measurements and models of oceanic o 2 and co 2 fluxes mark battle (bowdoin college) sara mikaloff...

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Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling (SIO) Nicolas Gruber (UCLA) Pieter Tans (NOAA/CMDL) Melissa B. Hendricks (Princeton) David T. Ho (Princeton/Columbia) Carrie Simonds (Bowdoin College) Robert Mika (Princeton) Andrew Manning (SIO) Bill Paplawsky(SIO) AGU Fall 2004 OS11C-08 Funding from: NSF NOAA GCRP BP-Amoco AGU poster Fall 2003 A52B-0793

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Page 1: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Measurements and Models of Oceanic O2 and CO2 Fluxes

Mark Battle (Bowdoin College)Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA)Michael Bender (Princeton)

Ralph Keeling (SIO) Nicolas Gruber (UCLA)

Pieter Tans (NOAA/CMDL)Melissa B. Hendricks (Princeton) David T. Ho (Princeton/Columbia)

Carrie Simonds (Bowdoin College)

Robert Mika (Princeton)Andrew Manning (SIO)

Bill Paplawsky(SIO)

AGUFall 2004

OS11C-08

Funding from:NSF

NOAA GCRPBP-Amoco

AGU poster Fall

2003 A52B-0793

Page 2: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

On the agenda:

• What is APO?• Historical context• Our dataset• From sparse data to meridional

gradients• Modeling• Data-model comparison

Page 3: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Atmospheric Potential Oxygen

APO O2 + 1.1 CO2

APO changes solely due to oceanicprocesses*

*This is almost true

Page 4: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling
Page 5: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

1.4

1.1

Page 6: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

1.4

1.1

Page 7: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling
Page 8: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling
Page 9: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Atmospheric Potential Oxygen

APO O2 + 1.1 CO2

APO responds to oceanic O2 & CO2 fluxes

Land biota doesn’t change APO

Fossil fuels change APO a little

Page 10: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

In the beginning…

Page 11: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Stephens et al., 1998

Models don’t getinterpolar gradientright (physics?)

Equatorial datawould be nice.

Page 12: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

The next chapter…

Page 13: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Gruber et al., 2001

Eliminate BGCModel.

Results seem Independent ofOcean physics

Equatorial dataWould be nice.

Page 14: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

We have equatorial data!

Page 15: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Sampling locations used in this work

Page 16: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Ships of opportunity

Page 17: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

NOAA ship Ka’imimoana

Page 18: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Uneven spatio-temporal data density

Page 19: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Uneven spatio-temporal data density

Page 20: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Annual-mean gradients from sparse data?

2-D interpolation (latitude and time):

Create gradients at specific times through year

Average the gradients over climatological year

Page 21: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

3 examples of gradients…

Page 22: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

A weighted average of all gradients

Page 23: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Annual-mean gradients from sparse data?

2-D interpolation (latitude and time):

Create gradients at specific times through year

Average the gradients over climatological year

Seasonal Cycles:

Sine fits to data at each sampling latitudeAnnual means from sine fits

Page 24: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling
Page 25: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Annual means from seasonal cycles

Page 26: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

New data deserve a new model

•Aseasonal O2: Ocean inversion (Gruber 2001)•Aseasonal N2: Heat inversion (Gloor 2001)•Oceanic CO2: pCO2 (Takahashi 1999)•Seasonal O2 and N2: Ocean heat fluxes (Garcia and Keeling 2001)•FF CO2 and O2: CDIAC (Marland 2000)•Atmospheric Transport: TM3.8•Winds: NCEP 1995 – 2000 (repeated and averaged)

Page 27: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Data-model comparison: 2-D interpolation

Page 28: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Data-model comparison: seasonal cycles

Page 29: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Is this different from old models?

The models really are different!

Page 30: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

What has changed?

• Atmospheric Transport:– Was GCTM– Is now TM3

• Seasonal O2 & N2:

– Was Najjar & Keeling/Esbensen & Kushnir

– Is now Garcia and Keeling

Page 31: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

In summary…

• Data coverage much greater• Equatorial “bulge” exists• Interpolar gradient smaller• Newest model gives much better overall

agreement with data• Past disagreements primarily due to

atmospheric transport• Disagreement persists at SYO, SAB and

CBA• Watch for a publication soon.

Page 32: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

UCLA model annual mean APO

Page 33: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Merging PU & SIO datasets

Page 34: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Problems at Cold Bay

Page 35: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Time slices: Data

Time slices: Model

Page 36: Measurements and Models of Oceanic O 2 and CO 2 Fluxes Mark Battle (Bowdoin College) Sara Mikaloff Fletcher (UCLA) Michael Bender (Princeton) Ralph Keeling

Data quality at Sable Island