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India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration in Petrochemical Crackers 5 th Oct 2018

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Page 1: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

India Chem 2018:Competitive Feed stocks and Integration in Petrochemical Crackers

5th Oct 2018

Page 2: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Forward Looking Statement

This presentation contains forward-looking statements which may be identified by their use of

words like “plans,” “expects,” “will,” “anticipates,” “believes,” “intends,” “projects,” “estimates” or

other words of similar meaning. All statements that address expectations or projections about the

future, including, but not limited to, statements about the strategy for growth, product

development, market position, expenditures, and financial results, are forward-looking

statements.

Forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events.

The companies referred to in this presentation cannot guarantee that these assumptions and

expectations are accurate or will be realised. The actual results, performance or achievements,

could thus differ materially from those projected in any such forward-looking statements. These

companies assume no responsibility to publicly amend, modify or revise any forward looking

statements, on the basis of any subsequent developments, information or events, or otherwise.

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Page 3: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

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R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Petchem Integrated petrochemicals with presence in fastest growing markets

E&P Developing deep water resources in Oil & Gas

Retail Growing presence in retail & supply chain

Jio Fastest growing mobile data network (4G)

Media Wide mass reach with media and entertainment

US$ 48.4 Billion Annual Revenue

US$ 7.0 Billion Cash Profit

US$ 5.2 Billion Net Profit

2nd

Global Rankings

PX

PTA

Polyester

PP

MEG

4th

2nd

5th

8th

Reliance at a glance

FY 2017-18 Annual Report

Page 4: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Agenda

1. Petrochemical Cracker Feed Options

2. Cracker Feedstock across globe

3. Feedstock price trends

4. Feed Economics

5. Reliance’s Ethane Project

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Page 5: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Cracker Feedstock - Options

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Gas Cracker feed

• Ethane ( C2H6)

• Propane ( C3H8)

• Butane ( C4H10 – Normal/iso Butane)

• Refinery Off Gas

Liquid Cracker feed

• Condensates

• Paraffinic Naphtha (Paraffin content > 65 %)

• Can be mixed with other naphtha like Aromatic / High Paraffinic Naphtha

• Gas Oil : Diesel can be cracked to produce Olefins

• Heavier hydrocarbons

Page 6: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Typical yields from different feeds

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Feedstock Type Ethylene Propylene Crude C4's Pygas Hydrogen Fuel Gas Fuel Oil TOTAL

Ethane 80.4% 1.7% 2.8% 2.5% 6.2% 6.2% 0.3% 100.0%

Propane 42.0% 17.0% 4.0% 7.0% 2.0% 27.0% 1.0% 100.0%

N-Butane 40.0% 17.0% 10.0% 7.0% 2.0% 22.0% 2.0% 100.0%

LT Naphtha 31.0% 16.0% 9.0% 19.0% 2.0% 19.0% 4.0% 100.0%

Gasoil 21.0% 15.0% 9.0% 19.0% 1.0% 10.0% 25.0% 100.0%

Page 7: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

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Cracker Feedstocks by regions

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10

20

30

40

50

2012 2017 2022

Americas

Ethane Propane

Butane Naphtha

Gas Oil MTO/CTO

-

10

20

30

2012 2017 2022

Europe

-

10

20

30

2012 2017 2022

ME / Africa

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10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2012 2017 2022

AsiaMn MTEthylene

Source: IHS Markit

Feedstock extractability & availability affects Cracking feed mix

Page 8: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

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Feedstock changes

Ethane38%

Propane9%

Butane5%

Naphtha42%

Gas Oil3%

Methanol to Olefins

1%

Methanol to Propylene

0.00%Coal to Olefins

1%

Others1%

Source: IHS Markit

2017 Ethylene Production = 153 Mn MT/yr

57 MMTPA

64 MMTPA

47% in 2012

35% in 2012

Ethane40%

Propane8%

Butane5% Naphtha

39%

Gas Oil3%

Methanol to Olefins

1%

Methanol to Propylene

0.03%Coal to Olefins

2%

Others2%

Source: IHS Markit

2022 Ethylene Forecast = 186 Mn MT/yr

74 MMTPA

71 MMTPA

Page 9: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Ethane46%

Propane7%

Butane1%

Naphtha44%

Other2%

Source: IHS Markit

Ethane51%

Propane4%

Butane1%

Naphtha43%

Other1%

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Feedstock changes- India

2022 Ethylene Forecast = 7.7 Mn MT/yr2017 Ethylene Production = 5.9 Mn MT/yr

Source: IHS Markit

Additional Naphtha based capacity required to absorb national surplus. Propane (LPG) share expected to reduce. Additional Ethane capacity expected given its competitiveness at higher crude levels

Page 10: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

US Cracker Startup (First wave)

Sr No Plant Feed Location Capacity (KTA) Startup

1 Oxychem /Mexichem JV Ethane Ingleside 550 Mar-17

2 Dow Ethane Freeport 1,500* Sep-17

3 Chevron Phillips Ethane Cedar Bayou 1,500 Mar-18

4 ExxonMobil Ethane Baytown 1,500 July- 18

5 Indorama Ventures PCL Ethane Lake Charles 420 Q4 2018

6 FPC USA (Formosa) Ethane Point Comfort 1,252 Q4 18/Q1 19

7 Shin Etsu Ethane Plaquemine 500 Q4 18/Q1 19

8 SASOL Ethane Lake Charles, LA 1550 Q4 18/Q1 19

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Dow has started construction to expand new cracker to 2000 KTASource: ICIS

Page 11: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

US Cracker Startup (Second wave)

Sr No Plant Feed Location Capacity (KTA) Startup

1 Lotte-Westlake Ethane Lake Charles, Louisiana 1000 H2 2019

2Bayport Polymers (Total-Borealis-Nova JV)

Ethane Port Arthur 1000 H2 2020

3 Shell Ethane Monaca 1500 H2 2021

4 PTTGC* Ethane Belmont, OH 1000 2022+

5 Formosa* Ethane Louisiana 1200 2022+

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Source: ICIS, IHS

* Investment decision/approvals pending

Page 12: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Crackers in Other Regions

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Source: IHS

Company Region Country City Process Capacity StartupNova Chemical North America Canada Sarnia EPB (Ethane,Propane,Butane) 408 2021Fujian Gu Lei Petro Northeast Asia China Zhangzhou EPB/Naphtha/Gas Oil/Residues 800 2022Hengli Petrochemical Northeast Asia China Dalian EPB/Naphtha/Gas Oil/Residues 1500 2021Huatai Shengfu Northeast Asia China Ningbo EPB (Ethane,Propane,Butane) 600 2021Liaoning Bora PC Northeast Asia China Liaoning EPB/Naphtha 800 2020Shandong Yuhuang Northeast Asia China Dongming EPB/Naphtha/Gas Oil/Residues 400 2021Shouguang Luqing PC Northeast Asia China Shouguang EPB/Naphtha 750 2022Sinochem Quanzhou Northeast Asia China Quanzhou EPB/Naphtha 1000 2021Sinopec Hainan R&C Northeast Asia China Hainan Naphtha/Gas Oil/Residues 1000 2024Sinopec-KPC PC JV Northeast Asia China Zhanjiang EPB/Naphtha 800 2021SP Chemicals Northeast Asia China Taixing Ethane/Propane 650 2020Wanhua Chemical Northeast Asia China Yantai EPB (Ethane,Propane,Butane) 1000 2021Zhejiang PC Northeast Asia China Zhoushan EPB/Naphtha 1400 2020HPCL Mittal Energy Indian Subcontinent India Bhatinda Naphtha 1200 2022Gachsaran PC Middle East Iran Gachsaran Ethane 1000 2023Ilam PC Middle East Iran Ilam EPB/Naphtha 458 2018GS Caltex Northeast Asia Korea (South) Yeosu EPB/Naphtha/Gas Oil/Residues 700 2022Hyundai Chemical Northeast Asia Korea (South) Daesan EPB/Naphtha/Gas Oil/Residues 750 2022LG Chem Northeast Asia Korea (South) Yeosu Naphtha 800 2022PRPC RC (Petronas Rapid) Southeast Asia Malaysia Pengerang EPB/Naphtha 1260 2019ORPIC Middle East Oman Sohar EPB/Naphtha 880 2021

KPI CIS & Baltic States Other CIS & Baltic States Karabatan Ethane 800 2023

Turkmengas CIS & Baltic States Other CIS & Baltic States Kiyanly EPB (Ethane,Propane,Butane) 400 2018NKNK CIS & Baltic States Russia Nizhnekamsk Naphtha 600 2021Novy Urengoy GCC CIS & Baltic States Russia Novy Urengoy Ethane 420 2020ZapSibNeftekhim CIS & Baltic States Russia Tobolsk EPB/Naphtha 1500 2021PTTGC Southeast Asia Thailand Map Ta Phut Naphtha 500 2021Nova/SABIC North America United States Geismar Ethane/Propane 442 2018Long Son PC Co. Southeast Asia Viet Nam Ba Ria-Vung Tau EPB/Naphtha 1000 2023

* Some projects, especially in China may be delayed/ scrapped

Page 13: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

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Naphtha MOP-S ($/MT) Propane CP ($/MT)

US Ethane- Mt Belvieu ($/MT Converted) Crude Brent ($/bbl)

Cracker Feedstock Prices

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$ / MT

Cru

de

($/b

bl)

Feedstock price variability - impacts Cracker Margins

Cost Control through Feed flexibilityNew Chemistries – MTO/CTO, PDH

Page 14: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Asia Cracker Margins

14

0

200

400

600

800

1000

Integrated Ethane Cracker Integrated Propane Cracker Integrated Naphtha Cracker

High Butadiene

co-product credit

Seasonal Propane Winter Spike

US Ethane

Export Terminal

Start-up Margins Squeezed as feed

cost rises

Gap Between Ethane & Naphtha/LPG

large at higher crude levels

SE

A E

thyle

ne M

arg

ins (

$ /

MT

)

Fluctuations in global crude prices lead to volatility in Naphtha & Propane feedstock prices. US Ethane prices firm up when start of new cracker adds to demand/ supply constraints prevail in US NGL market

Page 15: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Ethylene Cash Cost curve

15

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1 21 41 61 81 101 121 141 161

Apr-13 Aug-15 May-18$/MT

Million MT

Brent Crude $/bbl 102 47 77

Middle East Gas Crackers

US Gas Crackers

Asia & European Naphtha Crackers

JKT & Smaller European Naphtha Crackers

CTO & MTO

Source: RIL Internal Analysis

1000

500

@ 100 $/bblCrude

@ 50 $/bblCrude

Page 16: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Reliance’s Ethane Project

Only company to move Ethane from US to Asia

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Page 17: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Reliance’s Ethane Project

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Ethane Terminal at US Gulf Coast GCPTCL Jetty at Dahej

DMD Ethane Tank (90KT)

Dahej Nagothane Pipeline (DNEPL) – 480 Km

JMDHMD

Cracker

NMD Cracker

DMD Cracker

Ethane VLEC (46 KT)

Page 18: India Chem 2018: Competitive Feed stocks and Integration ...indiachem.in/brochure/Presentation by Mr. Amit Chaturvedi and Mr... · 3 R&M Largest single refinery site with robust configuration

Thank you

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