integrating enterprise performance (epm) and enterprise ...€¦ · title: closing note – risk...
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Integrating Enterprise Performance (EPM) and Enterprise Risk Management (ERM)
Gary Cokins, CPIMAnalytics-Based Performance Management LLCCary, North Carolina USAwww.garycokins.com 919 720 [email protected]
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
MetricStreamGRC SummitBaltimore, MarylandJune 6, 2018
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About Gary CokinsFounder, Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
B.S. Industrial Engineering & Operations Research; Cornell University, 1971
M.B.A. Finance & Accounting; Northwestern University, Kellogg Graduate School of Management, 1974
Previous Associations:- FMC Corporation - Consultant with: Deloitte,
KPMGElectronic Data Systems [EDS, now HP]
- SAS (16 years)Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Managers who have previously struggled at promoting the integration of enterprise risk management (ERM) and enterprise performance management (EPM) and integrating them into their decision support systems.
Who will benefit from this presentation?
Managers who intend to “champion” any or all EPM and ERM improvement techniques and need a compelling call to action.
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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AGENDA
§ Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) and GRC versus Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)
§ What is Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)?§ Three Categories of Risks§ Examples of ERM with EPM § ERM / EPM as Value Multipliers through Integration
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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ERM & GRC versus EPMERM & GRC EPMBrake Pedal
Risk RewardAudit, Control & Compliance Performance Improvement
Cost center Profit center
First line of defense First line of offense
• Preserve• Protect• Perform
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
Align with Mission
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Are risk managers supportive of long-term profit growth, or do they present obstacles that might stifle it?
Unfortunately this topic has had a dark edge. A report of The Economist Intelligence Unit is titled, “Fall guys: Risk management in the front line.” In the report, a risk manager claims he was fired for telling his company’s board of directors that the organization was taking on too much risk.
Did management want to ignore a red flag of caution to pursue higher profits? This involves whether strategy planners view risk managers as profit optimizers or detractors.
http://perspectives.eiu.com/strategy-leadership/fall-guys
Risk Managers: Friend or Foe of Executives?
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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AGENDA
§ Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) and GRC versus Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)
§ What is Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)?§ Three Categories of Risks§ Examples of ERM with EPM § ERM / EPM as Value Multipliers through Integration
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Confusion and Lack of Consensus about EPM
Is it human resources PM?
Is it alignment, such as strategic or resource allocation?
Is it process, productivity and quality improvement?
Is it scorecards, dashboards, KPIs and measures?
Or … is it all of the above? And even more?
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
The good news is this …..
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What has caused interest in EPM?
1 Executives frustrations with strategy failure.
2 Increased accountability.
3 More rapid decision making.
4 Mistrust of the managerial accounting system for transparency.
5 Poor customer value management
6 Contentious budgeting – poor resource capacity planning.
7 Dysfunctional supply chain management.
8 Unfulfilled ROI promises from IT systems – lack of integration.
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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What has caused interest in EPM?
1 Executives frustrations with strategy failure.
2 Increased accountability.
3 More rapid decision making.
4 Mistrust of the managerial accounting system for transparency.
5 Poor customer value management
6 Contentious budgeting – poor resource capacity planning.
7 Dysfunctional supply chain management.
8 Unfulfilled ROI promises from IT systems – lack of integration.
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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What is Analytics-based Performance Management?
Analytics-based Enterprise and Corporate Performance Management (EPM/CPM) is the integration of multiple methods with each embedded with business analytics, such as segmentation analysis, and especially predictive analytics … to achieve the strategy and to make better decisions.
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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AGENDA
§ Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) and GRC versus Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)
§ What is Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)?§ Three Categories of Risks§ Examples of ERM with EPM § ERM / EPM as Value Multipliers through Integration
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Three Categories of Risks
Preventable Risks – Unauthorized employee actions; breakdowns in standard operating procedures.
Strategy Execution and EPM Risks – Taken to execute the C-suite’s strategy to generate superior returns.
External Risks – From uncertain, uncontrollable external events that cannot easily be predicted or influenced.
Source: Robert S. KaplanAustrian Controllers ConferenceMarch 6, 2014 Vienna
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Preventable Risks (#1)Preventable Risks – Unauthorized employee actions; breakdowns in standard operating procedures.
Can be reduced by:
§ Communication of “Codes of Conduct” and mission and vision statements
§ Strong compliance practices (e.g., internal controls like “segregation of duties,” internal audit, standard operating procedures, whistle blowing promotion)
Source: Robert S. KaplanAustrian Controllers ConferenceMarch 6, 2014 Vienna
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Strategy and EPM Risks (#2)
Strategy Execution and EPM Risks – Taken to execute the C-suite’s strategy to generate superior returns.
Examples: credit risk, R&D programs, hazardous environments.
These types of risk cannot be reduced to zero. Their likelihood of occurring can be reduced or effectively contained should they occur.
Examples to follow. Source: Robert S. KaplanAustrian Controllers ConferenceMarch 6, 2014 Vienna
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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External Risks (#3)
External Risks – From uncertain, uncontrollable external events that cannot easily be predicted or influenced.
Managers often “don’t know that they don’t know.” Scenario exercises can identify risks.
If envisioned, however, risk mitigation actions can be taken:§ Build earthquake or flood-proof structures§ Backup data centers in distant locations§ Insurance, hedging, diversification
Source: Robert S. KaplanAustrian Controllers ConferenceMarch 6, 2014 Vienna
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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AGENDA
§ Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) and GRC versus Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)
§ What is Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)?§ Three Categories of Risks§ Examples of ERM with EPM § ERM / EPM as Value Multipliers through Integration
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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What has Caused Interest in EPM?
1) Failure by executives to execute their well-formulated strategy.
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Vision and Mission Statements
Vision& Mission
BalancedScorecard
StrategyMapping
A Vision statement answers “where do we want to go?
Strategy maps and scorecards answer, “How will we get there?”
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Vision& MissionExceed shareholder
expectations
Improve profitmargins
Increase salesvolume
Diversify incomestream
Increase sales toexisting customers
Diversify customer base
Test newproducts
Target profitablemarket segments
develop newproducts
Optimize internalprocesses
Attract newcustomers
Developemployee skills
Integratesystems
Learning, Innovation, & Growth
Internal Process
Customer
Financial
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
Risks can be identified for each strategic objective in the strategy map
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Vision& MissionExceed shareholder
expectations
Improve profitmargins
Increase salesvolume
Diversify incomestream
Increase sales toexisting customers
Diversify customer base
Test newproducts
Target profitablemarket segments
develop newproducts
Optimize internalprocesses
Attract newcustomers
Developemployee skills
Integratesystems
Learning & Growth
Internal Process
Customer
Financial
A learning environment
stimulates
Process excellence
Customer intimacy
Financial value
leads to
creating
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
Risks can be identified for each strategic objective in the strategy map
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Vision& Mission
Learning, Innovation, & Growth
Internal Process
Customer
Financial
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
Risks can be identified for each strategic objective in the strategy map
Macroeconomic factorsExchange rate fluctuationsPolitical environments
Competitor actionsConcentration of Revenues in too few customers
Dysfunctional organizational structureInadequate controls
Immigration regulationsObsolescence of technologies
and products
Examples
Source: Robert S. KaplanAustrian Controllers ConferenceMarch 6, 2014 Vienna
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KPIs(strategic context)
Must have
targets
PIs(operational)
With
targets
Without
targets
- Trends
- Upper / lower
thresholds
Project-based
KPIs
Process-based
KPIs
Scorecard(inter-related
measures with
cause-and-effect
correlations)
Dashboard(measures in isolation)
Budget &
Resource
Planning
StrategyDiagram Measurements
$ $
Frequency of reporting
quarterly
monthly
weekly
daily
hourly
real-time
Without
targets
Derived from - drill-down analysis
- alert messages
What is the difference between KPIs and PIs?
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Strategy Map Rapid Prototyping Workshop
Managers learn better by “doing”.
A fast start is a one day workshop using Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) on yellow Post-Its to quickly define the strategic objectives.
Crawl, walk, run, fly.
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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What has Caused Interest in EPM?
4) Mistrust of the managerial accounting system and its flawed cost allocations and misleading cost reporting of outputs, products, standard service-lines, channels, customers and outcomes.
5) The shift from being product-centric to customer centric.
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A simple explanation of ABC …that you can explain to yourspouse (or boss) tonight.
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#of
Activity-Based View
To: ABC Data Base
Key/scan claimsAnalyze claimsSuspend claimsReceive provider inquiries Resolve member problemsProcess batchesDetermine eligibilityMake copiesWrite correspondenceAttend training
Total
$ 31,500121,00032,500
101,50083,40045,000
119,000145,50077,100
158,000
$914,500
Claims Processing Dept
Salaries
Equipment
Travel expense
Supplies
Use andoccupancy
Total
$621,400
161,200
58,000
43,900
30,000
$914,500
$600,000
150,000
60,000
40,000
30,000
$880,000
$(21,400)
(11,200)
2,000
(3,900)
––
$(34,500)
PlanActualFavorable/
(unfavorable)
Claims Processing Department
Chart-of-Accounts View
From: General LedgerActivity
cost drivers
#of#of#of#of#of#of#of#of#of
Pro
duct
s / c
usto
mer
s
$914,500
Each Activity Has Its Own Cost Driver
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
When managers get this kind of report, they areeither happy or sad, but they are rarely any smarter!
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Multiple-Stage Cost Flowing
SimpleABC
ExpandedABC
Resources
Resources
Activities
Objects
Objects
Activities
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$ 30 sales- 28 expenses
= $ 2 profit
$ 2 profit
Unrealized profit revealed by ABC
Net Revenues
MinusABC costs =
profit
More important than a better costing method are its results.
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Value of Company = f(Value from Customers)
The only value a company will ever create is the valuethat comes from its customers – the current ones and the
new customers acquired in the future.
To remain competitive, one must determine how to keep customers longer, grow them into bigger customers, make
them more profitable, serve them more efficiently, and acquire relatively more profitable customers.
Source: Don Peppers and Martha Rogers, Peppers & Rogers Group (edited)
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Indirect expenses
Distribution
Sales, Marketing, General and admin (S,G&A)
Customer+
Direct material,Direct labor &
Equipment
Costs from Sales & Marketing are not Products
Channel+
Product
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CUSTOMER: XYZ CORPORATION (CUSTOMER #1270)Sales $$$ Margin $ Margin
(Sales - SCosts) % of SalesProduct-Related
Supplier-Related costs (TCO) $ xxx $ xxx 98%
Direct Material xxx xxx 50%Brand Sustaining xxx xxx 48%Product Sustaining xxx xxx 46%Unit, Batch* xxx xxx 30%
Distribution-RelatedOutbound Freight Type* xxx xxx 28%Order Type* xxx xxx 26%Channel Type* xxx xxx 24%
Customer-RelatedCustomer-Sustaining xxx xxx 22%Unit-Batch* xxx xxx 10%
Business Sustaining xxx xxx 8%Operating Profit xxx 8%
* Activity Cost Driver Assignments use measurable quantity volume of Activity Output(Other ActvityAssignments traced based on informed (subjective) %s)
Product-relatedcosts
Channel & Customer-relatedcosts
ABC Customer Profit & Loss Statement
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High
Low
Low HighCost-to-Serve
Product Mix Gross Profit
Margin
VeryProfitable
Veryunprofitable
Profita
ble
Unprofit
able
Types of Customers
Migrating Customers to Higher Profitability
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Rapid Prototyping withIterative Remodeling (crawl, walk, run, fly)
Each iteration enhances the use of the ABC system.
ABC Models
3
ABC System(repeatable, reliable, relevant)
#0
#1
#2
#3
210
Make your mistakes early and often, not later when the system is too hard to change.
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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What has Caused Interest in EPM?
6) Contentious Budgeting – The budget is typically a fiscal exercise by the accountants that is:
(1) disconnected from the executive team’s strategy and enterprise risk management mitigation, and
(2) not based on future driver volumes.
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Match the Budget Method to its Category
Recurringexpenses
Non-recurring
expenses
Demand-driven
Project-driven
IntegratedBudget
(RollingFinancial Forecasts)
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High
Low
Low High
Severity of impact onevent occurrence and
achievementof objectives
probability of an event occurring
Risk Assessment Grid for Budgeting
8
10 3
4
5
6
7
19
2
Do not budget
Budget
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Recurringexpenses
Non-recurringexpenses
Demand-driven
Project-driven
volume & mix of drivers
productionand
ABP/B
strategymap andrisk grid
IntegratedBudget
(rollingfinancial
forecasts)
Budget method
Strategic & risk mitigation projects
Match the Budget Method to its Category
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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AGENDA
§ Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) and GRC versus Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)
§ What is Enterprise Performance Management (EPM)?§ Three Categories of Risks§ Examples of ERM with EPM § ERM / EPM as Value Multipliers through Integration
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
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Organization Resources
(capacity)
Strategy,Mission
How Does It All Fit Together?
ERP, etc.CustomerSatisfaction
Scorecards,Dashboards
CRM
ROI
$Shareholders
Owners
SupplierInputs
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
Connecting customer value to shareholder value
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OrganizationResources
(capacity)
Strategy,Mission
In Summary … first, we energize with good managerial accounting.
ERP, etc.CustomerSatisfaction
Scorecards,Dashboards
CRM
ROI
$Shareholders
SupplierInputs
ManagerialAccounting;
Analytics
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OrganizationResources(capacity)
CRM
ROI
$
ERP, etc.
Risk Mgmt., Strategy map,
KPIs, KRIs
KPIScores
Feedback
Order fulfillment
Strategy,Mission
CustomerSatisfaction
EPM is Circulatory and Simultaneous
SupplierInputs
Scorecards,Dashboards
Targeting
needs
Shareholder Wealth Creation is not a goal. It is a result!
Risks should be assessed for each “arrow”
Shareholders
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OrganizationResources
(capacity)
CRM
ROI
$
ERP, etc.
Risk Mgmt., Strategy map,
KPIs
KPIScores
Feedback
Order fulfillment
Strategy,Mission
CustomerSatisfaction
Shareholders
CPM is Circulatory and Simultaneous
SupplierInputs
Scorecards,Dashboards
Targeting
leakage(waste)
wasted resources
needs
Less productivity reduces Shareholder Wealth
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
Shareholder Wealth Creation is not a goal. It is a result!
Risks should be assessed for each “arrow”
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The Complete Vision of Performance Management
Make the RPM of the EPM and BA gears spin …… better, faster, cheaper … safer and smarter
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From Theory to Practice
Your success depends on how well and how fast the right information and intelligence gets to the right people.
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Action steps§ Get educated. Get buy-in.§ Rapid prototyping. Start small; think big.§ Improve incentives. (Motivational theory)
Getting Started Actions and Resources
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC
Resources:http://www.epmchannel.com/2013/04/09/exceptional-epm-cpm-systems-are-an-exception/
https://opexsociety.org/body-of-knowledge/enterprise-corporate-performance-management/
http://www.garycokins.com/images/pdfs/Cokins%20AICPA%20JOA%20Promise%20Perils%20of%20ERM.pdf
A suggestion: Have your management team read either or both of these educational pieces. Then schedule a meeting for discussion. Have each manager answer, “What did I learn? What issues and concerns do I have about EPM?” This will stimulate needed conversations.
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Thank You
Gary Cokins, CPIMAnalytics-Based Performance Management LLC
Cary, North Carolina USA
www.garycokins.com
919 720 2718
Copyright 2018 www.garycokins.com Analytics-Based Performance Management LLC