kone germany strategy

Upload: atila-kemal-oguz

Post on 03-Apr-2018

216 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    1/131

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    2/131

    A Companys Strategy-

    Making Hierarchy

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    3/131

    Tasks of CorporateStrategy

    Moves to achieve diversification

    Actions to boost performance of individual businesses

    Capturing valuable cross-business synergies toprovide 1 + 1 = 3 effects!

    Establishing investmentpriorities and steeringcorporate resources into themost attractive businesses

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    4/131

    Corporate Strategy

    Economies of Scale: cost per unitdecreases as volume goes up

    and Scope: Same raw material an semi-finished materials and production

    processes to make a variety of products.Multi-brand strategies successful at this.

    Scope: Also management/overhead

    activities

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    5/131

    Corporate Level Rules

    First Mover advantage Huge (thoughissues?)

    Logic: The right combination of scale andscope economics, marketing anddistribution power, management structure,

    and first mover (all intertwined and rely onone another) = corporate strategy.

    Few firms can rely on internal sources of

    growth alone. (what does this mean?)

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    6/131

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    7/131

    Types of Strategic Fits Cross-business strategic f i tscan exist

    anywhere along the value chain

    R&D and technology activities

    Supply chain activities

    Manufacturing activities

    Distribution activities

    Sales and marketing activities

    Managerial and administrative support activities

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    8/131

    One Strategic Option: Single product line

    Concentrated Growth

    Focus on single product line (ex. Apple,McDonalds, Mack Truck, John Deere)

    Must:

    1)No major technological advances2)Not product saturated/alternatives for growth3)Competitors difficult to enter market4)Inputs are stable

    Why single product line powerful? Why do wesee many firms spin-off in todays global

    marketplace?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    9/131

    Vertical/Horizontal Integration

    Vertical: Industry Value Chain (backwardmore profitable than forward)

    Horizontal: increase range of productsoffered to current markets or into newgeographic location

    (Use of strategic alliances)

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    10/131

    Diversification

    How used: new industries, technologies,supplier bases, customer segments,

    geographical regions, sources of funds

    In Strategy: investing corporate resources

    in a number of different product/marketcombinations

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    11/131

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    12/131

    Entering other markets or Diversification

    1. What can we do better than any of thecompetitors in our market?

    2. What strategic assets are needed to succeed(Implementation)?

    3. Leapfrog competitors? (change the rulesWalMart Banking)

    4. Hurt our strategic assets if we diversify?

    5. If we diversify, will we be a leader or in thepack?

    6. Can we learn by diversifying, are we organizedto do so?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    13/131

    Strategies for Developing New

    CapabilitiesAcquire existing company

    Internal start-up

    Joint ventures/strategic partnerships

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    14/131

    Group Work

    Acquire

    Develop Internally

    JV/SA

    1) What are all the variables that must betaken into account when considering eachof these?

    2) What are the strengths and weaknesses ofeach?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    15/131

    A Career

    Differentiating between emotion and fact

    Understanding goals and benchmarks

    Succeeding is vague/but known

    How get in the business

    How get better

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    16/131

    General Motives for a M&A

    Opportunity

    Threat or Opportunity

    Strategic

    Organizational (change agent)

    Brand

    Is it hard to get a good deal anytime?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    17/131

    Steps

    Strategic Analysis Develop Acquisition Plan

    Establish Screening criteria

    Generate Deals

    Narrow the field

    Due Diligence

    Documentation

    How to Finance/Deal Design

    Negotiation / Bidding

    Integration

    1. Leadership2. Communication

    3. Managing4. Key Personnel

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    18/131

    Introduction: Acquisitions

    Continues to be one of the most popularGlobal strategies for firms

    $2.9 trillion in 2005

    $3.4 trillion in 2006In 2007, $4.367 trillionFell $1.1 trillion 2008, volume dropping 15,256

    deals in 2007 to 12,018 in 2008

    2010 = 2.66 trillion2011 = 2.6 trillion2012 = 2.6 trillion

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    19/131

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    20/131

    Typical research:$500 million plusMeasure of success/performance Often short

    term stock price (days before/after)

    Secondary data

    Must have significant ownership

    USA based (Researchers have suggestedcannot publish this type of research in TopJournals otherwise: Grinstein and Hribar, 2004)

    Publicly traded: (Although 75 percent of the firmsacquired in the United States between 2000 and2004 were privately held) Capron/Shen, SMJ 2009

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    21/131

    Theoretical reasons for Acquisitions

    (Used in the past)Transaction Cost Economics (bounded rationality (incomplete contracts) andopportunism (acting with guile), uncertainty, frequency, asset specificity)

    Make or Buy (diadic)Agency Theory (information asymmetry, uncertainty and risk)

    TMT (top management team)HubrisRisk AversionCompensationCharacteristics (Age, tenure, global experience, stock option in the money,

    etc.)

    Board of DirectorsLarge holdings of stock (active)Inside/Outside DirectorsDirector Charcteristics (previous acquisition experience, etc.)

    Market for Corporate Control

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    22/131

    Theoretical reasons for Acquisitions

    (Contemporary)Institutional Theory (Especially for Global

    Acquisitions)

    RBV (Resource Based View): ComplementaryResources

    Network Theory

    Dynamic Capabilities

    Knowledge Based View

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    23/131

    Market for Corporate Control

    (Agency Theory) and TMTTMT (top management team) of target firms leaves

    losing about 2/3, even higher if the acquirer is

    a multinationalMarket for corporate control suggests that target

    firms underperforming TMT is fired

    Synergy literature suggests TMT let go, loweringcosts

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    24/131

    Research also suggests to retain the

    TMT after Acquisition

    Loss will heighten the level uncertainty affects thecommunication

    For integration of complementary human resources

    TMT tacit knowledge is the most strategically importantresource

    Synergy; expertise needed for post-acquisition integration

    TMTs participation in the buy-in, development and

    implementation monitoring systems

    SO WHICH IS IT? WHY?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    25/131

    What is a hostile takeover?

    Are there many hostile takeovers?

    What are the issues with these?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    26/131

    M&A. Does this exist?

    What are other ways instead of acquisition?

    Strengths and weaknesses of each.

    So why acquire?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    27/131

    Booz & CompanyDATE

    digitalnow.ppt Prepared for client name

    Customers

    Suppliers

    For most industries, competition is intensifyingfrom all of Porterfive forces

    Low cost

    global rivals

    New entrants

    Radical new

    business models

    The Internetchanges

    everything

    Global race for

    raw materials

    Suppliers

    moving up to

    become rivals

    Supply-chain

    transparency

    Regulatory and

    other barriers

    continue to fall

    Consolidation

    provides little relief

    Rivalry

    Customers

    wallets are flat

    Super-

    empowered

    customers know

    more than ever

    Trading downNew media vs. old mediaSubst i tutes

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    28/131

    Every organization also faces intense pressure in terms ofoperational effectiveness and strategic differentiation

    Operational effectiveness

    means performing similaractivities betterthan rivals

    perform them.In contrast,

    strategic positioning means

    performing differentactivities

    from rivals or performing similar

    activities in different ways.

    E ti ll d i t di ti t t i t

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    29/131

    Executives, pulled in too many directions, say strategies are notclearly defined or likely enough to succeed

    Booz & Company survey of 1,800 execs shows they believe

    % of

    their strategy

    will lead to

    success

    theircompanys

    capabilities fully

    support their

    their company

    has a right to win

    in all the markets

    they have too

    many conflicting

    priorities

    respondents strategy in which it

    competes64%

    48%

    33%

    21%

    Why is it that with so many available strategy frameworks many

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    30/131

    Why is it that with so many available strategy frameworks manycompanies still struggle with sustained value creation?

    AdaptationAct quickly and creativelyin response to events(organizational warning)

    Evolution of Strategy

    Future

    Michael PorterCompetitive Strategy

    1980Henry MintzbergThe Rise and Fall ofStrategic Planning

    PositionExploit the high ground: createand hold a distinctive position

    (market-back strategy)

    W. Chan Kim &Rene MauborgneBlue Ocean Strategy

    1994 Bruce Henderson

    Essays

    2005

    Many

    W. Edwards Deming

    Tom Peters &Robert Waterman

    In Search of Excellence1982

    William Abernathy &Robert Hayes

    Managing Our way to

    Gary Hamel &C.K. Prahalad

    1966 Kenneth AndrewsThe Concept of

    Corporate Strategy1971

    Few

    Out of the Crisis1986

    Execution

    Ram Charan &Larry Bossidy

    Execution2002

    Economic Decline

    1980

    Michael Hammer &James Champy

    Competing for the Future

    1994

    Chris ZookProfit from the Core

    2001

    Concentration

    Align people and processesfor operational excellence(the quality movement)

    Reengineering the Corporation1993

    Present

    Focus on your currentcore business

    (private equity)

    Strategy in a single slide

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    31/131

    Strategy in a single slideFuture

    First and foremost,

    CHANGE

    First and foremost,

    DIFFERENTIATE

    Many Few

    First and foremost,EXECUTE

    First and foremost,

    STICK WITH WHATYOU KNOW

    Present

    The essential strategic choice is

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    32/131

    The essential strategic choice isabout the identity of a firm

    From struggling with push-me,

    pull- me tensions

    Strategic thinking often centers ontensions between long term vs.short term, and many vs. few

    Leaders tend to "yin and yang" betweenthese tensions over time in apoint/counter- point fashion

    The inescapable truth is that (a)

    advantage is transient but (b)

    companies are sticky

    There is no winner between these

    tensions, only a resolution of

    them at a higher level

    To Seeking the Answers to these sets ofQuestions:

    Positioning questions:How are we going to create value for ourcustomers?How do we position ourselves vis a vis

    competitors?Where will we play and where not?

    Resource questions:What intellectual, financial, tangible, andtangible capabilities and assets can orshould we deploy?Do we build, buy, or rent them?Which matter most?

    Market questions:What do we sell, and to whom?Whats our portfolio of offerings--whatbusiness lines, what products, whatservices?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    33/131

    Coherence confers the right to winThe Power Of Coherence

    A coherent company strikes a balance where the right product and service portfolio naturally thrives within

    a capabilities system consciously chosen and implemented to support a deliberate way to play

    HOW WILL WE

    CREATE VALUE FOR

    OUR CUSTOMERS/

    MEMBERS?

    WHAT MUST WE DO

    WELL TO DELIVER

    THAT VALUE

    PROPOSTION?Essential

    Advantage

    WHAT ARE WE

    GOING TO DELIVER

    TO WHOM?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    34/131

    Booz & CompanyDATE

    digitalnow.ppt Prepared for client name 9

    Why do coherent choices create value?

    Effectiveness

    Focus and dedication on creating a winning capabilities system in your way to playBarriers for competitors who are less coherent, with less effective capabilities Ongoing improvement engine for the few capabilities that matter

    Efficiency

    FocusedInvestment

    Highlighting of what is non-essential through clarity on way to play Less spend on those capabilities that are non-differentiating Capability scale through focus and often ability to deploy more broadly

    Provision of objective for the enterprise the value behind the portfolio Direction of capital and attention to those opportunities that extend a capabilities lead Guide for both organic growth and M&A decisions

    Alignment of strategic intent and day-to-day decision making thanks to capabilitieslens

    Organization moving in lockstep and executing faster and with more force Talent attraction to organizations that clearly value what they do

    Alignment

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    35/131

    Financial CoherentFamiliarGood

    Portfolioassembled

    for financial

    compatibility

    Strong

    brands or

    other

    performance

    characteristi

    cs

    Industry or

    marketbased know-

    how and

    management

    practices

    presumed

    similar

    Businesseslinked by

    capabilities

    or common

    assets

    Coherence Continuum

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    36/131

    32%

    28%

    Coca-Cola

    EBIT Margin2003-2007

    24%

    20%

    16%

    Campbells

    General Mills

    Kraft

    Clorox

    P&G

    Heinz PepsiCo

    Kimberly Clark

    Wrigleys

    12%

    8%

    ConAgra

    Sara Lee

    UnileverNestle

    Size of bubble: Revenue

    4%

    0 20 40 60 80 100Capabilities Coherence Score

    COHERENCE PAYS

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    37/131

    Capabilities must be mutually reinforcing and integratedinto a system that best supports a chosen way to play

    Example: The Pepsi-Frito Lay Capabilities System

    Direct-store delivery (DSD)allowing easy testing of newproducts by introducing them ina handful of stores

    Continuousinnovation of new

    products with storelevel response

    information goingdirectly to R&D

    Skilful global consumermarketing to rapidly builddemand for initiallysuccessful products

    Way to PlayRapid innovation, distribution and marketing to stimulate and meet

    customer snacking needs

    A starting point: Is our strategy coherent?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    38/131

    A starting point: Is our strategy coherent?The Coherence Test

    Can We State It? Do We Live It?

    Way to PlayAre we clear about how we choose to create value for

    our members? Are we investing in the capabilities that really matter to

    our way to play?

    CapabilitiesSystem

    Can we articulate the three to six capabilities thatdescribe what we do uniquely better than anyone else?

    Have we defined how they work together in a system? Do our strategy documents reflect this?

    Do all our service offerings draw on this superiorcapabilities system?

    Do our organizational structure and operating modelsupport and leverage it?

    Does our performance management system reinforce it?

    Product &

    Service Fit

    Have we specified our product and service sweetspot?

    Do we understand how to leverage the capabilitiessystem in new or unexpected arenas?

    Do most of the products and services we offer fit withour capabilities system?

    Are new products and acquisitions evaluated on thebasis of their fit with the way to play and capabilitiessystem?

    Coherence

    Can everyone in the organization articulate ourdifferentiating capabilities?

    Is our associations leadership reinforcing thesecapabilities?

    Do we have a right to win in our chosen field? Do all of our decisions add to our coherence, or do

    some of them push us toward incoherence?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    39/131

    M&A

    Follows the coherence test

    The reason for M&A

    Seeking Frms to answer the questions,and ever changing needs.

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    40/131

    Acquisition of an Existing Company

    Most popular app roachto

    diversi f icat ion

    Advantages

    Quicker entry into target market

    Easier to hurdle certain entry barriers

    Acquiring technological know-how

    Establishing supplier relationships

    Becoming big enough to match rivalsefficiency and costs

    Having to spend large sums onintroductory advertising and promotion

    Securing adequate distribution access

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    41/131

    Vertical Integration Strategies

    Extenda firms competi t ive scopewithinsame industry

    Backwardinto sources of supply

    Forwardtoward end-users of final product

    Problems going backward or forward? So why?

    Internally

    Performed

    Activities,

    Costs, &

    Margins

    Activities,

    Costs, &

    Margins of

    Suppliers

    Buyer/User

    Value

    Chains

    Activities, Costs,

    & Margins of

    Forward Channel

    Allies &

    Strategic Partners

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    42/131

    When the CEO of Schick (disposal razers)stated he was going to buy Duracell (batteries)the stock dropped by 15% and I agreed, becausethe CEO said (as is always the norm from an

    Agency Theory perspective), he was going to get

    synergies. We could not see how, but then in a fewdays knowing his mistake of not enough information,the CEO explained and the stock went up. Wherewere the synergies?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    43/131

    Related vs. Unrelated Diversification

    Related Diversif icat ionInvolves diversifying into

    businesses whose value

    chains possess

    competitively valuablestrategic fits with value

    chain(s) of firms present

    business(es)

    Unrelated Diversif ic at ionInvolves diversifying into

    businesses with no

    competitively valuable

    value chain match-ups orstrategic fits with firms

    present business(es)

    8-43

    Figure 8.2: Related Businesses Possess Related Value

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    44/131

    Chain Activities and Competitively Valuable Strategic Fits

    8-44

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    45/131

    Strategic Appeal of Related Diversification

    Reap compet it ive advantagebenefitsof

    Skills transfer

    Lower costsCommon brand name usage

    Stronger competitive capabilities

    Spreadinvestorr isksover a broaderbase

    Preserve strategic un i tyacross

    businesses

    T f St t i Fit

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    46/131

    Cross -business s trategic f i ts can exist

    anywhere along the value chain

    R&D and technology activities

    Supply chain activities

    Manufacturing activities

    Distribution activities

    Sales and marketing activities

    Managerial and administrative support activities

    Types of Strategic Fits

    Core Concept: Economies of Scope

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    47/131

    Core Concept: Economies of Scopeoften Called Synergies

    Stem from cross-business oppo rtuni t ies

    to reduce costsArise when costs can be cut by operating two or more

    businesses under same corporate umbrellaCost saving oppor tun i t iescan stem from strategic fitsanywhere along the value chainsof differentbusinesses.

    Rarely is this successful In long term..

    Let us stop and discuss Psychological contract.

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    48/131

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    49/131

    How do you value a firm?

    How do you find an acquisition target?

    How much do you pay?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    50/131

    Term Sheet

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    51/131

    Steps

    Strategic Analysis

    Search

    Due Diligence

    Negotiation / Bidding

    Legal

    Deal Design

    Integration

    1. Leadership

    2. Communication3. Managing4. Key Personnel

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    52/131

    Cross Border

    Significant

    Disruptive: Why?

    Time consuming: Why?

    Different from domestic: How?

    Country specific: Why?

    Affects analysis and due diligence

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    53/131

    Cross Border

    More likely to be related

    (What is related versus unrelated?)

    Payment in cash: Why?

    Competitor reaction different: Why?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    54/131

    First Round Document

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    55/131

    Cross Border: Macroeconomy

    Issues Fiscal Policy

    Monetary Policy

    Trade Policy

    Intervention Policy

    Employment Policies

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    56/131

    Cross Border: Microeconomy

    Issues Industry Structure

    FDI issues

    Infrastructure

    Porters Diamond

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    57/131

    Cross Border: Institution Issues

    Banks

    Financial Markets

    Legal

    Watchdogs

    Education

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    58/131

    Cross Border: Cultural Issues

    Business Practices

    MoW

    Hofstede stuff

    Leadership

    Entrepreneurship

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    59/131

    Cross Border and Valuation

    Inflation

    Exchange

    Tax rates

    Cash transfers

    Accounting principles

    Political Risk

    Vendors

    Suppliers

    Customers Social Risk (not

    to buy foreign)

    Corruption

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    60/131

    Due Diligence

    Checklist and Global and private

    Page 228

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    61/131

    Due Diligence

    Can degrade to checking facts

    Keep in mind the whole strategic picture

    Keep in mind if you have to manage thefirm after purchase

    What is the risk?

    Does it feel right

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    62/131

    Due diligence

    Time pressure

    Reluctance to offend

    Price versus worth (targets perspective) =conflict

    Too brief

    Situation always changing

    Hidden unknowns

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    63/131

    Due Diligence

    Seek patterns

    Talk to employees (if possible)

    Understand employee mood

    Prepare for integration / corporate culture

    Been frank whenever possible

    Be inquisitive but not invasive

    Develop relationship

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    64/131

    Due diligence Major focus

    Legal

    Accounting

    Tax

    IT

    Risk

    Insurance

    Warranty

    Corporate Culture

    Market share / BrandOperations and Supply

    ChainEquipmentProperty / Lease

    IPFinanceCross BorderHR

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    65/131

    Who wants this deal to get done?1) Publicly traded?2) Private

    Or are there any differences?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    66/131

    TMT (top management team)

    Berkshire HathawayManagement in place (they wont supply it,

    and Managers must remain significant ownerswho continue to run their companies as they

    have done so in the past Large purchases

    Consistent earnings

    Good returns on little debt

    Simple business

    WHY?

    B k hi H th 2011 A l R t

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    67/131

    On September 16th we acquired Lubrizol, a worldwide producer of additives

    and other specialty chemicals. The company has had an outstanding recordsince James Hambrick became CEO in 2004, with pre-tax profits increasingfrom $147 million to $1,085 million. Lubrizol will have many opportunities forbolt-on acquisitions in the specialty chemical field. Indeed, weve alreadyagreed to three, costing $493 million. James is a disciplined buyer and a superboperator. Charlie and I are eager to expand his managerial domain.

    Berkshire Hathaway: 2011 Annual Report

    Charlie and I measure our performance by the rate of gain in Berkshires per-share intrinsic business value. If our gain over time outstrips the performance ofthe S&P 500, we have earned our paychecks. Ifit doesnt, we are overpaid atany price. We have no way to pinpoint intrinsic value. But we do have a useful,

    though considerably understated, proxy for it: per-share book value. Thisyardstick is meaningless at most companies.

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    68/131

    How Accountants like to value

    Book value

    Liquidation value

    Replacement cost (of assets)

    Current market value

    Discounted cash flow

    Multiples

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    69/131

    How to value strategically

    After acquisition, target valuation

    Synergy

    After acquisition, our valuation

    Value of intangible (like?)

    Value of long term association

    Value in combination with otheracquisitions (stream!)

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    70/131

    How measure success?

    Stream?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    71/131

    Which is easier for long-term success:

    Buying a small private firmor a Publicly traded firm?

    D l D i

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    72/131

    Deal Design

    Price is unimportant (is this a surprise?) Do I buy a poorly performing firm and get

    a deal?

    Trade-offs Whole deal view systems approach

    How pay?

    How Finance?

    Timing

    Commitments and follow-up

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    73/131

    Deal Design

    Controls

    Governance

    Decentralization versus Centralization

    Internal Power alignments

    Synergistic firings / closings

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    74/131

    Deal Design Issues

    Feedback and flexibility

    Speed and momentum (but beware of the

    rush) Simplicity versus complexity (where is the

    strength in the deal?)

    Initial meetings and reinforcement overtime (why there is one point of majorcontact)

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    75/131

    When to say no an stop?

    Winners curse?

    Escalation of commitment?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    76/131

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    77/131

    Integration

    Where M&A mostly fails: Why?

    Autonomy

    Interdependence Control

    Speed Important

    Flexible

    R f M&A F il (60%

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    78/131

    Reasons for M&A Failure (60%

    fail to deliver value)ExecutionPoorLeadership

    23%

    Poor

    Integration

    21%

    Cultures toodifferent

    22%

    Unclear

    Leadership

    18%

    Wrong Focus 16%

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    79/131

    Major Risks

    Approach Risk

    Resources focused on transaction and not integrationand its costs

    Wrong targets

    Handoff Risk

    No recognition of the unique source of value

    Poor transfer of knowledge to integration team

    Execution Risk

    Failure to mobilize and capture value

    Lack of resources

    No accountability for value capture

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    80/131

    Top 12 Best M&A Practices

    Approach

    1.Focus on Source of value

    2.Calculate Maximum price early3.Need superior Due diligence

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    81/131

    Top 12 Best M&A Practices

    Execution

    1.Address integration early, especially

    management and culture.2.Quantify target success

    3.Speed in integration

    4.Focus on value drivers

    5.Small rapid integration teams

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    82/131

    Top 12 Best M&A Practices

    Execution (continued):

    6.Align Roles and responsibilities and

    communicate these7. Retention/Retention/Retention

    8. Culture: Humanize the M&A

    9. Communicate frequently to allstakeholders in regard to implications andprogress

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    83/131

    Integration

    Uncertainty

    Employee issues

    Change Management Objectives set

    Culture needs to change

    Value Chain

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    84/131

    Integration

    Start at the beginning

    Point man / leader

    Communication Deadlines

    Talent retention plans

    Production / Supply Chain Management

    Intangible retention

    MIS

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    85/131

    Speed Errors

    1. Obsessive list making

    2. Content free communication

    3. Too many planning meetings/committees4. Ignoring hierarchy

    5. Too much Emphasis on vision/values

    6. Rewarding A, getting B

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    86/131

    Integration Maxims

    Publish/Communicate Integration (if at all)plan

    Clear targets Integration short

    Swift decisions (mostly decentralize)

    Involve many employees (both sides)

    Common MIS (if possible)

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    87/131

    MRP/LP Email Case

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    88/131

    JV example

    Alcatel/Lucent example

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    89/131

    M&A Trends1. Booming Demand

    2. Supply/Demand shift toremote, unstable locations

    3. Demand shift in Asia

    4. Middle East cheapenergy = diversification

    5. Natural resourcesdepleting fast

    6. Massive capital required

    8. Supply security

    9. Scarcity of Talent

    10. Global labor market

    11. New, low cost players

    12. Niche companies in newtechnologies*

    13. Private Equity

    14. Restructuring undervalued

    Conglomerates

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    90/131

    M&A Trends15. Low priced firms

    16. Antitrust Regulations

    17. Cross-borderRegulations

    18. Traditional MNCconsolidation

    19. Competition for Assets

    20. Rise of Sovereign Funds

    21. Alternative Industries

    growth, fragmented*

    22. Low R&D, demand fornew technologies

    23. Credit Crunch

    24. Foreign entities

    25. Political instabilities

    26. De-regularization,

    Unbundling

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    91/131

    Biggest Trend

    Earnings Per Share growth expectations

    are way above what companies can

    achieve in most territories from organicgrowth alone

    John McConomy, US Power and Utilities Transaction Services Leader,

    PricewaterhouseCoopers

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    92/131

    Two Major Rationale for M&As:

    1. Cost Reduction (how effective?Synergies?)

    2. Growth

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    93/131

    Strategies for Growth

    1. BaseRetention

    2. Share Gain

    3. Positioning4. Adjacent

    Market

    5. NewBusiness

    GROWTH

    Double-Digit Growth, Michael Treacy

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    94/131

    Rationale for M&As: Growth

    Expansion

    1.Consolidate

    2.Geographic3.Distribution

    4.Compensate

    Transformative

    1.Portfoliorefocus

    2.Diversification

    Easier Tougher

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    95/131

    Rationale for M&As: Expansion

    Expansion

    1.Consolidate

    2.Geographic

    3.Distribution

    4.Compensate

    1.Gain Scale to compete2. Integrated Solutions

    3.Financial Growth

    4.Supply (security, mix)

    5.Developing markets

    6.High cost of Extra Capacity

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    96/131

    Rationale for M&As: Expansion

    Expansion

    1.Consolidate

    2.Geographic

    3.Distribution

    4.Compensate

    9.De-regularization10.Demand outstrip supply

    11.Revenue Mix Tax

    optimization

    12.Talent

    13.New, Low-cost Entrants

    14.Undervalued Big Players

    15.Newer Assets

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    97/131

    Rationale for M&As: Transformative

    Transformative

    1.Portfoliorefocus

    2.Diversification

    1. New Business Lines2. Selling/Spin-off non-core

    3. Increase product line

    4. New customers5. New technologies

    6. Complementary Business

    7. Up-down Supply Chain8. Patent

    9. Convergence anticipation

    Rationale for M&As: Cross

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    98/131

    Rationale for M&As: Cross

    SectorsTraditional

    AlternativeIncremental

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    99/131

    Rationale for M&As: Cross Sectors

    TraditionalUtility

    Alternative

    Energy

    Incremental

    Technology

    New Delivery, New Sources,Existing Resources

    Oil, Gas,Electricity, Coal

    Biomass, Nuclear,Ethanol, Wind, Solar

    Example:Energy Sector

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    100/131

    Why are international acquisitions more difficult?

    Possible Outside Acquirers or Investors

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    101/131

    q

    InstitutionalFund Managers

    Corporations

    Sovereign Funds

    VCs

    NGOs

    Non-Profit Org

    Financial (Loans)

    JV Partners

    M&A

    Social VCs

    Holding Co.

    Gov. VCs

    Supply Chain

    Gov. Partnership

    Competitors

    Why do Outsiders Acquire or Invest?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    102/131

    Why do Outsiders Acquire or Invest?

    1. Return/Profit2. Risk Management/

    Hedging

    3. Tax-benefits

    4. CSR/Image

    5. Diversify revenue

    6. Counter-cyclical

    balance7. Support Mission

    8. Exclusive rights

    8. Contractual obligation9. National Agenda

    10. Control Supply Chain

    11. R&D portfolio

    12. Control Management

    13.Alternative Cash Flow

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    103/131

    3. Strategies, Structure, and

    Optimizing Value in M&As

    S i f G h

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    104/131

    Strategies for Growth

    1. BaseRetention

    2. Share Gain

    3. Positioning4. Adjacent

    Market

    5. NewBusiness

    GROWTH

    Buying Market Share: Side

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    105/131

    Buying Market Share: Sidenotes on Funding

    Preferable OK, but not preferred

    1. Cash from Earnings

    2. Cash fromBorrowings

    1. Cash from Stock sale

    2. Issue more stock

    Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    106/131

    Strategy 4: Invade AdjacentMarkets

    Adjacent Market = Important Similarities andLarge Differences in:

    1. Cost Structure2. Competitors

    3. Customers

    4. Critical Capabilities

    Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    107/131

    Strategy 4: Invade AdjacentMarkets

    Traditional

    AlternativeIncremental

    Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    108/131

    Strategy 4: Invade AdjacentMarkets

    Upstream Midstream Downstream

    DistributionConversionRaw Mat

    Vendors/Services

    Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    109/131

    Strategy 4: Invade AdjacentMarkets

    Is it a promising market?

    Best when market is new and not stable

    You must time your entry carefullyEntrenched companies usually delay

    embracing new technology or process

    Can you win in this market?

    Must be built on advantages that are tangible,practical and easily implemented

    Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    110/131

    Strategy 4: Invade AdjacentMarketsCan you match the Standards of

    Competition in this Market?

    You do have to meet the quality level that iscommon in the market

    Three Standards:- Technology,Relationships, Business-model

    You must have 80 percent of the capabilitiesyou need to match competitors Standards

    Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    111/131

    Strategy 4: Invade AdjacentMarkets Make or Buy?

    1. It is easier to meet the standards ofcompetition if you buy an existing player

    2. Adjacent acquisitions must remain as aseparate enterprise

    3. Integrate Management Control (systems,technology)

    4. Inter-transfer of management talent,knowledge and capability are important

    Strategy 5: Acquire new

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    112/131

    Strategy 5: Acquire newBusiness

    No core advantage to bring in

    Investors mind-set vs. Managers mind-set

    Value unlocking via operationalimprovements

    Invest in Management/Leadership

    Premium = Combined value > stand alone

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    113/131

    Which is easier: Big acquisitions or small firms?

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    114/131

    4. Considerations, Risks

    and Pitfalls

    www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com

    Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations

    http://www.mycni.com.my/http://www.oobey.com/http://www.oobey.com/http://www.mycni.com.my/
  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    115/131

    yp

    Overcapacity Product/Market

    Consolidation

    Transformation/Convergence

    Roll-up Acquire

    products/market

    Strategic

    Growth Bet

    Size

    (

    Relative)

    Share Gain

    (Expansion)

    Adjacent

    (Transformative)

    New Business

    (Transformative)

    Small

    Large

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    116/131

    yp

    Overcapacity

    Size

    (

    Relative)

    Share Gain

    (Expansion)

    Adjacent

    (Transformative)

    New Business

    (Transformative)

    Small

    Large

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Reduce industrycapacityControl PricingSimilar ProductOfferings

    Pay for Cost synergies

    Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    117/131

    yp

    Roll-upSize

    (

    Relative)

    Share Gain

    (Expansion)

    Adjacent

    (Transformative)

    New Business

    (Transformative)

    Small

    Large

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Transfer Core Strengthto targetPay for lower operatingcost of targetIncrease revenue thru

    broad strength

    Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    118/131

    Product/Market

    Consolidation

    Size

    (

    Relative)

    Share Gain

    (Expansion)

    Adjacent

    (Transformative)

    New Business

    (Transformative)

    Small

    Large

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Economies ofScaleConsolidateback officeExpand Market

    presencePay for Growth,Channels

    Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    119/131

    Acquire

    products/market

    Size

    (

    Relative)

    Share Gain

    (Expansion)

    Adjacent

    (Transformative)

    New Business

    (Transformative)

    Small

    Large

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Expand marketofferingExpandGeographicreachPay for Growth,ChannelsRevenuesynergies

    Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    120/131

    Transformation/Convergence

    Size

    (

    Relative)

    Share Gain

    (Expansion)

    Adjacent

    (Transformative)

    New Business

    (Transformative)

    Small

    Large

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Transform IndustryCreate new ValuePropositionPay for New Markets,New Capabilities

    Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    121/131

    Strategic

    Growth Bet

    Size

    (

    Relative)

    Share Gain

    (Expansion)

    Adjacent

    (Transformative)

    New Business

    (Transformative)

    Small

    Large

    Adapted: Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Skill transfer into newbusinessPay for High Riskoptions, ability to act innew market space

    Three-Stage Process for Evaluating M&A deals

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    122/131

    1. Strategy Approval

    2. Approval-to-Negotiate

    3. Deal Approval

    1. Business Dev +Business Unit

    2. Worth of Target?3. Attractiveness of Target

    vs. Others

    4. Target compatible withStrategy?

    5. Support from Acquirer?6. Integration possibilities?

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Three-Stage Process for Evaluating M&A deals

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    123/131

    1. Strategy Approval

    2. Approval-to-Negotiate

    3. Deal Approval

    1. Price range2. Initial Due Diligence3. Vision for incorporation4. Key Synergies5. Nonbinding Term

    Sheet/LOI6. Negotiation Roadmap7. Process to Close

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Three-Stage Process for Evaluating M&A deals

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    124/131

    1. Strategy Approval

    2. Approval-to-Negotiate

    3. Deal Approval

    1. Answering KeyQuestions

    2. Debating Valuations3. Aiming for Integration4. Dealing with Execution

    Risks

    Running a winning M&A shop, McKinsey

    Considerations, Risks and Pitfalls

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    125/131

    1. Global footprint vs. Local Presence

    2. Anti-trust and Regulatory permissions

    3. M&A Accounting Standards

    4. Fair Value definition in financial reporting= Exit price

    5. Acquirer and Target having different Risk

    Tolerances6. Public (or Public-hopeful) companies

    need to consider EPS after acquisition

    Considerations, Risks and

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    126/131

    ,Pitfalls7. Synergies and Improvements need to realized

    as quickly and efficiently as possible

    8. Combined Management capability to deliverimproved performance

    9. First 100 days post-acquisition blueprint

    10. Culture management

    11. Staff Poaching from Competitors (and non-competitors)

    12. Customer Poaching from Competitors

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    127/131

    Why do Acquisitions fail?

    Consideration: Alternative Deals

  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    128/131

    to M&AWhen companies are unwilling to sell or

    acquisition premiums are too high,

    alliances are the next best thing to a

    merger. In other cases, they are actually

    preferable to M&A

    David Hernst, Principal, McKinseys Washington, DC

    www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com

    Consideration: Alternative Deals to M&A

    http://www.mycni.com.my/http://www.oobey.com/http://www.oobey.com/http://www.mycni.com.my/
  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    129/131

    Consideration: Alternative Deals to M&A

    JointVenture

    Unite business units

    Problem with shared ownership

    New Product Lines

    Cost Reductions

    Share risk, Share Cost in new markets, R&DBuy-out clause

    AlliancesReduce non-core or commoditizing parts

    Outsourcing, OffshoringHelp supplier gain Scale

    Enter Complementary business

    www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com

    End Note for M&A

    http://www.mycni.com.my/http://www.oobey.com/http://www.oobey.com/http://www.mycni.com.my/
  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    130/131

    End Note for M&A

    Go where the money is...

    then marry for love

    F. Scott Fitzgerald, Author

    www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com

    http://www.mycni.com.my/http://www.oobey.com/http://www.oobey.com/http://www.mycni.com.my/
  • 7/28/2019 Kone germany strategy

    131/131

    Timothy Kiessling, PhDHead of Strategy Department

    Associate Professor of Strateg and International B siness

    Introduction Strategic M&A