m exico ’ s n ew e nergy m odel o ctober 24, 2015 c esar c ontreras c hief of s taff d eputy s...
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MEXICO’S NEW ENERGY MODEL
OCTOBER 24, 2015
CESAR CONTRERASCHIEF OF STAFF
DEPUTY SECRETARIAT FOR PLANNING AND ENERGY TRANSITION
INTRODUCTION
IN 2012, MEXICO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR 1.37% (436 MTCO2) OF GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS GENERATED FROM FOSSIL FUELS.
FUENTE: IEA, 2014.
ChinaEE.UU.
IndiaRusiaJapón
AlemaniaCorea
CanadáIrán
Arabia SauditaReino Unido
BrasilMéxico
IndonesiaAustralia
SudáfricaItalia
FranciaTurquíaPolonia
8,2065,074
1,9541,659
1,223755
593534532459457440436435386376375334302294
CO2 EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION(MEGATONS)
SOURCE: QUINTA COMUNICACIÓN NACIONAL DE MÉXICO ANTE LA CONVENCIÓN MARCO DE LAS NACIONES UNIDAS SOBRE EL CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO
ENERGY SECTOR IS CRUCIAL TO BUILDING A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY ECONOMY
INTRODUCTION
PATH TO GREEN GROWTH
2015 2030
MEXICO ADOPTED AN UNCONDITIONAL INTERNATIONAL COMMITMENT TO CARRY OUT MITIGATION MEASURES…
INDC
REDUCTION OF 22% OF ITS GHG EMISSIONS BY 2030AND 51% OF BLACK CARBON
ON MARCH 2015, MEXICO PRESENTED THE INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTIONS (INDC)
INDC
ENERGY SECTOR CONTRIBUTION
I. OIL AND GAS
II. ENERGY EFFICIENCY
III. CLEAN POWER GENERATION
INDC ENERGY SECTOR CONTRIBUTION
COMPONENTS MAIN DRIVERS
o COGENERATION (PEMEX: 9 REFINING AND PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS)
o 15% REDUCTION IN METHANE EMISSIONS (FLARING AND LEAKS)
o REPLACE HEAVY FUELS WITH NATURAL GAS
o CARBON CAPTURE, USE AND STORAGE
o STATE PRODUCTIVE ENTERPRISES
o STRENGTHENING THE REGULATORY BODIES
o TECHNICAL BODIES IN CHARGE OF CREATING NEW MARKETS (CENAGAS)
o SUSTAINABILITY AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION (ASEA)
o CCUS TECHNOLOGY ROADMAP
I. OIL AND GAS
INDC ENERGY SECTOR CONTRIBUTION
COMPONENTS MAIN DRIVERS
o STANDARDS FOR ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND LOW EMISSIONS
o PUBLIC POLICIES TO PROMOTE ENERGY EFFICIENCY
o SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR THE SUSTAINABLE USE OF ENERGY (PRONASE)
o NATIONAL TRANSITION STRATEGY FOR LOW CARBON AND CLEAN FUELS
o STRENGTHENING THE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK (NOMS)
o PROGRAMS:– REPLACEMENT OF EQUIPMENT
AND APPLIANCES IN SME– DIAGNOSTIC IN 32
MUNICIPALITIES– LIGHTING IN RURAL REGIONS
II. RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL
INDC ENERGY SECTOR CONTRIBUTION
POWER GENERATION SUSTAINABLE USE OF ENERGY
NATIONAL TRANSITION STRATEGY FOR LOW CARBON AND CLEAN FUELS
INDC ENERGY SECTOR CONTRIBUTION
COMPONENTS MAIN DRIVERS
o 35% CLEAN ENERGY BY 2024o GEOTHERMAL GENERATIONo PUBLIC POLICIES TO PROMOTE
CLEAN ENERGYo REPLACING HEAVY FUELS
WITH NATURAL GASo REDUCE TECHNICAL LOSSES
IN THE NATIONAL ELECTRICITY SYSTEM.
o NEW LEGAL FRAMEWORK (LIE, LEG, LGCC, LAERFTE)- NEW ELECTRICITY
MARKET - STATE PRODUCTIVE
ENTERPRISE o SPECIAL PROGRAM FOR REo PRODESENo INVESTOR INFORMATION
(INERE)o R&D AND TRAINING OF HUMAN
RESOURCES
III. CLEAN POWER GENERATION
POTENTIAL: DIRECT IRRADIATION
DURING JUNE*
SOURCE: SENER, INVENTARIO NACIONAL DE ENERGÍAS RENOVABLES
RENEWABLE RESOURCES: SOLAR
INSTALLED CAPACITY 56 MW (0.1% OF TOTAL) POWER GENERATION: 85 GWH (0.03% OF TOTAL) 9 POWER PLANTS
CURRENT INSTALLED CAPACITY
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
NEW MARKET (CFE-PEMEX / CENACE-CENAGAS)
INVESTMENTS / TRANSPARENCY
CLEAN INDUSTRY (ASEA, CELS, LEG)
R&D + HUMAN TALENT
FINANCIAL MECANISMS
FINAL COMMENTS
FINAL COMMENTS
ENERGY
ECONOMIC COMPETITION
TELECOMMUNICATIONS
FISCAL
FINANCIAL
LABOR
EDUCATIONAL
HABEAS CORPUS ELECTORAL POLITICS
TRANSPARENCY
DEMOCRACY AND FREEDOM
INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY
RULE OF LAW
NATIONAL CODE OF CRIMINAL PROCEEDINGS
OBJECTIVES
MEXICO’S NEW ENERGY MODEL
OCTOBER 24, 2015
CESAR CONTRERASCHIEF OF STAFF
DEPUTY SECRETARIAT FOR PLANNING AND ENERGY TRANSITION
FUENTE:INEGI
OFERTA Y DEMANDA GLOBAL DE BIENES Y SERVICIOS(PARTICIPACIÓN PORCENTUAL)
1995 2000 2005 2010 2014 2015
CONSUMO PRIVADO 65.18 70.82 67.19 67.01 68.09 68.66
CONSUMO DE GOBIERNO 13.17 11.25 10.68 11.66 12.20 12.57
FORMACIÓN BRUTA DE CAPITAL FIJO 15.08 20.93 21.18 21.13 20.90 20.75
EXPORTACIONES 25.17 26.28 26.23 29.87 32.56 33.15
IMPORTACIONES 20.94 26.85 27.99 31.07 33.47 34.36
VARIACIÓN DE EXISTENCIAS 1.86 1.60 1.50 0.92 0.89 0.87
PRODUCTO INTERNO BRUTO 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
REFORMA ENERGÉTICAAVANCES EN LA IMPLEMENTACIÓN
FUENTE: INEGI
* ENERGÉTICOS Y TARIFAS AUTORIZADAS POR EL GOBIERNO (NO SUBYACENTE) ** EXCLUYE PETRÓLEO Y CON SERVICIOS** INCLUYE GENERACIÓN, TRANSMISIÓN Y DISTRIBUCIÓN DE ENERGÍA ELÉCTRICA, SUMINISTRO DE AGUA Y DE GAS POR DUCTOS AL CONSUMIDOR FINAL
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ÍNDICE DE PRECIOS AL CONSUMIDOR(VARIACIÓN % ANUAL)
GENERAL
ENERGÍA*
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GENERAL**
ENERGÍA*
**
ÍNDICE DE PRECIOS AL PRODUCTOR
(VARIACIÓN % ANUAL)
REFORMA ENERGÉTICAAVANCES EN LA IMPLEMENTACIÓN
FUENTE: SISTEMA DE INFORMACIÓN ENERGÉTICA CON INFORMACIÓN DE CFE.
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PRECIOS MEDIOS DE ENERGÍA ELÉCTRICA POR SECTOR TARIFARIO
(VARIACIÓN % ANUAL)
RESIDENCIAL: 110.76 C/KWH
INDUSTRIAL: 123.00 C/KWH
TOTAL: 130.65 C/KWH
COMERCIAL: 268.94 C/KWH
SERVICIOS: 253.74 C/KWH
REFORMA ENERGÉTICAAVANCES EN LA IMPLEMENTACIÓN
INDC
INDC