanent in 2007.
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All Grain Summary Comparison
Marketing Year
Wheat Rice, Milled Corn
2006/2005/062004/052006/072005/062004/052006/072005/062004/05
Production
United States (Jun-May) 58.7 57.3 49.3 7.5 7.1 6.2 299.9 282.3 26
Other 570.1 562.5 541.4 393.0 408.4 408.9 412.4 413.3 419
World Total 628.8 619.8 590.8 400.5 415.5 415.0 712.3 695.6 68
Domestic Consumption
United States (Jun-May) 31.8 31.2 31.3 3.9 3.8 3.9 224.6 231.7 24
Other 577.0 586.7 585.9 401.7 407.9 412.1 459.2 468.2 48
World Total 608.8 617.9 617.2 405.7 411.7 416.0 683.9 700.0 72
Ending Stocks
United States (Jun-May) 14.7 15.5 12.9 1.2 1.4 0.9 53.7 50.0 19
Other 136.7 131.9 109.0 76.9 79.1 76.8 77.1 75.0 6
World Total 151.4 147.4 121.8 78.1 80.4 77.7 130.8 125.0 8
TY Imports
United States (Jun-May) 1.9 2.3 3.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2
Other 108.2 108.3 106.1 26.5 25.2 26.6 76.0 79.6 8
World Total 110.2 110.6 109.2 26.9 25.8 27.3 76.3 79.9 8
TY Exports
United States (Jun-May) 28.5 27.4 24.5 3.9 3.5 3.4 45.3 56.2 5
Other 84.6 86.2 87.1 25.1 24.2 25.5 31.1 26.9 2
World Total 113.1 113.7 111.6 29.0 27.7 28.9 76.5 83.1 8
Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exportsdiffers from global totals shown elsewhere.
Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).
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WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS: U.S. Monthly Wheat Grain Imports SurgeTMT
0
50
100
150
200
250
Dec
05
Feb
06
Apr
06
J un
06
Aug
06
Oct
06
De
0
U.S. Imports From Canada Continue to
Climb: U.S. imports this month were revisedup to the highest level in 13 years. Canadahas a large, better quality crop this year andimports into the U.S. are allowed to come induty free. In recent months, Hard Red Springand Durum wheats have primarily beenimported. The United States is forecast to bea net importer of durum and products this yearas production has fallen to a nearly 20-yearlow. Spring wheat supplies are also tight,with production down as a result of dryness in
the Plains states.
U.S. Winter Wheat Area J umps:The total U.S. winter wheat seeding area isexpected to rise 9 percent from the previousyear because of elevated prices (10-yearhighs). Hard Red Winter (HRW) and SoftRed Winter (SRW) are expected to rise 9and 13 percent respectively from last year.SRW particulary had ideal plantingconditions.
Australian Government Grants TwoWheat Export Permits: AgricultureMinister Peter McGauran announced onDecember 22, 2006 that he granted 2permits for the export of 300,000 MT ofwheat to Iraq by Wheat Australia and500,000 MT to Indonesia by CooperativeBulk Handling (CBH) Group, a growerowned and operated cooperative. Thegovernment stated that it chose these two because: 1) CBH Group will offer a price premium to
Western Australian farmers and 2) Wheat Australia keeps the Iraqi market open for Australianwheat since Iraq will not import wheat from the Australian Wheat Board (AWB) due to itsinvolvement in the UN Oil-for-Food scandal. Currently, supporters of the single-desk believe itwas unfair to authorize these export permits because it effectively dismantles the single-deskeven before consultations begin between the government and industry over marketing options.Others argue that the decision merely perpetuates the single-desk. The Australian governmentexpects a solution to the single-desk dilemma in May 2007.
3 0
3 5
4 0
4 5
5 0
5 5
9 3 9 5 9 7 9 9 0 1 0 3 0 5 0 7
Mil. Acres
Source: NASS Note: Years refer to harvest
U.S. Winter Wheat Planted Area
Note: November and December are estimates
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PRICES:
Domestic: For December, wheat prices for all classes dropped during the month on verysluggish export sales and shipments as well as expectations for much larger global production in
2007. For the month, Soft Red Winter (SRW) prices fell $25, Hard Red Winter (HRW) fell $23,Hard Red Spring (HRS) fell $17, and Soft White (SWW) prices fell $4.
U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
230
10/6 10/13 10/20 10/27 11/3 11/10 11/17 11/24 12/1 12/8 12/15 12/22 12/29 1/5
$/M
T
U.S. No.1HRW 11% (Gulf) U.S. No.2 SRW (Gulf) U.S. No.1SWW (PNW) US No.1DNS 14% (PNW)
TRADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007
Selected Exporters
Argentina is up 500,000 tons to 10.0 million on very strong old crop exports.
EU-25 is down 500,000 ton to 15.5 million on tight supplies and sluggish exportslicenses which are 1.5 million tons (20%) behind last years pace to date.
Russia is up 1.0 million tons to 9.5 million on higher production and very strong pace of
exports to date.
Ukraine is down 700,000 tons to 2.8 million on the imposition of government exportquotas.
United States is down 1.0 million tons to 24.5 million as high prices have resulted inlaggard export sales and shipments to date.
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Selected Importers
Iraq is down 500,000 tons to 3.0 millionon sluggish buying patterns.
Pakistan is down 400,000 tons to 200,000 becoming a net exporter as a result of sizeabledomestic supplies.
United States is up 300,000 tons to 3.1 million tons as a result of very large shipmentsfrom Canada.
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World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
TY Exports
10,09,5008,30113,5027,3466,276Argentina
12,012,00015,21315,82615,09610,946Australia
1,21,0001,2001,100401,107Bulgaria
20,520,50015,64415,14215,5269,393Canada2,52,5001,3971,1712,8241,718China, Peoples Republic of
15,516,00015,03214,36710,93119,940EU-25
5,05,0003,0002,7004,1106,238Kazakhstan, Republic of
9,58,50010,6647,9513,11412,621Russian Federation
2,02,0002,9002,217854839Turkey
2,83,5006,4614,351666,569Ukraine
6,05,9406,4146,31812,32011,655Others
87,086,44086,22684,64572,22787,302Subtotal
24,525,50027,42428,46432,29522,834United States
111,5111,940113,650113,109104,522110,136World Total
no
TY Imports
4,84,8005,4695,3983,9336,079Algeria
2,12,1002,0092,0581,9451,335Bangladesh
7,57,5006,1945,3095,5596,631Brazil
1,31,3501,3141,2481,2461,166Colombia
7,07,0007,7718,1507,2956,327Egypt
6,86,8007,6097,3935,91213,921EU-25
6,06,00011814819India
4,84,8004,9814,6614,5353,984Indonesia
3,03,5004,8783,0101,9251,579Iraq
1,21,2001,5421,5499511,691Israel
5,55,5005,4695,7445,7515,579Japan
3,63,6003,8843,5913,4344,052Korea, Republic of
1,51,5001,6391,5081,0571,421Libya
1,31,3501,2161,4121,3291,195Malaysia
3,63,6003,5493,7173,6443,161Mexico1,91,9002,4182,2722,4142,720Morocco
3,63,6003,6563,0142,3832,304Nigeria
1,51,5001,6561,4491,4881,157Peru
2,72,7002,9542,5932,9753,230Philippines
1,21,2001,2821,1971,0261,045Russian Federation
1,61,6001,6591,522995860Sudan
1,21,2001,1741,0811,139895Thailand
1,61,6001,6911,5041,538961Venezuela
1,31,3001,1811,226830875Vietnam
1,91,9002,1431,8531,6351,772Yemen
27,527,92030,80335,75035,02931,814Others
106,1107,020108,259108,22399,976105,773Subtotal
2,32,1203,0822,9402,7862,405Unaccounted
3,12,8002,3091,9461,7601,958United States
111,5111,940113,650113,109104,522110,136World Total
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World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
Production
14,214,20013,80016,00014,50012,300Argentina
10,510,50024,50022,60026,13210,132Australia
27,327,30026,77525,86023,55216,198Canada
103,5103,50097,45091,95086,49090,290China, Peoples Republic of8,28,2008,1847,1776,4436,300Egypt
117,9117,237122,685136,778106,878124,829EU-25
68,068,00068,64072,15065,10071,810India
14,014,00014,50014,00013,50012,450Iran
11,511,50011,0009,95011,00012,600Kazakhstan, Republic of
6,16,1003,0435,5405,1473,357Morocco
21,721,70021,50019,50019,18318,227Pakistan
44,943,50047,70045,40034,10050,550Russian Federation
18,018,00018,00018,50016,80016,800Turkey
14,314,30018,70017,5003,60020,556Ukraine
5,85,8006,0505,5005,4005,000Uzbekistan, Republic of
55,555,41059,96161,70652,95652,539Others
541,4539,247562,488570,111490,781523,938Subtotal
49,349,31657,28058,73863,81443,705United States
590,7588,563619,768628,849554,595567,643World Total
no
Total Consumption
7,77,7007,5007,3006,8006,650Algeria
6,96,9006,4006,2005,9566,178Australia
10,410,40010,80010,2009,8009,890Brazil
9,29,2009,1339,3007,6378,181Canada
101,0101,000101,000102,000104,500105,200China, Peoples Republic of
15,615,60014,80014,20013,30012,800Egypt
116,6116,000119,500115,200107,900118,100EU-25
72,772,50069,97172,83868,25874,294India
15,215,20014,80014,50014,30014,350Iran
7,67,6007,4007,4006,8006,800Kazakhstan, Republic of7,47,4007,1006,9006,4006,220Morocco
21,922,00021,50020,00019,10018,380Pakistan
37,336,90038,40037,40035,50039,320Russian Federation
16,816,80016,10016,80016,80016,800Turkey
11,511,20012,50011,7009,02514,500Ukraine
128,0128,447129,809125,047116,600115,388Others
585,0583,903592,570578,288555,971573,311Subtotal
31,331,29831,19131,82332,50730,448United States
616,3615,201623,761610,111588,478603,759World Total
no
Ending Stocks
3,33,3653,6703,5062,8142,712Algeria
7,57,5939,7437,9226,0805,725Canada
35,535,59034,89038,81943,29360,378China, Peoples Republic of
3,53,5964,0062,8611,7441,316Egypt
13,512,95420,96825,20610,60216,643EU-25
3,13,1984,2833,6423,7773,673Kazakhstan, Republic of
5,25,2335,4835,2525,2125,072Syria
36,837,27948,83649,51044,28557,669Others
108,9108,808131,879136,718117,807153,188Subtotal
12,811,92715,54514,69914,87213,374United States
121,8120,735147,424151,417132,679166,562World Total
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Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
TY Imports non
5,501North America 5,630 5,910 6,136 6,650 6,95
1,381Central America 1,500 1,510 1,514 1,575 1,57
1,774Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,90
11,394South America 11,207 10,826 12,687 13,440 13,44
13,921European Union 5,912 7,393 7,609 6,800 6,801,971Other Europe 4,229 1,836 1,593 1,500 1,50
4,601Former Soviet Union - 12 7,260 4,548 4,679 4,040 4,04
11,507Middle East 8,813 10,202 13,099 10,925 10,42
18,714North Africa 15,480 18,407 18,441 16,400 16,40
9,603Sub-Saharan Africa 9,713 12,091 13,006 12,200 12,20
12,236East Asia 15,320 18,357 12,830 12,050 12,05
3,569South Asia 3,008 4,881 4,374 9,880 9,48
10,663Southeast Asia 11,177 11,429 11,923 11,775 11,77
896Oceania 648 745 751 680 68
107,731Total 101,736 110,169 110,568 109,820 109,22
Production non
63,133North America 90,066 87,018 87,075 79,716 79,71
1Central America 1 1 1 1
0Caribbean 0 0 0 0
17,903South America 23,632 25,261 21,749 19,473 19,47124,829European Union 106,878 136,778 122,685 117,237 117,92
12,642Other Europe 7,564 15,538 13,198 12,105 12,20
96,949Former Soviet Union - 12 60,910 86,830 92,195 82,685 84,08
37,991Middle East 39,486 41,463 42,020 41,300 41,30
11,704North Africa 16,285 17,166 15,178 18,325 18,32
5,190Sub-Saharan Africa 4,497 4,919 5,700 6,051 6,05
91,468East Asia 87,750 93,193 98,724 104,795 104,79
95,303South Asia 90,966 97,696 96,300 95,950 95,95
96Southeast Asia 107 130 150 148 14
10,434Oceania 26,453 22,856 24,793 10,777 10,77
567,643Total 554,595 628,849 619,768 588,563 590,75
Domestic Consumption non
44,529North America 46,044 47,123 46,424 46,698 46,72
1,221Central America 1,354 1,410 1,406 1,476 1,47
1,774Caribbean 1,839 2,034 1,926 1,905 1,9022,305South America 23,240 23,493 24,461 23,852 23,80
118,100European Union 107,900 115,200 119,500 116,000 116,60
13,359Other Europe 12,870 14,128 13,507 13,030 12,83
75,350Former Soviet Union - 12 65,874 72,930 75,240 72,450 73,15
46,701Middle East 46,708 48,958 49,912 50,735 50,63
29,666North Africa 30,082 32,608 33,789 34,975 34,97
13,894Sub-Saharan Africa 14,573 16,524 18,210 18,086 18,08
117,757East Asia 116,539 114,061 113,570 113,165 113,16
101,320South Asia 96,891 102,188 100,941 104,200 104,30
10,440Southeast Asia 10,438 11,029 11,677 11,818 11,81
7,083Oceania 6,831 7,122 7,341 7,755 7,75
603,499Total 581,183 608,808 617,904 616,145 617,22
Ending Stocks non
19,849North America 21,695 22,997 25,600 19,832 20,75
190Central America 185 185 185 185 1820Caribbean 20 20 20 20 2
3,170South America 2,992 2,856 3,280 2,221 2,19
16,643European Union 10,602 25,206 20,968 12,954 13,59
3,335Other Europe 2,110 3,949 3,267 2,257 2,10
16,480Former Soviet Union - 12 10,986 14,247 15,571 12,686 13,08
13,375Middle East 12,487 12,002 12,136 10,926 10,52
5,959North Africa 7,467 10,220 9,835 9,370 9,37
1,508Sub-Saharan Africa 1,108 1,234 1,393 1,183 1,18
63,218East Asia 46,249 41,934 37,916 38,461 38,46
17,915South Asia 9,200 7,250 5,833 6,413 6,11
1,572Southeast Asia 2,030 2,052 1,989 1,614 1,61
3,328Oceania 5,548 7,265 9,431 2,613 2,61
166,562Total 132,679 151,417 147,424 120,735 121,82
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2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.
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RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADEPRICES:
Nominal Rice Quotes 2002 to PresentInternational: Export prices inThailand remain high given the
strength of the baht and buyinginterest from Middle East andAsian countries. There are noquotes out of Vietnam due to theexport ban though there are reportsthat state owned exporting firmswill be allowed to respond totenders from Indonesia and thePhilippines.
75
125
175
225
275
325
375
425
475
9/3/0
2
2/10/04
7/19/05
1/9/0
7
Thai 100B US #2/4 Viet 5%
Indi 5% Paki 15/20
Domestic: U.S. #2/4 long grain
milled rice quotes remainunchanged from last month at $434per ton, FOB despite advances inlate December. The spreadbetween comparable qualities ofThai and U.S. rice is $113 per toncompared to $55 per ton this timelast year. U.S. medium grainprices have retreated from lastmonths highs of $575 per tonprice to $565 per ton, FOB.
TRADE CHANGES FOR 2007
Selected Exporters
Pakistan is up 100,000 tons to 3.0 million in expectation of greater demand.
Thailand is up 450,000 tons to 8.7 million due to increased regional demand and strongprices.
Vietnam is up 200,000 tons to 4.9 million also due to increased regional demand and
strong prices.
United States isup 200,000 tons to 3.4 million on the expectation of greater demandfrom major trading partners.
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Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007
12
Selected Importers
Indonesia is tripled to 1.8 million tons as the prolonged dry season has delayed plantingsand harvest in major producing areas.
Philippines is up 200,000 tons to 1.8 million in anticipation that the government willbuild stocks.
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World Rice Trade
January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
TY Exports
4400400345249170Argentina
110030052131141Australia
11003002723719Brazil
115075190130388Burma, Union of445035020030010Cambodia
1,01,0001,1006568802,583China, Peoples Republic of
99001,0001,095826579Egypt
1150175201187220EU-25
1170170182243200Guyana
4,34,3003,8004,6873,1724,421India
2200200200200200Japan
3,02,9003,0003,0321,9861,958Pakistan
8,78,2507,3007,27410,1377,552Thailand
6625800762804675Uruguay
4,94,7004,8005,1744,2953,795Vietnam
3365421825517830Others
25,524,76024,19125,14724,09423,741Subtotal
3,43,2003,5003,8623,0903,834United States
28,927,96027,69129,00927,18427,575World Total
no
TY Imports
66007007858011,112Bangladesh
88005505477621,063Brazil
3300275350275250Cameroon
3350335321285242Canada
88007006091,122258China, Peoples Republic of
8800850867740750Cote d'Ivoire
7700600736639371Cuba
99259259681,079950EU-25
4450400450425357Ghana
3350400328269345Haiti3315315315309307Hong Kong
1,86006005006502,750Indonesia
99001,200983950900Iran
1,21,2001,200786889672Iraq
6650650787706654Japan
8850850751700500Malaysia
6600600553521582Mexico
3350350350375232Mozambique
1,71,7001,6001,7771,3691,448Nigeria
1,81,6501,9001,8901,1001,300Philippines
3375375350350385Russian Federation
1,01,0001,0001,3571,5001,150Saudi Arabia
88507501,200850750Senegal
3375375375346375Singapore
8800800850818725South Africa, Republic of
6,97,3066,9117,7417,0056,713Others
26,625,59625,21126,52624,83525,141Subtotal
1,61,7391,8802,0641,8721,976Unaccounted
6625600419477458United States
28,927,96027,69129,00927,18427,575World Total
Note about dates: 2006/07 is calendar year 2007, 2005/06 is calendar year 2006, and so on.
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World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
Milled Production
29,129,10028,75825,60026,15225,187Bangladesh
7,77,7007,8748,9968,7097,050Brazil
10,510,50010,4409,57010,73010,788Burma, Union of
3,03,0252,8352,3302,9602,400Cambodia128,0128,000126,414125,363112,462122,180China, Peoples Republic of
4,14,1404,1304,1283,9003,705Egypt
91,091,00091,04083,13088,53071,820India
33,735,08834,95934,83035,02433,411Indonesia
7,97,9408,2577,9447,0918,089Japan
4,64,6804,7685,0004,4514,927Korea, Republic of
2,82,8002,7002,3002,2002,200Nigeria
5,65,6005,5474,9204,8484,479Pakistan
10,010,0009,8209,4259,2008,450Philippines
18,218,25018,20017,36018,01117,198Thailand
22,522,53622,00022,71622,08221,527Vietnam
29,929,88330,65729,40029,01927,558Others
408,8410,242408,399393,012385,369370,969Subtotal
6,16,1377,1137,4626,4206,536United States
415,0416,379415,512400,474391,789377,505World Total
no
Total Consumption
29,729,75029,00026,90026,70026,100Bangladesh
8,98,9508,9748,8608,6878,100Brazil
10,510,50010,40010,30010,20010,100Burma, Union of
127,8127,800128,000130,300132,100135,700China, Peoples Republic of
3,33,3003,2753,2503,2253,200Egypt
87,587,50085,22080,74385,63079,860India
35,835,80035,80035,85036,00036,500Indonesia
3,23,2253,1753,1253,1003,075Iran
8,28,2008,2508,3008,3578,742Japan
4,84,8414,8534,8624,6135,033Korea, Republic of2,82,8152,8182,8672,9832,755Nepal
4,44,4504,3504,2504,0003,750Nigeria
11,311,25011,00010,40010,2509,550Philippines
9,59,5709,5009,4809,4709,460Thailand
18,518,50018,25018,00017,85017,500Vietnam
45,545,92545,00844,24543,57241,941Others
413,8414,287409,406403,787409,261403,836Subtotal
3,93,9053,8093,9353,6563,534United States
417,7418,192413,215407,722412,917407,370World Total
no
Ending Stocks
36,936,94536,94538,93143,91563,311China, Peoples Republic of
9,79,72010,5208,50010,80011,000India
2,83,0953,2073,4484,0184,344Indonesia
2,62,6162,4261,9191,7002,466Japan
5,85,7925,2924,5724,0473,807Philippines
3,84,2923,7622,3121,7063,302Thailand
2,93,1003,4644,1644,3024,065Vietnam
12,012,10913,45713,08914,14513,398Others
76,777,66979,07376,93584,633105,693Subtotal
99351,3701,211761829United States
77,778,60480,44378,14685,394106,522World Total
Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.
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Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
TY Imports non
1,282North America 1,283 1,293 1,535 1,575 1,57
416Central America 463 531 480 500 50
820Caribbean 1,084 1,213 1,215 1,205 1,20
1,449South America 1,111 966 885 1,200 1,20
950European Union 1,079 968 925 925 92209Other Europe 230 220 220 205 20
540Former Soviet Union - 12 526 526 551 551 55
3,970Middle East 4,510 4,485 4,630 4,430 4,43
238North Africa 225 261 225 225 22
6,901Sub-Saharan Africa 7,244 8,383 7,130 7,505 7,50
2,166East Asia 2,948 2,556 2,415 2,655 2,30
1,351South Asia 1,169 1,051 1,015 910 91
5,063Southeast Asia 3,202 4,236 4,360 4,110 5,51
244Oceania 238 256 225 225 22
25,599Total 25,312 26,945 25,811 26,221 27,27
Production non
6,669North America 6,620 7,657 7,294 6,318 6,33
574Central America 553 466 507 511 51
865Caribbean 838 666 736 730 73
12,614South America 14,667 15,346 14,180 13,805 13,801,731European Union 1,728 1,868 1,730 1,659 1,67
15Other Europe 21 22 21 20 2
690Former Soviet Union - 12 846 774 853 969 91
2,151Middle East 2,483 2,611 2,737 2,803 2,84
3,746North Africa 3,941 4,169 4,171 4,181 4,18
7,025Sub-Saharan Africa 7,314 7,758 8,659 8,716 8,72
137,917East Asia 126,628 140,858 142,072 143,214 143,21
106,556South Asia 124,689 118,781 130,548 130,950 130,95
96,639Southeast Asia 101,066 99,267 101,255 102,410 101,02
313Oceania 395 231 749 93 9
377,505Total 391,789 400,474 415,512 416,379 415,02
Domestic Consumption non
4,476North America 4,666 5,006 4,919 5,055 5,05
950Central America 976 1,025 1,056 1,063 1,06
1,610Caribbean 1,877 1,870 1,855 1,970 1,9712,876South America 13,535 13,837 14,097 14,168 14,16
2,597European Union 2,509 2,529 2,550 2,600 2,60
224Other Europe 236 227 231 235 23
1,231Former Soviet Union - 12 1,434 1,354 1,370 1,365 1,36
6,694Middle East 6,697 6,625 6,997 7,107 7,10
3,429North Africa 3,491 3,552 3,541 3,566 3,56
14,014Sub-Saharan Africa 15,016 15,816 16,169 16,400 16,40
153,015East Asia 148,454 147,042 144,293 144,306 143,95
113,800South Asia 120,469 115,642 122,244 125,375 125,37
89,449Southeast Asia 90,493 90,597 91,810 92,521 92,62
535Oceania 540 545 550 550 55
404,900Total 410,393 405,667 411,682 416,281 416,02
Ending Stocks non
998North America 940 1,385 1,550 1,096 1,11
410Central America 441 383 332 270 27220Caribbean 157 206 168 193 19
2,107South America 3,010 3,668 2,911 2,235 2,25
960European Union 974 1,138 1,068 878 92
45Other Europe 40 50 60 65 6
308Former Soviet Union - 12 191 117 131 267 21
1,299Middle East 1,170 1,719 2,406 2,482 2,52
870North Africa 719 502 357 297 29
2,708Sub-Saharan Africa 2,297 2,108 1,992 1,708 1,70
67,047East Asia 46,764 42,005 40,649 40,812 40,81
11,848South Asia 12,189 8,933 11,503 10,793 10,69
17,070Southeast Asia 15,952 15,520 16,805 17,354 16,51
632Oceania 550 412 511 154 15
106,522Total 85,394 78,146 80,443 78,604 77,72
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2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.
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COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE
MONTHLY HIGHLIGHTS:
Taiwan Seeks Chinese Corn:
Recently, Taiwan's livestock industryhas shown interest in purchasing up to500,000 tons of Chinese corn due tohigh U.S. prices. However, tradesources expect perhaps 50,000 tons willbe purchased and delivered by the end ofFebruary, when the current Taiwanesegovernment authority expires. Strongdomestic demand is keeping Chinesecorn out of the export market, and thereis little history to suggest large sales to
Taiwan that would significantly impactU.S. dominance in that key corn market.Taiwan is expected to import 4.5 milliontons of corn this year, nearly all from theUnited States.
U.S. Gulf Export Bids
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
Sep-03
Dec-03
Mar-04
Jun-04
Sep-04
Dec-04
Mar-05
Jun-05
Sep-05
Dec-05
Mar-06
Jun-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
$/MT
PRICES:
omestic: December export bids for U.S. #2 yellow corn dropped for the first time in 6 months
RADE CHANGES IN 2006/2007
Sorghum (Texas Gulf) Corn
Dand averaged $160. Prices remain high with strong domestic and foreign demand, and slackcompetition from China and Argentina.
T
elected Exporters
United States corn is up 1.0 million tons to 56.5 million. Huge outstanding sales, a rapid
Brazil corn is raised 1.0 million this month to 4.5 million because of ample exportable
Ukraine corn is cut in half to 1.0 million tons and Ukraine barley is lowered 300,000
Argentina sorghum is up 350,000 tons to 600,000 based on early export registrations,
S
shipment pace to date, and continued limited competition have combined to push exportsto a 12-year high despite soaring prices.
supplies and strong shipments in recent months.
tons to 4.0 million because of export quotas that are restricting trade.
increased exportable supplies (largest crop in 7 years), and strong shipments to Japan.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007
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U.S. sorghum is down 200,000 tons to 4.2 million based on the slow pace of sales,especially to Mexico. This is the lowest level of exports in over 20 years.
Selected Importers
EU-25 corn is raised 500,000 tons again this month to 4.0 million based on the pace ofimport licenses. This is more than double from last year and the accession of Bulgariaand Romania will likely increase corn trade to the EU-25.
Mexico corn is up 500,000 tons to 6.8 million because of rapid purchases and shipments.
China barley is lowered 200,000 tons to 2.0 million as a result of tightness in keysuppliers such as Australia and Canada as well as a large domestic crop.
Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007
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World Coarse Grain Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
TY Exports
12,912,55511,24314,37110,83413,055Argentina
2,52,5455,6324,9966,7522,472Australia
4,53,5502,8261,4576,1913,246Brazil
3,53,5504,0103,2173,4741,712Canada4,04,0253,7567,6177,72315,336China, Peoples Republic of
4,24,2053,2295,0782,3429,736EU-25
770045489593243Romania
2,62,6001,5501,5341,7673,494Russian Federation
1,21,2051,27959363366Serbia and Montenegro
5,06,3007,4446,4653,8113,420Ukraine
3,63,5356,2955,1795,6155,167Others
44,944,77047,71851,40248,66558,247Subtotal
61,260,43561,54850,69254,07846,394United States
106,1105,205109,266102,094102,743104,641World Total
no
TY Imports
2,12,1552,0432,1741,7881,696Algeria
1,01,0001,099745596935Brazil
2,32,3702,0292,3392,0814,098Canada
1,71,5151,6621,1891,1481,110Chile
2,12,3352,3072,0731,5331,830China, Peoples Republic of
3,53,3253,3802,5162,2322,428Colombia
7650687569583514Costa Rica
1,11,1501,0681,031824906Dominican Republic
4,84,8204,4175,4053,7474,867Egypt
4,74,1953,6943,7667,3536,721EU-25
1,31,3001,4435411,4361,633Indonesia
3,13,1003,1003,8492,5182,157Iran
1,51,5751,5681,7002,0121,382Israel
19,419,49519,76719,70919,98220,321Japan
1,01,0001,200938771820Jordan8,88,8658,5468,7108,9878,881Korea, Republic of
2,62,6002,5172,4062,4012,408Malaysia
9,49,1009,9418,9758,8738,766Mexico
1,91,9052,0101,9891,3261,212Morocco
1,41,4001,5671,3661,114992Peru
7,57,5008,4727,6447,1308,927Saudi Arabia
88251,034277612750South Africa, Republic of
2,32,3001,9912,2811,5411,198Syria
4,64,6504,6144,7575,1144,829Taiwan
1,11,1501,2001,2288831,046Tunisia
9,49,40511,56310,65210,90010,838Others
100,899,685102,91998,82997,485101,265Subtotal
2,93,0704,0471,0233,002833Unaccounted
2,42,4502,3002,2422,2562,543United States
106,1105,205109,266102,094102,743104,641World Total
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World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
Production
23,523,39819,22324,90218,59619,445Argentina
7,77,75513,75911,57314,8616,652Australia
44,744,75944,47437,87444,88147,097Brazil
23,423,52026,03626,44726,32619,892Canada151,4151,440147,696138,252123,953130,725China, Peoples Republic of
9,49,4259,0857,5656,5604,775Ethiopia
126,3127,224131,750150,209122,183137,892EU-25
33,733,70034,39033,57037,81025,660India
29,129,13025,83328,94730,27726,420Mexico
24,224,20023,70022,30020,30019,050Nigeria
9,69,67511,83913,8057,9658,365Romania
30,230,70027,60029,60030,50033,400Russian Federation
10,510,5387,31112,20910,36310,126South Africa, Republic of
11,011,04511,94511,04510,0409,960Turkey
19,919,95018,14023,00015,60017,110Ukraine
127,0126,808125,965123,337120,573114,770Others
682,2683,267678,746694,635640,788631,339Subtotal
280,1285,722298,763319,417275,098243,719United States
962,3968,989977,5091,014,052915,886875,058World Total
no
Domestic Consumption
10,310,5739,4239,0587,4077,427Argentina
42,942,90941,97241,55838,91338,585Brazil
24,524,58523,95623,80423,82622,816Canada
151,3151,580147,455141,172138,651136,401China, Peoples Republic of
11,611,68011,28012,36410,27711,989Egypt
134,4134,475132,445138,817134,584135,386EU-25
33,633,60034,23033,24036,00026,750India
19,819,89519,99219,87820,73720,475Japan
38,538,28037,60538,27637,33235,533Mexico
24,024,05023,45022,05020,25019,000Nigeria10,810,80511,10511,0058,9558,205Romania
28,028,35027,70029,40033,25029,850Russian Federation
9,69,6489,47310,3059,2199,072South Africa, Republic of
11,311,35011,55211,40411,18610,674Turkey
14,013,50011,99015,20014,00013,262Ukraine
189,2188,953187,703177,558172,488161,102Others
757,8757,400744,063735,542719,887687,637Subtotal
253,4255,149244,726240,216225,958214,667United States
1,011,31,012,549988,789975,758945,845902,304World Total
no
Ending Stocks
2,74,2474,0474,3808,0456,360Brazil
4,04,0876,3326,3414,0763,135Canada
33,933,97935,80937,01745,48166,369China, Peoples Republic of
15,716,09422,65723,68712,62221,646EU-25
3,23,2643,3145,3955,7673,973Mexico
2,82,8883,1982,7082,4342,645Saudi Arabia
3,02,2372,4172,6741,6202,653Ukraine
29,930,05734,40437,22331,12232,169Others
95,796,853112,178119,425111,167138,950Subtotal
22,227,28254,76758,80028,76430,940United States
117,9124,135166,945178,225139,931169,890World Total
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Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
TY Imports non
15,407North America 13,210 13,556 14,270 13,920 14,22
1,980Central America 2,178 2,405 2,734 2,500 2,55
1,509Caribbean 1,634 1,913 1,979 2,185 2,08
6,606South America 6,383 6,460 8,688 8,140 8,54
6,721European Union 7,353 3,766 3,694 4,195 4,771,196Other Europe 1,563 658 709 645 65
756Former Soviet Union - 12 1,440 1,080 1,157 980 98
16,952Middle East 16,162 17,864 17,643 16,940 16,94
9,143North Africa 8,275 11,489 10,345 10,630 10,63
2,596Sub-Saharan Africa 1,665 2,703 3,590 2,105 2,20
36,109East Asia 35,786 35,611 35,584 35,595 35,39
10South Asia 32 44 10 0
4,726Southeast Asia 4,046 3,499 4,776 4,280 4,28
97Oceania 14 23 40 20 2
103,808Total 99,741 101,071 105,219 102,135 103,26
Production non
290,031North America 331,701 374,811 350,632 338,372 332,73
3,060Central America 3,206 2,882 2,889 3,146 3,14
540Caribbean 535 505 456 456 45
75,291South America 72,953 72,662 73,567 78,216 78,39137,892European Union 122,183 150,209 131,750 127,224 126,38
22,146Other Europe 18,710 29,052 26,796 23,770 23,96
60,724Former Soviet Union - 12 55,371 62,945 55,080 59,448 58,94
17,508Middle East 17,717 18,496 19,186 18,286 18,28
9,612North Africa 11,757 11,786 9,299 11,692 11,69
69,170Sub-Saharan Africa 78,249 78,047 81,876 85,334 85,33
133,039East Asia 126,244 140,589 150,079 153,680 153,68
30,464South Asia 42,245 38,130 38,950 38,263 38,26
18,264Southeast Asia 19,543 21,740 22,543 22,700 22,70
7,317Oceania 15,472 12,198 14,406 8,402 8,40
875,058Total 915,886 1,014,052 977,509 968,989 962,38
Domestic Consumption non
273,016North America 287,116 302,296 306,287 318,014 316,59
4,935Central America 5,070 5,455 5,500 5,775 5,82
2,056Caribbean 2,112 2,350 2,433 2,618 2,5159,512South America 60,528 65,467 67,464 70,015 70,16
135,386European Union 134,584 138,817 132,445 134,475 134,47
20,986Other Europe 21,270 24,964 24,906 24,054 24,05
52,781Former Soviet Union - 12 56,725 54,616 49,479 50,953 51,20
30,736Middle East 34,351 33,889 36,224 36,265 36,26
19,162North Africa 18,746 21,891 20,720 21,715 21,71
70,013Sub-Saharan Africa 77,112 78,897 84,513 85,640 85,64
172,991East Asia 175,783 177,183 183,348 187,465 187,26
31,524South Asia 40,573 37,815 38,790 38,163 38,16
22,160Southeast Asia 21,818 24,140 26,133 26,340 26,34
5,936Oceania 7,245 7,525 7,815 7,890 7,89
901,194Total 943,033 975,305 986,057 1,009,382 1,008,11
Ending Stocks non
38,048North America 38,607 70,536 64,413 34,633 29,61
379Central America 700 541 607 470 5774Caribbean 131 199 201 223 22
8,820South America 10,829 8,233 7,321 7,853 6,28
21,646European Union 12,622 23,687 22,657 16,094 15,70
2,981Other Europe 1,698 4,115 4,215 2,320 2,24
11,967Former Soviet Union - 12 5,964 7,258 5,556 5,345 6,00
6,467Middle East 6,457 8,178 8,237 6,952 6,89
1,019North Africa 2,288 3,327 2,317 2,924 2,92
3,944Sub-Saharan Africa 5,306 5,337 4,675 5,051 5,19
71,188East Asia 49,780 41,221 39,780 37,565 37,56
826South Asia 1,231 1,116 961 836 83
1,228Southeast Asia 1,988 2,075 2,642 2,519 2,54
1,303Oceania 2,330 2,402 3,363 1,350 1,35
169,890Total 139,931 178,225 166,945 124,135 117,97
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2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.
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World Corn Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
TY Exports
12,012,00010,70713,75210,43912,349Argentina
4,53,5002,8261,4315,8183,181Brazil
430040050081191Bulgaria
3300250150144113Burma, Union of4,04,0003,7277,5897,55315,244China, Peoples Republic of
55001,314386548733Paraguay
660027158793144Romania
1,21,2001,27458957353Serbia and Montenegro
55001,4061,5177971,141South Africa, Republic of
1,02,0002,4642,3341,238811Ukraine
1,41,4252,2512,3053,6623,249Others
26,426,32526,89031,14030,43037,509Subtotal
56,555,50056,18145,34748,80940,924United States
82,981,82583,07176,48779,23978,433World Total
no
TY Imports
2,12,1001,9892,0461,7651,643Algeria
8850931481459639Brazil
2,32,3001,9622,2372,0333,846Canada
1,61,4001,5871,0811,043933Chile
3,33,1003,1512,2561,9992,112Colombia
7650687569583514Costa Rica
1,11,1501,0681,031824906Dominican Republic
4,84,8004,3975,3983,7434,848Egypt
4,03,5003,1382,9665,5094,327EU-25
6600751641513513Guatemala
1,31,3001,4435411,4361,633Indonesia
2,52,5002,3002,5581,8572,157Iran
1,21,2001,1281,2421,377776Israel
16,516,50016,61916,48516,78116,863Japan
8,88,8008,4838,6338,7788,781Korea, Republic of2,62,6002,5172,4062,4012,408Malaysia
6,86,3006,7875,9455,7395,269Mexico
1,51,5001,4741,4231,1831,054Morocco
1,31,3001,4671,3011,041917Peru
1,51,5001,4721,2241,6211,424Saudi Arabia
7700896131495617South Africa, Republic of
1,61,6001,1911,781941919Syria
4,54,5004,4644,5624,9514,681Taiwan
6650600714784734Tunisia
6600900731233625Zimbabwe
6,86,9558,2347,6138,2208,260Others
80,378,95579,63675,99676,30977,399Subtotal
2,42,6203,2212102,574660Unaccounted
2250214281356374United States
82,981,82583,07176,48779,23978,433World Total
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World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
Production
19,019,00015,80020,50015,00015,500Argentina
42,042,00041,70035,00042,00044,500Brazil
9,39,3009,4618,8409,6008,999Canada
143,0143,000139,365130,290115,830121,300China, Peoples Republic of5,85,8705,8605,8405,7406,000Egypt
43,944,38548,61852,96839,87649,360EU-25
14,514,50015,09014,18014,72011,100India
6,66,6006,9007,2006,3506,100Indonesia
22,022,00019,50022,05021,80019,280Mexico
7,57,5007,0006,5005,5005,200Nigeria
5,85,8005,9005,0504,9004,430Philippines
8,58,50010,30012,0007,0207,300Romania
6,66,6006,6006,5693,8005,585Serbia and Montenegro
10,010,0006,93511,7169,7009,675South Africa, Republic of
6,56,5007,1508,8006,8504,180Ukraine
68,568,40067,08664,85560,72656,698Others
419,6419,955413,265412,358369,412375,207Subtotal
267,5272,931282,311299,914256,278227,767United States
687,1692,886695,576712,272625,690602,974World Total
no
Total Consumption
7,07,0006,2005,2004,4004,100Argentina
40,040,00039,00038,50036,30035,800Brazil
11,811,80010,93710,31411,22812,576Canada
141,0141,000137,000131,000128,400125,900China, Peoples Republic of
10,610,60010,20011,3009,20010,900Egypt
50,349,80048,70051,70046,81449,526EU-25
14,514,50014,60013,90013,20012,000India
8,08,0008,2507,9007,3507,500Indonesia
16,616,60016,60016,50017,20016,800Japan
8,98,9008,5798,6668,7228,782Korea, Republic of28,828,30027,90027,90026,40024,700Mexico
7,47,4006,8006,3005,5005,200Nigeria
5,95,9005,8005,1504,9504,650Philippines
9,59,5009,7009,5007,9007,200Romania
9,09,0008,9009,7008,6778,520South Africa, Republic of
111,5110,749109,071105,71998,76391,215Others
484,1482,173469,675460,325436,006426,596Subtotal
241,5243,597231,722224,648211,644200,748United States
725,7725,770701,397684,973647,650627,344World Total
no
Ending Stocks
2,64,1423,8924,1927,8786,258Brazil
1,61,6012,0011,8021,1431,111Canada
33,333,35535,25536,55544,85264,973China, Peoples Republic of
7,47,9469,9407,0082,9384,826EU-25
1,31,3191,3491,3821,3371,211Korea, Republic of
2,62,6662,6664,5294,4613,327Mexico
2,22,2251,4753,1902,9562,443South Africa, Republic of
16,115,72518,44518,45713,61113,721Others
67,368,97975,02377,11579,17697,870Subtotal
19,123,76049,96853,69724,33727,603United States
86,492,739124,991130,812103,513125,473World Total
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Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
TY Imports non
9,489North America 8,128 8,463 8,963 8,850 9,35
1,980Central America 2,178 2,401 2,734 2,500 2,55
1,509Caribbean 1,634 1,913 1,979 2,185 2,08
5,629South America 5,805 5,738 8,056 7,515 7,91
4,327European Union 5,509 2,966 3,138 3,500 4,00872Other Europe 1,084 459 413 310 31
179Former Soviet Union - 12 677 559 616 500 50
7,668Middle East 7,901 8,039 7,341 8,225 8,22
8,413North Africa 7,673 10,013 8,935 9,450 9,45
2,293Sub-Saharan Africa 1,333 2,147 2,901 1,745 1,74
30,602East Asia 30,682 30,044 29,978 30,150 30,15
7South Asia 32 40 10 0
4,721Southeast Asia 4,021 3,492 4,766 4,275 4,27
84Oceania 8 3 20 0
77,773Total 76,665 76,277 79,850 79,205 80,56
Production non
256,046North America 287,678 330,804 311,272 304,231 298,89
2,676Central America 2,874 2,552 2,582 2,820 2,82
415Caribbean 407 377 328 328 32
66,971South America 64,550 63,302 65,436 69,066 69,0649,360European Union 39,876 52,968 48,618 44,385 43,93
17,767Other Europe 15,130 23,699 22,183 19,610 19,81
8,548Former Soviet Union - 12 11,530 15,385 13,125 12,925 12,82
3,763Middle East 4,382 4,732 5,432 4,932 4,93
6,202North Africa 5,942 6,042 6,062 6,072 6,07
35,014Sub-Saharan Africa 37,971 41,104 38,296 43,196 43,19
123,074East Asia 117,679 132,145 141,277 144,789 144,78
14,707South Asia 17,875 17,300 18,210 17,620 17,62
17,972Southeast Asia 19,246 21,380 22,183 22,340 22,34
459Oceania 550 482 572 572 57
602,974Total 625,690 712,272 695,576 692,886 687,19
Domestic Consumption non
238,024North America 249,272 262,862 270,559 283,697 282,16
4,570Central America 4,735 5,100 5,190 5,450 5,50
1,931Caribbean 1,984 2,222 2,305 2,490 2,3951,041South America 52,555 56,033 58,840 61,090 61,44
49,526European Union 46,814 51,700 48,700 49,800 50,30
16,906Other Europe 17,270 20,174 20,339 19,660 19,66
7,921Former Soviet Union - 12 11,009 12,706 11,755 11,380 11,93
10,642Middle East 12,208 12,221 12,978 13,331 13,33
14,334North Africa 13,298 15,702 14,875 15,550 15,55
35,041Sub-Saharan Africa 37,555 40,803 41,326 42,932 42,93
158,247East Asia 161,385 163,078 169,004 173,091 173,09
15,573South Asia 16,493 17,034 17,720 17,620 17,62
21,896Southeast Asia 21,515 23,797 25,788 26,000 26,00
465Oceania 555 465 580 555 55
626,117Total 646,648 683,897 699,959 722,646 722,46
Ending Stocks non
32,041North America 29,941 60,028 54,635 28,027 23,36
333Central America 658 525 590 452 5674Caribbean 131 199 201 223 22
8,008South America 9,763 7,249 6,717 6,977 5,43
4,826European Union 2,938 7,008 9,940 7,946 7,42
2,462Other Europe 1,175 3,404 3,612 1,821 1,80
1,528Former Soviet Union - 12 1,361 2,165 1,612 1,526 1,88
1,976Middle East 1,985 2,400 2,047 1,927 1,87
338North Africa 805 996 1,105 1,077 1,07
3,396Sub-Saharan Africa 3,861 4,459 2,870 3,579 3,57
68,847East Asia 48,338 39,901 38,425 36,273 36,27
379South Asia 536 392 592 392 39
1,220Southeast Asia 1,983 2,049 2,616 2,493 2,52
45Oceania 38 37 29 26 2
125,473Total 103,513 130,812 124,991 92,739 86,43
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2006/07Jan
2006/0
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.
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World Barley Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
TY Exports
3300309338167101Argentina
2,32,3005,2314,4816,1042,159Australia
115020040020154Bulgaria
1,51,5001,8761,4761,937304Canada3,53,5002,4943,8819846,307EU-25
3300100100613542Kazakhstan, Republic of
1100183308099Romania
2,52,5001,5001,4881,7363,066Russian Federation
554613Serbia and Montenegro
505050320446Syria
2250550260504Turkey
4,04,3004,9263,9922,5572,334Ukraine
0302183Others
14,915,25517,42716,54414,44616,212Subtotal
5500357771384552United States
15,415,75517,78417,31514,83016,764World Total
no
TY Imports
1150153182128296Brazil
2,02,2002,2172,0491,5191,792China, Peoples Republic of
2200198234181226Colombia
33503875546721,443EU-25
66008001,2916610Iran
3300300313508448Israel
1,41,4001,4171,5221,3591,399Japan
6600800607400414Jordan
220020021462116Kuwait
2200200261333188Libya
4400500565143156Morocco
2250250266438275Russian Federation
6,06,0007,0006,4205,5087,502Saudi Arabia7700800500600279Syria
550060051499312Tunisia
1,11,1801,2611,1841,4961,411Others
15,015,23017,08316,67614,10716,257Subtotal
1225577482226225Unaccounted
3300124157497282United States
15,415,75517,78417,31514,83016,764World Total
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World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
Production
1,41,4504001,3141,220416Algeria
4,24,2009,8697,70810,3873,865Australia
1,31,3501,8002,0001,8001,681Belarus
10,010,00012,48113,18612,3287,489Canada3,53,5003,4003,2222,7173,322China, Peoples Republic of
1,81,8001,7851,5751,4101,200Ethiopia
54,854,86352,76961,72754,82656,509EU-25
1,41,4001,0801,3101,4101,500India
2,92,9002,9002,9002,9003,085Iran
1,21,2501,2501,2501,1501,000Iraq
1,51,5001,5001,5002,1002,200Kazakhstan, Republic of
2,52,5001,1022,7602,6201,669Morocco
18,118,50015,80017,20018,00018,700Russian Federation
7,27,2007,6007,4006,9007,200Turkey
11,811,8009,00011,1006,85010,364Ukraine
10,610,54510,64311,95110,2299,707Others
134,3134,758133,379148,103136,847129,907Subtotal
3,93,9204,6136,0916,0594,940United States
138,3138,678137,992154,194142,906134,847World Total
no
Total Consumption
3,73,7003,6503,4503,0502,700Australia
1,51,5001,9751,9001,7501,700Belarus
10,210,20010,41410,7679,8937,905Canada
5,45,6505,5505,3504,7004,900China, Peoples Republic of
1,81,8001,7851,5751,4101,200Ethiopia
54,854,80052,50052,90056,87754,400EU-25
1,41,4001,1001,3001,4001,500India
4,14,1003,9003,5003,1002,900Iran
1,61,6501,6501,6501,6301,600Japan
2,62,6002,4502,7002,3002,000Morocco15,716,10015,50016,50018,60015,500Russian Federation
6,36,3106,5105,4107,0105,810Saudi Arabia
1,41,4501,4501,3501,2501,100Syria
7,17,1007,3007,3007,1006,800Turkey
6,96,9004,9006,4006,2007,400Ukraine
16,216,21816,07016,64414,92514,216Others
140,8141,620137,771137,832142,557131,204Subtotal
4,44,2464,5715,6724,9905,179United States
145,2145,866142,342143,504147,547136,383World Total
no
Ending Stocks
9954554876611291Algeria
1,01,0032,8031,8841,887948Australia
1,61,6393,2893,4352,1021,475Canada
5,45,6698,08210,6804,2878,488EU-25
1,01,0849342,1102,2274,706Russian Federation
2,82,8523,1622,6722,3992,611Saudi Arabia
1,81,4321,2129915961,424Ukraine
5,55,4996,5157,8075,8335,749Others
20,320,13226,55130,45519,94225,692Subtotal
1,51,8072,3502,7962,6191,510United States
21,921,93928,90133,25122,56127,202World Total
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Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
TY Imports non
514North America 567 291 220 400 40
772South America 440 538 534 535 53
1,443European Union 672 554 387 350 35
235Other Europe 384 141 171 240 24
333Former Soviet Union - 12 706 327 470 330 339,081Middle East 8,112 9,619 10,160 8,635 8,63
721North Africa 601 1,473 1,370 1,170 1,17
97Sub-Saharan Africa 69 102 100 100 10
3,340East Asia 3,047 3,768 3,775 3,750 3,55
2South Asia 0 0 0 0
1Oceania 6 20 20 20 2
16,539Total 14,604 16,833 17,207 15,530 15,33
Production non
13,166North America 19,469 20,209 17,847 14,820 14,82
1,399South America 2,039 2,058 1,827 2,020 2,09
56,509European Union 54,826 61,727 52,769 54,863 54,81
3,208Other Europe 2,395 4,119 3,381 2,937 2,93
34,072Former Soviet Union - 12 29,631 33,160 29,385 34,495 34,09
12,438Middle East 12,116 12,540 12,530 12,130 12,13
2,430North Africa 4,795 4,719 2,212 4,595 4,591,485Sub-Saharan Africa 1,764 1,871 2,132 2,175 2,17
3,839East Asia 3,136 3,678 3,845 3,925 3,92
1,995South Asia 1,970 2,025 1,795 2,118 2,11
4,306Oceania 10,765 8,088 10,269 4,600 4,60
134,847Total 142,906 154,194 137,992 138,678 138,30
Domestic Consumption non
13,884North America 15,833 17,389 15,935 15,396 15,61
1,950South America 2,189 2,330 2,220 2,225 2,22
54,400European Union 56,877 52,900 52,500 54,800 54,80
2,810Other Europe 2,700 3,495 3,205 3,075 3,07
27,616Former Soviet Union - 12 29,506 27,550 25,094 27,250 26,85
18,627Middle East 20,750 20,232 21,875 21,630 21,63
3,839North Africa 4,427 5,164 4,780 5,130 5,13
1,612Sub-Saharan Africa 1,774 1,986 2,200 2,265 2,26
6,949East Asia 6,719 7,457 7,601 7,710 7,511,998South Asia 1,960 2,015 1,815 2,118 2,11
3,125Oceania 3,450 3,850 4,050 4,125 4,12
136,810Total 146,185 144,368 141,275 145,724 145,34
Ending Stocks non
3,027North America 4,921 6,470 5,731 3,538 3,32
267South America 404 331 186 218 29
8,488European Union 4,287 10,680 8,082 5,669 5,44
455Other Europe 470 660 556 453 39
7,445Former Soviet Union - 12 3,727 4,165 3,141 3,216 3,61
4,448Middle East 4,429 5,742 6,154 4,989 4,98
640North Africa 1,442 2,291 1,172 1,807 1,80
3Sub-Saharan Africa 58 93 125 135 13
1,388East Asia 850 839 855 820 82
24South Asia 34 44 24 24 2
1,017Oceania 1,939 1,936 2,875 1,070 1,0727,202Total 22,561 33,251 28,901 21,939 21,91
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.
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World Sorghum Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
TY Exports
6250226279228604Argentina
110019037042575Australia
5002437164Brazil
25262816888China, Peoples Republic of252524426India
5050505050Nigeria
2523364149South Africa, Republic of
5528143665Others
95805688251,3611,001Subtotal
4,24,4004,9704,5414,8454,877United States
5,14,9805,5385,3666,2065,878World Total
no
TY Imports
6542716258Chile
2525815550Eritrea
43251592261,139439EU-25
50383410469Israel
1,31,3501,3931,3741,4341,562Japan
2,52,7003,0292,9313,0023,384Mexico
5050505025Niger
25751801Somalia
21002111601515Sudan
5050616164Taiwan
70308227235210Others
4,74,8105,3805,2336,1575,877Subtotal
3170158132490Unaccounted
00101United States
5,14,9805,5385,3666,2065,878World Total
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World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
Production
3,13,0002,2002,9002,2002,800Argentina
2,12,1002,0192,1772,0091,465Australia
1,91,9001,8502,0512,1031,900Brazil
1,61,6001,8371,4001,5201,260Burkina2,52,5802,5462,3282,8653,327China, Peoples Republic of
9900900900900900Egypt
2,92,9002,8002,1501,7001,100Ethiopia
5480477492380701EU-25
7,87,8007,7907,2407,3307,060India
6,16,1505,5005,8907,3006,338Mexico
6675750500720700Niger
10,510,50010,50010,0009,0007,850Nigeria
3,73,7004,3802,7005,1902,930Sudan
7700890820500835Tanzania, United Republic
4490450400420425Uganda
4,44,4314,2734,3144,3864,064Others
50,049,90649,16246,26248,52343,655Subtotal
7,07,3279,98111,52310,4469,163United States
57,157,23359,14357,78558,96952,818World Total
no
Total Consumption
2,32,5002,2002,6002,0002,250Argentina
2,02,0051,8551,9051,4051,405Australia
1,91,9001,9002,1001,6501,850Brazil
1,61,6001,8371,4001,5201,260Burkina
2,52,5502,5002,4003,0002,825China, Peoples Republic of
9900900900900900Egypt
3,03,0002,2002,1501,7001,105Ethiopia
1,08755507001,966677EU-25
7,77,7007,7007,2007,3507,150India
1,41,4001,4001,4001,5001,575Japan8,78,9008,6009,3009,8009,900Mexico
7700750550750725Niger
10,410,45010,4509,9508,9507,800Nigeria
4,04,0004,2503,5004,5003,500Sudan
7700890820500860Tanzania, United Republic
5,15,1705,1945,1005,0624,817Others
54,054,23653,39152,07252,57348,797Subtotal
3,93,8104,8146,2555,6384,939United States
58,058,04658,20558,32758,21153,736World Total
no
Ending Stocks
3428128328379370Argentina
2206186156247547China, Peoples Republic of
5500600000Ethiopia
22201458061123India
55035536241,103601Mexico
2200200200200200Nigeria
5404652313958263Sudan
8763901948837682Others
3,33,2243,3652,6493,7852,786Subtotal
89811,6681,4468521,093United States
4,14,2055,0334,0954,6373,879World Total
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Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
TY Imports non
3,385North America 3,002 2,932 3,029 2,700 2,50
0Central America 0 4 0 0
0Caribbean 0 0 0 0
123South America 104 158 67 65 6
439European Union 1,139 226 159 325 4034Other Europe 24 7 10 10 1
71Middle East 105 34 38 50 5
1North Africa 0 0 35 0
187Sub-Saharan Africa 232 412 564 235 33
1,632East Asia 1,526 1,450 1,468 1,420 1,42
1South Asia 0 4 0 0
5Southeast Asia 25 7 10 5
0Oceania 0 0 0 0
5,878Total 6,157 5,234 5,380 4,810 4,78
Production non
15,501North America 17,746 17,413 15,481 13,477 13,20
384Central America 332 330 307 326 32
125Caribbean 128 128 128 128 12
5,473South America 5,075 5,777 4,890 5,751 5,85
701European Union 380 492 477 480 565Other Europe 5 5 5 5
553Middle East 485 485 485 485 48
915North Africa 915 915 915 915 91
16,957Sub-Saharan Africa 21,315 20,045 23,650 22,736 22,73
3,344East Asia 2,882 2,348 2,566 2,600 2,60
7,263South Asia 7,560 7,470 8,020 8,030 8,03
132Southeast Asia 137 200 200 200 20
1,465Oceania 2,009 2,177 2,019 2,100 2,10
52,818Total 58,969 57,785 59,143 57,233 57,13
Domestic Consumption non
14,839North America 15,438 15,555 13,414 12,710 12,63
365Central America 335 355 310 325 32
125Caribbean 128 128 128 128 12
4,988South America 4,509 5,594 4,981 5,326 5,12
677European Union 1,966 700 550 875 1,0239Other Europe 29 12 15 15 1
610Middle East 590 527 523 535 53
916North Africa 915 915 950 915 91
17,632Sub-Saharan Africa 20,550 21,039 23,164 23,191 23,19
4,484East Asia 4,603 3,886 3,985 4,025 4,02
7,354South Asia 7,580 7,431 7,930 7,930 7,93
104Southeast Asia 143 183 185 180 18
1,405Oceania 1,405 1,905 1,855 2,005 2,00
53,538Total 58,191 58,230 57,990 58,160 58,03
Ending Stocks non
1,694North America 1,955 2,070 2,221 1,484 1,34
46Central America 42 16 17 18 1
0Caribbean 0 0 0 0
447South America 558 535 304 544 44
68European Union 32 43 63 34 70Other Europe 0 0 0 0
43Middle East 43 36 36 36 3
40North Africa 40 39 39 39 3
530Sub-Saharan Africa 1,375 773 1,668 1,325 1,46
826East Asia 463 347 370 340 34
123South Asia 61 80 145 220 22
8Southeast Asia 5 26 26 26 2
54Oceania 63 130 144 139 13
3,879Total 4,637 4,095 5,033 4,205 4,14
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2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.
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World Oats Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
TY Exports
51201Argentina
1125191137210145Australia
1,71,7001,7541,3749841,058Canada
2527294412Chile2250229354443794EU-25
55551Kazakhstan, Republic of
0521129Others
2,12,1102,2121,9221,6982,020Subtotal
3039313839United States
2,12,1402,2511,9531,7362,059World Total
no
TY Imports
54217Algeria
55655Bosnia and Herzegovina
2021161949Canada
20181397China, Peoples Republic of
2526262328Colombia
10861111EU-25
7059676783Japan
5075519182Mexico
51101Morocco
2048221Norway
2525423119South Africa, Republic of
5048263834Switzerland
057275Others
3305343265324332Subtotal
357759110-50Unaccounted
1,81,8001,8311,6291,3021,777United States
2,12,1402,2511,9531,7362,059World Total
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World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
Production
4400350508348500Argentina
1,01,0001,4161,3212,018957Australia
5550600770500575Belarus
4475517433413390Brazil3,63,6003,4323,6833,6912,911Canada
3380420425425420Chile
6600600600600600China, Peoples Republic of
7,67,4687,4098,7538,6239,280EU-25
1140140140100100Kazakhstan, Republic of
3349349359333279Norway
3350350350350350Romania
4,95,0004,5504,9505,2005,700Russian Federation
1120120120110125Serbia and Montenegro
2290290290285290Turkey
99008001,000925943Ukraine
5557559547555495Others
22,222,17921,90224,24924,47623,915Subtotal
1,31,3611,6671,6792,0961,684United States
23,523,54023,56925,92826,57225,599World Total
no
Total Consumption
4400350500359525Argentina
1,01,0751,2001,1751,705800Australia
5550650700500600Belarus
4475515425410382Brazil
2,02,0502,1152,1942,1871,870Canada
3350400400380430Chile
6620620610610600China, Peoples Republic of
7,37,2007,3508,3308,2768,287EU-25
113513513595100Kazakhstan, Republic of
1130155126182133Mexico3370400360340280Norway
3350350350350350Romania
4,94,9004,6004,9005,6006,300Russian Federation
2290290290288290Turkey
99008001,000950950Ukraine
7780773760747743Others
20,720,59920,72822,33223,20422,692Subtotal
3,13,1893,2873,2973,3893,480United States
23,923,78824,01525,62926,59326,172World Total
no
Ending Stocks
7782837777Argentina
1115315299290187Australia
7742872974788524Canada
1107107109106107China, Peoples Republic of
77557469128341,010EU-25
3031343338Norway
1290190240184575Russian Federation
1130123183123156Others
2,12,2462,4662,8342,4352,674Subtotal
7716763841941723United States
2,82,9623,2293,6753,3763,397World Total
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Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
TY Imports non
1,908North America 1,412 1,696 1,927 1,870 1,87
30South America 34 26 31 25 2
11European Union 11 6 8 10 1
41Other Europe 47 34 101 75 7
2Former Soviet Union - 12 9 7 0 00Middle East 5 0 0 0
8North Africa 1 3 5 10 1
19Sub-Saharan Africa 31 42 25 25 2
90East Asia 76 80 77 90 9
0Oceania 0 0 0 0
2,109Total 1,626 1,894 2,174 2,105 2,10
Production non
4,660North America 5,882 5,437 5,179 5,041 5,04
1,331South America 1,221 1,397 1,317 1,285 1,28
9,280European Union 8,623 8,753 7,409 7,468 7,62
963Other Europe 981 1,028 1,026 1,026 1,02
7,331Former Soviet Union - 12 6,735 6,870 6,100 6,598 6,49
290Middle East 285 290 290 290 29
65North Africa 105 110 110 110 11
45Sub-Saharan Africa 45 45 45 45 4602East Asia 602 602 602 602 60
1,032Oceania 2,093 1,396 1,491 1,075 1,07
25,599Total 26,572 25,928 23,569 23,540 23,59
Domestic Consumption non
5,483North America 5,758 5,617 5,557 5,369 5,36
1,390South America 1,207 1,382 1,326 1,280 1,28
8,287European Union 8,276 8,330 7,350 7,200 7,35
1,015Other Europe 1,042 1,064 1,129 1,102 1,10
7,963Former Soviet Union - 12 7,155 6,745 6,195 6,493 6,49
290Middle East 288 290 290 290 29
73North Africa 106 110 115 120 12
59Sub-Saharan Africa 79 87 70 70 7
685East Asia 677 677 683 690 69
875Oceania 1,780 1,250 1,275 1,150 1,15
26,120Total 26,368 25,552 23,990 23,764 23,91Ending Stocks non
1,250North America 1,732 1,818 1,638 1,461 1,46
98South America 104 118 114 114 11
1,010European Union 834 912 746 755 77
63Other Europe 52 50 47 46 4
665Former Soviet Union - 12 242 351 246 346 24
0Middle East 0 0 0 0
1North Africa 1 1 1 1
15Sub-Saharan Africa 12 12 12 12 1
108East Asia 109 114 110 112 11
187Oceania 290 299 315 115 11
3,397Total 3,376 3,675 3,229 2,962 2,88
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.
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World Rye Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
TY Exports
50505050150Belarus
115014112318644Canada
3300381676452624EU-25
04912242687Others55006219717301,505Subtotal
51222United States
55056229737321,507World Total
no
TY Imports
1021422501EU-25
251021112389Israel
1175279261341414Japan
107811431Korea, Republic of
5413168Norway
11005617760Russian Federation
59272Switzerland
52611643Turkey
500032222Ukraine
016121190Others
33854776595881,400Subtotal
201414043-2Unaccounted
1100131174101109United States
55056229737321,507World Total
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World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07Dec
2006/0Ja
no
Production
5555893780Argentina
1,11,1001,1501,4001,2001,600Belarus
3300359420327134Canada
6,56,6727,6459,9666,9079,190EU-253,02,8003,6002,8504,2007,150Russian Federation
2240240240240255Turkey
66001,0501,6006251,511Ukraine
2215227223221225Others
12,111,98214,32616,78813,75720,145Subtotal
1183191210219165United States
12,212,16514,51716,99813,97620,310World Total
no
Total Consumption
5555893780Argentina
1,11,1001,1001,3251,2001,300Belarus
2215187211138106Canada
7,37,4008,60010,0758,7009,310EU-25
1175279261340415Japan
5050504559Kazakhstan, Republic of
5050505050Romania
3,12,9503,6003,3005,5006,150Russian Federation
2245247299283269Turkey
88501,0501,3009001,300Ukraine
1160268270298305Others
13,313,24115,47317,29717,69419,404Subtotal
3307332344297321United States
13,613,54815,80517,64117,99119,725World Total
no
Ending Stocks
1114164164139199Belarus
11051701304325Canada88641,8513,1563,8346,177EU-25
2020202019Japan
76126773551,805Russian Federation
67267336140325Ukraine
00111Others
1,21,2462,5983,8844,5328,551Subtotal
1818201511United States
1,21,2642,6163,9044,5478,562World Total
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Thousand Metric Tons
Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06Dec
2006/07Jan
2006/0
TY Imports non
111North America 101 174 131 100 10
52South America 0 0 0 0
501European Union 22 14 2 10 1
14Other Europe 24 17 14 10 1
242Former Soviet Union - 12 48 187 71 150 15132Middle East 39 172 104 30 3
0Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0
445East Asia 455 269 286 185 18
12Oceania 0 0 0 0
1,509Total 689 833 608 485 48
Production non
299North America 546 630 550 483 48
85South America 42 94 64 61 6
9,190European Union 6,907 9,966 7,645 6,672 6,59
147Other Europe 143 145 145 136 13
10,311Former Soviet Union - 12 6,075 5,900 5,850 4,550 4,75
255Middle East 240 240 240 240 24
3Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3
0East Asia 0 0 0 0
20Oceania 20 20 20 20 220,310Total 13,976 16,998 14,517 12,165 12,28
Domestic Consumption non
427North America 435 555 519 522 52
111South America 42 94 64 61 6
9,310European Union 8,700 10,075 8,600 7,400 7,30
160Other Europe 173 163 162 146 14
8,819Former Soviet Union - 12 7,655 5,985 5,815 4,950 5,15
358Middle East 306 410 349 270 27
3Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3
446East Asia 454 269 286 185 18
31Oceania 20 20 20 20 2
19,665Total 17,788 17,574 15,818 13,557 13,65
Ending Stocks non
36North America 58 150 188 123 12
0South America 0 0 0 06,177European Union 3,834 3,156 1,851 864 85
1Other Europe 1 1 0 0
2,329Former Soviet Union - 12 634 577 557 257 25
0Middle East 0 0 0 0
0Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0
19East Asia 20 20 20 20 2
0Oceania 0 0 0 0
8,562Total 4,547 3,904 2,616 1,264 1,25
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on an international year basis. All other data arereported using marketing years.
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HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR
SELECTED REGIONS AND
COUNTRIESD
G F/SA &
F
CONTENTS
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand...............................................41
China: Grain Supply and Demand................................................................42
Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand....................................................43Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand........................................44
Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................51
Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters...................................53
Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters................................55
Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters............................56
U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution...........................................................57
Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand.................................59
World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand...............................60
World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand..............................................62
World Rice: Supply and Demand.................................................................64
Grain: World Markets and Trade, J anuary 2007
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Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
European Union: Grain Supply and Demand
AreaHarvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.Consumpti
DomesticConsumpti
EndingStocks
Wheat
114.7 106.551.219.45.15.222.01999/00 15.0
124.2 111.154.216.84.75.323.52000/01 16.0
113.6 110.153.414.210.75.122.32001/02 15.9
124.8 118.158.419.913.95.423.12002/03 16.6
106.9 107.950.810.95.94.822.02003/04 10.6
136.8 115.256.714.47.45.923.22004/05 25.2
122.7 119.560.515.07.65.422.52005/06 21.0
117.9 116.657.615.56.85.322.12006/07 13.6
Coarse Grains
133.5 126.795.015.24.84.629.11999/00 21.1
132.7 131.099.510.75.44.629.02000/01 17.6
140.3 134.4101.28.05.94.729.52001/02 21.4
137.9 135.4102.18.66.44.828.82002/03 21.6
122.2 134.6101.14.47.84.328.62003/04 12.6
150.2138.8106.54.03.75.129.22004/05 23.7
131.8 132.4100.33.83.54.728.32005/06 22.7
126.4 134.5102.13.74.84.528.02006/07 15.7
Wheat and Coarse Grains
248.3 233.2146.234.59.94.951.11999/00 36.1
256.9 242.1153.727.510.24.952.52000/01 33.6
253.8 244.5154.622.216.64.951.82001/02 37.3
262.7 253.5160.528.620.35.151.92002/03 38.3
229.1 242.5151.915.313.74.550.72003/04 23.2
287.0 254.0163.218.411.15.552.42004/05 48.9
254.4 251.9160.818.911.15.050.82005/06 43.6
244.3 251.1159.719.211.64.950.12006/07 29.3
Notes: Trade year statistics are on a July/June year for wheat and an Oct/Sept year for coarse grains. DataEU-15 countries prior to its expansion in 1999.
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Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
China: Grain Supply and Demand
AreaHarvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.Consumpti
DomesticConsumpti
EndingStocks
Wheat
102.2 106.53.20.512.53.528.91995/96 76.5
110.6 107.63.41.02.73.729.61996/97 81.2
123.3 109.14.91.21.94.130.11997/98 96.2
109.7 108.35.00.50.83.729.81998/99 97.9
113.9 109.36.50.51.03.928.91999/00 102.9
99.6 110.310.00.60.23.726.72000/01 91.9
93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.62001/02 76.6
90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.92002/03 60.4
86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.02003/04 43.3
92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.62004/05 38.8
97.5 101.03.51.41.04.322.82005/06 34.9
103.5 101.04.02.50.74.423.42006/07 35.6
Coarse Grains
124.5 115.478.40.23.04.627.31995/96 101.1
141.3121.082.64.02.14.929.11996/97 119.5
114.7 121.687.26.21.64.128.11997/98 108.0
143.5 127.391.43.42.64.929.11998/99 123.4
137.2 128.892.710.02.34.629.61999/00 124.2
114.0 130.494.47.32.44.326.52000/01 102.8
122.2 132.996.28.62.04.427.52001/02 85.6
130.7 136.498.415.31.84.728.02002/03 66.4
124.0 138.799.17.71.54.627.12003/04 45.5
138.3 141.2100.27.62.14.928.22004/05 37.0
147.7 147.5103.13.82.35.129.12005/06 35.8
151.4 151.4105.04.02.15.129.92006/07 34.0
Wheat and Coarse Grains
226.7 221.981.60.715.54.056.21995/96 177.6
251.9 228.686.05.04.84.358.71996/97 200.7
238.0 230.692.17.43.54.158.11997/98 204.2
253.2 235.696.43.93.44.358.81998/99 221.3
251.1 238.199.210.53.44.358.41999/00 227.1
213.6 240.7104.47.92.64.053.12000/01 194.7
216.1 241.6105.210.13.14.152.12001/02 162.1
221.0 241.6104.917.12.24.351.92002/03 126.7
210.4 243.2105.110.55.34.349.12003/04 88.8
230.2 243.2104.28.88.84.649.82004/05 75.8
245.1 248.5106.65.23.34.751.92005/06 70.7
254.9 252.4109.06.52.84.853.32006/07 69.6
Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.
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Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares
Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand
AreaHarvested
Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.Consumpti
DomesticConsumpti
EndingStocks
Wheat
16.6 14.23.32.81.23.35.11995/96 3.7
8.9 12.63.00.62.22.33.91996/97 1.7
16.0 14.43.21.11.53.25.01997/98 3.6
14.5 14.33.11.11.23.14.61998/99 3.9
11.9 13.33.21.61.83.13.91999/00 2.6
12.1 12.82.80.91.92.84.42000/01 2.9
14.7 13.63.32.02.02.95.12001/02 4.0
12.6 13.43.21.92.02.74.72002/03 3.3
7.6 12.92.50.14.22.23.52003/04 2.1
15.5 14.13.51.41.83.84.12004/05 3.9
13.2 13.53.12.01.63.14.32005/06 3.3
12.2 12.82.62.01.53.13.92006/07 2.1
Coarse Grains
25.8 25.221.20.90.73.47.61995/96 1.8
23.423.519.51.00.93.07.71996/97 1.5
29.4 27.022.91.20.73.97.51997/98 3.5
22.8 23.819.81.00.63.17.31998/99 2.1
26.5 25.821.80.90.83.67.31999/00 2.7
15.2 17.513.50.31.42.36.62000/01 1.4
21.1 20.516.61.01.13.16.82001/02 2.2
22.1 21.017.21.71.33.46.62002/03 3.0
18.7 21.317.90.31.52.86.62003/04 1.7
29.1 25.019.82.30.64.27.02004/05 4.1
26.8 24.919.32.50.73.96.92005/06 4.2
24.0 24.118.62.50.73.86.32006/07 2.2
Wheat and Coarse Grains
42.4 39.424.43.81.83.312.71995/96 5.6
32.3 36.122.51.63.02.811.61996/97 3.2
45.4 41.426.12.32.23.612.41997/98 7.1
37.3 38.223.02.11.83.112.01998/99 6.0
38.4 39.125.02.52.53.511.11999/00 5.3
27.3 30.316.31.33.32.511.02000/01 4.3
35.8 34.019.93.03.13.011.82001/02 6.1
34.8 34.320.53.53.33.111.32002/03 6.3
26.3 34.120.40.45.82.610.12003/04 3.8
44.6 39.123.33.72.54.011.12004/05 8.1
40.0 38.422.44.52.33.611.22005/06 7.5
36.2 36.921.24.62.23.510.22006/07 4.4
Notes: Trade year statisics are on July/June Year for wheat and an Oct/Sep year for coarse grains.
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Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)
AreaHarvested
EndingStocks
TotalConsumpti
FeedConsumpti
MYExports
MYImports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan, Republic of
2.2 1.91.80.50.01.31.82002/03 0.9
2.1 2.01.90.70.01.21.82003/04 0.4
1.5 1.61.50.10.00.91.72004/05 0.2
1.5 1.41.30.10.00.91.62005/06 0.2
1.5 1.41.30.30.00.91.62006/07 0.0
Russian Federation
18.7 15.510.73.10.31.810.32002/03 4.7
18.0 18.613.72.30.41.710.52003/04 2.2
17.2 16.511.71.10.31.710.02004/05 2.1
15.8 15.510.91.70.31.79.22005/06 0.9
18.1 15.711.12.50.31.810.12006/07 1.1
Ukraine
10.4 7.45.52.90.02.54.22002/03 1.4
6.9 6.24.71.50.01.54.62003/04 0.6
11.1 6.44.74.30.02.54.52004/05 1.0
9.0 4.93.24.00.12.14.42005/06 1.2
11.8 6.95.24.30.02.35.22006/07 1.8
Uzbekistan, Republic of
0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.12002/03 0.0
0.2 0.20.10.00.01.40.12003/04 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.12004/05 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.12005/06 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.02.70.12006/07 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
2.6 2.61.90.00.02.41.12002/03 0.3
2.5 2.61.80.00.22.01.22003/04 0.5
3.2 2.92.20.00.12.61.22004/05 0.8
2.9 3.12.30.00.12.51.22005/06 0.7
2.5 2.72.00.00.12.21.12006/07 0.6
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
34.1 27.620.06.50.32.017.32002/03 7.4
29.6 29.522.24.50.71.618.32003/04 3.7
33.2 27.620.25.50.31.917.52004/05 4.2
29.4 25.117.85.80.51.816.32005/06 3.1
34.1 26.919.77.10.31.918.12006/07 3.6
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Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley) (Continued)
AreaHarvested
EndingStocks
TotalConsumpti
FeedConsumpti
MYExports
MYImports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
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Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)
AreaHarvested
EndingStocks
TotalConsumpti
FeedConsumpti
MYExports
MYImports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan, Republic of
0.4 0.40.30.00.03.20.12002/03 0.0
0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.12003/04 0.0
0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.12004/05 0.0
0.3 0.30.20.00.03.00.12005/06 0.0
0.3 0.30.20.00.03.20.12006/07 0.0
Russian Federation
1.6 1.61.20.00.12.80.62002/03 0.1
2.1 2.62.20.00.53.00.72003/04 0.2
3.5 3.63.00.00.23.90.92004/05 0.2
3.2 3.63.00.10.33.80.92005/06 0.1
3.6 3.73.20.10.33.61.02006/07 0.2
Ukraine
4.2 3.52.80.80.03.51.22002/03 0.8
6.9 5.64.91.20.03.42.02003/04 0.8
8.8 6.05.32.30.03.82.32004/05 1.3
7.2 5.14.42.50.04.31.72005/06 0.9
6.5 5.34.51.00.03.81.72006/07 1.2
Uzbekistan, Republic of
0.2 0.10.10.00.04.30.02002/03 0.0
0.1 0.20.10.00.04.10.02003/04 0.0
0.2 0.20.10.00.04.40.02004/05 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.02005/06 0.0
0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.02006/07 0.0
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
2.2 2.32.00.00.12.80.82002/03 0.5
2.1 2.42.10.10.12.90.72003/04 0.3
2.6 2.72.40.00.33.10.92004/05 0.6
2.3 2.62.40.00.33.10.82005/06 0.5
2.3 2.52.20.00.23.10.72006/07 0.5
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
8.5 7.96.40.90.23.22.72002/03 1.5
11.5 11.09.51.30.63.23.62003/04 1.4
15.4 12.711.02.40.53.74.22004/05 2.2
13.1 11.810.12.50.63.93.42005/06 1.6
12.8 11.910.31.10.53.63.62006/07 1.9
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Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn) (Continued)
AreaHarvested
EndingStocks
TotalConsumpti
FeedConsumpti
MYExports
MYImports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
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Millions of Tons/Hectares
Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)
AreaHarvested
EndingStocks
TotalConsumpti
FeedConsumpti
MYExports
MYImports
ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year
Former Soviet Union - 12
Kazakhstan, Republic of
12.6 6.82.76.20.01.111.52002/03 3.7
11.0 6.82.74.10.01.011.32003/04 3.8
10.0 7.42.72.70.00.811.82004/05 3.6
11.0 7.42.73.00.00.911.82005/06 4.3
11.5 7.62.75.00.00.912.22006/07 3.2
Russian Federation
50.6 39.316.012.61.02.025.72002/03 6.1
34.1 35.512.53.11.01.522.22003/04 2.6
45.4 37.413.68.01.21.924.22004/05 3.9
47.7 38.414.910.71.31.925.42005/06 3.8
44.9 37.314.19.51.21.923.72006/07 3.1
Ukraine
20.6 14.54.06.60.83.06.82002/03 3.3
3.6 9.00.40.13.41.52.52003/04 1.1
17.5 11.72.14.40.03.05.92004/05 2.6
18.7 12.52.96.50.12.86.62005/06 2.4
14.3 11.52.12.80.12.65.42006/07 2.5
Uzbekistan, Republic of
5.0 4.90.80.00.34.21.22002/03 0.9
5.4 5.20.80.50.23.71.52003/04 0.9
5.5 5.40.80.10.23.91.42004/05 1.1
6.1 5.60.80.10.24.21.52005/06 1.7
5.8 6.00.80.10.24.51.32006/07 1.6
Other Former Soviet Union - 12
8.2 9.81.30.32.52.63.22002/03 2.5
6.8 9.41.20.12.62.32.92003/04 2.5
8.5 11.01.60.13.12.63.22004/05 3.0
8.7 11.31.70.13.12.63.32005/06 3.4
7.6 10.81.30.12.52.53.02006/07 2.7
Total Former Soviet Union - 12
96.9 75.424.825.74.62.048.42002/03 16.5
60.9 65.917.67.87.31.540.32003/04 11.0
86.8 72.920.815.24.51.946.52004/05 14.2
92.2 75.223.020.34.