historic texas drought update

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Historic Texas Drought Update TWCA 2014 Mid-Year Program Bob Rose, Chief Meteorologist Lower Colorado River Authority June 12, 2014

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Presented at TWCA Mid Year Conference - June 13, 2014 Bob Rose, Chief Meteorologist Lower Colorado River Authority

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Historic Texas Drought Update

Historic Texas Drought Update

TWCA 2014 Mid-Year ProgramBob Rose, Chief MeteorologistLower Colorado River Authority

June 12, 2014

Page 2: Historic Texas Drought Update

Drought Timeline 2000-2014

2000 2003 2005 2009 ‘10 2011 ’12 ‘13

Page 3: Historic Texas Drought Update
Page 4: Historic Texas Drought Update

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation

X

Page 5: Historic Texas Drought Update

Precipitation Anomaly 1950-1980

Page 6: Historic Texas Drought Update

PDO Time Series Since 1900

Page 7: Historic Texas Drought Update

Current Reservoir Status

as of June 10th

Page 8: Historic Texas Drought Update

Reservoir Statistics

Page 9: Historic Texas Drought Update

Rainfall, Past 30 Days

Page 10: Historic Texas Drought Update

Rainfall Departure fm Normal

Page 11: Historic Texas Drought Update

Rainfall Since January 1

Page 12: Historic Texas Drought Update

Rainfall Departure from Normal Since January 1

Page 13: Historic Texas Drought Update

Temperature Departure From Normal March-May

Page 14: Historic Texas Drought Update
Page 15: Historic Texas Drought Update

Soil Moisture Anomaly

Page 16: Historic Texas Drought Update

Rainfall, Departure from Normal, Since October 1st

Page 17: Historic Texas Drought Update

El Niño Continues to Develop

USA

SA

Australia

China

Page 18: Historic Texas Drought Update

Niño Outlook Next 9 Months

Page 19: Historic Texas Drought Update

Fall and Winter Effects of El Niño

Page 21: Historic Texas Drought Update

Winter/Summer Rainfall Anomalieswith El Niño

Winter Summer

Page 22: Historic Texas Drought Update

Summer Weather Pattern Forecast

H

Page 23: Historic Texas Drought Update

PrecipitationTemperature

Page 24: Historic Texas Drought Update

NWS Rainfall Outlook

Page 25: Historic Texas Drought Update

Sep-Oct-Nov Rainfall Outlook

Page 26: Historic Texas Drought Update

Nov-Dec-Jan Rainfall Outlook

Page 27: Historic Texas Drought Update

NWS Temperature Outlook

Page 28: Historic Texas Drought Update
Page 29: Historic Texas Drought Update
Page 30: Historic Texas Drought Update

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Page 31: Historic Texas Drought Update

Sea Surface Temp. Anomalies

Page 34: Historic Texas Drought Update

Questions?

Page 35: Historic Texas Drought Update

Bob Rose

LCRA Chief Meteorologist

[email protected]

512-578-3350