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Metsä Board Corporation Investor presentation January March 2019

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Page 1: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Metsä Board Corporation

Investor presentationJanuary – March 2019

Page 2: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

This is Metsä Board ………………………… 3 Q1 2019 Results ………………………….. 31

Planned investments ……………………….. 14 Sustainability ………………………………. 45

Profitability drivers ………………………….. 19 R&D ………………………………………… 58

Operating environment …………………….. 26 Owners, management, contacts ……….... 68

Investor presentation

1–3/20192

Contents

Page 3: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

3

Metsä Board in brief

Folding boxboard56 %

White kraftlainer

26 %

Market pulp18 %

FY 2018:

EUR 1,944m

EMEA74 %

Americas19 %

APAC8 %

FY 2018:

EUR 1,944m

Sales split by product

Sales split by region

Year 2018: Sales EUR 1.9bn, comparable operating result EUR 252m,

ROCE 14.4%, Capex EUR 70m, Personnel 2,352

Total paperboard capacity

2Mt/a

Net pulp balance

+600,000t/a

STRONG MARKET POSITION

#1 in folding boxboard and white kraftliner in Europe

#1 in coated white kraftliner globally

Largest European importer of folding boxboard to US

MAIN CUSTOMERS

Brand-owners, converters, merchants

and manufactures of corrugated products

TOP10 customers: ~25% of sales

Largest customer: <5% of sales

8 production units

in Finland and Sweden

METSÄ BOARD IS PART OF METSÄ GROUP

Metsä Board owns 24.9% of its associated company Metsä Fibre

Metsäliitto Cooperative, owned by 104,000 Finnish forest owners, holds 42% of Metsä Board’s shares and 61% of votesInvestor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 4: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Folding boxboards

Packaging solutions for consumer goods

Food service boards

Solutions for food service

White kraftliners

E-commerce, retail-ready tray and point-of-sale solutions

Metsä Board is focused on premium fresh fibre

paperboards with various end-uses

Page 5: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

SUSTAINABILITY

We use only renewable fresh fibres from sustainably managed northern forests

FOOD SAFETY

We have good control of raw materials, which guarantees purity and safety in food contact uses

E-COMMERCE

Our paperboards offer a strong promotion and branding experience

Our fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions for global trends

GLOBALISATION AND URBANISATION

We offer recyclable products that are ideal for the circular economy

Page 6: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

6

We have a leading position in Europe in our

main products

35% 32%

Folding boxboard

in EuropeTotal capacity 3.8m tonnes

White kraftliner

in EuropeTotal capacity 2.1m tonnes

Metsä

Board

#1

#2#3

#4

#5

Others Metsä

Board

#1

#2#3

#4

#5

Others

• Regional sales split of

paperboard deliveries:

• 70% EMEA

• 23% Americas

• 7% APAC

• In APAC we focus on high-

quality FBB segment

• We are the largest European

importer of FBB to US

• We are #1 in coated white

kraftliners globally

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 7: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Our production is close to our main raw material

7

Husum, SWE400,000 t/a FBB

250,000 t/a WKL

730,000 t/a Pulp

Kemi425,000 t/a WKL

610,000 t/a Pulp*

Kaskinen370,000 t/a BCTMP

Kyro190,000 t/a FBB

Äänekoski255,000 t/a FBB

1.3 million t/a Pulp*

Simpele290,000 t/a FBB

Joutseno330,000 t/a BCTMP

690,000 t/a Pulp*

Tako210,000 t/a FBB

In 2018, Metsä Board sourced

5.5 million m3 wood:

Sweden (37%), Finland (28%),

Baltics (20%) and Russia (15%).

*Metsä Fibre mill

Our net balance in pulp in 2019,

including the 24.9% ownership in

Metsä Fibre, is 600,000 t/a

Total paperboard capacity:

Folding boxboard (FBB): 1,345,000 t/a

White kraftliner (WKL): 675,000 t/a

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 8: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Wood products Paperboard

METSÄ

TISSUE

METSÄ

FOREST

Wood supply and

forest services

METSÄ

FIBRE

Pulp and sawn

timber

METSÄ

WOOD

METSÄ

BOARD

Tissue and

cooking papers

Group’s parent company, owned by 104,000 Finnish forest ownersMETSÄLIITTO COOPERATIVE

METSÄ GROUP │ FY2018: Sales EUR 5.7bn, ROCE 16.6%, Personnel 9,500 │

METSÄ BOARD’S

HOLDING 24.9%

• The Group structure enables high availability of northern wood

• Consistent quality of fibres that are tailor-made for the end products

• Metsä Group’s (Metsäliitto Cooperative) holding in Metsä Board: 41% of shares and 62% of votes

Metsä Board is part of Metsä Group

Through Metsä Fibre’s ownership Metsä Board’s annual

net pulp balance is 600,000 tonnesInvestor presentation

1–3/20198

100%Metsä Group’s holding: 100%100%50%* 41%

* Itotchu Corporation’s

holding is 25%

Page 9: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

We have been growing well above average market growth rate

during past years …

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

White kraftliner Folding boxboard

Metsä Board’s annual paperboard deliveries, CAGR 2013–2018: 10%

Annual global

demand growth for

folding boxboard

and white kraftliner

has been roughly

3%

Source: Metsä Board´s own research

1,0

00 t

onnes

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 10: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Investments in growth 2011–2018:

2018 New baling line in Kaskinen BCTMP mill:

30,000 new BCTMP capacity

New sheeting line in Äänekoski (to be in

production 9/2019)

2017 New extrusion coating line in Husum:

100,000 t/a PE coating capacity

2015–16 New folding boxboard production line in

Husum: 400,000 t/a of FBB and linerboard

production line conversion: 250,000 t/a of

WKL

2011–12 Debottlenecking in Simpele, Äänekoski and

Kyro mills: total 150,000 t/a of FBB

10

… driven by paperboard capacity increases

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E

Maintenance capex Growth capexDepreciation

Capital expenditure and depreciation

EU

R m

illio

n

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Note! 2019E Capex does not include the planned investments announced on 26 April 2019

Page 11: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Now our core is on profitability

Comparable ROCE:At least 12%

9,1

11,3

8,1

11,2

14,4

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

1,8

1,2

2,0

1,21,0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Net debt/comparable EBITDA:Maximum level 2.5x

> 12%

< 2.5x

1111Investor presentation

1–3/2019

57

44

76

50 51

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Dividend policy: Payout ratio at least 50% of net result

> 50%

Actual in Q1 2019: 14.4% Actual in 31 March 2019: 0.9x

Our financial targets:

Page 12: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

CAGR in dividend +30% in 2012–2018

Enterprise value, EUR million

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 3/2019

Net debt Market capitalization, EUR million

Dividend, EUR and payout ratio, %

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

0,00

0,05

0,10

0,15

0,20

0,25

0,30

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Dividend, EUR Dividend/EPS, %

12 Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Note! Year 2018 total distribution consists of a

dividend of EUR 0.10 and other distribution of

equity of EUR 0.19 per share

Page 13: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

• Free cash flow

– Since 2016 improved FCF as a result of improved

profitability, decreased capex and good working

capital discipline

– Q1 2019 FCF supported by dividend received from

Metsä Fibre but weakened by increased inventories

and trade receivables

• Our capital allocation for 2019

– EUR 103 million dividend paid in April

– Approximately EUR 100 million to reduce debt

– CAPEX: return-based allocation (ROCE above 12%),

ongoing pre-engineering phase regarding the

renewal of Husum pulp mill -40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q12019

FCF, EUR million FCF/EBITDA,%13

Capital allocation in 2019

EUR million %

Free cash flow in EUR million and % of EBITDA

Comparable

EBITDA Q1 2019

EUR 339 million

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

FCF=Cash flow from operations after investments

Page 14: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Investment plans by Metsä Board and Metsä Fibre

Page 15: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Metsä Board: HusumRenewal of the pulp millEUR ~300 million

Metsä Fibre: KemiNew bioproduct millEUR ~1.5 billion

Metsä Fibre: RaumaNew pine sawmill lineEUR ~200 million

Metsä Board and Metsä Fibre are planning three major

investments with total value of EUR 2 billionThe aim is to further improve the competitiveness of pulp and energy production

and move towards fossil-free production

Metsä Board owns 24.9% of Metsä Fibre

Page 16: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

16

Investment in Husum pulp mill

would enable the long-term

development of the integrate

First phase: Investments in a new recovery boiler and a

new turbine benefit the whole Husum integrate

– Reduced energy costs, improved reliability of production

and decreased duration of maintenance

– Self-sufficiency in electricity would increase to over 80%,

and be entirely based on renewable biomass

Second phase: Replacing the old fibre lines with one

new fibre line

Cost efficient, long-term energy production solution will

create a solid foundation to increase paperboard capacity

in the future.

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 17: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Investor presentation

1–3/201917

Estimated time schedule for the renewal in Husum mill

2019 2020 2021 2022

Final

investment

decision

expected

to be made in

Q4 2019, at

the earliest

The size of the first phase investment is approximately EUR 300 million, divided between the years 2019–2022

Total annual production capacity of the pulp mill after the investment will remain at 750,000 tonnes

New

recovery

boiler and

turbine in

operation

Roughly 24 months after the investment decision First

phase:

Second

phase: Current two fibre lines in Husum pulp mill to be

replaced by one new fibre line

During the 2020’s

Prefeasibility

study on the

renewal

concluded

Page 18: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

New bioproduct mill* in Kemi, Finland

• Size of the investment EUR 1.5 billion

• Annual capacity 1.5 million tonnes of chemical pulp and

several other bioproducts

• Final investment decision expected in the summer of 2020

New sawmill line in Rauma, Finland

• Size of the investment EUR 200 million

• Annual capacity 750,000 cubic meters

• If realised, would be the most modern and efficient sawmill

line in the world

• Final investment decision in the beginning of 2020

Investor presentation

1–3/201918

Metsä Fibre is planning

two major investments

*) would replace the existing pulp mill in Kemi, with

annual capacity of 630,000 tonnes of chemical pulp

Page 19: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Main contributors in Metsä Board’s profitability

Page 20: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Component Change Impact on EBIT

Folding boxboard Price +/- 10% > EUR 100 million

White kraftliners Price +/- 10% > EUR 50 million

FX USD/EUR +/- 10% EUR 70 million

SEK/EUR +/- 10% EUR 50 million

Pulp Pix price of SW/HW

per tonne

+/- 10% EUR 25 million

Wood Price per m3 in

Finnish mills

+/-10% EUR 30 million*

Price per m3 in

Husum

+/-10% EUR 20 million

20

Our main profit components and sensitivities

* incl. ownership in Metsä Fibre

In 2018, Metsä Board sourced 5.5 million m3

wood, of which 37% from Sweden, 28%

Finland, 20% Baltics and 15% Russia.

Including the 24.9% share from Metsä Fibre,

the total sourcing was 8.5 million m3

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 21: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

FX sensitivity and annual transaction exposure

USD56 %SEK

36 %

GBP6 %

Other currencies

2 %

Annual transaction exposure

total EUR 1.3 billion

FX sensitivities excluding hedges

10% strengthening of foreign currency vs. EUR

would have an impact on Metsä Board’s EBIT of

Currency Next 12 months

USD, $ EUR +70 million

SEK, kr EUR -50 million

GBP, £ EUR +8 million

21Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 22: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Main cost components and expected development

Wood28 %

Logistics16 %

Chemicals15 %

Energy14 %

Personnel13 %

Other fixed14 %

Investor presentation

1–3/201922

Metsä Board’s cost split in 2018incl. 24.9% share from Metsä Fibre’s costs

Total costs in 2018: EUR 1.7 billion

(2017: EUR 1.6 billion)

Cost

component

Near-term outlook

Wood Prices in Finland and Sweden are expected to remain

stable. In the Baltics, the price level will depend on the

demand in export markets

Logistics In line with general cost inflation

Chemicals In line with or below general cost inflation

Energy Stabilisation following the oil and electricity price hikes in

2018

Personnel Approximately +2% y-on-y, mainly based on collective

agreements

Other fixed In line with or below general cost inflation

Page 23: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

23

Market price development of folding boxboard and

white kraftliner in Europe

EUR/ tonne

Sources: Fastmarkets RISI & Fastmarkets FOEX

Folding boxboard

White-top kraftliner

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 24: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

'10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

Source: Fastmarkets Foex

Long-fibre, USD

Long-fibre, EUR

Short-fibre, EUR

Short-fibre, USD

Market price development of pulp in Europe (PIX)Long-fibre (SW) and short-fibre (HW) pulp

24Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 25: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Market price development of roadside pulpwood in

Finland and Sweden

Pulpwood roadside prices in Finland, EUR/m3

Investor presentation

1–3/201925

Pulpwood roadside prices in Sweden, SEK/m3

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

340

360

380

400

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

201

8

201

9

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

201

8

201

9

–Spruce –Birch –Pine –Spruce –Birch –Pine

Sources: Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Skogsstyrelsen (The Swedish Forest Agency)

Page 26: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Operating environment forfresh fibre paperboards

Page 27: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Paperboard is the packaging material of the future

The total packaging market is USD 850 billion Average annual growth rate of paperboard packaging

USD

300 bn

US

D b

nSource: Smithers Pira

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2022F

+3% per year 2017–2022

Other fibre-based

Plastic

Metal

Glass

36%

10%

34%

13%

7%

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Paperboard

Page 28: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

28

Metsä Board has good growth opportunities in

premium paperboards

Cartonboard White linerboardCartonboard White linerboard Cartonboard White linerboard

Total annual

demand:

10 million

tonnes

3 million

tonnes10 million

tonnes

5 million

tonnes

22 million

tonnes

3 million

tonnes

Americas EMEA APAC

FSB

FBB

SBS, CUK

Recycled

grades

CWKL

WKL

White testliner

FSB

FBB

SBS, CUK

Recycled

grades

CWKL

WKL

White

testliner

FSB

FBB

SBS, CUK

Recycled

grades

WKL

White

testliner

FSB = food service board, FBB = folding boxboard, SBS = solid bleached board, CUK = coated unbleached kraft, WLC = recycled grades

WKL = uncoated white kraftliner, CWKL=coated white kraftliner

2.3Mt

5.3Mt

1.9Mt

9.5Mt

Source: Metsä Board research based on several sources,

e.g. CEPI Cartonboard and Containerboard, RISI

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

7Mt

Page 29: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

29

We sell globally, but have a regional approach The Americas is the biggest growth area

AMERICASSHARE OF TOTAL PAPERBOARD

DELIVERIES IN 2018

23%

EMEASHARE OF TOTAL PAPERBOARD

DELIVERIES IN 2018

70%

APACSHARE OF TOTAL PAPERBOARD

DELIVERIES IN 2018

7%

Demand drivers:

• Growing upper and middle

classes, and increased

purchasing power

• More brand-aware

consumers

• Continued shift to modern

retail and mobile

commerce

Demand drivers:

• Acceleration in

environmental

commitments and

regulations

• Stricter food safety

requirements

Demand drivers:

• Emerging environmental

considerations

• Trend for lightweight

packaging – but limited

local capacity in FBB

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 30: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

• Functionality, durability and consumer experience are the

key words

• Demand for white kraftliner driven by

– Increasing branding of the packaging

– Trend towards shipping the product in its own container

– Personalisation of boxes, supported by advanced technology

in digital printing

• The global value of E-commerce is expected to grow by

20% per year on average, increasing its share of the retail

trade from 10% to 18% in 2017–2021

Branding and personalisation

becoming more important in

E-commerce

Investor presentation

1–3/201930 Sources: eMarketer, Smithers Pira

Page 31: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Results for January – March 2019

Page 32: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Investor presentation 1–

3/201932

Key financials

Q1/19 Q4/18

Change

Q4/18

vs. Q3/18

Q1/18

Change

Q1/19

vs. Q1/18

FY 2018

Sales EUR, m 487 458 +6% 492 -1% 1,944

EBITDA* EUR, m 89 81 +10% 94 -5% 344

Operating result* EUR, m 62 60 +3% 69 -10% 252

% of sales* % 12.7 13.1 14.0 13.0

Result before taxes* EUR, m 58 56 +4% 61 -5% 230

Earnings per share EUR 0.17 0.14 +21% 0.15 +13% 0.57

ROCE* % 14.4 13.7 15.8 14.4

Capex EUR, m 6 34 -81% 10 -38% 70

Cash flow from operations EUR, m 36 30 +20% 30 +20% 151

IB Net debt, at end of period EUR, m 297 335 -11% 335 -11% 335

*comparable

Page 33: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

• Higher paperboard prices and delivery

volumes supported profitability

• Good market situation in folding boxboard

• Weakened demand in white kraftliners –

especially in Europe

• Average prices of market pulp declined but

delivery volumes picked up from low Q4

• Fewer planned maintenance shutdowns

compared to other quarters improved

operating result

33

Q1 2019 in summary

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 34: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Total paperboard delivery volumes in Q1 slightly

up from the previous quarter

265304 299 276 297 328 297 293 302

163

173 170152

171161

149 134 138

0

100

200

300

400

500

Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019

White kraftliner Folding boxboard

1,0

00 tonnes

34Investor presentation

1–3/2019

+3%

-6%

1,0

00 tonnes

Page 35: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Paperboard delivery volumes in Q1 2019 vs. Q1 2018

Folding boxboard (FBB) deliveries in Q1 2019 (Q1 2018) 1,000 tonnes

EMEA214k (205)

Americas65k (60)

APAC23k (31)

EMEA89k

(121)

Americas 49k (48)

35

White kraftliner (WKL) deliveries in Q1 2019 (Q1 2018)1,000 tonnes

71%

22%

8%

65%

35%

Total FBB deliveries

302,000 tonnes (Q1 18: 297,000)

Total WKL deliveries

138,000 tonnes (Q1 18: 171,000)

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Page 36: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Increased sales with stable operating result

SalesEUR million

492 519 475 458 4870

100

200

300

400

500

Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19

69 59 64 60 62

14,0 %

11,4 %

13,4 % 13,1 % 12,7 %

0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

0

20

40

60

80

Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19

36

Comparable operating resultEUR million and % of sales

EU

R m

illio

n

EU

R m

illio

n

1–12/2018:

EUR 1,944 million1–12/2018:

EUR 252 million

(13.0% of sales)

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

+6%

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0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19

Comparable ROCE-%, Quarterly37

Q1 2019 ROCE was 14.4%

Target level > 12%

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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Investor presentation

1–3/201938

Positive from FX but

negative from

production costs

FX impact in Q1 2019, including hedges:

– EUR +6 million vs. Q4 2018

– EUR +11 million vs. Q1 2018

Production costs in Q1 2019

– Slightly higher compared to Q4 2018

– Clearly higher compared to Q1 2018

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Chinese pulp market shows signs of recovery

while European pulp prices continue to decline

39

Pulp price (PIX) development in Europe and China• Market pulp delivery volumes increased in

Q1 2019 from the low levels in Q4 2018 …

• … but average selling price weakened

• Price gap between Europe and China is

narrowing as Europe is declining and

China has stabilized

• In the long-term, pulp demand is supported

by

• Limited new capacity in the coming years

• Restrictions on recycled paper imports in

ChinaInvestor presentation

1–3/2019

Long-fibre pulp, Europe Long-fibre pulp, China (net)

Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream/ Fastmarkets Ltd, Metsä BI

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2637

68

106

30 3654

30 36

7

25

59

79

2 23

43

-3

29

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19

Cash flow from operations, quarterly Free cash flow, quarterly

Cash flow from operations, rolling 12 months Free cash flow, rolling 12 months

EU

R m

illio

n

40 Free cash flow = cash flow from operations − investments

Metsä Fibre’s dividend supported cash flows in Q1 2019

EU

R m

illio

n

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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458 495 437 358 335 388 344 335 297

1,92,0

1,7

1,21,1

1,21,0 1,0

0,9

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

3/2017 6/2017 9/2017 12/2017 3/2018 6/2018 9/2018 12/2018 3/2019

Net debt, EUR million

41

Net debt decreased and leverage was at 0.9x

Net debt / EBITDA target level: <2.5

EU

R m

illio

n

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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0

50

100

150

200

250

2019 2020 2021 2022–26 2027

Bonds Loans from financial institutions Pension loans Other loans

Investor presentation

1–3/201942

Debt and its maturity31 March 2019

Long-term interest-bearing debt maturity profile 31 March 2019

EU

R m

illio

n

• Total interest-bearing debt on 31 March was EUR 395

million

• In March, Company paid the remaining EUR 60 million of

its bond issued in 2014

Rating agency Rating and

outlook

Last update

S&P Global BBB-

stable

02/2018

Upgrade from BB+

Moody‘s investor

services

Baa3

stable

01/2019

Upgrade from Ba1

Metsä Board’s both credit ratings are investment grade

Metsä Board has an undrawn revolving credit facility of EUR 150 million maturing in 2020

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Investor presentation

1–3/201943

Metsä Board’s rating is on investment grade by

Moody’s and S&P Global

Investment grade

Page 44: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

44

Near-term outlook

• Paperboard delivery volumes are expected

to stay roughly at the Q1 levels

• FBB prices are expected to be stable

• Weakened demand in kraftliners may have an

impact on the average sales price

• Global pulp demand is expected to be stable

• Neutral impact from FX and production costs in

Q2 vs. Q1

• Several maintenance shutdowns in Finnish mills

during April–June

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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Sustainability and product safety

Investor presentation 1–3/2019

Page 46: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

• Growing consumer awareness:

Origin and transparency of

materials, renewability, resource

efficiency and recylability

• Brand owners are committed to

reducing their carbon footprints:

Lighter packaging reduces CO2

emissions across the value chain

46

Sustainability is on

everybody’s agenda

“Our comprehensive approach

to reducing our environmental

impact means looking at all

aspects of our business, how

they intersect and how we can

integrate new solutions to

create meaningful and

sustained change.”

– Starbucks website

“We want low-carbon to become

the new normal, so we’re taking

action to reduce GHG emissions

throughout our value chain.”

– Unilever website

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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• Consumers regard paperboard as a more responsible choice than plastic packaging –

willingness to pay more for it

• Paperboard cartons preserved the cherry tomatoes at least as well as the plastic equivalent

• The climate effect of a recycled PET container was calculated at six times higher than the average

value for the paperboard cartons

Investor presentation

1–3/201947

Alternative to plastics:

Paperboard adds value to packaging

A detailed consumer study with cherry tomatoes was carried out in Finland by Sense N Insight,

Luke (Natural Resources Institute Finland) and Metsä Board

Page 48: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Replacing fossil-based materials, i.e. plasticsThe solution: renewable and biodegradable wood fibre

Increased waste generation due to urbanisationThe solution: Paperboard is recyclable – and widely recycled

Reducing carbon footprintThe solution: renewable energy, efficient energy and water usage in production

Ensuring food safetyThe solution: pure and safe fresh fibres in food packaging

Fresh fibre paperboards offer solutions to major challenges

Page 49: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Lighter packaging reduces CO2 emissions across the

value chain – Our fossil CO2 emissions per product tonne

have reduced by almost 50% since 2009

Less energy, water and

raw material consumed

Less

transport

weight

Less waste

generated

Page 50: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

• Metsä Board sources its

wood mainly from Finland

and Sweden (65 %)

• All wood used is 100% traceable and

comes from sustainably managed forest

sources ensuring the bio-diversity and

recreational use of forests

• 79% of wood sourced is certified

(remaining 21 % from controlled forest

sources)

Investor presentation

1–3/201950

Wood is our main raw

material

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Finland – the largest forest cover in Europe

51

100+MILLION M3

Annual growth of Finnish forests is

over 100 million m3 – more than ever

Forests grow more than they are used,

annual harvesting 72 million m3 (2017)

Four seedlings are planted for each

harvested tree

Over 20% of the Finnish export comes

from forest-based products

The area of Finland

Cities, villages and roads

Fields and agricultural use

Lakes and rivers

Forest

10%

10%

75%

5%

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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• Metsä Board uses only

surface water in its processes

• Water is been recirculated

in processes several times

• 99% of the water used is returned

back to the close-by waterways

after thorough purification

Investor presentation

1–3/201952

We have decreased our

process water use by 20%

since 2010

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Own generation21 %

Through PVO shareholding32 %

Purchased electricity

44 %

Outsourced generation

3 %

Electricity sourced in 2018 (total 2.4 TWh)

53

Our energy efficiency has improved

by almost 12% during 2009-2018Renewable, mainly wood-based55 %

Nuclear power27 %

Fossil-based 18 %

Primary energy used in 2018(total 12.0 TWh)

• Over 80% of primary energy we use is fossil free

• After OL31) starts up, we will be nearly self-sufficient in

electricity in Finland

− Including the electricity used in Husum mill,

self-sufficiency will be nearly 80%

• Metsä Board’s shareholding in PVO2) is 3.2%

− Fair value as per 31 December 2018 was EUR 266 million

1) Olkiluoto Nuclear Power Plant

2) Pohjolan Voima Oyj is a non-listed public limited liability company.

It supplies electricity and heat for its shareholders at cost price

3) Out of 44% share of purchased energy, 14% is from Metsä Fibre

3)

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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RAW MATERIALS AND SUPPLY CHAIN

We are committed to high performance on sustainability

Share of certified wood:

PERFORMANCE 2018

79%TARGET

>80%

Fossil CO2 emissions per product tonne

2009–2020:

PERFORMANCE 2018

-48%TARGET

-30%

Energy efficiency improvement

2009–2020:

PERFORMANCE 2018

11.7%TARGET

12%

Process water use per product tonne

2010–2020:

PERFORMANCE 2018

-20%TARGET

-17%

Coverage of Code of Conduct training:

PERFORMANCE 2018

97%TARGET

100%

Lost-time accidents frequency annually

(LTA1: 7.5): *

PERFORMANCE 2018

+15.9%TARGET

-10%

Sickness absenteeism:

PERFORMANCE 2018

3.5%TARGET

<3%

RESOURCE EFFICIENCY AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS

STAKEHOLDERS AND SOCIAL IMPACTS

Investor presentation

1–3/201954

*Long-term target is zero accidents.

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External recognition and commitments

Metsä Board was awarded

“Prime” status in ISS-oekom

corporate responsibility rating in

May 2018.

Metsä Board scored the highest

recognition level “Gold” in

EcoVadis’ CSR ranking in 2018,

and is included in the top 1% of

suppliers assessed across all

categories.

Metsä Board has been included on the CDP

Water A List every year since 2015 and on

the CDP Climate A List since 2016. In

addition, Metsä Board has scored A- in the

CDP Forest programme since 2015, and is

included on the Supplier Engagement

leader board in 2019 for its efforts to address

climate change.

Metsä Board as a part of Metsä

Group is committed to the UN

Global Compact corporate

responsibility initiative and its

principles in the areas of human

rights, labour, environment and

anti-corruption.

Metsä Board is committed to

Science Based Targets to

reduce its GHG emissions in line

with the goal of the Paris

Agreement.

As a member of Pack2Go Europe Metsä

Board is committed to the environmental,

health and safety aspects within the on-the-

go food and beverage packaging industry.

Metsä Board received a rating of

AAA (on a scale of AAA-CCC) in

the MSCI ESG Ratings

assessment in June 2018.

Metsä Board has an overall ESG

score of 86/100 and is

considered a Leader in

Sustainalytics’ assessment in

May 2018.

Investor presentation

1–3/201955

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• Health and safety aspects are strongly emerging in

food packaging

• Purity and safety have become critical factors, also for

consumers

• Growing worry about e.g. fluorochemicals or mineral oil

migration from recycled packaging into foodstuffs set

stricter demands on packaging materials

• Packaging’s strength and durability are non-negotiables

to reduce food waste

56

Food safety is growing its

importance

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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We promote

circular

economy

providing vital

material

to the recycling

loop

Recycled fibre

packaging is

suitable for

many goods

In food

packaging

mineral oil

migration pose

a health hazard

in recycled fibre

Global

restrictions in

the use of

recycled fibres in

direct food

contact

Packaging made from recycled material

Recycling would

end in few

months without

fresh fibre inflow

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Research and Development

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Our key product development focus areas

LIGHTWEIGHTING

59

BARRIER BOARDS

• Improved BCTMP

• Microfibrillated cellulose (MFC)

• Strength additives

• Dispersion barriers

• Bio-based raw materials

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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60

We achieve high bending stiffness

from a strong outer layers and a

thick and light inner layer

Bleached chemical pulp

High yield pulp (BCTMP) or groundwood pulp

Bleached chemical pulp

Top coating

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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PR

OM

OT

ION

Bri

gh

tne

ss

PROTECTIONStiffness

Folding boxboard

(FBB)

White lined chipboard

(WLC)

Metsä Board’s

folding boxboard

Coated unbleached kraft

(CUK)

The role of packaging is to promote the brand and

protect the product – in a cost-effective way

Solid bleached board

(SBB)

Investor presentation

1–3/201961

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Light weight – better yield and sustainability

High strength and bending stiffness – secure protection

High brightness and smoothness – excellent printability

Consistent quality – improved production efficiency

High-yield pulp makes the difference between folding boxboard and other grades …

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SBS

(100% chemical pulp)

Metsä Board FBB

(up to 70% BCTMP,

30% chemical pulp )

… and leave more trees standing

5 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp

3.4 m3 of wood per tonne of pulp

=

=

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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Lighter-weight paperboards: Better with Less

Metsä Board

lightweight paperboard

Average FBB –

Folding boxboard

SBB –

Solid bleached board

WLC –

White lined chipboard

64

The weights equal to a print job of 30 000 sheets on a standard size printing press

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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In April 2019, we announced of our new, improved FBB

portfolio, that answers to increasing demands for

sustainability, product safety and brand promotion

– Further opportunities for lightweighting

– Enhanced visual properties

– Industry-leading quality consistency

– Improved supply security and availability

Enabled by our improved high-yield BCTMP and full

R&D focus on paperboard

Investor presentation

1–3/201965

Metsä Board enhances its leading

position in premium lightweight

paperboards

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• Fresh fibre paperboards can help replace non-

renewable packaging materials

• Metsä Board’s eco-barrier paperboard

– is developed especially for food service use with

short food contact time and when light grease

resistance is sufficient

– has an industrial compostability certification

Investor presentation

1–3/201966

Brand-owners seek more

sustainable packaging solutions

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67

Getting familiar with terminology: Barrier boards types

NO

N-B

IOB

AS

ED

BIODEGRADABLE

BIO

BA

SE

D

NON-BIODEGRADABLE

PLA (polylactide): often

based on corn starch

PVA (polyvinyl alcohol)

PBS (polybutylene

succinate)

Green PE: made from

biomaterials

PE: made from fossil raw

materials, used in

extrusion coating

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

Examples of materials used in coating

Note!

Biobased material

=

Renewable material

Compostable

Biodegradable

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Owners, management and contact information

Page 69: MetsäBoard Corporation Investor presentation · 3 Metsä Board in brief Folding boxboard 56 % White kraftlainer 26 % Market pulp 18 % FY 2018: EUR 1,944m EMEA 74 % Americas 19 %

Market cap and foreign owners31 March 2019

Ownership distribution31 March 2019

Market cap and ownership distributionMetsä Board shares are listed on Nasdaq Helsinki

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 3/2019

Market cap, EUR million

Share of foreign owners, %

Metsäliitto Cooperative

41 %

Domestic institutional investors

21 %

Domestic private

investors19 %

Foreign owners19 %

EUR million

69

%

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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Investor presentation

1–3/201970

Metsä Board Corporate Management Team

Mika JoukioCEO

Chairman of CMT since 2014

MG employee since 1990

Share ownership: 297,700

Jussi NoponenCFO

Member of CMT since 2016

MG employee since 2000

Share ownership: 73,000

Sari PajariSVP, Marketing and Sales

Member of CMT since 2011

MG employee since 2007

Share ownership: 66,075

Ari KivirantaSVP, Development

Member of CMT since 2014

MG employee since 1993

Share ownership: 56,960

Harri PihlajaniemiSVP, Production

Member of CMT since 2017

MG employee in 2001-2004

and since 2017

Share ownership: no ownership

Susanna TainioSVP, HR

Member of CMT since 2015

MG employee since 2011

Share ownership: 38,513

Share ownerships are B-shares.

MG = Metsä Group

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Katri Sundström

Vice President, Investor relations

Tel +358 400 976 333

[email protected]

Metsä Board Corporation

P.O. Box 20

02020 Metsä, Finland

www.metsaboard.com

71

Contact information

Investor presentation

1–3/2019

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This presentation includes forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,”

“estimate,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “aim,” “target,” “might,” or, in each case, their negative, or any similar expressions

identify certain of these forward-looking statements. Others can be identified from the context in which the statements are

made. By their nature, forward-looking statements are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Although we

believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, actual results may differ, even

materially, from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. We urge presentation participants not to

place undue reliance on such statements.

The information and views contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to

change without notice. Metsä Board does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise forward-looking

statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent legally required.

Viewers should understand that this presentation does not constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or

subscribe for Metsä Board’s securities anywhere in the world or an inducement to enter into any investment activity

relating to the same. No part of this presentation should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract

or commitment or decision to invest in Metsä Board securities whatsoever. Potential investors are instructed to acquaint

themselves with Metsä Board’s annual accounts, interim reports and stock exchange releases as well as other information

published by Metsä Board to form a comprehensive picture of the company and its securities.

Metsä Board publishes inside information according to Market Abuse Regulation (MAR) and rules of the Nasdaq Helsinki.

Investor presentation

1–3/201972

Disclaimer

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