london, united kingdom 2020 presidential election research ... · for president donald trump, the...

London, United Kingdom

2020 Presidential Election Research Six Swing States

21 May 2020

2

Summary Analysis

As part of its research into the 2020 Presidential Election, Redfield & Wilton Strategies conducted polls of registered voters in six key states: Arizona, North Carolina, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. All six of these states were won by Donald Trump in 2016. With the exception of Arizona and North Carolina, these states were also won by Barack Obama in 2012. It is highly likely that the result of the 2020 election will be determined by these so-called swing states.

Presumptive Democratic nominee Joseph Biden leads against Donald Trump in all six polls. His leads

are greatest in the Midwest and lowest in North Carolina and Florida. However, a significant number of respondents who are likely to vote indicated that they did not know how they will vote. In every state but Florida, a higher percentage of those who voted for Donald Trump in 2016 than of those who voted for Hillary Clinton indicated that they did not know how they would vote, indicating that public voting sentiment may still swing more in Donald Trump’s favor. Moreover, the President’s overall approval rating was positive in three states. When asked whether they thought Donald Trump was more likely to win or to lose his re-election bid, respondents themselves tended to give the President favorable odds of winning. (Pages 7, 8, 21)

The two main policy areas prioritized by likely voters are the economy (around 40% in each state) and

healthcare (around 23% in each state). For President Donald Trump, the emphasis voters place on the economy may help him, as around 40% of respondents in each state cited his handling of the economy as a compelling reason to vote for him. 42% to 47% agreed with a statement saying the economy is more likely to mount a strong recovery if Donald Trump is re-elected. In each state, fewer respondents disagreed. At the same time, respondents do not seem optimistic of a quick recovery, with three-quarters to 80% of respondents aligning themselves with a statement saying the US Economy will need some time to recover. Moreover, majorities in all six states indicated that their concerns are closer towards fearing the lockdown and social-distancing measures active across the United being eased too quickly than being extended for too long. (Pages 9, 29, 30)

With respects to the coronavirus crisis, majorities in four states (and 49% in the other two states) said

no, the President has not handled the crisis well. His approval ratings for his handling of the coronavirus crisis specifically is worse than his overall approval rating. About 40% in each state think a President Joe Biden would have handled the crisis better. Majorities of no more than 60% think the extent to which the coronavirus has spread through the United States could have been avoided. Looking forward, respondents’ expectations aligned closer to the rate of spread of the virus being slowed rather than reduced to zero. Closer to home, respondents tended to approve of their respective Governors’ decisions to issue a stay-at-home order as well as their decisions to either extend or ease such measures. (Pages 22, 23, 25, 26, 31-26)

Meanwhile, Candidate Joe Biden is struggling with the Tara Reade allegation. His alleged misconduct

with women is one of the most compelling reasons cited by respondents not to vote for him. At least three quarters of respondents had heard of this allegation. Of this group, about two-thirds in each state thought the allegation was either ‘more’ or ‘just as’ credible as Christine Blasey Ford’s allegation against Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh from Fall 2018. 16% to 24% of those who are currently likely to vote for Biden in November say he should be replaced as a direct consequence of this allegation. In all six states, more than a third of those who are likely to vote for Biden in November would altogether prefer he be replaced with someone else, such as a Governor who has performed well during the coronavirus crisis. (Pages 20, 11, 12, 19)

Respondents tend to remember the past two presidencies by Democratic Presidents positively. More than

a quarter cited Biden’s relationship with former President Obama and nearly a third in every state cited his positions on healthcare and important domestic issues as compelling reasons to vote for him. Respondents are more likely to think that the Democratic candidate “cares about people like me,” “can bring America together,” “understands the problems afflicting America,” and “can work with foreign leaders.” To his detriment, respondents generally did not think the former Vice President “tells the truth,” “is in good physical and mental health,” or “will be tough on China.” (Pages 10, 16, 17)

The key strong points for the Republican candidate, on the other hand, appear to be that he “knows how

to get things done,” “reflects America’s can-do spirit,” “stands up for America’s interests,” and––in particularly strong contrast to his opponent––“will be tough on China.” Nonetheless, “his character” is cited by 34% to 42% of respondents as a compelling reason not to vote for him. (Pages 14, 15)

3

Methodology

Arizona Pennsylvania Sample Size: Fieldwork Dates: Margin of Error:

946 0.5.10.2020 to 05.13.2020 3.19%

Sample Size: Fieldwork Dates: Margin of Error:

963 05.10.2020 to 05.14.2020 3.16%

North Carolina Michigan Sample Size: Fieldwork Dates: Margin of Error:

859 05.10.2020 to 05.14.2020 3.34%

Sample Size: Fieldwork Dates: Margin of Error:

970 05.10.2020 to 05.14.2020 3.15%

Florida Wisconsin Sample Size: Fieldwork Dates: Margin of Error:

1,014 05.10.2020 to 05.13.2020 3.08%

Size: Fieldwork Dates: Margin of Error:

875 05.10.2020 to 05.14.2020 3.31%

Interview Method: Online Web Survey (compatible with both computers & smartphones). Survey questions were available in English and Spanish. Populations Sampled: Representative samples of registered voters in Arizona, North Carolina, Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Sampling Method: Representative samples were selected through registered panel providers. Weighting: Data weighted according to the profile of adults (18+) in each state. Data weighted by age, gender, region, education level, race, and 2016 Presidential Election Vote. Targets for age, gender, education, and race were derived from the 2018 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates.1 Targets for region based on the county-level estimates by the US Census; categorization of counties into regions our own.2 Targets for past vote were derived from the official results of the 2016 Presidential Election. Turnout Weighting: In order to best assess the current voting intention of the public, we asked respondents how likely they are to vote in the Presidential Election on November 3rd, based on a well-defined scale of 0 to 5, where each number is carefully defined as follows: 0 (Definitely will not vote) 1 (Probably will not vote) 2 (Leaning towards not voting, but could vote) 3 (Leaning towards voting, but might not vote) 4 (Probably will vote) 5 (Certain to vote) Their likelihood to vote was then weighted to the subsequent answers they gave when asked whom they would vote for. The voting intention of those who responded ‘5’ were weighted by a factor of 1.0, ‘4’ by a factor of 0.8, ‘3’ by a factor of 0.6, ‘2’ by a factor of 0.4 and ‘1’ by a factor of 0.2. Those who responded ‘0’ were not asked at all whom they would vote, because it was considered that they would not vote. It is important to note that our turnout weighting does not aim to predict turnout itself but only aims to marry respondents’ actual enthusiasm for voting to their stated voting preferences. Those who said they are not registered to vote in the States surveyed were excluded.

1 For age, gender, race and education estimates, see: data.census.gov 2 For county-level data, see: https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-counties-total.html

4

Methodology Turnout Weighting Continued: We also asked respondents how likely they would be to vote in the circumstance that the Presidential Election was to be held exclusively through mail-in ballots due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. The same scale 0 to 5 was applied, with the small change that the word ‘will’ was changed to ‘would.’ The results to this second likelihood to vote question were used to weight the same voting intention response to produce the results of a hypothetical mail-in ballot only election. Voting Intention: After being asked their likelihoods to vote, respondents were then asked for whom they will vote in November if they were to vote. The possible responses, presented in a randomized order, were "Donald J. Trump (Republican)", "Joseph R. Biden (Democrat)", "Other (Third Party/Write-In", and "Don't Know". Those who said they were certain not to vote were not prompted and were counted as 'won't vote' Our voting intention results presented here incorporate respondents’ stated likelihood to vote. Margin of Error: Because only a subset of the American population was surveyed for this research, all results are subject to a margin of error. By consequence, not all differences are statistically significant, especially among subsamples. The margin of errors provided above mark the range within which the true value falls if 50.0% of respondents gave a particular answer to a question––the worse-case scenario from the perspective of margin of error––at a 95.0% confidence level. Subsample results from crosstabs are subject to a higher margin of error due to their lower sample sizes. Conclusions drawn from small subsamples should be treated with caution. We particularly emphasize caution when reporting on any subsample figures where the base is below 50 respondents. * Due to rounding, some percentages presented below may add up to 99 or 101. * Questions presented below are shown in the order that they were presented to respondents. Additional information: Redfield & Wilton Strategies is a member of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its rules.3

3 See: http://www.britishpollingcouncil.org/officers-members/

5

Likelihood to Vote How likely are you to vote in the Presidential Election on 3 November 2020?

Arizona Pennsylvania 0 (I will definitely not vote) 1 (I will probably not vote) 2 (I will lean towards not voting, but I might still vote) 3 (I will lean towards voting, but I might not vote) 4 (I will probably vote) 5 (I will certainly vote)

9% 6% 4% 5% 11% 65%

0 (I will definitely not vote) 1 (I will probably not vote) 2 (I will lean towards not voting, but I might still vote) 3 (I will lean towards voting, but I might not vote) 4 (I will probably vote) 5 (I will certainly vote)

9% 5% 4% 5% 9% 68%

North Carolina Michigan 0 (I will definitely not vote) 1 (I will probably not vote) 2 (I will lean towards not voting, but I might still vote) 3 (I will lean towards voting, but I might not vote) 4 (I will probably vote) 5 (I will certainly vote)

11% 5% 5% 5% 12% 63%


10% 5% 5% 5% 10% 65%

Florida Wisconsin 0 (I will definitely not vote) 1 (I will probably not vote) 2 (I will lean towards not voting, but I might still vote) 3 (I will lean towards voting, but I might not vote) 4 (I will probably vote) 5 (I will certainly vote)

9% 5% 5% 6% 11% 64%


10% 5% 3% 5% 12% 64%

6

There has been talk in some states that the Presidential Election on 3 November 2020 may be carried out exclusively by mail-in ballots if the coronavirus pandemic continues into the fall. If this election is conducted in this manner, how likely would you be to vote?

Arizona Pennsylvania 0 (I would definitely not vote) 1 (I would probably not vote) 2 (I would lean towards not voting, but I might still vote) 3 (I would lean towards voting, but I might not vote) 4 (I would probably vote) 5 (I would certainly vote)

8% 5% 3% 7% 10% 66%

0 (I would definitely not vote) 1 (I would probably not vote) 2 (I would lean towards not voting, but I might still vote) 3 (I would lean towards voting, but I might not vote) 4 (I would probably vote) 5 (I would certainly vote)

8% 5% 4% 6% 10% 68%

North Carolina Michigan 0 (I would definitely not vote) 1 (I would probably not vote) 2 (I would lean towards not voting, but I might still vote) 3 (I would lean towards voting, but I might not vote) 4 (I would probably vote) 5 (I would certainly vote)

8% 5% 5% 6% 13% 62%


9% 5% 4% 7% 12% 64%

Florida Wisconsin 0 (I would definitely not vote) 1 (I would probably not vote) 2 (I would lean towards not voting, but I might still vote) 3 (I would lean towards voting, but I might not vote) 4 (I would probably vote) 5 (I would certainly vote)

8% 5% 6% 5% 11% 65%


8% 4% 5% 5% 12% 66%

7

Voting Intention

If you are to vote in the Presidential Election on 3 November 2020, how will you vote? (Answer codes were randomized) Standard Election:

Arizona Pennsylvania Donald J. Trump (Republican) Joseph R. Biden (Democrat) Other (Third Party/Write-In) Don’t know

41% 45% 3% 10%

Donald J. Trump (Republican) Joseph R. Biden (Democrat) Other (Third Party/Write-In) Don’t know

39% 48% 2% 11%

North Carolina Michigan Donald J. Trump (Republican) Joseph R. Biden (Democrat) Other (Third Party/Write-In) Don’t know

43% 45% 3% 8%


39% 47% 3% 11%

Florida Wisconsin Donald J. Trump (Republican) Joseph R. Biden (Democrat) Other (Third Party/Write-In) Don’t know

43% 45% 3% 10%


38% 48% 3% 10%

Mail-In Ballot Only Election:

Arizona Pennsylvania Donald J. Trump (Republican) Joseph R. Biden (Democrat) Other (Third Party/Write-In) Don’t know

41% 45% 3% 10%


39% 48% 2% 11%

North Carolina Michigan Donald J. Trump (Republican) Joseph R. Biden (Democrat) Other (Third Party/Write-In) Don’t know

42% 47% 3% 8%


38% 47% 4% 11%

Florida Wisconsin Donald J. Trump (Republican) Joseph R. Biden (Democrat) Other (Third Party/Write-In) Don’t know

42% 45% 3% 10%


38% 49% 3% 10%

8

Taking aside whether you want him to win or to lose, how likely do you think President Donald Trump is to win or lose his re-election bid?

Arizona Pennsylvania Highly likely to lose More likely to lose than to win About even More likely to win than to lose Highly likely to win Don’t know

13% 18% 18% 20% 24% 7%

Highly likely to lose More likely to lose than to win About even More likely to win than to lose Highly likely to win Don’t know

12% 18% 21% 19% 23% 7%

North Carolina Michigan Highly likely to lose More likely to lose than to win About even More likely to win than to lose Highly likely to win Don’t know

14% 15% 19% 19% 26% 7%


15% 17% 18% 20% 22% 8%

Florida Wisconsin Highly likely to lose More likely to lose than to win About even More likely to win than to lose Highly likely to win Don’t know

16% 16% 18% 17% 27% 5%


14% 20% 20% 20% 19% 7%

9

(Asked to all but those who say they will not vote) Which of the following key policy areas is most likely to determine how you will vote in the November Presidential Election? (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona (n = 838) Pennsylvania (n = 862) The Economy Foreign Policy Healthcare Immigration Education Electoral Reform The Environment Judicial Appointments Law & Order Housing Other Don’t Know

40% 2% 23% 9% 4% 1% 6% 1% 1% 0% 6% 7%

The Economy Foreign Policy Healthcare Immigration Education Electoral Reform The Environment Judicial Appointments Law & Order Housing Other Don’t Know

43% 2% 21% 7% 4% 0% 4% 3% 2% 0% 6% 7%

North Carolina (n = 753) Michigan (n = 851) The Economy Foreign Policy Healthcare Immigration Education Electoral Reform The Environment Judicial Appointments Law & Order Housing Other Don’t Know

39% 3% 22% 7% 4% 2% 4% 2% 3% 1% 6% 7%


38% 3% 23% 6% 4% 2% 5% 2% 2% 0% 9% 6%

Florida (n = 894) Wisconsin (n = 771) The Economy Foreign Policy Healthcare Immigration Education Electoral Reform The Environment Judicial Appointments Law & Order Housing Other Don’t Know

42% 4% 23% 8% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1% 5% 6%


39% 2% 26% 7% 4% 1% 5% 1% 2% 0% 6% 6%

10

Thinking about the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party Joe Biden, what would you consider to be the most compelling reasons to vote for him? You may select up to three reasons. (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania His association with former President Barack Obama. His personal life story and the adversity he has overcome. His positions on health care and other important domestic issues. His positions on foreign policy. His lengthy political experience. His likely Supreme Court nominations. His character. That he is on the ballot against Donald Trump. Other. None of these. Don’t know.

27% 11% 27% 11% 23% 9% 16% 28% 3% 30% 7%

His association with former President Barack Obama. His personal life story and the adversity he has overcome. His positions on health care and other important domestic issues. His positions on foreign policy. His lengthy political experience. His likely Supreme Court nominations. His character. That he is on the ballot against Donald Trump. Other. None of these. Don’t know.

26% 12% 26% 9% 22% 9% 15% 28% 3% 29% 8%

North Carolina Michigan His association with former President Barack Obama. His personal life story and the adversity he has overcome. His positions on health care and other important domestic issues. His positions on foreign policy. His lengthy political experience. His likely Supreme Court nominations. His character. That he is on the ballot against Donald Trump. Other. None of these. Don’t know.

27% 12% 25% 10% 23% 8% 15% 26% 3% 30% 8%


28% 13% 27% 10% 23% 10% 19% 27% 2% 26% 10%

Florida Wisconsin His association with former President Barack Obama. His personal life story and the adversity he has overcome. His positions on health care and other important domestic issues. His positions on foreign policy. His lengthy political experience. His likely Supreme Court nominations. His character. That he is on the ballot against Donald Trump. Other. None of these. Don’t know.

29% 15% 29% 12% 25% 9% 18% 24% 3% 25% 7%


26% 11% 28% 10% 20% 8% 17% 30% 2% 26% 8%

11

What would you consider the most compelling reason not to vote for Joe Biden? You may select up to three reasons. (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania His association with former President Barack Obama. His son Hunter Biden’s dealings with multinational firms during his tenure as Vice President. His positions on health care and other important domestic issues. His positions on foreign policy. His past support for the war in Iraq. His lengthy voting history in the Senate, which includes support for legislation now considered unpopular. His likely Supreme Court nominations. His difficulty sounding composed in public. His age-related health issues. His alleged misconduct with women in the past. Other None of these. Don’t know.

21% 20% 17% 11% 13% 13% 6% 21% 21% 27% 5% 19% 10%

His association with former President Barack Obama. His son Hunter Biden’s dealings with multinational firms during his tenure as Vice President. His positions on health care and other important domestic issues. His positions on foreign policy. His past support for the war in Iraq. His lengthy voting history in the Senate, which includes support for legislation now considered unpopular. His likely Supreme Court nominations. His difficulty sounding composed in public. His age-related health issues. His alleged misconduct with women in the past. Other None of these. Don’t know.

20% 18% 26% 9% 11% 15% 7% 21% 26% 26% 3% 19% 9%

North Carolina Michigan His association with former President Barack Obama. His son Hunter Biden’s dealings with multinational firms during his tenure as Vice President. His positions on health care and other important domestic issues. His positions on foreign policy. His past support for the war in Iraq. His lengthy voting history in the Senate, which includes support for legislation now considered unpopular. His likely Supreme Court nominations. His difficulty sounding composed in public. His age-related health issues. His alleged misconduct with women in the past. Other None of these. Don’t know.

21% 20% 14% 8% 10% 13% 6% 19% 22% 25% 5% 32% 10%


20% 21% 16% 9% 10% 15% 7% 18% 22% 25% 4% 19% 7%

Continued on next page.

12

Florida Wisconsin His association with former President Barack Obama. His son Hunter Biden’s dealings with multinational firms during his tenure as Vice President. His positions on health care and other important domestic issues. His positions on foreign policy. His past support for the war in Iraq. His lengthy voting history in the Senate, which includes support for legislation now considered unpopular. His likely Supreme Court nominations. His difficulty sounding composed in public. His age-related health issues. His alleged misconduct with women in the past. Other None of these. Don’t know.

22% 24% 16% 14% 12% 14% 8% 20% 21% 24% 3% 21% 8%


18% 20% 13% 10% 13% 14% 8% 21% 25% 27% 2% 18% 11%

13

Thinking about the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party Donald Trump, what would you consider the most compelling reasons to vote for him? You may select up to three reasons. (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania His handling of the economy. His handling of the healthcare system. His handling of the coronavirus crisis. His approach to foreign policy. His judicial appointments. His approach to the media. His character. His overall style. His goal of ‘draining the swamp.’ That he is on the ballot against Joe Biden. Other None of these. Don’t know.

39% 10% 22% 22% 12% 11% 11% 10% 15% 8% 4% 33% 5%

His handling of the economy. His handling of the healthcare system. His handling of the coronavirus crisis. His approach to foreign policy. His judicial appointments. His approach to the media. His character. His overall style. His goal of ‘draining the swamp.’ That he is on the ballot against Joe Biden. Other None of these. Don’t know.

39% 9% 20% 17% 10% 12% 10% 8% 15% 8% 2% 35% 7%

North Carolina Michigan His handling of the economy. His handling of the healthcare system. His handling of the coronavirus crisis. His approach to foreign policy. His judicial appointments. His approach to the media. His character. His overall style. His goal of ‘draining the swamp.’ That he is on the ballot against Joe Biden. Other None of these. Don’t know.

42% 13% 22% 18% 12% 12% 10% 7% 15% 7% 3% 32% 7%


39% 11% 19% 20% 13% 11% 9% 7% 15% 8% 4% 34% 7%

Florida Wisconsin His handling of the economy. His handling of the healthcare system. His handling of the coronavirus crisis. His approach to foreign policy. His judicial appointments. His approach to the media. His character. His overall style. His goal of ‘draining the swamp.’ That he is on the ballot against Joe Biden. Other None of these. Don’t know.

39% 14% 26% 22% 13% 12% 12% 11% 14% 8% 3% 34% 5%


39% 9% 20% 20% 11% 10% 8% 8% 13% 9% 2% 38% 5%

14

What would you consider the most compelling reason not to vote for Donald Trump? You may select up to three reasons. (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania His handling of the economy. His handling of the US healthcare system. His handling of the coronavirus crisis. His approach to foreign policy. His judicial appointments. His approach to the media. His character. His overall style. His goal of ‘draining the swamp.’ His alleged misconduct with women in the past. Other None of these. Don’t know.

20% 25% 34% 18% 14% 22% 37% 17% 8% 18% 5% 23% 6%

His handling of the economy. His handling of the US healthcare system. His handling of the coronavirus crisis. His approach to foreign policy. His judicial appointments. His approach to the media. His character. His overall style. His goal of ‘draining the swamp.’ His alleged misconduct with women in the past. Other None of these. Don’t know.

20% 22% 36% 17% 15% 22% 38% 21% 9% 16% 6% 21% 6%

North Carolina Michigan His handling of the economy. His handling of the US healthcare system. His handling of the coronavirus crisis. His approach to foreign policy. His judicial appointments. His approach to the media. His character. His overall style. His goal of ‘draining the swamp.’ His alleged misconduct with women in the past. Other None of these. Don’t know.

20% 22% 35% 19% 14% 22% 35% 20% 10% 18% 3% 21% 8%


19% 20% 35% 16% 13% 21% 38% 21% 6% 16% 5% 21% 5%

Florida Wisconsin His handling of the economy. His handling of the US healthcare system. His handling of the coronavirus crisis. His approach to foreign policy. His judicial appointments. His approach to the media. His character. His overall style. His goal of ‘draining the swamp.’ His alleged misconduct with women in the past. Other None of these. Don’t know.

22% 23% 36% 18% 14% 20% 34% 19% 9% 15% 3% 23% 5%


21% 25% 37% 19% 11% 24% 42% 22% 7% 18% 4% 18% 5%

15

Thinking about Donald Trump, please indicate whether you think he could be characterized in the following way: Donald Trump is someone who…

Arizona Yes No DK Pennsylvania Yes No DK is a strong leader. cares about people like me. tells the truth. knows how to get things done. stands up for the interests of the United States. can work with foreign leaders. understands the problems afflicting America. will be tough on China. is willing to work with Democrats where possible. is in good physical and mental health. reflects America’s can-do spirit. can bring Americans together.

47% 34% 31% 49% 51% 45% 45% 53% 37% 40% 49% 36%

48% 56% 57% 45% 43% 46% 48% 31% 50% 44% 44% 53%

5% 10% 12% 6% 6% 9% 8% 16% 14% 16% 7% 11%

is a strong leader. cares about people like me. tells the truth. knows how to get things done. stands up for the interests of the United States. can work with foreign leaders. understands the problems afflicting America. will be tough on China. is willing to work with Democrats where possible. is in good physical and mental health. reflects America’s can-do spirit. can bring Americans together.

45% 33% 28% 48% 49% 41% 43% 53% 33% 39% 49% 33%

49% 56% 59% 44% 43% 48% 49% 33% 53% 45% 42% 55%

6% 11% 14% 8% 8% 10% 8% 14% 15% 15% 9% 12%

North Carolina Yes No DK Michigan Yes No DK is a strong leader. cares about people like me. tells the truth. knows how to get things done. stands up for the interests of the United States. can work with foreign leaders. understands the problems afflicting America. will be tough on China. is willing to work with Democrats where possible. is in good physical and mental health. reflects America’s can-do spirit. can bring Americans together.

48% 39% 30% 52% 50%

43% 47%

58% 39%

42%

50% 36%

45% 51% 55% 40% 41%

46% 42%

27% 48%

41%

39% 50%

7% 10% 15% 8% 9%

11% 11%

15% 14%

17%

11% 14%


46% 33% 29% 47% 49% 41% 42% 53% 35% 37% 46% 34%

47% 56% 57% 45% 44% 48% 50% 35% 50% 45% 45% 55%

7% 10% 14% 8% 7% 11% 8% 12% 14% 18% 9% 11%

Florida Yes No DK Wisconsin Yes No DK is a strong leader. cares about people like me. tells the truth. knows how to get things done. stands up for the interests of the United States. can work with foreign leaders. understands the problems afflicting America. will be tough on China. is willing to work with Democrats where possible. is in good physical and mental health. reflects America’s can-do spirit. can bring Americans together.

50% 38% 34% 50% 51% 44% 48% 54% 37% 46% 49% 40%

44% 52% 54% 42% 42% 46% 46% 33% 51% 42% 42% 50%

5% 9% 12% 8% 7% 10% 6% 13% 12% 12% 8% 10%


43% 31% 25% 48% 48% 38% 41% 53% 31% 38% 45% 30%

51% 59% 60% 46% 45% 51% 52% 33% 56% 46% 46% 58%

6% 10% 14% 6% 7% 11% 11% 14% 13% 17% 9% 13%

*DK = Don’t Know

16

Thinking about Joe Biden, please indicate whether you think he could be characterized in the following way: Joe Biden is someone who…

Arizona Yes No DK Pennsylvania Yes No DK is a strong leader. cares about people like me. tells the truth. knows how to get things done. stands up for the interests of the United States. can work with foreign leaders. understands the problems afflicting America. will be tough on China. is willing to work with Republicans where possible. is in good physical and mental health. reflects America’s can-do spirit. can bring Americans together.

40% 44% 35% 44% 51% 48% 49% 24% 45% 29% 46% 42%

44% 41% 40% 35% 33% 28% 35% 40% 31% 41% 37% 36%

16% 15% 24% 21% 16% 24% 16% 36% 24% 30% 18% 21%

is a strong leader. cares about people like me. tells the truth. knows how to get things done. stands up for the interests of the United States. can work with foreign leaders. understands the problems afflicting America. will be tough on China. is willing to work with Republicans where possible. is in good physical and mental health. reflects America’s can-do spirit. can bring Americans together.

40% 48% 36% 44% 53% 51% 52% 25% 47% 32% 49% 44%

44% 37% 40% 34% 33% 27% 32% 44% 31% 42% 34% 35%

16% 15% 23% 22% 14% 22% 15% 31% 22% 27% 18% 21%

North Carolina Yes No DK Michigan Yes No DK is a strong leader. cares about people like me. tells the truth. knows how to get things done. stands up for the interests of the United States. can work with foreign leaders. understands the problems afflicting America. will be tough on China. is willing to work with Republicans where possible. is in good physical and mental health. reflects America’s can-do spirit. can bring Americans together.

43% 45% 35% 42% 50% 48%49%

26% 44%

31%

45% 43%

42% 40% 43% 38% 35% 30% 35% 41% 33% 41%

36% 37%

16% 15% 22% 19% 15%

22%15%

33% 23%

28%

19% 20%


42% 47% 39% 44% 54% 52% 51% 28% 47% 32% 49% 45%

41% 36% 39% 36% 31% 28% 33% 41% 32% 41% 33% 34%

17% 17% 22% 20% 15% 20% 15% 31% 21% 27% 17% 21%

Florida Yes No DK Wisconsin Yes No DK is a strong leader. cares about people like me. tells the truth. knows how to get things done. stands up for the interests of the United States. can work with foreign leaders. understands the problems afflicting America. will be tough on China. is willing to work with Republicans where possible. is in good physical and mental health. reflects America’s can-do spirit. can bring Americans together.

47% 50% 38% 47% 54% 51% 52% 32% 50% 37% 49% 47%

39% 36% 41% 36% 34% 30% 34% 41% 32% 42% 36% 37%

13% 14% 21% 17% 12% 19% 14% 28% 19% 21% 15% 15%


41% 48% 38% 41% 54% 51% 53% 25% 48% 32% 49% 45%

42% 35% 37% 34% 32% 24% 31% 39% 31% 38% 32% 34%

18% 17% 25% 24% 14% 25% 16% 36% 21% 30% 19% 21%

*DK = Don’t Know

17

Thinking about the last two US Presidents from the Democratic Party (Barack Obama and Bill Clinton), to what extent would you say they performed well or poorly over the course of their presidencies?

Arizona Pennsylvania Very well Well Neither well nor poorly Poorly Very poorly Don’t know

24% 29% 18% 12% 13% 4%

Very well Well Neither well nor poorly Poorly Very poorly Don’t know

26% 30% 17% 14% 10% 4%

North Carolina Michigan Very well Well Neither well nor poorly Poorly Very poorly Don’t know

26% 28% 17% 12% 14% 4%


27% 30% 17% 11% 11% 4%

Florida Wisconsin Very well Well Neither well nor poorly Poorly Very poorly Don’t know

29% 27% 15% 11% 13% 4%


29% 26% 17% 13% 11% 3%

18

Thinking about the last two US Presidents from the Democratic Party (Barack Obama and Bill Clinton), do you think Joe Biden, if he were to become president, would perform better, worse or about the same as these two past Democratic presidents performed?

Arizona Pennsylvania Significantly better Better About the same Worse Significantly worse Don’t know

6% 12% 42% 20% 14% 6%

Significantly better Better About the same Worse Significantly worse Don’t know

7% 9% 45% 21% 11% 7%

North Carolina Michigan Significantly better Better About the same Worse Significantly worse Don’t know

8% 13% 40% 20% 11% 8%


8% 12% 41% 20% 12% 7%

Florida Wisconsin Significantly better Better About the same Worse Significantly worse Don’t know

11% 14% 38% 15% 14% 7%


6% 10% 42% 20% 14% 8%

19

(To 2020 Biden Voter AND leaning for Biden) You have indicated that you may vote for Joe Biden in November this year. Of the candidates who competed in the Democratic Party’s Primary Election, do you believe he was the best candidate to run against Donald Trump?

Arizona (n = 407) Pennsylvania (n = 438) Yes No Don’t know

52% 33% 15%

Yes No Don’t know

50% 33% 17%

North Carolina (n = 380) Michigan (n = 408) Yes No Don’t know

51% 32% 17%

Yes No Don’t know

53% 32% 15%

Florida (n = 450) Wisconsin (n = 392) Yes No Don’t know

60% 25% 15%

Yes No Don’t know

51% 32% 17%

(To 2020 Biden Voter AND leaning for Biden) Would you prefer the Democratic Party replace Joseph Biden with someone else, such as a Governor who has performed well during the coronavirus crisis?

Arizona (n = 407) Pennsylvania (n = 438) Yes No Don’t know

41% 36% 23%

Yes No Don’t know

34% 42% 24%

North Carolina (n = 380) Michigan (n = 408) Yes No Don’t know

38% 38% 24%

Yes No Don’t know

34% 44% 22%

Florida (n = 450) Wisconsin (n = 392) Yes No Don’t know

37% 45% 18%

Yes No Don’t know

35% 42% 23%

20

Have you heard of former Senate staffer Tara Reade’s allegation that Joe Biden sexually assaulted her in 1993?

Arizona Pennsylvania Yes No

74% 26%

Yes No

80% 20%

North Carolina Michigan Yes No

73% 27%

Yes No

75% 25%

Florida Wisconsin Yes No

74% 26%

Yes No

78% 22%

(If yes) Do you think this allegation by Tara Reade is more, less or just as credible as Christine Blasey Ford’s allegation that Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh sexually assaulted her? (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona (n = 700) Pennsylvania (n = 767) More credible Less credible Just as credible

30% 34% 36%

More credible Less credible Just as credible

23% 34% 43%

North Carolina (n = 616) Michigan (n = 722) More credible Less credible Just as credible

30% 32% 38%


27% 38% 35%

Florida (n = 736) Wisconsin (n = 675) More credible Less credible Just as credible

34% 37% 30%


25% 36% 39%

(To 2020 Biden Voter AND leaning for Biden) As a direct consequence of this allegation by Tara Reade, should Joe Biden should be replaced with a different candidate?

Arizona (n = 407) Pennsylvania (n = 438) Yes No

23% 77%

Yes No

16% 84%

North Carolina (n = 380) Michigan (n = 408) Yes No

22% 78%

Yes No

16% 84%

Florida (n = 450) Wisconsin (n = 392) Yes No

24% 76%

Yes No

18% 82%

21

(To 2016 Donald Trump voter) You have indicated that you voted for Donald Trump in 2016. How has his Presidency been relative to your expectations when you voted for him?

Arizona (n = 392) Pennsylvania (n = 379) Donald Trump has exceeded my expectations for him in 2016. Donald Trump has met my expectations for him in 2016. Donald Trump has failed to meet my expectations for him in 2016. Don’t know.

52% 34% 9% 5%

Donald Trump has exceeded my expectations for him in 2016. Donald Trump has met my expectations for him in 2016. Donald Trump has failed to meet my expectations for him in 2016. Don’t know.

45% 36% 15% 4%

North Carolina (n = 347) Michigan (n = 395) Donald Trump has exceeded my expectations for him in 2016. Donald Trump has met my expectations for him in 2016. Donald Trump has failed to meet my expectations for him in 2016. Don’t know.

51% 35% 12% 3%


46% 36% 14% 4%

Florida (n = 423) Wisconsin (n = 340) Donald Trump has exceeded my expectations for him in 2016. Donald Trump has met my expectations for him in 2016. Donald Trump has failed to meet my expectations for him in 2016. Don’t know.

58% 29% 11% 2%


46% 37% 13% 4%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s overall job performance since he became President?

Arizona Pennsylvania strongly approve approve neither approve nor disapprove disapprove strongly disapprove don’t know

23% 21% 11% 10% 33% 2%

strongly approve approve neither approve nor disapprove disapprove strongly disapprove don’t know

20% 20% 12% 9% 35% 3%

North Carolina Michigan strongly approve approve neither approve nor disapprove disapprove strongly disapprove don’t know

23% 22% 10% 10% 31% 4%


20% 22% 10% 9% 35% 4%

Florida Wisconsin strongly approve approve neither approve nor disapprove disapprove strongly disapprove don’t know

27% 18% 11% 9% 32% 3%


18% 21% 10% 12% 36% 3%

22

Thinking back to where your position in life was four years ago, which of the following best describes your position now relative to back then?

Arizona Pennsylvania I am better off now than I was four years ago. I am worse off now than I was four years ago. I am in about the same position now as I was four years ago. I am not sure how my position now compares to my position four years ago.

36% 27% 30% 8%

I am better off now than I was four years ago. I am worse off now than I was four years ago. I am in about the same position now as I was four years ago. I am not sure how my position now compares to my position four years ago.

35% 25% 34% 7%

North Carolina Michigan I am better off now than I was four years ago. I am worse off now than I was four years ago. I am in about the same position now as I was four years ago. I am not sure how my position now compares to my position four years ago.

38% 20% 34% 8%


36% 26% 30% 8%

Florida Wisconsin I am better off now than I was four years ago. I am worse off now than I was four years ago. I am in about the same position now as I was four years ago. I am not sure how my position now compares to my position four years ago.

36% 27% 31% 7%


36% 25% 33% 6%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s handling of the coronavirus crisis specifically?

Arizona Pennsylvania strongly approve approve neither approve nor disapprove disapprove strongly disapprove don’t know

18% 21% 15% 14% 30% 3%


14% 22% 14% 12% 35% 3%

North Carolina Michigan strongly approve approve neither approve nor disapprove disapprove strongly disapprove don’t know

19% 21% 15% 11% 30% 4%


16% 21% 14% 11% 35% 3%

Florida Wisconsin strongly approve approve neither approve nor disapprove disapprove strongly disapprove don’t know

24% 17% 14% 11% 31% 2%


14% 21% 12% 15% 36% 3%

23

Has President Donald Trump’s handling of the coronavirus crisis changed your view of him?

Arizona Pennsylvania Yes, I now have a more positive view of Donald Trump. Yes, I now have a more negative view of Donald Trump. No, I have not changed my view of Donald Trump at all as a result of the coronavirus crisis.

20% 30% 50%

Yes, I now have a more positive view of Donald Trump. Yes, I now have a more negative view of Donald Trump. No, I have not changed my view of Donald Trump at all as a result of the coronavirus crisis.

18% 31% 51%

North Carolina Michigan Yes, I now have a more positive view of Donald Trump. Yes, I now have a more negative view of Donald Trump. No, I have not changed my view of Donald Trump at all as a result of the coronavirus crisis.

22% 29% 48%


19% 36% 45%

Florida Wisconsin Yes, I now have a more positive view of Donald Trump. Yes, I now have a more negative view of Donald Trump. No, I have not changed my view of Donald Trump at all as a result of the coronavirus crisis.

24% 33% 43%


17% 34% 48%

In your opinion, has President Trump handled the coronavirus crisis well?

Arizona Pennsylvania Yes No Don’t know

40% 51% 9%

Yes No Don’t know

37% 53% 10%

North Carolina Michigan Yes No Don’t know

40% 49% 11%

Yes No Don’t know

37% 53% 11%

Florida Wisconsin Yes No Don’t know

41% 49% 10%

Yes No Don’t know

35% 55% 10%

In your opinion, do you think a President Joseph Biden would have handled the coronavirus crisis better, worse, or with no difference?

Arizona Pennsylvania Better Worse No Difference Don’t know

38% 33% 13% 17%

Better Worse No Difference Don’t know

40% 30% 14% 16%

North Carolina Michigan Better Worse No Difference Don’t know

38% 33% 13% 16%


42% 29% 14% 15%

Florida Wisconsin Better Worse No Difference Don’t know

41% 32% 13% 14%


42% 28% 13% 17%

24

On a scale of 1 to 5, to what extent would you be concerned about your own personal health if you contracted coronavirus?

Arizona Pennsylvania 1 – I would not be worried at all and doubt I would even notice it. 2 – I would mostly not be worried and think I would likely experience some mild discomfort. 3 – I would be somewhat worried and think it would likely be very unpleasant. 4 – I would be very worried and think it could have a severe effect on my health. 5 – I would be extremely worried and fear that I could lose my life.

10% 18% 29% 22% 21%

1 – I would not be worried at all and doubt I would even notice it. 2 – I would mostly not be worried and think I would likely experience some mild discomfort. 3 – I would be somewhat worried and think it would likely be very unpleasant. 4 – I would be very worried and think it could have a severe effect on my health. 5 – I would be extremely worried and fear that I could lose my life.

7% 18% 28% 23% 24%

North Carolina Michigan 1 – I would not be worried at all and doubt I would even notice it. 2 – I would mostly not be worried and think I would likely experience some mild discomfort. 3 – I would be somewhat worried and think it would likely be very unpleasant. 4 – I would be very worried and think it could have a severe effect on my health. 5 – I would be extremely worried and fear that I could lose my life.

10% 14% 30% 21% 24%


9% 17% 29% 24% 22%

Florida Wisconsin 1 – I would not be worried at all and doubt I would even notice it. 2 – I would mostly not be worried and think I would likely experience some mild discomfort. 3 – I would be somewhat worried and think it would likely be very unpleasant. 4 – I would be very worried and think it could have a severe effect on my health. 5 – I would be extremely worried and fear that I could lose my life.

10% 14% 27% 23% 26%


9% 16% 30% 25% 20%

25

Which of the following statements comes closest to your opinion of the coronavirus crisis? (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania The extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has so far spread within the United States could have been avoided. The extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has so far spread within the United States was inevitable.

53% 47%

The extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has so far spread within the United States could have been avoided. The extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has so far spread within the United States was inevitable.

58% 42%

North Carolina Michigan The extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has so far spread within the United States could have been avoided. The extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has so far spread within the United States was inevitable.

55% 45%


56% 44%

Florida Wisconsin The extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has so far spread within the United States could have been avoided. The extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has so far spread within the United States was inevitable.

59% 41%


55% 45%

26

Given the extent to which the coronavirus pandemic has now spread in the United States, which of the following statements comes closest to your view going forward? (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania The rate at which coronavirus is spreading in the United States can be reduced to zero or close to zero through shelter-in-place orders, testing and other containment measures. The rate at which coronavirus is spreading in the United States can only be slowed to relieve the burden on hospitals through lockdowns, testing and other containment measures.

45% 55%

The rate at which coronavirus is spreading in the United States can be reduced to zero or close to zero through shelter-in-place orders, testing and other containment measures. The rate at which coronavirus is spreading in the United States can only be slowed to relieve the burden on hospitals through lockdowns, testing and other containment measures.

43% 57%

North Carolina Michigan The rate at which coronavirus is spreading in the United States can be reduced to zero or close to zero through shelter-in-place orders, testing and other containment measures. The rate at which coronavirus is spreading in the United States can only be slowed to relieve the burden on hospitals through lockdowns, testing and other containment measures.

47% 53%


44% 56%

Florida Wisconsin The rate at which coronavirus is spreading in the United States can be reduced to zero or close to zero through shelter-in-place orders, testing and other containment measures. The rate at which coronavirus is spreading in the United States can only be slowed to relieve the burden on hospitals through lockdowns, testing and other containment measures.

50% 50%


44% 56%

27

What do you consider the purpose of the lockdown or shelter-in-place measures issued in almost every US State to have been? (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania To completely halt the spread of coronavirus before a majority of the population contracts the virus. To reduce the rate of spread of coronavirus as a majority of the population gradually contracts the virus.

38% 62%

To completely halt the spread of coronavirus before a majority of the population contracts the virus. To reduce the rate of spread of coronavirus as a majority of the population gradually contracts the virus.

36% 64%

North Carolina Michigan To completely halt the spread of coronavirus before a majority of the population contracts the virus. To reduce the rate of spread of coronavirus as a majority of the population gradually contracts the virus.

37% 63%


37% 63%

Florida Wisconsin To completely halt the spread of coronavirus before a majority of the population contracts the virus. To reduce the rate of spread of coronavirus as a majority of the population gradually contracts the virus.

47% 53%


34% 66%

28

In March and April, President Donald Trump along members of the Coronavirus Task Force hosted daily press conferences to explain what the Federal Government was doing to address the coronavirus crisis. These daily conferences have since ended. What is your opinion of the media’s coverage of these press conferences?

Arizona Pennsylvania The media was unfair in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce. The media was about right in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce. The media was not critical enough in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce.

43% 31% 26%

The media was unfair in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce. The media was about right in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce. The media was not critical enough in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce.

42% 33% 25%

North Carolina Michigan The media was unfair in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce. The media was about right in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce. The media was not critical enough in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce.

42% 35% 23%


42% 35% 23%

Florida Wisconsin The media was unfair in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce. The media was about right in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce. The media was not critical enough in its coverage of the work done by President Trump and the Coronavirus Taskforce.

41% 36% 23%


39% 36% 26%

29

Which of the following statements comes closest to your expectations of economic life after the coronavirus crisis? (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania The US Economy will be able to rebound quickly from the coronavirus crisis. The US Economy will need some time to recover from the coronavirus crisis.

23% 77%

The US Economy will be able to rebound quickly from the coronavirus crisis. The US Economy will need some time to recover from the coronavirus crisis.

21% 79%

North Carolina Michigan The US Economy will be able to rebound quickly from the coronavirus crisis. The US Economy will need some time to recover from the coronavirus crisis.

25% 75%


23% 77%

Florida Wisconsin The US Economy will be able to rebound quickly from the coronavirus crisis. The US Economy will need some time to recover from the coronavirus crisis.

26% 74%


20% 80%

To what extent would you agree or disagree that the US Economy is more likely to mount a strong recovery from the coronavirus crisis if Donald Trump is re-elected?

Arizona Pennsylvania strongly agree agree neither agree nor disagree disagree strongly disagree don’t know

25% 19% 16% 12% 22% 5%

strongly agree agree neither agree nor disagree disagree strongly disagree don’t know

23% 20% 20% 11% 21% 6%

North Carolina Michigan strongly agree agree neither agree nor disagree disagree strongly disagree don’t know

29% 17% 20% 11% 18% 5%


24% 19% 20% 12% 21% 4%

Florida Wisconsin strongly agree agree neither agree nor disagree disagree strongly disagree don’t know

30% 17% 17% 12% 20% 4%


23% 19% 19% 15% 20% 5%

30

Which of the following statements comes closest to your concerns? (Answer codes were randomized)

Arizona Pennsylvania I am worried that if the lockdown or stay-at-home measures across the United States are extended for much longer, it will do worse damage to the United States’ economy and overall health than relaxing them. I am worried that if the lockdown or stay-at-home measures across the United States are relaxed too quickly, it will do worse damage to the United States’ economy and overall health than extending them.

42% 58%

I am worried that if the lockdown or stay-at-home measures across the United States are extended for much longer, it will do worse damage to the United States’ economy and overall health than relaxing them. I am worried that if the lockdown or stay-at-home measures across the United States are relaxed too quickly, it will do worse damage to the United States’ economy and overall health than extending them.

41% 59%

North Carolina Michigan I am worried that if the lockdown or stay-at-home measures across the United States are extended for much longer, it will do worse damage to the United States’ economy and overall health than relaxing them. I am worried that if the lockdown or stay-at-home measures across the United States are relaxed too quickly, it will do worse damage to the United States’ economy and overall health than extending them.

47% 53%


45% 55%

Florida Wisconsin I am worried that if the lockdown or stay-at-home measures across the United States are extended for much longer, it will do worse damage to the United States’ economy and overall health than relaxing them. I am worried that if the lockdown or stay-at-home measures across the United States are relaxed too quickly, it will do worse damage to the United States’ economy and overall health than extending them.

44% 56%


44% 56%

31

ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS: ARIZONA Thinking specifically about the situation in Arizona, to what extent do you approve or disapprove of Arizona Governor Doug Ducey’s handling of the coronavirus crisis?


11% 34% 26% 16% 9% 3%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Doug Ducey’s decision to issue a state-wide stay-at-home order on March 30th?


31% 39% 13% 8% 5% 3%

Do you think Governor Doug Ducey should have issued this order earlier?

Yes No Don’t know

47% 32% 21%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Doug Ducey’s decision to begin easing the stay-at-home order this month?


19% 25% 18% 20% 16% 2%

32

ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS: NORTH CAROLINA Thinking specifically about the situation in North Carolina, to what extent do you approve or disapprove of North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper’s handling of the coronavirus crisis?


23% 40% 19% 10% 5% 4%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Roy Cooper’s decision to issue a state-wide stay-at-home order on March 30th?


38% 36% 14% 6% 4% 2%

Do you think Governor Roy Cooper should have issued this order earlier?

Yes No Don’t know

40% 33% 27%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Roy Cooper’s decision to begin easing the stay-at-home order this month?


18% 32% 20% 20% 6% 5%

33

ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS: FLORIDA Thinking specifically about the situation in Florida, to what extent do you approve or disapprove of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ handling of the coronavirus crisis?


25% 23% 19% 14% 16% 3%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ron DeSantis’ decision to issue a state-wide stay-at-home order on April 3rd?


38% 36% 13% 6% 4% 3%

Do you think Governor Ron DeSantis should have issued this order earlier?

Yes No Don’t know

59% 23% 18%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ron DeSantis’ decision to begin easing the stay-at-home order this month?


23% 23% 18% 19% 13% 3%

34

ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS: PENNSYLVANIA Thinking specifically about the situation in Pennsylvania, to what extent do you approve or disapprove of Pennsylvania Governor Tom Wolf’s handling of the coronavirus crisis?


18% 36% 18% 12% 13% 3%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Wolf’s decision to issue a state-wide stay-at-home order on March 23rd?


33% 35% 13% 8% 8% 3%

Do you think Governor Tom Wolf should have issued this order earlier?

Yes No Don’t know

38% 35% 27%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Wolf’s decision to begin easing the stay-at-home order in parts of Pennsylvania this month?


19% 37% 19% 15% 5% 4%

35

ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS: MICHIGAN Thinking specifically about the situation in Michigan, to what extent do you approve or disapprove of Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s handling of the coronavirus crisis?


31% 25% 14% 11% 17% 2%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision to issue a state-wide stay-at-home order on March 24th?


37% 28% 13% 8% 11% 2%

Do you think Governor Gretchen Whitmer should have issued this order earlier?

Yes No Don’t know

33% 41% 26%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Gretchen Whitmer’s decision to extend the stay-at-home order through May 15th?


36% 26% 12% 11% 12% 2%

36

ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS: WISCONSIN

Thinking specifically about the situation in Wisconsin, to what extent do you approve or disapprove of Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers’ handling of the coronavirus crisis?


20% 37% 15% 11% 13% 4%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tony Evers’ decision to issue a state-wide stay-at-home order on March 24th?


34% 33% 12% 8% 10% 2%

Do you think Governor Tony Evers should have issued this order earlier?

Yes No Don’t know

32% 41% 27%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tony Ever’s decision to extend the stay-at-home order through May 26th?


30% 29% 12% 12% 14% 3%

To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the decision to allow the election in Wisconsin on April 7th to go forward despite the stay-at-home order?


17% 17% 15% 20% 28% 4%

london, united kingdom 2020 presidential election research ... · for president donald trump, the...

Documents