‘like it or lump it’
DESCRIPTION
‘Like it or Lump it’. Glimpses of the future. Forces shaping the future. Globalisation – connected, competitive, faster. Forces shaping the future. G lobalisation Life cycle – low birth rate, more single people, longer life expectancy & later retirement. Forces shaping the future. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
‘Like it or Lump it’
Glimpses of the future
Forces shaping the future
• Globalisation – connected, competitive, faster
Forces shaping the future
• Globalisation• Life cycle – low birth rate, more single
people, longer life expectancy & later retirement
Forces shaping the future
• Globalisation
• Life cycle• Information & other technologies –
many technologies, the Grid, postmodern values
Forces shaping the future
• Globalisation
• Life cycle
• Information & other technologies• Me-society – mass-customisation, an it-
must-fit-me-world
Forces shaping the future
• Globalisation
• Life cycle
• Information & other technologies
• Me-society• Politics – disillusionment, consumer
politics, who decides
Forces shaping the future
• Globalisation• Life cycle• Information & other technologies• Me-society• Politics• Shape of society – more middle class -
the poor left behind? More feminine?
Forces shaping the future
• Globalisation• Life cycle• Information & other technologies• Me-society• Politics• Shape of society• Economy – labour shortages, relationships,
work central
Forces shaping the future
• Globalisation• Life cycle• Information & other technologies• Me-society• Politics• Shape of society• Economy• Sustainability – prospects
Forces shaping the future
• G lobalisation• L ife cycle• I nformation & other technologies• M e-society• P olitics• S hape of society• E conomy• S ustainability
THE SHRINKING CHURCH
1979-89 – 13% decline in England
1989-98 – 22% decline in England
Less than 1.00% attendance by 2016?
A CHANGING CHURCH
• The shrinking church
• A mass approach doesn’t work
We treat everyone the same
But society is more personalised
An it-must-fit-me world
A CHANGING CHURCH
• The shrinking church
• A mass approach doesn’t work
• Subversive incarnation
DOING CHURCH DIFFERENTLY
• From “you come to us” to “we’ll come to you”
• From Sunday church to weekday church
• From missionary congregations to missionaries
• From “we’ll do it on our own” to “we’ll do it together”
A THEOLOGICAL BASIS
• Mission central to church
• Incarnation central to mission
• Trust central to incarnation
• Accountability central to trust
The Tomorrow Project
• Independent charity• The future of people’s lives - 20 year
timescale• Wide range of topics • Research, consultation and
communication• 24 supporters• Tomorrow Network
Why think about the future?
• We all have assumptions about the future – are they valid?
• If we want to shape the future, we need to plan for it
• It helps us to understand the present
A four-stage approach
• What’s happening now?
• What forces will shape the future?
• What alternative futures exist?
• So what?
A middle class society
• Decline of manual workers
• From to
• Spread of middle class values
Globalisation
• Greater interdependence
• Partnerships at HE
• Global competition at secondary level?
Postmaterialist attitudes
• Strong leadersself-expression
• Economic growthquality of life
• Families focused on childrenfocused on self-gratification
• Religious rules/structurespersonal search for meaning
Tomorrow’s Workplace
• The new economy
• The relationship economy
• The fulfilment economy
• The all-age economy