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Ivory Trafficking as a Tool for Fueling Conflict in sub-Saharan Africa Gregory Yigitkurt, MA Innovative Research in Conflict Analysis NYU IR MA Program Summer 2015

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Page 1: Ivory Trafficking as a Tool for Fueling Conflict in sub-Saharan Africaas.nyu.edu/.../ir/documents/ArticleGYSummer2015IRCAFinal.pdf · 2020-06-11 · 1 Introduction The ivory trade

Ivory Trafficking as a Tool for Fueling Conflict in sub-Saharan Africa

Gregory Yigitkurt, MA

Innovative Research in Conflict Analysis NYU IR MA Program

Summer 2015

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Introduction

The ivory trade was established over a thousand years ago and remains a lucrative industry.

Elephant tusks and rhino horn are the most commonly desired forms of ivory, and demand is

driven by several industries. In addition to its ornamental use, ivory is believed to have healing

properties in some cultures (pbs.org, 2010). Countries such as China and India utilize ivory to

cure a variety of ailments, such as snakebites, typhoid and food poisoning. However, the most

prominent reason ivory is obtained in the present day is its social significance. Similar to the

lasting demand for diamonds, ivory is prized as a cultural symbol amongst several populations,

most notably those in sub-Saharan African countries and China, for aesthetic elegance and level

of scarcity. According to The New York Times reporter Jeffrey Gettleman, 70 percent of illegal

ivory is shipped to China, valued at around $1,000 per pound (theatlantic.com, 2012).

Unfortunately, ivory is commonly obtained through illegal poaching. The increasing

demand from international markets has spurred on poachers, who frequently cooperate with

domestic militant groups. Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab, two primary examples, were reported to

be obtaining a significant share of their funding through the selling and purchasing of the

commodity. This finance has aided these militant groups in carrying out several terrorist

activities, and fueling conflict in the process. In January 2014, the United Nations (UN) Security

Council adopted two resolutions that stated trade in illegal wildlife fueled conflicts in the Central

African Republic (CAR) and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) (businessinsider.com,

2014). By examining the history of ivory trafficking and analyzing the activities and terrorism

typology of sub-Saharan militant groups, effective intervention and prevention strategies can be

achieved to mitigate the growth of such a trade, disband militant groups, and ultimately

contribute to reducing conflict in the region.

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History of Ivory Trafficking

In 1975, the first attempt was made at curtailing the ivory trade, with the advent of the

Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES).

Although the hunt for ivory through poaching existed long before the 1970s, the frequency of the

activity had increased due to greater access to automatic weapons (Raffalovich, p. 2). The ivory

market was estimated to be $50-$60 million annually. CITES placed elephants under Appendix

II species, which signified that species not under the threat of extinction were at risk of being

endangered (UKessays.com). However, the efforts by CITES to increase regulation on the ivory

trade failed with the increase in poaching activity, and in 1989, CITES revised the placement of

elephants in its regulation, and placed the animal under Appendix I species. This Appendix is

reserved for species threatened by extinction, thus making it illegal to kill elephants and engage

in the ivory trade. Ivory trade declined soon after; for instance, the amount of poached elephants

in Kenya dropped from 3,500 in the 1980s to 500 in 1993. In 2000, CITES attempted to frame a

system of controlled trading in order to understand the connection between the sale of stockpiled

ivory and the demand for ivory (savetheelephants.org). A one-time time sale was allowed for 54

tons of stockpiled South African ivory to Japan. Unfortunately, the results were inconclusive in

determining if legal ivory increased demand. In 2008, CITES granted another one-time sale of

120 tons of ivory from four African countries to China and Japan with an attempt to overwhelm

the market and undercut the commodity’s price. This tactic didn't work as it resulted in 84

percent of the Chinese population desiring to purchase ivory. In 2011, authorities in Africa

seized over 23 tons of illegal ivory, which is the equivalent of 2,500 individual elephants

(e360.yale.edu). This is believed to be the largest seizure of ivory since the initial ban that was

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placed in 1989, and factored into the UN adopting two resolutions in 2014 that declared the trade

as fueling conflict.

Militant Group Financing

Illegal trading process

The increased demand and access to ivory in recent years, and a greater presence of Asians on

the ground in Africa has led to the involvement of transnational criminal syndicates. In June

2002, two tons of illegal ivory was found on a cargo ship in Singapore (Gossmann 2005, p. 5).

This totaled 532 elephant tusks. The seizure, which was obtained in transit, was believed to be

one of 19 shipments, and similar seizures in Hong Kong and Taipei in 2006 suggest an organized

approach rather than isolated incidents. Such strategic maneuvering can only be accomplished

through large criminal organizations.

In the early 1990s, countries like China experienced a surge in economic development,

which resulted in a growing affluent population. This development carried over to African

countries where business investments were carried out through the region, including projects

encompassing timber, road-building, mining, and oil exploitation (Gossmann 2005, p. 4). Several

of these projects had a close proximity to sources of ivory granting opportunities for illegal

activities to be established, and the development of plans to transport the commodity into Asian

markets.

The success in transporting large quantities of ivory have been aided by the prevalence of

corruption amongst law enforcement, and the backing of internationally connected criminal

syndicates. The illegal trafficking of this criminal enterprise contracts poachers to obtain the

ivory, which is then transported by land to a selected port. The journey typically involves

crossing several borders in order to disguise the origin of shipment in case of a seizure. Once the

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ivory is loaded into shipping containers, it’s disguised within cargo containing materials such as

the timber or grains from local projects. Countries with poor infrastructure and inadequate

wildlife ministries, such as the DRC, are prime sources for illegally obtaining ivory. In 2009, 35

kilograms of ivory was obtained near Kampala that had originated from the DRC (Gossmann

2005, p. 10).

There is a strong relationship between regional conflict and rebel groups. The protection

offered by sanctuaries is likely to be compromised in the instance of a domestic conflict zone,

providing ample opportunity for poachers and local militias to hunt wildlife. Militant groups

often obtain the ivory from these reserves, and join the process of selling it for operational

income – a means to acquire weapons. This ultimately fuels the conflicts that initially allowed

for such opportunities to occur, causing a steady cycle of violence.

Al–Shabaab

Al-Shabaab, also known as “The Youth”, is an al-Qaeda affiliated militant group based in

Somalia. Their mission is to create a fundamentalist Islamic state in Somalia, and have declared

jihad in Africa as a means to achieving their goal (cfr.org). In June 2010, the group carried out its

first terrorist attack outside of Somalia by coordinating a series of suicide bombings in the

Ugandan capital of Kampala. The attack claimed 24 lives. In 2013, the group killed 67

individuals during a four-day siege in the Westgate shopping center in Nairobi, Kenya

(independent.co.uk, 2013). The militant group has shown no signs of slowing, as was

demonstrated during their most recent attack in November 2014 where they hijacked a bus in

Northern Kenya and killed 28 non-Muslims on board (aljazeera.com, 2014).

According to Andrea Costa, Director of the Elephant Action League (EAL), the illicit

ivory trade funds approximately 40 percent of the group’s 5,000-person army

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(independent.co.uk, 2013). It is estimated that slaying a single elephant provides enough funding

to carry out an attack on two U.S. embassies in East Africa. An average ivory tusk weighs 13.6

kg (30 pounds) with wholesale ivory prices amounting to $2,357 per kilogram. Al-Shabaab is

believed to be making $200,000 - $600,000 per month from the sale of ivory to Asia,

demonstrating the value of the trade towards their financing (slate.com, 2013). Although Kenyan

authorities were able to drive away the militants from smuggling ivory from their stronghold of

Kismayo, the Kenyan port of Mombasa and Dar es Salaam in Tanzania remain vulnerable points

for the illegal activity. This is largely due to rampant corruption amongst Kenyan and Tanzania

officers.

Lord’s Resistance Army

The Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) was formed in Northern Uganda in 1986, to fight against the

Ugandan government (state.gov). According to a 2006 study conducted by UNICEF, it was

estimated that 66,000 children and youth had been abducted between 1986 and 2005. Joseph

Kony, leader of the LRA, headed operation out of South Sudan and is wanted by the

International Criminal Court for committing crimes against humanity. Although the militant

group stopped operations in Uganda in 2006, they are now operating in the DRC and CAR where

they continue to carry out abductions. Military units across the region continue to pursue and

attempt to disband the LRA, and in 2011 the African Union designated it a terrorist group.

In 2013, the Enough Project in cooperation with the Satellite Sentinel Project released a

report that highlighted elephant poaching as a means to sustain the LRA’s objectives. The

group’s activities in the DRC’s Garamba National Park have been linked to global ivory trade

(enoughproject.org). Former captives and defectors of the LRA have attested to the validity of

these findings, stating that arms, ammunition and food are traded for ivory. There were

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approximately 20,000 elephants in Garamba National Park during the 1970’s, however only

1,800 remain today (theguardian.com, 2013).

Janjaweed

The Janjaweed militia is an Arab militant group operating out of Darfur. The word Janjaweed

translates to “horseback raider” in Arabic. During Darfur’s ethnic conflict in the early 2000s, this

militia was blamed for killing thousands of civilians in response to two non-Arab groups, the

Sudan Liberation Army and the Justice and Equality Movement, acting against the Sudanese

government (nytimes.com, 2012). In April 2014, the Janjaweed group razed 127 villages in

Darfur, and has recently been given a new title by Sudan – Rapid Support Forces (aljazeera.com,

2014). The group is also known to have links to poaching and the ivory trade. They were

reported to have killed thousands of elephants in the 1980s, and slaughtered at least 300 in

Bouba Ndjida National Park in Cameroon in January 2012. As stated in the New York Times,

“Businessmen are clearly bankrolling these enormous ivory expeditions, both feeding off and

fueling conflict.”

Boko Haram

Boko Haram, an Islamic sect that translates to "Western education is sin”, was formed in 2002 in

Borno by Islamist cleric Mohammed Yusuf (cfr.org). The group’s mission is to establish an

Islamic sect in Nigeria. The group quickly radicalized with the influence of al-Qaeda, and led to

such incidents as the April 2014 bus station bombing that killed one hundred people. Overall,

more than 5,000 people have been killed by the group, and nearly 300,000 displaced. Boko

Haram has been targeting elephants in Cameroon in order to acquire ivory for operational

financing, and have contributed to the deaths of 23,000 elephants in 2013 (newscientist.com,

2014). As mentioned by Consultancy Africa Intelligence, “There is an intimate connection: like

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many terrorist organizations in Africa, Boko Haram is funded by sales of illegal ivory

(consultancyafrica.com, 2014).”

Terrorism Typology

It is important to understand the fundamental typology behind these militant groups in order to

better discern how they function as an entity, what drives them as an organization, and how to

best coordinate an effort to prevent future conflict from occurring. The U.S. government defines

terrorism as premeditated, politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant

targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents, and is usually intended to influence an

audience (Ramsbotham, 2011, p. 82). Many may think that typologies of terrorism do not relate

to typologies of conflict; however, this is not the case according to existing literature. Peter

Wallensteen of Uppsala University noted that terrorism covers “distinct different actions, such as

criminal activities and gangsterism, and is often directed against civilians and symbolic societal

targets, as opposed to government targets (Ramsbotham, 2011, p. 80).” Four types of terrorism

are distinguished in relation to the armed conflict. The first type of terrorism is a kind that is an

unavoidable aspect in armed conflicts. The second type is “a supplementary measure in

asymmetric conflicts.” This is done to enhance influence. The third type is a form of terrorism

where the act itself is more important than traditional armed conflict. This form of terrorism can

be most associated with economic opportunity and greed. Finally, the fourth typology is one that

contains radical Islamists, most notably al-Qaeda. While the first two typologies can be open to

negotiation and political agreement, the latter two are not as easily open to such a resolution,

because the international scope and core ideologies do not allow for political negotiations. It is

important to view Wallensteen’s typology in conjunction with Schmid and Jongman’s in order to

make an accurate assessment of where the aforementioned sub-Saharan militant groups are

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categorized (Figure 1). There is a distinction between (a) national/separatist terrorism (b) social

revolutionary terrorism (c) right-wing terrorism, and (d) religious fundamentalist terrorism

(Schmid and Jongman, 2008).

Figure 1: Conflict resolution terrorism typology

Al-Shabaab and Boko Haram would both be classified as radical Islamist/international

terrorism. As referenced earlier, this typology makes it increasingly difficult to conduct any

political talks or agreements. According to CFR fellow Bronwyn Bruton, there are several

cleavages that divide leadership amongst Al-Shabaab, and includes a difference in opinion

among the group’s nationalist intent (cfr.org). This rift adds to the level of difficulty in forming a

potential resolution with the group, as it would be hard-pressed to reach a peace accord with a

full consensus. In addition, the group’s international roots means that another faction would

likely branch out and replace Al-Shabaab over time even with a temporary resolution. Similar to

Al-Shabaab, Boko Haram originated with the intent to spread Islamic doctrine after great

inequality in Nigerian society, however the group has become so diffuse since it’s establishment

that fighters don’t entirely follow the Salafi doctrine (cfr.org). This form of existing chaos within

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the group is indicative of the level of difficulty present in reaching a peace accord. The Nigerian

government’s assessment of Boko Haram as an internationally affiliated terrorist group has led

them to use no other method but force in order to control the group. Although this is a logical

approach, it is important to incorporate the group’s origins when determining the best course of

action.

The LRA, associated with the economic/factional typology, would require “police”

responses. From 2006 to 2008, Southern Sudan officials mediated a peace negotiation between

the Government of Uganda and the LRA. Although a peace agreement was finalized, Joseph

Kony refused to finalize it (state.gov). This demonstrates the degree of difficulty in the political

negotiation process. As the Janjaweed (or Rapid Support Force) are categorized as a

supplementary measure by Sudan, they are theoretically more open to political agreements in

comparison to the other three militant groups.

Conflict Resolution Theory

When examining illicit ivory trade and militant group financing in the context of conflict

resolution theory, three models help to place the issue in an appropriate context. When

examining the “hourglass model” (Figure 2) of conflict resolution theory, it is appropriate to

place the activities of all four militant groups involved in the ivory conflict within the narrow

space of violence and war (Ramsbotham, 2011, p.13). This is demonstrated by the response of

those opposing these militants, being conflict containment and war limitation. As an example,

President Goodluck Jonathan of Nigeria believed that Boko Haram was not capable of being

defeated as they have continued to acquire more weapons and better fighters through the years,

and believed the solution was to quell the group through the use of force (cfr.org). This action is

synonymous with conflict containment.

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Figure 2: Hourglass model

The second model that is applicable to the ivory trade issue is the multitrack conflict

resolution model (Figure 3) (Ramsbotham, 2011, p. 29). Rather than having outsiders address

potential conflict resolution in mediation efforts, it is more effective to place emphasis on

indigenous resources and local actors. Track III diplomacy will allow for peace constituencies

within the conflict, and eventually build social cohesion and common ground. Groups such as

Boko Haram are sensitive to further being radicalized if response and containment efforts are not

strategically placed. Although Boko Haram has grown to be more complex from its inception,

utilizing local knowledge to correctly discern original intent can effectively aid in the process of

containment efforts by placing ideology and militant psychology in the appropriate context.

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Figure 3: Multitrack conflict resolution model

The third model necessary to examine is that of the spheres of cosmopolitan conflict

resolution (Figure 4) (Ramsbotham, 2011, p. 30). This model addresses armed conflicts of hybrid

struggles that encompass international, state, and societal levels. The trans-boarder conflict of the

illicit ivory trade, which spans sub-Saharan Africa and Asia, in addition to the cross-cutting

influence of the Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab network, can only be solved by conflict

transformation that simultaneously impacts all three levels. This would include meeting the

objective of Track III initiatives and containing the trans-border conflict, which incorporates the

previous two models. This can ideally result in a peaceful resolution that halts illicit ivory trade

and reduced local conflict.

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Figure 4: Spheres of cosmopolitan conflict resolution

Intervention and Prevention Strategy

Several measures can be taken to intervene in the illicit trade of ivory, and decrease the

likelihood of future activity. In regards to physical measures, greater support can be provided on

the ground by equipping park rangers with sophisticated equipment that will allow for the

tracking of armed poachers in areas like national parks (enougproject.org). This includes

capabilities of real-time intelligence sharing. In 2013, The Economic Community of Central

African States (ECOSAC) endorsed a $2.3 million initiative that will add a 1,000 person civilian

police and military force to combat poaching in the DRC. During the same year, former

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton also introduced an $80 million plan by conservation groups

and African governments to combat poaching (independent.co.uk). In addition, satellite

surveillance, similar to the Satellite Sentinel Project, coupled with geospatial information can be

utilized as an early-warning indicator tool to predict militant group movements (Figure 5)

(wired.co.uk). Supplying land vehicles and satellite phones with such technology to the African

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Union Regional Task Force and U.S. military advisors can establish a formidable intervention

strategy against poaching.

Figure 5: Port of Sudan, October 8, 2011, DigitalGlobe, satellite GeoEye-1

Mapping tools that use satellite imagery are currently being put into effect to help stem

the flow of ivory poaching. The firm Tomnod crowd sources volunteers to study satellite

photographs in order to address problems around the world (Figure 6) (tomnod.com). Tomnod

has helped locate victims and damage from the Nepal earthquake in April 2015, as well as

scanning over 340,000 square km’s of ocean in search of the Malaysian Flight 370 that went

missing in March 2014 (http://blog.tomnod.com/SAR-request-form/). A recent campaign was

launched to stop elephant poaching in Garamba National Park in the DRC. This will provide a

useful test of the capabilities of satellite and geospatial information in addressing real time

poaching and its link to conflict.

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Figure 6: Tomnod crowd-collected data and assessed poacher routes

Even though prevention may prove to be more difficult, two strategies should be

considered in tackling the issue. The first strategy involves legalizing the ivory trade. According

to Dan Stiles, an anthropologist from Kenya, providing low-price raw ivory in sufficient quantity

and at predictable times will lower the incentive to buy high-risk illegal ivory

(voices.nationalgeographic.com). His theory is grounded on the basis of speculative stockpiling

being the core driver of poaching, which occurs due to calls for more controls and quotas that are

listed in the trade ban. By establishing high-end market models in consumer countries, such as

China, illegal operators will be attracted into the legal market because of low pricing of raw

ivory and high consumer pricing, which would yield high profits. Attempting to drive the illegal

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market towards a legal establishment can also have major consequences that include corruption,

however the benefits of such a strategy may outweigh the risks.

Another preventative strategy is to learn and mirror conflict resolution efforts of the

blood diamond trade of Sierra Leone (nytimes.com, 2012). Diamonds are similar to ivory for

being a natural substance with little value but prized social significance (theatlantic.com, 2012).

Both commodities are found in similar locations, such as West Africa, the DRC, and CAR. The

Kimberley Process was introduced in 2003 as a method to regulate the flow of illicit rough

diamonds. However, the process has led to a “veil of legitimacy” for illegally mined diamonds

by allowing them to be laundered through a certification system (Gossmann 2005, p. 64). This

ultimately legitimizes the flows due to the poor governance and infrastructural capacity of

conflict-inflicted countries. Understanding what not to do is also an important strategy to prevent

the illegal ivory trade from growing, which is why a Kimberley System for ivory should not be

considered for implementation.

Conclusion

Careful measures need to be taken when assessing how to best resolve the issue of illicit ivory

trade and its connection to funding militant groups in sub-Saharan Africa. The increase of Asian

presence in the region has largely contributed to the operational effectiveness of criminal

syndicates, poachers, and militant groups regarding the transportation and shipment of ivory to

consumer countries such as China, where 84 percent of the population would like to own some

form of ivory (savetheelephants.org). It was found that Boko Haram and Al-Shabaab are less

inclined to a peaceful resolution due to their complex history as an Islamic group and

international presence, while the LRA is centered on economic gains and the Janjaweed are

utilized as a supplementary measure by Sudan. Although it has been determined that there is

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currently no viable opportunity to reach a resolution with these groups, appropriate measures can

be taken to contain, intervene, and prevent the escalation of conflict. This includes greater

support on the ground through the use of real-time intelligence sharing equipment, geospatial

support akin to the Satellite Sentinel Project and Tomnod, and lessons learned in the illicit

diamond trade that could prevent the smuggling of illegal ivory to escalate. Being conscious of

these measures in the realm of a mutitrack and cosmopolitan conflict resolution model can

provide the knowledge base needed to effectively take action against “Jihad’s white gold”

(consultancyafrica.com, 2014).

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Appendix

Figure 1

Figure 2

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Figure 3

Figure 4

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Figure 5

Figure 6

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National Geographic, Legalizing Ivory Trade: Taking to New Heights a Dangerous Policy Proposal, 2014. Available from: < http://voices.nationalgeographic.com/2014/10/22/legalizing-ivory-trade-taking-to-new-heights-a-dangerous-policy-proposal/>. NewScientist, How wildlife crime links us all to conflicts in Africa, 2014. Available from: < http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22229691.600-how-wildlife-crime-links-us-all-to-conflicts-in-africa.html#.VI4LCaSS0b8>. NewScientist, Ivory poaching funds most war and terrorism in Africa, 2014. Available from: < http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22229692.700-ivory-poaching-funds-most-war-and-terrorism-in-africa.html#.VI4N-KSS0b8>. Raffalovich, Aminta, “White Gold” The Ivory Trade Ban. Rosen, Rebecca, The Atlantic, What Is It About an Elephant's Tusks That Make Them So Valuable? 2012. Available from: <http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/09/what-is-it-about-an-elephants-tusks-that-make-them-so-valuable/262021/>. Russo, Christina, Monitoring a Grim Rise In the Illegal Ivory Trade, 2012. Available from: < http://e360.yale.edu/feature/traffics_elephant_expert_tom_milliken_on_rise_in_africa_ivory_trade/2486/>. PBS, Rhino Horn Use: Fact vs. Fiction, 2010. Available from: < http://www.pbs.org/wnet/nature/rhinoceros-rhino-horn-use-fact-vs-fiction/1178/>. Schmid Alex and Jongman, Albert, 1988, Political Terrorism: A New Guide to Actors, Authors, Concepts, Data Bases, Theories and Literature. Somerville, Keith, The Ivory Wars: how poaching in Central Africa fuels the LRA and Janjaweed, 2013. Available from: < http://africanarguments.org/2013/01/14/the-ivory-wars-how-poaching-in-central-africa-fuels-the-lra-and-janjaweed-%E2%80%93-by-keith-somerville/>. Sterley, Carla, Elephants and rhinos fund terror networks: Illegal poaching in sub-Saharan Africa funds Islamic fundamentalism, 2014. Available from: < http://www.consultancyafrica.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1707:elephants-and-rhinos-fund-terror-networks-illegal-poaching-in-sub-saharan-africa-funds-islamic-fundamentalism&catid=60:conflict-terrorism-discussion-papers&Itemid=265>. Stewart, Catrina, The Independent, Illegal ivory trade funds al-Shabaab's terrorist attacks, 2013. Available from: < http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/africa/illegal-ivory-trade-funds-alshabaabs-terrorist-attacks-8861315.html>. The Guardian, How China is driving the grim rise in illegal ivory, 2012. Available from: < http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/jan/23/china-rise-illegal-ivory>.

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The Guardian, Lord's Resistance Army funded by elephant poaching, report finds, 2013. Available from: < http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/jun/04/lords-resistance-army-funded-elephant-poaching>. The Lord’s Resistance Army, U.S. Department of State. Available from: < http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2012/03/186734.htm>. Tomnod, < http://www.tomnod.com >. UKEssays, Poaching Of Elephants And The Ivory Trade. Available from: < http://www.ukessays.com/essays/history/poaching-of-elephants-and-the-ivory-trade-history-essay.php>. Viollaz, Andre, Business Insider, UN Security Council Cracking Down On Ivory Poaching And Illegal Wildlife Trading, 2014. Available from: < http://www.businessinsider.com/un-security-council-cracking-down-on-ivory-poaching-and-illegal-wildlife-trading-2014-2>.