hubble symposium 5 may 04. bvibvi sn1a are standardizable candles: bright = slow dim = fast one...

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Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

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Page 1: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Page 2: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

B

V

I

SN1a arestandardizablecandles:

Bright = slow Dim = fast

One parameteryields 10%luminosity distances

SNIa Similarity and Diversity

Page 3: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Luminosity Distance and Cosmological Parameters

(Impress the ignorant)

(See what’s going on)

Page 4: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Z (m-M)

0.5 0.13 +/- 0.05

1.0 0.00 +/- 0.08

1.5 -0.10 +/- 0.10

(speculative!)

Luminosity Distances: 0.5 < z < 1.5

Z=0.5Z=1.

0

Z=1.

5

Page 5: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

SNIa – Results in 1998

Page 6: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

SNIa - Results in 2003

Page 7: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

2dF: Mh = 0.2 ± 0.03KP: h = 0.72 ± 0.08

Constraints on M, , and w

Page 8: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Higher z with ACS and GOODS

5 z-band epochs, spaced by 45 days, simultaneous v,i band, 120 tilesCDFS=08/02-02/03 HDFN=11/02-05/03

(Adam Riess, PI)

Page 9: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

2003ak(1.57)

2002fz(0.839)

2003aj(1.4)

2002ga(0.988)

2002kb(0.474)

2002fv(~1.0)

2002lg(0.61)

2002fw(1.3)

2002hs(0.388)

2002hp(1.3)

2002hq(0.74)

2002kd(0.735)

2002fx(~1.8)

2003al(0.91)2002ke

(0.578)

2002kc(0.214)

2002hr(0.526)

2002fy(0.88)

2002ht(?)

CDFS

2003dz(0.48)

2003er(0.63)

2003be(0.64)

2003dx(0.46)

2003bb(0.89)

2003bc(0.51)

2003ew(0.66)2003eu

(0.76)

2003ba(0.47)

2002kh(0.71)2003et

(0.83)

2003en(0.54)

2003es(0.968)

2003en(0.54)2003dy

(1.37)

2003ea(0.89)

Vilas(0.86)

2003eb(0.92)

2003bd(0.67)

2003eq(0.85)

2002kl(0.39)

2003az(1.27)

2002ki(1.14)

HDFN

Page 10: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Aphrodite: ACS Delivers!Aphrodite (z=1.3)

ACS grism spectrum

NICMOS F110W

ACS F850lp

viz

Page 11: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Images

Subtractions

discoveryThoth: Hidden by its Host

red, ellipticalhost

z=1.3

Page 12: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Gilgamesh z=1.6

ACSf850lp

NICMOSF110W

F160W

discovery ~+10 days ~+20 days

Page 13: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

HST: Crucial for z > 1!

Ground-based

z=1.06

z=1.20

HST+ACS: z=1.30

Page 14: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

The New SN Ia Hubble Diagram

97ff6 of the 7 highest redshift SNIa

Page 15: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

The Cosmic Acceleration Persists

Page 16: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

… and the Contours for Shrink.

Page 17: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

The Nature of Dark Energy

• What isis this stuff???• Three clues:

– Quantity (flat?)– Quality w (-1?)– Constancy dw/dt (0?)

w w

present acceleration

past

dec

eler

atio

n

Page 18: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

SNIa Progenitors and Gestation

Dahlen et al. 2004 Strolger et al. 2004

Still a big mystery!

Page 19: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Progress on Dark Energy using SNIa

• Essential for – w0, w’ constraints– Progess in systematics:

• Host galaxies• Colors (rest frame UV)• SNxx contamination• Spectra• Evolution

– Progenitors and IC’s

• Want >10,000, need 1000• Wide field, optical colors

• Essential for– w0, w’ constraints

– Immunity to systematics

• Want 300, need 30• Use z, J, H, and grism• Challenge is improving

search efficiency

z > 1HST only

z < 1Ground based

z

d

1

Page 20: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Ground-based Searches

ProjectStart - End

GPix Harvest Clrs Sampling

Essence

CTIO 4m2001 - 2005

0.0640

per yr2

2 week

campaign

CFHTLS

CFHT 3.6m2003 - 2008

0.4200

per yr3

2 week

campaign

Pan-STARRS Telescope #1

2006 - 2007

1100

per mo5

Every 4 days

Pan-STARRS 2007 - 41000

per mo5

Every 4 days

Page 21: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

SNIa Distances without Redshifts

Barris et al. 2004

Page 22: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

SNIa Distances without Redshifts

Barris et al. 2004

Page 23: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

The Near Future with HST

270 Orbits in Cycle 13P.I. Riess (STScI)

PANS: Probing Acceleration Now with Supernovae

“Importance of Supernovae at z > 1.5 to Probe Dark Energy”

Linder and Huterer 2003

Page 24: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

The Nature of Dark Energy, II

• Cosmological Constant– Consistent with the

observations at 1-– All theorists hate it– PANS will make life very

interesting for theorists!

w

Page 25: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Hubble Ultra-Wide-Field Imager

• Performance:– 90 min2 = 8 x ACS, same

sensitivity– Expect 1 SNIa per

pointing per orbit– efficient, continuous

search possible

HUFI(90 arcmin2)

FOV Footprint at CCD FPA

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

-110 -100 -90 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110

X image (mm)

y i

ma

ge

(m

m)

FOV at CCD CCD 1

CCD 2 CCD 3

4 K x 4 K CCD (3 each)

90 square arcminute FOV

hstfullfd.14,11/14/01, p. 44

Pick Off Mirror

M3

M1 Corrector Mechanism

Filter Mechanism

Shutter Mechanism

CCD Heat Pipes

M1

Calibration Door Mechanism

Page 26: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Three Futures• No servicing; HST dies in 2008

– Our ~30 SNIa at z>1 remain a legacy for next 10 years of ground based observation (restricted to z<1)

(DE, w0, w’) = (0.1, 0.3, 0.8)

• HST sleeps in 2007; RM1 in 2009; WFC3 installed– Search CDF and HDF with WF3 / IR. Find SNIa at 1.3 < z < 2.0

at a rate of one per 10 – 20 orbits? ACS parallels? JWST??? (DE, w0, w’) = (0.05, 0.2, 0.4)

• RM2 in 2012 to prove robotics technology for NASA– HUFI-red finds SNIa at 1.0 < z < 1.8 at a rate of 1 – 2 per orbit, IR

light curves from WF3 and JWST, redshifts from JWST (DE, w0, w’) = (0.05, 0.1, 0.2)

Page 27: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

JDEM/SNAP? ~2015-2020SDSSESSENCE

C F H T L

HST/PANS

Kait/SNFactory

Phase Space of Supernova Dark Energy Surveys

Current Published SNe

Panstars/LSST?

Page 28: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Supernova Systematics• Uninteresting (avoidable)

– Photometry error (0.03 0.01)– UV SEDs (0.05 0.00)– Poor LC coverage (0.04 0.00)– Host extinction (0.06 0.03)

• Interesting (intrinsic)– SN1a: progenitor, initial conditions, trigger (z)– Host extinction and properties (z)– Gravitational lensing (z)– Transparency of IGM (z)

Page 29: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04Hoeflich et al.Niemeyer et al.

Turbulent flame consuming a white dwarf

Luminosity-decline rate

Spectra

Theoretical Models for SNIa

Page 30: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

What Causes the Diversity?

• Progenitors may have different– Mass (luminosity ~ 56Ni mass)– Metallicity (Z n 56Ni )– Age (22Ne sedimentation?)– Binary companion (???)– Mass transfer mechanism (???)

• Explosion may have different– Trigger mechanism (???)– Propagation (deflagration/detonation, “weather”, etc)

• Good news: – Chandresekhar mass and NSE make explosions quite uniform

(~50% and 1 parameter gets us to ~20%)

• Bad news:– Plenty of room for unknown systematics at the 2% level

Page 31: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Z = 0.5

Offsets from Empty Universe

Page 32: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Z = 1.5

Offsets from Empty Universe

Page 33: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Z (m-M)

0.5 0.13 +/- 0.05

SNIa at z = 0.5

Page 34: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Z (m-M)

1.0 0.00 +/- 0.08

SNIa at z = 1.0

Page 35: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Z (m-M)

1.5 -0.10 +/- 0.10

(speculative!)

SNIa at z = 1.5

Page 36: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Z (m-M)

0.5 0.13 +/- 0.05

1.0 0.00 +/- 0.08

SNIa at 0.5 < z < 1.0

Page 37: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

zv

b

i

SN Ia

SN II

Color Selection: An example

b v i z

SN Ia UV deficit

Page 38: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Color Discrimination

Page 39: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

SN Ia Spectraat

High-zACS

ACS ACS

ACS ACS ACS

indicates Ca II @ 3750 A

See Riess et al 2003, astro-ph 0308185,and Blakeslee et al 2003, ApJ

#1#2#3

Page 40: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Expansion Kinematics(How Long Has This Been Going On?)

z~0.3-0.6,~5 GYR ago

present acceleration

past

dec

eler

atio

n

Page 41: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

SNIa Progenitors and Gestation

Strolger et al. 2004

SNIa appear to sleep for 4 Gyr before explosion!

Page 42: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Fall 2001 Continuous Search

Barris et al. 2004

Page 43: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Distance and Redshift from SNIa Photometry Alone

Barris et al. 2004

Page 44: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Pan-STARRS Reference MissionMode PSY Area Cad. SS B/g r i z Y

SSNEO

1.1d 0.2b

7000h/d/m

27.5 300

SSKBO

1.0d 0.2b

3 hdmy

26.5 60

Var.0.8d 0.8b

1334 min

29.422000

28.87400

28.74400

25.14400

3 1.3d 2.5b

3 14d 26.1 30

25.8 30

25.6 60

24.1 20

22.5 30

Med. Deep

0.6d 0.9b

1200 4d 27.3 271

27.2 460

27.51200

25.21900

24.2 600

Ultra Deep

0.5d 0.7b

28 4d 29.310000

29.218000

28.26300

27.26700

26.226000

5-5- limit (AB) limit (AB)

Total int. (min)Total int. (min)

Page 45: Hubble Symposium 5 May 04. BVIBVI SN1a are standardizable candles: Bright = slow Dim = fast One parameter yields 10% luminosity distances SNIa Similarity

Hubble Symposium 5 May 04

Science with Pan-STARRS• Moving Object Science

– NEO – Near Earth Object threat– OSS/MBO – Main Belt and Other Solar System science– KBO – Kuiper Belt Objects– SOL – Solar Neighborhood (parallaxes and proper motions)

• Static and Invariable Object Science– WL – Weak Lensing– LSS – Large Scale Structure– LSB – Low Surface Brightness and dwarf galaxies– SPH – Spheroid formation– EGGS – Extragalactic and Galactic Stellar science

• Transient and Variable Object Science– AGN – Active Galactic Nuclei– SNE – Supernovae– GRB – Gamma Ray Bursts and afterglows– EXO – Exoplanets (from occulation)– YSO – Young Stellar Objects– VAR – Variability Science (especially stars)

• TGBN (Things that go Bump in the Night)