memorial hermann health system hermann health system ... • market share leader in houston ......
TRANSCRIPT
Memorial Hermann Health System 31st Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
January 7, 2013
Daniel J. Wolterman President & CEO
Dennis L. Laraway Chief Financial Officer
System and Strategic Overview
Highlights
3
• Market Share Leader in Houston • Superior Regional Coverage • Operating Cash Flow Generation • Effective Cost Management – Best Practice • Improved Liquidity and Leverage Positions • Well Positioned for Accountable Care and Population
Management • Quality – Competitive Advantage for Memorial Hermann • National Recognition – Significant Accomplishments as a
Provider of Excellence
23%
19%
13% 9%
6%
6%
6%
4%
4% 3%
2% 2% 3%
The Market Leader
4
HCA
Inpatient Market Share 1st: Aggregate Market Share 1st: Burns 1st: Cardiology 1st: ENT 1st: General Medicine 1st: General Surgery 1st: Neurology 1st: Neurosurgery 1st: Ophthalmology 1st: Orthopedics 1st: Rehab 1st: Thoracic Surgery 1st: Urology 1st: Vascular 2nd: Gynecology 2nd: Obstetrics 2nd: Neonatology 2nd: Spine 3rd: Oncology
Market Share Ranking 171 Locations
$4.5B Total Assets $3.9B Net Operating Revenue
Over 20,000 Employees; 5,000 Medical Staff
Greater Houston MSA 6.14 million population, projected to 6.71 million (2016)
Memorial Hermann
Methodist St. Luke’s
Recent Accolades
5
15 Top Health Systems; Top 5 Large Health Systems
HealthGrades®
America’s 50 Best Hospitals (2010, 2011 & 2012)
Texas Health Care Quality Improvement Awards (9 Memorial Hermann Campuses)
Texas Hospital Association Bill Aston Quality Award
Healthcare’s “100 Most Wired” 7th consecutive year
Distinguished Hospital for Clinical Excellence
TIRR Memorial Hermann Ranked # 3 by U.S. News and World Report
Houston Business Journal (HBJ) No. 5 Best Places to Work
America’s #1 Quality Hospital in Overall Care 2 Consecutive Years
Industry Transformation
Current Model Fee-for-Service
Disparate Payments Illness & Cure
Volume Incentive Fragmentation
6
Fee For Service
Population Health
Fragmentation
Integration New Model Fixed Payment
Bundled Payment Population Health Value Incentive
Integration
New Vision Our Strategic Journey
7
Memorial Hermann will be the preeminent health system in the U.S. by advancing the health of those we serve through trusted partnerships with physicians, employees and others to deliver the best possible health solutions while relentlessly pursuing quality and value.
Advancing Health
8
Care Delivery: Indispensible market leader in health delivery
Texas Medical Center • Primary teaching hospital for The University of
Texas Medical School at Houston • Children’s Memorial Hermann Hospital • TIRR Memorial Hermann • Memorial Hermann Heart & Vascular Institute –
Texas Medical Center • Mischer Neuroscience Institute • MH Ironman Sports Medicine Institute • Memorial Hermann Clinical Innovation & Research
Center • Nation’s Busiest Level 1 Trauma Center with 7,000
cases/year and 3,500 Life Flight transports/year Ambulatory Portfolio
• Sports Medicine & Rehabilitation Centers: 30 • Ambulatory Surgery Centers: 18 • Diagnostic Laboratories: 21 • Imaging Centers: 24 • Breast Care Centers: 9 • 24 Hour Free Standing ER: 1 • Retirement/Nursing Center: 1 • Home Health Branches: 3 • Cancer Centers: 7
Community Hospital Portfolio • The Woodlands Hospital • Northwest Hospital • Southwest Hospital • Southeast Hospital
• Memorial City Medical Center • Sugar Land Hospital • Katy Hospital • Northeast Hospital
Advancing Health
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Physicians: Pluralistic approach to physician alignment
Clinical Integration Principles • Create order sets, protocols, and
performance standards • Connect systems and share data • Report and manage quality outcomes
MHMD • 3,500 physicians members • 2,900 Clinically Integrated (C.I.) physicians • Unites private practice, academic faculty, and
employed physicians • Clinical Programs Committees linked to
System Quality Committee • Foundation for Memorial Hermann Accountable
Care Organization
Memorial Hermann Medical Group • 501(a) • 250 Employed Providers • Primary care and specialists
University of Texas Medical School, Houston • 1,066 Faculty Members • 24 Departments • 871 Residents and Fellows • 1,017 Medical Students • 1 Million Annual Clinical Encounters
Advancing Health
10
Health Solutions: Value-added health plans & employer solutions
MHiE Facilitates access to and retrieval of clinical
data to provide safer, more timely, efficient, effective, patient-centered care by providing the capability to electronically share clinical information among disparate health care information systems in a useful manner.
MHealth • Self-insured / TPA Services • Fully-insured license • Employer-based contracting • Member Cost Share / Incentives to
encourage engagement in their health • Narrow Network of Highest Quality • Competitive Provider Contracts built
with Integral Pay for Performance structures
• Planning for Medicare Advantage. Notification of Intent submitted to CMS.
ACO • New subsidiary of MHHS • Formed to meet the intent
of both Commercial and Medicare ACO principles
• CMS Shared Savings Program – July 1, 2012
One Memorial Hermann
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Enterprise Data
Warehouse
Physician Office
Diagnostic
Hospital
Post Acute Home Health
Surgery Center
Imaging
Aligned Incentives & Benefit Structure
“Design & Optimize”
Population Analytics
“Measure & Score”
Individual Health Plan
“Personalize & Coordinate”
Operational & Clinical
Performance “Store & Report”
Information Technology Key To Advancing Health
CLAB
SI R
ate
per 1
K Li
ne D
ays
Board System Adult ICU CLABSIDo No Harm
Central Line Associated Blood Stream Infections
Source f ile date: 10/15/2012Generated: 10/15/2012 1:12:32 PM Reporting Months
produced by Sy stem Quality and Pat ient
UCL = 9.42
Mean = 5.53
LCL = 1.64
UCL = 5.79
Mean = 3.04
LCL = 0.29
UCL = 5.13
Mean = 2.52
UCL = 3.86
Mean = 2.12
LCL = 0.38
UCL = 2.55
Mean = 1.17
UCL = 2.97
Mean = 1.46
Qtr 2Qtr
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2Qtr
3
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
High Reliability Organization
13
Revenue & Quality
14
Information Technology and Quality Management programs on target to avoid CMS penalties, while maximizing reimbursement
1.0% 1.25% 1.5% 1.75% 2.0%1.0%
2.0%
3.0%3.0%
3.0%
1.0%1.0%
1.0%0.7%
1.4%
2.8%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017VBP Readmissions Hosp. Acquired Conditions Meaningful Use of EHR
Hospital Objectives (Stage 1) MC TMC KY NE NW SE SW SL TWMeaningful Use Criteria Compliance
Legend: Meets criteria Requires attention
Stage I Readiness
Received $10.1M to date in Texas Medicaid funding
Received $12.9M in Medicare funding FY12
Meaningful Use Stage 2 requirements underway; targeting 2014 adoption
$54.6M expected over next 4 years from both Medicare and Medicaid
Meaningful Use Stage 1 & Stage 2 Attestation January 2012
Value Based Purchasing & Meaningful Use
Value Based Purchasing: Estimated $4.5M net gain over 5 years. HCAHPS greatest opportunity for improvement.
($3.3) ($4.1) ($5.0) ($5.8) ($6.6)
$3.7 $4.9
$5.9 $6.9
$7.9
$0.4 $0.8 $0.9 $1.1 $1.3 $2.3 $2.5 $3.1 $3.6 $4.1
($10)
($5)
$0
$5
$10
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
In M
illio
ns
Withheld Returned Net Gain Unearned
$6M $10M
$11.5M $17.5M
$27M
Accountable Care
• Clinically Integrated IPA • Pluralistic approach to physician / MHHS
alignment • Exclusive Contracting DOJ/FTC Protections
15
CMS Shared Savings • July 1, 2012 start • 22,000 attributed beneficiaries • Patient Centered Medical Home
(PCMH)
MHHS/MHMD Payor Contracting
Payor Comm. M/A Humana United Healthcare Blue Cross Aetna MHealth Notice
of Intent
PCMH 185
CI 2,900 ACO 2,700
MHMD 3,500 Gr Houston >11,000
Texas Medicaid
• Massive statewide restructuring of Medicaid through 1115 Waiver
• Year 2 of implementation • Memorial Hermann has reached agreement
with RHP3 anchor (Harris Health) • Supplemental Funding – expected to continue
at historical levels
16
Greater Houston Area and Market Position
Growth of Houston
18
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
1980 1990 2000 2010 *2012 *2017Source: Truven, formerly Thomson Reuters Medstat, 2011-2016 Note: Population number for 1980, 1990 and 2000 was based on Greater Houston MSA: Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, Waller Expanded Greater Houston MSA includes: Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, San Jacinto, Waller, Walker and Wharton
* The total population of the Expanded Greater Houston MSA is projected to reach 6.8 million by the year 2017. That represents growth of 568,846
people from 2012 (9.1% increase).
Population by Age
8.1%
2.5% 4.2%
25.7%
28.6%
3.1%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
Children 0-17
Young Adults 18-34
Adults 35-54 Older Adults 55-64
Seniors 65-plus
Females 15-44
2012 2017 Growth Rate
Geographic Coverage
Approximately 82% of the Expanded Greater Houston MSA population lives within the primary service area of at least one Memorial Hermann campus.
19
Volume Forecast Summary
• Market Admissions projected to decrease 3% as a result of 9% population growth and 11% Use Rate decline
• MH Admissions projected to increase 3% through increasing market share, despite the Use Rate decline
20
Actual 2012 Projected 2017
% Change
Population 6,263,956 6,832,802 9%
Use Rates 87 77 -11%
Market Admissions 542,847 528,961 -3%
MH Market Share 22.9% 24.2% 6%
MH Admissions (Total) 129,469 133,511 3%
23.4%23.6%
22.9%
24.2%
22.0%
22.5%
23.0%
23.5%
24.0%
24.5%
2010 2011 2012 2017
Total Inpatient Market Share
Financial Performance
Memorial Hermann Health System
Memorial Hermann Foundation
Memorial Hermann Physician Network
(MHMD)
Health Professionals Insurance Company
(HePIC)
Memorial Hermann Medical Group MHealth, Inc.
Governance Transformation Financial Consolidation and Obligated Group
Corporate Members
MH Accountable Care Organization
Final Governance Structure (Effective January 1, 2013)
Part of the Obligated Group Legend:
MHealth Insurance Company
22
23
Patient Volumes
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
46,831 55,542
61,355 68,354
78,563
79,275
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
OP Surgery Cases
194,737 218,016
233,622
236,843
248,348
256,175
100,000
140,000
180,000
220,000
260,000
300,000
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
Adjusted Admissions
484,579 586,106
778,978 810,733
861,922 960,736
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012
Diagnostic & Therapeutic Visits
133,846
140,919 138,351
135,099
135,347
134,064
108,348
112,793 109,077
107,403
108,712
108,436
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
120,000
130,000
140,000
150,000
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012
Inpatient Admissions (excluding OB)
Inpatient Admissions
Outpatient Revenues
24
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
64.6% 59.2% 57.0% 54.5% 52.3%
35.4% 40.8% 43.0% 45.5%
47.7%
OP Revenue % by Fiscal Year
IP % OP %
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
Ambulatory Care and Retail Operations Continue to Grow
25
Ambulatory Care / Retail Operations – Select Areas
OPID SM&R ASC Outpatient Imaging Sports Medicine & Ambulatory Surgery Division Rehabilitation Centers
OPID's ($000's) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012NOR 138,818$ 136,345$ 147,737$ Cash Flow Margin 32.1% 33.1% 38.6%D&T Visits 339,054 341,141 359,703 Sites 23 24 24
SM&R's ($000's) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012NOR 33,228$ 40,196$ 52,285$ Cash Flow Margin 26.7% 29.8% 34.8%D&T Visits 35,882 43,716 52,042 Sites 24 26 30
ASC's (JVIII & IV) ($000's) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012NOR 114,969$ 140,710$ 154,666$ Cash Flow Margin 29.5% 30.3% 32.0%OP Surgeries 32,397 41,444 44,493 Sites 11 15 18
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
Case Mix Index for all Hospitals
26
Tertiary/Quaternary Cases FY12 FY13 Ann'd
Transplants 70 125
Burn Center 412 500
Open Heart 1,050 1,150
Trauma - TMC 6,700 7,200
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Total CMI Medicare (only) CMI
1.66
1.971.951.94
1.95
1.851.79
1.871.87 1.851.82
1.86
1.95
1.63
1.631.631.601.62 1.63 1.64
1.68
1.63
1.60
1.62
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
2.20
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
TMC Median Teaching Hospital75th Percentile Teaching Hospital 25th Percentile Teaching Hospital
Benchmarked against Median Teaching Hospitals COTH Report – Memorial Hermann TMC
Payor Mix for all Hospitals
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
27
Payor Mix – 5 yr. Trend
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Managed Care
Medicare
Medicaid
Self Pay
Other
19.9%
34.5% 13.2%
2.4%
19.1%
10.9%
Aetna
Blue Cross
Cigna
Humana
United
Other
21.0%
34.3% 10.4% 1.9%
20.2%
12.2% Aetna
Blue Cross
Cigna
Humana
United
Other
28
Managed Care Commercial Payor Mix
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
Managed Care Contracts % of Net Revenue FY 2011
FY 2011-$1.35B Net Revenue
Managed Care Contracts % of Net Revenue FY 2012
FY 2012-$1.47B Net Revenue
29
Strong Operating Performance Sustained Cash Flow Generation
• Fiscal Year 2012 operating income before extraordinary items of $171.3 million
• 12 consecutive years of solid operating performance with results at or above budget each year
29
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Operating Income
Operating Income Operating Margin
$ In Mil.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Operating EBIDA
Operating EBIDA EBIDA Margin
$ In Mil.
Cost Control Labor and Supply Costs
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
30
Labor Costs as % NOR
Supply Costs as % NOR 20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
42.0% 41.5% 41.0% 38.6%
36.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
12.5%
15.0%
17.5%
20.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
15.6% 15.2% 15.2% 14.5% 13.6%
VHA PharmaLYNX 2012 Review Rx Cost Index: Best in Class 10.5 Subscriber Avg. 16.4 Memorial Hermann 10.5
System-wide cost reduction initiative started in 2011,
targeting $161 million reduction over 24-months. Fully
implemented
$766.8
$866.2
$1,076.8
$1,323.0
$1,418.2
$0.0
$200.0
$400.0
$600.0
$800.0
$1,000.0
$1,200.0
$1,400.0
$1,600.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Cash and Investments
Balance Sheet Liquidity
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
$ in Mil.
31
105 109
129
151 148
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Days Cash
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
45% 48% 61%
74% 80%
W/Cap Leases Excl Cap Leases
64%
74%
95%
120%
133%
Balance Sheet Leverage
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
32
Cash to Debt Debt to Capitalization
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
42% 44% 40%
36% 35%
Excl Cap Leases W/Cap Leases
51%
55%
52%
48% 47%
33
Volume Indicators FY2013 – 3 months ended September 30, 2012
Selected Statistics
Actual
P/Y
Percent Increase
(Decrease) Over P/Y
Inpatient Admissions 34,479 34,042 1.3%
Adjusted Admissions 66,853 64,455 3.7%
Deliveries 6,351 6,244 1.7%
ER Visits 117,136 107,800 8.7%
Outpatient Surgeries 20,230 19,507 3.7%
Diagnostic & Therapeutic Visits
253,980 230,768 10.1%
ALOS 5.38 5.36 0.4%
Case Mix Index 1.544 1.486 3.9%
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Investment Income Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
34
Operating Income and Cash Flow FY2013 – 3 months ended September 30, 2012
Growth/Volumes Managed Care Operating Income & Cash Flow Cost Control Investment Income Balance Sheet Position Liquidity Leverage Q1 FY 2013
$23.5
$44.6
$21.8
$98.4
$124.4
$98.7
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
$0.0
$20.0
$40.0
$60.0
$80.0
$100.0
$120.0
$140.0
Actual P/Y Bgt
Operating Income Operating Cash Flow
Operating Income Margin Operating Cash Flow Margin
Treasury Update
36
Underlying Debt Mix Net Interest Rate Exposure Credit Provider Rollover Exposure Mode Par Amount Percent Mode Par Amount Percent Mode Par Amount Renewal Fixed Rate $ 408,335,000 40.4% Fixed Rate $ 408,335,000 40.4% JP Morgan Chase LOC $ 103,200,000 7/8/15 Variable Variable Rate 2,900,000 0.3% Northern Trust LOC 30,000,000 5/25/15 Putable Variable Rate (VRDB's) 254,600,000 25.2% Synthetic Fixed 598,900,000 59.3% Wells Fargo Non-Putable Variable Rate (FRN's) 347,200,000 34.4% 2008A-2 FRN 77,000,000 9/1/16
Total $ 1,010,135,000 100.0% Total $ 1,010,135,000 100.0% LOC 121,400,000 11/4/14 RBC 2010B FRN 162,400,000 1/1/16 2008A-1 FRN 107,800,000 9/1/16 Total $ 601,800,000
Underlying Interest Rate Exposure Fixed/Variable Debt Mix (After Swaps) Credit Provider Exposure
Fixed Rate, 40.4%
Put Variable
Rate (FRN's), 34.4%
Fixed Rat 40.4%
JP Morgan
17.1%
44.9%
Current Debt Profile
Synthetic Fixed, 59.2%
Fixed Rate, 40.4%
Variable Rate, 0.3%
Fixed Rate, 40.4%
Non-Putable Variable
Rate (FRN's), 34.4%
Putable Variable
Rate (VRDB's)
25.2% RBC FRN, 44.9%
JPMorgan Chase LOC,
17.1% Northern
Trust LOC, 5.0%
Wells Fargo FRN, 12.8%
Wells Fargo LOC, 20.2%
*Does not include capital lease obligations
37
$0.0
$200.0
$400.0
$600.0
$800.0
$1,000.0
$1,200.0
$1,400.0
$1,600.0
FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 YTD 9/30/12
International
US Equities
Money Mkts
Fixed
Short Term
4.9%* 3.0%* 2.4%*
Operating Account (in millions)
Investment Program Unrestricted Investments
5.5%*
* Percentages are Total Portfolio Returns
Asset-Liability Modeling (“Capital Deficit”)
Balance sheet decomposition and actions currently under consideration
Capital and operating assets
Net Assets “Equity”
Cash and investments
“Capital deficit”
Total assets
Investments
Debt and Capitalized Leases
-5.0 -2.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0
Return (% of Investments)
“Expected” 3.2%
+1σ 6.6%
-1σ (0.1%)
-2σ (3.5%)
+2σ 9.9%
(%)
-5.0 -2.5 0.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 10.0
Cost (% of Debt)
(%)
“Expected” 5.4%
+1σ 5.6%
-1σ 5.3% -2σ
5.2% +2σ 5.7%
38
Investment Considerations • Current Investment Policy Statement in
process of review by management and Investment Consultant, Towers Watson
• Investment teams are beginning to run analyses to evaluate potential asset allocations that would target alternate expected returns
• Evaluate higher expected return allocations while keeping expected volatility as close to current levels as possible
Debt Considerations • Realize present value savings on the “in
the money” fixed rate refundings • Rebalance risk profile (bank, put, variable,
fixed rate, and swap exposure) • Reduce weighted average cost of capital • Increase floating interest rate exposure • Evaluate self liquidity VRDB structure to
further reduce bank exposure and support costs
Unhedged Floating
0%
Natural Fixed 24%
Synthetic Fixed 35%
Cap. Leases (Fixed)
41%
US Cash, 52%
Int'l Equity, 3%
US Large Cap, 9%
US Small-Mid Cap,
2%
US Aggregate
Bonds, 34%
Net capital deficit = $48.5MM; 95% worst deficit = $119.5MM
Conclusion
Take away points
40
• Market Share Leader in Houston • Superior Regional Coverage • Operating Cash Flow Generation • Effective Cost Management – Best Practice • Improved Liquidity and Leverage Position • Well Positioned for Accountable Care and Population
Management • Quality – Competitive Advantage for Memorial Hermann • National Recognition – Significant Accomplishments as a
Provider of Excellence