math f113 -chapter-4.pdf
TRANSCRIPT
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BITS Pilani Pilani Campus
BITS Pilani presentation
Dr RAKHEE Department of Mathematics
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MATH F111 & AAOC C111 Probability and Statistics
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Chapter 4
Continuous Distribution
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Definition: A random variable is continuous if it can assume any real numbers and some interval (or intervals) of real numbers and the probability that it assume any specific value is 0 (zero).
Continuous Random Variables
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Definition: Let X be a continuous random variable. A function f(x) is called continuous density (probability density function i.e. pdf ) iff integral converges.
CONTINUOUS DENSITY (Probability density function )
=
1)(.2
0f(x)1.
dxxf
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1.P[X = a] =0. 2. P[X = b] =0. 3. P[a X b] = P[ a X < b] = P[a < X b] = P[a < X < b] 4. P[a X b] = where a and b are real numbers. Area under the curve of f between x = a to x = b. TOTAL AREA IS ONE.
Probability for Interval
;)(b
a
dxxf
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Let X be the continuous r.v. with density f(x). The cumulative distribution function (cdf) for X, denoted by F(X) , is defined by F(X) = P ( X x ) , all x =
CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION
x
dttf )(
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1. If X is a Continuous random variable, then F(x) is also a continuous function for all x.
2. The F(x) is nondecreasing function.
Note:
PROBABILITY by using cdf F(x) P(a X b) = F(b) F(a). FIND f(x) from F: f(x) = dF(x)/dx = F(x)
for all x.
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0)()(lim
)(lim)(
===
=
dttfdttf
xFF
x
x
x
1)()(lim
)(lim)(
+
+
+
===
=+
dttfdttf
xFF
x
x
x
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Consider the density of X f (x ) = x / 6 ; 2 x 4 , = 0 ; e.w. (a) Find the cumulative distribution function. (b) Use cdf F, find P[2.5X 3], P[1 X3.5].
EXERCISE 4.1, 9 PAGE 140
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(a) cumulative density function
4;1)(
42);4(121
261
60)()(
2;0)(
2
2
2
2
2
=
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Use cdf F, find P[2.5X 3], P[1X3.5].
[ ]22917.0
)45.2()43(121
)5.2()3(]35.2[
22
=
=
= FFxP
[ ]6875.0
0)45.3(121
)1()5.3(]5.31[
2
=
=
= FFxP
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The Cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of a continuous random variable X is
Determine and . Hence find the probability density function (p.d.f.).
Example
( )
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In parts (a) and (b) proposed cumulative distribution functions are given. In each case, find the density that would be associated with each, and decide whether it really does define a valid continuous density. If it does not, explain what property fails. (a) Consider the function F defined by F(x) = 0 ; x < -1, = x + 1 ; -1 x 0, = 1 ; x > 0.
EXERCISE 4.1.14, PAGE 141
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Clearly f(x) 0 for all x. But F is cdf as
>
1 .
. continue
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Clearly f(x) 0 for all x. But F is not cdf as
0 02 0 1/ 2
( )1/ 2 1/ 2 10 1
xx xdFf x
xdxx
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(5) (Continuous uniform distribution) A random variable X is said to be uniformly distributed over an interval (a, c) if its density is given by
cxaac
xf >
,01
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Secondly,
11 =
dxac
c
a(b) Sketch the graph of the uniform density.
X=a X=c
f(x)
x
1/(c-a)
-
( ii ) Shade the area in the graph of part (b) that represents P[X (a + c)/2].
X= a X= c
f(x)
x (a+c)/2
-
(c ) Find the probability pictured in part: ii
(e) Let (l, m) and (d, f) be subintervals of (a, c) of equal length. What is the relationship between P[l X m] and P[d X f]
Sol: Probability is same on equal length of interval.
+
=
=
+
2
5.012
ca
a
dtac
caXP
-
(10) Find the general expression for the cumulative uniform distribution for a random variable X over (a, c)
cxxF
cxaacax
dsac
xXPxF
axxFx
=
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MEAN ,VARIANCE, S.D. & MGF (m.g.f.) 1. Mean = E [X] =
where X is the c.r.v. with density f(x).
EXPECTATION & DISTRIBUTION PARAMETERS
dxxxf )(
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2. Let X be the c.r.v. with density f(x). Let H(x) be a random variable. The expected value of H(x) is defined as:
provided is finite.
( )[ ]
= dxxfxHXHE )()(
dxxfxH )(|)(|
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3. Var X = E[X2] (E[X])2 = 2 , where
Variance is shape parameter in the sense that a random variable with small variance will have a compact density; one with a large variance will have a density that is rather spread out or flat.
continue
= dxxfXE )(x][ 22
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4. m.g.f. = Moment Generating Function = E[ etX] = mX (t) =
continue
dxxfetx )(
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Let X denote the length in minutes of a long distance telephone conversation. The density for X is given by (a)Find the moment generation function
mX(t).
Section 4.2, page 141, 17
0,101)( 10 >=
xexf
x
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(b) Use mX(t) to find the average length of such call.
(c) Find variance and standard deviation for X.
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Assume that the increase in demand for electric power in millions of kilowatt hours over the next 2 years in particular area is a random variable whose density is given by f(x) = (1/64 ) x3 ; 0 < x < 4 , = 0 ; e.w. . (a) Verify that this is a valid density.
Exercise 4.2.24 page 143
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(b) Find the expression for the cumulative distribution function F for X, and use it to find the probability that the demand will be at most 2 million kilowatt hours.
(c) If the area only has the capacity to generate an additional 3 million kilowatt hours, what is the probability that demand will exceed supply?
(d) Find the average increase in demand.
continue
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MGF of uniform distribution random variable on (a, c) :
0,e1
1][
tc
=
=
tace
t
dxac
eeE
ta
c
a
txtX
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Use definition to find mean and variance can be found.
12)()(
2)(
2acXVar
caXE
=
+=
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If a pair of coils were placed around a homing pigeon and magnetic field was applied that reverses the earths field, it is thought that the bird would become disoriented. Under these circumstances it is just as likely to fly in one direction as in any other.
Section 4.1, page no 139, 6
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Home (0)
Pigeon
is uniformly distributed over the interval [0, 2]. a) Find the density for .
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(b) Sketch the graph of the density. (c) Shade the area corresponding to the
probability that a bird will orient within /4 radians of home, and find this area using plane geometry.
(d) Find the probability that a bird will orient within /4 radians of home by integrating the density over the appropriate region(s).
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(e) If 10 birds are released independently and at least 7 orient within /4 radians of home, would you suspect that perhaps the coil are not disorienting the birds to the extent expected? Explain, based on the probability of this occurring.
(f) Find mean, variance for .
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Example : A random variable X with density
0a,b,x
,)bx(a
a1)x(f 22>
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Cauchy distribution with density
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dxx1
x1dxx1x1
02
0
2
++
+
=
Multiply and divide by 2, we get
+
+
+
=0
20
2 |1|ln21|1|ln
21 xx
which does not exist, as )ln(
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A random variable X with density function = 0 , for x 0, is said to have a Gamma Distribution with parameters and ,for x > 0, > 0, > 0.
GAMMA DISTRIBUTION
/1
)(1)( xexxf
=
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Definition : The function defined by is called the Gamma function. Properties : 1. (1) = 1 2. () = ( -1) ( -1 ); where is the +ve
real number. 3. (n) = (n-1)! (Factorial of n-1), n = 1,2,3. 4. (1/2)=
Gamma Function
,0,0;)( 10
>>=
zdzze z
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1. (1) = 1 Proof: By definition of Gamma function, we
have
1
,1,0;)1(
0
0
0
==
=>=
dze
zdzze
z
z
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2. () = ( -1) ( -1 ); where is the +ve real number.
Proof:
by integrating by parts, we have
,0,0;)( 10
>>=
zdzze z
[ ] dzzeze zz 1)1(0
01 )1()(
+=
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01lim)!1(
)2)(1(lim
)1(lim
lim)(lim
3
2
11
=
=
=
=
zz
zz
zz
zz
z
z
e
ez
ez
ezze
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Thus, Since,
[ ])1()1(
)1()( 1)1(0
01
=
+=
dzzeze zz
)!1()(.3 =
)!1()1()...2)(1(...)1()1()(
====
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==
0
21
21 dzez z
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A random variable X with density function is said to have a Gamma Distribution with parameters and ,for x > 0, > 0, > 0.
GAMMA DISTRIBUTION
( )
>>>
=
wiseother
xexxf
x
,0
0,0,0,)(
1)(
/1
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To check the necessary and sufficient condition of pdf:
0xallfor0)x(f >
=
===
=
0
11
0
/1
)(1
,
)(1)(,
dtet
txanddtdxtxLet
dxexdxxfFurther
t
x
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pdfaisxfHence
ezdxxf z
)(
1)(
)(0
1 =
=
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Let X be a Gamma r.v. with parameters and . Then
MEAN, VARIANCE AND MGF OF GAMMA FUNCTION
1)exp()(
1
0
1 =
dxxx
1. m.g.f. = mX(t)=(1- t)- , t < 1/ 2. E[X] = Mean = X = 3. Var(X) = 2 = 2
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Proof:
)1(
)1()1(
)(1
)(1
0
) 1(1
/1
tdzdxand
tzxxtzlet
dxex
dxexe
xt
xtx
=
=
=
=
=
][)(, txX eEtmdefBy =
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=
=
0
1
1
0
)1()(1
)1()
1(
)(1
dzezt
tdze
tz
z
z
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
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==
=
=
=
0
1
0
)()1(
)(][
t
tX
t
tmdtdXE
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20
2
22
)1(
))((][
+=
==t
X tmdtdXE
222
22
)()1(][][)(
=+=
== XEXEXVar
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and both play a role in determining the mean and the variance of the random variable.
Graphs of Gamma Densities are not symmetric and are located entirely to the right of the vertical axis.
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0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Gamma(1, 4)
Gamma(2, 3)
Gamma(20, 0.5)
f(x)
x
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For > 1, the maximum value of the density occurs at the point x = ( 1).
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0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Gamma(1, 4)
Gamma(2, 3)
Gamma(20, 0.5)
f(x)
x
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Exercise 4.3 (Page No: 143)
Let X be a gamma random variable with = 3 and = 4
(i) What is the expression for the density for X
0,128
1
0,4!21
)(1)(
42
423
1
>=
>=
=
xex
xexexxf
x
xx
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(ii) What is the moment generating function for X
41,)41()1()( 3
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In Gamma Distribution, put = 1, we get
Exponential Distribution
>>
=
elsewhere
xexf
x
,0
0,0,1)(
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0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
x
= 3
f(x)
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For the above function Mean = = , var (X) = 2,
mX(t)=(1- t)-1 , t < 1/
Cont
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The c.d.f. of exponential distribution with Parameter is given by
0 x1
111)(
0
0
0
>==
=
=
xxs
xs
x s
ee
edsexF
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The c.d.f. of exponential distribution
>
==
Here, we have that the first occurrence of the event will take place after time w only if number of occurrences in the time interval [0,w] is zero. Let X be the number of occurrences of the event in this time interval [0,w].
Proof:
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X is a Poisson random variable with parameter w. Thus,
ww
eweXPwWP
=
=
==>
!0)(
]0[][0
wewWPwF =>= 1][1)(
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Since, in the continuous case, the derivative of the cumulative distribution function is the density
wewfwF == )()(
1 =
This is exactly density for an exponential random variable with
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A particular nuclear plant releases a detectable amount of radioactive gases twice a month on average. Find the probability that at least 3 monthswill elapse before the release of first detectible emission. What is the average time one must wait to observe the first emission?
Section 4.3, page no 144,34
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0,2)(, 2 >= xexfTherefore x
Let X be time elapsed before the release of the first detectable emission a then X is an exponential distribution with = 1/2
Solution :
,)1(1)3(1]3[ 66 ===> eeFXP
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A computer centre maintains a telephone consulting service to trouble shoot for its users. The service is available for 9:00 to 5:00 each working day. Past experience shows number of calls received per day is a Poisson distribution with parameter 50. For a given day find the probability that first call will be received (i) before 10:00 a.m. (ii) after 3:00 p.m.
Example
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A random variable X with density function is said to have a Gamma Distribution with parameters and ,for x > 0, > 0, > 0.
( )
>>>
=
wiseother
xexxf
x
,0
0,0,0,)(
1)(
/1
GAMMA RANDOM VARIABLE
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If a random variable X has a gamma distribution with parameters = 2 and = /2, then X is said to have a chi-square (2) distribution with degrees of Freedom and denoted by , is a positive integer.
Chi-square distribution
2
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0,2
2
1)( 2/1
2
2/>
=
xexxf x
E[ ] = , Var[ ] = 2
= 2 and = /2,
2
2
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1for =
x
f(x)
( )
>
=
wiseother
xexxf
x
,0
,0,2)2/1(
1)(
2/1)2/1(
2/1
Chi square distribution
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2=for
Chi square distribution
0,21)( 2/ >= xexf x
0,2)
2(
1)( 2/1
2
2/>
=
xexxf x
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x
f(x)
2=forChi square distribution
0,21)( 2/ >= xexf x
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x
f(x)
-2.08E-16
0.05
0.1
0 5 10 15 20 25
for = 10
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We do not have explicit formula for CDF F of X2 . Instead values are tabulated on page no. 695-696 as below (F occurs in margin here, and related value of r.v. inside the table):
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If F is CDF for Chi square random variable Having 5 degrees of freedom F(1.61) = 0.1, F(4.35) = 0.5
P[X2 < t]
F 0.100 0.250 0.500
5 1.61 2.67 4.35 6 2.20 3.45 5.35
7 2.83 4.25 6.35
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For 0 < r < 1, we denote by , for a chi-square r.v. with degrees of freedom, a unique number such that P[X2 ] = r
Probability to the right of is r.
2r
2r
Another notation
2r
for exampleP[X210 ] = 0.05 2
05.0
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x
f(x)
0
0.05
0.1
0 5 10 15 20 25
P[X210 ] = 0.05 2
05.0
Probability to the right of is r. 2r
0.05
= 1 - P[X210 ] = 0.95 2
95.0
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P[X2 t] F 0.90 0.95
10 16.0 18.3 11 17.3 19.7 21.9
12 18.5 21.0 23.3
0.975
20.5
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x
f(x)
-2.08E-16
0.05
0.1
0 5 10 15 20 25
P[X210 ] = 0.05 2
05.0
Probability to the right of is r. 2r
3.18205. =
0.05
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38. Consider a chi squared random variable with 15 degrees of freedom. (i) What is the mean of ?215X
Sol: Chi square distribution is Gamma with = /2 & = 2, Mean = = =15 and 2 = 2 = 30
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otherwise 0
0,2)2/15(
1)(
,2/,2var
2/1)2/15(2/15
2
=
>
=
==
xexxf
hencewithiablerandomis
x
Sol:
(ii) What is the expression for the density for ?215X
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(iii) What is the expression for the moment Generating function for
215X
Sol: 2/1,)21()1()( 2/15
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P[X2 < t] F 0.005 0.010 0.900
15 4.60 5.23 22.3 16 5.14 5.81 23.5
17 5.70 6.41 24.8
.025
6.26
10.0900.01]3.22[1]3.22[ 215
215
==
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875.0025.0900.0)26.6()3.22(]3.2226.6[ 215
===
FFXP
]3.2226.6[ Find (v) 215 XP
P[X2 < t] F 0.005 0.010 0.900
15 4.60 5.23 22.3 16 5.14 5.81 23.5
17 5.70 6.41 24.8
.025
6.26
7.56
6.91
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Sol. P[X215 > 2r] = r.
freedom of degree 150.25205.0 for=
P[X215 > 20.05] = 0.05.
P[X2 < t] F 0.005 0.010 0.950
15 4.60 5.23 25.0
.025
6.26
(vi) Find 20.05, & 20.01 for 15 degree of freedom
P[X215 20.05] = 0.95.
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6.302 01.0 =
P[X215 > 2r] = r. P[X215 > 20.01] = 0.01.
P[X2 < t] F 0.005 0.010 0.990
15 4.60 5.23 30.6
.025
6.26
P[X215 20.01] = 0.99.
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A random variable X with density f(x) is said to have normal distribution with parameters and > 0, where f(x) is given by:
4.4 The Normal Distribution
( )
.0);,(,,21)(
2
2
2 >=
xexfx
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=
-
1f(x)dx (ii)
),(-x 0)()( xfi
=
==
=
-
21
-
21
2
-
21
2
22
2
21
21
let
121
dzedxe
dzdxzx
dxeproveTo
zx
x
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=
0
21
-
21 22
212
21 dzedze
zz
=
=
==
+
0
)(21
0
0
21
0
21
0
21
0
21
22
22
22
dxdye
dyedxeII
Idzedze
yx
yx
zz
-
BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus 2
lim
lim
2/
0
2/
0
0
)(212/
0
2
2
=
=
=
Rw
R
R r
R
ddwe
rdrde
+
0
)(21
0
22
dxdyeyx
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2I .. =ei
12
2
212
21
0
21
-
21 22
==
=
dzedze
zz
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Mean and Standard deviation for Normal distribution
Theorem: Let X be a normal random variable with parameters and . Then is the mean of X and is its standard deviation.
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The density Curves
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Cumulative Distribution Function
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Standard Normal Distribution
Theorem: Let X be normal with mean and standard deviation . The variable
is standard normal. Z has mean 0 and standard deviation 1.
=XZ
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),(,21)( 2
2
=
zezfz
Standard Normal Distribution
dze
dzzfzZPzF
z z
z
Z
=
==
2
2
21
)()()(
The probability density function is given by
The corresponding distribution function is given by
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( )
,21)()(
2
2
2 dsexXPxFx s
==
dzzzsLet =+==
ds s
( )zFdzexF Z
xz
=
=
=
-xZP 21)( 2
2
-
Rajiv
-
BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Moment Generating Function
21
21][)(
2
2
2
2
dze
dzeeeEtm
zzt
zztZt
Z
=
==
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
=+
+=
2)(
2222
2
222222 tzttttzzzzt
Let z - t = w dz = dw
222
222
21)(
twt
Z edweetm ==
21)( 2
)(
2
22
dzeetmtzt
Z
=
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Moment Generating Function
Let Z be normally distributed with parameters = 0 and = 1, then the moment generating function for Z is
2
2
)(t
Z etm =
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Let X be normally distributed with parameters and , then the moment generating function for X is given by
Moment Generating Function
2
2)(
)Zt(Xt
22
22
][
][e]E[e )(
+
+
=
==
==
tt
ttZtt
X
e
eeeEe
Etm
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Mean and Variance for Normal r.v.
2
22222
22
02
22
0
E[X]-]E[X)(
)(]E[X and
)(][
=
+==
+==
===
=
=
XVar
tmdtd
tmdtdXEMean
tX
tX
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
=
aFcF ZZc)XP(a
),N( is X If(i)
)(1)(F )( Z zFzii Z=
3.5z if 1)(F -3.5z if 0)(F )(
Z
Z
zziii
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Using table, find the values of (i) P[Z 1.31] (ii) P[Z < 1.31] (iii) P[Z = 1.31] (iv) P[Z > 1.31] (v) P[-1.305 Z 1.43] (vi) z .10 (vii) z .90 (viii) The point z such that P(-z Z z) = 0.9
Example
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
dzedzzfzZPzFz zz
Z
=== 2
2
21)()()(
z
1.4
0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04
1.3 .9032 .9049 .9066 .9082 .9099
.9192 .9207 .9222 .9236 .9251
(i) P[Z 1.31] = .9049 (ii) P[Z < 1.31] = .9049
(i) P[Z 1.31] (ii) P[Z < 1.31]
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
dzedzzfzZPzFz zz
Z
=== 2
2
21)()()(
z
1.4
0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04
1.3 .9032 .9049 .9066 .9082 .9099
.9192 .9207 .9222 .9236 .9251
(iv) P[Z > 1.31] = 1 - P[Z 1.31] = 1- 0.9049
(iii) P[Z = 1.31] (iv) P[Z > 1.31]
(iii) P[Z = 1.31] = 0
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
z
1.4
0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04
1.3 .9032 .9049 .9066 .9082 .9099
.9192 .9207 .9222 .9236 .9251
(v) P[-1.305 Z 1.43]
P[-1.305 Z 1.43] = F(1.43) - F(-1.305) = 0.9236 (1 F(1.305)) = 0.9236 1+(0.9032 + 0.9049)/2) = 0.82765
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
(vi) z .10 (vii) z .90
(vi) P(Z zr ) = r P(Z z.10 ) = 0.10 P(Z < z.10 ) = 0.90 z.10 = 1.28
z
1.4
0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
1.2 .9015 .8997
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
(vii) z .90 = ? (viii) The point z such that P(-z Z z) = 0.9 P(-z Z z) = F(z) - F(-z) =2F(z) 1 = 0.9 i.e. F(z) = 0.95
z
1.4
0.04 0.05
1.6 0.9505 0.9495
z = 1.645
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
X is normally distributed and the mean of X is 12 and standard deviation is 4. (i) Find P(X 10), P(X 10), P(0 X 12) (ii) Find r, where P(X > r) = 0.24 (iii) Find a and b, where P(a < X< b) = 0.50 and P(X > b) = 0.25
Example
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
If X is normal random variable with P(X 35) = 0.07 & P(X 63) = 0.89 Find mean & standard deviation of X.
Example
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Most galaxies take the form of a flatten disc, with the major part of the light coming from this very thin fundamental plane. The degree of flattening differs from galaxy to galaxy. In the Milky Way Galaxy most gases are concentrated near the center of the fundamental plane. Let X denote the perpendicular distance from this center to a gaseous mass. X is normally distributed with mean 0 and standard deviation 100 parsecs. (A parsec is equal to approximately 19.2 trillion miles.)
Section 4.4, page no 145, 41
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
(a) Sketch a graph of the density for X. Indicate on this graph the probability that a gaseous mass is located within 200 parsecs of the center of the fundamental plane. Find this probability.
(b) Approximately what percentage of the gaseous masses are located more than 250 parsecs from the center of the plane?
(c) What distance has the property that 20% of the gaseous masses are at least this far from the fundamental plane?
(d) What is the moment generating function for X?
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
The positive random variable Y is said to have a log-normal distribution, if logeY is normally distributed. That is,
logeY ~ N(,)=X
Log-Normal Distribution
& are not mean & standard deviations of Log-normal random variable.
PresenterPresentation Notes
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Let X be normal with mean and variance 2. Let G denote the cumulative distribution for Y = eX and let F denote the cumulative distribution for X. Show that (i) G(y) = F(lny) (ii) G(y) =F(lny)/y (iii) Find density of Y
Section 4.4, Problem 45/ p 146
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
.1)(ln
ln)(ln)(ln)(
yyF
dyydyF
dyydF
dyydG
=
==
a) G(y) = P(Y y) = P(eX y) = P(X ln y) = F(ln y) b)
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
( )
.0);,(,
,21)ln()(
ln2 2
2
>
==
x
dxeyXPyGy x
( )
dwew
yG
wx
y w
=
===
0
2ln
x
2
2
121)(
,w
dwdx ,ew ,ln
c) Now X ~ N(,). Therefore,
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
( )
.other wise 0
0,);,(,2
1)(2
2
2ln
=
>=
yey
ygy
Hence, the density for Y is given by
( )
otherwise 0
0y , 121 2
2
2ln
=
>
=
y
eydy
dG
-
BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Let Y denote the diameter in millimeters of styrofoam pellets used in packing. Assume that Y has a log-normal distribution with parameter = 0.8, = 0.1. (i) Find the probability that a randomly
selected pellet has a diameter that exceeds 2.7 mm
(ii) Find two values of Y such that probability is approximately 0.95 between these values?
Problem 46
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
P(Y > 2.7) = P(exp(X) > 2.7) = P(X > ln(2.7))
(i) Find the probability that a randomly selected pellet has a diameter that exceeds 2.7 mm
0.02680.9732-1 )93.1(1)93.1(
1.08.)7.2ln(-XP
===>=
>
FZP
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
P[y1 < Y < y2] = 0.95
(ii)
95.01.0
8.ln1.0
8.ln
95.01.0
8.ln-X1.0
8.lnP
21
21
=
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
0.95 0.025 0.025
z0.025 z0.975
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BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
025.02
975.01
21
1.08.0ln
1.08.0ln
95.01.0
8.0ln1.0
8.0lnP
zy
zy
yZy
=
=
=
-
BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
707.2,96.11.0
8.0ln
829.1,96.11.0
8.0ln
2025.02
1975.01
===
===
yzy
yzy
-
BITS Pilani, Pilani Campus
Thank You
BITS Pilani presentationMATH F111 & AAOC C111Probability and StatisticsSlide Number 3Continuous Random VariablesCONTINUOUS DENSITY (Probability density function ) Probability for IntervalCUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION Slide Number 8Slide Number 9EXERCISE 4.1, 9 PAGE 140Slide Number 11Slide Number 12Slide Number 13EXERCISE 4.1.14, PAGE 141Slide Number 15. continueSlide Number 17Slide Number 18Slide Number 19Slide Number 20Slide Number 21Slide Number 22EXPECTATION & DISTRIBUTION PARAMETERSSlide Number 24continuecontinueSlide Number 27Slide Number 28Exercise 4.2.24 page 143continueSlide Number 31Slide Number 32Slide Number 33Slide Number 34Slide Number 35Slide Number 36Slide Number 37Slide Number 38Slide Number 39GAMMA DISTRIBUTIONGamma FunctionSlide Number 42Slide Number 43Slide Number 44Slide Number 45Slide Number 46GAMMA DISTRIBUTIONSlide Number 48Slide Number 49MEAN, VARIANCE AND MGF OF GAMMA FUNCTIONSlide Number 51Slide Number 52Slide Number 53Slide Number 54Slide Number 55Slide Number 56Slide Number 57Slide Number 58Slide Number 59Slide Number 60Slide Number 61Exponential DistributionSlide Number 63ContSlide Number 65Slide Number 66Slide Number 67Slide Number 68Slide Number 69Slide Number 70Slide Number 71Slide Number 72Slide Number 73Slide Number 74Slide Number 75Slide Number 76Slide Number 77Slide Number 78Slide Number 79Slide Number 80Slide Number 81Slide Number 82Slide Number 83Slide Number 84Slide Number 85Slide Number 86Slide Number 87Slide Number 88Slide Number 89Slide Number 90Slide Number 91Slide Number 92Slide Number 934.4 The Normal DistributionSlide Number 95Slide Number 96Slide Number 97Slide Number 98Slide Number 99Slide Number 100Slide Number 101Slide Number 102Standard Normal DistributionSlide Number 104Slide Number 105Slide Number 106Slide Number 107Slide Number 108Moment Generating FunctionSlide Number 110Slide Number 111Slide Number 112Slide Number 113Slide Number 114Slide Number 115Slide Number 116Slide Number 117Slide Number 118Example Slide Number 120Slide Number 121Slide Number 122Log-Normal DistributionSlide Number 124Section 4.4, Problem 45/ p 146a) G(y) = P(Y y) = P(eX y) = P(X ln y) = F(ln y)b)Slide Number 127Hence, the density for Y is given by Problem 46(i) Find the probability that a randomly selected pellet has a diameter that exceeds 2.7 mmSlide Number 131Slide Number 132Slide Number 133Slide Number 134Slide Number 135