may 13, 2010 - nmm naptp conference 2010 presentation...
TRANSCRIPT
May 13, 2010May 13, 20102010 Master Limited Partnership Investor Conference
Disclosures
Statements in this presentation which are not statements of historical fact are “forward-looking statements” (as such term is defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). These forward-looking statements are based on the information available to, and theamended). These forward looking statements are based on the information available to, and the expectations and assumptions deemed reasonable by, the Company at the time this presentation was made. Although the Company believes that the assumptions underlying such statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that they will be attained. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information or g p y gfuture events, unless it is required to do so under the securities laws. The Company makes no prediction or statement about the performance of its common units.
EBITDA represents net income plus interest and finance costs plus depreciation and amortizationEBITDA represents net income plus interest and finance costs plus depreciation and amortization and income taxes, if any, unless otherwise stated. EBITDA is included because it is used by certain investors to measure a company's financial performance. EBITDA is a “non-GAAP financial measure” and should not be considered a substitute for net income, cash flow from operating activities and other operations or cash flow statement data prepared in accordance with accounting p p p gprinciples generally accepted in the United States or as a measure of profitability or liquidity. EBITDA is presented to provide additional information with respect to the Company's ability to satisfy its obligations including debt service, capital expenditures, working capital requirements and determination of cash distribution. While EBITDA is frequently used as a measure of operating
2
results and the ability to meet debt service requirements, the definition of EBITDA used here may not be comparable to that used by other companies due to differences in methods of calculation.
Agendag
Company Overview Company Overview Company Developments Review of Q1 2010 Financial Results
Q t l C h Di t ib ti Quarterly Cash Distribution Fleet and Operations Overview Industry Overview Appendix
33
Navios Partners Ownership Structure
100% Membership Interest
Common Unitholders Common Unitholders (1)(1)Navios Maritime Holdings Inc.Navios Maritime Holdings Inc.NYSE: NMNYSE: NM
68.7% Limited Partner Interest29.3% Limited Partner Interest
Navios GP L.L.C.Navios GP L.L.C.(General Partner)(General Partner)
2.0% General Partner InterestIncentive Distribution Rights
Navios Maritime Partners L.P.NYSE: NMM
100% Membership Interest
Navios Maritime Operating L.L.C.Navios Maritime Operating L.L.C.
13 Dry Bulk Vessels2 Capesize, 10 Panamax and 1 Ultra Handymax drybulk carriers
(1) Refers to publicly traded common units and includes approx. 1.1% of common units purchased by a corporation owned by Angeliki Frangou
4
Conservative Business Posture
Long Term Charter CoverageWeighted average remaining term of charter
coverage approx. 4.1 yearsStaggered charter-out expirations - minimize
charter renewal risk
Strong Counterparties Strong creditworthy counterparties (Mitsui, Cosco, Rio Tinto, Cargill, etc.)
Insured Revenue Stream Charter-out contracts insured by AA+ rated EU Governmental Agency
Steady Increase in Distributions Per Unit 18.6% increase in distributions in 2.5 years
Operating Expense Visibility Fixed operating costs until November 2011
Fleet age of 6 3 years (1) vs industry fleet age of
5
Young Fleet Fleet age of 6.3 years ( ) vs. industry fleet age of 15.3 years (2)
(1) Navios Maritime Partners fleet age weighted by DWT(2) Source: Drewry’s as of March 2010
Company DevelopmentsCompany Developments
Q1 2010 Key Developments$ & $26.2 million annual EBITDA & improved ratios
– Navios Aurora II - acquired for $110.0 million• 2009 built Capesize; DWT = 169,031; delivered March 18, 2010
Charter Out: $41 325 (net daily) to November 2019• Charter Out: $41,325 (net daily) to November 2019• Financed with:
$20.0 million through issuance of 1,174,219 units to Navios Holdings * $30.0 million new tranche to existing credit facility $60.0 million of cash from balance sheet
• Annualized EBITDA = $12.9 million
– Navios Hyperion - acquired for $63.0 million• 2004 built Panamax; DWT = 75,707; delivered January 8, 2010• Charter Out: $37,953 (net daily) to April 2014( y) p• Financed with cash from balance sheet • Annualized EBITDA = $11.9 million
– Navios Sagittarius - exercise of purchase option for $25.0 million • 2000-built Panamax; DWT: 75,756; delivered to Navios Partners’ owned fleet on January y
12, 2010 • Charter out: $26,125 (net daily) for 10 years (expires November 2018)• NMM exercised purchase option for $25.0 million on favorable terms:
– 11.0% reduction in contracted exercise price (approx $3.1 million)$12 0 million increase in net asset value leading to improvement in LTV ratios– $12.0 million increase in net asset value leading to improvement in LTV ratios
– $1.4 million estimated annual cash savings (replacing charter-in costs with Opex)
77
* Issued at approximately 10% premium over the February equity offering price
Debt Key Developments
Credit Facility - Update $ million
Loan Outstanding January 1, 2010 195.0
Prepayment of cash pledged to the banks (12.5)
New tranche for vessel acquisitions, January 11, 2010 24.0
– New margin post prepayments and new tranche = 1.25% - 1.65%
New tranche for vessel acquisitions, March 30, 2010 30.0
Loan outstanding March 31, 2010 236.5
g p p p y– Effective interest rate for Q1 2010: 2.12% (4.27% for Q1 2009)– No principal repayment until Q1 2012
8
Equity Key Developments
$92.3 million successful, traditional “overnight” equity raise, in May 2010– Offering completed on May 5, 2010
5 175 000 it i d t $17 84 it– 5,175,000 units issued at $17.84 per unit– The joint book-running managers for this offering were Citi, J.P. Morgan, Bank of America /
Merryll Lynch and the co-managers were S. Goldman Advisors LLC, DVB Capital Markets and Cantor Fitzgerald & Co., Knight Capital Market LLCP i i di t 5 25% d it di t 4 5% t t l t t 9 75%– Pricing discount: 5.25%; underwriters discount: 4.5%; total cost to company: 9.75%
$62.4 million “overnight” equity raise, in February 2010– Offering completed on February 8, 2010Offering completed on February 8, 2010– 4,025,000 units issued at $15.51 per unit including overallotment of 525,000 units exercised by
underwriters
9
Multiple Avenues of Distribution Growth• 18.6% Distribution increase Since IPO
Opportunities in the Dry Bulk
Growth Through Navios Holdings
Exercising Purchase
• 83.8% Increase in operational fleet capacity
Right to purchase certain vessels on 3+ year
S&P Market Controlled Vessels
Exercised purchase option for Navios
Vessel values have fallen significantly from
Options
vessels on 3 year charters
Dropdown candidates feature known vessels and charterers along with
option for Navios Fantastiks in Q2 2008 and Navios Sagittarius in Q1 2010
Purchase options on
fallen significantly from 2008’s highs
Sale and purchases of drybulk vessels
charterers along with credit risk insurance
Navios Group has grown to a controlled fleet of 72 d b lk l
Purchase options on Navios Prosperity (2012) and Navios Aldebaran (2013)
Highly fragmented industry
dry bulk vessels
1010
626,100 DWT 1,150,564 DWTNov. 2007IPO
April 2010
(*) Includes owned and chartered-in tonnage.
+83.8%(*)
Review of Q1 2010 Financial ResultsReview of Q1 2010 Financial Results
First Quarter 2010 Earnings Highlights
($ m) Three months ended March 31, 2010
Three months ended March 31, 2009 Y-O-Y Growth
Time charter and voyage revenue $29.4 $21.2 38.7%
Net Income 12.6 9.0 40.0%
EBITDA 21.3 14.7 44.9%
Operating Surplus 17.8 10.6 67.9%
Replacement Capex Reserve 3.3 2.0 65.0%
Active vessels 13 9 44 4%Active vessels 13 9 44.4%
Available Days 1,081 810 33.5%
12
Strong Balance SheetSelected Balance Sheet Data (in $ m)
March 31, 2010 December 31, 2009
Cash & cash equivalents $26.2 $91.2Other current assets 3.2 1.4
Vessels, net 426.9 299.7Total Assets 562.1 436.8
(1)
Total Assets 562.1 436.8
Deferred revenue, current 9.3 9.0Other current liabilities 11.1 4.3Long Term Debt 236.5 195.0Total Partners Capital 287.0 208.0Total liabilities & partners’ capital 562.1 436.8
N t D bt / A t V l ( h t tt h d) 38 3% 28 0%(2)Net Debt / Asset Value (charter attached) 38.3% 28.0%Accumulated Replacement Capex Reserve 22.2 18.9
(1) $34.4 million cash & cash equivalents excluding $56.8 million net proceeds from the November 2009 offering(2) Considers Clarksons’ charter attached values of owned vessels and chartered-in vessels (less the exercise values) as of
M h 31 2010
(2)
March 31, 2010
13
Quarterly Cash DistributionQuarterly Cash Distribution
14
Q1 2010 Cash Distribution
Increase in distributions: 1.2% increase to $0.415 quarterly ($1.66 annualized)
Cash Distribution of $0.415 per unit for Q1 2010Record Date: May 10, 2010 ; Payment Date: May 13, 2010
Cumulative Operating Surplus: $22.3 million
Di t ib ti $15 8 illi ($12 2 illi t C U it )Distribution: $15.8 million ($12.2 million to Common Units)
($3.6 million to GP and Subordinated Units)
Common Unit Coverage: 1.83x
Total Unit Coverage: 1.41x
15
Tax Efficient Status – Distributions reported on Form 1099
EB IT D A Operat ing Surplus N et Inco me
Significant Growth in Key Operating Metrics
21.3
18.120
25
EB IT D A Operat ing Surplus N et Inco me$ m
18.1
12.6
10
15
0
5
Q12008
Q22008
Q32008
Q42008
Q12009
Q22009
Q32009
Q42009
Q120102008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010
UNIT DISTRIBUTION TREND
16
Fleet and Operations OverviewFleet and Operations Overview
Vessel Type DWT Year Built Ownership
Purchase Option
Modern, High Quality Drybulk Fleet
Navios Fantastiks Capesize 180,265 2005 100% Navios Prosperity Panamax 82,535 2007 Chartered-in Navios Alegria Panamax 76,466 2004 100%
Navios Galaxy I Panamax 74,195 2001 100%
Navios Felicity Panamax 73,867 1997 100%
Navios Libra II Panamax 70,136 1995 100%
InitialFleet 8
Navios Gemini S Panamax 68,636 1994 100%
Navios Aldebaran Panamax 76,500 2008 Chartered-in Navios Hope Panamax 75,397 2005 100% Navios Sagittarius Panamax 75,756 2006 100% Navios Apollon Ultra-Handymax 52,073 2000 100% Navios Hyperion Panamax 75,707 2004 100%
DropdownVessels 5
Navios Aurora II Capesize 169,031 2009 100%
Average Age of Fleet: (1) 6.3 years(1) Navios Partners fleet age weighted by DWT g g
Average Age of Dry Bulk Industry: (2)
y
15.3 years
(1) Navios Partners fleet age weighted by DWT (2) Source: Drewry’s as of March 2010
18
Diversified Portfolio of Charters with Industry LeadersAA+ rated EU Governmental Agency insurance on all charters-out
Revenue by ChartererRemaining Charter Duration(1)
1 3 years
AA+ rated EU Governmental Agency insurance on all charters-out
9.4%
22.3%13.6%22%
1 – 3 years6 – 10 years
3.5%
10 4%8.6%
48%
5.8%
10.4%
2.8% 23.5%
30%3 – 6 years
SAMSUN LOGIX
Diversified customer base with78% of contracted volume secured
Average Remaining Charter Term: 4.1 years
191919191919
Diversified customer base with strong creditworthy counterparties
78% of contracted volume secured by charters running longer than 3 years
Staggered Charter Expiration Profile (1)
Navios Prosperity
Navios Libra II
Navios Alegria
DEC-2010$23,513
$24,000
$23,750 DEC-2010
JUL-2012
Navios Felicity
Navios Aldebaran
Navios Apollon
Navios Prosperity
$28,391
$24,000
JUN-2013$26 169
JUL 2012
MAR-2013
$23,700 NOV-2012
Navios Gemini S
Navios Fantastiks
Navios Hope
Navios Felicity
FEB-2014
FEB-2014
$24 225
JUN 2013
$36,290
$26,169
$17,562 AUG-2013
$32,279
$10,643
Navios Sagittarius
Navios Galaxy I
Navios Hyperion
Navios Gemini S
FEB-2018
FEB-2014
$26 125
$24,225
$21,937
NOV-2018
$37,953 APR-2014$32,300
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Navios Aurora II
Navios Sagittarius $26,125 NOV-2018
NOV-2019$41,325
Original Charter-Out Rate
(1) Per day, net of commission
20
Original Charter-Out RateNew Charter-Out Rate
Industry Overview
Baltic Exchange Dry Index* 2002 – YTDBDI 2002 up-to-date
BDI October 2008 up-to-date
* As of May 12, 2010. 22
World Dry Bulk Trade 1980–2009F t U id
y
3,500
China admitted to the WTO
Future Upside:
India
2,500
3,000
2 8%2 8%
4.1%4.1%
1 500
2,000
(Mill
ion
Tons
)
1.1%1.1%2.8%2.8%
1,000
1,500
Trad
e
0
500
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
Source: Drewry Shipping Consultants Ltd. (2009 estimates, Jan 2010)
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008
23
GDP Growth Supported by Emerging Economies
4.7
2 3
3.85.9 6.1
2.4
6.34.85.1 5.04.1
3 5
6.37.5 7.1 7.9 8.3
2.23.5
4.5 5.1 5.23.0 4.24.0
3.33.7 3.6
2.84.9
2.63 5 4 0
4.06.08.0
10.0
2.32.5
3.5-0.62.5 3.0
-3.2
0.5
2.72.63.21.91.6
2.8 3.0 3.53.5 4.0
1.2
-4.0-2.00.02.0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
6
wth
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Emerging and developing economies World Advanced economies
012345
nual
GD
P G
row
-2-10
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
% A
nn
Actual Oct-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Jan-10 Apr-10
Changing economic growth expectations: The IMF recently increased (April 2010) its forecast for 2010 World growth to 4.2% from 3.9%, as of January 2010, advanced economies growth to 2.3% from 2.1% and emerging and developing economies growth to 6.3% from 6.0 Source: IMF, April 2010 24
Changing Trade Flows Increase Ton Miles Chinese Iron Ore Imports Indian Coal Imports
45%
50%
600
700
90
100
‘06-’10 CAGR of 21%
30%
35%
40%
400
500
600
60
70
8006- 10 CAGR of 21%
10%
15%
20%
25%
200
300
20
30
40
50
0%
5%
10%
0
100
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 E0
10
20
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 E
As market share of Indian Iron Ore to China declines, imports from Australia and Brazil increase As market share of Indian Iron Ore to China declines, imports from Australia and Brazil increase favoring Capesize and Panamax vessels. favoring Capesize and Panamax vessels.
Chinese Iron Ore Imports Australia % Brazil % India % Indian Coal Imports
Source: Clarksons March 2010
Increasing Indian Coal imports increase demand for Panamax and UltraIncreasing Indian Coal imports increase demand for Panamax and Ultra--Handymax vessels Handymax vessels
25
Changing Trade Flows
50 50
China becomes net coal importer
20
30
40
ons
10
20
30
40
mi
-10
0
10
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
Qtr2
Qtr3
Qtr4
Qtr1
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
mill
ion
to
-20
-10
0
10
llion tons
-30
-202001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-40
-30
Imports Exports Net
As China exports less coal, other Pacific Rim countries source from farther afield locations As China exports less coal, other Pacific Rim countries source from farther afield locations increasing tonincreasing ton--mile requirementsmile requirements
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China/ Mysteel. 26
Chinese Steel Production and Iron Ore Imports
40506070
Mill
. Mt
2530354045
Day
s
203040
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
M
101520
Stockpiles Inventory Days (6 Month MA) Iron Ore Imports Steel Production
IRON ORE STEEL PRODUCTION
Domestic Production Imports
2006 579.73 YoY% 326.30 YoY% 421.46 YoY%
2007 707.07 22% 383.70 18% 488.05 16%
2008 784.82 11% 444.10 16% 500.02 2%
2009 873.29 11% 630.42 42% 566.61 13%
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China/ Mysteel.
Q1 2010 204.00 22% 155.01 18% 157.51 24%
27
Aging Fleet + Credit Crisis = Accelerated Scrapping
50%
Dry Bulk Industry Age Profile (% dwt)
Over 60- 40- 10- Total Demo as %
Bulk Carrier Demolition By Size
DWT
26%30%
40%
50% Year End 100 100 60 40 Demolition of fleet2000 1.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 4.5 1.60%2001 1.5 2.3 0.7 3.6 8.1 2.80%2002 1.3 1.4 0.5 2.8 6.0 2.00%2003 0.8 0.6 0.6 2.2 4.1 1.40%2004 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.10%
Over 20 Years Old Over 25 Years Old
16%
10%
20%2005 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.30%2006 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.9 1.8 0.50%2007 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.10%2008 1.9 1.1 0.4 1.6 5.0 1.20%
2009 1.6 2.2 1.3 5.0 10.0 2.37%2010 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 0.39%
Scrapping Dynamics:
0%Total Dry Bulk Fleet Total Dry Bulk Fleet
8
Source: SSY’s Dry Bulk Forecaster (April 2010).
Note: DWT for vessel categories in thousands. DWT figures for 2000 to 2010 (May YTD) in millions.Source: Clarksons.
Scrapping Dynamics: Average scrapping for the period 1978-2007 was approximately 1.62% of fleet dwt per year Average scrapping over 4-year period 2004-2007 was 0.25% of fleet dwt per year Scrapping for 2008 exceeded 1% of fleet on dwt basis (all within Q4) Scrapping for 2009 near record levels was 2.37% or 10.0 million dwt
Total dry bulk fleet end 2008 about 418.1 million dwt; non-delivery about 21% Total dry bulk fleet end 2009 about 459.7 million dwt; non-delivery about 40% Net fleet growth from 2008 to 2009 of 9.9%
Source: Historical drybulk fleet size and scrapping data from Clarksons. 28
Changes to the Orderbook Projections
• Non-deliveries for 2009 = 40% (29.8 m dwt)
• Non-deliveries for 2010 projected at 48% (60.5 m dwt)
112.00
125.6
120.00
140.00Orderbook 2009
Orderbook 2010
55.20
71.27
82.15
60.00
80.00
100.00
Mill
ion
DW
T
EXPECTEDSLIPPAGE
48.2%
42.50
20.00
40.00
M
Actual Deliveries
0.00as of January 2008 as of January 2009 as of January 2010
Source: Clarksons’29
Dry Bulk Orderbook: Actual and projected non-deliveries
2010 April YTD deliveries 22.9 m dwt equating to 48 5% non-delivery
140 60%
m. DWT % Non Deliveries
equating to 48.5% non-delivery 2010 expected deliveries 65.1 m dwt
equating to 48.2% non-delivery Conservative lending environment
causing non deliveries100
120
40%
50%
causing non-deliveries Renegotiations commonly result in
delivery postponements and cancellations 60
80
30%
40%
Non-deliveries for 2009: 40% by dwt (71.3 dwt expected,
42.5 dwt delivered) 45% by number of vessels (962 20
40
10%
20%
5% by u be o esse s (96newbuilds expected, 531 actual deliveries) 0
2007 2008 2009 20100%
Orderbook Deliveries % Non Deliveries
Source: Scheduled and actual deliveries data from Clarksons (Apr 2010).
30
Conservative Business Posture
Long Term Charter CoverageWeighted average remaining term of charter
coverage approx. 4.1 yearsStaggered charter-out expirations - minimize
charter renewal risk
Strong Counterparties Strong creditworthy counterparties (Mitsui, Cosco, Rio Tinto, Cargill, etc.)
Insured Revenue Stream Charter-out contracts insured by AA+ rated EU Governmental Agency
Steady Increase in Distributions Per Unit 18.6% increase in distributions in 2.5 years
Operating Expense Visibility Fixed operating costs until November 2011
Fleet age of 6 3 years (1) vs industry fleet age of
31
Young Fleet Fleet age of 6.3 years ( ) vs. industry fleet age of 15.3 years (2)
(1) Navios Maritime Partners fleet age weighted by DWT(2) Source: Drewry’s as of March 2010
AppendixAppendix
Navios MLP FleetOwned Vessels
Vessels Type Built DWT Charter Rate ($) 1 Expiration Date 2
Navios Fantastiks Capesize 2005 180,265 32,279 03/01/201136,290 02/26/2014
Navios Alegria Panamax 2004 76,466 23,750 12-31-2010Navios Hope Panamax 2005 75,397 10,643 05/18/2010
17,562 08/16/2013Navios Libra II Panamax 1995 70,136 23,513 12-31-2010
Navios Gemini S Panamax 1994 68,636 24,225 2-8-2014Navios Felicity Panamax 1997 73,867 26,169 6-9-2013Navios Galaxy I Panamax 2001 74 195 21 937 2 3 2018Navios Galaxy I Panamax 2001 74,195 21,937 2-3-2018Navios Apollon Ultra-Handymax 2000 52,073 23,700 11-8-2012
Navios Sagittarius Panamax 2006 75,756 26,125 11/19/2018Navios Hyperion Panamax 2004 75,707 37,953 4/01/2014Navios Aurora II Capesize 2009 169,031 41,325 11/24/2019
Total - 11 Vessels 991,529
Long-Term Chartered-In VesselsVessels Type Built DWT Charter-Out Rate ($) 1 Expiration Date 2 Purchase Option
Navios Prosperity Panamax 2007 82,535 24,000 7/4/2012 YesNavios Aldebaran Panamax 2008 76 500 28 391 3/16/2013 YesNavios Aldebaran Panamax 2008 76,500 28,391 3/16/2013 Yes
Total - 2 Vessels 159,035
Total Fleet - 13 Vessels 1,150,564 dwt
(1) D il h t t t t f i i
33333333
(1) Daily charter-out rate net of commissions(2) Assumed midpoint of redelivery by charterers
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