kamera first-solution
TRANSCRIPT
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Kamera急診資料挑戰賽
演講者:李少芃、楊承翰
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Outline
• Motivation
• Exploratory Data Analysis
• Model Building
• Conclusion
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Motivation
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Exploratory Data Analysis
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Emergency Number
Time
Total
0
50
100
150
200
250
Broken-Line graph
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Correlation heat map
Total PDR PBR C01 A09 B03
Total 1 0.869 0.402 0.614 0.992 -0.213
PDR 0.869 1 0.481 0.551 0.867 -0.258
PBR 0.402 0.481 1 0.141 0.412 -0.356
C01 0.614 0.551 0.141 1 0.612 -0.089
A09 0.992 0.614 0.412 -0.356 1 -0.214
B03 -0.213 -0.258 -0.356 -0.089 -0.214 1
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The level of hospital
Level 2
122
635
11 12
13 14
1617
40
Level 1
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Difference between Level 1 and Level 2
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Broken-Line graph
Hospital 1
Hospital 14
Total
Time
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Hospitals in Level 1
0
50
100
150
200
Time
Total
Hospital 35
Hospital 1
Hospital 6
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Strange phenomena
of time interval thatthe emergency number in hospital six is equal to zero
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Discussion
Level 2
1
22
6 35 11 12
13 14
1617
40
Level 1
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Model Building
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Terminology
• PDR:病患與醫師之比率
• A09:檢傷人數(3級)
• Tz:時間區段
• Hospital:醫院編號
• Weekday:平日、假日
• Total:急診人數
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Schematic diagram with Level 1
Linear
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Schematic diagram with Level 2
general
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Result of Hospital 1
0
20
40
60
80
100
120Broken-Line graph
Fitted
Total
Total
Time
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Result Hospital 11
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45Broken-Line graph
Fitted
Total
Total
Time
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Conclusion
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Level 1
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 𝐓𝐳 + 𝛽3 𝐏𝐝𝐫 + 𝛽4 𝐰𝐝𝐚𝐲 + 𝜺
𝐏𝐝𝐫 = 𝛼0 + 𝛼1 𝐓𝐳 + 𝛼2 𝐰𝐝𝐚𝐲 + 𝜺
Hospital 35
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𝐏𝐝𝐫 = 𝛼0 + 𝛼1 𝐓𝐳 + 𝛼2 𝐇𝐨𝐬 + 𝛼3 𝐰𝐝𝐚𝐲 + 𝛼4 𝐇𝐨𝐬 ∙ 𝐓𝐳 + 𝜺
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 𝐓𝐳 + 𝛽2 𝐇𝐨𝐬 + 𝛽3 𝐏𝐝𝐫 + 𝛽4 𝐰𝐝𝐚𝐲 + 𝛽5 𝐇𝐨𝐬 ∙ 𝐓𝐳 + 𝜺
Hospital 1 and Hospital 22
Hospital 6
WHAT??
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Level 2
𝐏𝐛𝐫 = 𝛼0 + 𝛼1 𝐓𝐳 + 𝛼2 𝐇𝐨𝐬 + 𝛼3 𝐰𝐝𝐚𝐲 + 𝛼4 𝐇𝐨𝐬 ∙ 𝐓𝐳 + 𝜺
𝐓𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 𝐓𝐳 + 𝛽2 𝐇𝐨𝐬 + 𝛽3 𝐏𝐛𝐫 +
𝛽4 𝐰𝐝𝐚𝐲 + 𝛽5 𝐀𝟎𝟗 + 𝛽6 𝐇𝐨𝐬 ∙ 𝐓𝐳 + 𝜺
A09= 𝛾0 + 𝛾1 𝐓𝐳 + 𝛾2 𝐇𝐨𝐬 + 𝛾3 𝐰𝐝𝐚𝐲 + 𝛾4 𝐇𝐨𝐬 ∙ 𝐓𝐳 + 𝜺