long island’s shifting demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 n=437,193. 2016-17 n=435,519....

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Long Island’s Shifting Demographics Presented by: Julie Davis Lutz, Ph.D. Suffolk County School Superintendents Association Legislative Committee Chairperson Eastern Suffolk BOCES Chief Operating Officer N-SSBA, NCCSS, SCSSA January 29, 2020

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Page 1: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Long Island’s Shifting Demographics

Presented by:

Julie Davis Lutz, Ph.D.Suffolk County School Superintendents Association Legislative Committee Chairperson

Eastern Suffolk BOCES Chief Operating Officer

N-SSBA, NCCSS, SCSSAJanuary 29, 2020

Page 2: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Overview

Long Island – Key Demographic Shifts

Increases in EnrollmentIncreases in PovertyIncreases in English Language LearnersIncreases in the Number of Students

With DisabilitiesDecreases in District Wealth

Page 3: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

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Long Island - Shifting Demographics

Total K-12 Enrollment 08-09 18-19 Total Change % Change

Suffolk County 254,536 229,994 -24,542 -9.6%

Long Island 458,613 426,571 -32,042 -7.0%

Rest of State 1,239,039 1,103,540 -135,499 -10.9%

2008-09 & 2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

Suffolk County School DistrictsEnrollment Change 08-09 to 18-19

Page 4: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Long Island - Shifting Demographics

Total K-12 Enrollment 08-09 18-19 Total Change % Change

Nassau County 204,077 196,577 -7,500 -3.7%

Long Island 458,613 426,571 -32,042 -7.0%

Rest of State 1,239,039 1,103,540 -135,499 -10.9%

2008-09 & 2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

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Nassau County School DistrictsEnrollment Change 08-09 to 18-19

Page 5: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

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2007-08N=461,540

2008-09N=458,613

2009-10N=457,193

2010-11N=455,241

2011-12N=450,539

2012-13N=446,998

2013-14N=443,173

2014-15N=440,899

2015-16N=437,193

2016-17N=435,519

2017-18N=432,722

% of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island

Long Island %FRL Nassau County %FRL Suffolk County %FRL

N = Total K-12 Enrollment

Note: Y-axis only ranges from 0% - 45% to better magnify the data points & trends

2007-08 to 2017-18 NYS School Report Cards

Long IslandShifting Demographics

Page 6: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Long Island - Shifting Demographics

2007-08 & 2017-18 NYS School Report Cards

Total K-12 FRPL 07-08 17-18 Total Change % Change

Suffolk County 49,092 88,059 38,967 79.4%

Long Island 79,160 145,934 66,774 84.4%

Rest of State 407,497 496,802 89,305 21.9%

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Suffolk County School DistrictsFRPL Change 07-08 to 17-18

Page 7: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Long Island - Shifting Demographics

2007-08 & 2017-18 NYS School Report Cards

Total K-12 FRPL 07-08 17-18 Total Change % Change

Nassau County 30,068 57,875 27,807 92.5%

Long Island 79,160 145,934 66,774 84.4%

Rest of State 407,497 496,802 89,305 21.9%

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Page 8: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL
Page 9: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL
Page 10: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL
Page 11: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL
Page 12: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

According to federal guidelines, over 37% of the students enrolled

in Long Island school districts qualify for free or reduced-price lunch.

(2017-2018)

Key Fact:

2017-18 NYS School Report Cards

Page 13: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

New York State DemographicsTop ELL Districts (K-12)

Of the approximately 2.45 million public school students (K-12) in New York State, 9.1% are ELLs/MLLs, which is over 222,000 ELLs/MLLs in NYS (K-12).

2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

District # of ELLs

New York City 136,339

Brentwood 6,065

Buffalo 5,584

Rochester 4,032

Syracuse 3,577

Yonkers 3,314

East Ramapo 3,262

Hempstead 2,750

Central Islip 2,328

Utica 1,724

Newburgh 1,552

Westbury 1,543

Page 14: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

NYS School Districts ELL Enrollment 20% or more

2018-19

District Enrollment ELL FRPL % District Enrollment ELL FRPL %

Kiryas Joel 161 84% 88% Hampton Bays 2,015 25% 19%

Hempstead 6,952 40% 71% Peekskill 3,313 22% 59%

East Ramapo 8,834 37% 63% Greenport 627 21% 26%

Brentwood 18,377 33% 62% Huntington 4,426 21% 22%

Wyandanch 2,679 32% 69% Uniondale 6,884 21% 40%

Westbury 4,949 31% 77% Amityville 2,941 21% 56%

Central Islip 7,517 31% 59% Lawrence 2,493 20% 31%

Port Chester-Rye 4,623 30% 49% Freeport 6,744 20% 48%

Riverhead 5,586 28% 35% East Quogue 384 20% 6%

Roosevelt 3,213 27% 40%

Tuckahoe Common 246 25% 9%

Enrollment & ELL: 2018-19 NYS School Report CardsFRPL %: 2017-18 NYS School Report Cards

Page 15: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

N = Total K-12 Enrollment of Long Island

Rest of State Total K-12 Enrollment: 1,103,540

Note: Y-axis only ranges from 2% - 11% to better magnify the data points & trends

2008-09 to 2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

Long Island -Shifting Demographics

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2008-09N=458,613

2009-10N=457,193

2010-11N=455,241

2011-12N=450,539

2012-13N=446,998

2013-14N=443,173

2014-15N=440,899

2015-16N=437,193

2016-17N=435,519

2017-18N=432,722

2018-19N=426,571

% of ELL Students on Long Island

Long Island %ELL Nassau County %ELL Suffolk County %ELL Rest of State %ELL

Page 16: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

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Long Island - Shifting Demographics

2008-09 & 2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

Total K-12 ELL 08-09 18-19 Total Change % Change

Suffolk County 14,734 22,666 7,932 53.8%

Long Island 26,016 37,777 11,761 45.2%

Rest of State 35,188 48,173 12,985 36.9%

Suffolk County School DistrictsELL Change 08-09 to 18-19

Page 17: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

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Long Island - Shifting Demographics

2008-09 & 2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

Total K-12 ELL 08-09 18-19 Total Change % Change

Nassau County 11,282 15,111 3,829 33.9%

Long Island 26,016 37,777 11,761 45.2%

Rest of State 35,188 48,173 12,985 36.9%

Nassau County School DistrictsELL Change 08-09 to 18-19

Page 18: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

• Long Island had 37,777 English Language Learners (ELLs)

• This is 17.0% of the state’s total ELL population (including NYC)

Source: 2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

As of October 2019:

Page 19: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Long Island - Shifting Demographics

2008-09 & 2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

Total K-12 SWD 08-09 18-19 Total Change % Change

Suffolk County 31,649 35,641 3,992 12.6%

Long Island 55,156 62,091 6,935 12.6%

Rest of State 175,520 167,114 -8,406 -4.8%

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Long Island - Shifting Demographics

2008-09 & 2018-19 NYS School Report Cards

Total K-12 SWD 08-09 18-19 Total Change % Change

Nassau County 23,507 26,450 2,943 12.5%

Long Island 55,156 62,091 6,935 12.6%

Rest of State 175,520 167,114 -8,406 -4.8%

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Changes in Wealth

Page 22: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Changes in Wealth

Page 23: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Changes in Wealth

Page 24: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Changes in Wealth

Page 25: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

The percentage of students in districts of below average wealth (CWR<1.00) by BOCES region on Long Island is as follows:

RegionEnrollment(2019-20)

Students in Below Average Wealth Districts

# %

Suffolk County 231,172 139,810 60.5Eastern Suffolk BOCES 154,237 111,008 72.0Western Suffolk BOCES 76,935 28,802 37.4

Nassau County (Nassau BOCES) 200,815 68,773 34.2Long Island 431,987 208,583 48.3

Long Island Combined Wealth Ratios (CWR)

2019-20 Property Tax Report Card – Enrollment2019-20 CWR – NYSED

Page 26: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

Shifting Demographics Require A Funding Formula Sensitive to Those

Needs and Changes

Page 27: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

SCSSA LEADERSHIPBoard of Directors

President – Mrs. Bernadette M. Burns, West Islip UFSDPresident-Elect – Dr. Ronald M. Masera, Center Moriches UFSD

Vice President – Dr. Yiendhy Farrelly, West Babylon UFSDTreasurer – Dr. Julie Davis Lutz, Eastern Suffolk BOCESSecretary – Mr. James W. Polansky, Huntington UFSD

Legislative Committee

ChairpersonDr. Julie Davis Lutz

Babylon ClusterDr. Patrick Harrigan

Huntington/Smithtown ClusterDr. David P. Bennardo, Dr. Kenneth Bossert, Dr.Timothy Eagen

Islip ClusterDr. Lynda Adams, Mrs. Bernadette M. Burns, Dr. Kenneth Graham, Dr. Dennis P. O’Hara

East End ClusterMr. Lars Clemensen, Mr. Jeffrey E. Ryvicker, Mr. Leonard Skuggevik

Brookhaven/Riverhead ClusterDr. Marianne F. Cartisano, Dr. Roberta Gerold, Dr. Ronald M. Masera, Mr. Gerard Poole

Western Suffolk BOCESMr. Michael Fynn

Executive Director

Mr. Gary D. Bixhorn

Page 28: Long Island’s Shifting Demographics · 2020. 1. 31. · 2015-16 N=437,193. 2016-17 N=435,519. 2017-18 N=432,722 % of Free/Reduced Lunch Students on Long Island. Long Island %FRL

PresidentLisa Israel

Vice PresidentWilliam K. Miller

Member and ClerkFred Langstaff

MembersWilliam HsiangSusan Lipman

Joseph LoSchiavoAnne Mackesey

Arlene BarresiWalter Wm. Denzler, Jr.

Stephen L. Gessner, Ph.D.Linda S. Goldsmith

James F. McKennaBrian O. Mealy

Catherine M. RomanoJohn Wyche

District SuperintendentDavid Wicks

Chief Operating OfficerJulie Davis Lutz, Ph.D.

Associate SuperintendentRyan J. Ruf – Management Services

Associate SuperintendentPeggie Staib, Ed.D. – Educational Services

Assistant SuperintendentSam Gergis, Ed.D. – Human Resources

DirectorsLeah Arnold – Career, Technical and Adult Education

Kate Davern – Education Support ServicesMark Finnerty – Facilities

Colleen Lipponer – Business ServicesSusan Maddi – Administrative ServicesGrant Nelsen – Technology Integration

Gina Reilly – Special EducationDarlene Roces – Regional Information Center

www.esboces.org

Eastern Suffolk BOCES Board and Administration

Eastern Suffolk BOCES does not discriminate against any employee, student, applicant for employment, or candidate for enrollment on the basis of gender, race, color, religion or creed, age, weight,national origin, marital status, disability, sexual orientation, gender identity or expression, transgender status, military or veteran status, domestic violence victim status, genetic predisposition or carrier status,or any other classification protected by Federal, State, or local law. This policy of nondiscrimination includes: access by students to educational programs, student activities, recruitment, appointment andpromotion of employees, salaries, pay, and other benefits. ESBOCES also provides equal access to the Boy Scouts and other designated youth groups. ESBOCES fully complies with all applicable rules andregulations pertaining to civil rights for students and employees (e.g., Title IX of the Education Amendments of 1972, § 504 of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973, Titles VI and VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964,Dignity for All Students Act, § 303 of Age Discrimination Act of 1975, the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990, and the Boy Scouts of America Equal Access Act of 2001). Inquiries regarding the implementationof the above laws should be directed to either of ESBOCES Civil Rights Compliance Officers at [email protected]: the Assistant Superintendent for Human Resources, 631-687-3029, or the AssociateSuperintendent for Educational Services, 631-687-3056, 201 Sunrise Highway, Patchogue, NY 11772. Inquiries may also be addressed to the Office for Civil Rights at the US Department of Education, 32 Old Slip,26th Floor, New York, NY 10005, 646-428-3800, [email protected].