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Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large-scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey Alwang

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Page 1: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large-

scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA

John S. CundiffJohn H. Fike

David J. ParrishJeffrey Alwang

Page 2: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Definitions

• Biomass – plant-derived material harvested for energy purposes.

• Biofuel – energy sources (solid, liquid, or gas) derived from biomass.

• Bioenergy – energy resulting from the combustion of biofuel.

• Energy crop – any crop that is grown specifically to produce biomass for bioenergy.

Page 3: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

“We take the position that, although plant-based fuel sources cannot fully replace fossil fuels, if appropriately implemented, they can and will be an important component of future fuel and chemical feedstock supplies.”

Biological (organic) material will be of accelerating importance in the future.

Page 4: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Three reasons for increasing energy from renewable

resources

• Energy security• Climate change• Rural economic development

Page 5: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Ohio S.R. 220

• 25% of electricity generated in Ohio will be generated with “Advanced Energy Technologies”

• 12% of this 25% will come from wind and biomass

• 0.5% will come from solar• Where will the remaining 12.5% come

from? (The biggest “chunk” will come from nuclear.)

Page 6: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Bioenergy can -

• Decrease demand for fossil fuels---energy independence

• Mitigate emissions of CO2---contributor to global climate change

and…

many believe they can serve as engines for rural economies

Page 7: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Do we want to continue to concentrate our population in urban centers?

What are the advantages?

What are the disadvantages?

Page 8: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

How much biomass is out there?

DOE suggests that one billion tons/year could be sustainably harvested in the U.S.

The largest paper mill in Virginia uses 10,000 tons/day

or

3.5 million tons/year (0.35%)

Page 9: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 10: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 11: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 12: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 13: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 14: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 15: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

What are the two questions you must answer to know how much

biomass is available?

How much land is available?

How much biomass can be produced per unit land area?

…Almost two-thirds of the land area in Virginia is covered by forest…

Page 16: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Current Forests

• 15.8 million acres

• 63% of total land area

63%

Page 17: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Forest Landowners

FEDERAL GOVERNMENTNATIONAL FOREST (14%)

FORESTINDUSTRY (7%)

GOVERNMENTOTHER (2%)

PRIVATE FOREST

LANDOWNERS (64%)

TIMO’s (13%)

Page 18: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

695 acres

Contiguous forest patch(Louisa Co, VA)

Page 19: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

1 Forest patch = 65 forest parcels

10 acres average;0.1 to 90 acres

Page 20: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Forest Products Industry

• Top employer in Virginia (248,000 jobs)– Employs one of every six manufacturing

employees (1st in salary & wages)• Contributes $30.5 billion to VA economy

– 6% of Virginia’s gross state product– 27% of industrial establishments in VA

manufacture forest products

Page 21: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Secondary wood sources such as processing residues (e.g., shavings, sawdust, and bark) and pulping liquors currently account for 50% of U.S. biomass consumed.

Forest residue (limbs, tops, weed species trees) produced as a by-product of lumber and pulp harvest may also provide substantial amounts of biomass,

but this is possible only on a site-specific basis.

Page 22: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 23: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Biorefinery – any facility that, on an industrial scale, can

convert biologically-derived materials into more immediately useful forms (liquid fuels, biogas, chemicals and monomers).

Term will likely evolve to describe facilities that produce liquid fuels (and chemicals).

Page 24: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

What scale are we talking about?

Page 25: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

200 mi x 90 mi

Page 26: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Should genetically modified plants be used for bioenergy?

Page 27: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

What will be the position of policy makers as bioenergy pushes up food prices?

Historically, the U.S. has had cheap energy and cheap food. If you have to choose, which will you choose?

Page 28: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

• U. S. grain used for ethanol represents 4% of global grain production

• U. S. grain used for ethanol represents 43% of the increase in global grain consumption from the 2005/06 and 2007/08 marketing years

• U. S. consumption of grain for ethanol in 2008 exceeds the total of all grain exports

Page 29: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Herbaceous Options

• Wheat• Sorghums• Soybean• Sunflower• Corn

If all the corn (grain ethanol) and soybeans (biodiesel) grown in the U.S. are used for energy, this would supply only 12% of U. S. energy needs.

Page 30: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

What is your reaction to the following statement?

“Ethanol-from-corn as a national strategy is not sustainable as currently practiced.”

Page 31: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Crop residues constitute almost half of agriculture’s contribution to the DOE/USDA billion-ton, biomass-for-biofuels scenario.

What are the issues relative to, for example, corn stover collection?

Why not do this, it just rots in the field.

Page 32: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 33: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Suppose I go from the corn stover you just saw to a fuel pellet. (Fuel pellets can be handled using the technology used to handle grain.)

Page 34: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 35: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 36: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 37: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Round bales from field

Ambient storage

Deliver to Pellet Plant

Store in silos/bins

Deliver to Biorefinery

Page 38: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 39: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

SSLFarm gateReceiving

facilityLoad/haul

Agricultural operations

Industrial operations

Page 40: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

“Wet” vs. “Dry” Systems

• Wood chips – a 20 Mg load of wood chips (40% MC) means the truck

is hauling 8 Mg water, 12 Mg dry matter

• Switchgrass – a 14.5 Mg load of switchgrass (15% MC) means the truck is hauling 2.2 Mg water,

12.3 Mg dry matter.

12.3 vs. 12 Mg dry matter---the two systems are nearly equivalent.

Page 41: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Comparison of Coal and Wood Chip Systems

900 MW coal plant – needs a 100-car unit train every two

days

900 MW wood-chip plant – needs a 36-ton truckload of chips every 4

min

15 trucks/h x 10 h/d = 150 trucks/d

Page 42: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Pittsylvania Power Station

80 MW

150 chip vans per day (averages one every 4 minutes for 10-h day)

Page 43: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

What would have to happen to build a 8 MW wood-fired electric

generating plant on the VT campus?

Page 44: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 45: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

What about a system that emulates the Roanoke trash train?

Page 46: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 47: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 48: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 49: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Distributed storage – there is a cost advantage to minimizing at-plant storage

Where is the coal storage for the 1 5 MW VT coal plant?

Around-the-clock delivery – BIG issue relative to a bioenergy plant.

How will this be accomplished?

Page 50: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

We will now change gears.

We are going to integrate issues from other disciplines with the “purely” technical issues.

Page 51: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Key issues relative to sitting a bioenergy plant.

Socio-economic Issue: Percentage of land area attached into production.

Agronomic Issue: Yield per unit land area.

Page 52: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Which option would you prefer?

Option 1: Location where yield is 4.5 Mg/ha and 40% of surrounding land area is planted in feedstock.

Option 2: Location where yield is 11.4 Mg/ha and 10% of the surrounding land area is planted in feedstock.

Page 53: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Option 1---corn stover in the Midwest

Option 2 ---switchgrass in South Central Virginia

Page 54: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Grain Ethanol vs. Cellulosic Ethanol

How is grain ethanol made?

How is cellulosic ethanol made?

Food vs. Fuel controversy.

Page 55: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Other Liquid Fuels

How is bio-crude made?

Feedstock: Any organic material

How is biodiesel made?

Feedstock: Oil seeds (soybean)

Waste grease and oil

Page 56: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Pretreatment Technologies

Cellulosic Sugar Ethanol

Material (or other

fermentation products)

Cellulose C6 sugars

Hemicellulose C5 sugars

Pretreatment Fermentation/Distillation

Page 57: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

What are two natural systems that break down cellulose?

• Termites• Bacteria in rumen

Page 58: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

What are the three components of plant cell walls?

• Cellulose• Hemicellulose• Lignin

Page 59: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Pretreatment Technologies

Cellulosic Sugar Ethanol

Material (or other

fermentation products)

Cellulose C6 sugars

Hemicellulose C5 sugars

Pretreatment Fermentation/Distillation

Page 60: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Most credible studies estimate capital cost for a 50 million GPY cellulosic ethanol plant at three to four times the costs of a similar-sized grain ethanol plant.

Page 61: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Feedstock cost + conversion cost =

Total cost

Corn grain---higher Conversion---lower

Switchgrass---lower Conversion---higher

Page 62: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Key problems:

1. Pretreatment of the fiber produces inhibitors which reduce the ability of microorganisms to convert the sugar to ethanol.

2. Most organisms do not convert both the C5 and C6 sugars.

Page 63: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Public policy is viewed as “the single most important strategy to moving toward a carbohydrate economy”.

Why?

Because the market has no way to incorporate the externalities (environmental cost , cost of military to insure stability of oil-producing regions, ect.)

Page 64: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Is there resistance to competition in energy markets by existing industries?

Utilities

Coal companies

Railroads

Pipeline companies

Page 65: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

“The U.S. governments unwillingness to promulgate many policies supporting renewable energy has been, in part, fueled by industry lobbying and it is our view that it would be naïve to assume that such efforts to influence policy and access to markets will be curtailed in the near future.”

Page 66: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

A biorefinery’s distance to markets affects prices at the pump.

Swenson (2006) reported that the cost of transporting ethanol from a plant in Iowa to its final destruction represented around 10% of the total cost.

Page 67: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey
Page 68: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Will bioenergy influence land prices?

Will bioenergy influence land ownership patterns?

Page 69: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Future issues:

• Carbon sequestration credit• Value of co-products

Page 70: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

The cost of climate change from coal-generated electricity has been conservatively estimated at $11 to 25 per MWh (Tol, 2003).

External health costs associated with large-scale coal electricity generation have also been documented.

$24.16/MWh Roth and Amb (2004)

$9.5 to 28/MWh European Commission (2003)

Page 71: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

U.S. Tax Policies

1. Energy Policy Act of 2005

Provides a federal ethanol subsidy of $0.51/gal

2. State-level incentives (particularly in the Corn Belt)

With subsidies and incentives, the gross profit margin for producers in approximately

$0.27/gal

Page 72: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

There is no question that environmental policies geared to reduce carbon emissions will make biofuels more competitive with conventional energy sources.

Estimates of the relationship between carbon prices and the cost-competitiveness of biofuels range from

$20 to $50/ton CO2

Page 73: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Renewable Fuel Standards

• 20 states have adopted• Standards enhance the competitiveness of

biomass electricity generation

Page 74: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Dispatchability

Wind

Solar

Photovoltaic

vs.

Biomass

Page 75: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

Market-based Barriers

• Vertically integrated energy firms control access to transmission and distribution networks.

(These firms are politically and economically powerful.)

• Regulatory conditions and expenditures required to overcome them can represent an important cost for an infant industry. (Government has a role to play.)

Page 76: Logistic Constraints in Developing Dedicated, Large- scale, Bioenergy Systems in the Southeastern USA John S. Cundiff John H. Fike David J. Parrish Jeffrey

The drivers for bioenergy systems

- reduced greenhouse gas emissions

- energy security

- benefits to rural economies

can (and should!) limit their implementation if these strategies are not successful.