maritime security and geopolitical dynamics in the asia-pacific region
TRANSCRIPT
Rome 27 February 2017
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
Rear Admiral (ret.) Michele COSENTINO, Italian Navy
International Affairs Institute
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
Chinese Geopolitic: The past ...
... and the present
Maritime ‘dimension’ and security agreements
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
The maritime strategy of the People’s Republic of China
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
The “nine-dash line” concept
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
The South China Sea - Claims in the Exclusive Economic Zones
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
Maritime shipping in the South China Sea - Crude oil flows
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
… and after (January 2015)
Before (November 2014) …
Fiery Cross Reef
The “island colonisation”
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
Maritime disputes in and air claims over the East China Sea
… and “high-level mil-mil engagements”
Marit ime Security and Geopolit ical Dynamics in the Asia-Pacif ic Region
Political dialogue …
Conclusions
• Sharing of international laws (UNCLOS)
• Claims to be solved within internationally-recognised legal fora (e.g. International Tribunal of Hamburg)
• Persistent and continuous surveillance in riskier areas (e.g. Korean Peninsula and adjacent waters, East China Sea, and South China Sea)
• Military improvements in pro-Western Nations = insurance policy against potential military engagements
• Involvement of EU as a key world player
• People’s Republic of China - Inescapable social, economic and military consolidation
• The most dangerous threat
• Enhancement of cooperation between Bejing and Moscow