luck
TRANSCRIPT
LUCK
Luck happens, Good or Bad, to every one,
whether we like it or not
Luck - Definition
• Some significant aspect of the event occurs largely or entirely independent of the actions of the key players in the organization/system
• The event has a potentially significant consequences : Good or Bad
• The event has some element of unpredictability
NO
• Luck play differentiating role, an explanatory role or a definitive role in success.
• Luck is where preparation meets opportunity
• The harder I work, the luckier I get
Luck does not cause success.
People Do
Are you Lucky?
Do you get a high Return on Luck?
Most significant forms of Luck not as “What”
in the form of “Who”
What is your Luck?
Who is your best Luck?
Pe o p l e L u c k
D o
D i s c i p l i n e d f a n a ti c
E m p i r i c a l
C r e a ti v e
p r o d u c ti v e l y p a r a n o i d
L e a d
B u i l d t e a m s
P u r s u e p u r p o s e
B u i l d o r g a n i z a ti o n s
B u i l d c u l t u r e s
E x e m p l i f y v a l u e s
A c h i e v e b i g h a i r y a u d a c i o u s g o a l s
People Luck: the luck of finding the right Mentor, Partner, Teammate, Leader, Friend – is one of the most important
R e s i l i e n c e Success people use difficulty
to deepen purpose,
recommit to values,
increase discipline,
respond with creativity, and
heighten productive
paranoia,
Resilience, NOT LUCK is the Signature of Greatness
Getting a high on Return on Luck
• Throwing yourself at the luck event with ferocious intensity
• Disrupting your life• Not letting up
• Has a huge multiplicative effect• Sustained your effort to reach the goal
Return on Luck
Great Return on Good Luck
Poor Return on Good Luck
Great Return on Bad Luck
Poor Return on Bad Luck
Luck and Outcome
• An enterprise can get bad luck yet create a good outcome
• A company can squander good luck and get a bad outcome
• Goals live on the other side of obstacles and challenges
• Along the way, make no excuse, and no blame
• How to use that bad luck to make stronger, to turn into, “one of the bets things that ever happened” to not let it become a psychological prison – Successors do
Managing the Luck• Cultivating the ability to zoom out to recognize luck when it
happens
• Developing the wisdom to see, when and when not, to let luck disrupt your plans
• Being sufficiently well prepared to endure an inevitable spate of bad luck
• Creating a positive return on luck- both good and bad- when it comes
Luck is not StrategyReturn on Luck is a Strategy
Risk
• Death Line Risk
• Asymmetrical Risk
• Uncontrollable Risk
• Risks that could kill o severely damage the enterprise
• Risks are those for which the potential downside is much bigger than the potential upside
• Risks are those expose the enterprise to forces and eventsthat it has little ability to manage or control
Time Based Risk
• When the degree of risk is tied to the pace of events, and the speed of decisions and actions
Correlation between good and bad outcomes relative to Speed of RecognitionSpeed of DecisionSpeed of Execution
Should we be Fast to act or Slow?Having presence of mind in asking
“How much time before our risk profile changes?”
Develop the ability to recognize defining moments that
call for disrupting life plan, changing the focus of your
intensity, and /or
rearranging your agenda, because of opportunity or peril
or both