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GREEN CRUISE PORT Sustainable Development of Cruise Port Locations MEASUREMENT OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS CAUSED BY CRUISE TOURISM (P.A. 4.1.2.) June 26th-27th 2017 Gdansk / Poland Urszula KOWALCZYK Maritime Institute in Gdansk Economics and Law Department

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Page 1: MEASUREMENT OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS CAUSED BY CRUISE … · 2017-07-21 · GREEN CRUISE PORT Sustainable Development of Cruise Port Locations MEASUREMENT OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC

GREEN CRUISE PORT Sustainable Development of Cruise Port Locations

MEASUREMENT OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC EFFECTS

CAUSED BY CRUISE TOURISM (P.A. 4.1.2.)

June 26th-27th 2017

Gdansk / Poland

Urszula KOWALCZYK Maritime Institute in Gdansk

Economics and Law Department

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1. Introduction 2. Cruise traffic overview

2.1. Global and European tendencies 2.2. Cruise traffic on the Baltic Sea 2.3. Environmental impact of cruise tourism3. Overview of the cruise sector economic impact

3. Overview of the cruise sector economic impact 3.1. Factors determining cruise lines visit at destination 3.2. Economic impact of cruise sector in Europe 3.3. Economic impact of cruise sector in Baltic Sea Region 3.4. Economic impact of cruise sector in Barcelona – best practice example

4. Regional economic effects of cruise tourism 4.1. Factors determining the cruise terminal location 4.2. Potential jobs generated by cruise industry 4.3. Passengers’ behaviour 4.4. Value of extended tourism footprint 4.5. Port direct and indirect income 4.6. Support of local businesses

5. Role of ports in generating business opportunities and pollution avoidance 6. Required standards and best practices in the cruise industry development

6.1. Factors determining cruise sector development 6.2. Infrastructure at destination

7. Conclusions/Recommendation.

STUDY’s HIGHLIGHTS (p.a. 4.1.2)

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Introduction

Tourism is perceived as an industry that has a positive impact on economic growth. Economic benefits are probably the main reason why so many countries are interested in this sector. One of the main differences between cruise tourism and traditional tourism is that factors of production of the cruise industry can be acquired from a range of countries. No such limitations apply to cruising. Cruise companies can operate as multinational entities, where resources do not need to be acquired from a specific country.

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Global cruise market – highlights 2015 • 298 cruise ships deployed, • 486,4 thous passenger capacity, • 525 thous passenger capacity expected by 2016, • 6 new cruise ships with 18,800 passenger capacity deployed in 2015, • 15 new cruise ships with 39 637 (+8.1%) passenger capacity expected by 2017, • 24 million passengers expected in 2018 and 25,3 million by 2019, • 36,27 billion US$ - revenues generated by the global cruise industry, • 1728 US$ - average revenue per cruise passenger, • 185 US$ - average profit per passenger • Global sourcing of passengers 2015: 58% North America, 29% Europe, 13% Asia/Pacific. Cruise vessels become larger: the biggest ones can accommodate over 6 thous. passengers and 2.5 thous. crew members, for ex. Oasis of the Seas of 360m length, 47 m width and 9.3m draft, can accommodate 6630 passengers and 2160 crew members.

Source: CLIA

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European cruise market 2015 - highlights

42 cruise lines, operating 123 cruise ships of 146 thous berths domiciled in Europe additional 18 non-European lines, deployed 60 cruise ships of ca 89,000 berths capacity in

Europe, 6.4 million European residents booked cruises (about 30% global cruise passengers), 5.85 million passengers embarked from a European port (of which 3.6% - 4.9 million European

nationals), 29 million passenger visits at around 250 European port cities, 14.4 million crew arrived at European ports, majority of cruises visited ports in Mediterranean, Baltic and other European regions.

Year of

completion

No of

ships

No of

berths

Investment in

Euro (mill)

Total 50 133,265 28,442

2016 10 27,621 6,071

2017 11 27820 6,180

2018 13 27,629 6,215

2019 16 50,195 9,976

Cruise Ship Orders 2016-19 (€27,275 million of the new investment is placed in European yards)

Source: CLIA

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Cruise ships calling Northern Sea and Baltic Sea ports in 2014 - by country

Country Number of calls Capacity thous GT

TOTAL 9291 495768

Denmark 404 25138

Germany 401 24320

Sweden 388 21017

Estonia 344 19955

Finland 319 16904

United Kingdom 298 10422

Ireland 162 7736

Latvia 66 2738

Lithuania 40 1387

Netherlands 19 1301

Source: EUROSTAT

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Baltic Sea region is the 2nd largest area for cruise tourism in Europe (after the Mediterranean),

More than 350 cruise ships with over 2100 port calls each year, 40 cruise lines and 88 ships (2015), 4,3 million passengers (10 % of world total) annual turnover of around € 443 million and 5500–11500 jobs, most of terminals and piers located within walking distance to the city centers

and attractions, variety of bigger and smaller ports – various itinerary opportunities. 77 different cruise ships owned by 37 operators in the Baltic Sea, half of these were smaller vessels up to 1,500 persons, including staff

and passengers, 8 vessels (10 %) were large vessels with a max. capacity of 4,000 persons or more, 5 main destinations: St. Petersburg, Copenhagen, Tallinn, Helsinki and Stockholm –

account for 67 % of the cruise ship traffic in terms of calls, in 3 ports, including Visby, large ships anchor outside the port and use shuttle boat

transportation to the shore, voyages between two ports take between 8 and 20 hours at sea, and 8-10 hours in port cruise ship voyages involved in total 6,55 million person-days, comparable to year-

around habitation of 18 000 people.

Baltic Sea area 2015 - highlights

Source: Baltic Cruise

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Baltic Sea cruise destinations – cruise ports

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Cruise traffic in the Baltic Sea

• number of passengers increased from 1.1 mill. in 2000 to 4.3 in 2016: av. 9.9% per year, and by 1.2% in 2016 compared 2015. • in 2017 expected increase by 13% compared to 2016. • number of calls increased from 1.453 in 2000 to 2,163 in 2016: av. 2.7% per year, an increase of 15.2% in number of calls expected in 2017

Source: Baltic Cruise

Top Baltic Cruise Ports

Passengers Ship calls

1 Copenhagen 677,000 1 St. Petersburg 285

2 Stockholm 530,229 2 Copenhagen 283

3 St. Petersburg 505,359 3 Tallinn 280

4 Tallinn 500,622 4 Helsinki 254

5 Helsinki 436,500 5 Stockholm 249

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Environmental impact of cruise tourism

On-shore effects and actions by cruise ship visitors include:

Impacts of shore tours on ecological resources.

Impacts of sea tours on fragile ecology.

Impacts of levels of use on natural systems.

On shore tourist waste management.

Resource consumption (water, energy).

The environmental costs of the sector are mostly non-measurable.

Cruise ships, which can carry as much as 5,000 passengers and crew, are

producing large volumes of waste. The different types of waste and

damage produced by a typical ship are included in the Protocol 1978

known as MARPOL 73/78. These environmental impacts are mainly

generated in coastal areas close to the busiest port destinations.

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Role of ports in generating business opportunities

and avoidance of pollution

Ports play significant role in generating business opportunities and in protection of the marine environment and in avoidance of pollution from ships by providing adequate port reception facilities and suitable quayside energy infrastructure. Dedicated approach to different regional challenges should be considered, Need for environmental sustainability of cruise tourism - appropriate management of noise levels, waste, water, air quality and energy efficiency, in full application of existing legislation.

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Factors determining cruise lines visit at destination

Consumer demand – cruise lines plan their itineraries in accordance with

preference of passengers (information obtained by cruise lines and travel agents)

Revenue opportunities – cruise lines analyse tour options considering how

much revenue it can produce on each specific destination

Return on investments – cruise lines consider the costs of operating a vessel

when visiting a destination and what profit can be made

Visitor satisfaction levels – satisfied passengers rate the destination high

and the cruise lines ten to visit the destination again

Safety and security – Operations at berth or anchor need to be conducted

safely, (according to ISPS code), frequired a safety plan for the port area, and the

city and port need to provide a safe environment for the cruise passengers

Fit in greater itinerary – cruise lines look for destinations that complement

each other in an itinerary and that are able to sell well to clients.

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Organisations involved in cruise visits in sea port

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Total economic impact

16 Source: CLIA

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Economic impact of cruise sector in Europe

Source: Contribution of Cruise Tourism to the Economies of Europe 2015 Edition, CLIA

Country Direct

expenditure

million Euro

%

TOTAL 16,637 100,0

Italy 4,601 27,7

Germany 3,254 19,6

United Kingdom 3,155 19,0

Spain 1,208 7,3

France 1,117 6,7

Norway 591 3,6

Finland 582 3,5

Greece 506 3,0

Netherlands 399 2,4

Sweden 228 1,4

Other 946 5,7

DIRECT EXPENDITURE BY COUNTRY

Direct expenditure in Europe 2015

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Economic impact of cruise sector in Baltic Sea Region

The impacts are based on surveys from 2011 to 2013 at 12 Baltic ports in 9 different countries as follows: destination Copenhagen, Ronne and Aarhus (Denmark, Stockholm and Malmo (Sweden), Helsinki (Finland), Oslo (Norway) Klaipeda (Lithuania), Tallin (Estonia), Gdynia (Poland), Rostock (Germany), Sankt Petersburg (Russia)

Source: OverviewEconomic Impact of Cruise Tourism Baltic Sea Region. Peter Wild for BREA and G. P. Wild (Int.) Ltd.

Category Average Expenditure per Passenger/Crew in €

Turnaround Transit Crew

Total 152.23 76.74 25.97

F&B&Enternainement 52.39 5.54 8.07

Tours & Ground Transportation 14.94 43.75 2.54

Retail Goods 12.68 17.88 10.97

Other Purchases 9.26 9.57 4.39

Accomodation 62.96 - -

Category

Total Expenditure in € Million

Total Turnaround Transit Crew

Total 346.50 82.29 247.92 16.29

F&B&Enternainement 51.27 28.32 17.89 5.06

Tours & Ground

Transportation

151.01 8.07 141.34 1.59

Retail Goods 71.50 6.86 57.76 6.88

Other Purchases 38.69 5.01 30.93 2.76

Accomodation 34.03 34.,3 - -

Baltic Cruise Ports – Total Expenditures € Million

Baltic Cruise Ports – Average Expenditure per Passenger/Crew

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Category Total Expenditure in € Million

Total Turnaround Transit Crew

Total 346.50 82.29 247.92 16.29

F&B&Enternainement 51.27 28.32 17.89 5.06

Tours & Ground Transportation 151.01 8.07 141.34 1.59

Retail Goods 71.50 6.86 57.76 6.88

Other Purchases 38.69 5.01 30.93 2.76

Accomodation 34.03 34.,3 - -

Baltic Cruise Ports – Total Expenditures by category € Million

Industry Total Expenditures - €Million

Total 339.37

Manufacturing 176.39

Wholesale & Retail Trade 35.66

Transport & Utilities 85,61

All Others 41.71

Baltic Cruise Ports – Total cruise lines spending

Economic impact of cruise sector in Baltic Sea Region cont.

Source: OverviewEconomic Impact of Cruise Tourism Baltic Sea Region. Peter Wild for BREA and G. P. Wild (Int.) Ltd.

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Economic impact of cruise sector in Baltic Sea Region cont.

Industry Total Output

€Million

Total

Employme

nt

Total

Compensatio

n

€Million

Total 1,422.72 11,987 305.17

Manufacturing 299.86 1,922 60.69

Whole Sale & Retail Trade 119.51 1,886 43.90

Transportation and Utilities 511.59 3,304 91.15

Hospitality 81.50 1,611 26.94

Financial & Business Services 212.62 1,918 51.12

All Others 197.64 1,346 32.37

Cruise Industry total economic impact in the Baltic Sea Region

Source: OverviewEconomic Impact of Cruise Tourism Baltic Sea Region. Peter Wild for BREA and G. P. Wild (Int.) Ltd.

Other major highlights of the total economic impacts indicate that:

Every €1 million in cruise related spending generated 17.5 jobs throughout the Baltic Sea Region.

On average each of these jobs paid €25,500 in employee compensation.

The trade, transportation and hospitality sectors accounted for about 70% of the direct impacts.

The manufacturing, financial, business and personal services sectors accounted for

approximately 60% of the indirect impacts.

Every 100 direct jobs generated by passenger and crew spending resulted in another 95 jobs

elsewhere in the Baltic Sea Region.

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Economic impact of cruise sector in Barcelona – best practice example

Categories of cruise passengers

according to their relationship

with the city

Average

length of

visit to the

city

Cruisers tourists

“Day visitor” cruise passengers

(not staying overnight)

4.3 hours 1,360,271 (57.5%)

Tours of cruise passengers in

transit (stop over)

4.2 hours 1,141,805 (48.3%)

Tours of cruise passengers

boarding or disembarking

4.7 hours 218,466 (9.2%)

“Tourists” cruise passengers (stay

at least one night in the city)

2.6 nights 565,400 (23.9%)

“Not visitors” (cruise passengers

traveling to or from the port

without visiting the city)

No visit and

no overnight

438,621 (18.6%)

Total cruise passengers 2,364,292 (100%)

Impact Turnover

Million €

GVA

Million €

Income Wage

Million € Occupation

Total impact 796,0 412,2 197,6 6,759

Direct impact 442,5 225,9 116,7 4,026

Indirect and

induced

impact

353,5 187,3 80,9 2,733

Every €100 of initial expenditure in the Port of

Barcelona generated €93 of GVA (of which €45 are

income wages) in Catalonia & for every €1 1million of

initial expenditure, 15 jobs were created.

Each cruise ship calling at the Port of Barcelona in

2014 generated in Catalonia €1 million turnover,

contributed in more than € half a million to GDP, and

9 full-time jobs and €0.2 million of tax revenue.

Barcelona concentrates 75% of the total impact.

Almost € 600 million (€ 1.7 million a day) was

generated, € 313.4 million GVA, and 5,039 jobs were

maintained in the municipality of Barcelona.

Unlike the effect in ports such as

Civitavecchia, where the main

attractions is visiting the city of

Rome, a main part of the total

regional impact remains in the city

of Barcelona itself.

Source: Economic Impact of Cruise Activity: The Port of Barcelona” Research Institute of Applied Economics in Barcelona. Working Paper 2016/13 (Esther Vayá, José Ramón García, Joaquim Murillo, Javier Romaní, Jordi Suriñach). www.ub-irea.com

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Factors determining the cruise terminal location

Key natural and cultural assets of the port and of sites which can be visited. Sites shall be

accessible on tours of eight hours or less. The location of port facilities is sometimes important.

Docking in town may benefit local business but reduce the ability to sell tours,

Port facilities including accessibility and convenience for passengers embarking and

disembarking (however ships may use tendering to ports where there are no shore facilities).

Sometimes ports invest in tenders in order to mitigate the problem, but tendering time means

less time on shore for tourists.

Location relative to other destinations and departure ports. Most tours favour ports where the

entire day can be spent in port, and passage to the next port occurs overnight.

Security - important particularly near the docking facility and walking sites (cruise and tour

operators may have their own requirements for safety, insurance, etc. )

Infrastructure - suitable numbers of buses, guides, police, parking areas, considering that some

destinations (like Bergen or Sankt Petersburg ) are docking more cruisers at one time.

Provisioning - is done in tour ports for some lines (food, drink, clean water, etc.)

Port costs – higher dockage fees may result in cruiser shift to another port

Marketing – most cruises are marketed as a package of several destinations and experiences.

Specific cruises may alter the general formula to sell to a niche market.

Source: Conservation International, Lighthouse Foundation, and WTO Indicators – Cruise Destinations section

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Factors determining locations of cruise facilities

Location consideration Benefis

Marketing Logistics Guests experience

Navigational access √ √

Security √ √ √

Congestion – Cruise area vs Cargo √ √

Traffic & Access √ √ √

Ease of Ingness & Egness √ √

Expansion Potential √ √

Proximity to parking √ √

Exposure √ √

Desire to work with Cruise Line √ √ √

Source:Port of Stockholm

Source: Conservation International, Lighthouse Foundation, and

WTO Indicators – Cruise Destinations section

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Potential jobs generated by cruise industry

Total employment impact in Europe 2015

Direct employment by sector

Country Total Jobs Share of total

Total 360,571 100,0%

Italy 103,010 28,6

UK 73,919 20,5

Germany 45,673 12,7

Spain 28,576 7,9

France 16,555 4,6

Norway 14,743 4,1

Greece 9,983 2,8

Portugal 9,629 2,7

Finland 9,441 2,6

Netherlands 7,573 2,1

Top 10 319,102 88,5

Poland 4,975 1,4

Croatia 4,393 1,2

Sweden 3,528 1,0

Malta 2,661 0,7

Denmark 2,612 0,7

Rest of EU+3 18,169 6,5

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Passengers’ behaviour

Passengers’ behaviour is a concern for all destinations.

Cruise passengers represent a wide spectrum of interests, travel styles and expectations.

Because cruise tourism is in many ways day tourism, the impacts of large numbers of tourists can be concentrated in a few places in a short time period.

Overall, passengers seek port destinations which have a good climate, access to an area possessing either a landmark of historical importance or an exotic or foreign culture.

To some extent cruise tourism can reinforce some of the behavioural issues.

Tourists in large groups do not behave like they do at home, hence excessive drinking, loud behaviour, showing off behaviours which may be completely out of character with their normal behaviour at home.

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Value of extended tourism footprint

Industries to benefit from cruise tourism are:

transportation (taxis, buses, automobile, boat rentals), tour operators(including organizers, guides) selected attractions located close to the dock, or marketed directly by the ship activities staff and, restaurants and bars not always benefit from visits as passengers return to the ship for meals.

Cruise tourism might have limited direct economic effect if provisions are purchased only in home country. In addition it can be a very seasonal business (many shops close after the cruise season).

Tourism industry often creates seasonal jobs and promotes the influx of new workers.

Escalated use of the environment during the peak visitor season caused competition between visitors and locals for resources and space.

Also, tourism might cause changes in the character of community life, pace of life, commercialization, social friction, and cultural exploitation.

However, in many cases the economic effects of tourism have been adequately balanced with the socio-cultural and environmental effects.

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Port direct and indirect income

Direct impact:

the employment and income generated by the direct construction and operation of the port.

Indirect impact:

the employment and income generated by the chain of suppliers of goods and services,

Induced impact:

the employment and income generated by the spending of incomes by employees created by the

direct and indirect effects.

Catalytic impact:

the employment and income generated by the role of the port as a driver of productivity growth and

then as an attractor of new enterprises.

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Year Vessel

Calls

Number of

Passengers

Port dues from

cruise vessels

(in mln EURO)

The total amount of Port

dues from all the vessels

(in mln EURO)

Share of port dues

from cruise vessels

out of total port dues (%)

2014 63 57.447 0,749 42,680 1,76%

2015 51 59.686 0,665 46,926 1,42%

2016 52 63.545 0,683 49,261 1,39%

Cruise traffic in port of Klaipeda

Source: Port of Klaipeda

• numbers of passengers disembarking for city tours 70%, • disembarking for personal walking tours 30% • and those staying on board 3-4 %

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Support of local businesses

Fuel, food stuffs and consumer goods for sale on a cruise ship each require their own

particular supply chain infrastructure. Thus the ability of a port city to benefit from a cruise

ship’s demand for goods and services depends on its local industrial capacities. Likewise

multipliers tend to be smaller in rural/regional economies than in urban centres –

primarily because there are fewer opportunities for people to spend money on local goods

and services.

The size of a region's various multipliers depends upon the industrial mix of the local

economy, its interactions with business and the industry/sector of interest. Revenues

generated by the sale of traditional crafts to ship passengers would bear a relatively high

multiplier, as a large portion of such items’ value-added is locally produced. Heavy fuel oil

for ships, on the other hand, is typically imported from outside the regional economy.

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Infrastructure at destination

Impacts on cruise port investments:

Economic changes – cruise industry increased substantially, thanks to economic

growth, growing importance of logistics to organize complex services,

Technical changes - growth in ship size to better achieve economies of scale has been a

prevalent technical change, required dedicated port terminal facilities, pressures on

ports to upgrade and improve their facilities.

Organizational changes – cruise industry is increasingly controlled by large cruise

operators, port and city cooperation.

The minimum requirements for cruise transit port infrastructure are:

depth,

appropriate quay length,

wide apron for handling passengers,

ISPS rules implementation, immigration and customs,

close vicinity or a high-quality connection to the local tourist attractions,

good temporary anchorage in vicinity of touristic attraction can be sufficient for a

cruise transit port.

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Impact on cruise port investments

• Economic changes – cruise industry increased substantially, thanks to economic growth, growing importance of logistics to organize complex services

• Technical changes - growth in ship size to better achieve economies of scale has been a prevalent technical change, required dedicated port terminal facilities, pressures on ports to upgrade and improve their facilities.

• Organizational changes – cruise industry is increasingly controlled by large cruise operators, port and city cooperation

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Requirements for cruise port infrastructure

Cruise terminals on the basis of their infrastructure • Cruise terminal with designated berths exclusively for cruise traffic, without cruise

terminal building. • Cruise terminal with designated berths for cruise traffic with terminal building. • Cruise terminal that uses commercial berths to receive transit traffic. • Cruise terminal that uses ferry berths as origin and destination of cruise route. • Cruise terminal that uses ferry berths for transit traffic. The minimum requirements for cruise transit port infrastructure are: • depth, • appropriate quay length, • wide apron for handling passengers, • ISPS rules implementation, immigration and customs. • close vicinity or a high-quality connection to the local tourist attractions • good temporary anchorage in vicinity of touristic attraction can be sufficient for a cruise

transit port. Cruise turnaround port infrastructure is more demanding and requires: • good connection with the arrival/departure point of passengers (airport/railway

station/bus station). Especially for airports, a vast amount of international connections is needed

• in the case of turnaround operations, vast parking areas near the cruise passenger terminals are essential.

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36

Warnemunde

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Cruise season 2017 in ports Gdansk and Gdynia

http://www.gospodarkamorska.pl

67 and 42 calls expected in Gdansk and Gdynia in 2017. Ports are investing in infrastructure incl. cruise and ferry facilities. 14 May MSC Magnifica, length 294 m, 95 thous DWT, 1259 cabins. Viking Cruises included Gdańsk in the 50 days jorney together with ports in Greece, Italy, Monaco, Spainko, France, UK, Germany, Russia and Poland. 29 Dec. Saga Sapphire (200m) call Gdank ending season.

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Conclusions/Recommendation.

Considering the recent boom of the cruise industry activity it is difficult to find

data to analyse the economics of cruise tourism. Most works today has been

based on observational data (scarce and not homogenous). Data collected by

cruise lines provide estimates of cruise-related expenditure but many required

data are not available.

Shared methodologies and common indicators are important to facilitate exchange and understanding, benchmarking may be more important than establishing to many indicators (it rises cost) . The indicators should be Integrate indicators for destinations, not just tourism. The measures should be clearly defined considering: economic factors, socio-cultural factors, environmental factors, governance, external changes or threats.

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dress up your port to impress

match the long-term nature of planning port infrastructure with the quickly

changing market needs

involve the stakeholders at an early stage in the port planning

good hinterland connections are a major success factor for the cruise and ferry

port

greening the infrastructure as to mitigate the environmental impact of cruise

and ferry port business

optimise the use of dedicated cruise and ferry port infrastructure

ESPO Code of Good Practices

– recommendations for cruise and ferry ports

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phone +48 58 301 16 41

fax +48 58 301 35 13

www.im.gda.pl

Urszula KOWALCZYK

Head of Economics and Law Department

Maritime Institute in Gdansk

http://www.greencruiseport.eu/