MADISON AREA METROPOLITAN PLANNING

ORGANIZATION (MPO)

Update of the Regional Transportation Plan

A Presentation to Dane County’s Transportation, Utilities and Community Facilities Workgroup

May 19, 2004

MPO General Responsibilities

• Regional Transportation Plan (RTP)

• Transportation Improvement (TIP)

• Unified Planning Work Program (UPWP)

• Corridor and sub-area studies

MPO Planning Area Boundary

• Must cover existing urbanized area boundary (defined by U.S. Census Bureau)

• Also covers the contiguous area expected to become urbanized within a 20 year period

MPO Key Responsibility

• Prepare Regional Transportation Plan (RTP)

• Conduct RTP update every 5 years– Current plan, Dane County Land Use and

Transportation Plan, was adopted in 1997 and reaffirmed in 2000.

– Update is required by the end of 2005

Regional Transportation Plan

• Identifies transportation improvements and strategies/actions (e.g. corridor studies) that will lead to an integrated, multi-modal transportation system

• Must have 20 year planning horizon

• Reflects long range land use and development plans, and population and employment forecasts of area

Questions to consider for update:

• How well is the transportation system performing?

• How well do existing plans deal with current and expected problems?

Questions continued:

• Can the transportation system support the kinds of future growth and development that the region desires?

• What are the trends in regional growth and are they desireable?

Countywide Population Growth• From 1970-2000: 136,000 resident

- Annual growth rate of 1.29%

• From 2000-2030: 153,000 residents- Annual growth rate of 1.03%

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Dane County Population: 1970 to 2030

Regional Growth TrendsCountywide Population

Period Change Total % Change

1970-2000 ~136,000 ~426,000 47%

2000-2030 ~153,000 ~580,000 36%

Countywide Employment (place of work)

Period Change Total % Change

1970-2000 ~164,000 ~285,000 136%

2000-2030 ~97,000* ~382,000* 34%*

*Preliminary

Regional Growth TrendsCountywide Labor Force

Period Change Total % Change

1970-2000 ~129,000 ~256,000 102%

2000-2030 ~69,000 ~325,000 27%

Employment Outpaces Labor Force

Period Employ. L.F. @Per. End

1970-2000 139% 102% 31,200

2000-2030 34%* 27%* 57,000*

*Preliminary

Regional Travel Trends

• 1990 work-trip commuting to Dane County from adjacent counties ~16,400

• 1990 work-trip commuting from Dane County to adjacent counties ~6,000

Regional Travel Trends

• 2000 work-trip commuting to Dane County from adjacent counties ~30,000

• 2000 work-trip commuting from Dane County to adjacent counties ~9,000

Regional Travel Trends

• 2000 work-trip commuting to Dane County from elsewhere ~37,000

• 2000 work-trip commuting from Dane County to elsewhere ~13,200

~30,000 Work-trips From Adjacent Counties

County Commuters Labor Force % of L.F

Columbia 8,930 28,370 31.5

Dodge 1,440 44,680 3.2

Green 3,650 18,820 19.4

Iowa 3,160 13,140 24.0

Jefferson 3,970 41,590 7.6

Lafayette 440 8,750 5.0

Rock 5,020 80,900 6.2

Sauk 3,430 30,400 11.3

1970 Work-trip Commuting in Dane County

1980 Work-trip Commuting in Dane County

1990 Work-trip Commuting in Dane County

2000 Work-trip Commuting in Dane County

County Population vs. Vehicle Registration Trends

• Total personal vehicle registrations increasing faster than the county’s population over the age of 16.

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

1970 1980 1990 2000

Total # PersonalVehicles Registrations

Total Population Age 16years +

Mode Choice Work-trip Commuting Trends

Dane County

1970-2000

1970 mode choice work-trip commuting for Dane County

1980 mode choice work-trip commuting for Dane County

1980

Drive alone53%

Carpool20%

Transit10%

Walk11%

Bicycle & Other3%

Worked at home3%

1970

Worked at home5%

Bicycle & Other3%

Private Auto-Driver61%

Private Auto-Passenger

12%

Walk13%

Transit6%

1990 mode choice work-trip commuting for Dane County

2000 mode choice work-trip commuting for Dane County

1990

Worked at home

4%

Bicycle & Other3%Walk

8%

Transit5%

Carpool12%

Drive alone68%

2000

Drive alone74%

Worked at home4%

Bicycle & Other2%

Walk6%

Transit4%

Carpool10%

Transit Ridership Trends

8,000,000

9,000,000

10,000,000

11,000,000

12,000,000

13,000,000

14,000,00019

8019

8119

8219

8319

8419

8519

8619

8719

8819

8919

9019

9119

9219

9319

9419

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

02

Tota

l Pas

seng

ers

260,000

280,000

300,000

320,000

340,000

360,000

380,000

400,000

420,000

Rev

enue

Ser

vice

Hou

rs

Total Passengers Revenue Service Hours

Bicycle Work-trips to Downtown Madison and UW

• From 1990 to 2000, work-trips increased 24% from 2,240/day to 2,770/day

• Compared to other modes of travel, the percentage share also increased from 4.4% to 4.8%

Vehicle Miles of TravelMadison Urban Area

1980 1990 2000

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

Estimated Daily Vehicles Miles of Travel (VMT) for the Madison Urban Area

VMT

1990 Roadway Congestion

2000 Roadway Congestion

Verona Road/West Beltline Study

USH 51 Corridor Study

N. Mendota Parkway Study

Land Development Forecasts

• 1970-2000:– Increased by 49%

– About 2.2 sq. mi. a year

• 2000-2030:– Increase by 33%

– About 2.2 sq. mi. a year

– Higher residential densities

– Lower commercial employees per acre

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Squa

re M

iles

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Developed Land Area: 1970 to 2030

PlanningNumber of Developed Number of Developed Number of Developed

Areas Persons Acres Persons Acres Persons AcresCentral 70,372 12,872 90,591 15,623 29% 21%Sun Prairie 14,114 3,148 18,833 3,867 33% 23%Waunakee 8,479 1,407 13,140 2,329 55% 66%Verona 7,945 1,580 7,815 1,549 -2% -2%Northern 7,720 1,822 18,886 4,508 145% 147%Stoughton 7,088 1,263 5,766 967 -19% -23%Oregon 5,569 940 17,721 3,152 218% 235%Cottage Grove 5,167 802 19,800 3,275 283% 308%Mount Horeb 4,235 824 5,084 986 20% 20%Marshall 1,816 363 3,327 601 83% 66%16 Smallest USAs 6,872 1,748 11,701 2,914 70% 67%Urban Total 139,377 26,769 212,665 39,771 53% 49%Rural Total 14,073 15,690 11,566 12,189 -18% -22%County Total 153,450 42,459 224,230 51,960 46% 22%Source: Local Land Use Plans and Dane County Regional Planning Commission

2000-2030 Forecast Planned Growth Percent Difference

RPC Forecasts Compared to Local Land Use Plans

RPC Forecasts Compared to Local Land Use Plans

• Reasonable fit between USA forecasts & current Local land use plans

• How will the new local plans fit?• Some urban areas plan for much more growth than

forecast• A few urban areas phase growth beyond 2030• Urban areas with small current growth capacities

are working on new plans

MADISON AREA METROPOLITAN PLANNING

ORGANIZATION (MPO)

Update of the Regional Transportation Plan

A Presentation to Dane County’s Transportation, Utilities and Community Facilities Workgroup

May 19, 2004