integrated science for our changing world icp vegetation: contributions on ozone for the revision...

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Integrated science for our changing world www.ceh.ac.uk ICP Vegetation: Contributions on Ozone for the Revision of the Gothenburg Protocol Monitoring of ambient ozone effects Policy-relevant indicators Critical levels workshop Flux modelling methods and applications Review of effects in the Mediterranean Quantifying and mapping impacts 0 2 4 6 8 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 y = 1.01 -0.025 *PO D6 r 2 = 0.63 p < 0.001 BE FI SE 0 2 4 6 8 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 y = 1.01 -0.025 *PO D6 r 2 = 0.63 p < 0.001 BE FI SE 0 2 4 6 8 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 y = 1.01 -0.025 *PO D6 r 2 = 0.63 p < 0.001 BE BE FI FI SE SE

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Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

ICP Vegetation: Contributions on Ozone for the Revision of the

Gothenburg Protocol

Monitoring of ambient ozone effects

Policy-relevant indicators

Critical levels workshop

Flux modelling methods and applications

Review of effects in the Mediterranean

Quantifying and mapping impacts

0 2 4 6 8

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Rel

ativ

e pr

otei

n yi

eld

y = 1.01 - 0.025 * POD6r2 = 0.63p < 0.001

POD6, mmol m-2

BE

FI

SE

0 2 4 6 8

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Rel

ativ

e pr

otei

n yi

eld

y = 1.01 - 0.025 * POD6r2 = 0.63p < 0.001

POD6, mmol m-2

BE

FI

SE

0 2 4 6 8

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Rel

ativ

e pr

otei

n yi

eld

y = 1.01 - 0.025 * POD6r2 = 0.63p < 0.001

POD6, mmol m-2

BEBE

FIFI

SESE

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Ozone biomonitoring with bean

Participation in 2009: Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Greece, (15 sites -10 countries) Hungary, Italy, Slovenia, Spain, UK

Aim: develop ozone flux-effect relationship for bean

Ozone-sensitive and –resistant bean (Phaseolus vulgaris)

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Impacts in Mediterranean areas

0

2

4

6

8

1 2 3 4 5 6

Sug

ar c

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nt (B

rix d

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es)

Harvest no.

Charcoal filtered air

Non-filtered air

Non-filtered air + 40 ppb

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

10 30 60

Flo

wer

bio

mas

s (g

dry

wei

ght)

Nitrogen supply (kg ha-1)

Charcoal filtered air

Non-filtered air

Non-filtered air + 40 ppb

Negative impacts on yield/quality of over 20 crops (e.g. potato, tomato, bean, watermelon, artichoke, lettuce, spinach, chicory).

Decrease marketable value

Visible leaf damage, physiological effects, growth reduction trees (Holm oak, Carob tree, Aleppo pine, laurel)

Scarce info on sensitivity herbaceous plant communities

Sugar - tomato

0

2

4

6

8

1 2 3 4 5 6

Sug

ar c

onte

nt (B

rix d

egre

es)

Harvest no.

Charcoal filtered air

Non-filtered air

Non-filtered air + 40 ppb

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

10 30 60

Flo

wer

bio

mas

s (g

dry

wei

ght)

Nitrogen supply (kg ha-1)

Charcoal filtered air

Non-filtered air

Non-filtered air + 40 ppbaaFlowers - clover

Bermejo (2002)

Sanz et al. (2007)

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

New/revised flux-based CLe (doc 14)

Expert Panel Meeting: ‘Flux-based assessment of ozone effects for air pollution policy’, Nov 2009

Follow on at 23rd Task Force meeting, Feb 2010

10 new/revised flux-based critical levels adopted, included in revision of Mapping Manual chapter 3

New terminology: Phytotoxic Ozone Dose above threshold Y (PODY), previously called AFstY

Policy relevant indicators identified

Retain concentration-based CLs in Mapping Manual

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Revised flux-based critical levelsReceptor Effect

(% reduction)Parameter* Critical level

(mmol m-2)Wheat Grain yield (5%) POD6 1

Wheat 1000 grain weight (5%) POD6 2

Wheat Protein yield (5%) POD6 2

Potato Tuber yield (5%) POD6 5

Tomato Fruit yield (5%) POD6 2

Norway spruce Biomass (2%) POD1 8

Birch and beech Biomass (4%) POD1 4

Productive grasslands (clover)

Biomass (10%) POD1 2

Conservation grasslands (clover)

Biomass (10%) POD1 2

Conservation grasslands (Viola spp), provisional

Biomass (15%) POD1 6

* PODY = Phytotoxic Ozone Dose above a threshold YUsed to define policy-relevant indicators

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Crops

Full flux model

Critical level (and response function) for security of food supplies: Protein yield of wheat Tomato fruit yield

For both a POD6 of 2 mmol m-2

Generic crop flux model (for IAM)Generic crop flux-response function to show areas at highest risk of ozone damage (POD3) in EMEP domain

0 2 4 6 8

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Rel

ativ

e pr

otei

n yi

eld

y = 1.01 - 0.025 * POD6r2 = 0.63p < 0.001

POD6, mmol m-2

BE

FI

SE

0 2 4 6 8

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Rel

ativ

e pr

otei

n yi

eld

y = 1.01 - 0.025 * POD6r2 = 0.63p < 0.001

POD6, mmol m-2

BE

FI

SE

0 2 4 6 8

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

Rel

ativ

e pr

otei

n yi

eld

y = 1.01 - 0.025 * POD6r2 = 0.63p < 0.001

POD6, mmol m-2

BEBE

FIFI

SESE

Protein yield wheat

y = 1.00 - 0.024 * POD6r2 = 0.49p < 0.001

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

0 5 10 15 20

Rel

ativ

e yi

eld

POD6, mmol m-2

ITSP

TomatoTomato

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Forests

Critical level (full flux model) for protection against:

(1) Loss of carbon storage in the living biomass of trees

(2) Loss of environmental protection (e.g. soil erosion, floods, avalanches)

Beech/birch: POD1 = 4 mmol m-2

Generic forest tree model for generic deciduous and evergreen Mediterranean tree species: POD1

(for IAM)

y = 1.00 - 0.0024 * POD1

r² = 0.55p < 0.001

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

1.1

0 10 20 30 40

Rel

ativ

e to

tal b

iom

ass

POD1, mmol m -2

Norway spruce

y = 1.00 - 0.011 * POD1r² = 0.64p < 0.001

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

0 20 40 60

Rel

ativ

e to

tal b

iom

ass

POD1, mmol m -2

BirchBeech

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

(Semi-)natural vegetation

Critical level (full flux model) for protection against:

(1) Loss of vitality and fodder quality of pasture: Clover, POD1 of 2 mmol m-2

(2) Loss of vitality of natural species*: Clover, POD1 of 2 mmol m-2

* May also protect against loss of biodiversity

Note: No generic flux-model available for IAM

y = 0.97 -0.035 * POD1

r² = 0.87p < 0.001

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

0 4 8 12 16

Rel

ativ

e bi

omas

s

POD1, mmol m -2

UK

CH

Clover

y = 0.98 - 0.020 * POD1r² = 0.45p = 0.034

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

0 2 4 6 8 10 12R

elat

ive

biom

ass

POD1, mmol m -2

Violet

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Application of ozone critical levels (1)

Flux-based critical levels:

Full flux models/response functions: modelling impacts at

local/regional scale (e.g. effects on food security and ecosystem

services); suitable for economic impact assessments

Modelling risk of damage without quantification:

Generic flux model/response functions (crops, trees) (no CLe):

for large scale modelling, including IAM, to provide an

indication of risk; not suitable for economic impact assessment

Additional species-specific flux models (without suitable effects

data): for application at local scale to indicate risk to specific species

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Application of ozone critical levels (2)

Concentration-based critical levels/response functions:

Estimating damage in areas where

no stomatal conductance and/or

climatic data available; should not be

used for economic impact assessment

VPD-modified AOT30: Assessing risk of visible leaf injury,

useful for leafy crops, where quality

and market value is affected

Fully revised this summer

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Flux to generic deciduous tree(POD1)

Health –based(SOMO35)Year 2000

Ex-post examples

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Flux to generic deciduous tree(POD1)

Health –based(SOMO35)Year 2020 - MFR

Ex-post examples

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Robustness CL ozoneMain uncertainties: Impacts soil moisture on ozone flux Extrapolation from ozone exposure systems to field conditions Trees: extrapolation effects on young (< 10 years) to mature trees

Crops: - CLs substantiated in Ozone Evidence Report (Hayes et al., 2007; Mills et al., in press) - Meta-analysis: 43 ppb O3 - 18% decline in wheat grain yield and 16% decline biomasss (Feng et al., 2008)

Forest trees: - Epidemiological study in Switzerland confirmed flux- based CL for beech/birch (Braun et al., 2010) - 40 ppb O3: reduction biomass 7% (Wittig et al., 2009)

(Semi-)natural vegetation most uncertain due to its complexity (productive grasslands < low input grasslands < natural ecosystems)

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Biological diversity

Different sensitivities to O3 identified for plant species (Hayes et al., 2007) and communities (Mills et al., 2007) ECE/EB.AIR/WG.1/2007/9

Legumes (N-fixers) identified as a particular O3-sensitive plant group

Hardly any field-based evidence: - little field-based research done - difficult to separate O3 impacts from impacts other drivers of change

Volk et al., 2006

Hayes et al., 2008

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Trends

Ozone flux and CLex.:

- No clear temporal trends- More damage in higher ozone years and in areas with highest flux and critical level exceedance (Hayes et al., 2007; Mills et al., 2010)

ICP VEGETATION 29th session WGE

Integrated science for our changing worldwww.ceh.ac.uk

Revision Gothenburg Protocol (GP)

26th session Executive Body (ECE/EB.AIR/96): Para 23c: ‘…. policies aiming only at health effects would not protect vegetation in large areas of Europe’.

Para. 23d: ‘Decided that …… O3 effects on vegetation be

incorporated in IAM, especially in work for the revision of the GP, and recommended that flux-based methods be used.’

Annex 1: CLs based on stomatal fluxes are considered more biologically relevant than those based on concentrations since they take into account the modifying effect of climate, soil and plant factors on the uptake of ozone by vegetation.