long term care and labor market prospects the new law of care services a paradigm change in the...
TRANSCRIPT
Long term care and labor market prospects
The new law of care services
A paradigm change in the Spanish welfare regime?Familiarisation vs. Professionalisation
Karsten KrügerICPP - Innovación y Consultoria en Políticas Públicas
1
Long term care and labor market prospects
The Spanish welfare regime
Objectives of the study
analysis of pathways of evolution of the Spanish welfare regime
evaluation of the LAPAD based on selected external indicators
factors of decisions
2
Long term care and labor market prospects
Characteristics of the old regime
family solidarity based on the traditional role of the house-wife & mother
Changes in the traditional regime:
Phase 1: Substitution of the house wife and mother by other female familiars
Phase 2: Increasing contraction of informal female workers (immigrants)
Causes changes in the family structure
Increasing female Labour market participation rate [see Moreno CSIC]
The Spanish welfare regimeChanges
3
Long term care and labor market prospects
Types of familiarisation
Familiarism by defect
Supported familiarism (Economisation)
Optional Familiarism
De-familiarización (Professionalisation)
(see European project: multilink)
The Spanish welfare regimeFuture Pathways of Change
4
Long term care and labor market prospects
Towards a new Welfare regime in Spain?
• The new law advocates for the professionalisation of care services (and social services)
Previewed Effect on the Care service sector
• Growth of the care service sector • Increasing formal care labour market• Higher care service quality through professionalisation
Social Effect• more quality of family care • more opportunities for women in the labour market
The Spanish welfare regimeFuture Pathways of Change
5
Long term care and labor market prospects
The New Law of Care servicesImplementation
6
Long term care and labor market prospects
Care service needs:Previous studiesRecognized 2010
High level of dependency 223.457 468.764Medium level of dependency 420.336 328.222Low level of dependency 602.636 227.172
Labour MarketPrevious studiesNew Work Places
New work places previewed 262.735Residences 58.591Social services without residence 48.995TOTAL 107.586
Economic SupportRecognized Family Care 312.624Formal Familiar Care workers 119.524Informal Familiar Care workers 193.100
The New Law of Care servicesImplementation
7
Long term care and labor market prospects
Impact on the Welfare RegimeLM Segments – Driving Forces
Care Services
Dimensión
Family Informal Formal
Quality
Costs
Benefits
Complementarity
8
Long term care and labor market prospects
Decision FactorsPoint of departure:The decision is made by the families based on cost-benefit estimations (see Bourdieus Capital theory: Economic, Cultural, Social Capital)
Decision Factors- Family income- opportunity costs for a family care worker (lost of income, lost of life quality, transport costs etc.)- costs for informal care worker- costs for professional care services- Economic support for family care services- Costs for the professional care services covered by public funding- Considerations of quality standards- etc.
Hypothesis: These factors can be also applied at the system level to take decision in favour of economic support or the development of service infrastructure.
Impact on the Welfare RegimeOptional Familiarisation
9
Long term care and labor market prospects
Internal Evaluation
The data of the SAAD indicates a trend towards a asynchronisation of the Spanish welfare system.
The Autonomous Regions which shows in April 2010 in general a better performance then the others tends to have also higher growth rates in the majority of the indicators (Andalucia, Cantabria, Castilla La Mancha, Cataluña, Murcia, La Rioja)
The Autonomous Regions which shows in April 2010 in general a worthier performance then the others tends to have also lower growth rates in the majority of the indicators (Asturias, Canarias, Castilla-Leon, Valencia, Galicia, Madrid and Navarra).
Impact on the Welfare RegimeAsynchronisation of the Regime
10
Long term care and labor market prospects
Looking for explanations
External indicators: ageing rate urbanisation rate degree of women between 45 and 65socio-sanitarian employment raterate of socio-sanitarian enterprisesincome of population ≥ 65
Calculated in relation to the population ≥ 65
Impact on the Welfare RegimeAsynchronisation of the Regime
11
Long term care and labor market prospects
The available statistical data doesn’t show correlations to the configuration of the new care service system in the different autonomous regions. It seems more a political issue. Canarias, Madrid and Valencia, three of the regions with a less implemented system of care services, are governed by the Popular Party. However there are also socialist governed regions with a less developed system as Asturias.
Impact on the Welfare RegimeAsynchronisation of the Regime
12
Long term care and labor market prospects
The Autonomous Regions, in which the population ≥ 65 has a higher income, tends to have:
- a higher service rate within the public system
- a higher coverage rate of socio-sanitarian employment
- a higher coverage rate of enterprises acting in care services
These Autonomous Regions, which dispose of a service infrastructures, has more facilities to development the public system of care services previewed in the new law.
Impact on the Welfare RegimeAsynchronisation of the Regime
Long term care and labor market prospects
towards an asynchronised Spanish welfare regime[Familiarism by defect, supported familiarism and opcional familiarsm]
two general options of change supported vs. optional familiarisation
Optional Familiarisation only seems to be a real option in the regions, which still dispose of a private-public service infrastructure
formally a good law to promote the professionalisation but too far away from socio-economic reality
Conclusions:Welfare Regime
14
Long term care and labor market prospects
ConclusionsTwo Pathways
15
Long term care and labor market prospects
Thank you for your attention
16
Long term care and labor market prospects
Effects of policies towards optional familiarization
In time of crisis
Low growth of Growth of family care formal LM and informal LM
In time of economic welfare
Growth of Reorientation of family careformal LM low growth of informal LM
Conclusions:Welfare Regime
17
Long term care and labor market prospects
Rate of benefits (nº of benefits in % of population > 65)
June 08 April 10 growthMadrid 0,0127 0,0567 0,0440Canarias 0,0145 0,0627 0,0482Asturias 0,0204 0,0669 0,0465Com. Valenciana 0,0086 0,0710 0,0624Galicia 0,0253 0,0790 0,0537Castilla y León 0,0226 0,0810 0,0585Balears 0,0087 0,0859 0,0772Extremadura 0,0255 0,0937 0,0682Navarra 0,0506 0,0937 0,0431TOTAL 0,0308 0,1024 0,0716País Vasco 0,0316 0,1026 0,0710Ceuta y Melilla 0,0525 0,1034 0,0509Aragón 0,0466 0,1052 0,0586Cataluña 0,0294 0,1152 0,0858Castilla La Mancha 0,0368 0,1164 0,0796Cantabria 0,0390 0,1287 0,0896Murcia 0,0308 0,1322 0,1014Rioja 0,0542 0,1390 0,0848Andalucía 0,0670 0,1734 0,1064
Impact on the Welfare RegimeAsynchronisation of the Regime
18