Henry County E2:Economics & Education

March 28, 2011

1 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

2 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates

3 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

4 What Can We Do?

Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

Academic Achievement Milestones

School Readiness

Literacy by 3rd Grade

Numeracy by 8th Grade

High School Graduation

Workforce and/or College Ready

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Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2009

Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center.

Georgia64%

UnitedStates60%

NAEP 2009 4th Grade Reading At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

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UnitedStates65%

NAEP 2009 8th Grade Math At or Above Basic

Source: National Center for Education Statistics

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UnitedStates71%

Georgia67%

Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08.

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UnitedStates74.9% Georgia

65.4%

High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings

Georgia High School Graduation Rates

Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards.

YearHigh School

Graduation RateNumber of High

School Non-Grads

2007 72% 28,883

2008 75% 27,248

2009 79% 23,567

2010 81% 21,803

Total 101,501

Economic Impact ofGeorgia Non-Graduates

Education Pays

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted.

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT

Unemployment Rate Dec 2010Median Wkly Earnings

(& approx. annual)

15% 10% 5% 0% 0 200 600 1000

4.6Bachelor’s

Degree & Higher$1,139 ($59,228)

7.9Some college/

Associate Degree$727 ($37,804)

9.8HS Graduates,

No College$633 ($32,916)

15.7Less than a High School Diploma

$438 ($22,776)

Unemployment Rates by Education Level

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.

Unemployment Rates by County, Dec. 2010

Source: Georgia Department of Labor; State average = 10.2%

State Service Delivery Regions

Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion

How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone?

Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding.

Region 1 $2.2 billion

Region 2 $1.2 billion

Region 3 $4.2 billion

Region 4 $1.1 billion

Region 5 $1.1 billion

Region 6 $1.0 billion

Region 7 $1.1 billion

Region 8 $0.9 billion

Region 9 $0.9 billion

Region 10 $2.0 billion

Region 11 $1.0 billion

Region 12 $1.1 billion

TOTAL $18 billion*

Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion

Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.

INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY

Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth

Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity

Higher health care & criminal justice costs

Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood

Higher public services costs

Less voting; Less volunteeringLow rate of community involvement

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY ISSUE

#1Early Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

Family Income Affects School Readiness

Source: National Center for Education Statistics. (2004). Early Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99.

Achievement Gap as Children Enter Kindergarten

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36

Age of child in months

Voc

abu

lary

Siz

eDisparities in Early Vocabulary Growth

Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.”

Professional Families 1,116 words

Working Class Families 749 words

Welfare Families 525 words

Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study

41%

36%

29%

20%

13%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Never onwelfare as adult

Own home

Earn $2,000+monthly

Program group No-Program group

Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

66%

15%

45%

34%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Graduated HSon Time

ReceivedSpecial

Education

Program group No-program group

Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study

Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE

#1#1Early Life ExperiencesEarly Life Experiences

KEY ISSUE

#2Academic Achievement K-12

KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE

#3#3Transitions to Work or CollegeTransitions to Work or College

6th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School

Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions.

Flag in Sixth Grade

Percent with this flag who…

Attended ≤ 80%

Failed Math

Course

Failed English Course

Suspended Out of School

Un-satisfactory

Behavior

Graduated on time 13 13 12 16 24

Did not graduate 83 81 82 80 71

Cost of Student Retention in Georgia (2010)

59,999 X $8,760 =More than $525

million

Georgia students retained in 2009

Average annual cost of education

per student

Total cost of student retention in 2009 for

Georgia

Source: Georgia Department of Education; Partnership Calculation

Example for Henry County School System:

1,206 X $7,830 = $9,442,980

Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States

Higher Standards

Rigorous Curriculum

Clear Accountability System

Statewide Student Information System

Leadership Training

3rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010

All Students Black Hispanic White

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2008 2009 2010

All Students Black Hispanic White

8th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

All Students Black Hispanic White

High School Graduation Rates in Georgia:Closing the Gaps

Source: Georgia Department of Education.

Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE

#1#1Early Life ExperiencesEarly Life Experiences

KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE

#2#2Academic Achievement K-12Academic Achievement K-12

KEY ISSUE

#3Transitions to Work or College

Source: U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009.

The Demands of America’s New Economy

The number of jobs for workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher will increase from 38 million in 2006 to 43 million by 2016 – a growth rate of nearly 15 percent.

12 of the 20 fastest growing occupations require an associate degree or higher.

Are They College Ready?

Source: ACT. “The Condition of College & Career Readiness: Class of 2010.”

Percent of Georgia High School Graduates Prepared for College Courses

Remediation Among College Freshmen

Source: University System of Georgia

Percent of 1st-time Freshmen in Georgia’s Public Colleges & Universities Requiring Learning Support

15.217.2 17.9 18.7 19.6 19.5

0

5

10

15

20

25

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

What Can We Do?

Look at the Data for your Community

Benchmark against similar communities

(demographically alike; geographic proximity)

Track data over time (e.g., 5-year trends)

Consider multiple sources

(KIDS COUNT, Department of Education, Georgia School Council Institute, etc.)

2010 CRCT Comparisons: 3rd Grade ReadingHenry County Schools

Source: Georgia School Council Institute

2010 CRCT Comparisons: 8th Grade MathHenry County Schools

Source: Georgia School Council Institute

2010 SAT Comparisons: Average Total ScoreHenry County Schools

Source: Georgia School Council Institute

Improving the Pipeline:Low Birth Weight in 2009

GOAL: Reduce the number of low birth weight babies by 10 percent in Henry County.

Henry County Georgia

Total # of births 2,608 141,332

# of low weight births 235 13,412

low birth weight rate 9.0% 9.5%

RESULT: 23 healthier babies!Source: Georgia Department of Community Health. Georgia Partnership Calculation.

212

8.1%

Improving the Pipeline:High School Graduation in 2010

GOAL: Improve the number of graduates by 10 percent in Henry County.

Henry County Georgia

Total # of Graduates 2,573 91,561

Graduation Rate 82.3% 80.8%

RESULT: 257 more high school graduates!

Source: Georgia Department of Education. Georgia Partnership Calculation.

2,830

90.6%

Aligning Educational Strategies

Aligned Acts of Improvement

Random Acts of Improvement

GOALS

GOALS

How Will You Insulate the Birth to Work Pipeline?

LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS

Childcare Providers

Afterschool Programs

Academic Supports

Job Training

Civic Opportunities

Early Childhood

K – 12 SystemPost Secondary

Work & Career

ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES

Transportation Health Housing Financial

Source: The Forum for Youth Investment