meta-analysis: an introduction george a. kelley, da, facsm school of medicine, dept. of community...

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Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV Bio Funding Publications

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Page 1: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Meta-Analysis: An Introduction

George A. Kelley, DA, FACSMSchool of Medicine,

Dept. of Community Medicine,

West Virginia University,

Morgantown, WV

Bio Funding Publications

Page 2: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Interest and Excitement for Meta-Analysis

Proliferation of information on health-related disease

Need to try and “make sense out of nonsense”

Enjoyment for combining and analyzing data

Page 3: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Learning Objectives

Identify what meta-analysis isIdentify the advantages and

different types of meta-analysesIdentify the steps for conducting a

meta-analysis of summary data

Page 4: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Performance Objectives

Define meta-analysisList and describe the advantages

and types of meta-analyses List and describe the steps

necessary for conducting a meta-analysis of summary data

Page 5: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Major Topics Covered

I. Overview of Meta-Analysis

II. Steps for Conducting A Meta-Analysis

Page 6: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

I. Overview of Meta-Analysis

A. Meta-Analysis Defined

B. Advantages of Meta-Analysis

C. Types of Meta-Analyses

Page 7: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

A. Meta-Analysis – Combining the results from many studies dealing with the same topic.

Page 8: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

B. Advantages of Meta-Analysis

1. Study question specific & narrow

2. Data collection comprehensive & specific

3. Study selection based on uniformly applied criteria

4. Data synthesis quantitative

Page 9: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

C. Types of Meta-Analyses

1. Summary Data

2. Individual Patient Data

Page 10: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

II. Steps for Conducting A Meta-Analysis

A. Data SourcesB. Study SelectionC. Data AbstractionD. Statistical Analysis

Page 11: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

A. Data Sources

1. Computer searches

2. Cross-referencing

3. Hand-searching

4. Expert(s) to review list

Page 12: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Data Sources-Example

- Computer searches (Medline, Embase, Sport Discus, Current Contents, Dissertation Abstracts)

- Cross-referencing from review and original articles

- Experts to review list (Drs. James Hagberg & Doug Seals)

Page 13: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

B. Study Selection

1. Study designs2. Subjects3. Publication types4. Languages5. Interventions6. Time Frame

Page 14: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Study Selection-Example

- RCTs or CTs with a nonexercise control group

- Progressive resistance training as the only mode of training

- Females > 18 years of age- Journal articles, dissertations, &

masters theses published in English

Page 15: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Study Selection (cont.)

• Studies published & indexed between January 1966 and December 1998

• Bone mineral density assessed at femur, spine, and/or radius

• Training studies > 16 weeks

Page 16: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

C. Data Abstraction

1. Number of items coded2. Inter-coder bias3. Items coded

Page 17: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Data Abstraction – Example

242 possible items coded Data independently abstracted

by first two authors Every data point reviewed for

accuracy and consistency Major characteristics coded –

study, physical, exercise, primary & secondary outcomes

Page 18: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

D. Statistical Analysis

1. Choice of metric

2. Choice of model/ heterogeneity

3. Publication bias

4. Study quality

5. Moderator analysis

Page 19: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

1. Choice of Metric

a. Original

b. Standardized mean difference (Mean/Standard Deviation)

Page 20: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

2. Choice of Model/ Heterogeneity

a. Fixed Effects

b. Random Effects

Page 21: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Metric, Model, & Heterogeneity - Example

Study N TE + SD 95% CI

1 68 -2 + 4 -3 to –1

2 92 -1 + 4 -2 to 0

3 78 -4 + 3 -5 to -3

Page 22: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

3. Publication Biasa. Graphical methods

b. Quantitative methods

Page 23: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Funnel Plot - Example

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25

Systolic ES (mmHg)

Sam

ple

S

am

ple

S

ize

Siz

er = 0.50, p = 0.007

Page 24: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

4. Study Quality

a. Difficult to assess

b. Interpret with caution

c. Numerous scales and checklists available

Page 25: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

5. Moderator Analysis

a. Categorical Analysis

b. Regression Analysis

Page 26: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Categorical Analysis - Example

Group N + SD 95% CI Qb(p)

USA Other

17 11

-1 + 3 -4 + 4

-3 to -1 -6 to -2

4.00(0.04)*

RCT CT

7 21

-2 + 3 -2 + 4

-3 to -1 -5 to 1

0.08(0.77)

Note: RCT, randomized controlled trials, CT, controlled trials; N, number of effect sizes; * means significantly different at P<0.05

Page 27: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

Regression - Example

Variables N r r2 r2adj SE p

IBMI, ISBP 18 0.75 0.57 0.51 3.47 0.002

Notes: IBMI means initial body mass index (kg/m2); ISBP means initial systolic blood pressure (mmHg); N means number of effect sizes.

Page 28: Meta-Analysis: An Introduction George A. Kelley, DA, FACSM School of Medicine, Dept. of Community Medicine, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV BioBio

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