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Measuring re-exports

Jasper RoosCBS / Statistics Netherlands

Unit International trade

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Re-exports vs domestic exports

Difference in economic impact

Role:Re-exports– Only distribution and / or trade

Exports from domestic production– Also production

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Re-exports

Ways to define re-exports– Origin criteria– Value added– Change of goods - Description– Change of goods - Change of product code

Decision:Change on 6-digit Harmonized System-code ?=> no re-exports

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Estimating re-exports (1)Supply and use tables

P + M = C + I + IC + E

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Estimating re-exports (1)Supply and use tables

P + M = C + I + IC + E

P + M = C + I + IC + Eimport + Eprod.

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Estimating re-exports (2)Statistical procedureStatistical procedure:

– Additional variable in the Netherlands– Specification of the trade flow

Gives underestimation– Unfamiliarity + discussion about the definition of

re-exports– Companies sometimes are unable to tell the origin– No information for countries outside EU (customs)

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Estimating re-exports (3)Comparison of import and exportValue of exports---------------------- < 2Value of imports

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Estimating re-exports (3)Comparison of import and exportValue of exports---------------------- < 2 => re-exportsValue of imports

Else => some exports from domestic production

Comparison by– 6-digit HS-code– Company (preferable enterprise-group level)

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Example (1)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

X

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Example (1)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

X € 900 € 300

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Example (1)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

X € 900 € 300 € 300

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Example (2)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

Y

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Example (2)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

Y € 0 € 200

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Example (2)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

Y € 0 € 200 € 0

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Example (3)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

Z

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Example (3)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

Z € 100 € 500

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Example (3)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

Z € 100 € 500 € 40

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Example (4)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

April € 900 € 300 € 300

May € 0 € 200 € 0

June € 100 € 500 € 40

2nd quarter

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Example (4)

Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports

April € 900 € 300 € 300

May € 0 € 200 € 0

June € 100 € 500 € 40

+ + +

2nd quarter € 1000 € 1000 € 340 (?)

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Enhancements of the model

Enhancements:– Profiling of the largest companies– Knowlegde of production structure– Statistical procedure

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Results - Exported goods in 2005

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Food, drink and tobacco

Raw materials

Mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials

Chemical products

Machinery and transportation equipment

Other manufactured goods

(in billion euro)

Exports from domestic production Re-exports

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Results - Destination of the exports in 2005

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

GermanyBelgiumFrance

United KingdomRest of EU15

Rest of EuropeUnited States

China and Hong-KongRest of S.E. AsiaRest of the World

Billion Euro

Domestic exports Re-exports

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Results - Origin of the re-exports in 2005

GermanyBelgiumFranceUnited KingdomRest of EU15Rest of EuropeUnited StatesChina and Hong-KongRest of S.E. AsiaRest of the World

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Questions ?