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Managing Education and Training in/for Firms Part 1: How Labor Markets Work Prof. Dr. Samuel Mühlemann LMU Munich

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Managing Education and Training in/for Firms

Part 1: How Labor Markets Work

Prof. Dr. Samuel Mühlemann

LMU Munich

Motivation

▪ To have strategic value, education and training must add value to the business and align to organizational goals

▪ Business strategy

> Integrates the company's goals, policies, and actions

> Influences how the company uses:

Physical capital, financial capital, and human capital

▪ Goals – What the company hopes to achieve in the medium-and long-term future

▪ Strategic education and training => focus on the organizational level

> but we will also address the returns on investment for individuals and the government

Managing Education and Training in/for firms 2

▪ Broader: Strategic human resource development (HRD) is..

> “…the strategic management of training, development and of management/professional education interventions so as to achieve the objectives of the organisation while at the same time ensuring the full utilization of the knowledge in detail and skills of individual employees. It is concerned with the management of employee learning for the long-term keeping in mind explicit corporate and business strategies” (Garavan 1991)

> Emphasis on the interdependence between individual and organisational development

> Need to move beyond the notion of “training for training’s sake”

> HRD interventions should not only be evaluated, but need to show justifiable cost-effectiveness and return on investment

Managing Education and Training in/for firms 3

▪ Strategy determines:> Amount of training required for current or future job skills

> Extent to which training should be customized for particular needs

> Extent to which training is restricted to specific groups of employees or open to all

> Extent to which training is planned and systematically administered (formal vs. informal learning)

> Importance placed on training compared to other HR practices

▪ HRD: Education and training seen as an investment

▪ BUT: Special type of education and training in Switzerland

> Apprenticeship training => high turnover after graduation, thus education and training is not necessarily a long-term investment

Human Resource Development 4

Strategic HRD and Human Capital Theory

▪ Becker (1962): Investments in general human capital must be borne by employees if labor markets are competitive

> Wage = value of marginal product

▪ Firms would have no incentive to invest in general human capital, i.e., human capital that can be used in other firms

> Workers make the investment, but also reap the benefits

▪ Firms and workers share the costs and benefits of firm-specific training

> To avoid the hold-up problem

▪ Empirical evidence shows that firms invest in general human capital as well

> Role of frictions in the labor market

Human Resource Development 5

Human capital theory

▪ Firms will make an investment in training and development, as long as they can expect a sufficiently high post-training benefits, such as

> Increased productivity (but Δ wage < Δ productivity)

> Reduced hiring costs

> Reduced firing costs

> Lower fluctuation

▪ Expectations about post-training fluctuation rate are important

▪ Threat of poaching may cause firms to underinvest in training

Managing Education and Training in/for firms 6

▪ To manage education and training in/for firms, we need to

> understand how labor markets work

Competitive markets

Frictional markets

> understand the predictions of human capital theory both in competitive and frictional labor markets, regarding…

hiring and training decision of firms

individual investment decisions for education and training

the role of the government (particularly in frictional markets)

> Empirical research is important to test the predictions of theory andto evaluate the effects and the returns to education and trainingprograms

Issues in identifying causal effects of education and training, because of self-selection into education and training (oftenbased on characteristics that are not observed in the data, such as innate ability or motivation)

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 7

Outline of the course

1. How labor markets work

1. General overview

2. Labor supply

3. Labor demand

4. Wage determination

5. Introduction to frictional labor markets

2. Human capital theory

1. Returns to training for individuals

2. Returns to training for firms

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 8

3. Recruitment and training in frictional labor markets

1. Signaling and Screening

2. Financing of training in frictional labor markets

3. The role of recruitment costs for skilled workers and trainees

4. Financing training as a device to attract and retain skilled workers

4. Workplace learning

1. Evaluating workplace learning

2. Formal vs. informal training

3. Apprenticeship training

The apprenticeship market

Costs and benefits of apprenticeship training

How does the threat of poaching affect the provision of apprenticeships?

Financial incentives for apprentices and firms / Training vouchersProf. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 9

5. International aspects of workplace training

1. An overview of international education and training systems and current initiatives about the role of the firm in vocational training

2. Empirical evidence on training and recruitment strategies in multinational firms located in Switzerland

3. The Spanish VET system: would the adoption of the Swiss VET model be a cost-effective strategy? Results of a simulation study.

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 10

Basic Literature▪ Borjas, G.E (2015). Labor Economics, 7/E. McGraw-Hill.

▪ Ehrenberg, R.G. & Smith, R.S. (2015). Modern Labor Economics – Theory and Public Policy. 12th Edition/Pearson.

▪ Manning, A. (2011). Imperfect competition in the labor market. In: O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (eds.), Handbook of Labor Economics, Vol. 4, Chapter 11, 973–1041.

▪ Muehlemann, S. (2016). The Costs and Benefits of Workplace Training. OECD Education Working Papers No. 143. Paris: OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5jlpl4s6g0zv-en

▪ Wolter, S.C. & P. Ryan (2011). Apprenticeship. Handbook of Economics of Education, Vol. 3, ed. by R. Hanushek, S. Machin, L. Wössmann. Amsterdam: Elsevier North-Holland, 521-576.

▪ (Future) password for lecture slides: SM@UZH2018

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 11

Time scheduleMonday March 26th:

▪ 9h15-12h00 Lectures (Part 1)

▪ 13h15-14h00 Self-study: preparation time for exercises (last slides of part 1)

▪ 14h15-18h00 Lectures (Part 1 & 2)

Tuesday March 27th:

▪ 9h15-12h00 Lectures (Part 3)

▪ 13h15-15h00 Lectures (Part 4a)

Monday April 23th:

▪ 9h15-12h00 Lectures (Part 4a,b)

▪ 13h15-14h00 Self-study: preparation time for exercises

▪ 14h15-18h00 Lectures (Part 4b)

Tuesday April 24th:

▪ 9h15-12h00 Lectures (Part 4b & Part 5)

▪ 13h15-15h00 Lectures (Part 5, Q&A)

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 12

Outline Part 1:

1. How labor markets work

2. Labor demand

3. Labor supply

4. Introduction to frictional labor markets and search theory

1. Frictions on the employee side of the market

2. Frictions on the employer side of the market

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 13

1. HOW LABOR MARKETS WORK

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 14

The Labor Market: Definitions, Facts, and Trends

▪ The market that allocates workers to jobs and coordinates employment decision is the labor market, which could be:

> national labor market

> regional

> local

> external

> internal labor market

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 15

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 16

Qualification levels of the Swiss workforce

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 17

Source: Swiss Federal Statistical Office

Swiss unemployment rates by education level

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 18

Key Facts for Switzerland in Education at a Glance 2013

Table Indicator

Rank among

OECD countries

and other G20

countries*

Enrolment rates 2011 2005 2011 2005 2011 2005

3-year-olds (in early childhood education) 3% 8% 67% 64% 77% 73% ***Not available

4-year-olds (in early childhood and primary

education)41% 39% 84% 79% 90% 84% ***Not available

C1.1a 5-14 year-olds (all levels) 99% 99% 98% 11 of 38

Percentage of population that has attained

below upper secondary education2011 2000 2011 2000 2011 2000

A1.4a 25-64 year-olds 14% 16% 26% 34% 25% 34% 26 of 35

Percentage of population that has attained

upper secondary education2011 2000 2011 2000 2011 2000

A1.4a 25-64 year-olds 50% 60% 44% 44% 48% 46% 11 of 36

Percentage of population that has attained

tertiary education2011 2000 2011 2000 2011 2000

25-64 year-olds 35% 24% 32% 22% 28% 20% 15 of 36

30-34 year-olds 44% 39% 37% 14 of 34

25-34 year-olds 40% 26% 39% 26% 36% 24% 17 of 36

55-64 year-olds 27% 18% 24% 15% 21% 14% 15 of 36

Entry rates into tertiary education 2011 2000 2011 2000 2011 2000

Vocational programmes (Tertiary-type B) 22% 14% 19% 16% 15% 11% 15 of 32

University programmes (Tertiary-type A) 44% 29% 60% 48% 59% 46% 28 of 36

Graduation rates 2011 2000 2011 2000 2011 2000

A2.1a

Percentage of today’s young people expected to

complete upper secondary education in their

lifetime

m 88% 83% 76% 83% 77% m

A3.1a

Percentage of today’s young people expected to

complete university education (tertiary-type A) in

their lifetime

32% 12% 39% 28% 41% 27% 18 of 26

Unemployment rate of 25-64 year-olds - Men

and Women2011 2008 2011 2008 2011 2008

Below upper secondary 7.6% 6% 12.6% 8.8% 15.6% 10.4% 23 of 35

Upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary 3.3% 2.9% 7.3% 4.9% 8.5% 5.2% 34 of 36

Tertiary 2.6% 1.8% 4.8% 3.3% 5.2% 3.2% 33 of 36

Unemployment rate of 25-64 year-olds -

Women2011 2008 2011 2008 2011 2008

Below upper secondary 7.8% 6.7% 12.2% 9.5% 15.1% 11.0% 23 of 35

Upper secondary and post-secondary non-tertiary 3.2% 3.1% 8.0% 5.7% 9.1% 6.1% 33 of 35

Tertiary 3.4% 2.3% 5.1% 3.6% 5.5% 3.6% 28 of 36

Average earnings premium for 25-64 year-olds

with tertiary education**

Men and women 17 of 33

Men 23 of 33

Women 18 of 33

Average earnings penalty for 25-64 year-olds

who have not attained upper secondary

education**

Men and women 18 of 33

Men 12 of 33

Women 17 of 33

Percentage of people not in employment,

education or training for 15-29 year-olds, by

level of education attained

2011 2008 2011 2008 2011 2008

Below upper secondary 10.1% 10.6% 15.8% 14.4% 15.3% 13.5% 27 of 34

Upper secondary 8.9% 9.5% 16.2% 13.6% 15.1% 11.8% 29 of 34

Tertiary 6.2% 7.0% 13.3% 10.6% 12.3% 9.6% 30 of 34

C2.1

Educational Access and Output

Economic and Labour Market Outcomes

A6.1

A6.1

C5.4d

162

75 74

161

144

155

2011 or latest year

available

164

161

77

78

75

2011

76

A1.3a

A1.4a

C3.1a

C3.2a

A5.4b

A5.4d

Switzerland OECD average

157

EU21 average

2011 or latest year

available2011

158

2011

155

2011

76

80 77

Source: OECD Education at a Glance 2013 – Country Note Switzerland

The markets in which firms must operate

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 19

2. LABOUR SUPPLY

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 20

▪ Labor is the most abundant and important factor of production, therefore, a country’s economic performance depends on the willingness of its people to work.

▪ A person’s discretionary time (16 hours a day) can be spent:

(a) working for pay to derive income (𝑌) for consumption,and

(b) on leisure (𝐿).

Some Basic Concepts

▪ Recall that the demand for good/service depends on:

1. The opportunity cost of the good = market price

2. One’s level of wealth

3. One’s set of preferences

The supply of labor

21Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Opportunity Cost of Leisure – The demand for leisure depends on:

▪ The opportunity cost of leisure, which is equal to one’s wage rate or the extra earnings a worker can take home from an extra hour of work.

Wealth and Income – Wealth and income include:

(a) family’s holdings of bank accounts

(b) financial investments

(c) physical property or properties

▪ The effects of increases in income and wages on leisure-work preferences of a person can be categorized as:

1. Income effect

2. Substitution effect22Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Defining the Income Effect

▪ If income increases, holding wages constant, desired hours of work will go down – demand for leisure hours will increase while the hours of work supplied by a worker to the labor market decreases. That is:

𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 𝐸𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡 =Δ𝐻Δ𝑌

ȁ 𝑊 < 0

Defining the Substitution Effect

▪ If income is held constant, an increase in the wage rate will raise the price and reduce the demand for leisure, thereby increasing work incentives – an increase in the opportunity cost of leisure reduces the demand for leisure. That is:

𝑆𝑢𝑏𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝐸𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡 =Δ𝐻Δ𝑊

ȁ 𝑌 > 0

Income and Substitution effects

Prof. S. Mühlemann 23

Observing Income and Substitution Effects Separately

▪ It is possible to observe situations or programs that create only one effect or the other – receiving an inheritance is an example of the income effect, which induces the person to consume more leisure, thus reducing the willingness to work.

Both Effects Occur When Wages Rise

▪ The labor supply response to a simple wage increase will involve both an income effect and a substitution effect; and both effects working in opposite directions creates ambiguity in predicting the overall labor supply response in many cases – see Figure 6.1.

▪ If the income effect is stronger, the person will respond to a wage increase by decreasing his or her labor supply – the labor supply curve will be negatively sloped – that is, as 𝑊 ↑ → 𝐻 ↓.

▪ If the substitution effect dominates, the person’s labor supply curve will be positively sloped – that is, as 𝑊 ↑ → 𝐻 ↑.

24Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

An Individual Labor Supply Curve Can Bend Backward

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 6.1

25Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

▪ Empirical studies find that the supply of labor will be upward-sloping in general, which is what we assume for now.

Prof. S. Mühlemann 26

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 2.9

▪ If other factors change, e.g. if the wage rate of insurance agents increases, but the wage rate (W) of paralegals is unchanged, then the 𝐿𝑆 curve of paralegals will shift to the left.

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 27

Wages forParalegals

Number of Paralegals

Low

High

Supply of Paralegals when

Salaries of Insurance Agents are:

Perfect competition: Supply of labor to Firms

▪ We assume that the labor market for paralegals is perfectly competitive, and that no firm will offer a wage that is above or below what the market wage indicates – firms are wage takers:

> Labor supply curves of paralegals to a firm are horizontal– see Figure 2.11.

> At the on-going wage of 𝑊0, employers can hire all the paralegals they need and each employer faces 𝑆0 supply curve.

> If the paralegal wage falls from 𝑊0 to 𝑊1, employers can still hire as much as they want at the lower wage, and each firm’s or employer’s labor supply curve becomes 𝑆1 with the same slope as the supply curve 𝑆0.

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 28

Supply of Paralegals to an Individual Firm at Alternative Market Wages

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 29

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 2.11

▪ A worker takes into consideration some key factors in determining whether or not to work in the labor market:

> Reservation wage and the earning possibilities.

> Commute time per day (fixed costs of working)

▪ A reservation wage (𝑊𝑅) is the wage below which a person will not work in the labor market – that is, 𝑊𝑅 represents the value placed on an hour of lost leisure time.

▪ Often, people are thought to behave as if they have both a reservation wage and a certain number of work hours that must be offered before the consideration to take a job.

The Reservation Wage

30Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

▪ Labor supply theory suggests that the choices workers make with respect to the desired hours of work depends on:

> Wealth

> Wage rate

> Leisure-income preferences

▪ A comprehensive review of numerous studies of the labor supply of men finds that the sizes of the estimated effects vary with both data and the statistical methodology used.

> Overall, the observed substitution effects are positive while the observed income effects are negative.

▪ Studies of the labor supply behavior of women generally have found a greater responsiveness to wage changes than is found among men.

Empirical Findings on the Income and Substitution Effects

31Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

3. LABOR DEMAND

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 32

Outline

1. Profit Maximization

> Marginal Income from an Additional Unit of Input

> Marginal Expense of an Added Input

2. The Short-Run Demand for Labor When Both Product and Labor Markets Are Competitive

> A Critical Assumption: Declining MPL

> From Profit Maximization to Labor Demand

3. The Demand for Labor in Competitive Markets When Other Inputs Can Be Varied

> Labor Demand in the Long Run

> More than Two Inputs

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 33

4. Labor demand elasticities

> Own wage elasticity

> Cross-elasticity

Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 34

▪ For products price-taking and inputs price-taking firm, profit-maximizing decisions by a firm mainly involve the question of whether, and how, to increase or decrease output.

▪ The search for profit improving possibilities means that small(“marginal”) changes must be made almost daily:

> Major decisions to open a new plant or introduce a new product line are relatively rare, once made.

> Must approach profit maximization incrementally through the trial-and-error process of small changes.

> Incrementally decide on its optimal level of output by:

– 𝑄 ↑ when 𝑀𝑅 > 𝑀𝐶

– 𝑄 ↓ when 𝑀𝑅 < 𝑀𝐶, and that

– 𝑄 is profit maximizing or loss minimizing when 𝑀𝑅 = 𝑀𝐶.

1. Profit Maximization

35Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

> A firm can expand or contract output only by altering its use of inputs (capital and labor).

– Use more of an input if its𝑀𝑅𝑃 𝑎𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 > 𝑀𝐸𝐼 (𝑎𝑑𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒).

– Reduce the employment of an input if its 𝑀𝑅𝑃 < 𝑀𝐸𝐼.

– No further changes in an input are desirable if its𝑴𝑹𝑷 = 𝑴𝑬𝑰.

36Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

Marginal Income from an Additional Unit of Input

▪ We assume that labor (𝐿) and capital (𝐾) are needed to produce a given level of output (𝑄). That is:

Q = f (L, K)

Marginal Product

Marginal product of labor: 𝑀𝑃𝐿 = Δ𝑄/Δ𝐿ȁ𝐾 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡

Marginal product of capital: 𝑀𝑃𝐾 = Δ𝑄/Δ𝐾ȁ𝐿 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑡

Marginal Revenue

▪ Recall that:

> In perfectly or purely competitive product market: 𝑀𝑅 = 𝐴𝑅 = 𝑃

> In imperfectly or impurely competitive product market: 𝑀𝑅 < 𝐴𝑅 = 𝑃

37Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

Marginal Revenue Product

Marginal revenue product of 𝐿: 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀𝑃𝐿 · 𝑀𝑅

𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀𝑃𝐿 · 𝑃

Marginal revenue product of K: 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐾 = 𝑀𝑃𝐾 · 𝑀𝑅

𝑉𝑀𝑃𝐾 = 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐾 = 𝑀𝑃𝐾 · 𝑃

Marginal Income from an Additional Unit of Input

38Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Marginal Expense of an Added Input

▪ Δ𝐿 and/or Δ𝐾 will add to or subtract from the firm’s total costs

▪ Marginal expense of labor (𝑀𝐸𝐿) is the change in total labor cost for each additional unit of labor hired

> If the labor market is competitive, each worker hired is paid the same wage (𝑊) as all other workers, hence: 𝑀𝐸𝐿 = 𝑊 →horizontal supply curve

> If the capital market is competitive, each additional unit of capital will have the same rental cost (𝐶), hence: 𝑀𝐸𝐾 = 𝐶

39Prof. Dr. Samuel Mühlemann Managing Education in/for Firms

2. The Short-Run Demand for Labor When Both Product and Labor Markets Are Competitive

▪ In the short-run, the firm cannot vary its stock of capital, therefore, the production function takes the form:

Q = f (L, 𝐾)

▪ This means the firm needs only to decide whether to alter its output level; how to increase or decrease output is not an issue, because only the employment of labor (𝐿) can be adjusted.

40Prof. Dr. Samuel Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

The Short-Run Demand for Labor When Both Product and Labor Markets Are Competitive

▪ When both product and labor markets are competitive, it is assumed that:

> All producers or sellers are price takers in the product market.

> All employers of labor are wage takers in the labor market.

▪ Analysis of a firm’s production and employment is in the short run where the firm cannot vary its capital stock.

41Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

A Critical Assumption: Declining MPL

▪ Since 𝐾 is constant in the short-run, adding extra unit of 𝐿increases output in each case – 𝑀𝑃𝐿 is positive to some point.

▪ Eventually, adding more 𝐿 will produce progressively smaller increments of output – law of diminishing marginal returns.

▪ This means that as employment expands, each additional worker has a progressively smaller share of the capital stock to work with.

42Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

From Profit Maximization to Labor Demand

▪ Profits are maximized only when employment is such that any further one-unit change in labor would have a marginal revenue product equal to marginal expense:

𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀𝐸𝐿 (3.4)

𝑀𝑃𝐿 · 𝑃 = 𝑊 (3.5)

𝑀𝑃𝐿 = 𝑊/𝑃 (3.6)

43Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

Labor Demand in Terms of Real Wages▪ Labor demand can be analyzed in terms of either real or money wages.

▪ The negative slope of the labor demand curve indicates that each additional unit of labor employed produces a progressively smaller increment in output.

▪ At any real wage determined by the market, the firm should employ labor up to the point at which MPL equals the real wage (𝑊/𝑃) – the firm’s demand for labor in the short-run is equivalent to the downward-sloping segment of its 𝑴𝑷𝑳 schedule:

> At 𝐸0 employment level: 𝑀𝑃𝐿 = 𝑊/𝑃 → profit maximizing level of employment.

> At 𝐸1 employment level: 𝑀𝑃𝐿 > 𝑊/𝑃 → employment level 𝐸1 is less than 𝐸0; firm could increase profit by adding 𝐿.

> At 𝐸2 employment level: 𝑀𝑃𝐿 < 𝑊/𝑃 → employment level 𝐸2 is greater than 𝐸0; firm could increase profit by decreasing 𝐿.

44Prof. Dr. Samuel Mühlemann Managing Education in/for Firms

Demand for Labor in the Short Run (Real Wage)

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 3.1

45Prof. Dr. Samuel Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firmsProf. S. Mühlemann

Labor Demand in Terms of Money Wages▪ In some circumstances, labor demand curves are more readily

conceptualized as downward-sloping functions of money wages.

▪ 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 does not decline because added workers are incompetent, it declines because capital stock is fixed, hence added workers have less capital or equipment to work with.

▪ The fundamental point is: the labor demand curve in the short-run slopes downward because it is the 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 curve, which slopes downward because of labor’s diminishing marginal product.

• Since 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 = 𝑊 for a profit maximizer who takes wages as given, the 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 curve and labor demand curve (𝑀𝑃𝐿) must be the same.

• The marginal product of an individual is not a function solely of his or her personal characteristics:

> It depends on the number of similar employees hired by the firm and the firm’s capital stock.

46Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Table 3.2

47Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

Demand for Labor in the Short Run

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 3.2

48Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Market Demand Curves

▪ A market demand curve (or schedule) is the summation of the labor demanded by all firms in a particular labor market at each level of the real wage

▪ When real wage changes (falls or increases), the number of workers that existing firms want to employ changes (increases or falls)

Objections to the Marginal Productivity Theory of Demand

▪ Employers do not go around verbalizing 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 – it is a theoretical concept, which assumes a degree of sophistication that most employers do not have

▪ With fixed capital stock, it seems that adding labor would not add to output at all – but workers take their turns in using the fixed capital stock such that labor will generally have a marginal product greater than zero

49Prof. Dr. Samuel Mühlemann Managing Education in/for Firms

3. The Demand for Labor in Competitive Markets When Other Inputs Can be Varied

▪ In long-run, the firm’s ability to adjust other inputs such as capital will affect the demand for labor

▪ To maximize profits in the long-run, the firm must adjust 𝐿 and 𝐾 such that each input’s 𝑀𝑅𝑃 is equal to its 𝑀𝐸

Labor Demand in the Long Run

𝑀𝑃𝐿 · 𝑃 = 𝑊𝑀𝑃𝐾 · 𝑃 = 𝐶Rearranging equations yields:

𝑃 = 𝑊/𝑀𝑃𝐿

𝑃 = 𝐶/𝑀𝑃𝐾

𝑊/𝑀𝑃𝐿 = 𝐶/𝑀𝑃𝐾

50Prof. Dr. Samuel Mühlemann Managing Education in/for Firms

▪ is the added cost or marginal cost (𝑀𝐶) of producing an added unit of output when using labor to generate the increase in output

▪ is the marginal cost (𝑀𝐶) of producing an extra unit of output when using capital to generate the increase in output

▪ To maximize profits, the firm must adjust its labor and capital inputs so that the marginal cost of producing an added unit of output using labor is equal to the marginal cost of producing an added unit of output using capital

𝑊

𝑀𝑃𝐿

𝐶

𝑀𝑃𝐾

51Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

▪ Capital and labor are not the only inputs used in the production process.

▪ Labor can be subdivided into many categories – by age, educational level, and occupation.

▪ Other inputs in the production process include materials and energy.

▪ For all other inputs, the equality of 𝑀𝐶 in using these inputs to produce an added unit of output as given by equation (3.8c) applies.

More Than Two Inputs

52Managing Education in/for FirmsProf. S. Mühlemann

If Inputs Are Substitute in Production

▪ If two inputs are substitutes in production, and if an increase in the price of one input shifts the demand for another input to the left as in panel (a) of Figure 3.3, then the scale effect dominates the substitution effect – inputs are gross complements.

▪ If the increase in the price of one input shifts the demand for the other input to the right as indicated in panel (b) of Figure 3.3, then the substitution effect dominates – inputs are gross substitutes.

If Inputs Are Complements in Production

▪ When two inputs must be used together in some proportion, they are considered to be perfect complements or complements in production – that is, no substitution effect, only a scale effect.

53Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Effect of Increase in the Price of One Input (𝑘) on Demand for Another Input (𝑗), Where Inputs Are Substitutes in Production

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 3.3

54Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Application: Skill-biased technological change (SBTC)

▪ Seminal paper by Bresnahan, Brynjolfsson & Hitt (QJE, 2002)

> SBTC represented by new forms of work organization (WO)

team use

team-building activities

teamwork as a promotion criterion

the use of employee involvement groups or quality circles

workers decide on the pace of work and methods

> and information technology (ITC)

▪ They find that technological change is complementary to skills, because work organization and ITC was positively associated with human capital investment, as measured by

importance of screening for education in hiring

the fraction of workers receiving training

the importance of cross training55

4. Labor demand elasticities

▪ The own-wage elasticity of demand for a category of labor is defined as the percentage change in its employment (𝐸) induced by a 1 percent increase in its wage rate (𝑊):

𝜂𝑖𝑖 =%Δ𝐸𝑖%Δ𝑊𝑖

(4.1)

1. 𝜂𝑖𝑖 is relatively elastic labor demand if the % Δ𝐸𝑖 > % Δ𝑊𝑖

2. 𝜂𝑖𝑖 is relatively inelastic labor demand if the % Δ𝐸𝑖 < % Δ𝑊𝑖

3. 𝜂𝑖𝑖 is unitary elastic labor demand if the % Δ𝐸𝑖 = % Δ𝑊𝑖

4. 𝜂𝑖𝑖 is perfectly elastic labor demand if the % Δ𝐸𝑖 is infinite

5. 𝜂𝑖𝑖 is perfectly inelastic labor demand if the % Δ𝐸𝑖 is zero for positive or negative changes in the wage rate (% Δ𝑤𝑖)

56Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Relative Demand Elasticities

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 4.1

57Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Different Elasticities along a Demand Curve

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 4.2

58Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

These laws assert that, other things equal, the own-wage elasticity of demand for a category of labor is generally higher under the following conditions:

1. When price elasticity of demand for the product being produced is higher.

2. When other factors of production can be more easily substituted for the category of labor.

3. When the supply of other factors of production is more highly elastic.

4. When the cost of employing the category of labor is a larger share of the total costs of production.

The Hicks-Marshall Laws of Derived Demand

59Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

Demand for the Final Product

▪ The greater the price elasticity of demand for the final product, the larger the percentage decline in output (- and the greater percentage loss in employment) associated with a given price increase – the greater the elasticity of demand for the product, the greater the elasticity of demand for labor.

▪ The implication is that wage elasticities will be higher in the long run than in the short run.

Substitutability of Other Factors

▪ When substitution possibilities exist, a reduction in employment will accompany whatever reductions are caused by the scale effect – the easier it is to substitute other factors of production, the greater the wage elasticity of labor demand.

60Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

The Supply of Other Factors

▪ If an increase in the wages of unskilled workers caused employers to attempt to substitute skilled employees for unskilled employees, the wages of the skilled workers (fixed number) would be bid up by employers.

▪ If the price of other inputs did not increase when employers attempted to increase their use, the substitution effect – the wage elasticity of labor demand – would be larger.

The Share of Labor in Total Costs

• The share of labor cost (𝑇𝐶𝐿 = 𝑤𝐿) in total costs of production [𝑇𝐶(𝑄) = 𝑟𝐾 + 𝑤𝐿 or 𝑐𝐾 + 𝑤𝐿] is expressed as:

wLrK + wL , thus, the greater the category’s share in total

costs, the greater the wage elasticity of demand.61Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms

4. WAGE DETERMINATION

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The Determination of the Wage

▪ The wage rate that prevails in the labor market depends on 𝐿𝐷 and 𝐿𝑆, regardless of whether labor unions and/or nonmarket factors are involved – see Figure 2.12.

The Market-Clearing Wage▪ The wage rate (𝑊𝑒) at which 𝐿𝐷 equals 𝐿𝑆 is the market-clearing wage –

that is, no labor surplus and/or no labor shortage.

▪ For any wage (𝑊1) lower than 𝑊𝑒 : 𝐿𝐷> 𝐿𝑆 → EDL, and with adjustments from employers/demanders, wage rises to 𝑊𝑒.

▪ For any wage (𝑊2) higher than 𝑊𝑒 : 𝐿𝐷< 𝐿𝑆 → ESL, and with adjustments from workers/suppliers, wage falls to 𝑊𝑒.

▪ 𝑊𝑒 becomes the going wage that individual employers and employees face – see Figures 2.12 and 2.13.

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Market demand and supply

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Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 2.12

Market demand and supply at the „Market“ and „Firm“ Levels

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Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 2.13

Disequilibrium and Nonmarket Influences

▪ The labor market is subject to forces that impede the adjustment of both wages and employment to changes in supply or demand:

> Changing jobs often requires an employee to invest in new skills or bear the costs of moving.

> Hiring workers can involve an initial investment in search and training, while firing them or cutting their wages can be perceived as unfair, which may affect moral and productivity.

▪ Other barriers to adjustment are rooted in nonmarket forces:

> Government programs or laws such as minimum wage laws usually serve to keep wages above market levels, which could result in widespread unemployment.

> Customs or institutions (labor unions) also constrain the choices of individuals and firms.

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Economic Rents for workers

▪ With respect to the labor market, economic rents can be defined as the difference between the wage workers are actually paid on a job and the workers’ reservation wages.

> Economic rents for workers sum the area between the market-clearing wage and the labor supply curve – see Figure 2.19.

▪ The labor supply curve of any occupation or industry is a schedule of reservation wages that indicates the labor forthcoming at each wage level – each worker potentially has a different reservation wage, hence rents will differ for each.

▪ The reservation wage of a worker is the wage below which the worker would refuse (or quit) the job in question.

> It is the opportunity cost to the individual worker for giving up hours of leisure for market work.

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Labor Supply to the Military: Different Preferences Imply Different “Rents”

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Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 2.19

5. FRICTIONS IN THE LABOR MARKET

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Outline

1. Frictions on the employee side of the market

> The law of one price

> Mobility and job search costs

2. Frictions on the employer side of the market

> Hiring costs => Part III „Hiring in frictional labor markets“

> Training costs => Part II „Human capital“ and Part III

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1. Frictions on the Employee Side of the Market

▪ The Law of One Price

▪ Monopsonistic Labor Markets: A Definition

▪ Profit Maximization under Monopsonistic Conditions

▪ How Do Monopsonistic Firms Respond to Shifts in the Supply Curve?

▪ Monopsonistic Conditions and the Employment Response to Minimum Wage Legislation

▪ Job Search Costs and Other Labor Market Conditions

▪ Monopsonistic Conditions and the Relevance of the Competitive Model

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The Law of One Price (LOP)

▪ Workers who are of equal skills within occupations will receive the same wage – there will be no wage differentials.

▪ Assumptions underlying the LOP:

> Every employee has information about available jobs –information is costless.

> Mobility or job search across employers is costless.

> Labor supply curve is horizontal.

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Frictions on the Employee Side of the Market

▪ Mobility or job search across employers is NOT costless.

> Job search takes time and effort.

> Costs of job search include:

a) application – printing résumés and postage

b) interview – buying expensive clothes for interview and roundtrip fares

c) travel – hiring movers if employed

d) psychological costs – missing friends and family members.

▪ Costs of job search/mobility make the supply curve to be upward sloping and not horizontal as assumed earlier.

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The Supply of Labor to Firm A: Worker-Mobility Costs Increase the Slope of the Labor Supply Curve Facing Individual Employers

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Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 5.1

Lower mobility costs will elicit high labor/employment responses if wage changes.

Higher mobility costs will elicit low labor/employment responses if

wage changes.

Monopsonistic Labor Markets: A Definition

▪ A labor market monopsonist is the only buyer/employer of labor in its labor market.

▪ BUT: A labor market can be monopsonistic if there are few -i.e., more than one - but not a high number of buyers/employers of labor (=> job opportunities)

▪ The employer faces an upward labor supply curve but its 𝑴𝑬𝑳 (or 𝑴𝑪𝑳) is higher than the wage rate.

▪ Profit maximization under monopsonistic conditions:

> profit-maximizing firms will hire as long as 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 > 𝑀𝐸𝐿> hiring stops when 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀𝐸𝐿> when firms face upward sloping supply curves, the 𝑀𝐸𝐿

exceeds the wage.

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Why the Marginal Expense of Labor Exceeds the Wage Rate▪ The marginal expense of labor (𝑀𝐸𝐿) exceeds the wage rate

because:

> potential employees find it costly to change jobs, so the firm must be willing to pay higher wages to attract workers from other employers (or to participate in the labor market so that the wage > individual reservation wage)

> the 𝑀𝐸𝐿 includes the wages paid to the extra worker plus the additional cost of raising the wage for all other workers.

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Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Table 5.1

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Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 5.2

The Firm’s Choice of Wage and Employment Levels

▪ The monopsonist hires workers up to the point where:

𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀𝐸𝐿

▪ The labor market effects caused by 𝑀𝐸𝐿 > 𝑊 :

> A labor market monopsonist hires less workers in comparison to the competitive employer(s).

> A labor market monopsonist pays a wage that is less than the competitive wage – exploits workers.

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Prof. S. Mühlemann Managing Education and Training in/for firms 80

Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 5.3

Profit-Maximizing Employment and Wage Levels in a Firm Facing a Monopsonistic Labor Market

Monopsonistic Conditions and Firms’ Wage Policies

▪ The employers in monopsonistic labor markets must decide on the wage to pay unlike in the perfectly competitive labor markets where firms are wage takers.

▪ Firms must make labor market decisions that allow them to remain competitive in their product markets.

▪ Product and labor market constraints may cause firms in monopsonistic labor markets to offer different wages to equivalent workers.

▪ Due to the unlikelihood that 𝑆𝐿 and 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 curves would be exactly the same for different firms in the same labor market, it should be no surprise if exactly comparable workers have different marginal productivities and receive different wages at different firms.

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How Do Monopsonistic Firms Respond to Shifts in the Supply Curve?▪ The labor market monopsonistic firm does not really have a

labor demand curve – it has 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿 curve.

▪ The monopsonistic firm is not a wage taker and its 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿curve shows various levels of employment of which there is only one profit-maximizing level of employment and only one associated wage rate.

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Effects of a Mandated Minimum Wage

▪ A mandated wage (𝑊𝑚) prevents a firm from paying a wage less than 𝑊𝑚 – this creates a perfectly elastic labor supply curve facing the firm, thus altering its 𝑀𝐸𝐿 curve.

▪ A profit-maximizing firm will hire labor where the 𝑀𝑅𝑃𝐿insects the perfectly elastic labor supply curve (𝑀𝐸𝐿 curve) created by 𝑊𝑚 – see employment at 𝐸𝑚 in Figure 5.5.

▪ For a monopsonistic firm, 𝑊𝑚 can simultaneously increase the average cost of labor and reduce 𝑀𝐸𝐿 – the decrease in marginal expense will induce the firm to expand output and employment in the short run.

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Source: Ehrenberg & Smith (2015), Fig. 5.5

Minimum-Wage Effects under Monopsonistic Conditions: Both Wages and Employment Can Increase in the Short Run BDS = Labor supply curve based on a mandated Wm

BDEM = Marginal expense of labor curve (MEL) based on Wm

MRPL = MEL (which is given as BDEM based on Wm) → Em

Monopsonistic Conditions and the Employment Response to Minimum Wage Legislation

▪ Legislated increases in 𝑊𝑚𝑖𝑛 raise wages.

▪ Modest increase in 𝑊𝑚𝑖𝑛 can reduce 𝑀𝐸𝐿.

▪ Fall in 𝑀𝐸𝐿 may cause some firms/employers to experience increases in employment.

▪ Higher total labor costs due to 𝑊𝑚𝑖𝑛 may force some firms/employers to close.

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Empirical evidence: Effect of a minimum-wage increase in New Jersey (Card & Krueger 1994)

▪ NJ raised minimum wages on April 1st 1992 from $4.25 to $5.05 (a substantial increase, almost 20%)

▪ Main businesses affected: fast food industry

▪ Authors collected data in the border region between NJ and Pennsylvania, where the minimum wage stayed at $4.25, before the introduction (February) and afterwards (November).

▪ Why not just observe employment levels before and after (first-differences) the change in minimum wages in NJ?

> There might be a general trend in the labor market that causes fluctuations in employment (seasonal factors, business cycles, etc.)

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Common trend assumption in DID models

▪ Critical assumption of DID: Common trend

▪ What does this mean?

> In the absence of the minimum wage increase in New Jersey, the difference in employment between February and November 1992 would have been the same in both states

> This assumption may hold if businesses close to the state border face similar macroeconomic conditions

▪ Assumption: Additive structure for potential outcomes in the non-treatment state:

𝐸 𝑦0𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠, 𝑡 = 𝛾𝑠 + 𝜆𝑡

where s denotes state, and t denotes time. In this setup, employment is determined only by state and time

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Difference-in-differences estimation

▪ The additive state effect is similar to unobserved individual effect in the fixed-effects model

▪ Let 𝐷𝑠𝑡 denote high-minimum-wage state in a given period

▪ Assuming that the difference in employment, 𝐸[𝑦1𝑖𝑠𝑡 − 𝑦0𝑖𝑠𝑡ȁ𝑠, 𝑡] between high and low-minimum-wage states is constant and denoted 𝛿, then

𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 = 𝛾𝑠 + 𝜆𝑡 + 𝛿𝐷𝑠𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑠𝑡 ,

where 𝐸[휀𝑖𝑠𝑡] = 0.

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Difference-in-differences estimation

▪ Thus, for Pennsylvania (PA), the difference in employment between February and November 1992 is simply

𝐸 𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠 = 𝑃𝐴, 𝑡 = 𝑁𝑜𝑣 − 𝐸 𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠 = 𝑃𝐴, 𝑡 = 𝐹𝑒𝑏= 𝜆𝑁𝑜𝑣 − 𝜆𝐹𝑒𝑏

and for New Jersey (NY)

𝐸 𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠 = 𝑁𝐽, 𝑡 = 𝑁𝑜𝑣 − 𝐸 𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠 = 𝑁𝐽, 𝑡 = 𝐹𝑒𝑏= 𝜆𝑁𝑜𝑣 − 𝜆𝐹𝑒𝑏 + 𝛿

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Difference-in-differences estimation

▪ Finally, the population difference-in-differences is

ሼሽ

𝐸 𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠 = 𝑁𝐽, 𝑡 = 𝑁𝑜𝑣 − 𝐸 𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠 = 𝑁𝐽, 𝑡 = 𝐹𝑒𝑏 ሽ− ሼ𝐸 𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠 = 𝑃𝐴, 𝑡 = 𝑁𝑜𝑣 − 𝐸 𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑡 𝑠 = 𝑃𝐴, 𝑡 = 𝐹𝑒𝑏= 𝜹,

which is the causal effect of increasing the minimum wage on employment.

▪ Interpretation: The treatment (minimum-wage-increase) is a deviation from the common employment trend of the two states.

▪ Differences by the level of employment between PA and NJ are captured by the state fixed effect.

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Card & Krueger (1994)

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Common trend assumption

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Before After

Time

TreatmentEffect

Employment trend in control state (PA)

Counterfactualemployment trend in treatment state (NJ)

Employment trend in treatment state (NJ)

Emp

loym

ent

rate

Job Search Costs and Other Labor Market Outcomes

▪ Despite the job search costs, some workers’ high wage levels may be due to luck – they are lucky to be employed by a high-paying/high-productivity employer.

▪ Job mobility/search costs for workers may explain why:

> Wages increase or improve over time with workers’ labor market experience or activity.

> Wages increase with workers’ length of time (tenure) with their particular employers.

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Wage Levels, Luck, and Search

▪ Employee mobility costs can create, other things equal, monopsonistic conditions that result in pay differences among workers who have equal productive capabilities.

> The implication is that to some extent, a worker’s wage depends on luck – some workers will be lucky to obtain a job offer from a high-paying employer.

▪ Workers who see their jobs as a poor match (due to low pay) have more incentive to search for other offers than the lucky ones who have good matches with high wages.

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Wage and Labor Market Experience

▪ Workers who have spent more time in the labor market have had more chances to acquire better offers and thus improve upon their initial job matches – that is, workers’ wages improve the longer they are active in the labor market.

▪ Workers that spent more time in the labor market may also acquire more human capital => topic of next session!

Wages and Job Tenure

▪ With costly job searches, workers who are fortunate enough to find jobs with high-paying employers will have little incentive to continue searching.

▪ Those who have longer job tenure with their employers also tend to have higher wages.

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Job Search Costs and Unemployment

▪ Job search costs can help to explain the existence (and level) of unemployment – the longer it takes for a worker to receive an acceptable offer, the longer the unemployed worker will remain unemployed.

Monopsonistic Conditions and the Relevance of the Competitive Model:

▪ The competitive model may offer predictions that are at least partially contradicted by evidence but it does not mean that it is irrelevant, especially in the long run.

▪ The major difference between the competitive and monopsonistic models is the assumption about employee mobility costs.

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2. Frictions on the employer side of the market

Categories of Quasi-Fixed Costs:

▪ The frictions on the employer side of the market cause firms to bear “quasi-fixed costs” that are difficult to cut in the short run.

▪ Quasi-fixed costs fall into two categories: investments in their workforce and certain employee benefits.

Labor Investments => part 2 and part 3!

▪ Costs of hiring replacements such as advertising the position, screening, interviewing, “wine and dine”, and terminating –severance pay, and

▪ Costs of formal or informal training – firms incur explicit and implicit costs of training employees.

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EXERCISE

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Labor demand in competitive and monopsonistic labor markets

▪ Assume your firm operates in a competitive product market. The marginal product of labor is 𝑴𝑷𝑳 = 𝟐𝟒 – 𝟎. 𝟐 ∗ 𝑳, where L is the number of workers employed.

▪ For simplicity assume that the price per unit of output is $ 1 (=> value of the marginal product = marginal product).

a. How many workers will you hire if you operate in a competitive labor market, and the going wage rate is $6/hour?

b. How many workers will you employ if the government introduces a minimum wage of $8/hour?

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Labor demand in competitive and monopsonistic labor markets

c. Marginal product of labor remains as under (a). However, now you assume that your firm operates in a monopsonistic labor market, and you face the following upward-sloping labor supply curve: 𝑤 = 1.5 +0.05 𝐿.

This implies that the firm’s marginal costs for labor are

𝑴𝑪𝑳 = 𝝏𝒘𝑳/𝝏 𝑳 = 𝝏([𝟏. 𝟓 + 𝟎. 𝟎𝟓𝑳] ∗ 𝑳)/𝝏𝑳) = 𝟏. 𝟓 + 𝟎. 𝟏𝑳

Reminder: In order to maximize profits, you will always hire new employees up to the point where the marginal costs of labor equal the marginal product of labor.

How many workers will you hire?

What is the wage paid to the workers?

Compare the results to your answer in question a). Illustrate graphically.

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