historic political tools the role of violence, coups and revolutions
TRANSCRIPT
History doesn’t stay in the past◦Elite groups endure; hard to
displace; possible◦Applies to governing instruments too◦Tools used to take and use power
Interested in violence, coups and revolutions◦Think of bad, old movies set in LA
ViolenceCoercive forceEspecially associated with
authoritarian rule◦Unaccountable to public◦Unrestrained by law
Characterizes much of LA’s history
CoupCoup d'état = golpe de estadoMilitary force used to change
govtFive models
◦Historic◦Personal
Could turn into personal dictatorships
◦Institutional
◦Bureaucratic Authoritarian: Institutional and transformational
◦Emerging: Ecuador, 2000; Honduras, 2009 Military takes power but hands over to
civilians immediately
◦Reform coup Brazil-1889; Venezuela-1945, 1957, 1992;
Peru-1968
◦Counter-coup Coup against coupsters
What recent model suggests◦Civil elites pass buck to soldiers
Soldiers break impasse among civvies
◦Civil unrest still worries soldiers But mil-gov not practical now hand-back
Remember about military as elite◦Some places more than others
Last question: Why mil-gov not useful?◦When: post-Bureaucratic
Authoritarian◦Why: Extreme levels of violence +
poor economic management Even in Chile; disastrous in Argentina Arg mil stayed on sidelines in 2001-2
collapse
◦People are poisoned!Post-Cold War: Utility declines
RevolutionsBroadest: Armed overthrow of
government; so includes golpesNarrower: Armed overthrow of
govt that produces long term changes◦New elite or new forces join elite◦New policies◦New groups admitted to citizenship◦Examples: English Revo, 1689;
American Revo, 1775-83; LA independence
Narrowest: Social Revolution: Armed overthrow of govt that brings long-term changes to govt and produces major social changes◦Hierarchy of power and prestige ◦Examples: France, 1789; Mexico,
1910; Russia, 1917; China, 1949, Cuba, 1959
Preferred usage in PoliSci and SocSci
Peaceful revolutions? Possible◦Successful: Post- Communist
Eastern/Central Europe◦Failed: Guatemala, 1944-54; Chile,
1970-73◦Early days yet: Venezuela, 1998
Look at Mexico, Bolivia, Cuba, Nicaragua
Mexico, 1910What happened
◦Porfirio Díaz, Francisco Madero, Pancho Villa, Emiliano Zapata, etc.
◦Nationalist & reformist Constitution of 1917
◦Ten violent years + 10 more before stability
◦1929: PNRPRMPRI
Outcomes◦More national control of economy◦Rise of a Mexican middle class
Sometimes called last bourgeois revolution
◦Significant economic development, 1930s-70s
◦Has stuck, though much changedMany in PoliSci say it isn’t a
social revo◦Peasants and workers still excluded◦Cf. France, 1789
Bolivia, 1952-1964What happened
◦MNR, COB, Victor Paz Estenssoro, los indigenas – the Indian majority
◦Nationalize mines; end semi-feudal servitude for indigenous; land reform
◦Nationalist revolution◦But armed peasants and workers
Soon encountered economic dificulties
Divisions within the MNRA move to the right under
pressure from WashingtonBy 1964 falls to a golpe militarHad aspects of a social revolutionCouldn’t consolidate political side
Cuba, 1959-Last Spanish colony
◦Then US neo-colony◦Little democracy; much dictatorship
Important: Guerrilla insurgency◦Guerrilla – military strategy◦Guerrilla – political strategy
First guerrilla insurgency to take power in LA
Lots of imitators over next 30 years
Cuba special: very brief insurgency: 3 yrs◦Nicaragua: 18 yrs; China: 22 yrs
Cuba special 2: New Socialist Man◦Pursued from ‘59 to Fidel’s illness,
2006◦Culture/values > economics:
Marxist?Now changing under Raúl:
Chinese or Vietnamese model: communist capitalism
Nicaragua, 1979-1990Frente Sandinista de Liberación
Nacional, FSLN◦Guerrilla: 1961-79◦Fought Somozas◦Split in ‘77 among three
“tendencies”◦Reunitedform 9-man National
Directorate◦Won with multi-class alliance; many
radical Christians
Governing Junta, 1979-84Elections, mainly clean, 1984:
FSLN wins◦Daniel Ortega president; power shifts
from 9 to him◦Counterinsurgent war, 1981-90
Elections, ‘90, FSLN loses big; goes into opposition
Sandinistas important for two reasons
Multi-class alliance brings victory; not just peasants and workers
Accept electoral loss; not a vanguard party with a dictatorship of the proletariat
Revolutions in retrospectMexico’s stuck best, then Cuba’s;
Nica and Bolivia bring up the rearAll sought to remake societyMexico had most luck, then CubaHad to be political revolutions,
too