investors january 2012
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Ross Stores, Inc.
Investor Overview
January 2012
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Disclosure of Risk FactorsForward-Looking Statements: This presentation as well as the press releases and the recordedcomments on our corporate website contain forward-looking statements regarding expected sales,earnings levels, and other financial results in future periods that are subject to risks and uncertaintieswhich could cause our actual results to differ materially from managements current expectations.
Risk factors for Ross Dress for Less(Ross) and dds DISCOUNTS include without limitation,
competitive pressures in the apparel or home-related merchandise industry; changes in the level ofconsumer spending on or preferences for apparel or home-related merchandise; the impact from themacro-economic environment and financial and credit markets including but not limited to interest rates,recession, inflation, deflation, energy costs, tax rates and policy, unemployment trends, and fluctuatingcommodity costs; changes in geopolitical and geoeconomic conditions; unseasonable weather trends;disruptions in supply chain; lower than planned gross margin, including higher than planned markdownsand higher than expected inventory shortage; greater than planned operating costs; our ability to
continue to purchase attractive brand-name merchandise at desirable discounts; our ability to attract andretain personnel with the retail talent necessary to execute our strategies; our ability to effectivelyoperate our various supply chain, core merchandising and other information systems; our ability toimprove our merchandising capabilities through the implementation of new processes and systemsenhancements; achieving and maintaining targeted levels of productivity and efficiency in our distributioncenters; and obtaining acceptable new store locations.
Other risk factors are set forth in our SEC filings including, without limitation, the Form 10-K for fiscal2010 and Form 10-Qs and 8-Ks for fiscal 2011. The factors underlying our forecasts are dynamic andsubject to change. As a result, our forecasts speak only as of the date they are given and do notnecessarily reflect our outlook at any other point in time. We do not undertake to update or revise theseforward-looking statements.
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Ross Stores, Inc. Overview
S&P 500, Fortune 500 and Nasdaq100 company with fiscal 2010revenues of $7.9 billion
Ross Dress for Lessis the largestoff-price apparel and home fashionchain in the U.S. with 1,038 storesin 29 states, the District of Columbiaand Guam*
Also operate 88 dds DISCOUNTS
in seven states*
Consistent long-term growth in bothsales and EPS
Fortune 500 Statistics Ranked #303 in 2010, up from
#316 in 2009
Ranked #20 out of 500 companiesin average total return tostockholders over ten years
$7.9
$7.2
$6.5
$6.0$5.6
$4.63
$3.54
$2.33
$1.90$1.70
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
$6.0
$7.0
$8.0
2006** 2007 2008 2009 2010
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
$5.50
Sales ($ billion) EPS
* Through 12/31/11.
** Fiscal 2006 was a 53 week year; all other fiscal years had 52 weeks.
EPSSales
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1,126 Stores in 29 States (as of 12/31/11)
ddsRossddsRossddsRossddsRoss
South Carolina
Pennsylvania
Oregon
Oklahoma
North Carolina
New Mexico
New JerseyNevada
881,038TOTAL206Montana244Georgia
2Wyoming375Mississippi12126Florida
1Washington DC26118Maryland1Delaware
37Washington1912Louisiana29Colorado
33Virginia3312Illinois48242California
15Utah89Idaho2Arkansas
19155Texas1013Hawaii455Arizona25Tennessee2241Guam18Alabama
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Delivering Bargains
Department store brands
Significant discounts off comparable prices Everyday low pricing
Wide assortment of styles and fashions(e.g. treasure hunt)
Constant flow of fresh merchandise
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Merchandise Mix*
Ladies
29%
Home Accents,
Bed and Bath
25%
Men's
13%
Accessories,
Lingerie, Fine
Jewelry,
Fragrances
12%
Shoes
12%
Children's
9%
* Fiscal 2010
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Key Value Drivers
Opportunistic buying supported by a large, experienced off-pricebuying organization
Hundreds of merchants sourcing product from thousands of
manufacturers and vendors
Broad market coverage and strong vendor relationshipsenhanced by strategic location of buying offices in New York Cityand Los Angeles
Effective management of inventory and liquidity
Planning and allocating at a more local vs. regional level
New tools and processes have strengthened our ability to get
the right item to the right store at the right time
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Typical Ross Customer
About 75-80% female, shopping forherself / other family members
Wide range of household incomes want a bargain vs. need abargain
Brands are important
Enjoys treasure hunt format andspending time shopping forbargains
Core customer averages about
three store visits a month
Demographic How We Reach Her
Marketing reflects the businessstrategy great brands at greatvalues every day!
Television is an effective mediumto reach customers with a strongvalue message
Creates and sustainsawareness
Encourages more frequentshopping
Cost effective vehicle
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Ross Store Prototype
Efficient, low-cost format
25,000 - 30,000 gross s.f. insuburban centers
Convenient self-service format
Strong co-tenancy
Visible and accessible retaillocations
Located in markets with a
large proportion of middleincome households
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dds DISCOUNTS
Concept launched in California inQ304
Stores located in California,Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia,Nevada and Maryland
Target customer is typicallyyounger and from households
with more moderate incomelevels than Ross
Assortments feature moremoderate brands and fashions for
the family and home at loweraverage price points than Ross
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dds DISCOUNTS Update
Continue to strengthen assortmentswith attractive and compelling valuesthat appeal to this budget-consciousshopper
Respectable sales gains in FY10 on topof exceedingly strong increases inFY09
Merchandise gross margin grewsignificantly in FY10 on top of record
levels in FY09
dds DISCOUNTS made a slightcontribution to total pre-tax earnings inFY10 before corporate expenseallocations
Accelerating growth in FY 2011 with 20new stores; continue to see potential forabout 500 locations over the long term
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Financial Results
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Flexible and Resilient Off-Price Model
Strong sales and EPS growth achieved over the past three yearsin one of the most challenging macro-economic and retailclimates
Benefiting from our ability to offer terrific bargains
Taking advantage of close-out opportunities in the marketplace
Operating the business with leaner in-store inventories Increases the percentage of fresh product in front of the customer
Promotes faster inventory turns to maximize merchandise gross
margin Reduces working capital needs
Diligently managing expenses across the Company
Remain very focused on efficient execution of our strategies,
which is always the key to maximizing our prospects for sales andearnings growth in any type of economic or retail climate
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Off-Price Retailers Gain Market Share
Off-price was one of the best performing retail sectors in 2009 and2010: Total aggregate sales for five of the largest off-price retailers in the U.S.
increased 8% during 2010 on top of a 7% increase in 2009
This compares to total national apparel sales which increased 2%during 2010 compared to a 5% decrease in 2009, according to datapublished by the NPD Group, Inc.
Our top priority is ensuring access to terrific brands at greateveryday low prices
Reflected in ongoing investments in our merchant organization Our highly skilled merchants purchase product from thousands of
vendors and manufacturers enabling consistent access to quality namebrand bargains that our customers value
Believe consumers will continue to seek out bargains
More value-focused shopping behavior is enabling Ross anddds DISCOUNTS to gain new customers
Also capturing market share from retailers who have gone out ofbusiness
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FY 2010 sales increased 9% to $7.9 billion, with comparable storesales up 5% on top of a 6% gain in 2009
Added 50 net new locations in FY 2010
FY 2010 EBIT rose to a record 11.5%, up 140 bps on top of a250 bps gain in FY 2009
Earnings per share increased to $4.63 up a robust 31% on top of a52% gain in 2009
Exceeded sales targets with leaner inventories, realizing significantlyfaster turns which resulted in much lower markdowns as a percent ofsales
Key factors contributing to improved profitability were much highermerchandise gross margin, lower shortage costs, and leverage onoperating expenses from the solid gain in same store sales
Fiscal 2010 Results
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Sales increased 9% to $6.2 billion, with comparable store sales up 5% ontop of a 6% gain last year
Top performing merchandise categories were Dresses and Shoes
Strongest markets were Florida and Texas
Added a net 71 locations in the first nine months including 12 Chicago-areastores that opened in early October which marked our entry into theMidwest. Ended the period with 1,038 Ross and 88 dds DISCOUNTSstores
First nine months EPS increased 24% to $4.03, which was on top of
outstanding gains of 36% and 52% in 2010 and 2009, respectively Operating margin improved about 85 bps to 12.1% (on top of 170 bp and 240 bp
increases in 2010 and 2009, respectively)
Gross margin grew 45 bps as higher merchandise gross margin and loweroccupancy and buying and incentive costs as a percent of sales were partially
offset by higher freight and distribution expenses SG&A as a percent of sales declined 40 bps due to leverage on both store and
corporate expenses from the 5% gain in same store sales
First Nine Months 2011 Results
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Fiscal 2011 Guidance (As of January 5, 2012)*
Q4 2011 earnings per share projected to be $.82-.83, up 19% to
20% over last year
Reflects solid growth on top of 18% and 53% gains in the prior two
years
Q4 2011 benefiting from above-plan sales and favorable gross margin
trends for the first two months of the quarter
Same store sales up 5% and 9% in November and December,
respectively, on top of 2010 growth of 6% and 4%, respectively
Implied fiscal 2011 earnings per share of $2.83-2.84, up
approximately 23% on top of 31% and 52% gains in the prior two
years
Continue to forecast a 1% to 2% increase in January same storesales
* All per share figures reflect the two-for-one stock split paid on 12/15/11.
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Targeting Sustainable Profit Margins
Believe current levels of annual profitability are sustainable over the longerterm
Record levels of merchandise gross margin have been driven by betterbuying and faster inventory turns from our sizeable reduction of selling store
inventories over the past few years Continue to invest in buying organization to maximize access to best bargains
available in the marketplace
Selling store inventories are approximately 40% lower than five years ago
Ongoing focus on tight inventory management allows us to increase the
percentage of fresh receipts customers see when shopping our stores as well asdrive faster inventory turns to maximize merchandise gross margin
Successful implementation of our shortage control initiatives have contributedto higher profit margins as we realized record low levels of shortage in 2011which we believe are sustainable going forward
Numerous productivity enhancements and efficiencies throughout theCompany have driven down costs in our distribution centers, storesorganization and back office functions
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Higher Levels of Cash Returned to Stockholders
In November 11, Board of Directorsapproved a two-for-one stock split whichreflects our ongoing confidence in theCompanys future growth prospects andcontinued commitment to enhancingstockholder value
In February 11, announced new two-year$900 million stock repurchase program for2011 and 2012
Replaced $375 million remaining under priorprogram
Repurchased 4.5 million shares for $343million in the first nine months of fiscal 2011
Company has repurchased shares in line withplan every year since 1993
Increased quarterly cash dividend to $.22per share ($.11 post split) in January 2011,for a 38% increase on top of 45% growth inthe prior year (17th consecutive annualincrease)
Combination of existing cash balances,ongoing cash generation, and current creditfacilities gives Ross plenty of flexibility forboth the short- and long-term
241
350 355
550
452
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F
Share Repurchases Dividends
Share repurchases anddividend payments
($ millions)
2011 is forecasted.
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Capital Expenditures
FY 2011 capital expenditures now projected to be approximately $400-$425 millioncompared to our prior estimate of about $375-425 million.
The increase is due to a timing shift of certain corporate- and store-related capitalprojects from 2012 to 2011 and our decision to acquire certain buildings in 2011.
We expect to fund these expenditures with available cash and cash flows from
operations.
2010 Actual 2011 Forecast
New Stores $ 76 million $ 110-115 million
Existing Stores 63 million 115-130 million
Distribution 34 million 90 million
IT / Other G&A 26 million 85-90 million
Total $ 199 million $ 400-425 million
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Investment Highlights
Favorably positioned as a leader in the off-price industry, whichcontinues to gain market share
Ross Dress for Less is the largest off-price apparel and home fashionchain in the U.S. with 1,038 locations in 29 states, the District ofColumbia and Guam
Proven strategies have driven growth for almost 30 years
Strong balance sheet with minimal debt and high returns
Consistent generation of excess cash that is returned to stockholders
Core focus on delivering competitive bargains continues to resonatewith todays value-driven consumer
Ongoing efficient execution of our off-price strategies is expected to:
Enhance ability to manage through any type of economic or retailclimate
Maximize prospects for sales and earnings growth
Optimize stockholder returns over both the short- and long-term