june 2011 monthly indicators

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Monthly Indicators June 2011 Quick Facts A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE HILTON HEAD AREA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® - 2.9% Change in Median Sales Price You may have noticed some "noise" lately about where the market is heading. Some accounts are optimistic while others, well, aren't. The good news is that local data provides a more reliable tone than national sound bites can offer. When it comes to hearing the market's true message, it may not necessarily be from the expected indicators, it may not be heard evenly across all segments and it may arrive in disjointed bursts Let's listen - 19.6% Change in Inventory - 17.6% Change in Closed Sales 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Click on desired metric to jump to that page. and it may arrive in disjointed bursts. Let s listen. Buyers in the Hilton Head region absorbed homes more quickly as Months Supply of Inventory was down 26.3 percent to 13.0 months. New Listings decreased 21.7 percent to 403. Pending Sales were up 25.1 percent to 284. Inventory levels shrank 19.6 percent to 3,068 units, but even choosy buyers can still find top-notch homes. Prices lost some ground. The Median Sales Price declined 2.9 percent to $233,000. Days on Market increased 12.0 percent to 158 days. Affordability also improved. On the national front, the interest rate dropped to 4.79 percent on a 30-year fixed conventional and 4.44 percent for FHA. The unemployment rate has been stable around 9.0 percent and initial unemployment claims have continued to fall. Wages and payroll jobs are also improving slowly. Debt ceiling negotiations and other background noises persist, while prolonged job growth is still the missing verse in the recovery song. Months Supply of Inventory Inventory of Homes for Sale Housing Affordability Index Percent of List Price Received Average Sales Price Median Sales Price All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 1 Closed Sales Pending Sales New Listings Market Overview Days On Market Until Sale

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Page 1: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Monthly Indicators

June 2011 Quick Facts

A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE HILTON HEAD AREA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

- 2.9%

Change inMedian Sales Price

You may have noticed some "noise" lately about where the market is heading. Some accounts are optimistic while others, well, aren't. The good news is that local data provides a more reliable tone than national sound bites can offer. When it comes to hearing the market's true message, it may not necessarily be from the expected indicators, it may not be heard evenly across all segments and it may arrive in disjointed bursts Let's listen

- 19.6%

Change inInventory

- 17.6%

Change inClosed Sales

23456789

101112

Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

and it may arrive in disjointed bursts. Let s listen.

Buyers in the Hilton Head region absorbed homes more quickly as Months Supply of Inventory was down 26.3 percent to 13.0 months. New Listings decreased 21.7 percent to 403. Pending Sales were up 25.1 percent to 284. Inventory levels shrank 19.6 percent to 3,068 units, but even choosy buyers can still find top-notch homes.

Prices lost some ground. The Median Sales Price declined 2.9 percent to $233,000. Days on Market increased 12.0 percent to 158 days. Affordability also improved.

On the national front, the interest rate dropped to 4.79 percent on a 30-year fixed conventional and 4.44 percent for FHA. The unemployment rate has been stable around 9.0 percent and initial unemployment claims have continued to fall. Wages and payroll jobs are also improving slowly. Debt ceiling negotiations and other background noises persist, while prolonged job growth is still the missing verse in the recovery song.

Months Supply of InventoryInventory of Homes for SaleHousing Affordability IndexPercent of List Price ReceivedAverage Sales PriceMedian Sales Price

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 1

Closed SalesPending SalesNew ListingsMarket Overview

Days On Market Until Sale

Page 2: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Market Overview

Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 6-2010 6-2011 + / – YTD 2010 YTD 2011 + / –

1,331 + 5.1%

141 158

515 403 - 21.7% 3,258

261 215 - 17.6% 1,266

New Listings

Pending Sales

Closed Sales

Days on Market Until Sale

- 11.5%

227 284 + 25.1% 1,386 1,629 + 17.5%

2,884

+ 12.0% 133 146 + 9.8%

Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date figures.

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

Housing Affordability Index

Inventory of Homes for Sale

121

3,815

131 + 5.1%

--

$349,901 $330,386 - 5.6%

$240,000 $233,000

$330,841 $353,623 + 6.9%

94.7% 94.3%

Months Supplyof Homes for Sale

Median Sales Price

Average Sales Price

Percent of List Price Received

$232,040 $229,900

- 0.7%

- 0.9%

- 0.5% 94.3% 93.6%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2

124

--

-- --

--

--17.7

129 + 7.0%

- 19.6%

- 26.3%

3,068

13.0

- 2.9%

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

6-2008 6-2009 6-2010 6-2011

Page 3: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

New Listings

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July 479 500 +4.4%

August 476 517 +8.6%

September 493 493 0.0%

October 451 400 -11.3%

November 409 336 -17.8%

December 350 302 -13.7%

January 454 422 -7.0%

February 515 498 -3.3%

March 675 567 -16.0%

April 617 551 -10.7%

May 482 443 -8.1%

June 515 403 -21.7%

A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

531 515

403

June3,287 3,258

2,884

Year To Date

-11.5%-3.0% -21.7% -0.9%

12-Month Avg 493 453 -8.2%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3

2009 2010 2011

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical New Listing Activity

2009 2010 2011

Page 4: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Pending Sales

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July 194 256 +32.0%

August 219 211 -3.7%

September 215 214 -0.5%

October 234 187 -20.1%

November 183 208 +13.7%

December 184 176 -4.3%

January 185 244 +31.9%

February 199 265 +33.2%

March 263 306 +16.3%

April 280 264 -5.7%

May 232 266 +14.7%

June 227 284 +25.1%

A count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.

201

227

284

June

1,063

1,386

1,629

Year To Date

+17.5%+12.9% +25.1% +30.4%

12-Month Avg 218 240 +10.2%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4

2009 2010 2011

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Pending Sales Activity

2009 2010 2011

Page 5: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Closed Sales

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July 198 220 +11.1%

August 204 215 +5.4%

September 193 221 +14.5%

October 231 162 -29.9%

November 214 182 -15.0%

December 218 220 +0.9%

January 172 183 +6.4%

February 156 176 +12.8%

March 213 226 +6.1%

April 252 270 +7.1%

May 212 261 +23.1%

June 261 215 -17.6%

A count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.

210

261

215

June

884

1,2661,331

Year To Date

+5.1%+24.3% -17.6% +43.2%

12-Month Avg 210 213 +2.1%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5

2009 2010 2011

50

100

150

200

250

300

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Closed Sales Activity

2009 2010 2011

Page 6: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Days on Market Until Sale

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July 150 126 -16.5%

August 151 126 -16.9%

September 162 121 -25.3%

October 153 144 -5.6%

November 157 141 -10.2%

December 138 136 -1.5%

January 131 133 +1.3%

February 145 156 +7.9%

March 140 143 +2.1%

April 128 152 +18.8%

May 113 133 +17.5%

June 141 158 +12.0%

Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

151141

158

June

145

133

146

Year To Date

+9.8%-6.5% +12.0% -8.7%

12-Month Avg 151 148 -2.2%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6

2009 2010 2011

95

105

115

125

135

145

155

165

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Days on Market Until Sale

2009 2010 2011

Page 7: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Median Sales Price

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July $255,000 $275,145 +7.9%

August $260,000 $214,000 -17.7%

September $239,000 $218,393 -8.6%

October $290,000 $240,000 -17.2%

November $262,750 $228,750 -12.9%

December $279,000 $250,000 -10.4%

January $231,000 $250,000 +8.2%

February $215,000 $188,200 -12.5%

March $265,000 $210,000 -20.8%

April $224,000 $270,000 +20.5%

May $237,090 $250,000 +5.4%

June $240,000 $233,000 -2.9%

Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

$285,000

$240,000 $233,000

June

$269,250

$232,040 $229,900

Year To Date

-0.9%-15.8% -2.9% -13.8%

12-Month Avg $250,000 $235,000 -6.0%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7

2009 2010 2011

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$450,000

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Median Sales Price

2009 2010 2011

Page 8: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Average Sales Price

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July $361,904 $401,054 +10.8%

August $467,169 $300,997 -35.6%

September $344,085 $347,477 +1.0%

October $394,110 $321,857 -18.3%

November $361,187 $327,176 -9.4%

December $375,862 $310,895 -17.3%

January $329,121 $303,936 -7.7%

February $395,687 $291,285 -26.4%

March $338,453 $328,279 -3.0%

April $352,849 $346,612 -1.8%

May $364,834 $339,727 -6.9%

June $330,841 $353,623 +6.9%

Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

$386,044

$330,841$353,623

June

$378,990$349,901

$330,386

Year To Date

- 5.6%- 14.3% + 6.9% - 7.7%

12-Month Avg $366,973 $333,011 -9.3%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8

2009 2010 2011

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$400,000

$450,000

$500,000

$550,000

$600,000

$650,000

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Average Sales Price

2009 2010 2011

Page 9: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Percent of List Price Received

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July 93.3% 93.5% +0.2%

August 93.9% 93.4% -0.5%

September 93.3% 93.4% +0.1%

October 93.7% 94.1% +0.5%

November 93.0% 92.4% -0.7%

December 93.2% 93.2% +0.0%

January 93.5% 92.8% -0.8%

February 94.3% 93.8% -0.5%

March 93.8% 93.2% -0.7%

April 94.2% 93.8% -0.5%

May 94.9% 93.5% -1.4%

June 94.7% 94.3% -0.5%

Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its last list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.

93.5% 94.7% 94.3%

June

93.1% 94.3% 93.6%

Year To Date

-0.7%+1.4% -0.5% +1.2%

12-Month Avg 93.8% 93.5% -0.4%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9

2009 2010 2011

90%

91%

92%

93%

94%

95%

96%

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Percent of List Price Received

2009 2010 2011

Page 10: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Housing Affordability Index

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July 108 109 +0.9%

August 109 138 +26.5%

September 118 136 +14.7%

October 100 126 +26.1%

November 111 132 +19.2%

December 101 120 +18.9%

January 122 117 -4.1%

February 130 149 +14.6%

March 108 136 +26.1%

April 125 111 -11.7%

May 119 120 +1.0%

This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120% of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

98

121129

June

103

124131

Year To Date

+5 1%+23 8% +7 0% +21 1%June 121 129 +7.0%

12-Month Avg 114 127 +11.6%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10

2009 2010 2011

60

80

100

120

140

160

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Housing Affordability Index

2009 2010 2011

+5.1%+23.8% +7.0% +21.1%

Page 11: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Inventory of Homes for Sale

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July 4,110 3,772 -8.2%

August 4,035 3,764 -6.7%

September 3,886 3,748 -3.6%

October 3,748 3,635 -3.0%

November 3,655 3,479 -4.8%

December 3,405 3,180 -6.6%

January 3,401 3,105 -8.7%

February 3,519 3,113 -11.5%

March 3,712 3,150 -15.1%

April 3,782 3,214 -15.0%

May 3,792 3,184 -16.0%

June 3,815 3,068 -19.6%

The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

4,1793,815

3,068

June

-19.6%-8.7%

12-Month Avg 3,738 3,368 -9.9%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11

2009 2010 2011

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale

Page 12: June 2011 Monthly Indicators

Months Supply of Inventory

MonthPrior Year

Current Year

+ / –

July 26.1 17.3 -33.6%

August 25.1 16.9 -32.7%

September 23.6 16.9 -28.5%

October 22.2 16.3 -26.2%

November 20.4 15.9 -22.0%

December 18.4 14.4 -21.8%

January 17.8 14.1 -20.7%

February 18.0 13.9 -23.2%

March 18.6 13.7 -26.3%

April 18.2 13.7 -24.7%

May 17.7 13.7 -22.7%

June 17.7 13.0 -26.3%

The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

26.5

17.7

13.0

June

-26.3%-33.3%

12-Month Avg 20.3 15.0 -26.2%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12

2009 2010 2011

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

Historical Months Supply of Inventory