livestock and poultry: and trade - cornell university...production and export forecasts for 2020 are...
TRANSCRIPT
Table of Contents
Beef and Veal
Overview………….......……………………………… 2
Cattle and Beef Summary Tables.…….…… 3
Pork
Overview………………………………….....………… 7
Swine and Pork Summary Tables…………… 8
Chicken Meat
Overview………………….............………………… 12
Chicken Meat Summary Tables ………..…… 13
Notes to Readers…………...……….…………… 15
COUNTRIES Beef PorkChicken
MeatAngola x
Argentina x
Australia x
Brazil x x x
Canada x x x
China x x x
Cuba x
EU x x x
Hong Kong x x
Iraq x
Japan x x x
Mexico x x x
New Zealand x
Philippines x x
Saudi Arabia x
South Africa x
South Korea x x x
Thailand x
United States x x x
Country/Commodities for
January and July Releases
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA For email subscription, click here to register: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service January 10, 2020
Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade
New Publication and Data Release Schedule
Starting with this circular, Livestock and Poultry estimates will be published four times per year (January, April, July, October) for selected countries. However, all countries will be updated in April and October. The next release of this circular is April 9, 2020.
Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade
Selected revisions from the October 2019 Forecast:
Argentina: Production in 2019 and 2020 is revised higher due to rising cattle slaughter driven
by robust export demand. Exports for 2019 and 2020 are revised upward as packers will
continue to capitalize on Chinese market opportunities stemming from shifts in animal protein
supplies and consumption spurred by African Swine Fever (ASF) outbreaks. In addition to a
favorable exchange rate supporting competitive prices in the global market, a weak economy
has depressed domestic beef consumption generating an uptick in exportable supplies. These
factors are expected to more than offset the impact of higher export taxes announced in
December 2019.
Australia: For 2019, expected exports are revised higher to over 1.8 million tons on stronger-
than-expected demand, particularly from China. The ongoing drought has bolstered cattle
slaughter, which is also revised upward, generating greater exportable beef supplies. The beef
production and export forecasts for 2020 are raised.
Brazil: Exports for 2019 totalled nearly 2.4 million tons. The export forecast for 2020 is
revised marginally lower to 2.6 million tons. Higher-than-expected beef prices in 2020 will
dampen domestic consumption which is forecast down 2 percent. Despite a slight downward
revision (2 percent), the 2020 production forecast remains at a record level (10.6 million tons).
China: Imports for 2019 are revised lower on weaker-than-expected demand. Imports for
2020 are unchanged.
Beef and Veal
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Beef and Veal Production - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Production
3,1503,1253,1203,0403,0502,840 Argentina
2,0852,0802,4502,3002,3062,149 Australia
10,58510,80010,22510,2109,9009,550 Brazil
1,3701,3251,3501,3301,2651,201 Canada
6,6256,6256,8506,8506,4406,346 China
7,7807,7807,8757,9108,0037,869 European Union
556666 Hong Kong
475470470475475469 Japan
295296280289279281 Korea, South
2,0652,0702,0202,0301,9801,925 Mexico
679685686686672654 New Zealand
13,98113,9811,36713,72515,84515,754 Others
49,09549,24249,22336,49350,22149,044 Total Foreign
12,51412,61912,38112,28912,25611,943 United States
61,60961,86161,60448,78262,47760,987 Total
none
Total Dom. Consumption
2,3252,3652,3722,3602,5622,547 Argentina
627650637655656677 Australia
8,0478,2407,9148,0037,8667,750 Brazil
9859351,012967999981 Canada
9,5089,5089,1339,2337,9107,313 China
7,7757,7857,8627,9058,0247,838 European Union
355355356356547549 Hong Kong
1,3601,3601,3321,3451,3201,273 Japan
920942892926853818 Korea, South
1,8801,8901,8651,8801,8721,841 Mexico
504950505174 New Zealand
13,55113,5511,79213,62815,79915,344 Others
47,38347,63047,07635,47248,45947,005 Total Foreign
12,32112,42212,40812,24012,18012,052 United States
59,70460,05259,48447,71260,63959,057 Total
Notes: Includes meat of other bovines for certain countries. India includes carabeef (water buffalo). From 2019, the following countries
are excluded: Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Oman, Peru, Singapore, Turkey, and Venezuela. The notation of a month beneath a year conveys
the month in which the forecast for that year was released.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 3 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Beef and Veal Trade - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Total Imports
15151720190 Argentina
121212121213 Australia
424045434856 Brazil
215190215200245239 Canada
2,9002,9002,3002,4001,467974 China
355355357355373337 European Union
350350350350541543 Hong Kong
890890870880862813 Japan
625645610635582531 Korea, South
205210200205202196 Mexico
131513141213 New Zealand
2,7572,7574402,7822,9972,904 Others
8,3798,3797,7885,5547,3606,619 Total Foreign
1,3061,3021,3881,3741,3601,358 United States
9,6859,6819,1766,9288,7207,977 Total
none
Total Exports
840775765700507293 Argentina
1,4701,4421,8251,6571,6621,485 Australia
2,5802,6002,3562,2502,0821,856 Brazil
610590560570502461 Canada
171717171717 China
360350370360352368 European Union
000000 Hong Kong
666654 Japan
000000 Korea, South
390390355355310280 Mexico
642651649650633593 New Zealand
3,1873,187152,8793,0633,314 Others
10,10210,0089,9426,5809,1338,671 Total Foreign
1,4991,4991,3721,4181,4341,297 United States
11,60111,50711,3147,99810,5679,968 Total
Notes: Includes meat of other bovines for certain countries. Indian exports are carabeef (water buffalo). From 2019, the following
countries are excluded: Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Oman, Peru, Singapore, Turkey, and Venezuela. The notation of a month beneath a year
conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 4 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Cattle Stocks - Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Total Cattle Beg. Stks
53,68554,08553,80553,80553,71553,515 Argentina
23,93424,48425,73425,73426,17624,971 Australia
244,150244,143238,158238,158232,350226,045 Brazil
11,04511,07511,44011,44011,56511,535 Canada
87,50087,50090,00090,00090,38788,345 China
86,25086,08087,40787,40788,81989,152 European Union
3,8503,8453,8353,8353,8423,822 Japan
3,6293,5923,5213,5213,4293,381 Korea, South
16,92016,90016,69916,69916,58416,490 Mexico
10,10310,12810,10710,10710,14610,152 New Zealand
353,268353,26818,050351,311364,651363,025 Others
894,334895,100892,017558,756901,664890,433 Total Foreign
94,70094,95094,76094,76094,29893,625 United States
989,034990,050986,777653,516995,962984,058 Total
none
Production (Calf Crop)
14,90014,90014,78014,78014,65014,200 Argentina
8,4008,5008,7008,7009,1009,700 Australia
51,50051,50050,49050,49049,50048,735 Brazil
4,4004,4004,3254,3254,2924,348 Canada
49,50049,50048,50048,50047,50048,800 China
28,30028,30028,35028,35028,80029,550 European Union
1,2301,2301,2251,2251,2241,201 Japan
1,0281,000991982968932 Korea, South
8,1058,1057,9007,9007,7007,485 Mexico
4,8754,8554,9154,9154,8954,728 New Zealand
84,15084,1506,59083,65087,28086,832 Others
256,388256,440253,826176,757255,909256,511 Total Foreign
36,20036,20036,30036,30036,40335,758 United States
292,588292,640290,126213,057292,312292,269 Total
Notes: May contain other bovines. From 2019, Turkey is excluded. The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which
the forecast for that year was released.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 5 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Cattle Trade - Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Total Imports
000000 Argentina
000000 Australia
000000 Brazil
250210260210202141 Canada
170170160160168121 China
000000 European Union
151515151415 Japan
000000 Korea, South
282827272432 Mexico
000000 New Zealand
3823821104521,8021,213 Others
8458059145222,2101,522 Total Foreign
2,0652,1502,0302,0501,8991,807 United States
2,9102,9552,9442,5724,1093,329 Total
none
Total Exports
000000 Argentina
9009001,3001,1501,151885 Australia
605650554630785407 Brazil
700700730710631642 Canada
151517171919 China
9209209759501,0051,028 European Union
000000 Japan
000000 Korea, South
1,4001,4001,3301,3501,2781,203 Mexico
201722171727 New Zealand
30230225277500436 Others
4,8624,9045,2054,8495,3864,647 Total Foreign
285265295265244193 United States
5,1475,1695,5005,1145,6304,840 Total
Notes: May contain other bovines. From 2019, Turkey is excluded. The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which
the forecast for that year was released.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 6 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade
Selected revisions from the October 2019 Forecast:
Canada: Exports are revised up 8 percent in 2020 after China removed restrictions on imports of Canadian beef and pork in November. China accounted for one-third of Canada’s exports in the first half of 2019, but exports struggled during the second half due to the loss in market access. Production is revised 2 percent higher in 2020 on improved export prospects.
China: Pork production is revised up nearly 4 percent in 2020 on strong gains in average carcass weights and, to a lesser extent, slaughter. Motivated by record profits, producers are finishing animals at higher weights to maximize pork output. However, a sharply lower breeding herd and continued impacts from African Swine Fever (ASF) will drive production 23 percent lower year-over-year in 2020. Pork imports are unchanged at 2.6 million tons in 2019 and revised up 200,000 tons to 3.7 million tons in 2020. The United States, Canada, and Brazil all stand to increase market share in China this year; however, the European Union is expected to remain the dominant supplier.
European Union: Exports are revised 6 percent higher in 2019 on strong second-half shipments to China. Monthly exports reached a record 400,000 tons in October with exports to China quadrupling year-over-year to 250,000 tons. 2020 exports are unchanged at a record 3.9 million tons. Pork production forecasts are revised marginally lower on reduced slaughter.
Mexico: Imports are revised down 2 and 3 percent in 2019 and 2020 respectively. A weak economy has slowed gains in pork consumption while growth in domestic production has reduced demand for imports. Despite the removal of retaliatory tariffs on U.S. pork last spring, imports have been slow to rebound.
Philippines: Pork production is lowered 2 percent in 2019. ASF has not spread as quickly as previously anticipated, resulting in a lower-than-expected herd liquidation. Higher-than-expected hog supplies and fewer disease impacts boost 2020 production by 5 percent from the previous estimate, but production is forecast to fall 10 percent year-over-year due to ASF impacts. Imports are lowered 14 percent for 2020 due to higher domestic supplies.
Pork
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 7 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Pork Production - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Production
4,1554,1553,9753,9753,7633,725 Brazil
2,0852,0502,0202,0001,9551,958 Canada
36,00034,75046,50046,50054,04054,518 China
24,25024,40023,98024,12024,08223,660 European Union
54538377128126 Hong Kong
1,2901,3001,2851,2951,2841,272 Japan
1,3351,3751,3521,3651,3291,280 Korea, South
1,4651,4501,4051,3901,3211,267 Mexico
1,4751,4001,6401,6751,6011,563 Philippines
11,27511,2753,24010,91211,49211,085 Others
83,38482,20893,45885,637100,995100,454 Total Foreign
12,99913,01512,54312,51611,94311,611 United States
96,38395,223106,00198,153112,938112,065 Total
none
Total Dom. Consumption
3,1573,1073,1173,1023,0352,941 Brazil
940955939939864816 Canada
39,60038,15048,97048,97055,39855,930 China
20,36520,51520,34520,68521,16320,817 European Union
354428418427551589 Hong Kong
2,7852,8052,7302,7902,7752,731 Japan
2,0442,1042,0262,0442,0011,926 Korea, South
2,4502,4852,3902,4052,3312,180 Mexico
1,7751,7501,8791,9391,8871,804 Philippines
12,38912,3893,31012,10212,58912,336 Others
85,85984,68895,22586,611102,594102,070 Total Foreign
10,16510,10110,1269,9519,7489,541 United States
96,02494,789105,35196,562112,342111,611 Total
Note: The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 8 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Pork Trade - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Carcass Weight Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Total Imports
222222 Brazil
260225250250233222 Canada
3,7003,5002,6002,6001,5611,620 China
151515151414 European Union
300375335350423463 Hong Kong
1,4901,5151,5101,5101,4811,475 Japan
695700685700753645 Korea, South
1,2351,2751,2001,2251,1881,083 Mexico
300350240265287242 Philippines
1,5901,5901301,6201,4961,612 Others
9,5879,5478,4607,0477,4387,378 Total Foreign
401415434434473506 United States
9,9889,9628,8947,4817,9117,884 Total
none
Total Exports
1,0001,050860875730786 Brazil
1,4001,3001,3301,3151,3311,351 Canada
100100130130203208 China
3,9003,9003,6503,4502,9332,857 European Union
000000 Hong Kong
553545 Japan
111112 Korea, South
250240215210178170 Mexico
001111 Philippines
47647660430399361 Others
7,1327,0726,6206,0475,7805,741 Total Foreign
3,2213,3112,8562,9852,6652,555 United States
10,35310,3839,4769,0328,4458,296 Total
Note: The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 9 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Swine Stocks - Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Total Beginning Stocks
37,72537,72538,42738,42738,82939,215 Brazil
14,15014,18013,97513,97514,17013,935 Canada
335,000310,000428,070428,070441,589442,092 China
148,500148,500148,192148,223150,257147,188 European Union
9,2429,2429,1569,1569,2809,346 Japan
11,09011,50011,33311,33311,27311,487 Korea, South
11,12511,00010,80010,70010,41010,229 Mexico
33,42533,42523,60032,59432,33731,743 Others
600,257575,572692,547683,484708,145705,235 Total Foreign
77,33877,05075,07074,91573,14571,345 United States
677,595652,622767,617758,399781,290776,580 Total
none
Production (Pig Crop)
44,00044,00042,50042,50040,95440,230 Brazil
28,90028,55028,45028,30028,02729,026 Canada
412,000410,000490,000490,000685,000705,000 China
270,000271,000266,500267,500267,000267,250 European Union
17,03017,03017,00017,00016,69016,785 Japan
19,41519,82519,53019,70019,11818,191 Korea, South
20,20019,95019,60019,40018,75018,100 Mexico
66,07566,07550,91564,48063,36659,792 Others
877,620876,430948,060935,3151,138,9051,154,374 Total Foreign
142,790143,255138,032138,145132,568129,429 United States
1,020,4101,019,6851,086,0921,073,4601,271,4731,283,803 Total
Notes: The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 10 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Swine Trade - Selected Countries Summary
(in 1,000 head)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Total Imports
222222 Brazil
260225250250233222 Canada
3,7003,5002,6002,6001,5611,620 China
151515151414 European Union
1,4901,5151,5101,5101,4811,475 Japan
695700685700753645 Korea, South
1,2351,2751,2001,2251,1881,083 Mexico
2,1902,3157052,2352,2062,317 Others
9,5879,5478,4607,0477,4387,378 Total Foreign
401415434434473506 United States
9,9889,9628,8947,4817,9117,884 Total
none
Total Exports
1,0001,050860875730786 Brazil
1,4001,3001,3301,3151,3311,351 Canada
100100130130203208 China
3,9003,9003,6503,4502,9332,857 European Union
553545 Japan
111112 Korea, South
250240215210178170 Mexico
47647661431400362 Others
7,1327,0726,6206,0475,7805,741 Total Foreign
3,2213,3112,8562,9852,6652,555 United States
10,35310,3839,4769,0328,4458,296 Total
Notes: The notation of a month beneath a year conveys the month in which the forecast for that year was released.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 11 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade
Source: Trade Data
Monitor, LLC
Obust
Selected revisions from the October 2019 Forecast:
Angola: Imports for 2020 are revised down 11 percent to 250,000 tons due to a depreciating
currency and lowered expectations for income growth. Through October 2019 imports
declined 23 percent year-on-year.
Brazil: Exports for 2019 and 2020 are revised down 4 and 7 percent respectively to 3.72 and
3.75 million tons due to lower-than-expected shipments to the EU, Cuba, and Africa which
partially offset growing trade to China.
China: Production for 2019 and 2020 is revised down to 13.1 and 14.8 million tons
respectively, based on official production data. Despite the downward revision, production will
reach a record level in 2020 as lower pork supplies due to African Swine Fever (ASF) spur
chicken consumption.
Cuba: Imports for 2020 are revised down 37 percent
to 145,000 tons due to worsening economic
conditions, foreign currency shortages, and limited
credit availability. U.S. exports to Cuba fell from a
record monthly high of 34,000 tons in July 2019 to
4,000 tons in October and November.
Iraq: Imports for 2019 and 2020 are both revised
down to 500,000 tons due to weaker-than-expected demand.
Philippines: Imports for 2019 are revised up 10 percent to 345,000 tons as consumers
substitute chicken for pork following ASF outbreaks.
South Africa: Imports for 2019 are revised down 11 percent to 485,000 on lower imports
from Brazil and the United States due to uncertainty regarding proposed tariff hikes. Imports
for 2020 are revised down 14 percent to 480,000 tons.
Thailand: Exports for 2019 and 2020 are revised down 11 and 12 percent to 885,000 and
970,000 tons respectively on lower-than-expected 2019 exports and an appreciating currency.
Exports to China slowed over the summer in 2019 due to lower-than-expected Chinese prices
and the temporary ban of a major Thai poultry exporter.
Chicken Meat
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 12 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Chicken Meat Production - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Production
282528222727 Angola
13,91513,97513,63513,63513,35513,612 Brazil
1,3601,3551,3301,3301,2961,236 Canada
14,80015,80013,10013,80011,70011,600 China
232625252524 Cuba
12,60012,60012,46012,46012,26011,912 European Union
245225235215219201 Iraq
1,7351,7351,7201,7201,6851,661 Japan
955957942942915852 Korea, South
3,7253,7103,6253,6003,4853,400 Mexico
1,6001,6001,4501,4501,3801,344 Philippines
750750730730710600 Saudi Arabia
1,4201,4201,3951,3951,4071,335 South Africa
3,4903,4903,3003,3003,1702,990 Thailand
25,66525,6654,74025,12524,58924,133 Others
82,31183,33379,10059,36476,22374,927 Total Foreign
20,61520,16519,90619,82319,36118,938 United States
102,926103,49899,00679,18795,58493,865 Total
none
Total Dom. Consumption
278305273282344294 Angola
10,1759,9389,9259,7899,6719,768 Brazil
1,4201,4051,3811,3741,3341,273 Canada
15,12016,11013,23513,98011,59511,475 China
168256315315305305 Cuba
11,70011,75011,65511,66011,53611,281 European Union
745805735770745645 Iraq
2,8202,8252,8002,8102,7612,688 Japan
1,0901,1071,0621,0671,040988 Korea, South
4,5884,5734,4684,4434,3014,198 Mexico
1,9901,9981,7951,7631,7001,609 Philippines
1,3401,3451,3181,3201,3081,275 Saudi Arabia
1,8501,9301,8301,8951,8771,778 South Africa
2,5002,3702,4552,3502,3542,226 Thailand
27,64927,6494,78527,09426,57626,295 Others
83,43384,36680,34158,60377,44776,098 Total Foreign
17,27116,91216,66416,59816,18415,826 United States
100,704101,27897,00575,20193,63191,924 Total
Notes: Chicken paws are excluded.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 13 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Chicken Meat Trade - Selected Countries Summary
1,000 Metric Tons (Ready to Cook Equivalent)
2017 2018 2019
Oct
2019
Jan
2020
Oct
2020
Jan
none
Total Imports
250280245260317267 Angola
535433 Brazil
180170175165170174 Canada
750750565625342311 China
145230290290280281 Cuba
710760740780703692 European Union
500580500555526444 Iraq
1,0951,1001,0801,0901,0741,056 Japan
185200180185163132 Korea, South
865865845845820804 Mexico
390400345315320266 Philippines
635625630620628711 Saudi Arabia
480555485545521508 South Africa
222221 Thailand
3,7003,7002003,5693,3833,445 Others
9,89210,2209,6566,4819,2529,095 Total Foreign
626160606459 United States
9,95410,2819,7166,5419,3169,154 Total
none
Total Exports
000000 Angola
3,7454,0403,7153,8503,6873,847 Brazil
125125123120124134 Canada
430440430445447436 China
000000 Cuba
1,6101,6101,5451,5801,4271,323 European Union
000000 Iraq
777777 Japan
55555050336 Korea, South
222246 Mexico
020201 Philippines
453042303036 Saudi Arabia
504550455165 South Africa
9701,100885990826757 Thailand
1,7161,7161481,5931,4081,288 Others
8,7559,1728,4427,2698,0447,906 Total Foreign
3,4043,3253,2593,2623,2453,137 United States
12,15912,49711,70110,53111,28911,043 Total
Notes: Chicken paws are excluded.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 14 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade
The Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade circular is designed to give a snapshot of the current situation among the major players in world beef, pork, and chicken meat trade.
Data Revisions in PSDs for Years Prior to 2018: Revisions are made based on new and/or additional information.
Commodity/Attribute Years Countries
Cattle
Trade 2012-2017 Canada
Beef
Trade 2009-2017 Canada
Swine
Trade 2010-2017 China, EU
Pork
Trade 2010-2017 Brazil, EU, Philippines, South Korea
Chicken Meat
Production 2013-2017 Angola, Iraq
Trade 2010-2017 Philippines, Saudi Arabia, South Africa
Conversion Rates and HS Codes
Beef & Veal Pork Chicken Meat
Conversion Rate 1.4 1.3 None
HS Codes Fresh/Chilled: 0201 Frozen: 0202 Processed: 021020 & 160250
Fresh/Chilled: 020311, 020312, 020319 Frozen: 020321, 020322, 020329 Processed: 021011, 021012, 021019, 160241, 160242, 160249
Fresh/Chilled: 020711, 020713 Frozen: 020712, 020714 Processed: 160232
Note: There are several exceptions by country/product. In general, chicken paws are excluded. Also, beef and veal estimates include meat of other bovines for certain countries. In particular, India estimates include carabeef (water buffalo).
Technical Notes
CWE/PWE: All quantities (beef and pork) noted are in Carcass Weight Equivalent (CWE) unless otherwise noted as Product Weight Equivalent (PWE). CWE is the weight of an animal after slaughter and removal of most internal organs, head, and skin. PWE is the actual weight of the meat product exported.
RTC (Ready-to-Cook): RTC means any slaughtered poultry free from protruding pinfeathers and vestigial feathers (hair or down), from which the head, feet, crop, oil gland, trachea, esophagus, entrails, and lungs have been removed, and from which the mature reproductive organs and kidneys may have been removed, and with or without the giblets, and which is suitable for cooking without need of further processing Ready-to-cook poultry also means any cut-up or disjointed portion of poultry or other parts of poultry, such as reproductive organs, head, or feet that are suitable for cooking without need of further processing.
Assumptions Diseases: Forecast reflects animal disease policies/restrictions in place as of January 10, 2020 and assumes their continuation.
Trade Actions: This report only considers those trade actions which are in place or have had formal announcement of effective dates as of the time of publication. Further, unless a formal end date is specified, this report also assumes such actions are in place throughout the time period covered by these forecasts.
Notes to Readers
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 15 January 2020Global Market Analysis
Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade
PSD Online
The entire USDA PSD database is available online at: http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline.
Additional Resources
• Situation and outlook information on U.S. livestock and poultry can be obtained from the USDA-Economic Research Service at: https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/animal-products/.
Future Releases and Contact Information
Please visit http://www.fas.usda.gov/data/livestock-and-poultry-world-markets-and-trade to view archived and future releases. Starting with this circular, Livestock and Poultry estimates will be published four times per year (January, April, July, October) for selected countries. However, all countries will be updated in April and October. The next release of this circular is April 9, 2020.
Country/Commodities for January and July Releases
Countries Beef Pork Chicken Meat
Angola x
Argentina x
Australia x
Brazil x x x
Canada x x x
China x x x
Cuba x
EU x x x
Hong Kong x x
Iraq x
Japan x x x
Mexico x x x
New Zealand x
Philippines x x
Saudi Arabia x
South Africa x
South Korea x x x
Thailand x
United States x x x
Questions may be directed to the following staff: Lindsay Kuberka (202) 644-4650 [email protected] Swine and Pork Matt Snyder (202) 369-1068 [email protected] Chicken Meat
Jake Vuillemin (202) 690-4476 [email protected] Cattle and Beef
Claire Mezoughem (202) 720-7715 [email protected] Livestock and Poultry
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 16 January 2020Global Market Analysis