hubble symposium 5 may 04. bvibvi sn1a are standardizable candles: bright = slow dim = fast one...
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Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
B
V
I
SN1a arestandardizablecandles:
Bright = slow Dim = fast
One parameteryields 10%luminosity distances
SNIa Similarity and Diversity
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Luminosity Distance and Cosmological Parameters
(Impress the ignorant)
(See what’s going on)
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Z (m-M)
0.5 0.13 +/- 0.05
1.0 0.00 +/- 0.08
1.5 -0.10 +/- 0.10
(speculative!)
Luminosity Distances: 0.5 < z < 1.5
Z=0.5Z=1.
0
Z=1.
5
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
SNIa – Results in 1998
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
SNIa - Results in 2003
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
2dF: Mh = 0.2 ± 0.03KP: h = 0.72 ± 0.08
Constraints on M, , and w
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Higher z with ACS and GOODS
5 z-band epochs, spaced by 45 days, simultaneous v,i band, 120 tilesCDFS=08/02-02/03 HDFN=11/02-05/03
(Adam Riess, PI)
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
2003ak(1.57)
2002fz(0.839)
2003aj(1.4)
2002ga(0.988)
2002kb(0.474)
2002fv(~1.0)
2002lg(0.61)
2002fw(1.3)
2002hs(0.388)
2002hp(1.3)
2002hq(0.74)
2002kd(0.735)
2002fx(~1.8)
2003al(0.91)2002ke
(0.578)
2002kc(0.214)
2002hr(0.526)
2002fy(0.88)
2002ht(?)
CDFS
2003dz(0.48)
2003er(0.63)
2003be(0.64)
2003dx(0.46)
2003bb(0.89)
2003bc(0.51)
2003ew(0.66)2003eu
(0.76)
2003ba(0.47)
2002kh(0.71)2003et
(0.83)
2003en(0.54)
2003es(0.968)
2003en(0.54)2003dy
(1.37)
2003ea(0.89)
Vilas(0.86)
2003eb(0.92)
2003bd(0.67)
2003eq(0.85)
2002kl(0.39)
2003az(1.27)
2002ki(1.14)
HDFN
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Aphrodite: ACS Delivers!Aphrodite (z=1.3)
ACS grism spectrum
NICMOS F110W
ACS F850lp
viz
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Images
Subtractions
discoveryThoth: Hidden by its Host
red, ellipticalhost
z=1.3
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Gilgamesh z=1.6
ACSf850lp
NICMOSF110W
F160W
discovery ~+10 days ~+20 days
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
HST: Crucial for z > 1!
Ground-based
z=1.06
z=1.20
HST+ACS: z=1.30
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
The New SN Ia Hubble Diagram
97ff6 of the 7 highest redshift SNIa
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
The Cosmic Acceleration Persists
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
… and the Contours for Shrink.
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
The Nature of Dark Energy
• What isis this stuff???• Three clues:
– Quantity (flat?)– Quality w (-1?)– Constancy dw/dt (0?)
w w
present acceleration
past
dec
eler
atio
n
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
SNIa Progenitors and Gestation
Dahlen et al. 2004 Strolger et al. 2004
Still a big mystery!
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Progress on Dark Energy using SNIa
• Essential for – w0, w’ constraints– Progess in systematics:
• Host galaxies• Colors (rest frame UV)• SNxx contamination• Spectra• Evolution
– Progenitors and IC’s
• Want >10,000, need 1000• Wide field, optical colors
• Essential for– w0, w’ constraints
– Immunity to systematics
• Want 300, need 30• Use z, J, H, and grism• Challenge is improving
search efficiency
z > 1HST only
z < 1Ground based
z
d
1
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Ground-based Searches
ProjectStart - End
GPix Harvest Clrs Sampling
Essence
CTIO 4m2001 - 2005
0.0640
per yr2
2 week
campaign
CFHTLS
CFHT 3.6m2003 - 2008
0.4200
per yr3
2 week
campaign
Pan-STARRS Telescope #1
2006 - 2007
1100
per mo5
Every 4 days
Pan-STARRS 2007 - 41000
per mo5
Every 4 days
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
SNIa Distances without Redshifts
Barris et al. 2004
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
SNIa Distances without Redshifts
Barris et al. 2004
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
The Near Future with HST
270 Orbits in Cycle 13P.I. Riess (STScI)
PANS: Probing Acceleration Now with Supernovae
“Importance of Supernovae at z > 1.5 to Probe Dark Energy”
Linder and Huterer 2003
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
The Nature of Dark Energy, II
• Cosmological Constant– Consistent with the
observations at 1-– All theorists hate it– PANS will make life very
interesting for theorists!
w
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Hubble Ultra-Wide-Field Imager
• Performance:– 90 min2 = 8 x ACS, same
sensitivity– Expect 1 SNIa per
pointing per orbit– efficient, continuous
search possible
HUFI(90 arcmin2)
FOV Footprint at CCD FPA
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
-110 -100 -90 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
X image (mm)
y i
ma
ge
(m
m)
FOV at CCD CCD 1
CCD 2 CCD 3
4 K x 4 K CCD (3 each)
90 square arcminute FOV
hstfullfd.14,11/14/01, p. 44
Pick Off Mirror
M3
M1 Corrector Mechanism
Filter Mechanism
Shutter Mechanism
CCD Heat Pipes
M1
Calibration Door Mechanism
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Three Futures• No servicing; HST dies in 2008
– Our ~30 SNIa at z>1 remain a legacy for next 10 years of ground based observation (restricted to z<1)
(DE, w0, w’) = (0.1, 0.3, 0.8)
• HST sleeps in 2007; RM1 in 2009; WFC3 installed– Search CDF and HDF with WF3 / IR. Find SNIa at 1.3 < z < 2.0
at a rate of one per 10 – 20 orbits? ACS parallels? JWST??? (DE, w0, w’) = (0.05, 0.2, 0.4)
• RM2 in 2012 to prove robotics technology for NASA– HUFI-red finds SNIa at 1.0 < z < 1.8 at a rate of 1 – 2 per orbit, IR
light curves from WF3 and JWST, redshifts from JWST (DE, w0, w’) = (0.05, 0.1, 0.2)
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
JDEM/SNAP? ~2015-2020SDSSESSENCE
C F H T L
HST/PANS
Kait/SNFactory
Phase Space of Supernova Dark Energy Surveys
Current Published SNe
Panstars/LSST?
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Supernova Systematics• Uninteresting (avoidable)
– Photometry error (0.03 0.01)– UV SEDs (0.05 0.00)– Poor LC coverage (0.04 0.00)– Host extinction (0.06 0.03)
• Interesting (intrinsic)– SN1a: progenitor, initial conditions, trigger (z)– Host extinction and properties (z)– Gravitational lensing (z)– Transparency of IGM (z)
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04Hoeflich et al.Niemeyer et al.
Turbulent flame consuming a white dwarf
Luminosity-decline rate
Spectra
Theoretical Models for SNIa
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
What Causes the Diversity?
• Progenitors may have different– Mass (luminosity ~ 56Ni mass)– Metallicity (Z n 56Ni )– Age (22Ne sedimentation?)– Binary companion (???)– Mass transfer mechanism (???)
• Explosion may have different– Trigger mechanism (???)– Propagation (deflagration/detonation, “weather”, etc)
• Good news: – Chandresekhar mass and NSE make explosions quite uniform
(~50% and 1 parameter gets us to ~20%)
• Bad news:– Plenty of room for unknown systematics at the 2% level
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Z = 0.5
Offsets from Empty Universe
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Z = 1.5
Offsets from Empty Universe
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Z (m-M)
0.5 0.13 +/- 0.05
SNIa at z = 0.5
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Z (m-M)
1.0 0.00 +/- 0.08
SNIa at z = 1.0
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Z (m-M)
1.5 -0.10 +/- 0.10
(speculative!)
SNIa at z = 1.5
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Z (m-M)
0.5 0.13 +/- 0.05
1.0 0.00 +/- 0.08
SNIa at 0.5 < z < 1.0
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
zv
b
i
SN Ia
SN II
Color Selection: An example
b v i z
SN Ia UV deficit
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Color Discrimination
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
SN Ia Spectraat
High-zACS
ACS ACS
ACS ACS ACS
indicates Ca II @ 3750 A
See Riess et al 2003, astro-ph 0308185,and Blakeslee et al 2003, ApJ
#1#2#3
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Expansion Kinematics(How Long Has This Been Going On?)
z~0.3-0.6,~5 GYR ago
present acceleration
past
dec
eler
atio
n
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
SNIa Progenitors and Gestation
Strolger et al. 2004
SNIa appear to sleep for 4 Gyr before explosion!
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Fall 2001 Continuous Search
Barris et al. 2004
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Distance and Redshift from SNIa Photometry Alone
Barris et al. 2004
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Pan-STARRS Reference MissionMode PSY Area Cad. SS B/g r i z Y
SSNEO
1.1d 0.2b
7000h/d/m
27.5 300
SSKBO
1.0d 0.2b
3 hdmy
26.5 60
Var.0.8d 0.8b
1334 min
29.422000
28.87400
28.74400
25.14400
3 1.3d 2.5b
3 14d 26.1 30
25.8 30
25.6 60
24.1 20
22.5 30
Med. Deep
0.6d 0.9b
1200 4d 27.3 271
27.2 460
27.51200
25.21900
24.2 600
Ultra Deep
0.5d 0.7b
28 4d 29.310000
29.218000
28.26300
27.26700
26.226000
5-5- limit (AB) limit (AB)
Total int. (min)Total int. (min)
Hubble Symposium 5 May 04
Science with Pan-STARRS• Moving Object Science
– NEO – Near Earth Object threat– OSS/MBO – Main Belt and Other Solar System science– KBO – Kuiper Belt Objects– SOL – Solar Neighborhood (parallaxes and proper motions)
• Static and Invariable Object Science– WL – Weak Lensing– LSS – Large Scale Structure– LSB – Low Surface Brightness and dwarf galaxies– SPH – Spheroid formation– EGGS – Extragalactic and Galactic Stellar science
• Transient and Variable Object Science– AGN – Active Galactic Nuclei– SNE – Supernovae– GRB – Gamma Ray Bursts and afterglows– EXO – Exoplanets (from occulation)– YSO – Young Stellar Objects– VAR – Variability Science (especially stars)
• TGBN (Things that go Bump in the Night)