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Mongolia The Endless Land of the Landed People A Case study September 20-21, 2012 Budapest Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S

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Page 1: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

Mongolia

The Endless Land of the Landed People

A Case study

September 20-21, 2012 Budapest

Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes

NIRAS BlomInfo A/S

Page 2: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

Some Background

Location – b/w Russia, Kazakhstan, China

Independence - 1911

Government – Parliamentary Republic (1996)

Population - 2,754,685 - (27% of Hungary)

50% - Nomads

Area - 1,564,115.75 km2 - (35% of EU)

GDP - 3,040 USD –

expected to grow in 5 years 40%

Contradictory environment:

Growing richness by mining, huge government incomes –

still deep poverty: half of the population

Unlimited land in rural territories, no sense for ownership –

corruption, speculation on land in UB

Page 3: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

1. National Situation

– Government owned land until 2000

– Unique Land Privatization process

• Hasha plots (800 m2)

• Population - divided

1.4 million urban inhabitants: 50% of it - ger (hasha) areas

1,3 million nomadic life (40 million livestock)

– Issues: contradictory registration of rights, no notion of ownership, no incentive to develop (owners or investors), no national level land valuation

2. Institutional and Legal Setup

– State organizations – Not harmonized, ineffective

– Legal System – outdated, contradictory and complicated

– Registration Procedures – Complicated, lengthy (3 gov. levels, 23 steps)

– Registry Records - Only small % - mostly urban areas have rights recorded

• Current Database – only 300.000 properties (not a functioning system)

– BUT – Government committed for reform, lots of international projects

Current Situation of Land Management

Page 4: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

No value of land

Real nomadic lifestyle – 1.3 million people

Estimated: more than 40 million livestock

Poverty. 1000 year old lifestyle

„Zuud”

Page 5: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

Impact of land reform

New generation changed expectation

Huge migration wave in the last 10

years to UB

Page 6: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

More than 600ths people moved to ger area in

the last 10 years

No infruscucture, no services, no plans

Page 7: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

One of the biggest political and urbanization issue:

WHAT TO DO with ger-area??

Page 8: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

Gaining land rights

Complex process

- Posession right

- Usage right

- Ownership right

Hasha

Going through 3 government levels, more than 20 stages. (the

international projects so far havent addressed the whole

procedures only „inside” in one-one organization)

Citizens many times after the 1st level think – enough

Gaining ownership rights – estimated 20%

Bigger/more than hasha – buying on auction (houshold usage)

Any other purpose: no possibility for ownership, only usage/

posession (issue only for foreigners...) - auctions

Page 9: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

21838

43224

69950

17080

21707

28944

19001

23601

2004 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011

Gaining hasha posession / ownership

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0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

135

8.8

993

.5

133

4.6

457

2.8

105

4.5

507

1.6

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

State revenue from land auction

24157.9 ha of land in total have been auctioned

Page 11: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

86

7

7

0

87% of land was bought for

households (majority in Ger area)

6% business entities

7% for agricultural use

Land posession - 2011

The price for the land (based on some random samples) with commercial

services is much higher than the households land.

• The household land without services - average 23.7 mln tgr

• Max selling price was in 2010 85.6 mill tgr, min 2.2 mill tgr

• The average price for the serviced land plot in UB - 213.5 mill tgr,

max price is 675 mill tgr, min is 12 mln tgr

• The price for land in serviced areas has increased compared to

previous year by 8%

Page 12: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

Mostly random values (exept GTZ project: in pilot areas land

valuation, fiscal cadastre – government continue..? )

Other places: no valuation

80% - land exchange: out of legal procedures – to avoid

taxation and „unnecessary” complications

In case going through registration: still in contract do not

include real price (maybe 10-20% of it)

Estimation:

Price 2 to 100 thousands USD – for a hasha size

- UB „high value” zones: no difference between „serviced” or

not serviced land

- Outskirts: service land can be 10 times higher price

Land Market

Page 13: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with
Page 14: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

The Need for further Land Reform

- Mongolians understand the “power of land rights”

- More and more seek “Certificates of Ownership”

- State – tuned and embark on reform

- State + International Community – join forces – still challanged...

- Legal and Institutional Reform is of the essence

- Reform is Clear – 3 Buts:

- Policy is not formed yet

- International assistance misses targets

- IT initiatives MUST be reviewed (as important as legal reform)

Initiatives deal with UB land – dont even pay attantion to

anywhere else.. Yet

Attempt for land adminsitration harmonization

Some legistlative improvments

Attempt for LA IT systems (too many..) – GTZ, Korea, ADB, MCC

SO far: only small land market focused project

Page 15: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

THE MASSIVE LAND REFORM – THE STATE ROLE

Planning Phase – State and International Community

• New IT system design and reform of business processing were accepted

• Process for reform planned

• Central database, web service

• Massive digitization, digital archive plan development • New registry set up and HR approach agreed upon

• Legal Reform – agreed upon - mend legislation to support new process

Implementation – International Community

- No institutional harmonization

- No Customer oriented approach – web services

- Convoluted future process of digitization

- Of-the-shelf systems – not flexible

- No plan to open full information for public or involve private sector

STILL LONG WAY TO GO – but not much international funding for it..

Will the state finish reforms... ??

Page 16: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

ADB project – urbanization of ger area

Last year: concept design – end result: MoU (ADB – MNG)

Current phase: PPTA: plan the 10 year investment program:

3 tranches – 180million USD loan

3 pillars:

- Urban Planning / land management / organization reform

- Reforming utility services – full / partial privatization..?

- Technical investment: engineering (water, wastewater, heating)

Under pillar 1 – government approved our recomendation:

Establish land banking / land fund

Land market intervention

Support voluntary land consolidation – in order to „make space”

for urban services + ensure payable costumer base for services

Page 17: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

Expected Impact

Short term

- Collaborating institutes

- Linked centralized databases

- Simplified processes

- Costumer oriented services – state serves its citizens

- Developed land management toolsets

- Supporting instruments for Land market - to be more

organized and transparent

Long Term

− Develop secure source of collateral

− Development (consumer, business – credit, mortgages)

− Significantly improved Land market

− Effective Land Adminsitration = urban planning

− Increased services in poor areas countrywide

− Attract Modern investment

Page 18: Marianna Posfai - Yair Baranes NIRAS BlomInfo A/S › resources › proceedings › 2012 › ... · Land posession - 2011 The price for the land (based on some random samples) with

Thank You!

Baayeetla!