health economists’ view of policy questions

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Health Economists’ Health Economists’ View of Policy View of Policy Questions Questions Michael A. Morrisey Michael A. Morrisey University of Alabama at University of Alabama at Birmingham Birmingham and and John Cawley John Cawley Cornell University Cornell University AcademyHealth Annual Meeting – Seattle, WA June 24, 2006

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Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions. AcademyHealth Annual Meeting – Seattle, WA June 24, 2006. Michael A. Morrisey University of Alabama at Birmingham and John Cawley Cornell University. AcademyHealth iHEA. Advisory Committee: Roger Feldman Richard Arnould Kate Bundorf - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Health Economists’ Health Economists’ View of Policy View of Policy

QuestionsQuestions

Michael A. MorriseyMichael A. MorriseyUniversity of Alabama at BirminghamUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham

andandJohn CawleyJohn Cawley

Cornell UniversityCornell University

AcademyHealth Annual Meeting – Seattle, WA June 24, 2006

Page 2: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Thanks to:Thanks to:

AcademyHealtAcademyHealthh

iHEAiHEA

Advisory Advisory Committee:Committee: Roger FeldmanRoger Feldman Richard ArnouldRichard Arnould Kate BundorfKate Bundorf Michael HaganMichael Hagan David KnutsonDavid Knutson Kristine MetterKristine Metter Sharron ArnoldSharron Arnold

Page 3: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Survey Issues:Survey Issues: Web based survey:Web based survey:

Invitation & two follow-up emails issuedInvitation & two follow-up emails issued October 21 – November 21, 2005October 21 – November 21, 2005

Sample Universe:Sample Universe: All U.S. members of iHEA All U.S. members of iHEA All members of AcademyHealth All members of AcademyHealth Health Economics Interest GroupHealth Economics Interest Group Unduplicated total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,439Unduplicated total . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,439

Response Rate. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Response Rate. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 %%

Page 4: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Do You Consider Yourself To Be:Do You Consider Yourself To Be:

A.A. A health economistA health economist 53%53%B.B. An economist who works in healthAn economist who works in health

21%21%C.C. NeitherNeither 26%26%

For this presentation we exclude For this presentation we exclude those answering neither.those answering neither.

Page 5: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

OutlineOutline

Report policy views of health economistsReport policy views of health economists

Use factor analysis and probit Use factor analysis and probit regression to identify patterns of regression to identify patterns of responsesresponses

Identify the extent to which health Identify the extent to which health economists participate in policy economists participate in policy discussionsdiscussions

Page 6: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

We asked 19 Questions About Views on We asked 19 Questions About Views on Health Policy Questions or the Effects Health Policy Questions or the Effects of Open Empirical Questions in Health of Open Empirical Questions in Health

EconomicsEconomics

We substantially agree on We substantially agree on 88

We modestly agree on 4We modestly agree on 4 We substantially disagree We substantially disagree

on 7on 7

Page 7: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Substantial AgreementSubstantial Agreement

Page 8: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Workers pay for employer-Workers pay for employer-sponsored health insurance in the sponsored health insurance in the

form of lower wages or reduced form of lower wages or reduced benefits”benefits”

90.7

5.3 3.90

25

50

75

100

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 9: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Education has a causal impact on Education has a causal impact on health”health”

80.6

6.812.6

0

25

50

75

100

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 10: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Recent horizontal and vertical Recent horizontal and vertical integration in the health care integration in the health care

sector is driven by the pursuit of sector is driven by the pursuit of market power”market power”

77.3

5.1

17.7

0

25

50

75

100

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 11: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Health insurance premiums charged to Health insurance premiums charged to individuals born with genetic defects individuals born with genetic defects that result in above-average use of that result in above-average use of medical care should be higher than medical care should be higher than those charged to individuals without those charged to individuals without

such defects.”such defects.”

9.414.4

76.2

0

25

50

75

100

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 12: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Health insurance premiums Health insurance premiums should be higher for those who should be higher for those who engage in unhealthy behaviors engage in unhealthy behaviors (e.g., smoking, excess drinking, (e.g., smoking, excess drinking,

obesity)”obesity)”

73.7

16.69.7

0

25

50

75

100

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 13: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Rapidly advancing medical Rapidly advancing medical technology is the most important technology is the most important

cause of rising health care cause of rising health care spending in the U.S.”spending in the U.S.”

67.6

25.1

7.2

0

25

50

75

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

46% in 1989

Page 14: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Insurance markets suffer Insurance markets suffer significantly from adverse significantly from adverse

selection”selection”

67.1

17.0 15.9

0

25

50

75

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 15: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Third-party payment results in Third-party payment results in patients using services whose costs patients using services whose costs

exceed their benefits, and this excess of exceed their benefits, and this excess of costs over benefits amounts to at least 5 costs over benefits amounts to at least 5

% of total health care expenditures”% of total health care expenditures”65.5

13.720.9

0

25

50

75

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 16: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Modest AgreementModest Agreement

Page 17: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““The U.S. should permit ‘re-The U.S. should permit ‘re-importation’ of pharmaceuticals”importation’ of pharmaceuticals”

55.3

16.0

28.7

0

25

50

75

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 18: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Physicians induce substantial Physicians induce substantial demand for their services”demand for their services”

55.0

15.6

29.4

0.0

25.0

50.0

75.0

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

81% in 1989

Page 19: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““Controlling for the average Controlling for the average income in an area, greater income income in an area, greater income

inequality worsens health”inequality worsens health”

51.4

25.9 22.7

0

25

50

75

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 20: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““The U.S. should continue to The U.S. should continue to subsidize graduate medical subsidize graduate medical

education”education”

51.3

19.4

29.2

0

25

50

75

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 21: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Substantial DisagreementSubstantial Disagreement

Page 22: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““The U.S. should continue the The U.S. should continue the current tax treatment of employer-current tax treatment of employer-

sponsored health insurance”sponsored health insurance”

30.8

19.9

49.3

0

25

50

75

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 23: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““The U.S. should adopt a The U.S. should adopt a Canadian-style system of universal Canadian-style system of universal and compulsory health insurance”and compulsory health insurance”

47.1

9.7

43.2

0

25

50

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

52% in 1989

Page 24: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““The U.S. should require The U.S. should require employers to provide a minimum employers to provide a minimum level of health insurance for their level of health insurance for their

workers”workers”

37.5

17.5

45.1

0

25

50

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

38% in 1989

Page 25: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““The U.S. should implement a The U.S. should implement a refundable tax credit to encourage refundable tax credit to encourage

people to buy private health people to buy private health insurance”insurance”

43.0

22.4

34.7

0.0

25.0

50.0

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 26: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““The current profits of The current profits of pharmaceutical companies are pharmaceutical companies are

necessary to give them incentives necessary to give them incentives for optimal R&D”for optimal R&D”

38.9

18.0

43.2

0

25

50

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 27: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““The benefits of the Medicare The benefits of the Medicare prescription drug benefit exceed prescription drug benefit exceed

the costs”the costs”

23.5

38.6 37.9

0

25

50

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

Page 28: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

““If a payer (e.g., an HMO) If a payer (e.g., an HMO) negotiates a lower price for negotiates a lower price for

hospital services, the hospital will hospital services, the hospital will raise prices to other payers”raise prices to other payers”

46.9

22.4

30.7

0

25

50

Agree Don't Know Disagree

Percent

63% in 1989

Page 29: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Factor Analysis of Disagreement Factor Analysis of Disagreement and Modest Agreement Issuesand Modest Agreement Issues

Views do not particularly “lump” Views do not particularly “lump” Factor 1Factor 1

Agree on cost shiftingAgree on cost shifting Agree on employer mandatesAgree on employer mandates Agree on Canadian systemAgree on Canadian system Agree that income inequality affects healthAgree that income inequality affects health

Factor 2Factor 2 Disagree on profits and Pharm R&DDisagree on profits and Pharm R&D Agree on drug re-importationAgree on drug re-importation Agree on Canadian systemAgree on Canadian system

Page 30: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Probit Descriptive Analysis of Probit Descriptive Analysis of Disagreement and Modest Disagreement and Modest

AgreementAgreement Agree = f (degree type, training, Agree = f (degree type, training,

experience, experience, demographics, and demographics, and employment employment setting)setting)

No consistent pattern of responses No consistent pattern of responses across issuesacross issues

Few statistically significant Few statistically significant associationsassociations

Page 31: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Health Economists’ Impact on Health Economists’ Impact on Policy DiscussionsPolicy Discussions

85.5% of health economists report 85.5% of health economists report having some impact on policy having some impact on policy discussionsdiscussions

Measured as responding affirmatively to Measured as responding affirmatively to at least one of the 7 questions we asked at least one of the 7 questions we asked about involvementabout involvement

296 respondents to these questions

Page 32: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Health Economists’ Impact on Health Economists’ Impact on Policy DiscussionsPolicy Discussions

I have testified before a state or I have testified before a state or federal agency or committeefederal agency or committee 34.134.1

%%I have discussed my research with I have discussed my research with agency or legislative staffagency or legislative staff 60.560.5

%%Agency or legislative staff have Agency or legislative staff have attended presentations of my workattended presentations of my work 57.157.1

%%Agency or legislative staff have asked Agency or legislative staff have asked for copies of my researchfor copies of my research 61.561.5

%%

Page 33: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Health Economists’ Impact on Health Economists’ Impact on Policy DiscussionsPolicy Discussions

I have discussed my research with I have discussed my research with private sector organizations such as private sector organizations such as firms, unions, trade associations, firms, unions, trade associations, advocacy groupsadvocacy groups

59.559.5%%

My research and/or expertise has led My research and/or expertise has led to consulting or related activities with to consulting or related activities with private sector organizationsprivate sector organizations

49.049.0%%

My work has been cited by My work has been cited by proponents or opponents of proponents or opponents of legislationlegislation

41.941.9%%

Page 34: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

Who Participates?Who Participates?

Using the same descriptive probit Using the same descriptive probit model used with the views on policy…model used with the views on policy…

Those with MDs Those with MDs moremore likely to participate likely to participate Those with master’s degrees Those with master’s degrees lessless likely likely Those with less than 4 years of experience Those with less than 4 years of experience

are are less less likely to participatelikely to participate

Page 35: Health Economists’ View of Policy Questions

OverallOverall

Health economists agree on a number of Health economists agree on a number of important policy questionsimportant policy questions

We disagree on many topics as well, but We disagree on many topics as well, but there seems to be little systematic there seems to be little systematic disagreementdisagreement

We are active in promoting our research We are active in promoting our research in the policy arenain the policy arena