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Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director TNC-Long Island January 11, 2008

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Page 1: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project

Status, Lessons Learned, &Implementation Recommendations

Nancy KelleyExecutive DirectorTNC-Long IslandJanuary 11, 2008

Page 2: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

Ecosystem-based management is an approach to managing ecosystems that considers the entire ecosystem, including humans. It promotes ecosystem viability and integrity, biodiversity, sustainability, and social values and principles.

Page 3: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

TNC Charge

Long Island

1. Draft EBM Plan using TNC Conservation by Design approach

2. Key research & monitoring to help prioritize threats or focus strategies

3. Opportunities & strategies for governmental alignment

4. Poll 400-600 people to discern behaviors and perceptions of GSB

5. Primary land-based sources of nitrogen to GSB

6. Hard clam restoration

7. Seagrass restoration

Demo site & watershed

Page 4: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

GSB EBM draft plan uses best available science to identify a suite of “surrogates” that represent the estuarine system, their viability and threats.

Page 5: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

Seagrass MeadowsWinter Flounder

Salt Marshes

Representatives of sub-ecosystems, key processes,

and human uses Barrier Island Complex

AlewivesPredatory Fish

Horseshoe Crabs

Piping plovers

Hard Clams

Page 6: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

• What is our best estimate of how well Great South Bay is doing?

• How well are the surrogates doing? Are they in an acceptable range of variability?

• Life history, temporal & spatial distribution, key physical processes

Page 7: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

Threats Across Targets Hard Clams

Salt Marshes

AlewivesPiping

PloversSeagrass Meadows

Horseshoe

Crabs

Winter Flounder

Barrier Island

Complex Overall Threat Rank

Project-specific threats (Common taxonomy) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

1 Breach contingency / Inlet Management () Medium - - - Medium - High High High

2Shoreline armoring (Other Ecosystem Modifications)

Low High - Low Low Medium - High High

3 Development (Housing & Urban Areas) - High - Medium - Low - High High

4 Global warming (Temperature Extremes) Medium Medium Medium - Medium - High - Medium

5 Sea level rise (Habitat Shifting & Alteration) - High - Medium - Medium - - Medium

6Beach nourishment (Other Ecosystem Modifications)

- Low - Low - - - High Medium

7Imbalanced Concentration and Composition of Nutrients (Household Sewage & Urban Waste Water)

High Low - - Low - - - Medium

8Harmful Algal Blooms (Invasive Non-Native/Alien Species)

High - - - Low - - - Medium

9 Dams (Dams & Water Management/Use) - - High - - - - - Medium

10Direct take (Fishing & Harvesting Aquatic Resources)

Medium - Low - - Low Medium - Medium

11 Dredging (Shipping Lanes) - Low - - Low - Low Medium Low

12 Disease (Invasive Non-Native/Alien Species) Medium - - - Low - - - Low

13 By-catch () - - - - - - Medium - Low

14 Inadequate culverts () - Low Medium - - - - - Low

15Invasive Species (Plants, Phragmites) (Invasive Non-Native/Alien Species)

- Medium - - - - - Low Low

16Loss of sea grass beds (Fishing & Harvesting Aquatic Resources)

Medium - - - - - Low - Low

Threat Status for Targets and Project High High Medium Medium MediumMediu

mHigh High High

Page 8: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

PreservationRestoration Research & Monitoring

Policy Communication

Measurable objectives to direct and evaluate performance

Strategies

Page 9: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

EBM Strategies

• Specific to Great South Bayex. Hard clams restoration

• Specific to Long Islandex. Piping plover management

• State-wideex. Seagrass management plan

• Region/Nation-wideex. Multi-species fisheries management

Page 10: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

Project Status• GSB EBM Demo plan to be submitted end of Jan 2008

along with 1st draft of the governance section

• Poll was completed in November 2007 and focus groups scheduled for mid-February

• First run of nitrogen loading models–field sampling Spring 2008 to ground truth model results

• Approx. 3 million adult clams transplanted into spawner sanctuaries

• 2nd round of seagrass seeded in July 2007

Page 11: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

Lessons Learned• Stakeholders earlier in the process to

develop a vision & provide ongoing input

• County & town involvement

• More transparent human use considerations throughout the Plan

• Socioeconomic analysis of cost/benefits of recommended strategies

• Adaptive management aspects of EBM require a commitment for long-term monitoring

• Implementation of Plan recommendations is key

Page 12: Great South Bay Ecosystem-Based Management Demonstration Project Status, Lessons Learned, & Implementation Recommendations Nancy Kelley Executive Director

Next Steps

• Scientific peer review

• Expanded education & outreach

• Public summary

• Historical trends of N loading & evaluation of mgmt options

• Restoration & monitoring