india: the vibrant electronics industry
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India: the Vibrant Electronics Industry. Vinnie Mehta Executive Director Manufacturers’ Association for Information Technology Tel Aviv November 05 ,2007. Presentation agenda. India – a land of opportunities Snapshot of Electronics & IT industry in India Conclusion . India on the move…. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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India: the Vibrant Electronics India: the Vibrant Electronics IndustryIndustry
Vinnie MehtaVinnie MehtaExecutive DirectorExecutive Director
Manufacturers’ Association for Information TechnologyManufacturers’ Association for Information Technology
Tel AvivTel Aviv November 05 ,2007November 05 ,2007
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Presentation agenda
India – a land of opportunitiesIndia – a land of opportunities
Snapshot of Electronics & IT industry in IndiaSnapshot of Electronics & IT industry in India
Conclusion Conclusion
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India on the move… One of the fastest growing nations One of the fastest growing nations
GDP grew at 9.4% during 2007GDP grew at 9.4% during 2007
Top 10% of nations since 1980Top 10% of nations since 1980
On the verge of sustained double-digit growthOn the verge of sustained double-digit growth
Strong investment momentumStrong investment momentum Market capitalization up from USD 140 Bn in FY Market capitalization up from USD 140 Bn in FY
2001 to > USD 1 Trn recently2001 to > USD 1 Trn recently
FDI on the rise - USD 7.6 Bn (06) and USD FDI on the rise - USD 7.6 Bn (06) and USD
19.4 Bn (07)19.4 Bn (07)
FII investment - USD 6.5 Bn in 2006-07FII investment - USD 6.5 Bn in 2006-07
140 + public traded companies with market cap 140 + public traded companies with market cap
> USD 1 Bn> USD 1 Bn
635 722 8911229
3228
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2010 FY2020
US$
BB
Services54%
Industry27%
Agriculture19%
GDP
GDP composition – FY 2007
By 2050, India projected GDP is US$ 70 Trillion
Source: CMIE
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India – the 5 Ds• Diversity
– Highly diverseHighly diverse– 23 languages, 30 23 languages, 30
provincesprovinces– 6 major religions6 major religions– Cultural,religious, Cultural,religious,
& Climatic& Climatic
• Diaspora– Over 2 Mn Indians Over 2 Mn Indians
outside Indiaoutside India
– Indian companies Indian companies outbound M&A > outbound M&A > USD 15 Bn in 2006USD 15 Bn in 2006
• Demographics– 1.12 Bn population, 1.12 Bn population, Remain a Remain a
‘young’ nation beyond 2050‘young’ nation beyond 2050– < 20 yrs population< 20 yrs population
– 442 Mn currently 442 Mn currently – 479 Mn by 2050479 Mn by 2050
– ~10 Mn finishing school, 600,000 ~10 Mn finishing school, 600,000 Engineers and 3 Mn graduates Engineers and 3 Mn graduates p.ap.a
• Demand– 5th largest consumer market in 5th largest consumer market in
the world by 2025.the world by 2025.– 300 Mn growing middle class300 Mn growing middle class– Rising incomes to lift 291 Mn Rising incomes to lift 291 Mn
out of poverty to make middle out of poverty to make middle class 583 Mn by 2025class 583 Mn by 2025
Ingredients for sustained and consistent economic performance
• Democracy– Largest democracy in Largest democracy in
the worldthe world– Largest digital electionsLargest digital elections– 9 Prime ministers from 6 9 Prime ministers from 6
major parties, 50 + state major parties, 50 + state parties, 3 MM elected parties, 3 MM elected representatives representatives
– ONE POLICYONE POLICY
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Electronics industry in India: A snapshot
The Market: 2006-07 Domestic demand: USD 30 bn
Production: USD 16 bn
Exports: USD 2.2 bn
Employment Direct: 0.75 million
Indirect: 1.5 million
Consumer Electronics$ 4.87 Bn
Industrial + Other$ 2.55 Bn
Computers$ 3.12 Bn
Comm. & Broadcasting Equip.$ 2.32 Bn
StrategicElectronics$ 1.09 Bn
Components$ 2.15 Bn
• Growth over 2005-06: 20%
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Key Electronics Associations in India
CEAMA: Consumer Electronics & Appliances Manufacturers’
Association
ELCINA: ELCINA Electronic Industries Association of India
ISA: Indian Semiconductor Association
MAIT: Manufacturers’ Association for Information Technology
TEMA: Telecom Equipment Manufacturers Association
CEHA: Council of Electronics Hardware Associations
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Electronics & IT industry in India: A snapshot
The Market: 2006-07 IT Industry size: USD 48 bn +
• IT Hardware Domestic: USD 7 bn: USD 1.7 bn
• ITES & Software Exports: USD 31.3 bn ; Domestic: USD 8.4 bn
6.3 million PCs sold; Installed base: 22 mn
13 million TVs consumed; Installed base 100 mn +
5 million + DVDs sold: growing at 40% annually
Internet users: 50 mn+;Broadband connections: 2.5 mn
Mobile sales: 75 mn ; Installed base: 172 mn
Significant R&D and product development
Sizeable presence of MNCs: Intel, IBM, Cisco, Motorola, Nokia, Samsung, LG
India is suddenly attractive for hardware/electronics manufacturing
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The PC market (Desktop + Notebooks) in India U
nits
1,715,620
2,344,6173,124,422
3,809,724
5,046,558
6,341,451
0
1,500,000
3,000,000
4,500,000
6,000,000
7,500,000
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
• CAGR 2001-07: 30%
• Growth over 2005-06: 26%
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Desktop Market: Share of Indian, MNC & Assembled
2006-07
• Consumption of Indian brands decreased 2% in absolute terms
• Sales of MNC Brands grew by 33% and that of Assembled by 22% in absolute terms
23%
38%
39%
Indian Brands MNC brands Assembled
2005-06
28%37%
35%
Indian Brands MNC brands Assembled
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Desktop sales: City-spread
30 3545 51 54 60
14 1212
11 13 856 53
43 38 33 32
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
Rest of India Next 4 Top 4
• Consumption in Top 4 metros grew by 15% while in Next 4 it dropped by 26%
• Sales in Rest of India (Other smaller Towns) grew by 33%
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The Set top box market: 2004-07
Million Units
0.75
1.5
2.75
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07Set-top box
• Annual growth 84%;
• 2007-08: sales expected to cross 2.5 million
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Telecom Market in India : 2002-07
66.5
41.9
15.413
33.6
52.2
98.78
171.21
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07Annual Mobile Sales Mobile Subsciber Base
Mobile Phones
• Annual subscriber base growth 44%; 2007-08: subscriber expected to cross 250 mn
• 2006-07: Base Stations installed: 100,000; Annual growth: 55%
• 2006-07: Towers installed: 100,000; Annual growth: 60%
Mill
ion
Uni
ts
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The Software & Services market
7,6809,870
12,500
17,700
23,600
31,300
10,10012,450
15,900
22,600
30,300
39,700
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
Year
Indu
stry
Siz
e DomesticExportsTotal
USD Million
Source: NASSCOM
Annual growth: 31%; Exports growth at over 32% and domestic at 25%
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The Software & Services Exports Markets
Source: NASSCOM
~ 80% of Fortune 500 outsource their IT from India
2003-04 2004-05 2005-06
Americas 69.4% 68.3% 67.18%
Europe 22.6% 23.10% 25.13%
ROW 8.0% 8.60% 7.69%
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India Semiconductor Market
• India’s share in the global semiconductor market is expected to increase from 1.2 % in 2005 and is forecast to be 5 % by 2015
• Telecommunication, Consumer and IT Hardware are the segments driving the market during the forecast period
• Wireless handsets, Base Station Transceivers (BTS) are the major sub product categories driving the TAM for telecommunications segment
• Set Top Box, DVD players and writers are the emerging product categories in consumer segment
• Few other emerging product categories are electronic clusters, Capacitive Discharge Units (CDI) and Engine Management Systems (EMS)
2.82
12.67
36.3
1.14
5.8
15.52
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2005 2010 2015
Rev
enue
s $
Bill
ion
TM TAMTM CAGR – 29.8%, TAM CAGR- 29.4% TM in 2015 is expected to grow
by 13 times the TM in 2005
TAM in 2015 is expected to grow by 14 times the TAM in 2005
Source: ISA – Frost & Sullivan
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Venture Capital Industry
An estimated USD 7.5 bn in VC/PE in 2006 across 299 deals
• Over 250 deals in first half of 2007 with USD 5.6 bn
• Expected to cross USD 10 bn in 2007
Key Investment Verticals – IT/ITES (23.5%), BFSI (12.1%),
Manufacturing (12%), Real Estate (7.1%); Engg & Construction (7.9%)
India Specific VCs: ChrysCapital, HSBC Pvt Equity, ICICI Ventures,
IL&FS Venture Corporation, Infinity Technology Ventures, SIDBI,
Walden International etc.
Source: IVCA
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India emerging as a manufacturing destination
Surge in manufacturing confidence led by mobile players
Branded players: Nokia, Motorola, LG, Samsung, Ericsson…
EMS companies: Elcoteq, Flextronics, Solectron, Jabil
Circuits, Sanmina, Celestica and Foxconn/Honhai …
With new Fab policy several Semiconductor firms are keen to
manufacture in India
Taiwanese Companies just about coming in
Foxconn/Honhai; Compal (Reliance), Delta Electronics, Liteon
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India advantage
A very rapidly growing domestic market: CAGR 30%+
Global recognition for back-end services: A proven case for IP, embedded
systems and IC design
Attractive for Manufacturing Investments Skilled employee base Fast and upcoming modern
infrastructure (SEZs)
Proximity to EU and MEA market Freight Cost; 20% cheaper than
China - Faster delivery and lesser pipeline inventory
Local Market
Profit from Local Sales
Manufacture
Harness low cost manufacturing base to service local, European
and MEA markets
Back-end Services
Use India for IP and ITes Services-New Product development-Engineering services-BPO
AdvantageIndia
India is a great Opportunity –Triple Advantage
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The Future…
2010…
Mobile installed base: 500 mn
PC sales: 25 mn; installed base 65 mn
ITES & Software exports: USD 60 bn
40 mn new internet connection; at least 50% broadband
Nationwide TV broadcast to be digital by 2015 beginning 2010:
significant opportunity for STB consumption & manufacturing
Over USD10 bn investment in e-governance and national id card
2015: Total expected Market USD 320 bn; Domestic production USD 155 bn
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Come..explore..be a part of the great Indian Come..explore..be a part of the great Indian opportunity!opportunity!
We look forward to welcoming you to WEF 2008We look forward to welcoming you to WEF 2008
Thank you!Thank you!