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  • 8/3/2019 Investors January 2012

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    Ross Stores, Inc.

    Investor Overview

    January 2012

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    2January 2012

    Disclosure of Risk FactorsForward-Looking Statements: This presentation as well as the press releases and the recordedcomments on our corporate website contain forward-looking statements regarding expected sales,earnings levels, and other financial results in future periods that are subject to risks and uncertaintieswhich could cause our actual results to differ materially from managements current expectations.

    Risk factors for Ross Dress for Less(Ross) and dds DISCOUNTS include without limitation,

    competitive pressures in the apparel or home-related merchandise industry; changes in the level ofconsumer spending on or preferences for apparel or home-related merchandise; the impact from themacro-economic environment and financial and credit markets including but not limited to interest rates,recession, inflation, deflation, energy costs, tax rates and policy, unemployment trends, and fluctuatingcommodity costs; changes in geopolitical and geoeconomic conditions; unseasonable weather trends;disruptions in supply chain; lower than planned gross margin, including higher than planned markdownsand higher than expected inventory shortage; greater than planned operating costs; our ability to

    continue to purchase attractive brand-name merchandise at desirable discounts; our ability to attract andretain personnel with the retail talent necessary to execute our strategies; our ability to effectivelyoperate our various supply chain, core merchandising and other information systems; our ability toimprove our merchandising capabilities through the implementation of new processes and systemsenhancements; achieving and maintaining targeted levels of productivity and efficiency in our distributioncenters; and obtaining acceptable new store locations.

    Other risk factors are set forth in our SEC filings including, without limitation, the Form 10-K for fiscal2010 and Form 10-Qs and 8-Ks for fiscal 2011. The factors underlying our forecasts are dynamic andsubject to change. As a result, our forecasts speak only as of the date they are given and do notnecessarily reflect our outlook at any other point in time. We do not undertake to update or revise theseforward-looking statements.

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    3January 2012

    Ross Stores, Inc. Overview

    S&P 500, Fortune 500 and Nasdaq100 company with fiscal 2010revenues of $7.9 billion

    Ross Dress for Lessis the largestoff-price apparel and home fashionchain in the U.S. with 1,038 storesin 29 states, the District of Columbiaand Guam*

    Also operate 88 dds DISCOUNTS

    in seven states*

    Consistent long-term growth in bothsales and EPS

    Fortune 500 Statistics Ranked #303 in 2010, up from

    #316 in 2009

    Ranked #20 out of 500 companiesin average total return tostockholders over ten years

    $7.9

    $7.2

    $6.5

    $6.0$5.6

    $4.63

    $3.54

    $2.33

    $1.90$1.70

    $1.0

    $2.0

    $3.0

    $4.0

    $5.0

    $6.0

    $7.0

    $8.0

    2006** 2007 2008 2009 2010

    $0.50

    $1.00

    $1.50

    $2.00

    $2.50

    $3.00

    $3.50

    $4.00

    $4.50

    $5.00

    $5.50

    Sales ($ billion) EPS

    * Through 12/31/11.

    ** Fiscal 2006 was a 53 week year; all other fiscal years had 52 weeks.

    EPSSales

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    4January 2012

    1,126 Stores in 29 States (as of 12/31/11)

    ddsRossddsRossddsRossddsRoss

    South Carolina

    Pennsylvania

    Oregon

    Oklahoma

    North Carolina

    New Mexico

    New JerseyNevada

    881,038TOTAL206Montana244Georgia

    2Wyoming375Mississippi12126Florida

    1Washington DC26118Maryland1Delaware

    37Washington1912Louisiana29Colorado

    33Virginia3312Illinois48242California

    15Utah89Idaho2Arkansas

    19155Texas1013Hawaii455Arizona25Tennessee2241Guam18Alabama

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    5January 2012

    Delivering Bargains

    Department store brands

    Significant discounts off comparable prices Everyday low pricing

    Wide assortment of styles and fashions(e.g. treasure hunt)

    Constant flow of fresh merchandise

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    6January 2012

    Merchandise Mix*

    Ladies

    29%

    Home Accents,

    Bed and Bath

    25%

    Men's

    13%

    Accessories,

    Lingerie, Fine

    Jewelry,

    Fragrances

    12%

    Shoes

    12%

    Children's

    9%

    * Fiscal 2010

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    7January 2012

    Key Value Drivers

    Opportunistic buying supported by a large, experienced off-pricebuying organization

    Hundreds of merchants sourcing product from thousands of

    manufacturers and vendors

    Broad market coverage and strong vendor relationshipsenhanced by strategic location of buying offices in New York Cityand Los Angeles

    Effective management of inventory and liquidity

    Planning and allocating at a more local vs. regional level

    New tools and processes have strengthened our ability to get

    the right item to the right store at the right time

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    8January 2012

    Typical Ross Customer

    About 75-80% female, shopping forherself / other family members

    Wide range of household incomes want a bargain vs. need abargain

    Brands are important

    Enjoys treasure hunt format andspending time shopping forbargains

    Core customer averages about

    three store visits a month

    Demographic How We Reach Her

    Marketing reflects the businessstrategy great brands at greatvalues every day!

    Television is an effective mediumto reach customers with a strongvalue message

    Creates and sustainsawareness

    Encourages more frequentshopping

    Cost effective vehicle

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    9January 2012

    Ross Store Prototype

    Efficient, low-cost format

    25,000 - 30,000 gross s.f. insuburban centers

    Convenient self-service format

    Strong co-tenancy

    Visible and accessible retaillocations

    Located in markets with a

    large proportion of middleincome households

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    10January 2012

    dds DISCOUNTS

    Concept launched in California inQ304

    Stores located in California,Texas, Florida, Arizona, Georgia,Nevada and Maryland

    Target customer is typicallyyounger and from households

    with more moderate incomelevels than Ross

    Assortments feature moremoderate brands and fashions for

    the family and home at loweraverage price points than Ross

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    11January 2012

    dds DISCOUNTS Update

    Continue to strengthen assortmentswith attractive and compelling valuesthat appeal to this budget-consciousshopper

    Respectable sales gains in FY10 on topof exceedingly strong increases inFY09

    Merchandise gross margin grewsignificantly in FY10 on top of record

    levels in FY09

    dds DISCOUNTS made a slightcontribution to total pre-tax earnings inFY10 before corporate expenseallocations

    Accelerating growth in FY 2011 with 20new stores; continue to see potential forabout 500 locations over the long term

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    12January 2012

    Financial Results

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    13January 2012

    Flexible and Resilient Off-Price Model

    Strong sales and EPS growth achieved over the past three yearsin one of the most challenging macro-economic and retailclimates

    Benefiting from our ability to offer terrific bargains

    Taking advantage of close-out opportunities in the marketplace

    Operating the business with leaner in-store inventories Increases the percentage of fresh product in front of the customer

    Promotes faster inventory turns to maximize merchandise gross

    margin Reduces working capital needs

    Diligently managing expenses across the Company

    Remain very focused on efficient execution of our strategies,

    which is always the key to maximizing our prospects for sales andearnings growth in any type of economic or retail climate

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    14January 2012

    Off-Price Retailers Gain Market Share

    Off-price was one of the best performing retail sectors in 2009 and2010: Total aggregate sales for five of the largest off-price retailers in the U.S.

    increased 8% during 2010 on top of a 7% increase in 2009

    This compares to total national apparel sales which increased 2%during 2010 compared to a 5% decrease in 2009, according to datapublished by the NPD Group, Inc.

    Our top priority is ensuring access to terrific brands at greateveryday low prices

    Reflected in ongoing investments in our merchant organization Our highly skilled merchants purchase product from thousands of

    vendors and manufacturers enabling consistent access to quality namebrand bargains that our customers value

    Believe consumers will continue to seek out bargains

    More value-focused shopping behavior is enabling Ross anddds DISCOUNTS to gain new customers

    Also capturing market share from retailers who have gone out ofbusiness

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    15January 2012

    FY 2010 sales increased 9% to $7.9 billion, with comparable storesales up 5% on top of a 6% gain in 2009

    Added 50 net new locations in FY 2010

    FY 2010 EBIT rose to a record 11.5%, up 140 bps on top of a250 bps gain in FY 2009

    Earnings per share increased to $4.63 up a robust 31% on top of a52% gain in 2009

    Exceeded sales targets with leaner inventories, realizing significantlyfaster turns which resulted in much lower markdowns as a percent ofsales

    Key factors contributing to improved profitability were much highermerchandise gross margin, lower shortage costs, and leverage onoperating expenses from the solid gain in same store sales

    Fiscal 2010 Results

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    16January 2012

    Sales increased 9% to $6.2 billion, with comparable store sales up 5% ontop of a 6% gain last year

    Top performing merchandise categories were Dresses and Shoes

    Strongest markets were Florida and Texas

    Added a net 71 locations in the first nine months including 12 Chicago-areastores that opened in early October which marked our entry into theMidwest. Ended the period with 1,038 Ross and 88 dds DISCOUNTSstores

    First nine months EPS increased 24% to $4.03, which was on top of

    outstanding gains of 36% and 52% in 2010 and 2009, respectively Operating margin improved about 85 bps to 12.1% (on top of 170 bp and 240 bp

    increases in 2010 and 2009, respectively)

    Gross margin grew 45 bps as higher merchandise gross margin and loweroccupancy and buying and incentive costs as a percent of sales were partially

    offset by higher freight and distribution expenses SG&A as a percent of sales declined 40 bps due to leverage on both store and

    corporate expenses from the 5% gain in same store sales

    First Nine Months 2011 Results

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    17January 2012

    Fiscal 2011 Guidance (As of January 5, 2012)*

    Q4 2011 earnings per share projected to be $.82-.83, up 19% to

    20% over last year

    Reflects solid growth on top of 18% and 53% gains in the prior two

    years

    Q4 2011 benefiting from above-plan sales and favorable gross margin

    trends for the first two months of the quarter

    Same store sales up 5% and 9% in November and December,

    respectively, on top of 2010 growth of 6% and 4%, respectively

    Implied fiscal 2011 earnings per share of $2.83-2.84, up

    approximately 23% on top of 31% and 52% gains in the prior two

    years

    Continue to forecast a 1% to 2% increase in January same storesales

    * All per share figures reflect the two-for-one stock split paid on 12/15/11.

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    18January 2012

    Targeting Sustainable Profit Margins

    Believe current levels of annual profitability are sustainable over the longerterm

    Record levels of merchandise gross margin have been driven by betterbuying and faster inventory turns from our sizeable reduction of selling store

    inventories over the past few years Continue to invest in buying organization to maximize access to best bargains

    available in the marketplace

    Selling store inventories are approximately 40% lower than five years ago

    Ongoing focus on tight inventory management allows us to increase the

    percentage of fresh receipts customers see when shopping our stores as well asdrive faster inventory turns to maximize merchandise gross margin

    Successful implementation of our shortage control initiatives have contributedto higher profit margins as we realized record low levels of shortage in 2011which we believe are sustainable going forward

    Numerous productivity enhancements and efficiencies throughout theCompany have driven down costs in our distribution centers, storesorganization and back office functions

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    19January 2012

    Higher Levels of Cash Returned to Stockholders

    In November 11, Board of Directorsapproved a two-for-one stock split whichreflects our ongoing confidence in theCompanys future growth prospects andcontinued commitment to enhancingstockholder value

    In February 11, announced new two-year$900 million stock repurchase program for2011 and 2012

    Replaced $375 million remaining under priorprogram

    Repurchased 4.5 million shares for $343million in the first nine months of fiscal 2011

    Company has repurchased shares in line withplan every year since 1993

    Increased quarterly cash dividend to $.22per share ($.11 post split) in January 2011,for a 38% increase on top of 45% growth inthe prior year (17th consecutive annualincrease)

    Combination of existing cash balances,ongoing cash generation, and current creditfacilities gives Ross plenty of flexibility forboth the short- and long-term

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    0

    100

    200

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    400

    500

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    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F

    Share Repurchases Dividends

    Share repurchases anddividend payments

    ($ millions)

    2011 is forecasted.

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    20January 2012

    Capital Expenditures

    FY 2011 capital expenditures now projected to be approximately $400-$425 millioncompared to our prior estimate of about $375-425 million.

    The increase is due to a timing shift of certain corporate- and store-related capitalprojects from 2012 to 2011 and our decision to acquire certain buildings in 2011.

    We expect to fund these expenditures with available cash and cash flows from

    operations.

    2010 Actual 2011 Forecast

    New Stores $ 76 million $ 110-115 million

    Existing Stores 63 million 115-130 million

    Distribution 34 million 90 million

    IT / Other G&A 26 million 85-90 million

    Total $ 199 million $ 400-425 million

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    21January 2012

    Investment Highlights

    Favorably positioned as a leader in the off-price industry, whichcontinues to gain market share

    Ross Dress for Less is the largest off-price apparel and home fashionchain in the U.S. with 1,038 locations in 29 states, the District ofColumbia and Guam

    Proven strategies have driven growth for almost 30 years

    Strong balance sheet with minimal debt and high returns

    Consistent generation of excess cash that is returned to stockholders

    Core focus on delivering competitive bargains continues to resonatewith todays value-driven consumer

    Ongoing efficient execution of our off-price strategies is expected to:

    Enhance ability to manage through any type of economic or retailclimate

    Maximize prospects for sales and earnings growth

    Optimize stockholder returns over both the short- and long-term