managing risk for pv plant construction ... - aws …€¦ · in all aspects of life and projects....
TRANSCRIPT
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MANAGING RISK FOR PV PLANT CONSTRUCTION
AND COMMISSIONING
11 June 2020
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Daniel Barandalla
Solar Advisory Lead EMEA y LATAM,
More than 15 years of experience in the
Solar PV Industry as Technical Advisor in
different range and type of Solar PV
Projects worldwide.
Presenters
Daniel Lacambra
Business Development Manager Solar,
Spain
More than 10 years of experience in the
renewables industry (wind and solar PV) as
a consultant working basically for the
Spanish and LATAM markets
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100+Country locations of
UL renewable energy
customers
500+ UL Renewable
Energy Experts
Independent / Owner’s
Engineer on
450+ wind & solar projects*
*since 2012
200,000+ MWTotal renewable energy megawatts (MW) assessed
55+
ADVISED
90%of the wind and solar
industry’s top PROJECT
DEVELOPERS and
PLANT OWNERS
FORECAST PROVIDER for
72+ GWof installed renewable energy projects
Years of combined experience
in the renewable energy
industry
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1
International Presence500+Renewable
Energy
Experts
44 Countries with
UL offices
159 UL sites
(offices, labs)
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EÓLICO SOLAR
UL DRIVES TRUST IN RENEWABLES
E-MOBILITYALMACENAMIENTO
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UL SERVICES FOR SOLAR
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6 - 18 months 4 - 24 months > 25 years
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1. Risk Categorization
2. Main Risks during construction
3. Importance of Commissioning
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RISK EVALUATION
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Risks are the potential consequences
of the outcome of a decision being
different from that expected by the
decision maker.
In a Project, the possible
consequences are established in three
dimensions: TIME, COST and
QUALITY.
Risk cannot be avoided and is present
in all aspects of life and Projects
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Once the risks have been identified, analyzed and classified, the
following are all the possible responses that can be adopted:
RESPONSE TO RISKS
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✓ Delete it
✓ Reduce it as much as possible
✓ Live with it and observe
✓ Transfer it to someone else
✓ Negotiate it
✓ Ignore It
Technical point of view
Legal point of view
Suicidal approach
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PV PROJECTS AND RISKS ASSOCIATED
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POSSIBLE ISSUES DURING A PV PROJECT LIFECYCLE
DEVELOPMENT CONSTRUCTION OPERATION
FINANCING
EXPERIENCE / SOLVENCY
TECHNICAL / ECONOMIC
Manufacturer, Supplier,
Constructor, Operator, etc.
PLANNING
Permits, documents, administrative
and contractual procedures (land,
connection, authorizations, ...).
LOGISTICS
Shipments of large components and
access to the site.
Damage, theft, etc. during shipping and /
or installation.
PRODUCTION BELOW EXPECTATION
Low irradiation: Study resource and / or incorrect campaign.
Poor contracts: EPC, O&M (scope, guarantees, etc.)
High losses: monitoring, regulation, breaks, electrical, environmental, force
majeure, inverter stops, etc.
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
Tracker or structural design not fitting site conditions.
Incorrect foundation design for the Project structures and shelters
Inadequate civil works infrastructure (drainage)
HIGH EXPENSES (Above expected)
Abusive contracts / permits: land, administrative, O&M ...
Inadequate insurance: transport, force majeure, theft, etc.
INSUFFICIENT INCOME (LESS THAN EXPECTED)
Regulatory framework (PPA and connection): terms, conditions, etc.
Incomplete / Inadequate Financial ModelFEASIBILITY
Previous considerations.
Measurements and initial design.
Initial production estimates.
Specific studies (topographic,
geotechnical, seismic, transport,
etc.)
DELAYS
Equipment delivery, environmental,
administrative, third parties, force
majeure, tests, etc.
SCOPE CONTRACT EXECUTION
Requirements (PPA and connection).
Scope not considered (EPC).
CONSTRUCTION MONITORING
Periodic reports to certify work done and
payment milestones.
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HIDDEN ISSUES
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Thorough Analysys → Risk Detection → Mitigation
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CONTRACTS – RENEWABLE PROJECTS
Project
PPA
IA
EPC
O&M
Responsability Lagoons
LD interactions Deficits
Requirements Discrepancies
Schedule Misalignments
Financial Model Effects
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PPA – GENERAL ASPECTS
Item Standards Bad Practices
Guaranteed Dates Parent Warrantys, Market Registration, COD. COD´s with unrealistic timeframe
Term 12 months to 20 years Short Terms or too long terms
Capacity Should be in line with Projects desing capacity Capacities Below the Interconnection Agreement or Design
Contracted
ProductsEnergy, CELs, Power Amounts
Unrealistic Quantities Above P50 values (Guaranteed
amounts)
Payment Rate Strong currency based or Local currencies based with
exchange to strong currency indexation (monthly) Local currencies with no strong currency indexation
Point of
InterconnectionSame as Interconnection Agreement POI Different tan the IA POI and desing
Operational
RequirementsForecasting, registration, transmission fees,
Operational Data not included in Asset Management or
O&M contracts
EoD Termination Typical Force Majeure, Bankruptcy, Failing to comply
with requirementsDelivery Products - Delivery
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INTERCONNECTION AGREEMENT – GENERAL ASPECTS
Item Standards Bad Practices
Project Description In accordance to Design and other contracts Differences
Facilities and Network
Upgrades
New Bay or Maneuver (Components in adjacent
SS)“Carte Blanche”
Guaranted Dates Energization, Testing periods, COD. Unrealistic timefranes
Term 30 years Short term
CurtailmentNot curtailment or limited
No restrictions on curtailment, subjected to generation
in the area
EoD Termination Typical Force Majeure, Bankruptcy, Failing to
comply with requirementsAgressive timeframes
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EPC CONTRACTS – SCOPE OF WORKS
PV modules – number, manufacturer, model, string connection.
Is there a requirement for the modules to have a valid IEC Certificate?
Are there any FAT and SAT defined in the contract?
Are long-term warranties (PV modules, inverters, trackers) clearly defined.
Is a passthrough on Provisional Acceptance?
Monitoring system and communications. What is the scope?
Does it include monitoring of the substation?
String inverter is included?
Initial Stock of Spares. Including key components (at least 0.2% of the total nº
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EPC CONTRACTS – SCOPE OF WORKS
Interconnection and Site Substation.
In cases those are part of a separate contract
Are the schedules aligned?
Responsibilities are clearly defined?
Monitoring system and communications. What is the scope?
Does it include monitoring of the substation?
String inverter is included?
How many stations are available? What is the setup for bifacial projects?
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EPC CONTRACT WARRANTIES
Typical warranties include:
• Milestone completion dates. At least Provisional Acceptance is
guaranteed. Some contract also warrant partial milestones
• PR Test as part of the PAC (duration between 10-15 days)
• Final Completion (2 years from PAC)
Non compliance with those implies LDs that should be sized to
compensate the loss of income and other project related or financing
costs.
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EPC CONTRACT - WARRANTIES
Overall EPC contract works have at least 2 years warranty starting on
Provisional Acceptance of the Plant.
Equipment warranties with a longer term should be clearly transferred to the
Plant owner on PAC. Those may include:
PV modules, inverters and trackers, cables and transformers
Typically the warranty term starts on PAC and continues for two years until
FAC. Normally, during this period the EPC Contractor is responsible for the
maintenance of the plant.
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EPC CONTRACT - WARRANTIES
Provisional Acceptance Tests
Should certify that:
• Commissioning is completed
• The plant is mechanical and electrically complete
• Punch list items do not include elements that would require energy loss or
plant disconnection for repair.
• An initial Performance (PR) test has been conducted and successfully
passed.
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EPC CONTRACT - WARRANTIES
Draft standard of IEC 61724-1 Ed2.
Photovoltaic system performance -
Part 1: Monitoring
Defines a procedure for PR
calculation for Bifacial systems
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𝑃𝑅′𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 −𝑒𝑞 ,𝑏𝑖 = 𝑃out,𝑘 × 𝜏𝑘𝑘
𝐶𝑘 × 𝑃0 × 𝐺𝑖,𝑘 × 𝐵𝐼𝐹𝑘 × 𝜏𝑘
𝐺𝑖,ref𝑘
1
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Risk Mitigation Construction
Phase
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RISKS DURING CONSTRUCTION OF A PV PLANT
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ACCESS GEOLOGIC HYDRO TECHNOLOGY
ARCHAEOLOGIC SOCIAL LOGISTICSCIVIL /
ELECTRICAL
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TECHNICAL RISK ASSESSMENT FOR MODULES
Long term durability
• Laboratory Tests, IEC and UL tests
• Field tests
• Component lifespan (backsheets, connectors, wires
etc.)
Long term performance
• Long term degradation rates
• System performance monitoring
Warranties and replacement
• Warranty claims, testing, availability of replacement
modules, MLPE
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LOCATION AND ACCESS: SOLAR
Generally, solar projects will be located in rural places and away from major
urban centers.
PV Plant in Chile (left) PV Plant in Brazil (right)
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HYDROLOGICAL RISK
Civil infrastructure and drainage
requirements should be designed
considering the right return and all
climatological aspects of the area.
Classifying soils at runoff level, identifying
the outlets or natural water inlets to the site
and justifying the passage works on
channels and drains in roads and areas
adjacent to the draft.
It provides vital information for calculating
the height of the embankments of roads and
platforms required to avoid floods.
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451.4
430.14 403.6
361.82
331.33 314.63
298.43
281.67 264.45
246.76
198.19 188
166.19
157.34 127.54
117.5
95.64
73.79 46.59
24.18
14.77 12.34
0
CAUCE PRINCIPAL AEROGENERADORES Plan: ALCANTARILLA BATEA 02/11/2011
Legend
WS TR = 50 AÑOS
WS TR = 25 AÑOS
Ground
Bank Sta
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HYDROLOGICAL RISK
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Flood risk areas identified
at the design phase
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HYDROLOGICAL RISK
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Flood risk areas identified at
the construction phase
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HYDROLOGICAL RISK
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GEOTECHNICAL RISK
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LOGISTIC RISKS
The logistics strategy to follow for the
construction of the project should be
defined beforehand.
We have to consider available ports
and roads, but also the machinery
capacity of the project region (driving
piles).
Important to consider complications
in mounting with high-power and
bifacial modules
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CONSTRUCTION AND O&M RISK
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Construction risks that
eventually begin to
impact the operation of a
project are many and
strictly depend on the
quality once the
implementation, design
and subsequent
construction stage is
completed.
Vegetation, soiling,
cleaning
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• Early identification of risks is essential for implementing the right
mitigation with the lowest impact on costs and delays on the Project.
The sooner, the better, the easier, the cheapest.
• A proper contractual definition of the Project is required with the right
level of coverage for the construction and O&M contracts and properly
aligned with other key contracts for the Project.
• Independent verification of contract clauses (technical and legal) would
add value on minimizing risks.
• Thorough supervision during construction from a third party will ensure
that quality is not compromised and that construction risks are properly
identified and mitigated
• Definition of the right KPIs tasks and activities is key to remove any
risk at Project completion, to make sure that the Plant will be handed
to the Owner in perfect shape for Operation.
MANAGING RISK FOR PV PLANT
CONSTRUCTION AND COMMISSIONING
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THANK YOU !!
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