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Fostering DisasterResilient Communities Through Information, Science, Technology, and Exchange (c) Copyright 2012 PDC University of Hawaii: Managing Partnering Chris Chiesa Deputy Executive Director Pacific Disaster Center www.pdc.org Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, Assessment and Warning in the Asia Pacific Region Chengdu Forum on UN-GGIM Global Map for Sustainable Development: Development and Applications in Urban Hazard Mapping Chengdu, Sichuan Province, China 15-17 Oct 2013 Fostering DisasterResilient Communities …

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Page 1: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Fostering Disaster‐Resilient Communities Through Information, Science, Technology, and Exchange

(c) Copyright 2012 PDC University of Hawaii: Managing Partnering

Chris ChiesaDeputy Executive Director

Pacific Disaster Centerwww.pdc.org

Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, Assessment and Warning in the Asia Pacific Region

Chengdu Forum on UN-GGIMGlobal Map for Sustainable Development:

Development and Applications in Urban Hazard MappingChengdu, Sichuan Province, China

15-17 Oct 2013

Fostering Disaster‐Resilient Communities …

Page 2: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Avoid Hazards => Disasters => Crises

Vision: Safer & More Secure World Sustainable communities, safer nations, and a more secure 

world through Disaster Risk Reducing

Goal: Disaster Resiliency Foster disaster‐resilient communities through information, 

science, technology, and exchange

Mission: Reduce Disaster Risks Provide  applied information  research  and  evidence‐base

analysis  supporting  development  of  more  effective  disaster risk  reduction  (DRR)  policies  and  practices;  and  applications and  information products supporting Humanitarian Assistance and Disaster Relief (HA/DR) operators and practitioners in the Asia Pacific region and beyond.

Asia Pacific:• 38% of World’s Disasters• 80% of World’s Casualties

(c) Copyright 2006‐2012 ‐ PDC

Page 3: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

PDC Presence and Composition

(c) Copyright 2006‐2012 ‐ PDC

Became Operational in 1996 Currently Managed by University of Hawaii

60% Public funds, 40% Proposals/Grants

About 45 full time staff and contractors Offices

○ Hawaii: Maui and Oahu

○ Washington DC, Colorado Springs, Miami, SE Asia

Experts: ○ Disaster Management Scientists

○ Geospatial Data and Visualization Experts & Analysts

○ Information System Engineers & Technologies Experts

○ Modeling, Simulation, and Impact Assessment Specialists; Public Health SME

Maui HQ

HSCD Diamond Head

Ft. Shafter

Page 4: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

PDC’s Integrated Approach

Applied Science & Technology

Capability Building Evidence‐Based 

Information Products Policy & Decision Makers Disaster Managers Planners Humanitarian Assist.  

Missions

Integrating Information, Integrating Information, Science, TechnologyScience, Technology

Improve Improve 

DecisionDecision‐‐Support Support CapabilitiesCapabilities

Observation Systems , Observation Systems , Data CollectionData Collection

Advanced Applications, Models, Advanced Applications, Models, Risk & Vulnerability AssessmentRisk & Vulnerability Assessment

Page 5: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

DM Challenges & Gaps …

Inadequate Tools for the Decision Makers Information is Scattered Warnings are Hard to Quickly 

Digest Lack Situational Awareness No Risk Context Dissemination is Limited

Time is LIFE Information not easily 

understood isn’t particularly useful ....

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

HURRICANE DAVID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP04020000Z WED AUG 29 1979

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 58.0W AT 29/0000ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS 135 KT.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 58.0W AT 29/0000ZAT 28/2300Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 57.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.2N 59.2WMAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.45 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.34 KT... 135NE 135SE 135SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 14.8N 60.3WMAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.34 KT... 130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.

Sample Advisories

Hurricane

Tsunami

EQ

Page 6: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Overcoming Challenges Tools for Decision Makers

Simplify, Integrate, & Expedite Processing

Understand Exposure

Disseminate Early Warning

Support Decisions Based on Latest Assessments

Info for Policy Makers & Planners Assess Socio‐Econ Risks & 

Vulnerabilities

Capacity for Practitioners Training & Exercise Workshops

HURRICANE DAVID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP04020000Z WED AUG 29 1979

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 58.0W AT 29/0000ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 942 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS 135 KT.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 58.0W AT 29/0000ZAT 28/2300Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 57.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.2N 59.2WMAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.64 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW.45 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW.34 KT... 135NE 135SE 135SW 135NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 14.8N 60.3WMAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.34 KT... 130NE 130SE 130SW 130NW.

Tsunami

EQ

StormVolcano

High SurfEQFires

Mobile Apps, Social Media

Page 7: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 8: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Automated Hazards Dynamic Data Processing and Publication

○ Earthquakes

○ Tsunamis

○ Tropical Cyclones

○ Wildfires

○ Volcanoes

○ Floods

Stored in Enterprise Geospatial Database

Published as standards‐based Map Services

Consumed in Web & Mobile Apps, Social Media, Plug‐in Widget

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 9: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Floods / Dam Failures “MIKE 11/21” (DHI, inc.)

Hurricanes “CATS” (DTRA)

“TAOS” (KA Corp)

Earthquakes “ShakeMap” (USGS)

“HAZUS‐MH” (DHS/FEMA)

Tsunamis “TTT” (NOAA)

Plume Modeling “HPAC” (DTRA)

Hazard Modeling Capabilities

(c) Copyright 2006‐2009 ‐ PDC

Page 10: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 11: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

DisasterAWAREDisasterAWARE Integrated Multi‐hazard 

Hazard Monitoring

Disaster Early Warning

Automated / Integrated Modeling

Exposure (Risk) Maps & Historical Hazard data

Customized Impact Modeling AND

Intra‐Agency Info Sharing User‐provided  Situation Reports

Damage Assessment

Wide Dissemination Web

Social Media

Mobile Apps(c) Copyright 2006‐2011 ‐

PDC

EQVolcano

Hot Spots

RainTsunami Travel Time

Storm, EQ, Volcano Intensity Zones

Shake Maps (MMI)

Info Sharing

Mobile App

Situation Reports

May 10, 2010

Social Media

Page 12: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

PDC Global Hazards Atlas

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDChttp://www.pdc.org/atlashttp://www.pdc.org/atlas

Page 13: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 14: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Warning Notification / Subscription

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 15: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 16: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Heat map

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 17: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Mobile Public Disaster Alert Application

Interactive map(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

• Disaster Alert provides a listing and an interactive map of Active Hazards occurring around the globe.

• Available for Android and iPhone via the Android Market and iTunes on-line stores.

Hazards list Details of an event

Page 18: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 19: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Thailand NDWC (2006)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 20: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Vietnam DMC (2010)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 21: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

ASEAN AHA Centre (2012)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 22: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

Indonesia BNPB (2013, planned)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 23: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Page 24: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

UN OCHA ROAP (Bangkok)

Google “OCHA ROAP disaster response guide”(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

New Guide•Published April 2013

Resources:•Regulatory Actions•Humanitarian Actors•Int’l Coordination Mechanisms

Tools & Services•Satellite imagery•Mapping data•Assessment tools•Preparedness planning•Warning systems

Page 25: Hazard Detection, Monitoring, Modeling, …ggim.un.org/meetings/2013-Chengdu/documents/01...Hazard Monitoring Disaster Early Warning Automated / Integrated Modeling Exposure (Risk)

(c) Copyright 2006‐2010 ‐ PDC

Fostering Disaster‐Resilient Communities

For more Information:http://www.pdc.org

Follow us on:  DisasterAWARE

Contact us at: [email protected]

Chris [email protected]