ispim future agenda - six key challenges and major innovation opportunities - porto - 20 06 16
TRANSCRIPT
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SixKeyChallengesfortheNextDecadeSixMajorInnova-onOpportuni-esISPIM|Porto|20June2016 Theworld’sleadingopenforesightprogram
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ThisTalkCoversThreeTopics
SixKeyChallengesfortheNextDecadeTheWorldin2025–SomeInsightsfrom120DiscussionsSixMajorInnovaHonOpportuniHes
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SixKeyChallengesforTheNextDecade
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FuturePeopleWithanincreasinglyunequalandageingpopula-on
inmanycountries,howwillwegeneratethewealthtofairlyrebalancesocietyandaffordbeJercareprovision?
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FuturePlaceAstheshiMtourbanlivingputspressureontheinfrastructure,
howdowecreatelas-ngci-esthatdeliverbeJerqualityoflifeandalsosupportruralcommuni-es?
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FuturePowerWithWesterngovernmentscedinginfluencetoci-esandnetworks
atthesame-measAsiaandAfricaassertgreaterauthority,howwillgloballeadershipbedefined?
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FutureBeliefInaworldofchangingpriori-esandshiMingloyal-es,whoandwhatwillsetthevaluesandnormsbywhich
wechoosetoliveourlivestogreaterbenefit?
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FutureBehaviourAsmoreofusrecognisethecoreissuesandconstraintsforthefuture,howdoweadoptmoreefficientaRtudesandchangeourbehaviourtoprotectwhatmaJers?
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FutureBusinessBy2025,organisa-onsdrivensolelybyprofitwillnotbesustainable.
Howwilltheyevolvetoaddressnewchallenges,developopportuni-esandcontributetosociety?
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TheWorldin2025|InsightsfromMul-pleExpertDiscussions
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FutureAgendaTheFutureAgendaistheworld’slargestopenforesightprogram
thataccessesmul-pleviewsofthenextdecadesowecanallbebeJerinformedands-mulateinnova-on.
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FutureAgenda2.0TopicsThesecondversionoftheFutureAgendaprogramtookplace
during2015andhasbeenaddressing24topicsvia120eventsin45ci-esin35countriesinpartnershipwith50corehosts.
Ci-es
Educa-on
Learning
Transport
Collabora-on
Energy
Loyalty
Travel
Company
Faith
Payments
Water
Connec-vity
Food
Privacy
Wealth
Currency
Government
Resources
Work
Ageing
Data
Health
Trade
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FutureAgendainNumbersThefirstFutureAgendaprogrammeengagedawiderangeofviewsin
25countries.FutureAgenda2.0hasdoubledtheface-to-faceinterac-onandsignificantlyraisedonlinesharing,debateanddiscussion.
FutureAgenda1.01HOST16TOPICS25COUNTRIES50WORKSHOPS1500ORGANISATIONS
FutureAgenda2.050HOSTS24TOPICS35COUNTRIES120WORKSHOPS5000ORGANISATIONS
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EverythingConnectedOver1trillionsensorsareconnectedtomul-plenetworks:everythingthatcanbenefitfromaconnec-onhasone.Wedeliver10,000xmoredata100xmoreeffec-velybutareconcernedaboutthesecurityoftheinforma-onthatflows.
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ImbalancedPopulaHonGrowthAgrowingpopula-onaddsanotherbillionpeoplebutitisalsorapidlyageing:achildbornnextyearwilllive6monthslongerthanoneborntoday.Whilemigra-onhelpstorebalance,increasingdependencyra-oschallengemany.
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ShiWingPowerandInfluenceThecentreofgravityofeconomicpowercon-nuesshiMingeastwards,backtowhereitwas200yearsago.Recentsuperpowersseektomoderatethepaceofchangebutthereali-esofpopula-onandresourceloca-onsareimmoveable.
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AffordableHealthcareTheescala-ngcostofhealthcareisfurtherstressedbytheneedtosupporttheoldandthechronicallyill.Spending20%ofGDPonhealthcareisseenasunsustainablesoharddecisionsaretakenaroundbudgetsandpriori-es.
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AutonomousVehiclesTheshiMtofullyautonomoustransportisanevolu-onviatruckplatoonsonhighwaysandsmallurbandeliverypods.Connectedcarscreatethenetworkandtestthetechnologiesfortheeventualrevolu-onarydriverlessexperience.
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AirQualityRisingairpollu-oninmanyci-esiskillingpeopleandbecomesavisiblecatalystforchangingmind-setsandpoliciesacross
health,energy,transporta-onandurbandesign.
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IntraCityCollaboraHonIncreasingcompe--onbetweenci-esoverridesna-onalboundariesanddrives
change.TheycompetetoaJractthebestbutalsocollaboratetoavoidthedownsideofsuccess–over-crowding,under-resourcingandpollu-on.
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TheValueofDataAsorganisa-onstrytoretainasmuchinforma-onabouttheircustomersaspossible,databecomesacurrencywithavalueandaprice.Ittherefore
requiresamarketplacewhereanythingthatisinforma-onisrepresented.
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TheChangingNatureofPrivacyAsprivacyisapublicissue,moreinterna-onalframeworksseektogoverntheInternet,protectthevulnerableandsecurepersonaldata:Thebalancebetween
protec-on,security,privacyandpublicgoodisincreasinglypoli-cal.
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AccesstoTransportThewidespreadneedforindividualstotravelshortdistancesbecomesakeyfeatureofurbandesignandregenera-on.Plannersusetransport
infrastructuretoinfluencesocialchangeandlowercarbonliving.
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AcceleraHngDisplacementClimatechange,conflict,resourceshortages,inequalityandpoli-calelitesunableorunwillingtobringaboutnecessarychangealltriggerunprecedentedmigra-ontotheNorth.Overthenext50years,asmanyas1billionpeoplecouldbeonthemove.
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CiHzen-CentricCiHesSuccessfulci-eswillbedesignedaroundtheneedsanddesiresofincreasinglyempoweredandenabledci-zens-whoareexpec-ngpersonalizedservicesfromtheorganisa-onsthatservethem.
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PlasHcOceansThereareincreasinghighlevelsofman-madepollu-oninmanyoftheworld’sseasandliJleactuallydisappears.
By2050therewillbemoreplas-cthanfishintheworld’soceans.
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SomeHmesNomadsElec-vemigra-on,cheaptravel,interna-onalknowledgesharingand
increasinglytransientworkingmodelscreateconnectednomadswhomixthetradi-onsofhomewiththevaluesandcustomsoftheirhostloca-on.
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WorkingLongerPeoplearehavingtoworkforlongertosupportlongerre-rements.
Flexibleworkingprac-cesandpoliciesareemerging,butsomeemployerscon-nuetoremainambivalentaboutolderworkers.
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AfricaGrowthWithalandmassbiggerthanIndia,China,theUSandEuropecombined,fewdoubtthescaleoftheAfricancon-nentanditsresources.However,un-l
recently,onlysomehaveseenitasthegrowthmarketthatitisfastbecoming.
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Eco-CivilisaHonOverthepast40yearsChinahasgrownapace,mostlywithoutconcernfor
long-termenvironmentalimpacts.However,nowfacedwithmajorchallenges,abrightlightofsustainabledevelopmentisemerging.
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DigitalMoneyCashcon-nuestobegraduallyreplacedbydigitalmoney,providing
consumerswithmoreconvenienceandchoice–andorganisa-onswithlowercosttransac-ons.Wideradop-onenablesnewofferstoproliferate.
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SpeedtoScaleGreaterglobalconnec-vity,growingconsumerwealthandbroaderreachallcombinetoacceleratethe-meto1bncustomersanda$10bnvalua-onforstart-upsandnewcorporateventuresalike.
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SixMajorInnovaHonOpportuniHes
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FoodWaste30-50%ofourfoodiswastedeitherinthesupplychainorinconsump-onandcouldfeedanother3billion.Op-misingdistribu-onandstorageindevelopingcountriesandenablingbeJerconsumerinforma-oninotherscouldsolvethis.
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BasicSanitaHonPoorsanita-oncon-nuestoimpactpublichealthandrestrictsocialprogress,
par-cularlyforwomen.Governmentsanddonororganisa-onspriori-semeasurement,educa-onandinnova-oninabidtodrivechange.
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EducaHonRevoluHonBroaderaccesstoimprovededuca-onactsasamajorcatalystfor
empowerment,sustainedeconomicgrowth,overcominginequalityandreducingconflict.Weneedaneduca-onsystemfitforthedigitalrevolu-on.
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ADataMarketplaceDataisacurrency,ithasavalueandaprice,andthereforerequiresamarketplace.Anecosystemfortradingdataisemergingandanything
thatisinforma-onisrepresentedinanewdatamarketplace.
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EthicalMachinesAutoma-onspreadsbeyondtradingandmanagingsystemicrisk.Asweapproachtechnologysingularity,autonomousrobotsand
smarteralgorithmsmakeethicaljudgmentsthatimpactlifeordeath.
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DeeperCollaboraHonPartnershipsshiMtobecomemoredynamic,long-term,democra-sed,
mul--partycollabora-ons.Compe-toralliancesandwiderpublicpar-cipa-ondriveregulatorstocreatenewlegalframeworksforopen,empathe-ccollabora-on.
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MoreInformaHonandInsights
www.futureagenda.org hJp://tmiltd.com/products/future-agendahJp://www.slideshare.net/futureagenda2
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