gröna tåget – a high-speed train for the nordic market oskar fröidh [email protected]...
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Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train for the Nordic market
Oskar Frö[email protected]
Public Conference in Oslo16 December, 2010
High-speed on the conventional network: Tilting trainsSweden
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 2
First report on tilting trains in 1969.
X 2000 services begun in 1990 (Stockholm-Gothenburg), and was extended to all main lines during the 1990’s.
Upgrading of the conventional network for up to 200 km/h operation.
Successful in rail/air competi-tion up to 400 km, and also Stockholm-Gothenb.(455 km)
New high-speed trains needed
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 3
• Travel demand increases• Short travelling times are profitable (for society as
for operators and passengers) • Lower fares through better economy of service• Existing trains grow older
New links and rebuilt sections since mid-1990’s dimensioned for 250 km/h with tilting trains (mixed freight and passenger)
GrönA Tåget research programme
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 4
The Gröna Tåget research programme• Trafikverket, KTH, research institutes,
Bombardier, SJ AB, consultants • 2005-2011
Gröna TågetGrønne Toget/The Green Train
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 5
• ”Gröna Tåget should serve as a bank of ideas, proposals and technical solutions for operators, infrastructure managers and industry”
• Flexible train length: Capacity according to need• Many seats in a given train length• Reliability and accessibility even in the Nordic climate• Low costs give profitability in a market exposed to
competetion• Track-friendliness, which means less wear to track
and wheels and enables high speeds on non-perfect track
• Even lower energy consumption and less noise than trains of today
Carbody tiltTo increase speed in curves
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 6
Boogie technologyTrack-friendly soft boogie
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 7
The Gröna Tåget cost model
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 8
Capital costs
Train data
Onboard personnel costs
Infrastructure user fees
Energy costs
Maintenance costs
Type of service
Administration and planning
Load factor
Calculation of general operational costs Calculation of operational costs per case
Cost per train-km
Cost per seat-km
Cost per passenger-km
Sales costs
Terminal costs
Most important factors for low costs in train operations
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 9
• High commercial speed*• Efficient space utilisation• High load factor
* More important: Increases demand as well
Total operational cost as a function of commercial speed
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 10
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80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
Medelhastighet (km/h)
Kr/s
ittpl
atsk
m
Commercial speed (km/h)
Tota
l cos
t (SE
K/se
at-k
m)
Total operational cost as a function of space utilisation
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 11
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0,40
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0,60
1,6 1,8 2,0 2,2 2,4 2,6 2,8 3,0 3,2 3,4 3,6
Sittplatser per meter tåglängd
Kr/
sittp
lats
km
Seats per metre of train length
Tota
l cos
t (SE
K/se
at-k
m)
Total operational cost as a function of load factor
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 12
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
1,20
1,40
1,60
20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Beläggningsgrad
Kr/p
erso
nkm
Tota
l cos
t (SE
K/pa
ss-k
m)
Load factor
Gröna Tåget high-speed concept
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 13
• Carbody tilt (optional)• High top speed of 250 km/h on conventional
lines, a 320 km/h version for new lines possible
• Wide-body• Shorter, flexible trainsets• Reliable in Nordic winter• Lower total costs• Lower energy consumption (economy and
energy efficient)
Carbody width
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 14
ICE3Continental profile
Gröna TågetWide body
Norway, Sweden, Copenhagen
2,95 m 3,46-3,55 m
Comparison of train sets
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 15
108 m
134 m
165 m
Gröna tåget (continental profile) approx. 300 seats
Gröna tåget (wide body) approx. 300 seats
X 2000 (normal profile)
Illustration by Oskar Fröidh, 2010
309 seats
Space utilisation• Wide-body trains have 25-30% more seats in every car• Space efficient seats and train layout• An EMU is lacking a locomotive/power unit (cf. the X 2000)
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 16
Effects of Gröna Tåget
Market effects• Increased travel demand• Improved economy of operation• Increased accessibility, cost-benefit ratio improves• Less air and car travel – sustainable environment
Better supply
Mor
e en
viro
n-
men
t fr
iendly
Shor
ter
trav
el-
ling t
imes
Incr
ease
d fre
quen
cyLo
wer
far
es
Higher top speed (250 km/h up)
Tilting capabilityWide body (2+3 seating)Shorter trainsets, flexible train length
Suggested strategy
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 17
Railway, mixed services or passenger onlyRailway, freight onlyHigh-speed link, proposedExisting corridor Oslo–StockholmHigh-speed corridor, new link/existing line
Map: Oskar Fröidh, 2010
Oslo
Stockholm
Linköping
Norrköping
Uppsala
EskilstunaVästerås
Gothenburg
Hallsberg
Örebro
Mjölby
Tranås
Skövde
Falköping
Karlstad
Katrineholm
Motala
NyköpingOxelösund
Söder-tälje
Herrljunga
Alingsås
Mariestad
Lidköping
Arvika
Ström-stad
Arboga
Enköping
Sala
Arlanda Airport
Fagersta
KilBålsta
Gnesta
Flen
Vagn-härad
Stenungsund
Kongsvinger
Lillestrøm
GardermoenAirport Torsby
Laxå
Hasselfors
Hovsta
Järna
Ski
Moss
SarpsborgHaldenFredrik-
stad
The Oslo– Stockholm corridorA
D9
Total operating costsThe Gröna Tåget cost modelApplied on Oslo–Stockholm corridor
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 18
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GT Wide-4 (250 km/h; 300 seats)
GT Wide-6 (320 km/h; 450 seats)
DB ICE3 (320 km/h; 444 seats)
NO
K/se
at-k
m
Total operating costs - high-speed lines
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0,05
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SJ X 2000 (309 seats) NSB BM73 (204 seats) GT Wide-4 (300 seats)
NO
K/se
at-k
m
Total operating costs - conventional lines
Lower ticket price – more journeysThe Oslo–Stockholm corridor
• Total operating cost for 1 single journey in 2010’s prices• Operating cost not the same as ticket price (which
includes yield management and profit), but an indication
Existing line (570 km, 4h50)Train type Operating cost1 Travel demand2
NSB BM73 NOK 428 ref.SJ X 2000 NOK 411 +3%Gröna Tåget (GTW-4) NOK 347 +15%
High-speed line (491 km, 2h30)Train type Operating cost1 Travel demand2
DB ICE3 NOK 312 ref.Gröna Tåget (GTW-6) NOK 256 +14%
1) Load factor 60%2) At a fare elasticity of -0.8
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 19
Total operating costsGröna Tåget cost modelApplied on Oslo–Stockholm corridor
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 20
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Conventional line High-speed line
NO
K/Se
at-k
m
Total operating costs by line standard
NSB BM73 (204 seats) GT Wide-4 (300 seats)
High-speed has 20% lower operating costs
than services on a conventional line. Effect of shorter
distance and time
Efficient space utilisation (Wide-
body) has 15% lower operating costs than continental carbody
Gröna Tåget in Scandinavia
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 21
• Higher speeds (250 km/h or more) of interest in all countries (DK, FI, NO, SE)
• Conventional network supplemented by new high-speed links
• Wide-bodied trains possible (according to European norms, but critical in DK)
• Many prerequisites in common (climate, market, economy, social order)
• Larger market for improved design and lower price of trains
Energy consumptionAll modes, Norway
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 22
Train Metro Tram Bus Train Car Car Taxi Air Local(electric) (diesel) ferries boats
kWh/pass.-km
From www.jernbaneverket.no
Energy consumptionStockholm–Gothenburg (455 km)
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 23
Existing main line Wh/pass.-km
Old loco-hauled train (160 km/h; 4 hrs; Lf*44%) 108 1
X 2000(200 km/h; 2h45; Lf*55%) 77
Gröna Tåget (250 km/h; 2h30; Lf*60%) 52
New high-speed line (Götaland line)Gröna Tåget (320 km/h; 2 hrs: Lf*60%) 69
Reference valuesEuropean high-speed average (2009; Lf*65%) 61 2
Airplane (Boeing 737-800; Lf*65%) 510 3
1) Equivalent to NSB average today
2) Longer trains than on Stockholm-Gothenburg
Electricity from public grid; 3) Energy content in fuel
* Load factor/Cabin factor; Share of occupied seats
Energy supply and the environment
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 24
• Railways use 1-2% of electricity (Sweden)• Environmental load, incl. emissions of CO2, dependent
on energy source for electricity generation• Electricity mix on the common Nordic market gives
relatively low CO2 emissions due to high proportion of hydroelectric and nuclear* power
• For increased steady use, biofuel, wind, hydroelectric, nuclear* and natural gas are more or less economic and likely power sources
• Limited grid transfer capacity and high costs make for example German coal power only a marginal option
* Finland, Sweden
How can Gröna Tåget contribute to the Norwegian High-speed rail assessment?• Economic and environmental friendly concept solution
for existing lines as well as new high-speed lines• Increased travel demand due to shorter travelling
times and lower operating costs (lower ticket prices)• A technical solution (tilting carbodies, track-friendly
boogies, winter ability) that suits Nordic operators• A flexible concept on a common technical platform
assures lower prices for standardised rolling stock
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 25
2010-12-16 Gröna Tåget – a high-speed train. Oskar Fröidh, KTH 26
www.infra.kth.se/jvgwww.gronataget.se
Illustrationer från Konstfack, StockholmUniversity College of Arts Crafts and Design