india's automotive industry market...
TRANSCRIPT
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2020/AD/CB/016 Agenda Item: 14.11
India's Automotive Industry Market Situation
Purpose: Information Submitted by: Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers
Capacity Building and Economy Updates on Market Access in Auto Industry Impacted by COVID-19
Meeting of the 32nd Automotive Dialogue28 August 2020
26 8 2020 – Virtual Platform
Presented by
SIAM
Copyright © 2018 APEC Secretariat
Indian Automotive IndustryMarket Situation
Categories Total No.
of Manufactures/Companies
Total No. of New Entry Companies
in 2019
Total No. of Direct
Employment
Automobile Manufacturers
30 22 million
(Additional 6 million in
Components and Dealerships
including Service Centres)
Motorcycle Manufacturers
13 -
Parts Manufacturers
747 NA
Industry Overview
Indirect Employment: Additional 29 million
2
Automotive Production (Nos. in million)
Industry Overview
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20FY21Q1
3W 0.84 0.83 0.95 0.93 0.78 1.02 1.27 1.13 0.06
2W 15.72 16.88 18.50 18.83 19.93 23.15 24.50 21.04 1.25
CV 0.83 0.70 0.70 0.79 0.81 0.90 1.11 0.75 0.03
PV 3.23 3.09 3.22 3.47 3.80 4.02 4.03 3.43 0.14
YOY Growth 4% 9% 3% 5% 15% 6% -15% -79%
-100%
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
FY = April to March 3
Industry Overview
Automotive Sales (Nos. in million)
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20FY21Q1
3W 0.54 0.48 0.53 0.54 0.51 0.64 0.70 0.64 0.01
2W 13.80 14.81 16.00 16.46 17.59 20.20 21.18 17.42 1.29
CV 0.79 0.63 0.61 0.69 0.71 0.86 1.01 0.72 0.03
PV 2.69 2.50 2.60 2.79 3.05 3.29 3.38 2.77 0.15
YOY Growth 3% 7% 4% 7% 14% 5% -18% -75%
-80%-70%-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
FY = April to March 4
Industry Overview
Automotive Exports (Nos. in million)
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20FY21Q1
3W 0.30 0.35 0.41 0.40 0.27 0.38 0.57 0.50 0.05
2W 1.96 2.08 2.46 2.48 2.34 2.82 3.28 3.52 0.34
CV 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.06 0.00
PV 0.55 0.60 0.62 0.65 0.76 0.75 0.68 0.68 0.04
YOY Growth 7% 15% 2% -4% 16% 14% 3% -64%
-70%-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.0
FY = April to March 5
FY2020 Performance - Negative Sales !
PV CV 2W 3W Overall
18% 29% 18% 9% 18%
FY 2020 Automotive Industry
performance vis-à-vis FY2019
Poor consumer
sentiments
Liquidity crisis with
NBFCsHigher acquisition
cost
Long term Insurance,
cost increase
Axle load norms, fleet
utilization
Lower rural
consumption
BS IV to BS VI
transition
Key Factors contributing Degrowth
6
FY21 - Demand Expected to Drop
27741914
718 413
17418
12018
637 465
21532
14810
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Sale
s V
olu
me (
‘000
)
Domestic Vehicle Sales & Projections PV CV 2W 3W Total
18% 29% 18% 9% 18%Gro
wth
%
(Yo
Y)
FY 20
40-
45%30-
32%26-
28%
30-
32%
30-
32%
FY 21 Scenario GDP Growth: (-2) – (-1)%
7
India’s Response to COVID-19
Government of India has been taking many important decision to fight against thespread of COVID-19 and minimizing the impact on economic activities:• Airlifting critical imports from China in early March• Invoked Disaster Management Act, 2005. as well as Epidemic Diseases Act to
deal with the situation• Country-wide lockdown from last week of March 2020 to early June 2020 with
only essential services allowed to operate• Important industries allowed to start operation from Mid-May with adequate
precautionary measures taken• Phased opening up of the lockdown started in June and States given control of
monitoring cases and taking action to reduce the rising numbers• More than US $ 260 Bn economic revival package announced by the Finance
Minster• Reserve Bank of India (RBI) provided financial support through repo rate
reduction and moratorium for loan repayment• Focus has been on Self Sufficiency in the recent past 8
9
Auto Industry Update
• Automobile industry in India reported ‘Zero’ sales in April 2020 due to Nation-wide Lockdown
• Operations for most of the Automobile plants were allowed to start by Mid-May 2020
• Supply chain concerns and subdued consumer sentiments, due to risingnumber of COVID-19 cases, continued to affect Production and Sales in Mayand June
• No direct stimulus was announced for the Automobile Industry, however somerelaxation was given for upcoming regulatory norms
• SIAM has been actively engaged with the Government on supporting theambition of ‘Make in India for Automobiles and Auto Components’
• Government of India is looking at increasing competitiveness and volumes forthe automotive sector to make India a hub for manufacture of Automobiles andAuto Components.
9
GST Rates for Vehicles
Vehicle Category GST Rate
Electric Vehicles and Fuel Cell Vehicles 5%
*Compensation Cess on various categories vary
Vehicle Category GST Cess* Applied Duty
Passenger vehicles (petrol, CNG, LPG) <4m in length and <1200cc engine 28% 1% 29%
Passenger vehicles (diesel) <4m in length and <1500cc engine 28% 3% 31%
Mid-size PVs (>4m in length with <1501cc engine) 28% 17% 45%
Large PVs (>4m in length with >1500cc engine) 28% 20% 48%
SUVs (>4m in length with >>1500cc engine & >169mm ground clearance) 28% 22% 50%
Hybrid cars (except small hybrid cars) 28% 15% 43%
>350cc two-wheelers 28% 3% 31%
10 – 13 seater public transport vehicles 28% 15% 43%
10 – 13 seater public transport vehicles <4m in length 28% - 28%
10
Custom Duty Structure- Conventional Vehicles
Tax RateType CBUs SKDs CKDs
Commercial Vehicles (Trucks & Buses) 40% 25% 15%
Cars with CIF value less than $40,000; or with engine capacity less than 3000 CC for Gas engine and less than 2500 CC for Diesel engine
60% 30% 15%
Cars with CIF value of more than $40,000; or with engine capacity more than 3000CC for Gas engine and more than 2500CC for Diesel engine
100% 30% 15%
Two - Wheelers 50% 25% 15%
11
Free Trade Agreements
Agreements Concluded
Regional: SAFTA, ASEAN
Bilaterals: Japan, The Republic of Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Sri Lanka,Thailand, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Serbia/Montenegro, Chile
Under Negotiation: Australia, New Zealand, Canada, EU, EFTA, Mercosur,
Peru, Sri Lanka ETCA, Korea CEPA Upgradation
RCEP- India has withdrawn from the negotiations
12
Thank you for your attention!!!
13
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