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Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium Joe Felsenstein GENOME 453, Autumn 2007 Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.1/39

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Page 1: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium

Joe Felsenstein

GENOME 453, Autumn 2007

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.1/39

Page 2: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Group selection

Whole local populations survive or go extinct, in a way that depends on

their frequency of the altruistic allele.

Before: p = 45/104 = 0.4327

Local populations, which differ in gene frequency

8/139/13 8/13 7/13

0/133/135/135/13Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.2/39

Page 3: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Group selection

Whole local populations survive or go extinct, in a way that depends on

their frequency of the altruistic allele.

After: p = 29/65 = 0.446

Within each population, individual selection against altruists reduces

the frequency of the allele.

extinct extinct

8/13 7/13 7/13 5/13

2/13

extinct

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.3/39

Page 4: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Kin selection: the case of an alarm call

Before

doesn’t give alarm call, saves selfhalf of others eaten

gives alarm call, is eatenbut flock is saved

1 flock like this. 3 flocks like this.

p = 21/136 = 0.1544123

(Note that in the example the other flock members are relatives of thebird that gives the alarm call, so they tend to have the alleles that it has)

Note – the numbers shown here are approximately correct at these gene

frequencies. Infrequent occurrences such as homozygotes for the alarm

call allele are omitted.

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.4/39

Page 5: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Kin selection: the case of an alarm call

doesn’t give alarm call, saves selfhalf of others eaten

gives alarm call, is eatenbut flock is saved

1 flock like this. 3 flocks like this.

After p = 17/86 = 0.197674

cost = 1

benefit = 8

Alarm call allele will increase with any coefficient of relationship > 1/8

Note – the numbers shown here are approximately correct at these gene

frequencies. Infrequent occurrences such as homozygotes for the alarm

call allele are omitted. Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.5/39

Page 6: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

The mathematics of kin selection

W. D. Hamilton argued on theoretical grounds that an allele predisposing

to an altruistic behavior will increase if

c < r b

where (c) is the cost (in fitness) to the altruist

(b) is the total benefit to all recipients

and (r) is the average relatedness of recipients to the altruist.

r is the probability that a (rare) gene heterozygous in the altruist is

present in the typical recipient, owing to their relatedness.

Relative r

Identical twin 1Brother/sister 1/2Mother/father 1/2Offspring 1/2Half-sibling 1/4Aunt/uncle 1/4Niece/nephew 1/4Grandchild 1/4First cousin 1/8Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.6/39

Page 7: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Actually, group selection is a kind of kin selection

Because ...

1. Groups must vary in gene frequency to have group selection work

(usually, the gene frequencies differ because the members of a

group are related to each other)

2. Having an altruistic behavior reduces the fitness of the individual

(just as it does in the case of kin selection)

3. Being in a group with altruists means you are related to them and

you benefit from their presence (by having a lower chance of groupextinction)

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.7/39

Page 8: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Social insects: Hymenoptera are haplo-diploid

queen drone

worker worker’s sibling

In ants, bees, and wasps, males are haploid, females diploid.

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.8/39

Page 9: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Relatedness between workers and their sibs

queen drone

worker worker’s sibling

12

Gene in worker has 1

2chance of coming from the queen.

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.9/39

Page 10: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Relatedness between workers and their sibs

queen drone

worker worker’s sibling

12

12

... and that copy has 1

2chance of being in the sib, for a chance (so far) of

1

1

2= 1

4

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.10/39

Page 11: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Relatedness between workers and their sibs

queen drone

worker worker’s sibling

12

also it has 1

2chance of coming from the drone.

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.11/39

Page 12: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Relatedness between workers and their sibs

queen drone

worker worker’s sibling

12

1

... and that copy has 100% chance of being in the sib, for a chance of 1

2.

Result is that total relatedness is 3

4.

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.12/39

Page 13: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Relatedness if the species were an ordinary diploid

queen drone

worker worker’s sibling

12

12

12

12

As in termites, the total relatedness is then only 1

2.

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.13/39

Page 14: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

An adaptive trend according to gradualists

Time

Phenotype

Selection is mostly occurring within species and

not by species selection

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.14/39

Page 15: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

An adaptive trend according to punctuationists

but the rightwards ones survive better

Phenotype

Time

In this hypothetical diagram, 19 speciations leftwards, 21 rightwards

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.15/39

Page 16: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Issues involving gradualism and punctuationism

Issue 1: What are typical patterns of evolution

Punctuationists:

Traditional gradualists:

Gradualists these days:

Issue 2: Are new evolutionary forces needed to explain these?

Punctuationists:

Gradualists:

Yes, species selection

No, can do the same with

ordinary neo−Darwinian mechanisms

and peripheral speciation

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.16/39

Page 17: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Gradualist versus punctuationist views

WhatGradualism Punctiuationalism

Random variationis due to

Mutation Genetic drift at thetime of formation ofa new species

Selection is due to Individual survivaland reproduction

Species selection

within populations between speciesChange happens

In:

ACCTTGA GTTGAAC

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.17/39

Page 18: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

The fossil radiolarian protist Pseudocubus

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.18/39

Page 19: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Davida Kellogg’s 1975 radiolarian data

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.19/39

Page 20: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Wei’s Globoconella foram data

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.20/39

Page 21: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Wei’s Globoconella foram data

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.21/39

Page 22: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Wei’s Globoconella foram data

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.22/39

Page 23: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Wei’s Globoconella foram data

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.23/39

Page 24: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Gryphaea, a Jurassic oyster

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.24/39

Page 25: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Hallam’s Gryphaea Jurassic oyster data

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.25/39

Page 26: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Hyopsodus, an Eocene condylarth mammal

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.26/39

Page 27: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Gingerich’s Eocene condylarth data

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.27/39

Page 28: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Sewall Wright’s (1932) adaptive peaks

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.28/39

Page 29: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

George Gaylord Simpson’s 1944 adaptive zones

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.29/39

Page 30: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Ernst Mayr’s view of peripheral speciation

A large species

in a geographic area

can reach new peaksby genetic drift

if parent species

is stuck herean adaptive surface

the population on the new peakcan become reproductivelyisolated from the parent(maybe just because it is on a new peak and intermediatesdon’t do well)

phenotype

fitne

ss

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.30/39

Page 31: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Allopatric speciation

species starts out like this

gets divided by a barrier

after a while the two populationswill have become reproductively isolated

may be able tocoexist

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.31/39

Page 32: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Punctuated change by gradual mechanisms

Phenotype

Time

Genetic drift (versus selection)

Fit

nes

s

Phenotype

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.32/39

Page 33: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Punctuated change by gradual mechanisms

Time

... followed by selection

Phenotype

Fit

nes

s

Phenotype

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.33/39

Page 34: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Punctuation by gradual rise of a peak

phenotype

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.34/39

Page 35: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Punctuation by gradual rise of a peak

phenotype

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.35/39

Page 36: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Punctuation by gradual rise of a peak

phenotype

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.36/39

Page 37: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Punctuation by gradual rise of a peak

phenotype

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.37/39

Page 38: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

Punctuation by gradual rise of a peak

phenotype

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.38/39

Page 39: Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibriumevolution.gs.washington.edu/gs453/2007/section4.pdfGroup, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium { p.4/39 Kin selection:

How it was done

This projection produced

using the prosper style in LaTeX,

using Latex to make a .dvi file,

using dvips to turn this into a Postscript file,

using ps2pdf to make a PDF file, and

displaying the slides in Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Result: nice slides using freeware.

Group, Kin, Species Selection and Punctuated Equilibrium – p.39/39