inequality september/2014 us$ 5.00 poverty & 2 us$ 2.50...

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INEQUALITY INDICES, 2001-2012 Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATIO, 2001-2012 Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. TRENDS DEMOGRAPHICS ARMENIA LIVING ABOVE US$ 5.00 LIVING BETWEEN US$ 2.50- 5.00 GINI THEIL GROWTH DISTRIBUTION CONTRIBUTORS LIVING BELOW US$ 2.50 Women Men CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, 2000-2013 Source: ARM Stat. Note: 2000 =100. SURVEY DATA GENERAL FOOD UTILITIES INCOME/CONSUMPTION GROWTH PER CAPITA BY QUINTILE, 2007-2012 Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. SHARE (FINAL) GROWTH GDP per capita, PPP (current international $) 1 8,417 (2012) GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$) 1 3,720 (2012) Rural population (% of total population) 1 36 (2012) National strategy for statistical development POVERTY Population living below national line (%) 1 32.40 (2012) Population living below US$ 1.25 (%) 2 1.72 (2012) Population living below US$ 2.5 (%) 2 30.08 (2012) Population living below US$ 5.00 (%) 2 79.64 (2012) Population living above US$ 10.00 (%) 2 2.54 (2012) Population living in multidimensional poverty (%) 3 0.30 (2010) INEQUALITY Gini index 2 0.30 (2012) Theil index 2 0.17 (2012) SHARED PROSPERITY Welfare definition Period of analysis Income/consumption growth of bottom 40 2 Income/consumption growth total population 2 Income/consumption growth of top 60 2 GDP growth 1 Growth of private consumption 1 6.39% 3.29% 1.65% 2013-2015 Consumption 2007-2012 1.44% 1.61% Sources: 1 WDI. 2 ECATSD using ECAPOV. 3 UNDP. Value Global Global Conditional ECA ECA Conditional Years Poverty change (US$ 2.50)* 1 -0.86% 58 11 64 18 2007- 2012 Income/ consumption growth of the bottom 40%** 1 1.44% 27 65 39 85 2007- 2012 UNDP Human Development Index 2 0.729 87/186 - 23/29 - 2012 *Annualized. Benchmarking numbers present percentile performance among indicated distribution group. “Conditional” refers to performance when controlling for poverty in the initial period, GDP per capita, fragility index, landlocked country, country growth rate, global growth rate, and frequency of poverty data. **Annualized. Benchmarking numbers present percentile performance among indicated distribution group. “Conditional” refers to percentile performance when controlling for type of welfare measure, GNI per capita 2012,Gini in first period, poverty head count in first period, and country growth rate. PERFORMANCE Sources: 1 ECATSD using ECAPOV. Azevedo and Nguyen (2014). 2 UNDP (2013). 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-older POPULATION BY AGE AND POVERTY STATUS, 2012 (MILLIONS) Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. US$ 2.50 US$ 5.00 0 20 40 60 80 100 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35 0.40 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0 50 100 150 200 250 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 1 (poorest) 2 3 4 5 (richest) Share Growth % CONTRIBUTION TO POVERTY REDUCTION, (US$ 2.50), 2007-2012 Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 September/2014 EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA POVERTY & SHARED PROSPERITY AT A GLANCE Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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Page 1: INEQUALITY September/2014 US$ 5.00 POVERTY & 2 US$ 2.50 ...documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/... · poverty headcount ratio, 2001-2012 source: ecatsd using ecapov. trendsseptember/2014

INEQUALITY INDICES, 2001-2012

Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV.

POVERTY HEADCOUNT RATIO, 2001-2012

Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV.

TRENDS

DEMOGRAPHICS

ARMENIA

LIVING ABOVE US$ 5.00

LIVING BETWEEN US$ 2.50- 5.00

GINI THEIL

GROWTH DISTRIBUTION

CONTRIBUTORS

LIVING BELOW US$ 2.50

Women Men

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, 2000-2013

Source: ARM Stat. Note: 2000 =100.

SURVEY DATA

GENERAL FOOD UTILITIES

INCOME/CONSUMPTION GROWTH PER CAPITA BY QUINTILE, 2007-2012

Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV. SHARE (FINAL) GROWTH

GDP per capita, PPP (current international $)1 8,417 (2012)

GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$)1 3,720 (2012)

Rural population (% of total population)1 36 (2012)National strategy for statistical development

P OVERTY

Population living below national line (%)1 32.40 (2012)

Population living below US$ 1.25 (%)2 1.72 (2012)

Population living below US$ 2.5 (%)2 30.08 (2012)

Population living below US$ 5.00 (%)2 79.64 (2012)

Population living above US$ 10.00 (%)2 2.54 (2012)

Population living in multidimensional poverty (%)3 0.30 (2010)

I NEQUAL I TY

Gini index2 0.30 (2012)

Theil index2 0.17 (2012)

SHARED P ROSP ERI TY

Welfare definitionPeriod of analysis

Income/consumption growth of bottom 402

Income/consumption growth total population2

Income/consumption growth of top 602

GDP growth1

Growth of private consumption1

6.39%3.29%

1.65%

2013-2015

Consumption2007-2012

1.44%1.61%

Sources: 1 WDI. 2 ECATSD using ECAPOV. 3 UNDP.

Value Global

Global

Conditional ECA

ECA

Conditional Years

Poverty change

(US$ 2.50)*1-0.86% 58 11 64 18

2007-

2012

Income/

consumption growth

of the bottom 40%**1

1.44% 27 65 39 852007-

2012

UNDP Human

Development Index2 0.729 87/186 - 23/29 - 2012

*Annualized. Benchmarking numbers present percent ile perf ormance among indicat ed dist r ibut ion group.

“Condit ional” ref ers t o perf ormance when cont rolling f or povert y in t he init ial period, GDP per capit a, f ragilit y

index, landlocked count ry, count ry growt h rat e, global growt h rat e, and f requency of povert y dat a.

**Annualized. Benchmarking numbers present percent ile perf ormance among indicat ed dist r ibut ion group.

“Condit ional” ref ers t o percent ile perf ormance when cont rolling f or t ype of welf are measure, GNI per capit a

2012,Gini in f irst period, povert y head count in f irst period, and count ry growt h rat e.

PERFORMANCE

Sources: 1 ECATSD using ECAPOV. Azevedo and Nguyen (2014). 2 UNDP (2013).

0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40

0-14

15-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65-older

POPULATION BY AGE AND POVERTY STATUS, 2012 (MILLIONS)Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV.

US$ 2.50

US$ 5.00

0

20

40

60

80

100

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0

50

100

150

200

250

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

1 (poorest) 2 3 4 5 (richest)

Shar

e

Gro

wth

% CONTRIBUTION TO POVERTY REDUCTION, (US$ 2.50), 2007-2012

Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV.

-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

September/2014

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA

POVERTY & SHARED PROSPERITY

AT A GLANCE

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Page 2: INEQUALITY September/2014 US$ 5.00 POVERTY & 2 US$ 2.50 ...documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/... · poverty headcount ratio, 2001-2012 source: ecatsd using ecapov. trendsseptember/2014

Poverty and inequality statistics in Armenia are produced by the national statistics office based on the annual Integrated Living

Conditions Survey. Official poverty estimates are based on the "Cost of Basic Needs" approach which determines three different

poverty lines: (1) the food poverty line which uses the minimum required level of calories; (2) the lower poverty line which refers to the "Consumption Basket

Method;" and (3) the upper poverty line which makes use of the "Food Expenditure Method." In 2012, the most recent year of published figures, the three different poverty

headcount rates were 2.8, 13.5 and 32.4%, respectively (exploring a consumption aggregate which is corrected using an adult equivalence scale).* The 2013-2015 "Three Year

State Statistical Programme" is currently implemented as the most recent national strategy for statistical development in Armenia. The most recent Integrated Living Conditions

Survey available for Armenia in the World Bank's regional internal microdata catalog, the ECA Data Portal, is for the year 2012.

NATIONAL DATA

*Source: "Social Snapshot and Poverty in Armenia 2013" published annually by the NSO in Armenia.

Tot al P oor Non-P oor P oor Non-P oor Bot t om 4 0 % Top 6 0 % YearD em ograph ic sShare of total population (%) 100% 30% 70% 80% 20% 40% 60% 2012% of group living in rural areas 37% 37% 36% 39% 26% 39% 35% 2012% of group living in urban areas 63% 63% 64% 61% 74% 61% 65% 2012% of households with 4+ members 58% 76% 52% 65% 39% 72% 51% 2012Dependency Ratio: Children (0-14)/all HH members 0.26 0.33 0.23 0.28 0.16 0.31 0.22 2012Dependency Ratio: Elderly 65+/all HH members 0.18 0.17 0.19 0.19 0.16 0.18 0.18 2012Share of households with Female Head (%) 32% 31% 32% 32% 34% 31% 33% 2012Average HH size 3.92 4.75 3.65 4.22 3.08 4.57 3.59 2012

Educ at ionProportion of group with None/<Primary (%) 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2012Proportion of group with Basic (%) 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2012Proportion of group with Gen sec (%) 53% 62% 50% 57% 39% 62% 48% 2012Proportion of group with Spec sec (%) 24% 23% 24% 24% 25% 23% 24% 2012Proportion of group with Tertiary sec (%) 21% 12% 24% 17% 34% 12% 26% 2012

Ac c ess t o Ec onom ic Opp ort un it iesLabor force participation rate (% of population aged 15-64) 64% 58% 66% 63% 67% 59% 67% 2012Unemployment (% of population aged 15-64) 15% 22% 13% 16% 12% 20% 12% 2012Self-employed (% of population aged 15-64) 40% 46% 39% 44% 28% 48% 37% 2012

I nc om eShare of income from pensions (%) 28% 29% 28% 30% 23% 31% 27% 2012Share of income from labor (%) 47% 40% 50% 44% 58% 39% 52% 2012

Ac c ess t o Basic Serv ic esCentral heating (% of HHs)Access to gas (% of HHs) 84% 84% 84% 84% 85% 83% 84% 2012Access to piped water in house (% of HHs) 87% 86% 88% 86% 93% 86% 89% 2012Access to sewerage in house (% of HHs) 64% 66% 64% 62% 74% 63% 66% 2012Access to toilet in house (% of HHs)Access to electricity (% of HHs)Refrigerator (% of HHs)Home phone (% of HHs) 71% 68% 72% 69% 80% 67% 74% 2012Cell phone (% of HHs) 98% 97% 99% 98% 99% 97% 99% 2012Personal computer (% of HHs)Less than 1.5 people per room (% of HHs) 45% 33% 52% 42% 61% 36% 53% 2012

Source: ECATSD using ECAPOV.

KEY INDICATORS US$ 2 . 5 0 US$ 5 . 0 0 Relat ive Group

ABOUT THE DATA

by the ECA Team for Statistical Development in the Poverty Global Practice at the World Bank Group. All indicators are as of 09/08/14.

QUESTIONS?Contact the Europe and Central Asia Team for Statistical Development ( [email protected] ).

Where possible, data is from harmonized regionally comparable sources. All numbers in this document are produced using the 2005

PPPs, as the use of the 2011 PPPs in the calculation of global poverty estimates still requires additional analysis. This note was produced